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Other => Beginners & Help => Topic started by: fsparv on December 08, 2013, 06:58:34 AM



Title: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: fsparv on December 08, 2013, 06:58:34 AM
Everything I see when I search for bitcoin miner on ebay is selling for 2-10 times it's likely value... Every time I plug in anything resembling a reasonable set of values into a calculator like the one on thegenisisblock or bitcoinwisdom, and compare it with an ebay auction things don't even come close to lining up. The ONLY way I could see justifying the values placed on say a bitfury usb miner (usually $300-400 with multiple bidders over $300) is if you were going to turn around and offer the contracts that I see on ebay that often sell for 2-10 times their worth....

And then there's the 333Mh/s usb asics that sell for as much as $60 and might mine $10 worth of coin before they loose money on even at 2.5 watts...

Am I missing something or are they all just nuts? It's so universal that I begin to doubt myself... If those prices do make sense, can someone please tell me why.

Note that given the volatility lately, I hardly doubt an assumption of continued growth at 10x/month is likely ;) I've been running calculations presuming steady value (my actual expectation is a little more moderate dip in price for 1-3 weeks and then begin to rise again at a more moderate pace, but the simulators don't let you get that complicated and I haven't built a spreadsheet or written a program to do that because it seems that there is zero means to acquire any hardware at a price that even *remotely* promises to be profitable... )

 ???


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: Itun on December 08, 2013, 07:22:15 AM
Yes, people on ebay are crazy.

Those just trip up people who just found out about bitcoins.

They might have thought that btc will everlastingly grow in value so buying a miner will mean infinite money ;)

Don't buy those.


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: ybnl on December 08, 2013, 07:59:28 AM
Everyone? Doubt it. They might just be smart enough to want to make the most money they can out of you.


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: SaltySpitoon on December 08, 2013, 08:01:39 AM
You also have to consider the risk involved with Ebay. People sell at a higher cost, to make up for stolen Bitcoins and hardware due to chargebacks.


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: beegatewood on December 08, 2013, 08:21:29 AM
Everything I see when I search for bitcoin miner on ebay is selling for 2-10 times it's likely value... Every time I plug in anything resembling a reasonable set of values into a calculator like the one on thegenisisblock or bitcoinwisdom, and compare it with an ebay auction things don't even come close to lining up. The ONLY way I could see justifying the values placed on say a bitfury usb miner (usually $300-400 with multiple bidders over $300) is if you were going to turn around and offer the contracts that I see on ebay that often sell for 2-10 times their worth....

And then there's the 333Mh/s usb asics that sell for as much as $60 and might mine $10 worth of coin before they loose money on even at 2.5 watts...

Am I missing something or are they all just nuts? It's so universal that I begin to doubt myself... If those prices do make sense, can someone please tell me why.

Note that given the volatility lately, I hardly doubt an assumption of continued growth at 10x/month is likely ;) I've been running calculations presuming steady value (my actual expectation is a little more moderate dip in price for 1-3 weeks and then begin to rise again at a more moderate pace, but the simulators don't let you get that complicated and I haven't built a spreadsheet or written a program to do that because it seems that there is zero means to acquire any hardware at a price that even *remotely* promises to be profitable... )

 ???

Think of it as an investment, people are making more money trading USB erupter then bitcoin :)


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: lindeanin on December 08, 2013, 08:26:28 AM
If there is market for the expensive units, why not.



Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: deepceleron on December 08, 2013, 08:38:44 AM
You also have to consider the risk involved with Ebay. People sell at a higher cost, to make up for stolen Bitcoins and hardware due to chargebacks.
You also have to consider the risk involved with Ebay. Non-paying bidders bid up your item, which you then cannot relist while you go through the month-long dispute process. People bid at a higher price, because they are paying with stolen paypal accounts.


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: Misekop on December 08, 2013, 08:44:15 AM
Are bis scale mining hardware producers manipulating the BTC prize to influence the pre-order market demand?
I guess smale scale mining is more a decentralized support of the system than a serious meaned mining


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: poewerden on December 08, 2013, 08:45:31 AM
I think it is better to buy these miners with USD instead of BTC, this is the only possible way how to get your investment back (but only if Bitcoin price rises)
 


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: fsparv on December 09, 2013, 03:39:08 AM
Ok so I'm not the only one that thinks ebay is crazy  ;D. I'm new to bitcoins too but I did the math :) Kinda feel sorry for all those folks who failed math class and are now throwing thousands and thousands of $$ away...

