Bitcoin Forum

We know better cryptocurrency market always unpredictable. Yet we invest in the cryptocurrency market. Sometimes the market gradually turns to bear.
My question is how do we know if the market will go bearish.

There's really no way to know for sure unless you're already in one. But generally and historically, there are decent signs when a bull market is about to peak: when people around you suddenly become crypto "investors" and are making so much money in unrealized gains. Will it be the same in the future? No one knows.

You only can know it certainly when you are already in a bear market for some months. You only can know the bottom when the market already moves up a lot from the bottom.

If you want to guess, look at Trading volume. In bear market, trading volume will drop and becomes smaller with time but a challenging task for you to find bottom is you can not know when trading volume hits bottom and price is at bottom.

Bottom will be confirmed by a very big trading volume bar that is an indicator of massive buy and price will rally from the bottom with that big trading volume bar.

Some traders will tell you that if you use indicators and drawing lines that you can know it. But if you use both, you may see yourself still losing as the market will not be in your direction. Trading will make people not patient and most traders are losing.

The only time I know the market will go up is when it has falling significantly. The more it falls the more it is likely that the price will start to rise. I am taking about bitcoin and not altcoins.

You can see recently that bitcoin fall from $46200 to $43200. Later it moved within that price to $43900 for some minutes or hours before it fall again to $41500. As it fall within like 3 to 4 hours two time like this, you should know that if you go in at $42000 or a pice lower, that you will make money as the price will rise more as at that time.

I don't know of any such way. In fact, there is nothing that predicts bear market.  But if you are doing regular trading then you can predict something like the volume is going down. But it can't be certain.  But if you are very expert in trading you can guess.  In that case you have to be a regular trader.

We cannot predict about bear and bull season but if we have information about some events like halving and news about bitcoin ETF approval then we can know that market will now goes higher but bear market cannot be predicted. Although when some bad news comes into the site then there is a chance that market will goes down because news changes the complete market situations.

We should be ready for both bear and bull market because both are unpredictable because we all were in thoughts that after the approval of bitcoin ETF there will be increase in price and market will turn green but the condition are now completely different and bitcoin and other altcoins are in red line.

Exactly when a trader has the technical knowledge of probably the candle stick which is a representation of the price movement they can be able to predict the next movement of the market price this kind of predictions are mainly base on the pass history of that coin. But this is just a technical analysis and technical analysis can also be affected by fundamentals too like when you hear of news surrounding that coin you can use it to guess if the market will actually go bearish most especially if the news is a negative one. But the most common thing that suggests a bear period is arriving is after a long period of bull run and you and then you start seeing the shift of many investors taking profits then certainly bearish period is at the corner.

You cannot know, what you can do is based on what it has happened on the past you could make predictions about when the bear market can begin, but that is all what it is, and as we know predictions can be wrong, so by trying to anticipate a bear market you may sell too soon and miss a great deal of the bull market, or you may sell too late as what you thought was just a correction was the bear market you were expecting all along.

Simple, learn, learn, and learn. You will not just invest or open a trade in bitcoin without analysis, technical analysis, or any indicator's applied. You should know how to trade first before you start trading. Invest in knowledge, sharpen your skills, and build experience first because how can you expect to earn in trading if you don't understand the market fully? Even experienced traders experience losing in trading; it's a better solution to become well known first than to rush to earn. Remember, the bitcoin market or any crypto market is very volatile and unpredictable, so it's common that the movement of markers will change every time and sometimes will not go your way. It's up to you how knowledgeable you are and how you can cope with the losses and learn from them. Anyways this mistakes is always common to new traders there's nothing to expect, just remember "knowledge is the key".

We are not bearish at all and people seem to forget that. If you look at a very small timeframe then maybe it looks bearish, but the reason for that is just that one day people buy more and one day people sell more. You can not know if somebody will sell his bitcoins. People will not sell them because of news, technical analysis or something. They will simply sell them because they want to buy a new car or a house.
There is no way to predict when this is happening ;)

I just love it...simply loving it!

I go to a topic about how trading is gambling everyone there goes how trading is about knowledge about skill on how to read the markets and all that crap, I go to a topic where somebody asks if we're going to turn positive or negative next period suddenly nothing can predict it!
All those guys that were praising TA and other charts like the second Bible, where ar you now?


If something is unpredictable then what help would the knowledge bring?

Seriously guys, stop with all this crap about analyses and charts and knowledge and stuff, all the strategies in the world and not a single one could have pointed out at oil going negative! yet it did, nobody predicted the price dump that happen when Luna crashed, nobody went public and said well after the ETF we're going to have a 15% drop and yet some still believe some colored lines on a past that will most likely never repeats itself will help you better than looking in a crystal ball with the characters from frozen in it!


You just descried gambling! Like betting on Barcelona after seeing them wining by 4-0 the last three matches and betting against them if half of their team is recovering after leg injuries and they are playing with juniors.

To understand it, you need to know what a bear market is:


But then, you will ask:

"How can we predict the bear market before we go into the bear market? (before going down 20%)"

The answer is:

"Technical Analysis"

https://www.talkimg.com/images/2024/01/14/3Ilwb.jpeg
https://www.amazon.com/Trading-Technical-Analysis-Masterclass-financial/dp/1795471859

This book looks like a great start. It has many good reviews.

The best way to look at the market is with technical analysis. Then followed by some news sentiment. If the news is positive but the movement is not massive and tends to be steady then be prepared that there will be some FUD news followed by a price drop. However, this is not always correct.
The most important thing is to learn about technical techniques and types of candles/charts, this can certainly help in analyzing trends or trend changes, resistance and support levels are also very important to master.

I think some of the members' posts above have explained this in detail.

If a bitcoin miner wants to invest in the next generation of ASICs and therefore sells 20 Million USD worth of bitcoin, we will probably have at least one bear day even in current volume. How would you predict that with Technical Analysis?

We can't!

