Title: Stats on the Rank pipeline - How many are we on the way to ranking up? extension
Post by: DdmrDdmr on April 17, 2018, 03:30:34 PM
Edit 19/04/2018:TheQuin asked if I could breakdown the data further, to allow us to see even deeper into how each one of us is in relation to next rank's objectives. Since both Activity and Merit are required, graphs need to consider both variables. I've appended the charts to the original post, at the end of this post (section number 5). ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- This past weekend, I managed to reach a goal I had set out to surpass, which is that of reaching the 100 Merit barrier ( :)) in a reasonable time, if possible before my activity caught up with the merit counter. I was fortunate enough to reach it just after two and a half months. Not bad, but certainly not effortless, and it does come at a cost in personal time. I thought I’d cool down a bit now, since my initial goal was reached, but then I started to see questions asked throughout the forum that I could try to help resolve. The latest that got me going was one related to rank scaling and merit. It got me wondering just how many people were on their way to rank up, but had not been able to do so yet due to either a lack of merit or activity. I’m not saying that the resulting numbers are good or bad, since that depends on overall forum objectives that consider quality of posts and content, spam reduction and reduction of account farming as the core aims, and have as a side effect a deceleration of ranking up. Besides, these numbers should ideally be compared to past data so see impact on ranking evolution. To cut a long story short, here are my findings: 1. Introduction:The universe of analysis is that of users that have received at least 1 Smerit up to the 13/04/2018 (latest merit.txt file). I've considered the natural ranks only, and amongst those, the ones that require Merit. Any user that has not received sMerit I have not considered, basically because I'd take a trillion days to get all their data. If you come to think of it, non-sMerited users have not managed (yet) to move a single step towards ranking up, so they have a long road ahead and are not in the Rank pipeline, at least not from a minimal dynamic point of view. https://i.imgur.com/OJBvRt0.jpgFrom the summary, which is broken-down further down, we can see that: * 48,78% of users are in need of sMerit to rank up to the next level (since the Activity level for the next level has been reached). * 1,94% of users have reached the next level in terms of Merit, but not Activity. This small select group need only post enough days to rank up. * 48,15% of users need both Merit and Activity to rank up. * 1,12% are what I think, are being considered for legendary as we'll see below. So in summary, nearly half of the users are ready to rank up but need to work on getting Merit. Therefore Merit takes it's toll, but it's there for a reason and those are the rules of the game now. Figure is rather high though objectively ... 2. Breakdown by Rank:Here's the breakdown by Rank. Each graph shows how many users ar waiting to rank up to the next level, and the motive. In the Heros to Legendary chart, I've created a category called "0. Being considered for Legendary". It represent those that have already got at least 1.000 Merit and at least 775 Activity (the range is formally 775-1030, but I'm considering the minimum for this excercise). The specific change of rank does not seem automatic, so I guess they have to be veted one by one. Heros I think started off with a 500 Merit airdrop. Nevertheless, there are quite a few that seem to have received 1.000 merit, probably because they are virtual Legends and are probably in consideration. I've created an overall category called "3. Soon may rank up to xxxxxxx" where xxxxx is the goal Rank. This category includes those users that are within 20% of the Merit requirement and at the same time, within 20% of the Activity requirement. That leaves "4. Not enough activity nor Merit to rank up to xxxxxxxx" for those outside the 20% window on both accounts. https://i.imgur.com/05M7VZh.jpg https://i.imgur.com/rpUbFW3.jpghttps://i.imgur.com/hMxEgUW.jpghttps://i.imgur.com/5d12rVc.jpghttps://i.imgur.com/OZrHCxv.jpghttps://i.imgur.com/jxObkya.jpg3. Who has got enough merit, but lacks activity?:These are on the fast track to ranking up. I've ordered the list by Rank and then by Merit /Posts. There are some strange cases though if you study the profiles. I looked through the Member segment one by one: * pafu -> Being a Member, started off with a 500 Merit airdrop instead of 10 (could be a bought account, but I thought there were no demotions..). -> https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=25731 * Technor -> Being a Member, started off with a 100 Merit airdrop instead of 10. ->https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1134109 * Husna QA -> Looks Ok. -> https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1827294 * kaar -> Looks Ok. -> https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1439008 * doudou1110 -> Looks weird -> 100 sMerits in only 5 small posts. -> https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1206752 * 55Domains -> Being a Member, started off with a 100 Merit airdrop instead of 10. -> https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=945408 * tam31 -> Being a Member, started off with a 100 Merit airdrop instead of 10. -> https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1138263 * DdmrDdmr -> Looks Ok ( ;)) -> https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1582324 * bitmover -> Looks Ok. -> https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1554927 * asche -> Weird: Nearly all Merit comes from Oscar2000 in ANN threads. -> https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1580039 Note: sorry about tabulation, can't seem to master it properly on this forum...rank name merit activity posts ratioMeritToPost url Sr. Member GameKyuubi 588 241 241 2.44 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=26945 Sr. Member saulzaents 501 434 872 0.57 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=944905 Sr. Member Hell-raiser 512 364 948 0.54 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=355801 Full Member explorder 446 238 280 1.59 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1108331 Full Member mfort312 296 232 232 1.28 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=182284 Full Member pitipawn 578 196 563 1.03 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1076869 Full Member pandukelana2712 253 168 420 0.60 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1304130 Full Member athanz88 310 238 731 0.42 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1141886 Full Member deeperx 305 140 759 0.40 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1038794 Full Member joniboini 298 168 790 0.38 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1275282 Member pafu 501 61 61 8.21 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=25731 Member Technor 105 77 77 1.36 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1134109 Member Husna QA 121 70 117 1.03 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1827294 Member kaar 115 112 113 1.02 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1439008 Member doudou1110 100 108 108 0.93 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1206752 Member 55Domains 107 116 116 0.92 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=945408 Member tam31 107 116 116 0.92 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1138263 Member DdmrDdmr 100 98 294 0.34 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1582324 ;) Member bitmover 130 84 448 0.29 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1554927 Member asche 106 112 511 0.21 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1580039 Jr. Member Dr.Mann 118 31 31 3.81 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1806854 Jr. Member _church 50 30 30 1.67 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1130764 Jr. Member Arczimedes 50 32 32 1.56 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=366535 Jr. Member btcnerdie 54 36 36 1.50 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=289275 Jr. Member gallisiardi 85 58 58 1.47 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1432750 Jr. Member