Bitcoin Forum

Every 4 years, we expect bull market just because of halving. What do you think when is this chain is going to broken? Ie, halving no longer equals that bull market is coming.

If that happens, then we need to adapt to it, I was thinking about that too, because the market will change at some point, it's not easily as predictable as it is now. Things will get mixed up and become more unpredictable as investors get smarter. But in the end, as long as the demand for bitcoin continues to increase while the supply cannot be replenished, I have nothing to worry about regarding the future bitcoin price. If the bull season doesn't come after the halving, we just have to wait patiently for a while, and everything will come.

50 BTC each block times 788 040 blocks = 39 mln BTC - we would have such a supply of bitcoin today if there were no halvings.
19,5 mln BTC - current supply.
It means that all 3 halvings together reduced current supply by half. so if we assume that the capitalization more or less corresponds to the amount of capital pumped into the project (project with fair coin distribution) and we assumed it to be a constant in the equation, then all the halvings we have had so far can only be responsible for doubling the price. Nothing more. 20x after first halving was not caused by halving. I still think people confuse correlation with causation.
Especially now they pay too much attention to halving, when in real terms each subsequent halving is less important for the foundations of bitcoin.

Do not bother yourself about this because no one that knows when it would be broken. The only advice I have for people that are investing in bitcoin is that they should still believe that this would still happen again after 2024 halving. It is good for investors to be positive about this. If there would be another bear market before the 2024 halving, it would be a good time for people to invest in bitcoin.

Theymos wrote this in 2020:
My take: each halving, the supply reduction is less, which means it has a smaller effect on the price. But don't underestimate the power of expectation: if enough people expect something, it can still happen.
My personal expectation (based on the price history, so no guarantees): we'll see a new ATH a year after the next halving.

I have thought about this for some times but I reached a conclusion that made me to bother less about it. There is no time that the halving effect would fade away. The bull after halving will always be there. Even if no strong analysis to do it, fundamentals which have been sunk into the memories of everyone will create the FUD needed for the bull run after the halving.
Even if miners reward isn't reduced and everything still normal, once the effect of halving has become a tradition in the cryptocurrency industry, the bull must surely happen.

Do you realise there are people who only involves in cryptocurrency during halving and the bull run, after the halving, they will cash out all their coins and continue with physical business and jobs and wait patiently for another 4yrs in order to rejoin the market.
This set of people will always move the market during the halving period, even if nothing technically serious happens.

It's not important whether that chain of "halving equates bull market".
It's only one fine line of perspective. There is a lot more dimension as to how price is trading. Yes, halving is a fundamental part of BTC and sets an outlook of bullish prices because it will affect the mining of BTC within the limited supply. It still lies down to the purpose and use of btc. As an asset and as a reserve currency. As long as people see Bitcoin, it will remain on the positive side.

You must've meant FOMO there.


This smaller effect will still likely take btc to 2x-3x from current prices while in early halvings there would have more effect just because price was lower.

Just like it's easy for coin to double from 1 satoshi to 2 than 10k to 20k.

As time goes — halvings will have less effect, and so does positive or negative news in general. But that's assuming bitcoin's demand will remain in an upward slope when viewed in a long-term timeframe.

Yeah no one knows about that but its actually fun to know the sentiments of the people regarding on what came out on their minds towards this question. Since somehow we can get an idea that can be useful especially for people seeking information about the halving effect also on how long it will take effect.

Many people are for sure positive to see good price set on halving effect so maybe some holders are now preparing to hold aiming for that event to happen.

I mean, it's still a reduction to the yearly supply, plus people entering the scene aren't exactly capped as of yet, even if we do consider that a lot has already been invested and know of Bitcoin, the same could be said for the other side who hasn't bought it yet. The matter of when can't really be answered since even if we know how much the rewards get reduced yearly, we don't have an exact number as to how many people go and leave the Bitcoin market. If you were to just solely base it on the rewards, then I'd say by the far end, which is still  decades away.

I never even thought about it, I still believe that history will repeat itself until we make new history. Thinking too much about the future can't bring us more positive results, so I don't want to overthink it.

The halving was one of the factors that helped drive bitcoin's new ATH, but it's not the only one. We still have many other factors to drive the growth of bitcoin such as supply and demand, government recognition of bitcoin...We still have many factors to expect bitcoin to create many new ATHs in the future.

ATH always occurs between 2 halvings, not exactly a few days after. I think it's just a meaningless cycle limiter that also gives the most impact, meaning that bitcoin has a 4-year opportunity to aim for a new high and during that time one doesn't stop hoping for some fundamental factors that can support reaching ATH.
And it may only take 1 more milestone to change the general public's mind if halving events do have a major effect and ATH is the extra routine after the halving.

maybe it will last for 6 months after the halving or a year or longer than that, we don't know. But what is certain is that our potential to be able to get a bullrun on the halvin in 2024 is much bigger and what we need to do now is to hold and hold, that's all.

Well, if the chain gets broken, it doesn't mean Bitcoin will get broken; it doesn't even mean 1 bitcoin will be less than 1 bitcoin. Let me just take, for instance, the Christmas saying that "faith is when you don't see it but believe it will happen," but I, as a Bitcoiner, believe in hope, and for a lot of us whose hope for Bitcoin is still high, it can still turn out to be that the bull market will still come due to other factors, even after the halving cycles have broken. Some other things, like good news, will still stand as a factor in whether a bull market will start, but if it's not so, then we have to get used to it. Perhaps Bitcoin was created to give individuals full control of their financial management.

When they were predicting back in 2021 about the super cycle, some analyst were specualting that every 4 year cycle may be broken because of the institutions adopting BTC. They were wrong in the end when eventually the bears returned after a year of bull market.

The market is just not sustainable if thewil be a bull market for over a year. The number of BTC in circulation in the market gets lessers and lesser and people sell at the ATH.

Good question as cycles have been different from the expectations that we've seen when they went in bull run, we haven't expected those tremendous gains that it had shown.

It has been sustainable. If it's not sustainable even for the next year then we've seen it drop already under $10k just after the 2021 bull run but it didn't.

And that's the factor that everyone has to consider, BTC supply will never increase and is fixed to 21M while miners are getting lesser bitcoin as reward. It becomes scarce = price increase.

Halving will never guarantee ATH, but halving will definitely have an impact on the low or high of the bitcoin price. Both supply and demand will be affected by the halving, of course it could trigger a post halving tradition i.e. new ATH.

But I agree that such an impact will lessen over time, it's just to prevent an easy pattern to predict when it will hit a new ATH. Most believe ATH will only be achieved after 1 year or within 18 months after the halving, but I'm not entirely sure when is the right time to determine it.

I think this is going to take quite some time before it happens, because the bull run that comes after the halving is produced not only due to the effects that it has in the supply and demand, the bull run also happens because people now have the expectation that it is going to happen, and it is going to take some time before those expectations are over, so if I were to guess when the halving will stop having this effect and investors will finally adjust their behavior, then the halving coming during 2044 or 2048 will be my best guess of when this will happen.