Aside from assuming 2-3 months of market risk (and in most cases laying down thousands of $ to take that risk) by pre-ordering the new generation miners, is there a good place to find a non-sucker price on a miner that at least breaks even in 3 months? Generally I don't want anything drawing over 1500w since my house mostly has 15 amp circuits and 60 amp total service. (I've located one 20 amp circuit but it's not conveniently located).


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: shadyz on December 09, 2013, 03:49:13 AM
Has anyone actually sold bitcoins on ebay and then had them stolen with a chargeback by someone?

Wow, selling on ebay sounds impossible then. 


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: oldmarsh on December 09, 2013, 03:50:02 AM
When I was browsing miners on ebay I came across those listings as well. Hard to believe anyone will actually buy one of those usb miners unless they are collecting dozens of them. Could you even mine anything more than a few satoshis with a single block erupter usb miner? =P


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: Zavdub on December 09, 2013, 04:47:35 AM
I purchased 3 usb for $60. The next week the going price for 1 was $62. Now are going for 90-100  :'( WTF
Some people are crazy as fuck.


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: koshgel on December 09, 2013, 05:45:37 AM
ebay is a scammers dream.  I avoid that website at all costs.


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: minedaft on December 09, 2013, 06:35:47 AM
The supply/demand/risk curve is messed up on ebay.
There is a large demand: ebay is easy to access, has tons of naive users, and supports paypal.
But there is a high fraud risk: paypal payments are reversible

So prices are silly high for anything bitcoin related.


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: shadyz on December 09, 2013, 07:03:31 AM
The supply/demand/risk curve is messed up on ebay.
There is a large demand: ebay is easy to access, has tons of naive users, and supports paypal.
But there is a high fraud risk: paypal payments are reversible

So prices are silly high for anything bitcoin related.

Well the risk is on the seller ,so obviously the price is high to cover the risk

I hope there's less scammers than the price actually indicates


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: mladen00 on December 09, 2013, 07:08:10 AM
you'll buy it if you recognize a potential...if dont dont buy.

If nobody buying it the price will go down


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: fsparv on December 09, 2013, 12:46:43 PM
you'll buy it if you recognize a potential...if dont dont buy.

If nobody buying it the price will go down

Nobody buying it will take a month or two is my guess. A bunch of folks are going nuts it seems and it will take them a week to get set-up and another week to begin to suspect there's a problem, at which point half of them will conclude the problem is they didn't buy a big enough miner and go back for more, and then two weeks they'll decide miners are expensive rip-offs and contracts must be the way to go...

Plus I've begun to wonder how much of it is fueled by stolen accounts and organized crime laundering money...

Oh yeah the moneys legit too... I sold Bit coin mining contracts on ebay to get it, you'd be amazed how much some folk who don't have the required equipment will pay to rent it!... want to see my miner? It's in my pocket... it's tiny and it does THREE HUNDRED AND THIRTY-THREE MILLION hashes per second! Powerful stuff! Ain't technology amazing your honor?

*sigh*


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: fsparv on December 09, 2013, 01:57:52 PM
you'll buy it if you recognize a potential...if dont dont buy.

If nobody buying it the price will go down

I'm more or less willing to pay something just under a break-even for lifetime price. That eliminates most the market risk for the seller, and frees up the invested cash to do something else more profitable that what remains on the outgoing technology rigs. That really ought to be a good deal for them.

I guess I'm just royally irritated that the suckers are making all entry points into the market a (nearly) guaranteed loss even with the assumption of fairly substantial further rises in bitcoin prices. Amazon searches today don't turn up anything better than ebay searches, probably because all the sellers on ebay raided amazon and are now re-selling it on ebay/amazon...


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: young3dvard on December 09, 2013, 02:01:35 PM
It shows a lot money is ready to spend for bitcoin miners. And I still hope bitcoin miners will be cheaper so I can ROI, silly me


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: Agsic on December 09, 2013, 02:07:23 PM
Demand is what dictateste price.


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: caminilegroup on December 09, 2013, 02:26:32 PM
I bought two v2 blade at the end of October for 250 each, fast forward to the third week of November, I ended up paying 425 each for two more v2 blades. When I tried to get the seller down, he / she claimed that the price is tied to btc. I bought them, but also stated "You are getting one hell of a profit since you bought these for a fraction of what you are selling them for"

Sad part is I can get a 100 GH/s X-1 for less than the blades now.