monero 69 54 54 1.28 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=319826 Jr. Member swolf 48 38 38 1.26 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1121114 Jr. Member vizsafe 50 41 41 1.22 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1593656 Jr. Member Steepdev 60 53 53 1.13 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=769913 Jr. Member CornHub 60 57 57 1.05 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1163497 Jr. Member moonshoot 51 49 49 1.04 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1308930 Jr. Member thisisntbic 30 30 30 1.00 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1130992 Jr. Member BigBoozie 50 52 52 0.96 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=232828 Jr. Member truckinusa44 55 58 58 0.95 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1076349 Jr. Member FrozenChaos 50 53 53 0.94 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1227588 Jr. Member 485Burnt 32 35 35 0.91 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=262951 Jr. Member synace 28 33 33 0.85 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=204316 Jr. Member bwonwen2015 30 40 40 0.75 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=565692 Jr. Member Denver Dan 28 38 38 0.74 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1071247 Jr. Member gitinahang 30 43 43 0.70 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=229114 Jr. Member The Sound And Fury 20 30 30 0.67 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=403027 Jr. Member oririnaldi77 21 34 34 0.62 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=743475 Jr. Member lbassotto 21 34 34 0.62 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1864663 Jr. Member butka 49 42 81 0.60 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1938519 Jr. Member tomatoknight 21 37 37 0.57 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1105396 Jr. Member Token_King 17 30 30 0.57 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1893109 Jr. Member Random-String-Symphony 22 39 39 0.56 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1376519 Jr. Member Errror 25 48 48 0.52 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=234531 Jr. Member Coingump 35 56 68 0.51 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1712006 Jr. Member BitcoinZ Community 32 56 64 0.50 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1920236 Jr. Member Titus Maximus 27 54 54 0.50 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1852851 Jr. Member Clocktick 22 42 44 0.50 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=989232 Jr. Member elizabethcrypto 20 41 41 0.49 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=338206 Jr. Member PrinceFE 15 31 31 0.48 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1294231 Jr. Member lexmaniax 21 44 44 0.48 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1833704 Jr. Member totwotoo2 15 32 32 0.47 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1316874 Jr. Member Husires 26 57 57 0.46 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1701092 Jr. Member Bitkun 17 38 38 0.45 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1849978 Jr. Member digilira 23 52 52 0.44 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1188272 Jr. Member puntpasskick 15 36 36 0.42 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1087601 Jr. Member Hakjsparrow 15 36 36 0.42 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=384811 Jr. Member disko_kraljica 23 42 56 0.41 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1894608 Jr. Member berliston 21 52 52 0.40 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=242352 Jr. Member Brzina 20 51 51 0.39 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1125655 Jr. Member cheater detector 19 49 49 0.39 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1768465 Jr. Member btcboob 20 56 56 0.36 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=945255 Jr. Member renriyon 12 34 34 0.35 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1169719 Jr. Member Stevejob22 11 32 32 0.34 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=816987 Jr. Member coinmachina 10 30 30 0.33 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=938768 Jr. Member ArchimedesIX 10 30 30 0.33 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=925271 Jr. Member famlenayd 10 30 30 0.33 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1695947 Jr. Member toleomasd 10 30 30 0.33 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1696185 Jr. Member ~Master~ 10 30 30 0.33 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1613648 Jr. Member Zoom^eR 10 30 30 0.33 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1614770 Jr. Member saurdinec 10 31 31 0.32 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1696146 Jr. Member caderiank 10 31 31 0.32 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1696218 Jr. Member harinikis 10 31 31 0.32 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1682931 Jr. Member subokletv 10 31 31 0.32 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1686938 Jr. Member gahavank 10 31 31 0.32 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1696106 Jr. Member MetalBall 10 31 31 0.32 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1700983 Jr. Member Madmim 12 38 38 0.32 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1329995 Jr. Member zein1111 10 32 32 0.31 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1526307 Jr. Member dukalote 10 31 32 0.31 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1686859 Jr. Member actuality 10 32 32 0.31 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=202035 Jr. Member xalanceg 10 32 32 0.31 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1682674 Jr. Member phaneriks 10 32 32 0.31 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1696018 Jr. Member rukolksez 10 32 32 0.31 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1683019 Jr. Member filo1504 10 33 33 0.30 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1035306 Jr. Member theabacuscoin 10 33 33 0.30 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=255340 Jr. Member LucaSum 13 43 43 0.30 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1178812 Jr. Member Kryptotaxpert 24 42 81 0.30 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1844322 Jr. Member The_ Flash 55 56 186 0.30 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1828957 Jr. Member hestese 12 42 42 0.29 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1566997 Jr. Member ~Spawn~ 12 41 41 0.29 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=925989 Jr. Member maxti 10 35 35 0.29 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=138595 Jr. Member X-Tream 10 35 35 0.29 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1614841 Jr. Member vilsareb 10 34 34 0.29 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1682986 Jr. Member ravinesolz 10 34 34 0.29 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1683079 Jr. Member ysteriot 10 36 36 0.28 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=537089 Jr. Member tamerl4n 10 36 36 0.28 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1937109 Jr. Member TpoJIb 10 36 36 0.28 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1614853 Jr. Member dimassuwe 11 40 40 0.28 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1031617 Jr. Member Ailsa567 13 48 48 0.27 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1217788 Jr. Member acidium 14 52 52 0.27 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1399342 Jr. Member acryptodealer 14 52 52 0.27 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1532483 Jr. Member Freedom Force 10 37 37 0.27 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1012209 Jr. Member deevilknight 10 37 37 0.27 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=342745 Jr. Member qrhyxelle 10 37 37 0.27 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1091989 Jr. Member Impressive 10 39 39 0.26 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1597343 Jr. Member cryptotycoon33 10 39 39 0.26 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1557929 Jr. Member TheIO 10 39 39 0.26 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1080657 Jr. Member SKRAAA 10 39 39 0.26 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1348016 Jr. Member Hagane 10 38 38 0.26 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1012197 