Try to look up on this article and you would be able to read up something interesting
https://blockworks.co/news/bitcoin-halvings-bull-market

We cant really be able to determine if this chain would be broken on which it turns that out when halving do happen then bull run would comes next. Why it did become a catalyst?
We cant be sure on how the community would really be recognizing such event.Its not shocking that Bitcoin would be the main basis, if it turns out that
block rewards had been cut in half but the demand still keeps rising then we do really know on what comes next.

Somewhat in overall, there's no way that we could be able to conclude out that there's always a bullrun comes after halving or something
that we call 4-year cycle.

A few more cycles and over 99% of supply will be mined. Inflation would hardly matter at that point, so the halvening of an already small inflation should not cause a bull run. But it could be that a sort of self-fulfilling prophecy tradition will become established and bull runs will still keep happening, just because everyone will think "it happened in the past, so it will happen again, so it's better to buy Bitcoin before the halvening".

It could be said the cycle has a momentum of its own at this point.  People speculate, they over do it and the market will flush out to find the base price for BTC.   Then the cycle restarts again, most of the gains for halvening arguably should be taken as the anticipation of the event.  I think we took off after 2020 because of the amount of money printing in Dollar that went on, that isnt crypto but it is the most common denomination when selling BTC hence price rose due to excessive Dollar supply and this quite slight contraction in supply of BTC.

People are looking forward to and waiting for the halving event to welcome another bull season. But if that doesn't happen, history is changed, that would be an interesting thing. The story of bitcoin collapse, dead bitcoin will spread in the market, and people will start panicking, pessimistic...It's really a situation that I believe a lot of people haven't thought of because they're all daydreaming about bitcoin hitting ATH after the halving, no one has thought of that negative yet.

The rule is simple, you have demand and supply, both of which are the main drivers in determining the price. The halving has an effect as it will affect the supply side, and therefore if there is stability in demand or an increase in demand, the price will move to adjust this imbalance.

This will not happen within a day or a week, but on average from a period of 6 months to a year and a half, and it may not happen due to circumstances, but the effect on supply still affects the price as long as there is demand.

Historical data has shown that the demand for Bitcoin has increased, and therefore there is no reason why the price should not increase accordingly.

I too expect that little by little the price increases in percentage terms will be reduced, but not only because of the lesser effect of reduced halvings supplies, but also because as the price and market cap go up it is harder to move the price, more and more capital is needed.

The same thing happens with companies, small caps tend to move more and as they succeed and consolidate, their price and market cap rise and the price stabilizes.

Halving days have happened a few times and the price has automatically increased, the first time I experienced a halving day was in 2016, when the price could increase more than 200%, and if 2024 there was another halving day and the initial year price could reach at least $50k then the halving day could be at least $100k.

This really depends on the investors or the buyers because, in every halving, the rewards decrease, meaning it becomes more valuable, but if the investors won't be buying bitcoin, then there is still no effect. It is still the cycle of buying and selling, but again, in the past halving, we've seen a lot of people adopting it, and until now, it keeps increasing, so the price will still increase as long as people or countries are adopting it.

Halving won't last long because after the bull season, the drop is really what we expect and another market struggle waiting for another 4 years and another halving.

Actually, many people had come before halving but then just leave after the bull market and after selling their coins. Then most of these people will turn back in the next halving. In this case, as long as the scheduled halving which is every 4 years, the situation will remain and I see how important is halving the crypto space as it brings more investors, newcomers, and another chance for new ATH every cycle.

Halving events are a fundamental factor. Halving events have historically been followed by bull runs, there is no guarantee that this pattern will continue indefinitely. Halving events in Bitcoin are programmatic features that occur every 210,000 blocks, roughly every four years. This reduces the reward given to miners for solving half a block, from 12.5 BTC to 6.25 BTC, ultimately reducing the supply of new Bitcoins created.

This reduction in supply has historically led to a decrease in selling pressure on the market, resulting in an increase in the price of Bitcoin. However, the market is complex and is influenced by many factors, such as investor sentiment, economic conditions and government regulations. how long does the halving last? in my opinion Halving effects in the cryptocurrency market can last for several months or even years.

If you look at the situation from the point of view of bitcoin mining, then each halving cuts the reward per block found by exactly half, therefore, to compensate for the resulting imbalance, the market price of bitcoin must also grow exactly by half, regardless of whether it is the second halving or the fifth. Of course, this is an overly simplified understanding of the issue, given the fluctuations in the hash rate in the network, the uneven production cost in different regions of the globe, and a bunch of other factors. But talking about the fair market price of bitcoin cannot be conducted without taking into account the interests of the miners who maintain the stable performance of the bitcoin network.

By the way, the current price of bitcoin looks quite fair from this point of view - if you add up the cost of bitcoin mining in the United States (and the United States is number one in the world in terms of bitcoin hashrate) plus a reasonable rate of return for mining companies, taking into account equipment depreciation.

Halving still has a great psychological meaning, although the numbers change over time and at one point in less than 10 years we will have 99% of Bitcoin mined and that 1% (210 000 BTC) will no longer be something that will mean much to the miners or to some next halving. Of course, we should not wait so long to feel that the effects of halving will weaken, although as mentioned in previous posts, halving is one constant that will probably continue to play a role for many "investors".

I remember the halving in 2016 well and it stayed in my memory, and I remember the one from 2020 (although not so well), and honestly the one that will happen in 2024 is not too important to me.

I don't know when the chain will break, but for different levels of bullishness there will probably be a halving when the halving will occur, because the four-year cycle may be almost similar to the previous one, but for the level of the bull market it will never be the same. But for the near future I don't think bulls will come easily because the conditions for Bitcoin's own movement in the market still look heavy in general.

After halving miners can't make enough money if the price stays the same after the halving. It means that they won't mine, or they will simply sell for higher. This results with market not being flooded by cheaper prices that miners used to could profit from, and instead filled with higher prices for miners to make money from.

This makes it go up, not right away, because they have some saved aside obviously, but after a while it has to go up. This is just one part of it of course, there are a lot of other reasons too but this is a main reason for it to go up. Think about how much bitcoin is mined per day and how much money that makes, it's normal for these people to decide the market, maybe in a single day it is not, but think per month or per year, it's in billions.

The influence of miners on the price of bitcoin is not dominant, but it is stupidity to underestimate it. If only because bitcoin, due to the open architecture of its blockchain, does not have the important property of interchangeability of coins. Therefore, zero-history miner reward coins will always have an increased value in the eyes of investors of a certain class.

If there would be no increase in value or in price then it would really be mostly be or be mainly be affecting those miners which it would really be indeed creating that imbalance on what you are saying.This is why it is really that hard to believe that there would be no pumps specially if the block rewards is been cut in half but the demand do keeps increasing then it would be understandable on where it would be going.
All of us do really expect about on the halving event on which this one is the most anticipated event when Bitcoin halving do happen where bull run what comes next or something that people been
really sticking their eyes on. How long it would last? No one really knows because we cant really be sure on when bull run do happen or ending it up. This is why you should really be that wise
on taking up profits on the time the price had touched up peak.

How to determine peak? There's no way on doing so because sky is the limit. Just dont make yourself get caught on when the bear market hits and wait up for another cycle.

You never thought of what? Both the halving and bull run? You are different from the majority then. For us both of them are important because a bull run is where you sell your coins. Halving can also help trigger the bull but halving is more important to Bitcoin because this is what its developers intend to. History does repeats itself including here in Bitcoin. Often times there are threads that compares the current year from the past year.

