Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: BittBurger on November 26, 2013, 08:28:20 PM



Title: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: BittBurger on November 26, 2013, 08:28:20 PM
Someone was going to make the thread, but this time I am genuinely curious, so I made it.  Someone commented that China is not at play right now, and that serious money is pouring in, but mostly from Europe and the Americas.  Are you guys able to see that on the exchanges somehow? 

When the price is this high, part of me believes this is governments buying in or something ... thoughts?


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: humanitee on November 26, 2013, 08:32:50 PM
Loaded.  :D


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: Hawker on November 26, 2013, 08:33:16 PM
Bitcoin is still in the paperclip budget range.  A government buyer would push it to 5 figures as they buy by the $1 million.


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: beaconpcguru on November 26, 2013, 08:33:47 PM
Its recycled funds.  There are big players in here.  If you had 100,000 coins and had the motivation to do so, what would you do and how would you work a system where the average holder is in the hundreds.  


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: lucas.sev on November 26, 2013, 08:33:54 PM
900 got broken, people think that once 900 gets broken other people will buy so they buy, price goes up, other people buy


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: Painful Truth on November 26, 2013, 08:34:31 PM
people are slowly waking up. and some of them with deep pockets.


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: Okurkabinladin on November 26, 2013, 08:34:39 PM
Do you realize there were (and still are) tons of fiat on sideways already within exchanges? With more on the way, usually game changing news (like halving of mining rewards last year) take effect on market only after a week or two.

After several days of consolidation there were really only two ways this could go  ;)


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: Painful Truth on November 26, 2013, 08:36:58 PM
When the price is this high, part of me believes this is governments buying in or something ... thoughts?

Also why do you believe that governments buy now that the price is high? Do they like buying high?  :)


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: kireinaha on November 26, 2013, 08:41:36 PM
900 got broken, people think that once 900 gets broken other people will buy so they buy, price goes up, other people buy

+1 This. I don`t think there has to be any sophisticated reason or logic behind it.


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: sgbett on November 26, 2013, 08:46:52 PM
When the price is this high, part of me believes this is governments buying in or something ... thoughts?

Also why do you believe that governments buy now that the price is high? Do they like buying high?  :)


What price would you consider to be high for an organisation that can print money? ;)


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: sgbett on November 26, 2013, 08:49:25 PM
bonus question for 2 points:

How worthwhile in the long term is it trading bitcoin for fiat, when fiat is being devalued at an alarming rate?

(disclaimer: i've took a few dollars out here and there to pay a few bills, but long term I am holding as tight as I can)


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: BittBurger on November 26, 2013, 09:56:18 PM
Something is up.

You don't just go "horizontal" for several days and then, almost on a dime at 12 noon eastern standard time, the price starts jumping $5 every ten minutes.

Goes up almost exactly $100, Lasts for about 3 hours ... then stops on a dime.

Something happened.


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: porcupine87 on November 26, 2013, 10:28:21 PM
I'm more curious why all the alt coins won so much the last 48hours. Nearly every seond coin made 100%. http://coinmarketcap.com/


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: exstasie on November 27, 2013, 01:09:04 AM
When the price is this high, part of me believes this is governments buying in or something ... thoughts?

Also why do you believe that governments buy now that the price is high? Do they like buying high?  :)


Why do you think the price is high?  Do you think that $900 is an overvalued price for BTC?  If not, then you'll buy above $900.  If so, you'll sell them.  It's all based on speculation.  obviously those buying now think its worth a lot more than $900, which I do too.


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: byronbb on November 27, 2013, 01:15:06 AM
Something is up.

You don't just go "horizontal" for several days and then, almost on a dime at 12 noon eastern standard time, the price starts jumping $5 every ten minutes.

Goes up almost exactly $100, Lasts for about 3 hours ... then stops on a dime.

Something happened.

Must be rigged, like every NFL game someone lost money wagering on.


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: PenAndPaper on November 27, 2013, 01:15:19 AM
You don't just go "horizontal" for several days and then, almost on a dime at 12 noon eastern standard time, the price starts jumping $5 every ten minutes.

I think you are trying hard to see a conspiracy here. Maybe the price is being manipulated in some extent but not from the government.  ::)
Don't make me wear the tinfoil hat again  :P


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: BitcoinAshley on November 27, 2013, 01:17:21 AM
Cuz supply and demand.

I made more on alt-coins today and yesterday than on Bitcoin. What gives? Namecoin up to $6+, that's past what LTC's ATH was until this month. LTC up to $19+? WTF Even FEATHER COIN, that's right, fucking FEATHER COIN, is doing well. I think people are just treating the more popular alt-coins as just extensions of bitcoins.


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: BittBurger on November 27, 2013, 01:19:02 AM
I'm not claiming it's the government. I was just trying to think of an organization that has a lot of money. You have to admit, absolutely nothing happening for five days and then all of a sudden, on a dime, everything explodes. There's always a reason. Maybe was just another infomercial in China that 40,000 people happen to see at the same time. Maybe it was an article in Europe stating that a new chain of restaurants is accepting bitcoin. I don't know what it was, but it was something. The timing was too specific.