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: FiatKiller on December 09, 2013, 02:33:57 PM
Heck, if someone is willing to pay a high price, why not? It's called capitalism and most of us fell for it at first and learned a lesson. But one very important fact to remember is that calculators are limited in that they use current price. I moronically turned-off my litecoin mining in the Summer when the calculator said it was not worth the electricity. Guess what? I would be alot richer now if I had kept on doing it. The big "X" factor is future price which only a psychic can help you with.  lol


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: fsparv on December 09, 2013, 03:03:12 PM
I bought two v2 blade at the end of October for 250 each, fast forward to the third week of November, I ended up paying 425 each for two more v2 blades. When I tried to get the seller down, he / she claimed that the price is tied to btc. I bought them, but also stated "You are getting one hell of a profit since you bought these for a fraction of what you are selling them for"

Sad part is I can get a 100 GH/s X-1 for less than the blades now.

In march... don't miss this from the bottom of the description "This is a PRE-ORDER, available for dispatch at end of February 2014" use an online calculator... difficulty increases have been averaging near 25-30% and it's going to be shooting up when the new machines start firing up. Order now and there'll be a lot of folks getting online before  you.

Nothing out there is not worth much if you get it in march unless difficulty stalls out or price goes back to it's 10x/month rate of increase (both of which are unlikely imho). If you start on march one, and ignore electricity and shipping, then 100Gh in marge will get you around $350 in ~70 days, and less than $100 for all time to come after that.

Also don't miss the "minimum order 10 units" at the top... :)


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: vervolioman on December 09, 2013, 03:07:18 PM
Yes the prices on ebay are very high, it looks as good business to preorder miner at manufacturer, and when you receive it, sell on ebay (and mine in meantime)  :)


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: fsparv on December 09, 2013, 03:12:17 PM
Yes the prices on ebay are very high, it looks as good business to preorder miner at manufacturer, and when you receive it, sell on ebay (and mine in meantime)  :)
'

If the feeding frenzy lasts for another 3 months...


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: -X-RaTeD- on December 09, 2013, 03:22:39 PM
Those that buy on eBay will complain about excessive prices... but those of us that sell complain of other reasons...

I sold a BFL asic for ~3k USD and those crooks over at eBay charged me $250 in final value fees... so of course things are going to cost more, especially since demand determines the price, and items are worth what people are willing to pay (which can be more or less actual value).


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: caminilegroup on December 09, 2013, 03:55:56 PM
I bought two v2 blade at the end of October for 250 each, fast forward to the third week of November, I ended up paying 425 each for two more v2 blades. When I tried to get the seller down, he / she claimed that the price is tied to btc. I bought them, but also stated "You are getting one hell of a profit since you bought these for a fraction of what you are selling them for"

Sad part is I can get a 100 GH/s X-1 for less than the blades now.

In march... don't miss this from the bottom of the description "This is a PRE-ORDER, available for dispatch at end of February 2014" use an online calculator... difficulty increases have been averaging near 25-30% and it's going to be shooting up when the new machines start firing up. Order now and there'll be a lot of folks getting online before  you.

Nothing out there is not worth much if you get it in march unless difficulty stalls out or price goes back to it's 10x/month rate of increase (both of which are unlikely imho). If you start on march one, and ignore electricity and shipping, then 100Gh in marge will get you around $350 in ~70 days, and less than $100 for all time to come after that.

Also don't miss the "minimum order 10 units" at the top... :)

I am in the process of becoming an authorized reseller for Black Arrow so I can offer single units. There is only one reseller in the us and I wasn't to pleased with his business practice when I did place an order.



Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: caminilegroup on December 09, 2013, 03:58:13 PM
Those that buy on eBay will complain about excessive prices... but those of us that sell complain of other reasons...

I sold a BFL asic for ~3k USD and those crooks over at eBay charged me $250 in final value fees... so of course things are going to cost more, especially since demand determines the price, and items are worth what people are willing to pay (which can be more or less actual value).

I'm not complaining about the price increase. I bought it because I wanted them and it is what it is. With bitcoin going back up I expect to pay the same if not a little more per blade next time.


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: Trademan1 on December 09, 2013, 04:15:49 PM
A couple of months ago I bought 2 x Blades and 90 USBs total cost of about AUS$1k. About 1 month ago I picked up 3 of the Blue furies for about AUS$100 each.  I wouldn't even contemplate buying anything that is in hand at the current prices, and id be even less inclined to pay $ now for something that will arrive in possibly 3 months. The BFL story has scared me away from that idea. So just have to mine with what ive got, and see how long it lasts I guess.


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: -X-RaTeD- on December 09, 2013, 04:28:38 PM
Those that buy on eBay will complain about excessive prices... but those of us that sell complain of other reasons...

