Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: massivebitman on July 12, 2013, 04:16:20 AM



Title: Oversold? Nah... It's a dead cat bounce..
Post by: massivebitman on July 12, 2013, 04:16:20 AM
Wait and see.


Title: Re: Oversold? Nah... It's a dead cat bounce..
Post by: Frozenlock on July 12, 2013, 04:20:04 AM
I'll just leave this here.

Quick update on proceedings. When will the trend be broken? The price seems unaffected by what is happening in the world instead just gradually deflates. The profit takers certainly are hard at work and make good use of it.
https://i.minus.com/jb2fcHCgEJspoT.jpg


Title: Re: Oversold? Nah... It's a dead cat bounce..
Post by: vokain on July 12, 2013, 04:43:54 AM
when bitcoin was crashing in 2011 i thought bitcoin was over


Title: Re: Oversold? Nah... It's a dead cat bounce..
Post by: chufchuf on July 12, 2013, 04:46:13 AM
forget the graph, btc was artificially low for years. how you gonna compare a 2011 fundamentals with those of 2013 that are orders of magnitude more complicated, you you gonna look at a graph and say all that matters is the graph when its really the fundamentals of gox having issues with wires, answer is you're not


Title: Re: Oversold? Nah... It's a dead cat bounce..
Post by: vokain on July 12, 2013, 05:09:08 AM
hahahah fuck you this is making me rich. cat is made out of flubber!!!

+1  :D


Title: Re: Oversold? Nah... It's a dead cat bounce..
Post by: BitPirate on July 12, 2013, 05:17:01 AM
I'll just leave this here.

Quick update on proceedings. When will the trend be broken? The price seems unaffected by what is happening in the world instead just gradually deflates. The profit takers certainly are hard at work and make good use of it.
https://i.minus.com/jb2fcHCgEJspoT.jpg

Any top blue "trendline" just got broken through pretty decisively.

Cogitate on that. Cats have nine lives.


Title: Re: Oversold? Nah... It's a dead cat bounce..
Post by: BitPirate on July 12, 2013, 05:28:59 AM
I'll just leave this here.

Quick update on proceedings. When will the trend be broken? The price seems unaffected by what is happening in the world instead just gradually deflates. The profit takers certainly are hard at work and make good use of it.
https://i.minus.com/jb2fcHCgEJspoT.jpg

Any top blue "trendline" just got broken through pretty decisively.

Cogitate on that. Cats have nine lives.

How it did not cross the 100 point and now back to 95.  To cross the trendline it would have needed to hit ~105 per date location.

Because the line is a joke and doesn't go anywhere near $105 if the downtrend was to hold.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/RAwG89f6/

Sorry, on pretty much any downtrend channel you can draw, we broke through.

EDIT: You can see I drew the lines to make any downtrend channel as fair as possible.


Title: Re: Oversold? Nah... It's a dead cat bounce..
Post by: Frozenlock on July 12, 2013, 05:56:24 AM
Switch to logarithmic chart.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/axY4OCJR/

We'll see.


Title: Re: Oversold? Nah... It's a dead cat bounce..
Post by: vokain on July 12, 2013, 06:04:13 AM
"It didn't require a Sherlock Holmes to size up the situation."
reversal :)


Title: Re: Oversold? Nah... It's a dead cat bounce..
Post by: RyNinDaCleM on July 12, 2013, 06:21:24 AM
The line has not been touched yet! I'm not saying it won't, but it hasn't yet
SC > tradingview with point accuracy.
http://www.sierrachart.com/image.php?l=1373609947621.png


Title: Re: Oversold? Nah... It's a dead cat bounce..
Post by: gizmoh on July 12, 2013, 06:55:48 AM
Keyword: Is this sustainable?

Continuing stagnation of the USD (around $11 million) in the orderbooks, once coins supply increases to normal level and the big whales stop the pump,and start to dump, price gonna crash like a card game.

http://blockchained.com/depth_mtgox_15d.png


Title: Re: Oversold? Nah... It's a dead cat bounce..
Post by: notme on July 12, 2013, 06:57:30 AM
Doesn't look so bad from higher up:
http://blockchained.com/depth_mtgox.png


Title: Re: Oversold? Nah... It's a dead cat bounce..
Post by: vokain on July 12, 2013, 07:03:53 AM
Doesn't look so bad from higher up:
http://blockchained.com/depth_mtgox.png

this looks familiar *cue flashback to mar/apr, or rather, every rally yet*


Title: Re: Oversold? Nah... It's a dead cat bounce..
Post by: BitPirate on July 12, 2013, 09:01:14 AM
The line has not been touched yet! I'm not saying it won't, but it hasn't yet
SC > tradingview with point accuracy.
http://www.sierrachart.com/image.php?l=1373609947621.png


Don't need no point accuracy now... even with an old VGA CRT monitor -- channel is broken.


