Bitcoin Forum

Bitcoin => Mining speculation => Topic started by: philipma1957 on June 21, 2016, 11:51:14 AM



Title: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are closed!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on June 21, 2016, 11:51:14 AM
Okay new game.  


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are closed!!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: tertius993 on June 21, 2016, 12:03:21 PM
New game ? So how is it that the picks are closed ?

Picks are only open for the middle of the difficulty period - if you look at some of the previous threads you will see exactly how it works, but in short we all have to wait, observe and speculate for the first few hundred blocks, then Philip will open the competition for 400 blocks, when we make our forecasts guesses and then picks are closed for the last few hundred blocks (to prevent last minute guesses) and we are all on tenterhooks watching ... ;)


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are closed!!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: alh on June 21, 2016, 06:10:37 PM
A minor suggestions for Phil:

Maybe the title should say "not yet open" rather than "closed" prior to block 1116. It might be a little more descriptive. Obviously "open" when we pass 1116 remaining and then "closed" when we are down to 716 remaining.

Just a thought.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are yet to open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: Mikestang on June 21, 2016, 08:41:48 PM
Thanks for keeping it going, Phil.  Last one before the halving?  Let's do it!


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are yet to open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: alh on June 21, 2016, 09:04:22 PM
Thanks for keeping it going, Phil.  Last one before the halving?  Let's do it!

I'll 2nd his comments.

As I do the math, the CURRENT adjustment period will have all 25BTC blocks, and will complete before the halving. The NEXT adjustment period will have the halving contained within it (and have a mix of 25 and 12.5 BTC blocks).


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are yet to open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: alh on June 22, 2016, 01:38:24 AM
While it's way too early to make a pick, I am expecting another increase in difficulty, and don't mean just 1%. Isay this because BTC is price is higher than most of the current year. Yes it's lower than a week ago, it's still much higher than it was for the first 4 months of the year. That will delay the exit of some less efficient mining hardware until after the halving. You can also be sure that all the S9's, and even S7's that Bitmain ships will get deployed.

To me that all adds up to another noticeable jump in hashrate and hence difficulty. In my opinion, the only thing that would limit the increase is a substantial "collapse" of BTC price, say $400 or less.

While BTC is above $600, I think the plan will be "Mine while the mining is good".


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are yet to open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: notlist3d on June 22, 2016, 03:49:28 AM
While it's way too early to make a pick, I am expecting another increase in difficulty, and don't mean just 1%. Isay this because BTC is price is higher than most of the current year. Yes it's lower than a week ago, it's still much higher than it was for the first 4 months of the year. That will delay the exit of some less efficient mining hardware until after the halving. You can also be sure that all the S9's, and even S7's that Bitmain ships will get deployed.

To me that all adds up to another noticeable jump in hashrate and hence difficulty. In my opinion, the only thing that would limit the increase is a substantial "collapse" of BTC price, say $400 or less.

While BTC is above $600, I think the plan will be "Mine while the mining is good".

I am hoping we can keep BTC in upper 600's going into having.  I think some sold some off before having as lot's of unknowns so I can understand that.   I hope with getting so close to having we manage to get up to 700+ again this period.  But I have a hard time complaining still at high 600's.   

I am also hoping we don't have any bad news.  I have enjoyed playing around with Ether and man did the DAO news drop it.  It has rebounded some but not to the 20 mark which was so nice to see.  So I just hope we can keep news positive about bitcoin going into having as news definitely has a effect on price.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are yet to open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: Mikestang on June 22, 2016, 04:29:19 PM
Yea that big peak hash power was shut off again, just after the diff adjustment like it has been doing for a while now.  I think we'll see another huge price surge still, I think the coin will be over $1000 at the halving - my prediction and quote me on it if it happens (but feel free to ignore if it doesn't :P).


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are yet to open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: mavericklm on June 22, 2016, 11:33:42 PM
Hey all! hard life with 2jobs...
1k?! goes under 600, maybe even 500atm!


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are yet to open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: notlist3d on June 23, 2016, 05:24:44 AM
Hey all! hard life with 2jobs...
1k?! goes under 600, maybe even 500atm!

It has definitely taken a tumble which are not quite as fun to watch.  In a single day we have went from high 660' to a low of 551.  So a huge drop and a lot of people sold making it continue to drop.  I like charts and there is one of my favorite here - http://www.coindesk.com/price/

We are a little more stable going up to  576 on coinbase.   But it's still very volitale  so hard to say what will happen in next 12-24 hours.  I hope up but who  knows.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are yet to open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: alh on June 23, 2016, 06:50:20 AM
Hey all! hard life with 2jobs...
1k?! goes under 600, maybe even 500atm!

this is wonderful news  a continued drop in price will knock out tons of gear come the ½ ing.

  I am hoping for 475.00

I just purchased some  at 560 usd

For me, BTC is going to have to fall much further before I'll convert actual dollars into BTC. Two months ago, if somebody had offered to sell me a BTC for $560 I would have laughed. I am hard pressed to see what is fundamentally different in terms of conditions that affect BTC price. Although I do have to admit that I have no idea what influences the price of BTC. I expect it's more likely geopolitical events that I have little insight into. All this mining and hardware stuff is interesting, but a cogent understanding of how BTC price actually is determined, and a way to accurately predict it, would be worth way more than a BitFury mining container.

Just my $.01 (not even two cents) on the topic. :(


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are yet to open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: Mikestang on June 23, 2016, 05:42:34 PM
For me, BTC is going to have to fall much further before I'll convert actual dollars into BTC. Two months ago, if somebody had offered to sell me a BTC for $560 I would have laughed. I am hard pressed to see what is fundamentally different in terms of conditions that affect BTC price. Although I do have to admit that I have no idea what influences the price of BTC. I expect it's more likely geopolitical events that I have little insight into. All this mining and hardware stuff is interesting, but a cogent understanding of how BTC price actually is determined, and a way to accurately predict it, would be worth way more than a BitFury mining container.
I think the primary driving force behind bitcoin price is speculation - speculation that, at some point in the future, BTC will be worth significantly more than they were yesterday.  I'm sure there is a myriad of factors that come into play, but I'd put my money on speculation having the largest slice of that pie chart.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are yet to open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: ezeminer on June 24, 2016, 04:00:43 AM
For me, BTC is going to have to fall much further before I'll convert actual dollars into BTC. Two months ago, if somebody had offered to sell me a BTC for $560 I would have laughed. I am hard pressed to see what is fundamentally different in terms of conditions that affect BTC price. Although I do have to admit that I have no idea what influences the price of BTC. I expect it's more likely geopolitical events that I have little insight into. All this mining and hardware stuff is interesting, but a cogent understanding of how BTC price actually is determined, and a way to accurately predict it, would be worth way more than a BitFury mining container.
I think the primary driving force behind bitcoin price is speculation - speculation that, at some point in the future, BTC will be worth significantly more than they were yesterday.  I'm sure there is a myriad of factors that come into play, but I'd put my money on speculation having the largest slice of that pie chart.
Well Brexit passed, so we should see the effects coming soon. People jumping ship to find other investments as the pound starts losing power. Already changed 4 cents to the usd while I was watching today.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are yet to open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: HerbPean on June 24, 2016, 07:29:23 PM
That's quite a nice drop !