Jr. Member (GrOOm) 10 38 38 0.26 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1613421 Jr. Member Mr_Rigos 10 38 38 0.26 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1613462 Jr. Member lyoth 11 43 43 0.26 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1441193 Jr. Member juno77 10 40 40 0.25 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=876277 Jr. Member S[m]OKE 10 40 40 0.25 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1614814 Jr. Member yakin102 10 40 40 0.25 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1606406 Jr. Member btchalo 10 42 42 0.24 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1191255 Jr. Member btctrad0r 10 42 42 0.24 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=34334 Jr. Member qssi6132 10 42 42 0.24 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1892344 Jr. Member HappyDumper 10 41 41 0.24 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1701002 Jr. Member krainzmaster 13 42 55 0.24 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1909851 Jr. Member gonnafly 12 53 53 0.23 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=327995 Jr. Member water8898 12 42 52 0.23 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1895374 Jr. Member CoachCarter 10 44 44 0.23 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1701056 Jr. Member viper2zero 10 44 44 0.23 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=105196 Jr. Member komawei 10 44 44 0.23 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1071690 Jr. Member Technos 10 44 44 0.23 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1069491 Jr. Member iiikkkxj 10 43 43 0.23 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=301977 Jr. Member xoxkr94629 10 43 43 0.23 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1892340 Jr. Member ZeewRep 10 46 46 0.22 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1823914 Jr. Member blizzard31 10 46 46 0.22 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1914752 Jr. Member pvni33280 10 46 46 0.22 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1886488 Jr. Member zvueo 10 46 46 0.22 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1286044 Jr. Member Numir 10 46 46 0.22 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1520654 Jr. Member Cassy14 10 46 46 0.22 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1152106 Jr. Member guoqing138 10 46 46 0.22 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1887268 Jr. Member anonymous2020 10 46 46 0.22 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1717895 Jr. Member ixwaw548 10 46 46 0.22 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1892350 Jr. Member svetabez 10 44 45 0.22 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1358841 Jr. Member prototype40 10 45 45 0.22 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1633377 Jr. Member urz42409966 10 45 45 0.22 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1886502 Jr. Member qxg74922 10 45 45 0.22 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1900687 Jr. Member star citizen 10 45 45 0.22 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=951009 Jr. Member tcz9584291 10 45 45 0.22 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1886482 Jr. Member belphegory 12 55 55 0.22 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1579581 Jr. Member Hellas Fos 11 42 50 0.22 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1916045 Jr. Member BitcoinMoses 11 49 49 0.22 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=955818 Jr. Member abhiseshakana 13 42 60 0.22 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1878246 Jr. Member Dzmitry_Haron 20 42 97 0.21 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1753519 Jr. Member mucke12 11 52 52 0.21 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1076861 Jr. Member Anonymous100 11 52 52 0.21 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1355569 Jr. Member suse100 10 48 48 0.21 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=269789 Jr. Member BennyOnions 10 48 48 0.21 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1652489 Jr. Member gbsray 10 48 48 0.21 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=169377 Jr. Member tvn2000 10 48 48 0.21 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=830688 Jr. Member v.naumov 10 48 48 0.21 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1334675 Jr. Member bpt1310 10 47 47 0.21 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1629081 Jr. Member gmailming8 10 47 47 0.21 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1285432 Jr. Member Trimzi 10 47 47 0.21 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1520228 Jr. Member GnomEIIT 10 47 47 0.21 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1572193 Jr. Member Noen25 11 56 56 0.20 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=827816 Jr. Member empoy 11 56 56 0.20 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1087981 Jr. Member Investment Token 10 42 51 0.20 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1822194 Jr. Member pown0751 10 51 51 0.20 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1900611 Jr. Member kadirmon 10 50 50 0.20 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1195798 Jr. Member erik m. 10 50 50 0.20 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=914360 Jr. Member huweiooo 10 42 50 0.20 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1957573 Jr. Member wilbursina 10 48 49 0.20 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1285420 Jr. Member metalssina 10 48 49 0.20 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1285441 Jr. Member Alid 11 59 59 0.19 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=827333 Jr. Member Jjunpat 10 54 54 0.19 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1733269 Jr. Member JacquesLeGrande 10 53 53 0.19 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=941580 Jr. Member JPCain 10 53 53 0.19 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1642675 Jr. Member Mixa zarik 10 52 52 0.19 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1445179 Jr. Member piratek 10 57 57 0.18 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=982562 Jr. Member always1337 10 57 57 0.18 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1236244 Jr. Member DoYouCrypto? 10 56 56 0.18 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1176339 Jr. Member BlankZuel 10 56 56 0.18 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1286163 Jr. Member batgrzl 10 56 56 0.18 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1055751 Jr. Member Trukkur 10 55 55 0.18 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=338816 Jr. Member CryptoBalds 10 55 55 0.18 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1701050 Jr. Member sletra 12 56 65 0.18 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1369262 Jr. Member Splabs 13 42 73 0.18 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1561025 Jr. Member Dilemmaremma 14 56 84 0.17 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1401933 Jr. Member CasinoExpert 20 56 121 0.17 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1800324 Jr. Member alia 113 56 677 0.17 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1764044 Jr. Member v.zhuk 10 56 60 0.17 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1900079 Jr. Member mining_spaceship 10 59 59 0.17 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=928350 Jr. Member Aptekary 10 56 59 0.17 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1812623 Jr. Member kytsou 10 59 59 0.17 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=345102 Jr. Member Charlie0299 10 59 59 0.17 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1285335 Jr. Member Owl_Fintech 10 59 59 0.17 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=915339 Jr. Member violet.elephant 10 56 59 0.17 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1854137 Jr. Member matematik 10 59 59 0.17 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1538831 Jr. Member Gamedroc 10 58 58 0.17 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1203349 Jr. Member Ranger4R 10 58 58 0.17 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1074110 Jr. Member alexeyvill 10 58 58 0.17 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1682907 Jr. Member Sinamail17 10 58 58 0.17 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1285363 