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: Crazy on November 27, 2013, 01:20:53 AM
Don't underestimate how quickly a fool will part with his/her money.


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: BittBurger on November 27, 2013, 01:21:04 AM
Cuz supply and demand.

I made more on alt-coins today and yesterday than on Bitcoin. What gives? Namecoin up to $6+, that's past what LTC's ATH was until this month. LTC up to $19+? WTF Even FEATHER COIN, that's right, fucking FEATHER COIN, is doing well. I think people are just treating the more popular alt-coins as just extensions of bitcoins.

I'm really hoping that China and others realize that each alt coin is an opportunity for speculation and investment, and return. There could be a very long, long period ahead of insane moneymaking for all of us if that's the case. Bitcoin is the only one that really needs to succeed anyways. The rest can be for speculators. This could be the new stockmarket where millions of people get rich. If they get in early enough.


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: Zangelbert Bingledack on November 27, 2013, 02:02:43 AM
I'm not claiming it's the government. I was just trying to think of an organization that has a lot of money. You have to admit, absolutely nothing happening for five days and then all of a sudden, on a dime, everything explodes. There's always a reason. Maybe was just another infomercial in China that 40,000 people happen to see at the same time. Maybe it was an article in Europe stating that a new chain of restaurants is accepting bitcoin. I don't know what it was, but it was something. The timing was too specific.

Look at the long-term log chart. It's all right there. We got curvy, straightened out, and resumed straight exponential mini-trend/bubble.


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: Crazy on November 27, 2013, 02:03:44 AM
Cuz supply and demand.

I made more on alt-coins today and yesterday than on Bitcoin. What gives? Namecoin up to $6+, that's past what LTC's ATH was until this month. LTC up to $19+? WTF Even FEATHER COIN, that's right, fucking FEATHER COIN, is doing well. I think people are just treating the more popular alt-coins as just extensions of bitcoins.

I'm really hoping that China and others realize that each alt coin is an opportunity for speculation and investment, and return. There could be a very long, long period ahead of insane moneymaking for all of us if that's the case. Bitcoin is the only one that really needs to succeed anyways. The rest can be for speculators. This could be the new stockmarket where millions of people get rich. If they get in early enough.
I really need to get into alt coins. Never even looked into them. Feel like I've missed that boat for the most part.


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: crazy_rabbit on November 27, 2013, 02:06:36 AM
Cuz supply and demand.

I made more on alt-coins today and yesterday than on Bitcoin. What gives? Namecoin up to $6+, that's past what LTC's ATH was until this month. LTC up to $19+? WTF Even FEATHER COIN, that's right, fucking FEATHER COIN, is doing well. I think people are just treating the more popular alt-coins as just extensions of bitcoins.

I'm really hoping that China and others realize that each alt coin is an opportunity for speculation and investment, and return. There could be a very long, long period ahead of insane moneymaking for all of us if that's the case. Bitcoin is the only one that really needs to succeed anyways. The rest can be for speculators. This could be the new stockmarket where millions of people get rich. If they get in early enough.
I really need to get into alt coins. Never even looked into them. Feel like I've missed that boat for the most part.

By and large it's gambling. It's manipulation/greed/fantasy. Maybe litecoin deserve's it's valuation, but don't be fooled. Alt-coins are where larger holders have found a clever way to increase their bitcoin holdings at the expense of people who don't know better.

But you know- people probably said the same about bitcoin once.


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: BitcoinTraderFX on November 27, 2013, 02:09:15 AM
Okay, I wasn't going to do it, but I'm going to do it. I'm going to drop the conspiracy theory thing.

I do know that the major exchanges have LARGE holdings of bitcoins. And I assume they themselves can put buy and sell orders into the market (with it being fairly anonymous).

That being said... I'm not saying another word.

: )

cj


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: BitPirate on November 27, 2013, 02:10:36 AM
alt-coins may be valuable in the future, but do your own due diligence, buy something that no-one is talking about and accept it as a sunk cost.

Every time you hear about how XXX is being pumped, or how much YYY has risen, never buy -- you're playing in their playground. I'd view any such news as an opportunity to sell.


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: Crazy on November 27, 2013, 02:14:24 AM
By and large it's gambling. It's manipulation/greed/fantasy. Maybe litecoin deserve's it's valuation, but don't be fooled. Alt-coins are where larger holders have found a clever way to increase their bitcoin holdings at the expense of people who don't know better.

But you know- people probably said the same about bitcoin once.

alt-coins may be valuable in the future, but do your own due diligence, buy something that no-one is talking about and accept it as a sunk cost.

Every time you hear about how XXX is being pumped, or how much YYY has risen, never buy -- you're playing in their playground. I'd view any such news as an opportunity to sell.

Good to know, thanks both.


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: BitPirate on November 27, 2013, 02:15:04 AM
Okay, I wasn't going to do it, but I'm going to do it. I'm going to drop the conspiracy theory thing.