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are yet to open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: RichBC on June 25, 2016, 06:26:59 AM
Well now that we have Brexit out of the way, back to Bitcoin. At least my coins are worth more in Pounds than they were before....

So 4 Days in and things seem relatively subdued with Yesterday being -10.42% with 129 Blocks. Period to Date Run rate is still finding it's level but sits at -5.4% this Morning.


Rich



Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are yet to open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: ATguy on June 25, 2016, 03:15:57 PM
Yesterday being -10.42% with 129 Blocks. Period to Date Run rate is still finding it's level but sits at -5.4% this Morning.

When I check difficulty realtime graph, we spiked to positive territory. It seems to corelate bit with the price which would make sence if enought hashpower switching off whenever price drops a lot, and switching on whenever price recovers.

http://bitcoin.sipa.be/speed-thumbnail.png


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are yet to open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: notlist3d on June 26, 2016, 03:31:26 AM
well we have spiked up a bit today


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   209,453,158,595

Estimated Next Difficulty:   217,211,595,962 (+3.70%)


Adjust time:   After 1332 Blocks, About 9.2 days  >>>> we start at block 1116

Hashrate(?):   1,469,068,299 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.9 minutes
3 blocks: 29.6 minutes
6 blocks: 59.3 minutes
Updated:   21:45 (5.6 minutes ago)


Price is around 668 on coinbase currently.  We had some surges up to 690's so it did go up a tad and fall but not drastic. - http://www.coindesk.com/price/ .  I still am hoping to see 700 base by having which I think  it is possible.

It has been exciting to watch that is for sure.  And having is only getting closer and closer so will be a interesting week in a half or so for sure.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are yet to open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: Stedsm on June 27, 2016, 02:54:05 AM
Waiting eagerly for the picks to open, don't want to lose my spot I am thinking to be the next % change.
Though, change in prize is a good way to be safe during this volatile market.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are yet to open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: valkir on June 27, 2016, 01:26:35 PM
I take my traditional 2.2!  ;D

+2.2 = Valkir


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: topiOleg on June 27, 2016, 02:02:05 PM
+3.0 = topiOleg


This is the last before halving if Im correct. This could mean last difficulty increase in a while as I expect many people shutting off mining when block rewards going from 25 BTC to 12.5 BTC.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: Psi on June 27, 2016, 02:05:12 PM
congratulations to kexkey on win !

+3.2 = psi


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on June 27, 2016, 02:23:10 PM


picks are open



-1.2 = philipma1957  as usual If i win I will roll it over.


+2.2 = Valkir


+3.0 = topiOleg
+3.2 = psi


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: Erumara on June 27, 2016, 04:08:33 PM
+0.2 = Erumara


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on June 27, 2016, 04:34:15 PM
picks are open



-1.2 = philipma1957  as usual If i win I will roll it over.

+0.2 = Erumara
+2.2 = Valkir


+3.0 = topiOleg
+3.2 = psi


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: fr4nkthetank on June 27, 2016, 05:35:40 PM
this is going to be good :)

+4.2 = fr4nkthetank


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on June 27, 2016, 05:43:37 PM

picks are open



-1.2 = philipma1957  as usual If i win I will roll it over.

+0.2 = Erumara
+2.2 = Valkir


+3.0 = topiOleg
+3.2 = psi
+4.2 = fr4nkthetank


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: Mikestang on June 27, 2016, 05:45:39 PM
This is the last before halving if Im correct. This could mean last difficulty increase in a while as I expect many people shutting off mining when block rewards going from 25 BTC to 12.5 BTC.
I think we're going to see a huge increase before we start to see any decrease.  New gen machines are just hitting the market, they are still very cost effective after the halving.  I don't think we're going to see diff drop off a cliff like we speculated may happen.  I'm gonna hold off on guessing a bit, see where we're headed.  Looks like the peak is climbing back up again.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: VRobb on June 27, 2016, 06:24:01 PM
Here's hoping the diff increase is small...

+2.6 = VRobb

Once again much thanks to philip for running the numbers game!


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on June 27, 2016, 06:31:05 PM


picks are open



-1.2 = philipma1957  as usual If i win I will roll it over.

+0.2 = Erumara
+2.2 = Valkir
+2.6 = VRobb

+3.0= topiOleg
+3.2 = psi
+4.2 = fr4nkthetank


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: HerbPean on June 27, 2016, 06:41:32 PM
+2.5 = HerbPean

Thanks Phil ! :)


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: ezeminer on June 27, 2016, 07:12:27 PM
+4.7 = ezeminer

I'll just try being an odd one for this adjustment :D


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: edonkey on June 27, 2016, 07:51:29 PM
-0.9 = edonkey

This guess is from our male indoor cat. He unfortunately got out while we were on vacation, but my oldest son got him back. What a relief.

Not sure about his guess though. I selfishly hope he's right though because I'm mining again. Got a B3 S9 last week.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: HagssFIN on June 27, 2016, 08:31:05 PM
+2.4 = HagssFIN
Thanks!


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on June 27, 2016, 08:42:06 PM

picks are open

-1.4 = gt_addict

-1.2 = philipma1957  as usual If i win I will roll it over.

-0.9 = edonkey

+0.2 = Erumara

+2.2 = Valkir

+2.4 = HagssFIN
+2.5 = HerbPean
+2.6 = VRobb

+3.0= topiOleg
+3.2 = psi

+4.2 = fr4nkthetank

+4.7 = ezeminer


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: gt_addict on June 27, 2016, 08:47:26 PM
I haven't played before. But if anyone can join in I'll choose -1.4 please :)


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on June 27, 2016, 09:04:36 PM
I haven't played before. But if anyone can join in I'll choose -1.4 please :)

rules are April 1st of 2016  and 30 posts .  I move the join date up every once in a while

but you joined last year and are good to go.
format is

-1.4 = gt_addict


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: gt_addict on June 27, 2016, 09:18:54 PM
I haven't played before. But if anyone can join in I'll choose -1.4 please :)

rules are April 1st of 2016  and 30 posts .  I move the join date up every once in a while

but you joined last year and are good to go.
format is

-1.4 = gt_addict

Duly noted and will format it correctly next time ;) thanks.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: ahmedjamal1998 on June 27, 2016, 09:50:07 PM
+3.8=ahmedjamal1998



Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on June 27, 2016, 10:00:37 PM

picks are open

-1.4 = gt_addict

-1.2 = philipma1957  as usual If i win I will roll it over.