Jr. Member BUSTEDCLUB 10 58 58 0.17 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1323538 Jr. Member letminkola 10 58 58 0.17 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1554941 Jr. Member styvinplo 10 58 58 0.17 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1513830 Jr. Member All.Days.Plus 10 56 63 0.16 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1909656 Jr. Member moonlight666 10 56 62 0.16 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1895386 Jr. Member max2607 10 56 61 0.16 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=947848 Jr. Member Stolaroff 10 56 61 0.16 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1855326 Jr. Member poGium 13 56 83 0.16 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1707287 Jr. Member Marcsymon 10 56 67 0.15 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1085905 Jr. Member Cyril jay 10 56 65 0.15 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1670222 Jr. Member MintDiceSupport 10 56 72 0.14 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1923070 Jr. Member ahtsham90 12 56 90 0.13 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1026755 Jr. Member sam2014 10 56 86 0.12 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=688068 Jr. Member rmel0924 10 56 82 0.12 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1899397 Jr. Member cryptorampage 29 56 247 0.12 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1568370 Jr. Member Inoss 13 56 129 0.10 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1043684 Jr. Member epidose 10 56 99 0.10 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1901520 Jr. Member Talk merit 12 42 140 0.09 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1977706 Jr. Member AhaFly 18 56 210 0.09 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1852410
4. Who may be in consideration for Legendary ?:rank name merit activity posts ratioMeritToPost url Hero Member CoinDiver 1001 778 778 1.29 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=60653 Hero Member SuperClam 1002 784 784 1.28 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=321133 Hero Member DanielBTC 1001 787 787 1.27 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=64847 Hero Member lavajumper 1017 801 801 1.27 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=94331 Hero Member casinocoin 1050 824 824 1.27 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=181084 Hero Member lukyforvar 1001 795 795 1.26 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=102378 Hero Member No_2 1004 806 806 1.25 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=82566 Hero Member punkrock 1009 807 807 1.25 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=174939 Hero Member The Frisian 1001 808 808 1.24 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=365501 Hero Member Relaxedsense 1002 805 805 1.24 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=253843 Hero Member CosaNostra 1004 809 809 1.24 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=161207 Hero Member snortex 1001 816 816 1.23 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=246704 Hero Member jtoomim 1001 818 818 1.22 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=172727 Hero Member noise23 1002 826 826 1.21 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=223359 Hero Member JuanHungLo 1001 832 832 1.20 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=166737 Hero Member arulbero 1026 855 855 1.20 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=170072 Hero Member EbonHawk 1004 843 843 1.19 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=163494 Hero Member hodlcoins 1009 854 854 1.18 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=311045 Hero Member mmm01 1051 893 893 1.18 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=263733 Hero Member keystroke 1004 854 854 1.18 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=4248 Hero Member fitraok09 1001 853 853 1.17 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=352642 Hero Member xcbtrader 1001 865 865 1.16 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=263267 Hero Member George5 1001 862 862 1.16 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=94260 Hero Member bitcasino.io 1002 865 865 1.16 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=207035 Hero Member Vin 1001 877 877 1.14 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=330421 Hero Member Mapuo 1002 881 880 1.14 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=64396 Hero Member filharvey 1001 884 884 1.13 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=13672 Hero Member NattyLiteCoin 1021 914 914 1.12 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=265513 Hero Member Mad_Max 1001 900 900 1.11 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=103911 Hero Member lestherat 1001 912 912 1.10 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=400415 Hero Member IGHOR 1009 917 917 1.10 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=116332 Hero Member nopedope89 1059 968 968 1.09 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=231477 Hero Member maikelblogo 1005 931 931 1.08 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=115900 Hero Member jiggytom 1009 932 932 1.08 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=361695 Hero Member pinkman12345 1011 938 938 1.08 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=288496 Hero Member principiante 1001 798 948 1.06 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=142966 Hero Member elbill 1003 840 948 1.06 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=73326 Hero Member A-Bolt 1006 957 957 1.05 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=33631 Hero Member idev 1002 987 987 1.02 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1626 Hero Member bcmine 1005 952 994 1.01 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=258048 Hero Member oddwh 1001 854 989 1.01 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=119702 Hero Member funkenstein 1010 1005 1005 1.00 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=388672 Hero Member vancefox 1005 966 1002 1.00 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=368526 Hero Member Unread 1001 798 1049 0.95 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=537728 Hero Member dishku 1001 910 1053 0.95 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=515892 Hero Member thehun 1010 966 1079 0.94 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=82365 Hero Member wacko 1014 868 1075 0.94 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=32881 Hero Member kken01 1002 854 1079 0.93 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=415400 Hero Member xlcus 1009 868 1135 0.89 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=9106 Hero Member Chris! 1004 868 1146 0.88 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=662129 Hero Member JensS 1011 826 1155 0.88 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=529888 Hero Member Undland 1017 868 1165 0.87 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=289619 Hero Member X7 1003 868 1156 0.87 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=360896 Hero Member adjiadjo 1002 910 1188 0.84 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=231127 Hero Member benjy33 1001 938 1209 0.83 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=546177 Hero Member Apriand 1001 868 1246 0.80 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=669062 Hero Member rizzlarolla 1001 798 1316 0.76 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=506438 Hero Member zedicus 1002 826 1352 0.74 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=87896 Hero Member jeremypwr 1001 952 1379 0.73 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=137185 Hero Member craslovell 1010 980 1406 0.72 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=122434 Hero Member Thekool1s 1001 882 1419 0.71 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=345771 Hero Member beerlover 1002 910 1417 0.71 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=152752 Hero Member yeswepump 1007 952 1431 0.70 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=500098 Hero Member BitcoinHunt3r 1002 938 1442 0.69 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=515719 Hero Member elrippo 1001 994 1453 0.69 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=448172 