I sold a BFL asic for ~3k USD and those crooks over at eBay charged me $250 in final value fees... so of course things are going to cost more, especially since demand determines the price, and items are worth what people are willing to pay (which can be more or less actual value).

I'm not complaining about the price increase. I bought it because I wanted them and it is what it is. With bitcoin going back up I expect to pay the same if not a little more per blade next time.

I understand where you are comming from. My post was generally speaking, not directed towards anyone in particular  :)


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: n691309 on December 09, 2013, 04:39:31 PM
Prices at ebay are high, when I use mining calculators you cant mine the dollars back unless Bitcoin price rises. I guess everyone speculate on Bitcoin price rise...


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: madao on December 09, 2013, 05:01:01 PM
As a recent Bitcoin convert (end of October 2013), I have participated in frenzy, having been intermittently fleeced along the way.
However, in the short 6 weeks or so I have been in the market, the chance of finding a square deal on eBay has plummeted.

My first forray into mining was a 24hour BFL jalapeno contract, which has not payed for itself, even with the price increase, and certainly was nowhere close to paying for itself 6 weeks ago, but it did not matter because I was a consenting adult looking to learn about mining.

Yesterday I saw contracts for 1 hour of mining at various speeds... 1 HOUR.. charging 30-50 dollars!

Indeed, you have to wonder about the possible money laundering aspect..


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: Murphy1138 on December 09, 2013, 05:20:17 PM
I bought 14 ASIC block Eruptors USBs for £160 GBP a few months ago, so far they have mined me 0.19055526 BTC and about 200,000 ASIC coins and 600 OSC.

Never thought they would make the ROI, just think they are cool - I make more using my GPU rigs and 6x Dell 2950 servers mining FTC/LTC/FST/RED coins! then trading for either LTC or BTC then trading on BTC-E.

Took out over $1k in the last week when BTC/LTC was high.

:)


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: caminilegroup on December 09, 2013, 06:33:16 PM
Those that buy on eBay will complain about excessive prices... but those of us that sell complain of other reasons...

I sold a BFL asic for ~3k USD and those crooks over at eBay charged me $250 in final value fees... so of course things are going to cost more, especially since demand determines the price, and items are worth what people are willing to pay (which can be more or less actual value).

I'm not complaining about the price increase. I bought it because I wanted them and it is what it is. With bitcoin going back up I expect to pay the same if not a little more per blade next time.

I understand where you are comming from. My post was generally speaking, not directed towards anyone in particular  :)

Oh I know, I wasn't bashing or anything.


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: ajax3592 on December 09, 2013, 06:34:42 PM
Guys be very careful of sellers on Ebay.
Once a friend of mine order a power supply unit and all he got was a metal case filled with sand!  :o


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: caminilegroup on December 09, 2013, 06:36:37 PM
As a recent Bitcoin convert (end of October 2013), I have participated in frenzy, having been intermittently fleeced along the way.
However, in the short 6 weeks or so I have been in the market, the chance of finding a square deal on eBay has plummeted.

My first forray into mining was a 24hour BFL jalapeno contract, which has not payed for itself, even with the price increase, and certainly was nowhere close to paying for itself 6 weeks ago, but it did not matter because I was a consenting adult looking to learn about mining.

Yesterday I saw contracts for 1 hour of mining at various speeds... 1 HOUR.. charging 30-50 dollars!

Indeed, you have to wonder about the possible money laundering aspect..

I will say be wary of the contracts on eBay. This is my correspondence to one seller of one:

Quote

Dear caminilegroup,

Hi,

Thank you for your email. One thing that you are missing in your calculations is the expense side of things. Please know that eBay takes 10%, PayPal 4%, the cost of equipment $16,000 and the cost of 10 amps running at 24 hours.

I just wanted to give you the full picture and not just the revenue side of things. Also please note that we charge about a third of the price per hash rate as the closest competitor on here. Yes, we make a profit, but isn't that why we are all here on eBay?

Cheers,

George

- ca_blacklab
Click "respond" to reply through Messages, or go to your email to reply
 
Respond


From: caminilegroup
To: ca_blacklab
Subject: Other: caminilegroup sent a message about 240 GH/s Bitcoin BTC Mining Contract By The Hour ( Butterfly Labs 60 / Single ) #161166633885
Sent Date: Dec-05-13 07:06:28 PST

Dear ca_blacklab,

24 Hours is 718 dollars to you with only ~118 in mining. An hour of mining will net ~0.00710914083333 with at current price is $7 USD. You're pretty much stealing at your price.  