If I am not mistaken, this year, is compared to 2019. It's okay to think of the future because it helps you prepare for it. Just don't think about of the negatives because you will only worry. Indeed, BTC isn't tied in halving. There is no such chain @OP so I hope you're okay now?

Yes it's true that halving occurs after four years but as everyone knows very well that next moment of crypto market is unpredictable so we don't have exact information about the halving. It is according to the estimation that halving will take place in 2024 but when it is not possible to predict.

The hopes of crypto enthusiasts are sustain and they think that halving will occur because from previous years it occurs regularly so whenever the halving occurs price changes from negative towards positive. Halving will occurs in next year but its not 100 percent sure so just focus on investment if unfortunately having doesn't take place so bitcoin is a type of coin which doesn't go more in dip.

Well they already said that the chain is going to be broken after our last bull run, their theory is that we will have a super cycle. However, if we won't see a new all time high this year (prior to the halving), then chain is not broken.

Which means that post-halving, we might still some good price movement and then the bubble is going to be burst in 2025, just like what we have seen in the past. Yeah, past performance is not indicative of future success, but so far the bear/bull cycle is in effect every 4 years in bitcoin market. So for me, at least at this point, bitcoin halving is the catalyst for a eventual bull run.

Some of us just believe on mere speculation, and I we believe the speculation of people that we are about to venture into bullrun, whosoever that want to give us hope entering bullrun soon should give us his method of observation or analysis so that we can as well understand exactly what the problem is all about concerning the bearish and bullrun, but none of the people can give a cogent reason or point while we are expecting or about to go into a bullrun. I believe that that the brain behind a bullrun is "very visible to the blind" because it's understandable that bullrun comes as result of multiple demands of cryptocurrency or we emphasis particularly to bitcoin, when the gravity of demands in bitcoin if is absolutely higher than the supply in the marketcap, it shows that their is every tendency that bitcoin market will become bearish, so let us do not depends on previous occurrence of bitcoin, and have the mindset that it's rotational or a continuous process in bitcoin acceleration.

FOMO will happen so expect a before and after fluctuating effects. Also, do monitor the FUD that will come out because I doubt they will keep silent once the halving is near. They will try to manipulate the market by spreading false news and some investors with soft hands will bite it and panic sell expecting what was predicted can happen.
2 months before and 2 months after, be wary of those days because any day, hours, or minutes a change in price could happen. Those who have seen it will know what to do. In my case, I am now investing with lots of coffees in my stock room. :D

but for those who will heavily invest, don't expect too much that you will get profit from this. feel the sentiments of the market. you will get hints on what may possibly happen in the market if you will get acquainted of what's going on. so for now, we are more on the speculations side. but as it nears, we will get the pulse of the community and how it may influence in the market prices.

I honestly have no high expectation in this regard, halving usually only massive around when the rumour spreads and then went downhill after that, there have been several of such similar case in which halving didn't have any effect but I guess the effect is going after certain time has passed that's when the market realized that there are fewer and fewer bitcoin mined.
but honestly though just don't put too much high expectation in this event, there are many more other thing that might make the bitcoin rises even more like being invested heavily by large corporation.
but for the sake of not missing chance and opportunity just be ready to accumulate some of the bitcoin maybe things will be different this time around after all, what is not possible in cryptocurrency market in general.

If the previous halving succeeded in making the price rise then I have no doubt that the halving that will occur in a year will also make the price explode, especially if this year can be closed with a price of at least $ 60k then when the price halving will be easy to reach $ 100k, the mining process increasingly difficult to make the price will continue to increase because the stock is very limited.

We're sure about it but wait, we should also not be confident enough that everything will rise, not these shitcoins.
We are expecting that it will bring the market to another level of hype again and assume that Bitcoin will able to reach another price record in crypto history. In fact, people are waiting for the halving because they believe that this is their chance to make a huge profit and be rewarded for their long time waiting. And this can be possible if the majority are able to hold their coins, instead of dumping them upon seeing short pumps.

They dump it at the short pump because they don't have a goal for the long term and just want instant profits.
Even though our main goal is still quite far away, Whales are still even targeting the new ATH for Bitcoin and continue to hold it.

As we approach the halving period the crypto market starts to get volatile and surely the price of Bitcoin will be higher than it is today.
We all have the same goal, to hold until the ATh is reached after the halving occurs.

The halving effect will probably last for a while, but then it will drop slowly due to some FUD or when the market gets saturated.
But there will be some events that keep Bitcoin afloat, and the supply of Bitcoin to mine is also getting smaller.

Bitcoin halving is just part of reasons to be bullish about Bitcoin, the reward of Bitcoin miners goes lower and that helps with it's scarcity, this isn't the only reason why we go into Bull run every 4years.

The truth about the future bull market has everything to do with what the chart is saying, it's all in the chart if Bitcoin bull are returning or not. If you are a good Bitcoin trader that understands price action you will be able to understand what I am talking about.

After the halving do not expect a sky rocket take off, it's just an indicator that the next bull market is just starting, it'd a good time for whales to start dropping millions into the market again.

Yes, the halving expectations are often fever pitch. We find this influence on price both in pre and post halving situations. A year before halving sees price rallying up and then its crescendo is in the post halving that produces fresh ATHs for every circle.

It's a Deja Vu. We saw this same pattern in 2017 (after halving in 2016) and 2021 (after halving in 2020), expectedly next one will be in 2025 (after halving in 2024). I started with 2017 because that's when I started following Bitcoin happenings.

So far, the halving effect has worked 100% of the time. I think there will be another increase in 2024. Only each time the rise is smaller. I don't know where the bottom will be for bitcoin and if it was at 14k. But if we assume there was, then after the next halving we can expect a price above 100K per bitcoin, which is not much from the current price. If the bottom is still ahead, then the profit after the halving could be big.

No one can answer exactly what you say, and no one knows what will happen in the future. So what are you looking for to answer your question?
Everything everyone says here is based on their own opinion or speculation, which means let's just wait or wait for what will actually happen when Bitcoin's halving is already there and it's happening until it's over.

Halving day is a moment that creates panic to buy immediately because mining stock will be reduced, this makes mining even more difficult, I used to have a friend who was mining bitcoin with 5 S7 units, after a few months I could get RoI because in 2016 there was a halving day which made an increase fantastic, unfortunately the mining level is also getting more difficult so at the beginning of 2018 he sold everything.

I would expect the effects of halving to reduce as the mining progresses. If there are fewer and fewer bitcoins left to be mined, and the trend is towards a higher price and higher market cap, the effect on the price is likely to gradually diminish.


Normally the big pump happens about a year after the halving, but this does not necessarily happen every time and even if it does, it is normal for the pump to be lower as more halvings have passed and there are fewer bitcoins left to be mined.

Of course, that's just a personal guess as no one has a crystal ball to see into the future. But there is nothing wrong with people believing that history will repeat itself because it has happened 3 times in the past, and there is no obstacle. We can't do anything but wait, but always keep an optimistic spirit, believe in bitcoin and your choice. As investors, we need to have faith and an optimistic mindset rather than pessimism. I still believe that history will be on our side and a new ATH will be created.