Hero Member antyivan 1032 1008 1522 0.68 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=523755 Hero Member BetKing.io 1003 868 1495 0.67 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=565024 Hero Member jak3 1001 882 1510 0.66 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=555318 Hero Member Za1n 1006 882 1528 0.66 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=529727 Hero Member giveen 1004 826 1549 0.65 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=146519 Hero Member xRaVeNx 1009 812 1577 0.64 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=493987 Hero Member valley365 1001 826 1610 0.62 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=150593 Hero Member warningsigns 1079 868 1753 0.62 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=406432 Hero Member kodtycoon 1002 938 1611 0.62 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=174773 Hero Member User705 1005 826 1638 0.61 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=119418 Hero Member rico666 1005 896 1674 0.60 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=159476 Hero Member bileq 1002 896 1671 0.60 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=555858 Hero Member Wilhelm 1007 840 1695 0.59 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=152333 Hero Member cygan 1004 938 1734 0.58 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=27470 Hero Member AcidSun 1003 910 1727 0.58 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=463710 Hero Member MetalEngine 1020 910 1794 0.57 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=513803 Hero Member Fredomago 1002 882 1755 0.57 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=662244 Hero Member jackbox 1011 882 1955 0.52 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=389329 Hero Member coinplus 1003 994 1962 0.51 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=235218 Hero Member theoulis 1001 966 1972 0.51 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=515323 Hero Member upsidedown75 1004 896 1979 0.51 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=519996 Hero Member samsonn25 1003 854 2035 0.49 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=130165 Hero Member svetoch 1001 826 2039 0.49 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=390821 Hero Member chichidori 1001 938 2050 0.49 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=557413 Hero Member Miiike 1024 966 2199 0.47 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=552299 Hero Member nasituygun 1006 882 2199 0.46 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=439833 Hero Member dmwardjr 1008 966 2243 0.45 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=379920 Hero Member cunicula 1003 840 2241 0.45 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=14703 Hero Member cpfreeplz 1033 868 2308 0.45 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=555171 Hero Member nwoolls 1001 840 2242 0.45 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=100786 Hero Member BobLawblaw 1257 882 2866 0.44 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=569455 Hero Member BitJohn 1001 826 2279 0.44 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=110699 Hero Member HagssFIN 1109 868 2609 0.43 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=348185 Hero Member btcdevil 1016 924 2353 0.43 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=551575 Hero Member jakelyson 1001 924 2371 0.42 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=555534 Hero Member kryptqnick 1009 882 2424 0.42 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=559842 Hero Member RJX 1003 910 2474 0.41 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=181818 Hero Member AmoreJaz 1011 882 2437 0.41 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=529754 Hero Member swogerino 1004 938 2530 0.40 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=551460 Hero Member krupenin 1001 924 2530 0.40 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=535819 Hero Member BlockEye 1095 924 2715 0.40 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=553066 Hero Member Fatanut 1026 826 2723 0.38 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=675421 Hero Member milewilda 1003 896 2731 0.37 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=662950 Hero Member twbt 1096 952 2969 0.37 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=137541 Hero Member FutureBitcoin 1002 924 2755 0.36 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=592311 Hero Member patmast3r 1001 980 2897 0.35 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=230980 Hero Member arallmuus 1005 966 2890 0.35 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=153149 Hero Member absy 1004 980 3029 0.33 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=336412 Hero Member leowonderful 1008 910 3101 0.33 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=416731 Hero Member guybrushthreepwood 1009 854 3158 0.32 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=187618 Hero Member Lionidas 1007 882 3109 0.32 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=657268 Hero Member Cripto DeD 1002 952 3185 0.31 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=394642 Hero Member goinmerry 1007 952 3215 0.31 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=525508 Hero Member SPQRCoin 1001 966 3601 0.28 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=551559 Hero Member starmman 1017 868 3662 0.28 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=553538 Hero Member davide72 1001 938 3534 0.28 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=539767 Hero Member MinerHQ 1009 1022 3939 0.26 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=373043 Hero Member mexxer-2 1003 868 4078 0.25 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=341982 Hero Member Joel_Jantsen 1139 938 4488 0.25 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=560412 Hero Member Mrpumperitis 1056 882 4242 0.25 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=494856 Hero Member socks435 1003 938 4798 0.21 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=558519 Hero Member crairezx20 1013 994 6386 0.16 https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=539350
5. Breakdown by Rank, Activity and Merit:A breakdown by activity and rank allows us to see even deeper into how each one of us is in relation to next rank's objectives. Since both Activity and Merit are required, what If done is break down each of these variables into set of 20% (% of variable objective completed), with a >100% group as well (over the limit). Green: Could Rank Up but lacks activity or is under consideration (Legendaries only). Red: Could have ranked up, but lacks merit. Blue: Lacks both activity and merit (each group tells us how much the users have moved towards the goals). Examples of interpretation:* Let's say a user has only reached 22% of Activity required by his next rank level, and 14% of Merit, he would be on the A: [20%..40%) M: (0%..20%) segment, being far away on both objectives. * If a user has reached 82% of Activity required by his next rank level, and 74% of Merit, he would be on the A: [80%..100%) M: (60%..80%) segment. https://i.imgur.com/Bhh4kic.jpg Regardless of activity, most Heros have way to go on Merit since they are on the [40%-60%) segment of the Merit required by Legendary rank. https://i.imgur.com/FYUiiWn.jpg Most Sr Member have way to go on Merit since they are on the [40%-60%) ; less than half of these are within 20% of activity goal as well. https://i.imgur.com/QQNzF6m.jpg Yes again the mayority is on the [40%-60%) merit segment, with more than 75% being near the Activity goal. The above cases are likely to be in the [40%-60%) merit segment with a large contribution from initial merit airdrop. https://i.imgur.com/ueD1n6b.jpg Things change radically here, since the initial airdrop of merit is proportionally further away from next rank's goal requirements (10 fold vs 2-2,5 fold in higher ranks). Mayority is in the lower merit band (0%..20%). https://i.imgur.com/oQSA1V7.jpg Distribution in terms of merit follows a pyramid shape based on metir, and repeats the pattern on each activity block. Full table: https://i.imgur.com/RAkmODe.jpg https://i.imgur.com/gPhNhPN.jpg
Title: Re: Stats on the Rank pipeline - How many are we on the way to ranking up ?
