Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: ashapasa on March 21, 2014, 11:09:55 AM



Title: What is it this time? do the whales know something we dont?
Post by: ashapasa on March 21, 2014, 11:09:55 AM
Bitcoin prices slumping for more then a week, usually its easy to point out the reason or reasons for the slump, this time I have no idea. Coindesk seems to be all positive news yet the price is slumping  ???

Guys any ideas, hope the whales are not silently cashing out  :o are people getting tired of bitcoin and alts in general.
The number of coins released is staggering, madcowcoin  ;D piggycoin  ;) nigeriacoin lol hongkongcoin its nonstop.

I am happy knc is getting in the scrypt asic business, will end all these crapcoins. 


Title: Re: What is it this time? do the whales know something we dont?
Post by: EvilPanda on March 21, 2014, 11:13:34 AM
I watched the graphs and the Chinese dumped first today. Don't know why.


Title: Re: What is it this time? do the whales know something we dont?
Post by: Caesar V on March 21, 2014, 11:14:32 AM
check out the LTC dump on huobi, fucking insane! Probably made the BTC traders panic aswell.


Title: Re: What is it this time? do the whales know something we dont?
Post by: skyhigh on March 21, 2014, 11:15:26 AM
has to be something with china. so its best we wait for a chinese speaking person to raid their forums and reports back here


Title: Re: What is it this time? do the whales know something we dont?
Post by: Predatorian on March 21, 2014, 11:15:34 AM
Well hard to say what's going on, but IMO it's a good time to invest some money on btc.
I'm gonna buy some after this weekend, maybe this low price got some connection with blocked bank accounts to high positions guys from Russia?


Title: Re: What is it this time? do the whales know something we dont?
Post by: ineededausername on March 21, 2014, 11:20:38 AM
I saw in specforum that the Chinese central bank just banned bitcoin-- ordered to halt bitcoin transactions before April 15.


Title: Re: What is it this time? do the whales know something we dont?
Post by: ashapasa on March 21, 2014, 11:26:30 AM
check out the LTC dump on huobi, fucking insane! Probably made the BTC traders panic aswell.

people are just sheeps


Title: Re: What is it this time? do the whales know something we dont?
Post by: Jungian on March 21, 2014, 11:28:18 AM
Quote
At 18:22:51

China's Central Bank on March 18, issued, requiring stop all bitcoin transactions prior to April 15.

http://live.sina.com.cn/zt/l/v/finance/globalnews1/

This have been posted all over

I have no idea if it is real or not.


Title: Re: What is it this time? do the whales know something we dont?
Post by: ashapasa on March 21, 2014, 11:30:51 AM
I saw in specforum that the Chinese central bank just banned bitcoin-- ordered to halt bitcoin transactions before April 15.

fack the chinese goverment, they should have banned bitcoin completely last year.


Title: Re: What is it this time? do the whales know something we dont?
Post by: seriouscoin on March 21, 2014, 11:33:24 AM
Quote
At 18:22:51

China's Central Bank on March 18, issued, requiring stop all bitcoin transactions prior to April 15.

http://live.sina.com.cn/zt/l/v/finance/globalnews1/

This have been posted all over

I have no idea if it is real or not.

Thank god for this......

I hope this time we will eventually leave China for good. Why do sheeps keep looking at Chinese exchanges? while all their order books are fake...


Title: Re: What is it this time? do the whales know something we dont?
Post by: franky1 on March 21, 2014, 11:36:22 AM
Bitcoin prices slumping for more then a week, usually its easy to point out the reason or reasons for the slump, this time I have no idea. Coindesk seems to be all positive news yet the price is slumping  ???

Guys any ideas, hope the whales are not silently cashing out  :o are people getting tired of bitcoin and alts in general.
The number of coins released is staggering, madcowcoin  ;D piggycoin  ;) nigeriacoin lol hongkongcoin its nonstop.