No one could be able to predict the future and there's no way we could really make out assurance that halving event could kick out the bull run but well as we do able to see into those previous years.You cant
really ignore on how Bitcoin did really behave or the entire market did really end up when halving effects kicked in. We cant be sure though if this would really be happening on upcoming ones.
This is why better prepare yourself for this upcoming event, now is the time to make some accumulations of coins specially Bitcoin and do make out some bags with some altcoins too.

You wont really be able to see yourself to progress if you wont really be making out some wise move or doesnt really move or make action at all. Halving effects could neither
be evident on this upcoming halving or wouldnt really be having no effect at all. There's no way on telling it out because we are just
all speculators on here.

I don't know if this is the optimal strategy to go about price expectations in general :D Rather not. As was pointed out, expectations are important and can move mountains, but there are several parameters that are vitally important to Bitcoin prices and many of those parameters are impossible to anticipate or even assess the relevance and a respective price tag for. Nobody knows what sort of unexpected events could happen. I am sure we now know that bad incidents can happen which impact the global economy as a whole. If you only take the halving and crunch some numbers, the impact should not be as severe anymore as it used to be, but as many reasons as there are that could get Bitcoin go up a lot, I guess as many are there that could get Bitcoin into (temporary) trouble in terms of its price. It is the typical list maybe starting with regulation, and then all the other garbage we have going on in the world right now.

as long as the demand and supply maintain this way then halving will never bring nothing to the market.
but of course things will be different if we are talking about the next 50 years ?  ;D ;)
But I Have no Idea actually because what I do believe is that Halving will always stays that way and the effect will constantly bring upgrade in market value as of how many miners and investors will benefit from that.
well , That is why we are only expecting and predicting here.

things may change  sideways or against our expectation that is the reason why we need to be ready in all instance , never expect
too much or face the consequences .

People tend to believe in things that have brought a positive change in the past, and we have seen that after halving, the price of Bitcoin gets pumped heavily, that is how it got to its all-time high in the past and that is exactly what people are expecting from the upcoming halving as well, it's all about market sentiment at the end of the day.

Even if halving itself doesn't have much of an effect on the price, the beliefs of people will surely push it since there will be huge buying pressure right before the halving since people expect a rise after it, so that pressure itself will push the price to go up.

No one knows when the Bitcoin halving chain will "break" or no longer affect the upcoming bull market. Halvings are a fundamental part of Bitcoin and can affect the bullish price outlook as they affect the limited supply of Bitcoin. But indeed there are many other factors that can also affect the movement of Bitcoin prices as a whole. Nonetheless, investors investing in Bitcoin should stay up to date with market developments and conduct careful research to understand the fundamental factors that affect the price of Bitcoin.

In addition, it is important not to rely too much on a single factor such as halving in making investment decisions. Of course, being positive about a potential future bull market is a good thing. Ultimately, the price of Bitcoin depends on the trust and confidence of Bitcoin investors and users. As long as there is trust and confidence in Bitcoin as an asset and reserve currency, then the price of Bitcoin can remain positive.

I also believe that one day this will be broken, the market will change, and new history will be made because the market cannot repeat itself so easily, everyone can predict. You are right, the halving is very important and can be considered the most important factor in the past bitcoin bulls. But it is not the only factor driving the rise of bitcoin. So if history is broken, what we need to do is keep our faith, and stand our ground on bitcoin, then there is nothing to worry about. For me, the value of an asset will depend entirely on supply and demand, as long as the demand for bitcoin keeps increasing even without the halving, the price of bitcoin will always increase over time.

Unfortunately, the majority of crypto users are impatient, they be expecting a massive bull run after just few days from the halving, that’s not realizable to be honest, The main goal of halving is to decrease the supply of Bitcoin and the reward of mining. However, the result will be achieved after few months from the event.  For example in previous halving specifically on May 2020 , the price went from $8k to $40k on January 2021. In conclusion, Bitcoin requires Patience if you don’t have it, simply you don’t belong this field. In addition to that, I am pretty sure that BTC will rise significantly and hit ATH in next halving specifically by the end of 2024 or the beginning of 2025.

Market couldnt really be just having that one way or path to take on which we might be seeing that it is really that decreasing but there would really be a day or time comes that there would really be a change trend.
It might not be happening for this year but we cant be sure if it wont be happening on the next one into another. We cant really be just staying up this low on which it would really be that understandable that market
couldnt really be just having a single point or path to take.This is why its better to be wise on taking up some action on which you should really be positioning yourself while the market is still bearish
or simply the bull run isnt kicking in.

Now we do have recent problem about huge network congestion which it would really be the main problem about scability. For sure this would really be an another focus on raising up some issue about
Bitcoin. Halving event is fast approaching and we cant really be so sure on how the market would really be reacting into this one.

That is not true. Of course there is always a massive hype after the halving followed by a correction in price which brings BTC to a bear market, but even with the bearish market after the bullish season the price is still pretty decent compared to previous cycles.

The halving is one of the most important events along Bitcoin history and probably the one investors have most expectations of a positive impact over Bitcoin price. If you don't have great expectation regards this event, I really don't know what excites you the most about what can happen to Bitcoin futurely.

In 2020 I remember it was quite lethargic post halvening, its really not obvious or deliberate effect at this point the alteration to block reward is only alongside other factors.    Biggest clue is take both components of the price as relevant to direction so BTC but also Dollar, we must look up DXY and its direction.   The ideal is DXY is weakening and comparing to 2020 that especially occur until July of that year, BTC did respond and outperform in July 2020 I remember much surprise into just the last couple weeks closing out the month.    That drifted back until autumn and then really took off,  my clue is something like that but also a pattern of the lowest prices rising consistently over months; that would reference 2017 also a large gain started small.

It’s too early to expect a bullish trend that emerges before the halving. The halving won’t take place until April 2024. And bulls will be rampant 6 months before that. We should hope for their activity from about November 2023.

The state of the network which is currently filled with spam transactions so that the fees are rising very high, raises doubts that the halving will have an effect on the price of BTC which is common in several previous halvings, so it is true that you are saying that it is still too early to judge the state of the market after the halving later right now, because the network will improve and people will return to transacting normally, because if this continues it will slowly leave Bitcoin for a while and use other networks to transact.

However, slowly the halving effect may decrease because repeats will be easy for the market to take advantage of and big institutions or whale will take other steps that will be more profitable for them than retail.

The halving will happen in about a year and usually there will be a big increase, but now the market is weakening again and the hope that the price of $ 35k can be reached before the 10th of may seems difficult to achieve, the most important thing is that the price can rise soon this year and at least be able to approach ATH what will happen in 2021 so that when the price halving can reach at least 2x the ATH in 2021.

Last halving happened on May and the positive effect started appearing on October. There was a gap of about 5 months, which is expected. That is why some predictions say even though next halving is going to happen in 2024, we may see a strong bull run only in 2025, because that is the time it takes until the halving impacts the market and investors' mindsets considerably.

Dollar index can boost the bull run in both directions, strengthening or weaking it, depending its currently status after the halving. Inflation rates in US can also influence Bitcoin's fluctuations.