-0.9 = edonkey

+0.2 = Erumara

+2.2 = Valkir

+2.4 = HagssFIN
+2.5 = HerbPean
+2.6 = VRobb

+3.0 = topiOleg

+3.2 = psi

+3.8 = ahmedjamal1998

+4.2 = fr4nkthetank

+4.7 = ezeminer


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: vapourminer on June 27, 2016, 11:08:08 PM
+5.5 = vapourminer


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on June 27, 2016, 11:11:31 PM

picks are open

-1.4 = gt_addict

-1.2 = philipma1957  as usual If i win I will roll it over.

-0.9 = edonkey

+0.2 = Erumara

+2.2 = Valkir

+2.4 = HagssFIN
+2.5 = HerbPean
+2.6 = VRobb

+3.0 = topiOleg

+3.2 = psi

+3.8 = ahmedjamal1998

+4.2 = fr4nkthetank

+4.7 = ezeminer
+5.5 = vapourminer


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: generalt on June 28, 2016, 02:23:24 AM
+1.8 = generalt


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on June 28, 2016, 02:27:03 AM

picks are open

-1.4 = gt_addict

-1.2 = philipma1957  as usual If i win I will roll it over.

-0.9 = edonkey

+0.2 = Erumara

+1.8 = generalt

+2.2 = Valkir

+2.4 = HagssFIN
+2.5 = HerbPean
+2.6 = VRobb

+3.0 = topiOleg

+3.2 = psi

+3.8 = ahmedjamal1998

+4.2 = fr4nkthetank

+4.7 = ezeminer
+5.5 = vapourminer


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: veves1 on June 28, 2016, 04:39:18 AM
+1.5 = Veves1


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: slastar on June 28, 2016, 05:18:03 AM
+0.6 = slastar


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: lindin99 on June 28, 2016, 05:40:41 AM
+0.5 = Lindin99


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: NeuroticFish on June 28, 2016, 06:54:45 AM
-0.1 = NeuroticFish


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: indiemax on June 28, 2016, 07:37:37 AM
I think someone might test his new gear or...... not  :D

+6.6  = indiemax     ;D


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on June 28, 2016, 07:51:40 AM
picks are open

-1.4 = gt_addict

-1.2 = philipma1957  as usual If i win I will roll it over.

-0.9 = edonkey
-0.1 = NeuroticFish
+0.2 = Erumara
+0.5 = Lindin99
+0.6 = slastar
+1.5 = Veves1
+1.8 = generalt

+2.2 = Valkir

+2.4 = HagssFIN
+2.5 = HerbPean
+2.6 = VRobb

+3.0 = topiOleg

+3.2 = psi

+3.8 = ahmedjamal1998

+4.2 = fr4nkthetank

+4.7 = ezeminer
+5.5 = vapourminer
+6.6  = indiemax


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   209,453,158,595

Estimated Next Difficulty:   212,911,345,494 (+1.65%)
Adjust time:   After 1002 Blocks, About 7.0 days   >>> picks end at 716


Hashrate(?):   1,577,922,826 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.1 minutes
3 blocks: 30.1 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   


btc = 652 usd

as a heads up  this is my main source of funds for the contest

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=877765.msg15376673#msg15376673

so far it is 4 days late.

I will still run contest until august 1 -3    if this source dies.

So that would be 3 jumps
 July 4
 July 18
August 1

He has always paid me but once in a while he has been late.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: NeuroticFish on June 28, 2016, 08:41:17 AM
as a heads up  this is my main source of funds for the contest

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=877765.msg15376673#msg15376673

so far it is 4 days late.

I will still run contest until august 1 -3    if this source dies.

So that would be 3 jumps
 July 4
 July 18
August 1

He has always paid me but once in a while he has been late.

While I agree that lately the payment problems come more and more often, I've had payments even more than one week late, but they came.
So I'm not worried, this contest will have funds for more than that ;)


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: merelcoin on June 28, 2016, 08:42:54 AM
+0.7 =  Merelcoin
Hoping for a very slight raise this time :)


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: RichBC on June 28, 2016, 08:53:24 AM
So we are about half way through this Difficulty Period and the rate is gradually pushing up towards Zero. Yesterday was +2.08% with 147 Blocks and the Run Rate is at -1%. Relatively uncharted Territory with the Halving so close, so I suspect that a wide range of results are still possible.  :)


Rich



Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on June 28, 2016, 12:17:25 PM
picks are open

-1.4 = gt_addict

-1.2 = philipma1957  as usual If i win I will roll it over.

-0.9 = edonkey
-0.1 = NeuroticFish
+0.2 = Erumara
+0.5 = Lindin99
+0.6 = slastar
+0.7 =  Merelcoin
+1.5 = Veves1
+1.8 = generalt

+2.2 = Valkir

+2.4 = HagssFIN
+2.5 = HerbPean
+2.6 = VRobb

+3.0 = topiOleg

+3.2 = psi

+3.8 = ahmedjamal1998

+4.2 = fr4nkthetank

+4.7 = ezeminer
+5.5 = vapourminer
+6.6  = indiemax


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty



Bitcoin Difficulty:   209,453,158,595

Estimated Next Difficulty:   212,680,503,492 (+1.54%)
Adjust time:   After 977 Blocks, About 6.8 days >>> picking ends at block 716


Hashrate(?):   1,550,552,859 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.1 minutes
3 blocks: 30.2 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   8:15 (3.1 minutes ago)




Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: blindminer on June 28, 2016, 01:08:53 PM
+3.6 = blindminer


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on June 28, 2016, 01:10:40 PM

picks are open

-1.4 = gt_addict

-1.2 = philipma1957  as usual If i win I will roll it over.

-0.9 = edonkey
-0.1 = NeuroticFish
+0.2 = Erumara
+0.5 = Lindin99
+0.6 = slastar
+0.7 =  Merelcoin
+1.5 = Veves1
+1.8 = generalt

+2.2 = Valkir

+2.4 = HagssFIN
+2.5 = HerbPean
+2.6 = VRobb

+3.0 = topiOleg

+3.2 = psi
+3.6 = blindminer
+3.8 = ahmedjamal1998

+4.2 = fr4nkthetank

+4.7 = ezeminer
+5.5 = vapourminer
+6.6  = indiemax





Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: pogress on June 28, 2016, 03:13:52 PM
+2.3 = pogress

I expect slightly positive increase, we started bellow difficulty target, but now last few days around +2%.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on June 28, 2016, 03:45:08 PM


picks are open

-1.4 = gt_addict

-1.2 = philipma1957  as usual If i win I will roll it over.

-0.9 = edonkey
-0.1 = NeuroticFish
+0.2 = Erumara
+0.5 = Lindin99
+0.6 = slastar
+0.7 =  Merelcoin
+1.5 = Veves1
+1.8 = generalt

+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = pogress
+2.4 = HagssFIN
+2.5 = HerbPean
+2.6 = VRobb

+3.0 = topiOleg

+3.2 = psi
+3.6 = blindminer
+3.8 = ahmedjamal1998

+4.2 = fr4nkthetank

+4.7 = ezeminer
+5.5 = vapourminer
+6.6  = indiemax






Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: vg54dett on June 28, 2016, 07:56:59 PM
+ 0.8 = vg54dett


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on June 28, 2016, 09:47:08 PM



picks are open

-1.4 = gt_addict

-1.2 = philipma1957  as usual If i win I will roll it over.

