Bitcoin Forum

Hello all,

I am a professional about Speculation and after analysis BTC market for 7 years i want to share my experience.

The Spike price of bitcoin always happen after the halving. see the chart:

http://bitcoinist.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/bitcoin-1.png

Bitcoin price always touche 1/5-2/5 Of the last spike price and then it remains at a range/flat price.
We have 547 days till next halving.  One year after next halving the price will begin to rising.
So you should sell all of your bitcoins and do another thing with your money. Then after 900 days that started from today you should come back to Bitcoin market and buy some Bitcoin. Think about next 900 days when the price will be flat.
Don't put your money in the a flat market. sell your bitcoins and get some cash and do another business and make more money then buy more bitcoin at Q2/Q3 of 2021.

it's really true of what you say, that it looks like at this time bitcoin will touch the base price, and at that time we will buy more bitcoin and wait for it to return until prices rise again.

If you say a spike in value of bitcoin comes after halving, that doesn't mean it only comes after the halving of the mining reward. And we have had upward movements in price at different, varied times.

Selling off at this current low price and abandoning bitcoin for over two years is not the best approach.
Or I should say, is not my best approach. Everyone has a different outlook of the market.

Don't you think that 900 days is a little bit too much? If all of us will withdraw money from btc it will simply become even less.
What is the reason of selling to invest again later when we can simply wait?

true. Cryptocurrency market is a potenial source. It's future. :D

a good time to sell is the right time to sell and buy and my advice is not now because it is still not stable just wait first and how HODL

Most people say it is the best time to sell your bitcoin in your wallets but i suggest it is the best time to buy so as to grow your bitcoin to a greater future profit.

These market timing never really works, invest based on your instinct and belief. Cryptocurrency is the future, long term investment will win.

The answer to many complex problems and situations faced by bitcoin is usually HODL, as most people repeatedly say. And it is not always, but in this current situation, hodling is the best option.
Especially if you have diversified your assets and have holdings in various alts, some of which may be doing well against bitcoin.

Hopefully though. This bear trend is really making people sell at the wrong time. But I don't really blame them since they should really cut some losses before it will end up to worse.

Be fearful when others are greedy and be greedy when others are fearful!

>:( >:( You're making people worrying about their btc. I still think that this may be the best chance to buy btc not sell. If you sell now, You will sufferr a big loss. I'm sure that is not what you want.

its true that price rise before or after halving but not all the price spike comes from halving
some is from adoption , development , new big investor and some is from those who have faith in bitcoin that just keep holding
for me the price is almost the bottom if the panic selling will stop instead of selling just HODL

its true some are greedy while other is fearful
making panic to buy some cheap BTC
it happen a lot of times and those weak hands always regret it

Selling at this point for those who buy at higher price maybe a very big lost for them,it will be best just to still hold what in the portfolio until the price is up again

can not agree more. There are still so many joining now, i think they still have confidence on crypto. To sum up, I suggest that we should wait more, not sell at this time.

What if you're wrong?,just like you said its just your speculation,what if selling right now is not quite the right decision to make..
What if hodling and patience is actually the right thing to do in this current market situation..
It's almost impossible to give a near 50% accurate prediction/speculation,thus it's always important investors stick with their own feelings

Whatever you share on your post really logical but bro if we sell our coin in this bear market we have to count a huge loss. So in my point of view, we should keep patience a little more maybe upcoming December the price will rise again.

I am buying XTZ! One of the best projects.

I think this is not the right time to sell now. because basically the price of bitcoin is in the bottom position.
so now is the right time you can get more profits in the coming months waiting for higher price increases.

OP, what? This is the best time to buy and hold long term. This is golden opportunity, it is a gift from the gods, and the lower you buy it the better.

Newbies, the OP is no "professional". You would be selling the lows if you follow his "professional" advice.

the best time is not the current one but maybe the end of the year and next year because it's still the same bitcoin drob and is no longer stable in the near future and I think that's my best advice

Probably you have a good explanation for the right time to invest in bitcoin but think of it that past does not mean that it could still be happening for bitcoin in the future. There could be a lot of changes that will going to happen depending on the factors that will contribute on the market price chance for cyrptocurrency.

It's better to monthly buy little by little and when bitcoin the lowest of them low buy even more, more, more!!... that is my intention.. so good luck... for me to buy everything in one swoop is just a shitty money handling, because you cannot buy the lowest of the low and cannot sell the highest of the high...

Your speculation is pretty great, but for those who are still believing  with the bitcoin will still hold at all cost.

For those who have hard time understanding the graph you can check the numbers in a easier way here  https://i.imgur.com/ae9sK3J.jpg

The best time to sell is when you sell more expensive than you bought. This applies to bitcoin and altcoins and any other thing. If now you are not satisfied with the price, wait for one that you like. But never sell chipper)

I will never doubt my investment. At least I will go with it until the end.

I would like to believe it. But I think that Bitcoin will reach a high cost already in 2019.

I dont reccomend selling for now, the market is really bad but selling now is not good.
its been a long hard week for the market and the bitcoin price.
selling will give more depression to BTC price.
Help the community and buy more BTC and hold what you are having now!