The Halving effect will certainly make a large price explosion, when the market is in a bear condition then when Halving occurs will make anyone immediately buy so that the demand increases, this has happened several times and we also have to prepare from now before the price becomes more expensive.

I also believe the halving effect or the time it takes for bitcoin to reach a new ATH will be altered as things are getting too predictable, but we won't know when that will change. We can't do anything but believe in history until everything changes.

Cryptocurrency is still a market manipulated more than it is based on supply and demand, so things will be mixed up, and resetting the game will only be a matter of time. We should have more than one plan to prepare for the unexpected, rather than just having one plan and believing too much in the halving.

The halving will occur in June 2024, as usual when a halving occurs there will usually be a high price increase, many speculators take advantage of the halving moment to buy at the beginning and sell when they feel they are getting a big profit, just like now if we don't buy now then we will regret.

The increase on the price after the halving is not only produced by speculators trying to earn a profit, this happens because since the coins the miners can get out of each block as a reward get halved, now they have to increase the price at which they sell that bitcoin or they will sell at a loss, as such the supply of coins available at exchanges begin to go down due to the halving as well, creating the perfect combination for explosive growth to happen all at once, however it takes a little bit for those effects to be felt which is why the price does not skyrocket right after the halving and some months need to pass before the increase in the price actually happens.

We can see from the logarithmic curve that we are experiencing diminishing returns. I think it will always have an effect but a lesser one over time. The only way to counter this theory is for bitcoin to pump well into the 6 figure number at some point next year, keeping an eye on the stock to flow model just in case

How much more on the time when bull run kicks in? For sure we would really be that experiencing the same thing. Speaking about halving effects then we arent just focused only on the fees on that time but rather we would be seeing on the possible bull run which we know the price will really be climbing up that high. How long it would last? No one really knows and no one even knows on when Bull run would kick in. This is why we should really be that versatile on whatever things that we might encounter along the way. We cant really be even more so sure if there would really be
some bull run to happen or none. This is why expect the unexpected as always yet there's no way on knowing on how the future would be looks like.
This is why its better to be prepared on whatever happens because bull run might kick in on late 2024 or Q1 or Q2 of 2025. No one really knows.
Just be sure that you would be taking up some profits on the time that it would be reaching out some new all time highs or something that you do prefer because each one of us does have
their own target on the making.

Having multiple plans is always a must with any form of investment, particularly with cryptocurrency it could bring the best. We can expect the market to be bullish around the days of halving, but it isn't assured. This can happen prior to the days or after the days of halving.

Market manipulation is part of the market, however this is done big with crypto market compared to the traditional market. With investment it is always good to plan for the worst, which assure with maintaining the portfolio in all worse situation of the market.

Halving will reduce the supply in mining so that it makes it difficult for miners, this is what we can use to buy more because the possibility of profit is greater, halving has occurred several times and has been proven to be able to make high price increases.

Or it could be May as well, but regardless, it's an event that everyone is the bitcoin community is expecting. And yeah, it will be months before we can felt the bull run, it could be a month after the halving or 6 months, depending on the investors on how much money they are going and willing to pour that time.

And assuming it will happen, it will be 2024-2025 run and maybe at the end of 2025 we will see the bubble being burst again. Nevertheless, what we are talking here is how big the bubble will be? $100k minimum? we will see and for sure we are all excited about the incoming bull run next year.

The 740,000th block is expected to be mined in April 2024, so that is when the halving will occur and not June 2024. The price will surely be affected since we have seen that happening in the past and one of the main reasons for that is the hype obviously alongside the block reward reduction which slightly reduces the increasing circulating supply.

People tend to buy a lot of Bitcoins right before the halving since they think the price will explode right after it and that is one of the reasons why it gets pretty strong by that time due to the buying pressure and it then goes up in price.

doesn't mean it's difficult for miners but more of limiting further the coin mined and also could make the price of bitcoin becomes higher due to the fact that it also increase the feeling of scarcity of the coin.
I'd say it's always good to have coin that is deflationary, but sometimes the halving doesn't have as much effect on the price, usually when rumours appearing and resurfacing the coin will have some spike and rally but after that rarely nowadays I see that it could further pump the price, but what matters though, if this halving could somehow bring up bitcoin and start new bullrun then it will all be better.
after all we've had enough of bearish that I think we are no more in bearish market considering many altcoins are also having quite good price spike.

I don't see what you mean about Bitcoin pumping to figure 6 either way. But if you look at the price chart that has occurred over the last two days, it is very clear that the recovery in the Bitcoin price is decreasing, which means it no longer looks significant, although I still think and hope that this will not last long for Bitcoin. Because I really want to see a pump in this month even if it's only a few percent to $30K again so the price recovery rate can look good again in Bitcoin.

It takes one full year to peak and another one full year after that to make it go back down. I feel like that's the important thing we need to remember. We had 2016 halving, the peak at 2017, the down at 2018 and not only that we had 2020 halving, 2021 peak, and 2022 down after that as well.

It means 2024 will be halving, 2025 peak, and 2026 down as well. If that is the situation we are in by that time, I will be easily able to say that I told you so and not many people really listened to me. People should stop checking these and start listening to me because that is a good thing to follow, it is historically accurate. If you do not take any lesson from the past, then you are doomed to make the same mistakes over and over again. I personally keep buying, and will buy until 2025 without a doubt.

You know for your information, only time will tell when it will happen to break. Because no one knows what you will ask for the future. But even so, the split will remain a significant part of Bitcoin's life cycle. And it will definitely have a big impact on the price of bitcoin in the coming future in my opinion. But it's possible that the split won't be enough to trigger the upcoming bull market.

There is no one who can tell what will exactly happen every halving.
But we can only speculate on this matter. Even long timers and so-called experts can't give you a guarantee on what's to come.
There may be positive movements before or after halving, but we can't say for sure if that will happen in every halving.
Because the technology is evolving fast and we don't know how long this technology will last.
Who knows in the near future, bitcoin will be obsolete, what can we do if that scenario will happen?

This cycy won't break until all the Bitcoin has been mined then miners won't be rewarded with new bitcoins anymore but only the fees used in transaction  will be used to reward them. Only when this happens can the cycle be broken and a new bull cycle will be introduced into the market.

The bull market comes because of lesser bitcoins are been introduced into the cryptocurrency market therefore if we still have lesser Bitcoin been introduced into the market in every four years then we'll still be having the bull market of four years until it stops.

If halving of Bitcoin is stopped because all bitcoins has been mined into existence, another reason for we to have a bull market will be introduced. Maybe it could be because of the adoption of Bitcoin by government as it's been used globally or other reason that aren't yet known.

Agree with you that the future is unpredictable, bitcoin may continue to repeat history or never will. But as bitcoin investors, we should be optimistic and believe in it because if it continues to rise, we will benefit greatly, so don't be pessimistic. But investing means risking your money, we should also have a plan for the worst case scenario. What I mean is that we need to be optimistic and realistic, not too delusional and not too pessimistic.