I get why some people think crypto's too unpredictable for investing.  The market's crazy volatile, so yeah, you can totally end up disappointed.  But that dont automatically mean there's no money to make.  Hell, some people bank hard just playing the dips and peaks! 

Can't say timing it perfect's guaranteed or nothing.  But if you got the guts to risk some losses profits can get big too.  Just gotta go in knowing you win some, lose some in this game.  The markets always shifting.

Do you think if somebody sells 20 million USD worth of btc on the markets, the prices will dive 20%, globally? (because that's how we define bear markets.) I don't think so.


I don't know. I am not a technical analysis expert. You should ask the pros at trading view. They have all kinds of explanations there supporting their arguments with charts, lines and shit.

Well, it is a misconception to say the market is always unpredictable, maybe it is the wrong use of word as the market is highly predictable, except that it is uncertain at the same time. This means that your strategy might be good but doesn't mean it will not fail you at times, and for the market to be dynamic, it means that you can never get its pattern and behave right all the time you expect it to move a certain way. Those are just the differences here, and with the right trading strategies, I am sure that you will always be a good market predictor, and some strategies even have over 90% accuracy, especially if you can combine strategies that filter one another for refined trading signals that would fail less times.

As for your question, I believe it was conceived due to the recent tragic event in the Bitcoin market where people expected it to be rising due to ETF approval. Well, it is good that we use our brain, but unfortunately, people those, particularly those that I had advised are all turning it down. My advice was that they should not believe in a widespread belief but to let their own analysis guide them. Even with halving, I will never be a blind trader/investor, I will move with the wave of the market even as my chart analysis confirms it.

As it is now, it wasn't difficult to see the bearish pattern coming into play on the daily chart, so that is enough for you to decide and for a guide. But in some market condition, the data and events could be a guide to point to the market condition as well.

Historically you can say that after bear market come bull run maybe it could be that we have always stick the market with halving sometimes we believed that after halving or getting close to halving we might start seeing some signs that indicates a bull run were you would start seeing bitcoin gain much price changes nd altcoin also increasing rapidly at this point we can assumed to be bull run, still can't be over emphasized or being overwhelmed about the market because we always believe bears always indicates when there is serious attack or bad news it could be hack from any reputable exchange or whatsoever. But as someone who has been in the space for long you should be able to know when the market is in bear or bull run.


This is not possible to even have the market shaken or falling to about 20 percent because if converting $20m to btc we are have ~466BTC with the current price of $42,965. So there is no day this little volume will affect the market severely and negatively.

You need to watch out the market carefully in order to observe the difference. Let me tell you a basic difference that always happens in the market. Notice if there are more people selling the coins, then it is a sign of bear market. On the other hand if more people are buying coins and investing in it, then definitely it will lead to a bull market. This is just an example and observation. You need to watch out small hints in order to get the required details for trade.

It's difficult to determine bearish, but the first thing we can see is the large global trading volume and look at the latest information about the market, what causes it and why that is, what I told you is only a small part of the bearish signs and there are many other factors, so it's quite difficult, trade carefully and stay abreast of market information

The only genuine way I know and use to understand the market bear is the 4-year cycle ^{(this also involves the use of historical data and it is a great hint for knowing the bear, especially during the halving year just like this year the market always replicates previous trends)}, mining difficulty, news ^{(which could be good or bad news about crypto)} , and the weekend market.
These are the major things I used to understand the bearish market. However, things may change in the future just like you said the market is unpredictable.

Op for the exact timeline and the timeframe there's no methodology to predict the bear market on the basis of the analysis. There is some indication about when the market can take a turn, basically, I'll try to divide it into two categories based on the market timeframe the short-term market always moves with the sentiments of the market so closely watch out for the sentiment to figure out about the market bearish moves.

On the larger time frame, you need to understand the cyclical momentum of the market and from there you can figure by analyzing the potential points based on the figures of the supply & capitalization and expected capital in the asset in the future that the market will take a major correction or not.

In fact, the price of Bitcoin is very much influenced by the news that comes to us.recently we have a big news of bitcoin halving Due to this, the price of bitcoin has been pumped up a lot. On the other hand We have ETF approval for bitcoin this news bitcoin bring up to the 49k, only the news can impact the price of bitcoin.and we all know all the market bear or bullish according to bitcoin. News is just one factor and some technical analysis on previous history also work which causes btc to up and down.

It's really difficult to identify a bull market or bear market.
Maybe when the fear & greed index? Or once we reach all-time high then it starts dumping like almost 50%?
About the bull run, maybe when less 50% before the all-time high is already considered a bull run?
Or how many weeks/months consecutive we see red/green candle.

We really have to be able to understand the time frame used. Between small and large time frames, you will see a different chart shape, and of course to look into the future, we look at a larger time frame so that we are not fooled by the formation of a smaller trend line and we use it as a trading transaction. On the other hand, we can use the support and resistance that occurs to confirm whether our analysis is working or not

The crypto market is quite unpredictable and it's not easy to pinpoint exactly when bull or bear seasons will be in full swing, we just have to monitor events that can make each season to start. Now we know that Bitcoin halving will soon happen and what usually follows is bull run, so I believe that after Bitcoin ATH, when price hits the highest peak, what will follow naturally and gradually is price dump and as it gradually continues to dip, we'll be expecting bear run. That is the much that I understand about how we hit bear run, although my analysis is for long terms, short terms are more unpredictable.

Market stuff can be tricky, but watch out for signs like big drops in trading, bad news about the economy, or shifts in regulations. Still, predicting is tough, so we should stay informed and be ready for surprises.

You will only know that the market is finally experiencing a bearish season if majority of the crypto coins are suffering from 20% decline or more. Even bitcoin is not an exception. In fact, if bitcoin price drops a huge amount, most of the altcoins also suffer a huge amount of decline, seeing the crypto space in a very negative position. If that happens continuously, it’s highly possible that a bearish season is entering the market, most especially if the market has experienced a previous bullish season.