-0.9 = edonkey
-0.1 = NeuroticFish
+0.2 = Erumara

+0.5 = Lindin99
+0.6 = slastar
+0.7 =  Merelcoin
+0.8 = vg54dett

+1.5 = Veves1

+1.8 = generalt

+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = pogress
+2.4 = HagssFIN
+2.5 = HerbPean
+2.6 = VRobb

+3.0 = topiOleg

+3.2 = psi
+3.6 = blindminer
+3.8 = ahmedjamal1998

+4.2 = fr4nkthetank

+4.7 = ezeminer
+5.5 = vapourminer
+6.6  = indiemax






Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: lolxxxx on June 28, 2016, 09:49:32 PM
+2.8 = lolxxxx


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on June 28, 2016, 09:56:16 PM



picks are open

-1.4 = gt_addict

-1.2 = philipma1957  as usual If i win I will roll it over.

-0.9 = edonkey
-0.1 = NeuroticFish
+0.2 = Erumara

+0.5 = Lindin99
+0.6 = slastar
+0.7 =  Merelcoin
+0.8 = vg54dett

+1.5 = Veves1

+1.8 = generalt

+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = pogress
+2.4 = HagssFIN
+2.5 = HerbPean
+2.6 = VRobb
+2.8 = lolxxxx
+3.0 = topiOleg

+3.2 = psi
+3.6 = blindminer
+3.8 = ahmedjamal1998

+4.2 = fr4nkthetank

+4.7 = ezeminer
+5.5 = vapourminer
+6.6  = indiemax


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   209,453,158,595

Estimated Next Difficulty:   212,490,987,702 (+1.45%)
Adjust time:   After 918 Blocks, About 6.4 days

Hashrate(?):   1,522,928,495 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.1 minutes
3 blocks: 30.2 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   

we are going into positive I have us just about +1%


http://bitcoin.sipa.be/speed-thumbnail.png
http://bitcoin.sipa.be/speed-thumbnail.png


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: Mikestang on June 28, 2016, 10:49:53 PM
Looks like this period is trending toward ~0.  Little peak power came on but it looks to be going away again.  All seems too quiet for this close to the halving...


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: Kexkey on June 29, 2016, 02:32:23 AM
Looks like this period is trending toward ~0.  Little peak power came on but it looks to be going away again.  All seems too quiet for this close to the halving...

Seriously, it's hard to believe it's not artificially held around 0... I can't wait to see the hashrate explode right on halving!

I even wonder if the S9 will be worth the buy.  :(


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: Mikestang on June 29, 2016, 04:34:36 AM
I even wonder if the S9 will be worth the buy.  :(

With cheap power it's pretty halving-resistant.  It's got enough hash power and low enough electricity consumption that it will be a money maker for a while, especially if btc price keeps climbing.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: ajareselde on June 29, 2016, 11:42:09 AM
+1.1 = ajareselde


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: pusttiu on June 29, 2016, 11:53:57 AM
+3.3 = pusttiu


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on June 29, 2016, 01:08:31 PM
picks are open

-1.4 = gt_addict

-1.2 = philipma1957  as usual If i win I will roll it over.

-0.9 = edonkey
-0.1 = NeuroticFish
+0.2 = Erumara

+0.5 = Lindin99
+0.6 = slastar
+0.7 =  Merelcoin
+0.8 = vg54dett
+1.1 = ajareselde
+1.5 = Veves1

+1.8 = generalt

+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = pogress
+2.4 = HagssFIN
+2.5 = HerbPean
+2.6 = VRobb
+2.8 = lolxxxx
+3.0 = topiOleg

+3.2 = psi
+3.3 = pusttiu
+3.6 = blindminer
+3.8 = ahmedjamal1998

+4.2 = fr4nkthetank

+4.7 = ezeminer
+5.5 = vapourminer
+6.6  = indiemax


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   209,453,158,595

Estimated Next Difficulty:   212,501,289,183 (+1.46%)
Adjust time:   After 828 Blocks, About 5.8 days >>>>> picks will stop at 716


Hashrate(?):   1,514,473,857 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.1 minutes
3 blocks: 30.1 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   9:5 (2.9 minutes ago)









http://bitcoin.sipa.be/speed-thumbnail.png
http://bitcoin.sipa.be/speed-thumbnail.png


off topic
For real world  my kitchen is fully gutted.  
I may show a few photos of it.

before the gutting June  16th

https://i.imgur.com/tYSoNl9.png

gutted June 17
https://i.imgur.com/wO16OIV.png

https://i.imgur.com/wP7I5Iz.jpg

https://i.imgur.com/7JV0cmP.jpg

https://i.imgur.com/whAV4d1.jpg


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: Cuidler on June 29, 2016, 03:35:07 PM
I even wonder if the S9 will be worth the buy.  :(

With cheap power it's pretty halving-resistant.  It's got enough hash power and low enough electricity consumption that it will be a money maker for a while, especially if btc price keeps climbing.

With low electricity cost, S9 should be profitable next year as well because not much more power effecient equipment is planned anytime soon, but you should pay only the right BTC so you can realistically mine the Bitcoin back preferably in about half of a year to be safe.

And predicting longterm difficulty is not easy, so you might end up mining the BTC you paid much longer, but obviously you can sell the S9 as well for Bitcoin (but if the price goes up it might be not much BTC anymore). Its risky, but its fun and you can turn Bitcoin profit.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on June 29, 2016, 04:06:28 PM
picks are open

-1.4 = gt_addict

-1.2 = philipma1957  as usual If i win I will roll it over.

-0.9 = edonkey
-0.1 = NeuroticFish
+0.2 = Erumara

+0.5 = Lindin99
+0.6 = slastar
+0.7 =  Merelcoin
+0.8 = vg54dett
+1.1 = ajareselde
+1.5 = Veves1
+1.7 = Cuidler
+1.8 = generalt

+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = pogress
+2.4 = HagssFIN
+2.5 = HerbPean
+2.6 = VRobb
+2.8 = lolxxxx
+3.0 = topiOleg

+3.2 = psi
+3.3 = pusttiu
+3.6 = blindminer
+3.8 = ahmedjamal1998

+4.2 = fr4nkthetank

+4.7 = ezeminer
+5.5 = vapourminer
+6.6  = indiemax


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   209,453,158,595

Estimated Next Difficulty:   212,294,087,347 (+1.36%)
Adjust time:   After 812 Blocks, About 5.7 days  >>>> 716 and picks end


Hashrate(?):   1,503,999,240 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.1 minutes
3 blocks: 30.1 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   12:5 (1.9 minutes ago)








http://bitcoin.sipa.be/speed-thumbnail.png



off topic taper came in to finish sheetrock in the kitchen

https://i.imgur.com/Bgb7N6Q.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/weNC3Ui.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/P8Rzdvp.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/4jKlsJZ.jpg


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: Mikestang on June 29, 2016, 05:41:42 PM
+1.9% = Mikestang


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on June 29, 2016, 05:44:50 PM

picks are open

-1.4 = gt_addict

-1.2 = philipma1957  as usual If i win I will roll it over.

