Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: accord01 on November 25, 2013, 02:00:23 AM



Title: Forbes article on bitcoin
Post by: accord01 on November 25, 2013, 02:00:23 AM
http://www.forbes.com/sites/gordonchang/2013/11/24/a-china-triangle-bitcoin-baidu-and-beijing/

Anything new here?  Is this bullish or bearish?

Didn't know so many vendors on the streets of China accepted bitcoins.  Looks like the Chinese government A) is definitely NOT against bitcoins B) probably mining like crazy right now.... C) Or else vendors would be scared to accept bitcoins... because vendor/ gov't relationships are very close in China... maybe too close if you know what i mean.


Title: Re: Forbes article on bitcoin
Post by: ElectricMucus on November 25, 2013, 02:31:40 AM
Didn't know so many vendors on the streets of China accepted bitcoins.

I count three.
And only one is named in the article, if this were mass usage this article would include a list of places and companies, which is no where to be found.


Title: Re: Forbes article on bitcoin
Post by: beaconpcguru on November 25, 2013, 02:38:33 AM
Why would a communist a government bent on control not support exchanges they have direct control over?  Hmmmm


Title: Re: Forbes article on bitcoin
Post by: mvidetto on November 25, 2013, 02:41:15 AM
http://www.forbes.com/sites/gordonchang/2013/11/24/a-china-triangle-bitcoin-baidu-and-beijing/

Anything new here?  Is this bullish or bearish?

Didn't know so many vendors on the streets of China accepted bitcoins.  Looks like the Chinese government A) is definitely NOT against bitcoins B) probably mining like crazy right now.... C) Or else vendors would be scared to accept bitcoins... because vendor/ gov't relationships are very close in China... maybe too close if you know what i mean.

I think its pretty neutral just informing the public.


Title: Re: Forbes article on bitcoin
Post by: rocks on November 25, 2013, 03:49:57 AM
Didn't know so many vendors on the streets of China accepted bitcoins.  Looks like the Chinese government A) is definitely NOT against bitcoins B) probably mining like crazy right now.... C) Or else vendors would be scared to accept bitcoins... because vendor/ gov't relationships are very close in China... maybe too close if you know what i mean.

I don't think so, but interesting idea. If at some point governments decide that they need BTC as central bank reserves, considering the resources they could deploy the most obvious method is probably to develop very efficient ASICs and mine like crazy instead of buying on the open market. Would make for interesting times.


Title: Re: Forbes article on bitcoin
Post by: BitPirate on November 25, 2013, 03:55:24 AM
This is all a bit off base.

A) There aren't many sellers accepting bitcoin in China yet -- that part is just not true. We're trying to change that, but don't get sucked into believing BTC is everywhere (yet).

B) The government doesn't care about Bitcoin too much yet -- the one thing they do care about above all else is "social stability" (read: "keeping power"). Anything that potentially destabilises that is a problem. A huge gold-rush like move to BTC would potentially be very damaging if lots of people lost their shirts in a crash. As such, the government is already trying to damp the flames a little. Recent CCTV and radio reports advise people not to rush and buy BTC, that it is unstable and dangerous.

The best thing that can happen now is a long consolidation. This constant push upward, potentially through 2k, will cause a spectacular crash with some potentially very negative consequences for all of us. We all need a bit of a breather.


Title: Re: Forbes article on bitcoin
Post by: User705 on November 25, 2013, 03:59:22 AM
Didn't know so many vendors on the streets of China accepted bitcoins.  Looks like the Chinese government A) is definitely NOT against bitcoins B) probably mining like crazy right now.... C) Or else vendors would be scared to accept bitcoins... because vendor/ gov't relationships are very close in China... maybe too close if you know what i mean.

I don't think so, but interesting idea. If at some point governments decide that they need BTC as central bank reserves, considering the resources they could deploy the most obvious method is probably to develop very efficient ASICs and mine like crazy instead of buying on the open market. Would make for interesting times.
Because only in government it would make sense to print money to buy a money printing machine.


Title: Re: Forbes article on bitcoin
Post by: crazy_rabbit on November 25, 2013, 05:23:43 AM
"Bitcoin is on track to becoming the world’s first trillion dollar non-fiat form of money."