- caminilegroup
                  
240 GH/s Bitcoin BTC Mining Contract By The Hour  ( Butterfly Labs 60 / Single )   
240 GH/s Bitcoin BTC Mining Contract By The Hour ( Butterfly Labs 60 / Single )
Item Id:   161166633885
End time:   Jan-02-14 14:46:46 PST
Seller:
ca_blacklab (1208)
100.0% Positive Feedback
Member since Aug-08-00 in United States
Location: CA, United States
Listing Status:   This message was sent while the listing was active.



You have to do the math, and then you realize you will not ROI. This guy is basically stealing, and doesn't care.


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: fsparv on December 10, 2013, 08:34:53 PM
I bought 14 ASIC block Eruptors USBs for £160 GBP a few months ago, so far they have mined me 0.19055526 BTC and about 200,000 ASIC coins and 600 OSC.

Never thought they would make the ROI, just think they are cool - I make more using my GPU rigs and 6x Dell 2950 servers mining FTC/LTC/FST/RED coins! then trading for either LTC or BTC then trading on BTC-E.

Took out over $1k in the last week when BTC/LTC was high.

:)

fixed that for ya ;)


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: cunixion on December 11, 2013, 08:23:56 PM
ebay is a scammers dream.  I avoid that website at all costs.

scammers are also here and everywhere else, just have to be careful.


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: shumr2261 on December 11, 2013, 08:26:26 PM
people want to be part of the craze.. of course.. i bought a jalapeño and it took 8 months to ship.


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: quone17 on December 11, 2013, 08:31:31 PM
With the price going so high so fast I bet there is some hysteria around BTC.  You are doing the math, which is good and rational, but sometimes people aren't thinking with their head and they just want to make BTC and don't factor in electricity.  Or maybe they have "free" electricty, I don't know.  Or they might bet the price will continue to rise and that's how they're playing it instead of buying more BTC.


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: nistagmus on December 11, 2013, 08:32:49 PM
They are not crazy. They are trying to make money, profiting from bad knowledge of people.

It's up to you don't get caught in their net.


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: miners78 on December 11, 2013, 08:38:26 PM
The thing about eBay is it is probably the fastest, cheapest and easiest way to get into bitcoin from absolutely nothing. And depending on when you buy the BTC it can be 10% more or 100% more.


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: cunixion on December 11, 2013, 08:54:01 PM
Ebay prices reflect the market demand, many people not familiar with bitcoin wrongly assume they'll make some good profit by getting into mining at any cost. I am sure there are other types of goods that sell 10x times its purchase value.


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: tearfereon on December 11, 2013, 09:02:04 PM
They are not crazy. They are trying to make money, profiting from bad knowledge of people.

Ordering miners and selling at ebay when received is best way to profit for long time


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: bitcoin_UK on December 11, 2013, 09:21:04 PM
I think there's a lot of scammers on ebay, that's why they will pay high mate. Other than that I think a lot of ebayers don't know where to go to buy these things so they pay silly money for the convenience of ebay.

You're right though, things do go for 3-4x their value and sometimes more but that's nothing you don't see here everyday as well. People with more money than sense, stay the sensible one.


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: DrG on December 11, 2013, 09:25:10 PM
If the scammer is doing a chargeback why would he care what money he is putting up for the outlay.  It just makes the poor seller just more eager to ship.

Too bad eBay won't let you know which transactions are actually successful.


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: guybrushthreepwood on December 11, 2013, 09:35:13 PM
I wish I bought some Infinitecoins off ebay for £3 for a million now. They're still worthless but people seem to be going nuts for them on ebay. I don't understand it.


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: tampazeus on December 11, 2013, 09:37:26 PM
With the price going so high so fast I bet there is some hysteria around BTC.  You are doing the math, which is good and rational, but sometimes people aren't thinking with their head and they just want to make BTC and don't factor in electricity.  Or maybe they have "free" electricty, I don't know.  Or they might bet the price will continue to rise and that's how they're playing it instead of buying more BTC.

Fortunatelly the electricity is only small percentage of the mined Bitcoin, so you dont need to factor electricity now, but next year will be different and some ASIC miners wont pay even electricity cost


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: lx on December 11, 2013, 09:53:39 PM
I would not recommend buying any mining hardware on ebay before knowing exactly what you are doing.
Otherwise Cloud mining could be an option


Title: Re: Is everyone on ebay completely crazy?
Post by: oyeTorry on December 11, 2013, 09:58:26 PM
When buying miners, many people dont calculate ROI, they just want to enter and try the BTC. Thats why so huge prices some people willing to pay