I do know that the major exchanges have LARGE holdings of bitcoins. And I assume they themselves can put buy and sell orders into the market (with it being fairly anonymous).

That being said... I'm not saying another word.

: )

cj

To be honest, people have been tearing their hair out for days trying to decide which way the market would go. People spent lots of coins painting that double top picture, but other big holders were fighting back. Remember that with all downturns, the real intentions of the big holders who dump on the way down is to accumulate. However, now there are so many holders that it was harder for these bears to drive the price as low as they liked, and so you could clearly see sentiment turning. A couple of stronger than expected rebounds was enough to prove that the markets still have legs, so bears got back in before it was too late. If they haven't lost all their coins, they will try again later at a big profit-taking dip.



Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: Zangelbert Bingledack on November 27, 2013, 02:15:44 AM
I'm not claiming it's the government. I was just trying to think of an organization that has a lot of money. You have to admit, absolutely nothing happening for five days and then all of a sudden, on a dime, everything explodes. There's always a reason. Maybe was just another infomercial in China that 40,000 people happen to see at the same time. Maybe it was an article in Europe stating that a new chain of restaurants is accepting bitcoin. I don't know what it was, but it was something. The timing was too specific.

Look at the long-term log chart. It's all right there. We got curvy, straightened out via consolidation, and resumed straight exponential mini-trend/bubble.

Here's that log chart:

https://i.imgur.com/nTEOPq5.jpg


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: aminorex on November 27, 2013, 05:31:41 AM

Here's that log chart:

https://i.imgur.com/nTEOPq5.jpg

By visual analogy we appear to be in the mid- to late- March phase of the rip-dip cycle.


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: PenAndPaper on November 27, 2013, 11:22:49 AM
Okay, I wasn't going to do it, but I'm going to do it. I'm going to drop the conspiracy theory thing.

I do know that the major exchanges have LARGE holdings of bitcoins. And I assume they themselves can put buy and sell orders into the market (with it being fairly anonymous).

That's not a conspiracy. It is called price manipulation and anyone with a large stack can do it.
Concpiracy is the OP thinking that aliens and governments are behind the recent rise.


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: Buffer Overflow on November 27, 2013, 11:33:17 AM
This could be the new stockmarket where millions of people get rich.

If millions of people are going to get rich, then millions of people must get poorer as well.



Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: Ibian on November 27, 2013, 11:41:11 AM
This could be the new stockmarket where millions of people get rich.

If millions of people are going to get rich, then millions of people must get poorer as well.


Yeah, the ones who don't buy for whatever reason. As I see it, bitcoin rewards intelligence and the courage to trust your own judgment. Let the millions become poor when fiat crashes, it's on their own heads. Or ours, if it goes the other way, I could live with that too.


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: PenAndPaper on November 27, 2013, 11:47:22 AM
This could be the new stockmarket where millions of people get rich.

If millions of people are going to get rich, then millions of people must get poorer as well.


I don't have a problem with a few million of people becoming less rich...


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: emanymton on November 27, 2013, 12:46:22 PM
This could be the new stockmarket where millions of people get rich.

If millions of people are going to get rich, then millions of people must get poorer as well.


Hopefully it's poor people robbing rich wall street types mostly, since that's where the highest concentration of wealth is and they're probs going to want in at some point.


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: PenAndPaper on November 27, 2013, 12:59:12 PM
This could be the new stockmarket where millions of people get rich.

If millions of people are going to get rich, then millions of people must get poorer as well.


Hopefully it's poor people robbing rich wall street types mostly, since that's where the highest concentration of wealth is and they're probs going to want in at some point.

Those are going to get richer. It's the already rich that will choose not to enter that will become less rich  :P
Except if you think that bitcoin is a bubble  :P


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: Amph on November 27, 2013, 01:42:32 PM
people are using it more, simple as that


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: Luckybit on November 27, 2013, 02:00:02 PM
Bitcoin is still in the paperclip budget range.  A government buyer would push it to 5 figures as they buy by the $1 million.

Why would a government have to buy Bitcoins when they can just take them from people?

The FBI currently has enough Bitcoins to fund themselves for generations to come.


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: Odrec on November 27, 2013, 02:20:34 PM
Hopefully bitcoin actually represents a revolution for a world with less inequality. If this thing is going to create more inequality then it's not better than regular money and it deserves to perish the same way. What good is freedom if we live in a fucked up world?


Title: Re: Explanation for today's boom?
Post by: deisik on November 27, 2013, 02:36:00 PM
Someone was going to make the thread, but this time I am genuinely curious, so I made it.  Someone commented that China is not at play right now, and that serious money is pouring in, but mostly from Europe and the Americas.  Are you guys able to see that on the exchanges somehow? 

When the price is this high, part of me believes this is governments buying in or something ... thoughts?

Probably frightened banksters are now entering into play after having been scared by the Fed which promised to denude them of their money to cut interest rates on their reserves