The market only evolves between bullish and bearish one. So if the market is no longer bullish, most likely a bearish season is coming to replace the current market position.

It's... actually very easy.

When all funds are posting profits, all traders also boasting green trades, when projects are all making money = bull. Hiring also increases.

If bear market happens, all the above are in red. Hiring also decreases plus even staff is cut. See 2021-2023 before price rallied to $40k. Even Binance was letting go of so much staff. And they're the biggest exchange.

See for yourself, even biggest crypto funds all lose money in bear, idiots can make money in bull.

You are right that along with regular trading we should also pay attention to the news because sometimes there is a news in the market which is positive then for example let's see that ETF. Whether it's about the approval or what's about Bitcoin Halving or something like that, if you see the market goes up, but in the last few days we've been hearing that some countries are closing what's on Bitcoin. If you want to do it like this, the negative news that is there is what is affecting our market, so what is the up and down impression of the market The only thing that happens is from the news,

It is impossible not to notice this when the price of coins is getting lower and lower every day. It is much more difficult to determine the turning point, since any price decrease will be accompanied by corrections that can be mistaken for a trend reversal.

Even without the news, people are already aware about the halving, because it happens every 4 years. There maybe another reason for the pump because like I said earlier, people are not excited anymore about the halving. I mean we are still far away from it. So, why will they be panicking and start fomoing?

The positive news that I said earlier would be the ETF approval. This is where people are more excited about because I think this is the first time that we are going to experience it. Although the declaration of its said approval is not new because if I'm not mistaken, I already heard this before in the year 2017 or 2018 but, it has began to be silent in the following years. 

Some indicators can give you an idea about any changing market trends. These indicators are not paid so you will find them in the trading view, i can drop some names here but I want you to do some research about them so that you can value your findings. Also moving average is also a widely used indicator which can be used in higher timeframe to anticipate any change of overall market sentiment. Historical data also another key point of doing analysis about market changes in crypto.

No one will be able to know for sure and usually only look for signs because the market always repeats history but there is also the possibility that the predictions are wrong, so traders will know for sure when a bearish period has entered it and vice versa, but no one will be able to definitely predict that's why many traders end up getting trapped because they think this is still bullish and haven't closed their position by selling to open another buying position at a cheaper price.

there is some certain thing many people don't know concerning investment we are talking of a risk measure and also how to multiply whatever thing you have, that is why many people get scam through unaware and through because of their not informed concerning investment if want to invest in Bitcoin or any cryptocurrency I think the major thing that is supposed to do is to make a proper research concerning the particular coin that you are interested to invest on many people have ventured into a scam coin because they are unable to research and uh get the results of it before the invest into it, my advice always go that whenever you're investing make sure say you research about it very well before you invest in any coin that you want to invest

The signs are there like everything is dropping. But one big sign is every after the bull run, we always get to see it for every cycle.

We're going to bull run assuming this 2024 up to 2025 and then expect that the bullish turn will happen by 2026 or even by the end of 2025.

That's based on the pattern that we've seen all over these past years when we've been into the bull run.

If anyone knows when the market is going to be bearish, then nobody will be losing in trading, everyone will have sold their coin before the bear will start, but we don’t know when both the bull run and the bear will start. Nobody knows what bitcoin price will go at a particular period of time, most people are just predicting the price that bitcoin will be going, and their prediction can be wrong. If anyone tells you when the market will turn bearish, just know that the person is just deceiving you, maybe the person is trying to take something from you.

Unfortunately, no one can tell if the market is actually heading into a bearish or bullish season. What we all have are predictions and speculations that the market is having a positive or negative position, but telling that the market is in real bearish, one can only tell if majority of the coins are experiencing a huge price decline, which leads to a massive dump in the market. But we all know that the prices of the coins are dumping and pumping at some point due to market volatility, so it’s really hard to tell if we are already entering a bullish or a bearish market.

Op, no one would know “investor/trader” exactly where or when the market is going to take a reverse or top out in the bull/bear market, Technically and Fundamentally, there are indicators that will point to a possible end of a bull market, basically when the news or fundamental holders of Bitcoin suddenly starts becoming weak, and technically market structures begins to get broken, and where supports suddenly start turning into resistance, and we begin to see market do more of lower highs and lower lows, as supposed higher highs and higher lows in a bull market, then that's a good time you should think of exiting or start exiting the market the way you DCAyed in.

To begin with, it's necessary to study the technical and fundamental analysis of the market. Next, analyze the chart of the required cryptocurrency for the last 5 years. I advise studying Elliott Wave Analysis to understand the principle of wave construction. Any cryptocurrency trading is analytics in one form or another.

You can understand where the market will be heading next if you are very good in technical Analysis which is usually learn from Mentors or online courses that way you can be able to predict the next market movement though the market will not always follow your predictions but with the right knowledge and skills your analysis may be right most of the times.

Negative news has great impact on the market that is why you needed to keep updated with fundamental news announced from reliable news source, I recall few years ago whenever there is a major ban of cryptocurrencies, clamping down on exchanges in some crypto friendly country when such an announcement is officially made the impact on the price was usually felt the on price of that particular cryptos a massive dump would be experienced, likewise a fundamental positive news also triggers a pump in price of that particular crypto for instance XRP won a major case against SEC recently which is a positive news immediately after the judgement  price of XRP experience a massive pump.

It is very difficult to predict the market. Talking about the large global trading volumes, it what makes it even difficult to predict the market direction because of the presence of the institutional traders or the market movers. These institutional traders make it difficult for ordinary traders to predict the market. If an ordinary trader wants to go against the institutional traders, it will be at their own peril.

I like the language you used. An expert can predict or guess we'll but not always accurate. The problems we have in the market is the gamblers who call themselves traders. They do not understand the market and yet they trade, making the market more risky than expected.