Title: Re: Forbes article on bitcoin
Post by: lindatess on November 25, 2013, 06:12:49 AM
Didn't know so many vendors on the streets of China accepted bitcoins.  Looks like the Chinese government A) is definitely NOT against bitcoins B) probably mining like crazy right now.... C) Or else vendors would be scared to accept bitcoins... because vendor/ gov't relationships are very close in China... maybe too close if you know what i mean.

I don't think so, but interesting idea. If at some point governments decide that they need BTC as central bank reserves, considering the resources they could deploy the most obvious method is probably to develop very efficient ASICs and mine like crazy instead of buying on the open market. Would make for interesting times.
Because only in government it would make sense to print money to buy a money printing machine.

Does China really print a lot of money to pay itself? What about all those excess currencies reserves? They also have a current account surplus, so they are always bringing in extra money. Why the fear of governments printing, especially when it will be unwound at a later date?


Title: Re: Forbes article on bitcoin
Post by: rocks on November 25, 2013, 06:17:19 AM
"Bitcoin is on track to becoming the world’s first trillion dollar non-fiat form of money."

Gold would the first one.


Title: Re: Forbes article on bitcoin
Post by: slikes on November 25, 2013, 07:02:22 AM
This is all a bit off base.

A) There aren't many sellers accepting bitcoin in China yet -- that part is just not true. We're trying to change that, but don't get sucked into believing BTC is everywhere (yet).

B) The government doesn't care about Bitcoin too much yet -- the one thing they do care about above all else is "social stability" (read: "keeping power"). Anything that potentially destabilises that is a problem. A huge gold-rush like move to BTC would potentially be very damaging if lots of people lost their shirts in a crash. As such, the government is already trying to damp the flames a little. Recent CCTV and radio reports advise people not to rush and buy BTC, that it is unstable and dangerous.

The best thing that can happen now is a long consolidation. This constant push upward, potentially through 2k, will cause a spectacular crash with some potentially very negative consequences for all of us. We all need a bit of a breather.
The fact that we would be better off if the market took things slowly won't change it's behavior. I haven't read enough to confirm what you're saying about China, but both of your points support the conclusion that the market is speculative right now. For better or worse, I don't think the speculation is going to slow.


Title: Re: Forbes article on bitcoin
Post by: Impaler on November 25, 2013, 07:03:47 AM
CR:  BTC is Fiat as is not backed by anything, it's simply programmer-fiat rather then state-fiat.  People here have confused the word Fiat with 'government issued' but that is not what the word means.


Title: Re: Forbes article on bitcoin
Post by: Qoheleth on November 25, 2013, 06:48:45 PM
CR:  BTC is Fiat as is not backed by anything, it's simply programmer-fiat rather then state-fiat.  People here have confused the word Fiat with 'government issued' but that is not what the word means.
To be fair, there are a few different definitions of "fiat money" in common use, so whether BTC is "fiat" per se depends on which definition you're using. Personally, I tend to go with the definition that interprets "fiat" in the "law or decree" sense, where a currency is "fiat money" when the force of law demands it to be accepted as payment (as in the case of most national currencies today, where a payment of the currency extinguishes a debt no matter what is actually owed).

Of course, if you define "fiat money" as "any currency without intrinsic value", BTC could easily qualify (although I'd still make the argument that BTC have some intrinsic use as the mechanism for storing balances on a trust-free distributed ledger, even if they weren't a currency themselves).


Title: Re: Forbes article on bitcoin
Post by: wachtwoord on November 25, 2013, 07:19:23 PM

Of course, if you define "fiat money" as "any currency without intrinsic value", BTC could easily qualify (although I'd still make the argument that BTC have some intrinsic use as the mechanism for storing balances on a trust-free distributed ledger, even if they weren't a currency themselves).

Of course NOT. Bitcoin has intrinsic value. Anything that is useful and scarce has intrinsic value.


Title: Re: Forbes article on bitcoin
Post by: Carlton Banks on November 25, 2013, 08:02:58 PM
"Fiat" in practice means face-valued, or more literally, "it has value because I [the issuer] declare that it does".

State fiat is not strictly 100% fiat, it does have some monetary properties, such as being difficult to counterfeit. But the overwhelming amount of it's properties are conferred by legislation, not any objective assessment of monetary properties.