Title: Re: Oversold? Nah... It's a dead cat bounce..
Post by: bitleif on July 12, 2013, 09:28:15 AM
The only people who bet their future on random drawn lines are astrologers and asset traders.


Title: Re: Oversold? Nah... It's a dead cat bounce..
Post by: mmortal03 on July 12, 2013, 12:22:20 PM
The only people who bet their future on random drawn lines are astrologers and asset traders.

Unfortunately, if enough people believe in something in a market, it becomes part of the market psychology reality, and you have to price that in.


Title: Re: Oversold? Nah... It's a dead cat bounce..
Post by: RationalSpeculator on July 12, 2013, 12:55:34 PM
The only people who bet their future on random drawn lines are astrologers and asset traders.

lol :)


Title: Re: Oversold? Nah... It's a dead cat bounce..
Post by: RationalSpeculator on July 12, 2013, 12:56:02 PM
Unfortunately, if enough people believe in something in a market, it becomes part of the market psychology reality, and you have to price that in.

Wise words.


Title: Re: Oversold? Nah... It's a dead cat bounce..
Post by: vokain on July 12, 2013, 12:56:27 PM
The only people who bet their future on random drawn lines are astrologers and asset traders.

lol :)

“Millionaires don't use Astrology, billionaires do.”

lol :)


Title: Re: Oversold? Nah... It's a dead cat bounce..
Post by: RationalSpeculator on July 12, 2013, 12:58:34 PM
I'm surprised how many people believe this NOT to be a dead cat bounce.

This leads me to think we can go considerably higher on this rebound.

Sticking to my strategy to sell as it goes up though as I very much dislike the company of astrologers.


Title: Re: Oversold? Nah... It's a dead cat bounce..
Post by: ElectricMucus on July 12, 2013, 12:58:54 PM
The only people who bet their future on random drawn lines are astrologers and asset traders.

lol :)

“Millionaires don't use Astrology, billionaires do.”

lol :)

no


Title: Re: Oversold? Nah... It's a dead cat bounce..
Post by: Zangelbert Bingledack on July 12, 2013, 01:01:50 PM
The only people who bet their future on random drawn lines are astrologers and asset traders.

Unfortunately, if enough people believe in something in a market, it becomes part of the market psychology reality, and you have to price that in.

Yup, major trendline breakthrough functions as a Schelling point (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Focal_point_(game_theory)). So it has some definite, measurable influence. However, whales can do what they want. Still, statistically speaking, breaking such a trendline is significant.


Title: Re: Oversold? Nah... It's a dead cat bounce..
Post by: vokain on July 12, 2013, 01:05:43 PM
The only people who bet their future on random drawn lines are astrologers and asset traders.

lol :)

“Millionaires don't use Astrology, billionaires do.”

lol :)

no

it was just ironic because according to the internet JPM Sr. used astrologers and was an asset trader


Title: Re: Oversold? Nah... It's a dead cat bounce..
Post by: ElectricMucus on July 12, 2013, 01:09:21 PM
it was just ironic because according to the internet JPM used astrologers and was an asset trader

According to the internet they also like to LARP in the woods next to a stone owl.

Also do you know what's the most ironic thing there is?


Saying "Internet" on the Internet.


Title: Re: Oversold? Nah... It's a dead cat bounce..
Post by: vokain on July 12, 2013, 01:15:56 PM
it was just ironic because according to the internet JPM used astrologers and was an asset trader

According to the internet they also like to LARP in the woods next to a stone owl.

Also do you know what's the most ironic thing there is?


Saying "Internet" on the Internet.

hehe hey guy, I wrote "according to the internet" for comical reason, considering the dubious subject matter.


Title: Re: Oversold? Nah... It's a dead cat bounce..
Post by: candoo on July 12, 2013, 03:07:16 PM
It is a dead cat bounce. We're gonna see the bottom on saturday


Title: Re: Oversold? Nah... It's a dead cat bounce..
Post by: molecular on July 12, 2013, 03:17:45 PM
It is a dead cat bounce. We're gonna see the bottom on saturday

which saturday?


Title: Re: Oversold? Nah... It's a dead cat bounce..
Post by: BitSmile on July 12, 2013, 03:38:59 PM
It is a dead cat bounce. We're gonna see the bottom on saturday

which saturday?

One of next month's ones, 10th of August or 17th  8)