One can actually know when the market is becoming bearish as a result of the prices not increasing anymore or going down for a long period of time without tending to rise anymore then the bear must have been said to have taken place. Perhaps, if there is no much demand in the market, prices tends to decrease because if there is no demand then what's the need for supplying and this makes prices to stagnate and not push further so in such a situation, the market is bearish

The real fact is no one can actually give a right prediction concerning this, the only thing you have to do is observing the market carefully and experiencing the kind of changes that take place during that period of time if the price is getting low or high then you'll actually know if the market is heading to bearish, even with this method a lot of people have failed observing the market.
In my opinion no one can be so perfect in terms of market predictions but you can have your own opinion towards the market.

Agree with your statement if there is continuous dump in market price then we call it bear season like that was in 2021 and if there occurs prolong rise in price then it is termed as Bull season. But the reality is that we cannot say something about market by visualizing a dump or pump for only a day or two because that is not a bear or Bull market but due to volatile nature of market there occurs regular pump of dump In worth of all coins.

If news comes into the sight then people change their decision according to the news so when demand is greater the price is higher and if demand is lower then price is also in dumping condition but remember that all the time there is not a news which alter the price of coins because some scam coin pump at start but after sometime it loss its value without the arrival of any news so prediction about market is not easy.

Never sleep and stay in front of the monitor to monitor market charts.
The way the market works is that it is not always in an upward position, sometimes in a matter of minutes it will change to a decline.
For me, one sign that the market is going bearish is when selling activity is greater than usual for a sustained period of time.
To anticipate a decline, traders use stop losses if the desired profit level cannot be reached by the availability of time.
IMO, if for investment, buy when the price within 24 hours decreases by a large % for the potential coin type.

You can only see support levels and resistance levels, but you cannot accurately predict whether in this case the support level will keep the price from falling further. Accordingly, knowing these support and resistance levels, you can plan your trading.

We can only tell if the market goes bearish if majority of the coins are consistently dropping their prices. With that, there’s high chances that the market will turn bearish after a bullish season. That’s also the time when these greedy investors stop buying coins, because they always though that bullish market is the best time to buy but feel upset and discouraged when the market turns into bearish. Without realizing that the best time to buy is when the market is bloody and all the coins are showing 20% price off.

It's hard to tell a very accurate prediction but there are things that can improve the predictions. We all know that crypto has its phase and bear market comes after the bull market had taken over the market. From the past years, I learned that there are signs or clues that the bear market is coming. Fundamentals and technical analysis can contribute great on predicting where will the market goes, in our case it will be on the bear market. Fuds will appear like rumors, accusations, hacks, bankruptcy from many well known project and on bitcoin. Technical analysis will help you monitor if the market is overbought, indicators toward the bearish sides and etc. If I found these signs next bull market, I will believe that the market is going on the bearish side.

Bear and bull markets are large trends on any market, and while a large movement on either direction could be used by some traders to try to anticipate them, the truth is no one really knows when the bear or bull market will come until we are already in one, and obviously this is not very useful as when we make this realization a great deal of the movement has already taken place, so people have to accept this simple fact or take the risk of predicting the appearance of those large trends and suffer several losses because of it.

So far I have not been able to figure out any other indicator apart from those period post bull run. Bearish period last for years wherein bull run usually happens between a quarter to just about 6 months, I have considered the days after bull run peak as bearish period based on previous events but the catch here would be to know exactly when it's the peak of bull run because the kind of rally we see in bull run is crazy and every pump gives a mixed feeling of FOMO and also a peak bull run feeling. No one can exactly tell when bearish market starts.

I have decided to track the Bitcoin price during bull run and once it drops down by 10% - 15% I would assume that as starting of bear market as whether rise or fall Bitcoin is the first one to be impacted.

Honestly, you are doing the right thing because seeing the four year cycle work every time is the only thing that works for me. I understand that it may not be all that crazy, but it is what we have at the moment. So it is not really clear when you read any of the other indicators, you may not guess what is going to happen next week, you may only speculate and some people will be right while others will be wrong and they will rotate between each other.

However, when you look at the four year cycle, that seems like the only thing that kept staying the same, it never really changed and that is why people have a lot more trust into that one. If something happened every single time, then there is a good chance that it will happen again, which is why people expect a new ATH within next 15-16 months.

One of the ways we can understand whether the market is going to bear is observing the previous chart. This works well in the forex market but not always in the crypto market. The crypto could be manipulated at anytime if we don't understand how things works.
Sometimes the price of a token can be increased or decreased depending on what the project team has in mind. People can decided to pump the of a token even when it does not tally with market trend.

I do not think that it is going to be bear anytime soon, it is going to be years before it is bear but if you are really wondering what it will be like, then I am going to guess that it would make sense for the price to change on the long run, that would make more sense.

I think the best thing you can do would be just checking the weekly, because if it is down for two weeks in a row, that means the bull is more likely out. I am not saying it is a clear cut guaranteed method, but during the bull run, it either stays about the same or goes up, it doesn't go down for two weeks in a row, that usually doesn't really happen. This is why you should be careful when that happens, it is a rare situation and could be start of the bear run.

Overall, however, we as investors will not be able to predict where the price will go next with 100% accuracy, but having a history of previous price movements can give us a reference to at least know some indications that can influence changes in price direction, and this is why a trader must You can always learn and improve your knowledge in the world of trading, especially regarding market movements. If you have a lot of experience in the market and also always learn about market habits at certain times, then you will have several references for the current situation.