It totally depends on your ROI expectations from it.
There are 2 types of investors. One who invest for short or mid term and other one are who invest for long term.
If you are satisfied with 50–100% returns then set a bid of that amount and leave it. If you want to invest for long term and want to gain whooping profits then leave your bitcoin in secured wallet and forget it for years.

If you have invested extra bucks in bitcoin then you would never regret of loses. So think well decide your ROI and act like that.

If you sell your bitcoin now you need to leave the cryptocurrency market today and you shouldn't come back again! This is not the day that wee need to talking about buying or selling, it is the day we need to decide that we stay or leave this market.. The falling is never stops in last 1 week and buy never starts.. I believe that we all fear scary right now..

since the price of bitcoin low believes that it is not time to sell. You have to wait for a slight recovery to be able to sell.

Selling at a low price is a disadvantage, and I never think of panic and choose to sell. I prefer to hold the cryptocurrency that I have, and I believe the market will grow.

It could take another year before bitcoin reach an all time high but selling those today is nothing to do with your speculations. Technical analysis no longer applies on today's market and i might say that only whales could predict when is the next big move. As an investor and a trader, all we can do to earn from it is to ride on the waves. Investing takes time before you harvest those big income so I better not sell my holdings just because of a speculations.

in my opinion, as an investor, we must be able to take advantage of every opportunity, we will get the confidence and patience that we need at any time to sell the most important crypto currencies, we have benefited

so you are an expert, lately I have seen many experts making price forecasts and analyzes of what will be in the future and these analyzes and price forecasts are always wrong


I do not understand, are you suggesting that people sell their coins and then in 900 days they will come back when the price of bitcoin will be much higher than the current price? What kind of advice is this? Do not you want to tell people to hold that in 900 days the price will increase? because it would make more sense


the price will be much higher, so it makes more sense to hold
 

bitcoin is a lucrative long-term business, it would be wiser for people to hold for the next few years

It's true that we should actively sell bitcoin in the right time to make profits and get some cash as much as we can. But, how can you be sure about your analysis? As far as I know, no one can make sure certain things like you said, bitcoin is unpredictable that's all I know. Reading your analysis is a bit doubtful. It seems like bitcoin has pattern when it comes up and go down, while it has no such thing like that, I guess.

We have different decision when we sell or to buy. In making research and reading every news you can make a decision if you are going to sell your coins or going to buy. We cannot command them what they want to do because they have rights to do what they want to do .

You are both true but I strongly believe in the Whales and manipulation factors of Cryptocurrency markets. So I analysed the market in this way.

   I will try to give other perspective from all the comments before me. It`s never time to sell, you sell and buy again only if you are trading and you
make some profit. If you believe in crypto-currencies you don`t think about selling, only about buying more.
   It`s how I think and do, I`m just buying crypto-currencies. Risk for me is when you trade you can lose your money, with holding you don`t have
worries about losing your coins. Entire crypto-market is down, that will change soon. My favorite quote here on forum is "You only lose if you sell"

Now would be a great time to get out. Better take that lifeboat before you drown.

Indeed if you want to have regret for the rest of your life.  Great time to get out during the dip, fascinating!  Oh well, it is up to you guys, though it is obvious. 


I agree.  Bitcoin had proven itself many times that it can bounce back and recover to the point of breaking and setting new series of ATH.  Just have patience.

Everyone can say they were professional on these and that but when you say speculation, there is no right or wrong on that because it's all just a speculation. What we need is a written proof like a chart, a drawing that would make us believe of what you were saying. Show us some picture and we might still consider your professionalism.

Bitcoin had proven itself too volatile, slow and unknown to the majority of people. If it had bounced back 3 or 4 times in the past doesn't mean anything at all. My be this fall is last and it will stay at $200-500 till its end (4-5 years) or may be not.

Then you can regret your decision. The market will not disappear like that and the day will come when we'll return our invested money and even more.
It's just the question of time. Withdrawing everything now means losing a lot.

They'll find their self uncomfortable and have a panic inside that's causing them to sell.  It absolutely they are losing if they do that,  but the realization will came late and regrets will follow by then.
Let them think and decide, so no one could be blame.

Well for me I don't really believe that it's now the right time to sell all your crypto currencies because if you will sell it now it will just be almost worthless because all of us already know that the crypto market nowadays is on its lowest market value so if ever you really want to sell it so you better wait a little bit more for your crypto currencies to gain more market value.

If the price has a signal to continue to drop, then I also advise you to get out, because it's very risky if you keep holding it back.
it is better to cut and buy at a lower price, but for now it seems the price is trying to recover, so hold first

well, I also sold a portion of the assets that I had when the price of bitcoin declined. however, for now, I will hold back the rest until things get better. I think, from now on, the price of bitcoin will start to rise again.

This could be biggest mistake as market has already dumped to 3500$ and selling at this low means you already selling in losses. Well upside from here is huge while downside it little. So rationally people would be investing here rather than selling as everyone knows what bitcoins rise could mean to the world as it has already shown us in 2017.

I disagree, you are making very precise predictions about when things will happen but markets do not behave with that much exactitude, if you want to make profits in the market you need to be willing to take the good with the bad and if the path to great profits is filled with volatility and stagnant prices I will take that path.