I am happy knc is getting in the scrypt asic business, will end all these crapcoins.  

a few idea's
1) karpeles is selling off his hidden 540k coin out of the 740k total (giving back 200k to the community)
2) the whales of gox received their 200k and are cashing out
3) bitcoin is now diluted, less demand for bitcoin as people are now spreading their orders over 200 different altcoins instead of just bitcoin to dollar orders
4) everyone knows that the biggest periods of volume in retail is winter (now over) so there is a dull period where less are buying
5) stock markets using sell off just before the new financial year as its easier to fill in tax returns and change investments at this time
6) the gox fiasco has made people afraid and less people are throwing money into exchanges, so demand is low
7) chinese banks themselves invested in bitcoin prior to december (causing the $1200 price) then told they had to sell off by april.

i personally think 3,6 and 7 are the best contenders. but it is worth keeping in mind. the seller that sold below $600, gave it to a guy at below $600.. and that buyer (hopefully smarter then seller) would not want to sell below $600.

so i hope that the panicked/fearful sellers move away and a new breed of confident buyers are entering the economy


Title: Re: What is it this time? do the whales know something we dont?
Post by: DiamondDust on March 21, 2014, 11:37:35 AM
Well done! So i guess now it's the time to invest money on btc :)


Title: Re: What is it this time? do the whales know something we dont?
Post by: franky1 on March 21, 2014, 11:41:01 AM
Quote
At 18:22:51

China's Central Bank on March 18, issued, requiring stop all bitcoin transactions prior to April 15.

http://blankity blank blank/


dont quote a media outlet that has no proof.. instead wait until you find "the document" and post that.

people need to stop quoting media. especially when media dont show proof. as it causes misrepresentation of facts. and then when other lazy media groups see a dozen different sources talking about the same topic they then join the band wagon.

EG everyone is reading "china bank bans bitcoin" due t an article that says "it has been reported that china bank has released a document"
which people dont read, and also ignore the part that says "So far the central bank noncommittal on the news."

so dont post links like this. just post the document. again. so please dont quote media. only quote from the source. avoid the "chinese whispers" game.

to add to that, bobby lee (btcchina) said it best banks and regulated institutions cannot themselves buy bitcoin direct so only individuals can buy bitcoin. i think another theory of the slump from $1200 is that chinese banks were investing in bitcoin and now they have to sell off before april. so i will add that to my last post


Title: Re: What is it this time? do the whales know something we dont?
Post by: IrishFutbol on March 21, 2014, 12:05:15 PM
Bitcoin prices slumping for more then a week, usually its easy to point out the reason or reasons for the slump, this time I have no idea. Coindesk seems to be all positive news yet the price is slumping  ???

Guys any ideas, hope the whales are not silently cashing out  :o are people getting tired of bitcoin and alts in general.
The number of coins released is staggering, madcowcoin  ;D piggycoin  ;) nigeriacoin lol hongkongcoin its nonstop.

I am happy knc is getting in the scrypt asic business, will end all these crapcoins. 

a few idea's
1) karpeles is selling off his hidden 540k coin out of the 740k total (giving back 200k to the community)
2) the whales of gox received their 200k and are cashing out
3) bitcoin is now diluted, less demand for bitcoin as people are now spreading their orders over 200 different altcoins instead of just bitcoin to dollar orders
4) everyone knows that the biggest periods of volume in retail is winter (now over) so there is a dull period where less are buying
5) stock markets using sell off just before the new financial year as its easier to fill in tax returns and change investments at this time
6) the gox fiasco has made people afraid and less people are throwing money into exchanges, so demand is low

i personally think 3 and 6 are the best contenders. but it is worth keeping in mind. the seller that sold below $600, gave it to a guy at below $600.. and that buyer (hopefully smarter then seller) would not want to sell below $600.

so i hope that the panicked/fearful sellers move away and a new breed of confident buyers are entering the economy

I definitely think 3 is playing a major part.  Escpecially with the get rich quick group.  So much of BTC's price is held up by speculation about future use/growth, and many of these people don't want to leave money sitting around when the price of BTC is stable, so it wouldn't shock me if there are many people out there trying to find the next big thing.

The scary guess though is that it could be a fad trend.  A new amazing product is created, people go crazy and fall in love with it, then a month later, they tire of it and move on.


Title: Re: What is it this time? do the whales know something we dont?
Post by: notbatman on March 21, 2014, 12:07:09 PM
Whoever is dumping btc will run out very soon at this rate, this is worse than when empty gox went belly-up.


Title: Re: What is it this time? do the whales know something we dont?
Post by: EvilPanda on March 21, 2014, 12:25:30 PM
Whoever is dumping btc will run out very soon at this rate, this is worse than when empty gox went belly-up.
No it's not, back then we went below 500 :)


Title: Re: What is it this time? do the whales know something we dont?
Post by: arepo on March 21, 2014, 12:30:34 PM
guys, it's been said so many times already but clearly not many enough -- bitcoin price action is not motivated by news, generally speaking. "looking" for a reason for the recent slide is foolish. we moved down because we were overbought, that is, the ticker price was above the "true" value, and many traders thought that $600 was a good price to sell at. that is pretty much it ;)

--arepo


Title: Re: What is it this time? do the whales know something we dont?
Post by: RandyMagnum on March 21, 2014, 12:36:28 PM
Sounds like pure TA junkie talk.  At the least, news can serve as a catalyst for the direction it was already drifting; increasing the speed and degree the market acts.