This is what makes the cryptocurrencies unique as money for an internet age, they have been designed to possess entirely objective monetary properties, and hence the only way of valuing them is the same way that many a financial press commentator has complained of, namely through supply and demand. And the irony of the financial press saying such things as evidence of them being not like money, is that money behaves just like that, even under the fiat system today (witness the trillions per day forex market).


Title: Re: Forbes article on bitcoin
Post by: Kazimir on November 26, 2013, 07:15:25 AM
BTC is Fiat as is not backed by anything,
BTC is backed by math and cryptography. I consider that a lot more trustworthy than banks and governments.


Title: Re: Forbes article on bitcoin
Post by: Zangelbert Bingledack on November 26, 2013, 07:45:18 AM
Bitcoin has no intrinsic value, because nothing has intrinsic value, because value isn't intrinsic - it requires a valuer.

Bitcoin isn't backed by anything, because it's not a promise like a gold-backed dollar used to be.

Bitcoin is like a club with ironclad rules. As long as that club exists, those rules ensure that your BTC have purchasing power within that club. It's "backed" simply by the solidarity of that social formation, the Bitcoin fraternity, the Bitcoin community, whatever you want to call it. And that solidarity is ensured by the rules of the protocol and the fact that following those rules has proven extremely valuable and promises to be even more extremely valuable in the future.


Title: Re: Forbes article on bitcoin
Post by: Kazimir on November 26, 2013, 07:56:41 AM
Bitcoin isn't backed by anything, because it's not a promise like a gold-backed dollar used to be.
Let me repeat that for you:
Quote from: Kazimir link=topic=345477.msg3717695#msg3717695
BTC is backed by math and cryptography. I consider that a lot more trustworthy than banks and governments.
And what was gold backed by, again?


Title: Re: Forbes article on bitcoin
Post by: wachtwoord on November 26, 2013, 08:49:42 AM

And what was gold backed by, again?


Physics.


Title: Re: Forbes article on bitcoin
Post by: chriswilmer on November 26, 2013, 08:51:21 AM
Bitcoin has no intrinsic value, because nothing has intrinsic value, because value isn't intrinsic - it requires a valuer.

Bitcoin isn't backed by anything, because it's not a promise like a gold-backed dollar used to be.

Bitcoin is like a club with ironclad rules. As long as that club exists, those rules ensure that your BTC have purchasing power within that club. It's "backed" simply by the solidarity of that that social formation, the Bitcoin fraternity, the Bitcoin community, whatever you want to call it. And that solidarity is ensured by the rules of the protocol and the fact that following those rules has proven extremely valuable and promises to be even more extremely valuable in the future.

+1

We really need to stop people from trying to come up with creative arguments for Bitcoin's intrinsic value or explanations for what bitcoins are backed by (e.g., the network! mining! math!). These concepts just don't apply and/or are irrelevant.

Trying to answer "What is Bitcoin backed by?" (without just pointing out that it isn't a meaningful question) is like trying to answer "What color is Bitcoin?"


Title: Re: Forbes article on bitcoin
Post by: wachtwoord on November 26, 2013, 09:47:03 AM
Bitcoin has no intrinsic value, because nothing has intrinsic value, because value isn't intrinsic - it requires a valuer.

Bitcoin isn't backed by anything, because it's not a promise like a gold-backed dollar used to be.

Bitcoin is like a club with ironclad rules. As long as that club exists, those rules ensure that your BTC have purchasing power within that club. It's "backed" simply by the solidarity of that that social formation, the Bitcoin fraternity, the Bitcoin community, whatever you want to call it. And that solidarity is ensured by the rules of the protocol and the fact that following those rules has proven extremely valuable and promises to be even more extremely valuable in the future.

+1

We really need to stop people from trying to come up with creative arguments for Bitcoin's intrinsic value or explanations for what bitcoins are backed by (e.g., the network! mining! math!). These concepts just don't apply and/or are irrelevant.

Trying to answer "What is Bitcoin backed by?" (without just pointing out that it isn't a meaningful question) is like trying to answer "What color is Bitcoin?"

Bitcoin has intrinsic value because it's useful and scarce. The usefulness lies in it's properties.

No it's not backed by anything.