We dont really have that crystal ball to know on what the future would look like.It might happened in the past but doesnt mean that it would happen in the future which we know that everything is really that unpredictable.We've seen halving event did make out some trigger with those golden bull runs that we do have into those specific years on which it is really just that normal that people would be presuming out
on this way.This is why if you do have this kind of insights about its potential price in the future then accumulation would really be entirely be depending on you. Its our money then its our full rights on what
we should gonna do with our money and we know that in every investment there's always an accompanied risks which is something that very normal to have.
Whether there's some halving effect or not but at least we've done our risk taking on investing into something which we know that it does have potential.

Any investment must have a risk. But if you already understand what you are investing in, such as Bitcoin, you are fully responsible for the risks that will occur.
If you get the profit it will be a matter of pride for you.

Your money is your right, whatever you want to do with the money you have is your responsibility.
But it's wiser to follow investments that have good potential in the future.

Halving is a sign that Bitcoin continues to grow. Everyone hopes that the halving effect will be felt in the price of Bitcoin which continues to rise.
Just look at History Halving, every halving will occur Bitcoin price will increase.
The halving is about 1 year away and now is the right time to start collecting Bitcoins. DWYOR

Honestly, I think things will change, the game is getting too predictable, and if it doesn't change, everyone will get rich, and who will spend the big bucks buying bitcoins when we sell it for 100 thousand dollars? This is a financial market, not a charity, which means there will always be sellers and buyers, and there will always be winners and losers. So when everyone expects $100k worth of bitcoin to be sold, who will be the buyer? Market changes are inevitable.

I get your point and it is a good one, but I think it’s an opinion of someone who is too close to the game. Most people think Bitcoin is a scam that is going to crash and burn someday. The majority hasn’t bought in. For us, the 4-year cycle seems obvious and too easy to exploit, but the majority of people do not understand the market and how things like halvings affect it. Just do yourself a favor and put some money on your belief. Don’t let others discourage you from what you can clearly see.

The same can be said about almost any market and people still fall for it every single time, during the dot com bubble all kind of unprofitable ideas were sold to uneducated investors with the use of a huge amount of jargon and people fell for it, and the same was true for the real estate bubble and many other bubbles we have seen over the years, and this market is not the exception, we had icos, ieos, NFTs and more, and in the particular case of meme coins people keep falling over and over again despite the knowledge those coins can only pump and dump.

The historical market price plays a crucial role in predicting cryptocurrency prices. When we look at the previous halving event of Bitcoin, we observe a significant price surge leading up to the halving, which continued even after the event, ultimately resulting in a new all-time high. This upward trajectory did not occur overnight but rather spanned several weeks. I anticipate a similar pattern repeating itself in the upcoming year. The sentiment surrounding the bull market is likely to commence earlier, possibly towards the end of this year or the beginning of next year.

That is actually a good question and I also curios about that. I mean there is no guarantee if we gonna make new ATH when The halving comes, but the cycle is like that. since the model is like deflation I think this not gonna stop in near future since adoption is growing now according this blog https://blog.chainalysis.com/reports/2022-global-crypto-adoption-index/

When the adoption keep growing and halving start I think we are gonna witness new ATH till the adoption is slow or not growing again

What you say makes sense, the market is too predictable for things related to halving. Even on this forum, almost all investors are waiting for the bitcoin price to rise after the halving, and we will take profits immediately. So who will spend hundreds of billions of dollars buying back our bitcoins? This really needs to be thought of, and we should have a plan for that.

But we are also unlikely that history will be changed, and there is still a chance that history may repeat itself. No one knows? But to keep things from getting too complicated, I will believe in history until a new history is made.

Indeed, there are many causes and factors, such as shifts in market dynamics, changes in regulations, or changes in investor sentiment, but what we have to remember is that there are 345 days left until the next half of Bitcoin, I think this process has reached 71%. Usually, during this period, Bitcoin tends to show a positive trend and rarely experience future retracements and it is highly recommended to collect more cryptocurrency with a minimum of 50% of the deposit in crypto retained as a potential opportunity for investment later.

Well, it's true that no one can know the exact outcome of the future or the price movement but what we do is just speculate and predict the future outcomes based on the results we've seen in the past, and about halving, people have seen that the price generally goes pretty high after the halving event and that is what they think will happen again.

And, even if halving has nothing to do with the price movement of Bitcoin, I think this mindset will surely help the price go up since a lot of people will start buying in bunches when the halving is near only with the mindset that they will be in huge profit soon.

It is possible that at some point in the future, the correlation between halving events and subsequent bull markets may weaken or break entirely. it's important to note that historical patterns are not guaranteed to repeat in the future.

The halving that occurs every 4 years will of course always be awaited, mining stock is reduced by 50% making the mining process more difficult, it is natural that some friends who used to mine are now selling mining equipment at low prices, they even say that mining is no longer profitable, halving make a significant price jump.

I feel like it at least lasts like 6 months to 12 months. At first there will be hungry demand for Bitcoin. Then we will move above threshold confirming there is bull run. And at that point we can observe altcoin rallies too. But I think this time halving effect on bull run may be more limited because literally everyone wait for it. There is big Bitcoin demand already. Market weather never truly became hopeless. So demands and expectations will be lot more different.

Halving is a much-awaited event, halving is a solution when the market is red like today, the presence of halving will make many people speculate by buying more bitcoins so that the price will immediately rise. now is a good time to buy before the halving that will happen in a year.

I think the impact of the halving effect on the price of Bitcoin in the next year is not of a fixed or definite duration. If we put the data in the history of Bitcoin, the price has experienced a significant increase after each halving. However, this is not a guarantee that the same will happen in the future. for a positive increase I think it will all depend on market dynamics and other factors. By the way, the market is getting red again. Buy The dip again.

There are many events in crypto and halving is one of it. The reason why it's much awaited is because people see that it can bring a positive effect in the price of a crypto but not in a market as a whole though if the halving occurs in bitcoin, there is a chance that other coins will also share the same benefits.

A red market is not a curse. We don't need a remedy for it but don't worry because green market will just occur when it is now the time. Cryptos are already speculative but yeah some might get more excited and buy more coins the closer we get to the event. For the rest, the won't ride the hype as whales can shift the direction. This can also be called as a bull trap.

I don't know, but according to history halving did trigger the market to be bullish,
and it was proven in 2020 to 2021 where the crypto market was very bullish,
and the predictions for 2024-205 will also be the same, but we also have to know where we have to invest in altcoins,
of course choose the altcoins that indeed as strong in fundamentals as CZ spoke of.

If indeed you know about halving predictions in 2024 to 2025, why should you invest in altcoins? While Bitcoin is much better. Isn't the main thing to look at in taking advantage of the bullish moment because of the halving is Bitcoin, because Bitcoin can also be the basic foundation for altcoins to increase at the halving moment so you don't have to spend more time and money on altcoins, but try to use time and your money goes to Bitcoin more and the rest is to altcoins which rank not far from Bitcoin.

This is true that we have just heard that halving will take place in next year but we are not familiar with its guarantee therefore one can just plan for their profit and can take step towards it but the reality is unknown that what will happen during halving and what will be the effect of halving?

I think in 2023 most of the people will accept bitcoin for investment so the price will go up and we also know that as halving takes place and fortunately the price goes up so lots of people will also be in desires to multiply their income and get it by selling bitcoin so may be at that time the situations becomes opposite.

 This is also true that technologies are regularly changes so may be the technology of halving changes and have some other impacts so just hope for the good and you will get the better.