-0.9 = edonkey
-0.1 = NeuroticFish

+0.2 = Erumara

+0.5 = Lindin99
+0.6 = slastar
+0.7 =  Merelcoin
+0.8 = vg54dett

+1.1 = ajareselde

+1.5 = Veves1

+1.7 = Cuidler
+1.8 = generalt
+1.9 = Mikestang

+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = pogress
+2.4 = HagssFIN
+2.5 = HerbPean
+2.6 = VRobb

+2.8 = lolxxxx

+3.0 = topiOleg

+3.2 = psi
+3.3 = pusttiu

+3.6 = blindminer
+3.8 = ahmedjamal1998

+4.2 = fr4nkthetank


+4.7 = ezeminer

+5.5 = vapourminer

+6.6  = indiemax


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   209,453,158,595

Estimated Next Difficulty:   211,496,989,802 (+0.98%)
Adjust time:   After 807 Blocks, About 5.7 days >>>> picking ends at 716

Hashrate(?):   1,487,381,773 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.1 minutes
3 blocks: 30.3 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   13:45 (1.3 minutes ago)





Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: wpt1wpt1 on June 29, 2016, 06:00:42 PM
+1.2 = wpt1wpt1

please


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: ingiltere on June 29, 2016, 08:28:01 PM
+1.3 = ingiltere
Good luck everybody.
Bitcoin Difficulty:   209,453,158,595
Estimated Next Difficulty:   212,169,016,368 (+1.30%)
Adjust time:   After 787 Blocks, About 5.5 days
Hashrate(?):   1,509,155,580 GH/s


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: ATguy on June 29, 2016, 09:13:39 PM

+1.4 = ATguy

Why you doing kitchen reconstruction? Its just wiring? Because  the 16th Jun pre gutting kitchen image looks pretty good (except the fridge taking too much space)


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: mybannedaccount on June 29, 2016, 09:33:10 PM
+2.9 = tss


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: zebedee on June 29, 2016, 09:57:42 PM
+0.4 = zebedee


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on June 30, 2016, 12:06:20 AM


picks are open

-1.4 = gt_addict

-1.2 = philipma1957  as usual If i win I will roll it over.

-0.9 = edonkey
-0.1 = NeuroticFish

+0.2 = Erumara

+0.4 = zebedee
+0.5 = Lindin99
+0.6 = slastar
+0.7 =  Merelcoin
+0.8 = vg54dett

+1.1 = ajareselde
+1.2 = wpt1wpt1
+1.3 = ingiltere
+1.4 = ATguy
+1.5 = Veves1

+1.7 = Cuidler
+1.8 = generalt
+1.9 = Mikestang
+2.0 = DanDan

+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = pogress
+2.4 = HagssFIN
+2.5 = HerbPean
+2.6 = VRobb

+2.8 = lolxxxx
+2.9 = tss
+3.0 = topiOleg

+3.2 = psi
+3.3 = pusttiu

+3.6 = blindminer
+3.8 = ahmedjamal1998

+4.2 = fr4nkthetank


+4.7 = ezeminer

+5.5 = vapourminer

+6.6  = indiemax


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   209,453,158,595

Estimated Next Difficulty:   214,473,755,260 (+2.40%)
Adjust time:   After 756 Blocks, About 5.2 days <<<< 40 blocks to 716!

Hashrate(?):   1,549,201,853 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.9 minutes
3 blocks: 29.6 minutes
6 blocks: 59.2 minutes
Updated:









Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: leowonderful on June 30, 2016, 01:05:13 AM
+ 1.6
Playing it safe this time, no 30% increase with bitcoin going to 3 million a coin. :)


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on June 30, 2016, 01:59:22 AM


picks are open

-1.4 = gt_addict

-1.2 = philipma1957  as usual If i win I will roll it over.

-0.9 = edonkey
-0.1 = NeuroticFish

+0.2 = Erumara

+0.4 = zebedee
+0.5 = Lindin99
+0.6 = slastar
+0.7 =  Merelcoin
+0.8 = vg54dett

+1.1 = ajareselde
+1.2 = wpt1wpt1
+1.3 = ingiltere
+1.4 = ATguy
+1.5 = Veves1
+1.6 = leowonderful
+1.7 = Cuidler
+1.8 = generalt
+1.9 = Mikestang
+2.0 = DanDan

+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = pogress
+2.4 = HagssFIN
+2.5 = HerbPean
+2.6 = VRobb

+2.8 = lolxxxx
+2.9 = tss
+3.0 = topiOleg

+3.2 = psi
+3.3 = pusttiu

+3.6 = blindminer
+3.8 = ahmedjamal1998

+4.2 = fr4nkthetank


+4.7 = ezeminer

+5.5 = vapourminer

+6.6  = indiemax


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   209,453,158,595

Estimated Next Difficulty:   214,573,430,155 (+2.44%)
Adjust time:   After 744 Blocks, About 5.1 days >>>> 716 comes in 28 blocks picking will end.


Hashrate(?):   1,537,705,734 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.6 minutes
6 blocks: 59.1 minutes
Updated:   21:55 (3.5 minutes ago)


Off topic


+1.4 = ATguy

Why you doing kitchen reconstruction? Its just wiring? Because  the 16th Jun pre gutting kitchen image looks pretty good (except the fridge taking too much space)


   The kitchen was 44 years old.  Had some semi-repairs here and there.
The fridge was a pulled out and does fit better. My wife and I are retired we both like to cook.  She always wanted a hi-end kitchen.  So since she has been really good about my world of BTC since I kind of always wanted a really nice kitchen.  Since we are over 55 yrs old we said f-it we will spurge. 

  So we are doing 3 major upgrades to the houses 
1) All new sliding doors and a new front storm door. -- Done
2) The kitchen ----- working on it
3) Two bathrooms and the master bedroom closets. ----- In October





Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: Brob12321 on June 30, 2016, 02:20:57 AM
+3.5 = Brob12321


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on June 30, 2016, 02:35:22 AM



picks are open

-1.4 = gt_addict

-1.2 = philipma1957  as usual If i win I will roll it over.

-0.9 = edonkey
-0.1 = NeuroticFish

+0.2 = Erumara

+0.4 = zebedee
+0.5 = Lindin99
+0.6 = slastar
+0.7 =  Merelcoin
+0.8 = vg54dett

+1.1 = ajareselde
+1.2 = wpt1wpt1
+1.3 = ingiltere
+1.4 = ATguy
+1.5 = Veves1
+1.6 = leowonderful
+1.7 = Cuidler
+1.8 = generalt
+1.9 = Mikestang
+2.0 = DanDan

+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = pogress
+2.4 = HagssFIN
+2.5 = HerbPean
+2.6 = VRobb

+2.8 = lolxxxx
+2.9 = tss
+3.0 = topiOleg

+3.2 = psi
+3.3 = pusttiu

+3.5 = Brob12321
+3.6 = blindminer

+3.8 = ahmedjamal1998

+4.2 = fr4nkthetank


+4.7 = ezeminer

+5.5 = vapourminer

+6.6  = indiemax


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty





Bitcoin Difficulty:   209,453,158,595

Estimated Next Difficulty:   214,862,129,378 (+2.58%)
Adjust time:   After 740 Blocks, About 5.1 days >>>>>>>>>> 24 blocks to 716  get your picks in!