Honestly, for myself, I always learn from the formation of candlesticks, especially in support and resistance areas, there are quite a lot of candles that have a big influence on the reversal or continuation of price direction, such as doji candles, hammers, spinning tops, etc. which usually have quite a big influence and accuracy for reversal of price direction, you can see from the price story that has occurred that usually there is the formation of one of the candles above in the support or resistance area that has occurred, and usually I always combine it with several available indicators which are useful for confirming or confirming the direction where the price will move next, I always do this method for scaling in trading sessions, and other things, you can also look for references from news that are related to the asset you are trading.

there is no way to get a definite answer but we are trying to find out whether the market will soon be bearish or not, let's see if the global trading volume has increased from the previous day, week or month, then often read the news, such as the arrival of bearishness there will be a lot of positive news about bitcoin, this is the method I use to find out about a bearish market, but it is not completely correct

There is a reason why traders are also called speculators, and that is because despite their best efforts not a single one of their predictions will definitely happen, there are simply too many factors to consider when making a prediction and everything can change in a matter of minutes, so traders need to always keep in mind that even if everything on their strategy seemed to point towards a direction, they could still be wrong and they need to be able to adjust and change their mind almost immediately.

First, I disagree with you, the market is highly predictable, and it all depends on your expertise and experience about it. Needless to say, some have a high record of good accuracy in this regard. But what is true is that the market is highly uncertain, and because you know how to predict it well doesn't mean that you will not lose a particular prediction (be it current or later). This is why one should always have an understanding of it before they dare to use their prediction to trade/invest, or else, they will fail woefully. However, the market can be bullish or bearish, it all depends on the prevailing conditions as many economic and technical factors could cause it to make a decision, which is why you have to learn how to follow and read the market with both the economic data and happenings around it and with technical analysis.

Still, I prefer you to major in technical analysis, and if you could learn it well and know it better, there is nothing happening in the market that will be missed by your analytical radar.

Predicting market movements is very complex and not easy to do, especially for beginners who have just entered it. The crypto market can be even more difficult than the stock market and so on. Because in the crypto market trends can change rapidly even in one night. But I was told by my friend that usually the signs that the market is starting to grow bearish are when the trading volume in the market as a whole starts to decline accompanied by the Marketcap also decreasing or so on. Sorry if I'm wrong, because I'm still learning at the moment. But I understand a little in general but don't know in more detail.

Please consider the chart to help you determine where it will be going. We can't tell what will really happen next but the price chart helps us analyze the current situation and predict the upcoming. We don't need to be certain about it but at least, having some views and detailed situations in the past days could give us an idea of where we are today. Traders, investors, and holders are using this tool and this won't just help see the bearish situation of the market but also, the possible price rally. It was always available for you to see.

If there's a way then majority would really be that prepared whatever the things might comes on, on the time that they have known on where it would be a bearish market then majority would really be selling out their bags on which they would really be securing their bags and would be able to avoid deep negatives on which they would really be moving into stable coin. If that happens then extreme dip or crash could happen since everyone would really be selling because of that knowledge. This is why it would be better that you shouldnt really be making yourself that delusional on believing that market does really have that kind of probability
that it could make out such instant u-turn of events without even knowing on when it would happen.

We would really be just that able to see things on point whether it would be having that pump or would be having that dump.There's no way that you could really be able to make
yourself that be able to predict precisely about market movement and no one would ever know because it could move randomly whether there's a news behind
or really just that moving at all randomly.

If you understand it in technical analysis then it is a simple thing to understand. You can understand the use of various indicators in trading itself. But it's impossible for me to explain in detail and at length here. Because it will be easier for you to read it yourself and understand it yourself. Because there are articles that are also easy to understand in search engines. But one of the simplest things is the declining trading volume. Try searching in a search engine for several terms that can lead to indicators that show indicators to predict whether the downward trend will continue or not. Or you can also understand about "Hidden Bearish Divergence" which is also quite simple to learn but quite important in the world of trading. But believe me, the more you have experience in the market, the more you will get used to knowing which direction the market can go. Because the market has habits and if we can understand them then it will be very simple. But you have to be careful with fundamental news that can suddenly change the direction of the trend. So that's where technical analysis can be defeated by fundamental analysis. And understanding both can make us understand sentimental analysis. But there are times when the market becomes difficult to predict, namely when there is an announcement of an important economic event. Prices tend to be volatile even in bearish or bullish markets. Understand slowly and don't rush. Because I also learned everything gradually and it took several years until I was comfortable in my trading.

People should consider to have their own chart so that they could possibly understand what will be the possible outcome of the market when there's something issue presented. But also aside from that they should consider to know other things like seeking for something verified news scattering so that they would get a hint of possibly trajectory of the market since sometimes we can get some good ideas base on the news we are reading especially if this one gather a lot of hype or attention to huge number of people. Although we cannot really easily point out that market will go that way but atleast we have some indicator or certain to look after so that we could feel that we need to do something so that we can avoid or get benefited on those situation.

just look at coinmarketcap, if the majority of coins decline by more than a few percent, that means we are entering a bearish trend. or more difficult, you can look at the ma and see what the pattern is, or use other trading tools that you trust, you can definitely see a bearish trend in the market.

but it is quite difficult to identify whether the market is truly bearish, or whether it is just a momentary market response, because in some cases the market drops a few percent and people have concluded that the market has entered a bearish trend, but the next day the market rises significantly .

that's why traders need to analyze the market in depth and learn from their experiences, because it will really help them to be able to identify whether the market is bearish or bullish.

You can consider this as unpredictable because everyone can tell you the probability in bull market but it is impossible to tell you any fixed day. There are many strategies you can adopt to deal with market conditions. You buy when the market is dumping and sell when it is pumped. By following the activities like this, you can get a glimpse of the potential of the bull market. However bull market may happen this year but we are optimistic.

In trading we must always follow the trend. Trends can sometimes go up and sometimes down. To find current trends, we need to do and technical analysis. We must be able to find the major trends from various timelines, so that we can decide what to do. When we cannot determine the major trend or make mistakes in the analysis, we will be in trouble so we have to go back to the manual and immediately decide to sell.

But in crypto, there are moments that can make the market bullish or bearish. Usually the positive news can provide bullish opportunities and negative news can make a bearish moment.