Halving would usually kick in on halving neither before (unlikely) and after(likely to happen) basing up on the history then we could really that there's really a probability.
Thing here is that if you do have those accumulate coins not only limited to Bitcoin and with some alts too on which it would really be having that kind of advantage considering that
benefits or chances on making profits would really be that limited on single source.This is why it would really be that better if you are really that mindful on what about your targets and goals in life.
We know that there's no guarantee if it would happen or not but it would really be that sensible if you are really taking up these initial steps so that you would really be able to
make that benefits on the time that the market  would really be making that cycle or having that opposite situation on which we are really that pumping like hell.

This situation will end if Bitcoin reaches more people. Otherwise, it always continues in a certain process. It continues as bear season and bull season. Breaking this cycle, I think, ends when more people are reached. This is something we are getting closer to each year. Time is and will continue to work in bitcoin's favor.

Most of the people around me trade only during the bull period. They have no investments and only receive certain profits for that period. I'm an investor and I don't look at bitcoin just to make a profit. This cycle will of course be broken one day and then we will be lucky people.

After all, the volatility of the market continues because not all people will able to understand, and even if it was spread globally (which we already have), some will still ignore this. Thinking about the situation seems to be a reason why Bitcoin had a slow adoption, people don't embrace this fast as they have also observed how it is done. Because at the moment that they will see remarkable progress, that would change their mind possibly but to the point that they will hear many people got scammed, I couldn't think they will.

when the adoption is already massive, where most people are already using this currency in their day to day living. it means, stability is more or less attain at this time. the more stable this market is, the more it is being used in the payment sector. but up until now, it is hard to speculate for its future.
every halving can still have big influence on its market. and the adoption is still low compared to the world population, so we still have a long way to go on this matter.

When Bitcoin emerged the halving dates were clear. We do not know when the halving will break but in an environment where the halving dates are certain we can talk about stability and i can say that the break will not come. It is very normal to have volatility in the intervening time. Bitcoin has always stepped forward after its halving and it will be so in this upcoming halving process. Even if they block Bitcoin it will continue to grow with us.

Halving has happened several times and has proven to be successful in making prices skyrocket, and in a year the halving will occur and make us have to prepare from now on, the best solution is to immediately buy and sell when there is a price explosion on halving day, I'm sure the price can reach at least 2x of price now.

Well, the halving has a few effects.  You see the price run up in anticipation of the halving, then you see the price fall after the halving as investors take profits or become exhausted waiting for the bubble.  Then about a year later as demand surpasses supply you see a massive bubble in the price until investors find a place they feel comfortable cashing out.  Then the cycle repeats.  As far as when this cycle breaks?  That will be when mining investment is so overdone that it causes a feedback loop downward spiral of bankruptcies that eventually tanks the price, compromises security, and then that will be the end of Bitcoin.  At least that's how the pessimist scenario plays out.

There's always that positive approach or insights or guts or expectations that there would really be some huge pump or something we do call it a bull run when halving event of Bitcoin would come.
This is why if we do really look into that positive side of things on which we are really that aiming for bull run. Halving effects? Its always been positive. The only question on here is that
on when it would happen? There's no way that we could be able to tell on when it would start and this is why its just right that we should really be placing ourselves on the bottom.
If you do make yourself get missed on that opportunity then for sure  you would really be having that kind of regret which it is really that supposed you have done it earlier.
This is why its really that important that you should really be the ones who do take up that risks on the time when the prices is still low.

Rough estimates is that it will happen in the last week or April or First week of May. But it doesn't matter the date though, what matter is that this is one of the most important even in bitcoin's history as it triggers the only catalyst for a massive bull run in 2024-2025.

Regarding the OP's question, I doubt that the cycle will break, and there is a reason for why it is called a cycle, the end result might be different, the bull run might not be as big as what we expect, or it could be massive. But one thing is for sure, it will continue to go on whatever the circumstances will be in the market.

Halving is something that we are really waiting for to overcome the bear market, halving is proven to be able to pump prices even though the previous conditions were very bad, I experienced 2 halvings in 2016 and 2020, and this year's hope is that the price can reach $ 100k so that investor confidence continues to increase .

You can even expect a price of over $100k for the next ATH, but be realistic about the odds. Even if $100k is possible to break during the next bull run, you should be confident enough to survive any swings into the rest of the year. The SEC may have some influence on the crypto market in general, but if you are optimistic about the prospect of a good year ahead then hold on and accumulate.

it is very obvious that people that make profit in cryptocurrency investment most especially bitcoin investment is people that buy whenever the price depreciate in value and stock for periods of time waiting for a bullish market to take place before they said they are Bitcoin it is people that make a profit for investment of Bitcoin,  long duration of Bitcoin investment it is the thing that always bring profit foreign investment so therefore I believe that every investor knows it's own strategies to make profit whenever Bitcoin is having challenges of depreciation in the market, so I believe that Bitcoin investors who knows the rudiments of Bitcoin know a particular time to invest in Bitcoin so that they will be able to make a good profit for the investment, another thing that comes to my mind whenever buy Bitcoin for investment is to give you a coin for long time and the wait for the market to increase so that you'll be able to make a reasonable amount of profit whenever there is a occurrence of bullish market

Hopefully it won't happen and the halving will always be like history in the crypto market,
if the halving is no longer the same then it will be the start of the cryptocurrency crash do you want that to happen? yes of course definitely not!.
Halving will happen in 2024 and hopefully after halving Bitcoin can reach $100k.

Before the halving happened, we really couldn't talk much about the price of Bitcoin,
especially since the price of Bitcoin is currently very vulnerable to a dump due to SEC news.
I myself am also still observing whether another dump will happen or not, if not then buying in this area is very good.

One of the habits of bitcoin is during the halving era, there will be price movements to increase, but the halving will occur next year, not this year, so it is unlikely that there will be any movement towards improvement, let alone reaching $ 100K. it is possible that if it goes according to the habits that are often done by bitcoin then it is possible that $ 100K will be able to reach where it should have happened in 2021, and ATH the following year will be even more and we are waiting for that.

we really couldn't talk much about the price of Bitcoin and Hopefully it won't happen and the halving will always be like history in the crypto market and you should be confident enough to survive any swings into the rest of the year. The SEC may have some influence on the crypto market in general and  long duration of Bitcoin investment it is the thing that always bring profit foreign investment so therefore I believe that every investor knows it's own strategies to make profit whenever Bitcoin is having challenges of depreciation in the market,

Hope is not enough because when everything becomes so easy to guess, everyone easily wins, who will accept defeat to let us win? The marketplace is a battlefield, and there are always winners and losers. I still hope history repeats itself, but I wouldn't be surprised if history were changed because too many people know about it, and that means everything will change soon. Don't just wait and hope, we should have a plan for a scenario if history doesn't repeat itself, and if it happens, we won't be too shocked or disappointed. Investing is risky, so always be prepared and ready to face difficulties.

From last halving in 2020 which brought to the the last ATH 69k, if you count the number of years from when the market started moving to when we made new a ATH was roughly about 2 years before the bear cycle kick started. With more reduction coming into place in the supply of BTC  in the next halving, I still believe that we will continue to see BTC rise in price probably till 2025 or even extend to mid 2026 before we could see another bear market.