Post by: illiki23 on April 17, 2018, 03:46:49 PM
I am so glad to see actual analysis starting up in a couple of threads.
This reminds me of a Kaggle contest which tried to model and detect situations which would trigger an altruistic response when forum members are asked to purchase a pizza for someone. This was the purpose of the random acts of pizza subreddit.
The interesting, and somewhat relevant part, was that we were able to use machine learning along with keyword analysis to identify key features of granted versus rejected requests. It was not surprising that the ones which were rejected had a higher frequency of 'I'/'my'/etc keywords rather than 'we'/'us'/etc. The guys who held the contest ended up identifying a number of features that helped them model altruistic responses.
I started the 'bitcointalk visualization project' awhile back but was plucked up by Oyster to develop before I got too far. I can't wait to collect and then analyze posts which received merit versus posts which did not. One interesting thing I hope to find is that there will be clusters forming for legitimately gained merit versus farmed versus posts which received no merit - and that we can build a model which will let us guess which are which.
I am back though!
Title: Re: Stats on the Rank pipeline - How many are we on the way to ranking up ?
Post by: seoincorporation on April 17, 2018, 03:46:55 PM
Awesome work, as usual. So the merit system is really working on stopping non-deserving users to rank-up, but also is showing how it can be corrupted by so many users. Once detected, what is the path to follow? I mean: when you detect this kind of users, earning merit in such an improbable-fair way, what do you do? Do you report them? One of my deepest concern regarding the rank system is the spamming: we all have seen how many users are selling merits as a new kind of scam, as well as accounts. On the other hand, we have many users farming alt accounts in order to rank up their alt and join many signatures or be able to scam more users.
Have you thought about a new statistical insight into this misuse? I mean: Can you make another thread (I know you are already tired, but your work is so amazing I'm afraid you are going to have many request :P), regarding how many users are scamming the merit system? And, besides, as you said, a comparison between the ranking activity before and after the merit system?
Sorry for asking you to work even more harder. But I truly admire your work jejee. ;D
Title: Re: Stats on the Rank pipeline - How many are we on the way to ranking up ?
Post by: TMAN on April 17, 2018, 04:05:05 PM
Always enjoy your posts OP.. you are a legendary in the making yourself. All the people moaning about merit need to look to the likes of you for inspiration on what a quality informative post is
Title: Re: Stats on the Rank pipeline - How many are we on the way to ranking up ?
Post by: DdmrDdmr on April 17, 2018, 04:47:09 PM
<...> Have you thought about a new statistical insight into this misuse? I mean: Can you make another thread (I know you are already tired, but your work is so amazing I'm afraid you are going to have many request :P), regarding how many users are scamming the merit system? And, besides, as you said, a comparison between the ranking activity before and after the merit system? <...>
Thanks seoincorporation. Truth is, I need a bit of a break now to recover energy.. Regarding the nº of users scamming the merit system, I guess we could agree on various methods taking place: a) Transfer of sMerit between main/alt accounts b) Swapping sMerit (on purpose) c) Purchasing sMerit of others They all end up in the Forum logs and are there for everyone’s “view”. The problem is discerning proper sMerit awarding from the above. Since awarding is by nature subjective and not subject to proof of work (pun), it needs a human viewer to check suspect cases one by one. What can be done is, apart from current manual reporting, try to device lists of suspect cases pulled up from data aggregation. I gave it a go a month ago (see https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=3167331.0). That is a tough post to read, but to cut a long story short, the idea was to try to find circular merit; that is, users that award merit and get it back in return. Now this up to a certain point is logical, since sets of users like other people’s posts and vice-versa. I have a couple of such in my merit history. It´s when the quantity gets high in these circular transactions that we can say we have detected a “suspect”. Now depending on the amount of sMerit given/received and/or number of times, we can filter the list and work on it (alas) one by one, to see if cases “a” and “b” can be detected (case type “c” is much more difficult since I doubt it will lead to a circular swap of sMerit). For example, the tab labelled “Given Received Merit I” referred to in the above referenced thread, has at the top of the list (file created a month ago or so -> https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Su1vulMzsbkYPOsU8llr8PrQXRPvy4oM_E218klwHh8/edit#gid=968451010 (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Su1vulMzsbkYPOsU8llr8PrQXRPvy4oM_E218klwHh8/edit#gid=968451010)): User 377987 (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=377987) had given to user 1580039 (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1580039) 50 sMerits over in 41 Transactions, but receives none in return. Not surprisingly, these two accounts came up today on my post as “weird”. Unfortunately, someone has to grab the list and filter it, to reduce the number of suspect candidates to apply a manual check on one by one check… On the other topic, to perform a comparison between the ranking system before and not is very difficult: This threads analysis is based on current user profile (of users awarded merit). What is used is a snapshot of some of the fields of user’s profiles, as of yesterday. To do a comparison, we would need a similar snapshot belonging to some time ago (which we cannot retrieve) and do something similar but only related to activity. With this, we could compare throughput today vs throughput a year ago for example (although circumstances are very different now: many more users on the one side due to recent hype, but a merit system on the other that acts as a deterrent). Even so, we can see with today’s analysis that all those that could have ranked up and didn’t due to lack of Merit would have ranked up with the old system (48,78%). I think that´s the best we can do for now...