The price is only unpredictable but seeing the price chart we can make an assumption for what will possibly happen. Doing this will help us prepare whether to buy or sell. I don't think it was hard to understand the situation and can't tell the market sentiment. That is so-called market analysis and I use price charts to analyze the current situation, it is kinda easy if we are seriously doing this. Besides, we don't need to be perfect about it at least we are aware of the situation and know what actions to be taken.

That is just the start of it, the idea to learn "before" it happens is the main question I believe. I do not think that it is possible and I think it is not going to happen, nobody could learn a way to make sure that they know when the bear will start, there isn't some indicator that will tell you before it starts.

However, if that is not the question then yeah you are right, if it starts to drop, it is better to be careful. I also use plenty of methods to avoid, like stop loss for example, and trailing stop as well, so there are many other ways as well, it should be fine. I get that it is not going to be easy to not lose money ever, so just realize that you are going to end up losing time to time and you will be fine in the end.

Following trend sometimes in cryptocurrency investment or trading always brings a bad experience and sometimes lead to loss of capital.
Trend is a good factor that determines whether there is a bear or bull market. If the Bitcoin price is going up, the price of other altcoins will go up; if that keeps happening consistently, it means it is a bull market. But if bad news from different sources keeps happening and the price of bitcoin keeps dumping, then it is a bear market, which is a good time to invest if you are investing for the long term. Traders are liking the bull market because it favors them most as they are making good profits during the bull market.

No one can certainly tell where the market is heading to but when majority of the coins are dropping their prices consistently most particularly bitcoin, that is a sign that the bearish season is entering the market. It could be a short or long term, no one can tell but mostly a bearish market takes a longer stay while a bullish one only stays shortly. However, if we are not seeing a bullish market, that does not mean that the market is bearish, it could be that there is a price correction happening in the market which only happens temporarily.

TA and FA analysis will make everything clear, it is not easy for beginners but it will be very useful to know whether the market is in bullish condition or still in bearish mode. The graphic analysis that you do is based on past data so you can see how the trend will occur next, but it won't be accurate, it's just a basic reading. The more FUD, the deeper the market will enter bearish mode.

It creates a certain advantage when you are inclined to technical analysis in the market but this won’t completely guarantee that you will be a successful trader in the process. No one holds what will be the market movement of bitcoin and other crypto coins, so it could be a sudden bearish or bullish. But with the advantages you have, by seeing support and resistance levels, you can set a good trading plan, despite of how the market moves whether bearish or bullish.

For certain time frames – technical analysis can be one way to help you recognize when prices will fall. You can recognize the initial phase before bearish - it is like a failure to break through resistance followed by a gradual fall in price. You can recognize several other phases such as fundamentals becoming unsupportive, trading volume falling, stronger negative sentiment and others.

Technically there are several indicators that you can use as a reason to assume that the market will be bearish - apart from that, correlations between markets such as stock market crashes or major disasters ^{[such as pandemics and the like]} also be other indicators.

This may be starting to appear at this time where market conditions are starting to improve again so that traders can also set their selling price if they don't want to hold on to it for too long. Because some traders usually prefer to take profits that are clearly visible rather than waiting for bigger profits over a longer period of time. Market conditions are not easy for anyone to predict, but with the presence of very good moments this year, it will certainly make more people feel optimistic about better conditions in the market.

When the coins are no longer making an impressive price increase, then there are possibilities that we are seeing a bearish market later on. Most especially when negative news and updates are hitting the market consistently and definitely affect the market condition, there are high chances that the market will eventually become bearish.

However, this may not be possible these days as we are heading into a bitcoin halving. We might see prices declining but it does not mean that the market is close to bearish but it’s more on a price correction that will be back to normal after few days.

If you are good at market analysis, you will gain an idea whether the market will go bullish or bearish. That way, you can make a trading plan in advance by analyzing the price chart and the movement of the coins in the market. However, whether it’s going bullish or bearish, I think that does not matter at all as long as you know how to trade regardless of the market condition and still end up profitable on your trades.

Someone that really knows how to trade can trade both sides without a doubt, however due to the way the market moves there is not really a lot of money to be made by going short, since most of the profits you can make occur when the market is bullish, so a good trader may see this and may decide to disregard going short as it is not worth their time to take so many trades for so little profit, however this is a decision very few traders can actually take.

when it bear market you don't need to bother how to know whether we are experiencing a bear or not you will know through the market everywhere will be bleeding and the price will be seriously trying to resist but it will be even more difficult for the market to withstand and at the end of the day there will be no choice but the market to submit to the bear, and this are events that people already know about and when it is about to occur there are signs that you can tell from. and if a bear is approaching from the candles taking out some analysis you can tell that way, and when it comes to bull too similar.

But these days people are always using tools to discover what will happen even if there is no assurance even without assurance there will be a little bit of truth in whatever result they are getting from their reading. and even does that is experience don't need much before they will know.

You can check momentum indicators such as RSI, usually when the monthly trend becomes overbought we can expect the bear market is near because correction can happen anytime when the momentum at overbought area. When the bear market happens we should take the opportunity because many people miss the buying opportunity around $15k and lots of people hoping that Bitcoin can go around $32k right now.

We are just finding more and more ways to speculate, nothing more. I mean predictions are dime a dozen and there will always be some people who will predict some new thing, and that is going to be a bit tough situation without a doubt.

I think it could be very well to avoid such things, and that will be just another new version of trying to predict that will give a similar or different result. This isn't really a great situation, it has to be something that will give people a great return eventually. Hopefully, we could get to a point where it would be a little bit more feasible to just buy at the time they think it bottomed out. Finding when it will start to be bear is not something we can do with any trick, it just happens.

It isn't possible to instantly understand that not only the cryptocurrency markets but all financial markets have entered a bear cycle but you can understand whether that market is in a bear cycle by examining the situation of any financial market in the last few months. For example, when you examine the data and prices of the last six and twelve months, if there is a constant downward trend and this is valid for the entire financial market it is possible to understand that that market is in a bear cycle.