Title: Re: What is it this time? do the whales know something we dont?
Post by: arepo on March 21, 2014, 12:40:35 PM
Sounds like pure TA junkie talk.  At the least, news can serve as a catalyst for the direction it was already drifting; increasing the speed and degree the market acts.

if this was a reference to my post, i actually intentionally left out the TA aspect besides the word "overbought". all that really means is that trader consensus is that the price is "too high", anyway.

and what you say makes sense. news influences price, but each dip and spike is not attributable to some news somewhere, as many newbies here seem to take for granted.


Title: Re: What is it this time? do the whales know something we dont?
Post by: ashapasa on March 21, 2014, 12:49:12 PM
Sounds like pure TA junkie talk.  At the least, news can serve as a catalyst for the direction it was already drifting; increasing the speed and degree the market acts.

if this was a reference to my post, i actually intentionally left out the TA aspect besides the word "overbought". all that really means is that trader consensus is that the price is "too high", anyway.

and what you say makes sense. news influences price, but each dip and spike is not attributable to some news somewhere, as many newbies here seem to take for granted.

a weeklong slide is cause for concern, newbie or vet.


Title: Re: What is it this time? do the whales know something we dont?
Post by: Cyberlight on March 21, 2014, 12:49:31 PM
Just fake news.


Title: Re: What is it this time? do the whales know something we dont?
Post by: arepo on March 21, 2014, 12:52:34 PM
Sounds like pure TA junkie talk.  At the least, news can serve as a catalyst for the direction it was already drifting; increasing the speed and degree the market acts.

if this was a reference to my post, i actually intentionally left out the TA aspect besides the word "overbought". all that really means is that trader consensus is that the price is "too high", anyway.

and what you say makes sense. news influences price, but each dip and spike is not attributable to some news somewhere, as many newbies here seem to take for granted.

a weeklong slide is cause for concern, newbie or vet.

not so sure about that. it's best to limit how your emotions affect your trading and make a plan for all possible contingencies and simply follow through. the moment you start getting concerned is the moment you sell at a market bottom, and the moment you start getting excited is the moment you buy at a top ;)

--arepo


Title: Re: What is it this time? do the whales know something we dont?
Post by: LOADING.READY.RUN on March 21, 2014, 12:55:07 PM
and what you say makes sense. news influences price, but each dip and spike is not attributable to some news somewhere, as many newbies here seem to take for granted.

News does affect price, but most of the time not in the sense that many people think. High profile news (good or bad) are a great opportunity for pump&dump whales because news make the crowd easier to control.

Other than that, I agree that we haven't finished the downtrend after the all time high -- and occasional dips are rather normal in this situation. However, it would've been a lot shallower without the panic selling from the China BTC ban fake news.


Title: Re: What is it this time? do the whales know something we dont?
Post by: seriouscoin on March 21, 2014, 12:57:19 PM
and what you say makes sense. news influences price, but each dip and spike is not attributable to some news somewhere, as many newbies here seem to take for granted.

News does affect price, but most of the time not in the sense that many people think. High profile news (good or bad) are a great opportunity for pump&dump whales because news make the crowd easier to control.

Other than that, I agree that we haven't finished the downtrend after the all time high -- and occasional dips are rather normal in this situation. However, it would've been a lot shallower without the panic selling from the China BTC ban fake news.


And why does banning BTC in China still matter?

Dont we already have a mind set that BTC cant flourish in China? Didnt we go thro this emotion last fall?


Title: Re: What is it this time? do the whales know something we dont?
Post by: LOADING.READY.RUN on March 21, 2014, 01:03:45 PM
And why does banning BTC in China still matter?
Because people are sheeple...


Title: Re: What is it this time? do the whales know something we dont?
Post by: BitOnyx on March 21, 2014, 01:27:19 PM
Bitcoin is in same trend since beginning of January. It will change at point when real big players will join. Recently there were already some rumors and news about bigger investors trying to get into bitcoin ATMs and currency exchanges. Then the trend will change dramatically.

And why does banning BTC in China still matter?
Because people are sheeple...

http://live.sina.com.cn/zt/l/v/finance/globalnews1/?update It might change soon