Title: Re: Stats on the Rank pipeline - How many are we on the way to ranking up ?
Post by: DdmrDdmr on April 17, 2018, 04:53:56 PM
Always enjoy your posts OP.. you are a legendary in the making yourself. All the people moaning about merit need to look to the likes of you for inspiration on what a quality informative post is
Cheers TMAN, I can see that you're going to make it to real Legendary in a couple of weeks (whitelisting time aside). I think a summary post on the journey so far on your behalf would be most welcome when you do ;)
Title: Re: Stats on the Rank pipeline - How many are we on the way to ranking up ?
Post by: seoincorporation on April 17, 2018, 05:20:06 PM
Thanks for your answer, man. Yes, I came into your last month publication (which I haven't seen, unfortunately) and this is truly amazing, yet difficult to understand. Take a break if you wish, we all will be waiting for you!! Your work is awesome.
Title: Re: Stats on the Rank pipeline - How many are we on the way to ranking up ?
Post by: vit05 on April 17, 2018, 05:55:53 PM
I was really looking for a topic like that. Very well explained and with an excellent analysis. This kind of statistic must always be taken into account when radical changes occur in a large group of people like this. Analyzing just based on what each one lives and feels is quite different from analyzing based on numbers.
Given these numbers, it is clear that the funnel created with the addition of Merits is much larger than any other change. And by having turned rank up into something so rare, it's pretty likely we'll see more and more people looking for alternatives outside the rules. I still believe that the best alternative would be to turn sMerit into a hot potato, where it is not good to keep holding it for long. Use in 1 week or it will be redistributed.
I found it interesting to know that I am among the 1146 Full members who could have been ranking up for Sr Members but who have not yet reached the necessary merits. Less than 0.01 achieved. This seems extremely exaggerated.
Title: Re: Stats on the Rank pipeline - How many are we on the way to ranking up ?
Post by: TryNinja on April 17, 2018, 06:06:36 PM
* pafu -> Being a Member, started off with a 500 Merit airdrop instead of 10 (could be a bought account, but I thought there were no demotions..). -> https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=25731
If you delete the posts that gave you activity points, you will lose them. Pafu has posted this in the Portuguese local board (my language): Puts, perdi o rank de Hero Member porque apaguei meus posts :o
Which translates to: "Shit, I lost my Hero Member rank because I deleted my posts".
Title: Re: Stats on the Rank pipeline - How many are we on the way to ranking up ?
Post by: DdmrDdmr on April 17, 2018, 06:12:52 PM
Given these numbers, it is clear that the funnel created with the addition of Merits is much larger than any other change. And by having turned rank up into something so rare, it's pretty likely we'll see more and more people looking for alternatives outside the rules. I still believe that the best alternative would be to turn sMerit into a hot potato, where it is not good to keep holding it for long. Use in 1 week or it will be redistributed.
I found it interesting to know that I am among the 1146 Full members who could have been ranking up for Sr Members but who have not yet reached the necessary merits. Less than 0.01 achieved. This seems extremely exaggerated.
Yes, I had a similar idea, halfway between a hot potato and a full merit decay (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=2818350.msg34762749#msg34762749). The basic idea is to remove stale sMerit from accounts after say 3 months, and move it on to additional merit sources that can distribute it. Easier said than done, since the "after 3 months" would require tying sMerit to a FIFO system. In relation to your second comment, just to state that the analysis is a measure of the pipeline to the next level. Those that have achieved ranking up (say last week for example) are already in their new baseline and will surely be classified as having insufficient merit and insufficient activity to rank up, but residing on their new level (that's why I think I'm not getting the 0.01 you mention). Thanks for the feedback.
Title: Re: Stats on the Rank pipeline - How many are we on the way to ranking up ?
Post by: DdmrDdmr on April 17, 2018, 06:16:55 PM
* pafu -> Being a Member, started off with a 500 Merit airdrop instead of 10 (could be a bought account, but I thought there were no demotions..). -> https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=25731
If you delete the posts that gave you activity points, you will lose them. Pafu has posted this in the Portuguese local board (my language): Puts, perdi o rank de Hero Member porque apaguei meus posts :o
Which translates to: "Shit, I lost my Hero Member rank because I deleted my posts". Thanks for the insight. It seemed something rather weird, and now we know we can demoted ourselves by going easy on post deletion.
Title: Re: Stats on the Rank pipeline - How many are we on the way to ranking up ?
Post by: athanz88 on April 17, 2018, 06:38:34 PM
Well this is a hard and tiring work. I have made some statistic back there when merit is out and it took me some times to finish it and it is just only a small statistic (you can see my created topic), but you, made a great job. I admire your good work, i hope with more statistic like this, there will be improvement from the forum and most importantly from people who can only whines. Cheers for your merit !
Title: Re: Stats on the Rank pipeline - How many are we on the way to ranking up ?