As I mentioned, it isn't possible to understand the bear cycle within a market at the very beginning of this cycle because bear and bull cycle changes don't occur within a day or a few hours. For example, during a bullish period, a sharp downward movement can be followed by a correction and the upward trend can be continued. Therefore, every sharp decline during the bull period shouldn't be considered as a sign of the bear cycle. For this reason, the most logical thing to do to understand whether a market is in a bull or bear cycle is to examine at least six months of data and price movements.

Remember, it is never necessary and unlikely to sell a financial asset at the top and buy at the bottom. For this reason, I recommend that you examine price movements over a wide period of time and trade without chasing the bottom or top point, in order not to become a prey of big investors while hunting for a cycle change.

For old-timers, that seems too easy but I don't think a newbie can't determine the market situation because even by visiting the exchanges or checking on the https://coinmarketcap.com/ we can see the movement of the price where it was enough for a trader or investor to think the current situation. The market direction doesn't change instantly so we can at least predict what will happen a few days from our base date. Although we can't exactly get the actual price at least, we have some ideas as to where it goes whether it will be going up or down. It is very important to rely on the chart for further analysis and our base of predictions.

as far as I know speaking from my experience you just can't really predict bearish market, previous bearish was suddenly started by the collapse of certain companies and foundation, the dump happening in the blink of an eye, thats the thing with crypto dumps happening so fast meanwhile pump happens slowly but sure.
if you think you've made some good profit during the bullrun there's most certainly nothing wrong with just taking the profit.
but if you're so sure that the market will still be bullish for the upcoming future, then go ahead.
market is full of uncertainty those that says they can predict the future, i don't really believe them, instead i would find some news about some bad thing then probably try to get advantage by creating strategy early on.

There are two ways to get a reference of a bear market.

1. If there is a huge negative news in the market then that can impact BTC price downwards.
2. If the weekly chart is showing BTC price in overbought region then there is a chance of BTC price getting consolidated and can attract a price correction.

Note: It doesn't guarantee that the bear market will start because nobody can predict such cycles.

no one knows, unless you are a Blackrock class capital owner who can make movements in the market, but I think the amount of retail money is more than the company's. It is impossible to know where the market is going, bullish or bearish, we can only predict based on technical analysis, fundamentals, history or market patterns. but it's not 100% accurate. If you ask me, I myself use instinct lol. it's strange, but usually a little accurate, if you've been trading in crypto for a long time the pattern will feel the same and you automatically have that skill. a little leak when everyone is optimistic from the news, influence and others will usually be bearish, but if everyone is pessimistic and there is a lot of fud, usually it will be bullish.

I believe that it is pointless to discuss what the market is now or how to determine the onset of a certain market if we do not first agree on what time frame we are talking about. After all, a bear market can occur on different time frames. Let me explain this. For example, during the day we can be in a falling trend, during the week we can be in a growing trend (in a bull market). Moreover, on the monthly timeframe there may be a bearish market, and within the year this bearish market may be part of a bullish market. Therefore, everything is determined by the timeframe. As for a bearish trend, its sign is decreasing highs and lows according to the classical definition. This can be determined even visually, without any technical indicators.

Be on the lookout for consistent price declines, negative news that can impact investor sentiment, a decrease in trading volume (Which indicates less interest), and bearish patterns on price charts such as head and shoulders or double tops. A major drop in market dominance of the leading cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin can also signal a wider market downturn. Monitoring macroeconomic factors that influence risk appetite, such as interest rate hikes, can also give you an idea on where the market is right now.
If you would like to discuss this further, you can contact me via my Discord: https://discord.gg/dCvaBZWNcG

This is not something that can be known just by spending few time in crypto trading. You must have been in the crypto space for quite some time and be able to read trade patterns before you can come close to predicting if the market will go bearish or bullish as the case maybe. As most experts have analysed and said, most trades follow the same pattern or consensus but can be triggered by some unforeseen circumstances like news. This can cause changes in the cycle pattern but will still come back to its normal pattern after some corrections. Just know that nothing is predictable correctly but with much understanding of trading, you’ll come close to perfection about it when predicting.

Yes, of course this cannot be easily known after we trade crypto. It takes a lot of experience in analyzing the market to be able to predict the market well. There are many factors that can influence crypto prices and to be able to analyze it well, you need experience and also knowledge about crypto. we can easily know when is the right time to enter the market.

Sincerely, I don't think anyone will be able to respond to your query; it will be quite difficult to forecast against cryptocurrency marketing. Since nobody can foresee when the cryptocurrency market will rise or fall, it is subject to speculation. Nevertheless, in spite of everything, there are certain individuals who have consistently followed the cryptocurrency industry, which is why they frequently make headlines.

As a result, those disseminating information use social media sites like Facebook, Instagram, Twitter, and Whatsapp are the some of people's who know how the crypto market is going on at times, if not even the bull market that everyone is expecting, no one can predict when it will actually start, and current cryptocurrency marketing is terrible, is only Bitcoin that is pump this days the other altcoins not rise. I don't understand why is like that when the Bitcoin start pumping other coins out of existence? That's the aspect of those coins that I find confusing.

If the bear you're talking is about the market correction or sudden dump then that's it. When we fall into the bear market, usually it is following the bull run.

So, you get the patter of its cycle that whenever we're done with the bull run, it is now entering to the bear market. And despite that the market is highly volatile, we still invest right? And that's the best time to start buying when we're on that phase.

Actually, I don't really understand the signs that really have an influence when it comes to a bearish market. Because sometimes a bearish market occurs very quickly from when it was still a bullish era. As experienced in 2021, today for example, market conditions are still really bullish and there are still many people who predict that the price of Bitcoin will continue to rise to such and such a rate. But what happened next was that in the next few hours suddenly there was FUD and the market changed completely. Bitcoin prices are going down, we think it's a market correction as usual, but in fact the price keeps going down and down. Until then, to be honest, I lost a lot of moments to take profits. Why? Because it was that sudden and fast the change from bullish to bearish. even though usually it won't be that drastic and that fast, right, there will definitely be signs. However, I think that when it was the last bullish era, it really happened quite quickly.