Hashrate(?):   1,532,088,719 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.4 minutes
6 blocks: 58.9 minutes
Updated:   


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: Kexkey on June 30, 2016, 03:39:59 AM
+4.0 = Kexkey

Thanks Phil!  :)


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on June 30, 2016, 03:57:14 AM
13 blocks then picks end.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on June 30, 2016, 04:43:36 AM

picks are open

-1.4 = gt_addict

-1.2 = philipma1957  as usual If i win I will roll it over.

-0.9 = edonkey
-0.1 = NeuroticFish

+0.2 = Erumara

+0.4 = zebedee
+0.5 = Lindin99
+0.6 = slastar
+0.7 =  Merelcoin
+0.8 = vg54dett

+1.1 = ajareselde
+1.2 = wpt1wpt1
+1.3 = ingiltere
+1.4 = ATguy
+1.5 = Veves1
+1.6 = leowonderful
+1.7 = Cuidler
+1.8 = generalt
+1.9 = Mikestang
+2.0 = DanDan

+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = pogress
+2.4 = HagssFIN
+2.5 = HerbPean
+2.6 = VRobb

+2.8 = lolxxxx
+2.9 = tss
+3.0 = topiOleg

+3.2 = psi
+3.3 = pusttiu

+3.5 = Brob12321
+3.6 = blindminer

+3.8 = ahmedjamal1998

+4.0 = Keykey

+4.2 = fr4nkthetank


+4.7 = ezeminer

+5.5 = vapourminer

+6.6  = indiemax


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty





Bitcoin Difficulty:   209,453,158,595

Estimated Next Difficulty:   214,682,065,221 (+2.50%)
Adjust time:   After 725 Blocks, About 5.0 days >>>>> 9 more blocks to go


Hashrate(?):   1,549,461,275 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.6 minutes
6 blocks: 59.1 minutes
Updated:   0:40 (4.0 minutes ago)



Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: alh on June 30, 2016, 05:00:37 AM
+2.7 = alh

Looks like BTC price is treading water in the range of about $630/coin. Going to be really difficult for it to hit $1000 by the halving (now about 10 days away) as some folks hoped.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on June 30, 2016, 05:16:19 AM

picks are open

-1.4 = gt_addict

-1.2 = philipma1957  as usual If i win I will roll it over.

-0.9 = edonkey
-0.1 = NeuroticFish

+0.2 = Erumara

+0.4 = zebedee
+0.5 = Lindin99
+0.6 = slastar
+0.7 =  Merelcoin
+0.8 = vg54dett

+1.1 = ajareselde
+1.2 = wpt1wpt1
+1.3 = ingiltere
+1.4 = ATguy
+1.5 = Veves1
+1.6 = leowonderful
+1.7 = Cuidler
+1.8 = generalt
+1.9 = Mikestang
+2.0 = DanDan

+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = pogress
+2.4 = HagssFIN
+2.5 = HerbPean
+2.6 = VRobb
+2.7 = alh
+2.8 = lolxxxx
+2.9 = tss
+3.0 = topiOleg

+3.2 = psi
+3.3 = pusttiu

+3.5 = Brob12321
+3.6 = blindminer

+3.8 = ahmedjamal1998

+4.0 = Keykey

+4.2 = fr4nkthetank


+4.7 = ezeminer

+5.5 = vapourminer

+6.6  = indiemax


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty





Bitcoin Difficulty:   209,453,158,595

Bitcoin Difficulty:   209,453,158,595
Estimated Next Difficulty:   214,477,183,206 (+2.40%)


Adjust time:   After 722 Blocks, About 5.0 days >>>>>>   six blocks to go 716  is coming up


Hashrate(?):   1,546,717,921 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.9 minutes
3 blocks: 29.6 minutes
6 blocks: 59.2 minutes
Updated:   1:10 (5.1 minutes ago)



We have quite a few numbers left to pick from.
418607 at 137 am east coast time leave us with 5 blocks to picks ending.

418612   will mark the end of picks for this round.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: alfacro on June 30, 2016, 05:43:03 AM
+3.1 = alfacro


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: RichBC on June 30, 2016, 05:45:26 AM
Just up in the UK and a bit closer to the end than I intended.  :) I suspect the end result depends a lot on whether we will see the spike in the next few days? I am going to gamble on there being no spike.

+0.3 = RichBC


Thanks


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on June 30, 2016, 05:45:42 AM
picks are open

-1.4 = gt_addict

-1.2 = philipma1957  as usual If i win I will roll it over.

-0.9 = edonkey
-0.1 = NeuroticFish

+0.2 = Erumara
+0.3 = RichBC
+0.4 = zebedee
+0.5 = Lindin99
+0.6 = slastar
+0.7 =  Merelcoin
+0.8 = vg54dett

+1.1 = ajareselde
+1.2 = wpt1wpt1
+1.3 = ingiltere
+1.4 = ATguy
+1.5 = Veves1
+1.6 = leowonderful
+1.7 = Cuidler
+1.8 = generalt
+1.9 = Mikestang
+2.0 = DanDan

+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = pogress
+2.4 = HagssFIN
+2.5 = HerbPean
+2.6 = VRobb
+2.7 = alh
+2.8 = lolxxxx
+2.9 = tss
+3.0 = topiOleg
+3.1 = alfacro
+3.2 = psi
+3.3 = pusttiu

+3.5 = Brob12321
+3.6 = blindminer

+3.8 = ahmedjamal1998

+4.0 = Keykey

+4.2 = fr4nkthetank


+4.7 = ezeminer

+5.5 = vapourminer

+6.6  = indiemax


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   209,453,158,595

Estimated Next Difficulty:   214,057,670,140 (+2.20%)
Adjust time:   After 721 Blocks, About 5.0 days  >>>>>>>>>>we end at 716

Hashrate(?):   1,538,290,056 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.9 minutes
3 blocks: 29.7 minutes
6 blocks: 59.4 minutes
Update








We have quite a few numbers left to pick from.
418608 at 157 am  I am done for the night  4 blocks left
418607 at 137 am east coast time leave us with 5 blocks to picks ending.

418612  


 will mark the end of picks for this round.  and I will check the time on it.  since I have had more then a few try to go over the last few times.  RichBC  if you notice when we get to 716 AKA block 418612

please note time on that.  thanks phil


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: ATguy on June 30, 2016, 08:21:18 AM
We have quite a few numbers left to pick from.
418608 at 157 am  I am done for the night  4 blocks left
418607 at 137 am east coast time leave us with 5 blocks to picks ending.