Post by: LoyceV on April 17, 2018, 06:40:35 PM
The latest that got me going was one related to rank scaling and merit. This has been on my TODO for a long time. I'm especially interested in a list of users who ranked up with merit, and a list of users who need activity only to rank up. Did you exclude accounts which are Legendary already? Otherwise I count a total of 13807 users that received sMerit. * pafu -> Being a Member, started off with a 500 Merit airdrop instead of 10 (could be a bought account, but I thought there were no demotions..). -> https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=25731 I thought a Hero member wouldn't be demoted after deleting posts, but apparently it does. It could be bought accounts: merit is now more valuable than activity, and it cleans up past spam. Note: sorry about tabulation, can't seem to master it properly on this forum... Where's nullius (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=976210) in your list? He did rank up already, but has enough merit to rank up twice more once he has enough activity. I'm surprised only a few higher ranking accounts have earned enough merit in 12 weeks to rank up. At this rate, new Legendary accounts will become very rare in a few months. So the merit system is really working on stopping non-deserving users to rank-up, but also is showing how it can be corrupted by so many users. The number of cheaters is currently relatively high, but that will end once they run out of sMerit to sell/trade/give to alts.
Title: Re: Stats on the Rank pipeline - How many are we on the way to ranking up ?
Post by: Jet Cash on April 17, 2018, 06:56:57 PM
I'm surprised only a few higher ranking accounts have earned enough merit in 12 weeks to rank up. At this rate, new Legendary accounts will become very rare in a few months.
I'm not sure of the motivation behind the bounty spammers, but for others the promotion from Hero to Legendary doesn't really make a great deal of difference. I've got more than enough in my signature for my immediate needs. It would be nice to be able to include a small image, but that is not going to happen for reasons that I can understand. I've picked up about 300 merits from board activities that I have enjoyed.I'm sure that if I applied myself the other 200 would be easy to achieve after a bit of research, but I prefer to visit Bitcoin Talk for relaxation, information exchange, and a bit of experimenting with social networking. Oh! I nearly forgot about the discussions about Bitcoin. :)
Title: Re: Stats on the Rank pipeline - How many are we on the way to ranking up ?
Post by: DdmrDdmr on April 17, 2018, 08:11:27 PM
This has been on my TODO for a long time. I'm especially interested in a list of users who ranked up with merit, and a list of users who need activity only to rank up.
The first list I partially published at the end of this post: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=3218442.msg33469339#msg33469339. It is three weeks old though and list is only for top ranks. If you need the complete list I can redo that part an publish it, but somewhere round the end of week. The second list you're asking about shoud be the one in the scrollable area under the "3. Who has got enough merit, but lacks activity?:" section. It is a complete list. Did you exclude accounts which are Legendary already? Otherwise I count a total of 13807 users that received sMerit.
Yes.I only considered ranks that needed to receive sMerit to rank up, and since Legendaries do not need to rank up, they are left out. Newbies and Jr ranks are also left out since the don't need sMerit to reach the next level. Also Staff, Vip, Donator, Founder, and Moderators are left out. Copper I decided to leave out, since I see their Rank as Copper regardless of Merit and Activity. In the complete merit file with all awarded sMerit until the 13/04/2018, there are: Nº of sMerit awarded in a Tx: 131.060 Nº of distinct users that Sent sMerit: 12.518 Nº of distinct users that Received sMerit: 13.807 -> I only use the subset above stated related to ranks. Where's nullius (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=976210) in your list? He did rank up already, but has enough merit to rank up twice more once he has enough activity.
As above stated, I left Copper Members out deliberately. I'm surprised only a few higher ranking accounts have earned enough merit in 12 weeks to rank up. At this rate, new Legendary accounts will become very rare in a few months.
That's what I fear too. Also sMerit awarding per Tx is way lower than at the begining. Logical sin brand new toy days are over, but even more difficult to gain a large aggregate of sMerit. This could discourage a fair bit higher ranks since progression is slow (with exceptions).
Title: Re: Stats on the Rank pipeline - How many are we on the way to ranking up ?
Post by: DdmrDdmr on April 17, 2018, 08:17:14 PM
Oh! I nearly forgot about the discussions about Bitcoin. :)
Yeah, wish bitcoin section was more informative and open to serious stuff though, and less of a spam area for activity. Maybe the technical area would be interesting, but it's probably a bit of a challange to really get into the root of it. I may give a go further down the road.
Title: Re: Stats on the Rank pipeline - How many are we on the way to ranking up ?
Post by: TheQuin on April 18, 2018, 07:25:22 AM
Great work on compiling some interesting stats. If it's not hard to do can you break down the 48.15% that need both Merit and Activity to rank up into those that have Merit>Activity and Merit<Activty? I think that'll give further insight as to how many are likely rank up any time soon.
Title: Re: Stats on the Rank pipeline - How many are we on the way to ranking up ?
Post by: DdmrDdmr on April 18, 2018, 07:39:14 AM
Great work on compiling some interesting stats. If it's not hard to do can you break down the 48.15% that need both Merit and Activity to rank up into those that have Merit>Activity and Merit<Activty? I think that'll give further insight as to how many are likely rank up any time soon.
I actually thought of doing it, but didn't want to make it too extense. I'll give it a go though in the coming days since as you say the insight will be interesting. Thanks.
Title: Re: Stats on the Rank pipeline - How many are we on the way to ranking up ?
Post by: DdmrDdmr on April 19, 2018, 11:52:33 AM
Great work on compiling some interesting stats. If it's not hard to do can you break down the 48.15% that need both Merit and Activity to rank up into those that have Merit>Activity and Merit<Activty? I think that'll give further insight as to how many are likely rank up any time soon.
I added some more graphs on the OP with the info you suggested adding. Quite some detail there, and struggle everywhere to get enough merit ..
Title: Re: Stats on the Rank pipeline - How many are we on the way to ranking up ?
Post by: TheQuin on April 19, 2018, 12:04:34 PM
I added some more graphs on the OP with the info you suggested adding. Quite some detail there, and struggle everywhere to get enough merit ..
That's excellent and a lot more detailed than I was expecting. We still have to remember how short a period of time people have had to get the merit compared to how long it takes to get the activity. That's a function of the way everyone got the same initial distribution by their rank ignoring their activity. I'd think that if you compare those numbers in a couple of months time that there will be a big improvement.
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