People should really be thinking up this way on which that there's no easy way or method on which everyone would be a winner. This is why when everyone is really that anticipating or expecting that there would be some huge bull run incoming after the halving event then we cant really be so sure if theres really that bull run on which everyone is really talking into. Its true that there would really be those losers and winners on the other side on which it is really that precise on talking about being a battlefield.Everything is unsure on what would gonna happen and this is something that would really be that unpredictable.

This would really be survival of the fittest and the wisest in regarding with their decisions. If you do saw that halving event would really be that significant for you to make gains later on.Then you would definitely
be making out those early steps on the time that you would really be seeing some opportunity on which it is really just that a common approach to have.

I think that has nothing to do with this. The halving is nearly a year away from now, even if we take the soonest estimations, it is 10 months away from now, and the SEC issue is todays issue, it will be long gone in a few months for sure. Binance will be fine and everyone will forget that this ever happened by the time we reach to halving.

Because of this we should be seriously considering how it will get as good as we hope for and shouldn't really be worried about it. I know that it will not be a good situation and it will be considered a big deal, I just think that it would not be a big deal at all, that's the thing. I know that we are at a very fragile and vulnerable period today, but halving is far enough period that we can get ready for that even today because it will be a totally better time by then.

The halving that will occur in about 9 months, of course, makes us optimistic that it will trigger price increases in the market, as has happened several halvings, the increase can reach 2 or 3 times, of course this is a good factor for us to buy now, unfortunately it's still Many people are doubtful and always afraid that the price will drop again, and I think if we don't buy now we will regret it.

It's bull market trend. Really I much appreciated with you. There have 4 years that can change the trend. Hopefully I can say, it's the time to growing bitcoin again and again.

I agree, people are overreacting to this news and consider this to be something that will take a long time, but that doesn't mean that we are going to end up with anything that would be 10 month long, it is not a news that bad and it will be gone by that time. People will start to buy bitcoin like crazy when it gets closer to halving and the price will go up, and in return we are going to end up with a lot of situation where it is going to be a lot less worrisome.

I know that it is not going to be that simple to just go up, so it will be gradual, not like all in a single day, it will be like a great day then 3 bad days and another great day but 2 bad days so overall will go up eventually but it will be slow and gradual process until we get there.

The current market is indeed very good for growing your portfolio by buying altcoins or bitcoin,
because we see that the price of both is currently at the bottom, it would be a shame if we just watched because the halving will also happen soon,
be patient 2024 is only a few months away.

Many people think that if bitcoin can't make ATH anymore then the downward trend will continue, especially now that most people only use bitcoin for daily trading so that the market immediately drops again when they see a price increase, and halving is a trigger that can pump bitcoin because it's proven from several successful price pump halvings.

Have you researched all Bitcoin users in this year? So you say that most people only use Bitcoin for day trading. Even though I'm more sure that at this time there are still many people who save Bitcoin for investment and don't bring it into daily trading because maybe they still believe in the next increase in Bitcoin.

In addition, the decline and increase in the market for Bitcoin is not always caused by traders, because other reasons are still very possible to make the price of Bitcoin decrease, as well as when it increases. So you also can't think like that if you only research a small number of people who might be around you for daily trading matters and the assumption that some people who don't believe in Bitcoin to make ATH again isn't necessarily true for now.

It seems you are wrong, because according to data analysis that I read on several social media such as Twitter and news on Telegram,
that the number of bitcoin holders is currently increasing, meaning that many people still believe bitcoin is capable of reaching a new all time high after the halving, not even disbelief.
you should research first before that, thank you.

Recognition and adoption is really that moving forward but not on the sense on a light speed but rather on a gradual manner but at least we are seeing that there's a significant increase over time or years passing by.It is really just that its been slowed down on the time that the market would really be having tons or lots of issues specially in talks about regulation and other correlated things along the way which its not really that shocking or surprising that government do really love on stirring things up.How long they would last if we do speak about halving event? We do really have those charts seeing about days in between runs.

Thing here is that we cant really be sure if it would be seeing same numbers or would be nearing those digits. Recognition is on the move but due to some regulation issues then it is been slowed down.
Somewhat doesnt matter on what are the issues that we do face, important is that this market isnt really near on its demise and we do have that so called cycle.

We might not be at the bottom just yet, and no one really knows what the bottom price will be, we can only make predictions and speculate but the market can always go against us and prove us wrong, so we should simply act as per the market and how unpredictable it is instead of following our own instincts. Expert analyzers might give indications about the next moves of the market but even they are not sure about it.

I always recommend people willing to buy Bitcoin or altcoins in such situations to do DCA, keep buying at every price intervals when the market is going down because we can't know when the bottom is and we don't want to miss it as well, so it's better if we buy in portions instead of buying all at once.

if you look at the past that has been done by bitcoin so far, then ATH will continue to form and will occur, it's just a matter of time, it's unlikely that it won't happen because if indeed the price will fall it is certain that many will buy, which will make the price increase again, this kind of repetition will continue. it is certainly true that the halving is the trigger by which bitcoin will increase to even form a renewable ATH a year later.

The best method to follow Bitcoin is to adopt an optimistic outlook. Although we cannot predict its future price, we appear to believe that it will lead to financial independence. It is appropriate to take risks and think that the halving and bull run will align together at the appropriate time in 2024, as they always have in previous halving and bull run seasons.
I am having a strong fate that bitcoin 4 years chain of bull run will continue to happen the exact way it does after months of every halving

Almost all of us know about the Bitcoin market halving event which happens basically every 4 years. And when the Bitcoin market halves, the Bitcoin market turns into a bull market. The first time the Bitcoin market halved was seen in 2012. And that was seen in 2016 when the Bitcoin market rebounded in the second half. And the third time it happened was in 2020 when the Bitcoin market halved. Now the fourth halving of Bitcoin will be seen in 2024, which happens every four years. And in 2024, when the Bitcoin market halves, the bull market will start and the price of Bitcoin will reach its peak.

Both of you are living in your own views, there is nothing bad in that, yet what @Pejoh Asu discussed still makes sense as it's a very good principle in trading and speculation. We should be expectant in the bullish run of Bitcoin, yet if it could not break the ATH, and perhaps form a bearish price action below it on the larger timeframes, then you do not need a soothsayer to tell you that such a pattern would be devastating for the coin. The prayer is that it should launch an easy break above the level, it's only then that everyone could rest assured of a bullish reign.

Also, you should not be using what you gather on social media to predict what the market would do. We have to be more practical than relying on what I would term 'supposed fact.'

Dont think I've ever seen BTC have a period of 4 strong years after halvening and I certainly dont expect that this time.   Even iteration of the halvening effect is less in percentage alteration to the supply and demand of BTC and I think in any case less noticeable in news for BTC and the world generally.
   Somebody noted that over time BTC has become less volatile in its maturity and Dollar is becoming more uncertain, the balance between FIAT currencies and BTC is altering to favor not investing in political debt such as a national currency.   To date Dollar has gained from the weakness of others, if a currency in Africa or south American nation fails people run to dollar but as Dollar itself has problems that will end one day and people will either hold onto assets or seek tradable alternatives such as BTC.