418612 


 will mark the end of picks for this round.  and I will check the time on it.  since I have had more then a few try to go over the last few times.  RichBC  if you notice when we get to 716 AKA block 418612

please note time on that.  thanks phil


Bitcoin Difficulty:   209,453,158,595
Estimated Next Difficulty:    213,551,788,680 (+1.96%)
Adjust time:    After 709 Blocks, About 4.9 days

Most recent block is 418619
https://blockchain.info/block/000000000000000004edb00e2bab18497ac72cb86fe3262e227f4bf208a0c3f7

Bit late, but no one posted new prediction anyway.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are open!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: RichBC on June 30, 2016, 08:53:40 AM


418612  


 will mark the end of picks for this round.  and I will check the time on it.  since I have had more then a few try to go over the last few times.  RichBC  if you notice when we get to 716 AKA block 418612

please note time on that.  thanks phil



Block 418612 was found at 06:57:55 so the wait begins....

The next period with halving part way through will be interesting.  ;D


Rich



Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are closed!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on June 30, 2016, 11:50:52 AM
picks are open

-1.4 = gt_addict

-1.2 = philipma1957  as usual If i win I will roll it over.

-0.9 = edonkey
-0.1 = NeuroticFish

+0.2 = Erumara
+0.3 = RichBC
+0.4 = zebedee
+0.5 = Lindin99
+0.6 = slastar
+0.7 =  Merelcoin
+0.8 = vg54dett

+1.1 = ajareselde
+1.2 = wpt1wpt1
+1.3 = ingiltere
+1.4 = ATguy
+1.5 = Veves1
+1.6 = leowonderful
+1.7 = Cuidler
+1.8 = generalt
+1.9 = Mikestang
+2.0 = DanDan

+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = pogress
+2.4 = HagssFIN
+2.5 = HerbPean
+2.6 = VRobb
+2.7 = alh
+2.8 = lolxxxx
+2.9 = tss
+3.0 = topiOleg
+3.1 = alfacro
+3.2 = psi
+3.3 = pusttiu

+3.5 = Brob12321
+3.6 = blindminer

+3.8 = ahmedjamal1998

+4.0 = Keykey

+4.2 = fr4nkthetank


+4.7 = ezeminer

+5.5 = vapourminer

+6.6  = indiemax


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   209,453,158,595

Estimated Next Difficulty:   214,057,670,140 (+2.20%)
Adjust time:   After 721 Blocks, About 5.0 days  >>>>>>>>>>we end at 716

Hashrate(?):   1,538,290,056 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.9 minutes
3 blocks: 29.7 minutes
6 blocks: 59.4 minutes
Update








We have quite a few numbers left to pick from.
418608 at 157 am  I am done for the night  4 blocks left
418607 at 137 am east coast time leave us with 5 blocks to picks ending.

418612  


 will mark the end of picks for this round.  and I will check the time on it.  since I have had more then a few try to go over the last few times.  RichBC  if you notice when we get to 716 AKA block 418612

please note time on that.  thanks phil

Final picks above.

At RichBC and ATguy thanks for time check


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   209,453,158,595
Estimated Next Difficulty:   214,205,270,178 (+2.27%)
Adjust time:   After 684 Blocks, About 4.7 days
Hashrate(?):   1,533,280,389 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.9 minutes
3 blocks: 29.6 minutes
6 blocks: 59.3 minutes
Updated:   7:50 (3.0 minutes ago)



Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are closed!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: notlist3d on June 30, 2016, 05:16:36 PM
Exciting day to watch the value so far.  In past 24 hours we had low of mid 430's and currently on coinbase at low 670's and pointed up! http://www.coindesk.com/price/

I would love to see it go up to 700 again, would be nice to hit it again.   Hard to say if we get that lucky though.  Add that to bitwisdom showing a low difficulty change this period is starting to look pretty good.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are closed!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on July 01, 2016, 02:52:07 AM
Final picks below

-1.4 = gt_addict

-1.2 = philipma1957  as usual If i win I will roll it over.

-0.9 = edonkey
-0.1 = NeuroticFish

+0.2 = Erumara
+0.3 = RichBC
+0.4 = zebedee
+0.5 = Lindin99
+0.6 = slastar
+0.7 =  Merelcoin
+0.8 = vg54dett

+1.1 = ajareselde
+1.2 = wpt1wpt1
+1.3 = ingiltere
+1.4 = ATguy
+1.5 = Veves1
+1.6 = leowonderful
+1.7 = Cuidler
+1.8 = generalt
+1.9 = Mikestang
+2.0 = DanDan

+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = pogress
+2.4 = HagssFIN
+2.5 = HerbPean
+2.6 = VRobb
+2.7 = alh
+2.8 = lolxxxx
+2.9 = tss
+3.0 = topiOleg
+3.1 = alfacro
+3.2 = psi
+3.3 = pusttiu

+3.5 = Brob12321
+3.6 = blindminer

+3.8 = ahmedjamal1998

+4.0 = Keykey

+4.2 = fr4nkthetank


+4.7 = ezeminer

+5.5 = vapourminer

+6.6  = indiemax

Headed up

http://bitcoin.sipa.be/speed-thumbnail.png

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   209,453,158,595
Estimated Next Difficulty:   216,665,427,946 (+3.44%)
Adjust time:   After 584 Blocks, About 3.9 days
Hashrate(?):   1,571,976,018 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.7 minutes
3 blocks: 29.1 minutes
6 blocks: 58.2 minutes
Updated:   22:45 (6.5 minutes ago)


We may get to a +4% level this jump








Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are closed!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: alh on July 01, 2016, 06:31:17 AM
So has the "Mysterious 300PH" surfaced again? Just like would be written in a Prospectus for offering stock in a company:

A wide of outcomes are possible......

Bitcoin Difficulty:    209,453,158,595
Estimated Next Difficulty:    218,346,806,697 (+4.25%)
Adjust time:    After 556 Blocks, About 3.7 days
Hashrate(?):    1,589,005,166 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):    
1 block: 9.5 minutes
3 blocks: 28.6 minutes
6 blocks: 57.1 minutes
   
Updated:    1:25 (6.5 minutes ago)


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are closed!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: RichBC on July 01, 2016, 07:17:29 AM
Hmm well so much for my thinking we might not see a spike this period.... Spike in progress. I think we might see +2% to +3% but as alh says wide range of outcomes possible.


Rich



Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are closed!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on July 01, 2016, 12:30:51 PM
The spike has come and gone since last November.  Although in Jan- Feb   it lasted about 20 days in a row.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are closed!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: TheYankeesWin! on July 02, 2016, 11:34:16 AM
I missed a  play and I am watching difficulty rate it is under 4%  and coins are closer to 700.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are closed!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on July 02, 2016, 11:35:25 AM
Just woke up and we are at 378 blocks left to the adjustment period.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   209,453,158,595

Estimated Next Difficulty:   217,651,692,775 (+3.91%)
Adjust time:   After 378 Blocks, About 2.5 days

Hashrate(?):   1,577,829,475 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.6 minutes
6 blocks: 57.3 minutes
Updated:   7:35 (1.0 minutes ago)

Spike was huge about 500ph

http://bitcoin.sipa.be/speed-thumbnail.png

coinbase is at $694  now I can see a big move coming soon.