Title: Re: Forbes article on bitcoin
Post by: Kazimir on November 26, 2013, 10:49:21 AM
And what was gold backed by, again?
Physics.
So is pig shit. Not generally accepted as backing for anything though :)

And physics is backed by mathematics, just like Bitcoin. So I'd say Bitcoin > Gold, backing/security-wise.


Title: Re: Forbes article on bitcoin
Post by: wachtwoord on November 26, 2013, 10:53:42 AM
And what was gold backed by, again?
Physics.
So is pig shit. Not generally accepted as backing for anything though :)

And physics is backed by mathematics, just like Bitcoin. So I'd say Bitcoin > Gold, backing/security-wise.

Pig shit isn't scarce. Gold is made (relatively) scarce by physics because of the amount of energy needed to be gold (and even more to form it). At the same time, it's durable, divisible and movable (in useful quantities).

Bitcoin is much better though :)


Title: Re: Forbes article on bitcoin
Post by: Kazimir on November 26, 2013, 11:03:53 AM
+1

We really need to stop people from trying to come up with creative arguments for Bitcoin's intrinsic value or explanations for what bitcoins are backed by (e.g., the network! mining! math!). These concepts just don't apply and/or are irrelevant.

Trying to answer "What is Bitcoin backed by?" (without just pointing out that it isn't a meaningful question) is like trying to answer "What color is Bitcoin?"
Well, people tend to think that fiat money or gold have or are some kind of 'backing', which supposedly would make them more trustworthy, and which they think Bitcoin isn't or doesn't have.

Obviously they're wrong: Bitcoin is backed by mathematics and cryptography. Doesn't get any more trustworthy than that.


Title: Re: Forbes article on bitcoin
Post by: Kazimir on November 26, 2013, 11:08:59 AM
Pig shit isn't scarce.
Panda shit, then? :)

Quote
Gold is made (relatively) scarce by physics because of the amount of energy needed to be gold (and even more to form it). At the same time, it's durable, divisible and movable (in useful quantities).
True, although I would hardly call gold 'divisible' and 'movable'. It's doable of course, but not in a very practical fashion. Can't easily chip off a gram of gold at the bakery to pay my groceries.

Quote
Bitcoin is much better though :)
Agree :)


Title: Re: Forbes article on bitcoin
Post by: wachtwoord on November 26, 2013, 11:17:14 AM
Pig shit isn't scarce.
Panda shit, then? :)

Okay. Can you tell the difference? Someone probably will be able to replicate ;)

Quote
Gold is made (relatively) scarce by physics because of the amount of energy needed to be gold (and even more to form it). At the same time, it's durable, divisible and movable (in useful quantities).
True, although I would hardly call gold 'divisible' and 'movable'. It's doable of course, but not in a very practical fashion. Can't easily chip off a gram of gold at the bakery to pay my groceries.

Everything's relative, but moving wealth with Gold is easier than with Silver because there is less off it. There are practical limitations about divisibility also. Finally, you haven't even started about scraping and counter-fitting ;)

Quote
Bitcoin is much better though :)
Agree :)

Good, but not the discussion at hand ;)

PS: Is Kazimir a Peter F. Hamilton reference by any chance? :)


Title: Re: Forbes article on bitcoin
Post by: niothor on November 26, 2013, 11:32:31 AM
Why do all threads about bitcoin end up in pig-shitting and panda-shitting fiat?
I'm beginning to think that this love for bitcoin is actually a hate for fiat money.


Title: Re: Forbes article on bitcoin
Post by: wachtwoord on November 26, 2013, 11:33:49 AM
Why do all threads about bitcoin end up in pig-shitting and panda-shitting fiat?
I'm beginning to think that this love for bitcoin is actually a hate for fiat money.

It is kind of the same thing.


Title: Re: Forbes article on bitcoin
Post by: Kazimir on November 26, 2013, 12:34:18 PM
Why do all threads about bitcoin end up in pig-shitting and panda-shitting fiat?
I'm beginning to think that this love for bitcoin is actually a hate for fiat money.
Once you actually understand Bitcoin, you start to realize how ridiculous fiat really is.

PS: Is Kazimir a Peter F. Hamilton reference by any chance? :)
Haha, no! Coincidence :)