     What does worry me is the ½ ing may not drop hashrate.
  I see 300 to 500 ph going offline,but  I think the spike could be that 300 to 500 ph. I really do hope  to see a 20%-30% drop


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are closed!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: fr4nkthetank on July 02, 2016, 03:40:59 PM
"What does worry me is the ½ ing may not drop hashrate.
  I see 300 to 500 ph going offline,but  I think the spike could be that 300 to 500 ph. I really do hope  to see a 20%-30% "


I have the strangest feeling hashrate wont drop either...imo it will just keep going, and going, and going.  probably will stabilize at some point (end of the summer).  idk so many factors here, the halving, probably no new hardware for a little while, and imminent huge btc bubble in autumn :)


by the way that diff is getting close to my pick....GO DIFF GO


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are closed!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: Kexkey on July 02, 2016, 04:26:46 PM
"What does worry me is the ½ ing may not drop hashrate.
  I see 300 to 500 ph going offline,but  I think the spike could be that 300 to 500 ph. I really do hope  to see a 20%-30% "


I have the strangest feeling hashrate wont drop either...imo it will just keep going, and going, and going.  probably will stabilize at some point (end of the summer).  idk so many factors here, the halving, probably no new hardware for a little while, and imminent huge btc bubble in autumn :)


by the way that diff is getting close to my pick....GO DIFF GO

My bet is it will tripple very quickly.

Phil, you remember the spike at 2200 PH/s (+1000 PH/s in one day) on May 23rd?  Well, that was probably only one manufacturer (Bitmain?) testing their new gear.  Now when they (Bitmain, Bitfury, BW, even maybe KNC despite the bankrupt, who knows?) are going to go online after the halving, minus all the small ones unplugging their gear... I'm pretty sure hashrate will go up significantly.

But hey, that's only speculation... ;)

NB: That's actually good news for Bitcoin security.



Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are closed!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: NeuroticFish on July 02, 2016, 10:27:58 PM
The price jumped quite good too, so the hashrate may just go even higher. Unexpectedly higher....


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are closed!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: notlist3d on July 03, 2016, 12:31:46 AM
Boy would be something to see it move over 1000.  Diff would truly jump.


we are at 704 usd

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   209,453,158,595

Estimated Next Difficulty:   215,645,748,461 (+2.96%)
Adjust time:   After 303 Blocks, About 2.0 days

Hashrate(?):   1,624,276,291 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.7 minutes
3 blocks: 28.9 minutes
6 blocks: 57.9 minutes
Updated:   19:50 (2.7 minutes ago)


I would love to keep seeing it go up.   To see 1K again would be amazing and great for miner's I personally think.   But still a way's from it.  But fun to think/dream about.

The interesting thing is with all the spike in price we might not see as much "old" gear drop off depending on electricity price and what the gear is.  Assuming they can mine profitable. 


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are closed!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: alh on July 03, 2016, 07:05:31 PM
While I expect most of us would like to see a run at $1000/coin, that doesn't seem likely at the moment. For whatever the reason, Coindesk is showing BTC at about $659. Looks like too much "resistance" at the $700 level for now.

One the brighter side:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    209,453,158,595
Estimated Next Difficulty:    214,455,139,579 (+2.39%)
Adjust time:    After 183 Blocks, About 1.2 days
Hashrate(?):    1,565,965,686 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):    
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.9 minutes
6 blocks: 57.8 minutes
   
Updated:    14:0 (4.3 minutes ago)

While my particular preference is for +2.75%, this is pretty good otherwise.  :)


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are closed!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: HagssFIN on July 03, 2016, 07:28:30 PM
Damn I'm close at the moment, we'll see what's the final adjustment..


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are closed!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: RichBC on July 04, 2016, 06:48:27 AM
So we are in the final day of the last full period before the halving. Period to date run rate with about 18 Hours to go is at +1.12% and means we will land somewhere between +1.0% & +1.75%.


Rich




Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are closed!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: NeuroticFish on July 04, 2016, 08:29:57 AM
The price jumped quite good too, so the hashrate may just go even higher. Unexpectedly higher....

Were at 700 on coinbase so fun to watch there.  There does appear to be some resistance at 700 suppose maybe some sell wall's.  But we fought through the 690's which was fun to watch.  In 24 hours going from high 670's to around 700 now is a good day.  If we can break through 700 a little way's will be a even better day.   

I would love to see over 700 as new base, but even 700 as new base is still exciting.  I still love coindesk to watch http://www.coindesk.com/price/ .  Compare multiple sites and easy to use.

I'd also like 700 as a new base, but 670 looks much more likely. The 700 value was helped by the week-end. 670 is not that bad either...
I'm very curious what will happen at / after halving. Did many keep their BTC for a dump, or will people keep their money and the market will behave just as nothing happened (hmm)?


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are closed!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: ATguy on July 04, 2016, 03:41:05 PM
I'm very curious what will happen at / after halving. Did many keep their BTC for a dump, or will people keep their money and the market will behave just as nothing happened (hmm)?

When I read the halving threads I believe many just sell weeks after halving, and I dont expect higher price, probably even slightly lower price if people really going to sell after figuring out halving did not initiated the bubble to much higher Bitcoin prices.


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are closed!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: RichBC on July 04, 2016, 08:24:03 PM
About a Dozen Blocks to go. I think we will see +1.9% or +2.0% Amazing that you could make a Pick now and be wrong.....  ;D


Rich


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are closed!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: topiOleg on July 04, 2016, 09:14:41 PM
all have a chance of some kind.

Few fast blocks and maybe my +3.0 prediction could hit, but not much hope. It seems we could end between +2.0 and +2.6 instead, not too bad from miners perspective

Bitcoin Difficulty:    209,453,158,595
Estimated Next Difficulty:    214,353,159,006 (+2.34%)
Adjust time:    After 8 Blocks, About 1.3 hours


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are closed!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: Kexkey on July 05, 2016, 02:34:00 AM
Congrats generalt!

That was hard to predict!  :)

Next difficulty change will be after the halving!  :D


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are closed!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: generalt on July 05, 2016, 03:14:12 AM
Awesome!  Thanks Phil and all.  The BTC address in my signature is fine!


Title: Re: Diff thread june 20 to july 4 -picks are closed!.... prize = $50 usd
Post by: philipma1957 on July 05, 2016, 03:20:12 AM
Awesome!  Thanks Phil and all.  The BTC address in my signature is fine!




Sent via coinbase.


https://blockchain.info/tx/adbc511ecc2033da8ace8619240190ac608704f9d31c9056db00cc0d5a6b6cbd


Thread is locked.


new thread below:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1538811.0