So keep paying attention and updating news related to Bitcoin and crypto globally to find out what possible FUD is currently circulating and what impact it will have.

  Yes mate, From the angle of experience, your experience in the crypto space will also play an important role in helping a trader to possibly spot when the market is about to go bearish because there are events which will precede the bear market.
For instance, there are some news that you would begin to see start making headlines, really bad news such as the news we had during the 2022 bear market, where we had a major crypto exchange go bankruptcy like that of the FTX collapse, Luna crash, or have Big institutions investors dump their Bag of Bitcoin like that of Elon Musk, or countries placing a ban on crypto transactions or mining like that of China ban, all those kinds of news, especially, when those news aligns with the market bearish patterns.

As far as I know there is no definite way to know whether a bearish or bullish market is present, but historically we can see several signs shown by the market in the process of moving towards both. Technical knowledge will usually give a little idea of how Bitcoin's journey can produce bullish or bearish and we can almost make small predictions about this journey. Analysis can be studied based on historical data and if we have the ability it will be easy to try to predict even though predictions that are bullish are not necessarily precise and accurate.

This is just a matter of study and I am not saying there is a much greater degree of truth because if there were people who were able to see the price of Bitcoin correctly in the future then many people would buy it. We are only able to make predictions based on previous historical data, but the level of accuracy is not necessarily what we can get.

If we talk about unpredictability, you are right that no one can know where exactly the market will go next and all that we do are predictions and speculations based on historical charts and market patterns. However, since we all know now that Bitcoin moves in a cyclical pattern, and with all its movements and phases we have seen in the past, we now have an idea of when it is time for a bear market and when it is for the bull market.

The cycle and the bull and bear markets can get extended sometimes based on market conditions and events within or outside the industry that might affect the sentiments of investors and then the prices in the market, but generally, someone who knows about history can know when it's time for bull or bear market.

Indicators can give you a 50-50 indication as to the market might turn bearish but this is hard to say with accuracy. The previous condition often helps predict, like for example if the market is correcting from a bull run a good chance is there to go bearish, then when the market is stagnant, both sides can happen.

I think what trader should be more active about is once the market turns bearish, make sure your buy orders are in place and then leave it as it as and wait for them to be executed.

News often can foresee a market movement, a hack or a big exchange or some negative news will drop the price for the next few days.

For myself honestly I always use several indicators such as RSI one of which I often use, I understand that the indicator also refers to or follows the movement of price direction but at least it can give me an indication of what will happen to the market, and not only that I also combine it with candlestick patterns that are being formed, if RSI has given an indication that the price is in the resistance area then usually I will wait for the formation of certain candles, one of which is like a spinning top or doji along with the confirmation and if the confirmation really happens then obviously at that time I can confirm that the direction of price movement will reversal or reverse and I also like to do the same way when finding out if/when the price will be bullish when the situation is strong down, But still it is just a way that does not have 100% accuracy, but I feel that it is really useful to help me achieve profit and still risk management is a preparation that should not be ignored and must always be owned by all traders.

What is clear is that it is just a prediction and there is no 100% accuracy that will occur. there will be incompatibilities that could occur. Bitcoin market trends continue to change, volatility is very high and there are many factors that can influence the price of Bitcoin. Past historical data will not be the same as the current situation. we can only conclude that we are entering a bullish market or a bearish market. Remember that whales also have the power to influence market prices, especially when combined with the news media they own which can be used to spread FOMO or FUD.

There are some times when the market gets very simple that you don't need to be an expert to know that the market is going to bearish or bullish. When Bitcoin halving is coming closer the market is away bullish and if you study the market through past history you'll able to identify that. Also after the market has reach its highest form and the entire market starts correcting starting with Bitcoin, the market turns bearish therefore if you're looking at the price history of Bitcoin during this time you'll able to predict when the market will be bullish or bearish. There are some news that'll also make the market bullish or bearish therefore we have to listen to the media and look for this news before we make decisions on what direction we're going to be following to make profits.

We have the price chart to check but it doesn't mean we are too certain about the next, it can be changed abruptly without any indications and we just know it when it happens already. However, this would help us at least have some ideas about the current movement of the market and predict the future. But to become certain about it is simply impossible.

Let us understand that the market is volatile, it often changes its course from time to time. We might be experiencing the pump today but can be possible a drop will occur next. So I suggest monitoring the price chart and making this our basis of analysis.

Identifying a market shift to bearish trends can be done by several signs. For instance, worsening economic conditions, declining trading volumes, reduced investor interest, and an overall negative market sentiment may indicate that the market is turning bearish. It's important to closely monitor news and market changes to pick up on these signals.I also know that some people determine it using technical indicators, but I'm not familiar with them

I do agree that it is going to have some improvements on it if we check the chart and technical analysis using the indicators and see where it is going. But, most of the time it's too quick to decide since it happens based on some rumour or news. That's the reality of the market we are living in, too many people make mistakes regarding this situation and should not be all that easy to handle, we are making some mistakes if we think of it that way.

I believe that the best thing to do would be just making sure that we are going to end up with some trouble one way or another. I hope that the best thing to do would be just focusing on how we could improve based on how we could rule the nation one way or another, which should be hard.

The very clue that we have in the market is after the bull run and what you have said is true that when the market is declining not just in volumes but also in prices. Those are the clear signs that we're going into a bear and that's why you have to be careful into checking what you should monitor and not just all about the market itself but also the news and fundamentals that you may have been missing all of these times because the clues are also there.

I know that the cryptocurrency market has been evolving and we have seen a lot of changes in it, however, one highly noticeable change is that the market is becoming mature over time, which means that retail investors don't react too quickly on bad news anymore like how they used to do in the beginning or before a few years where a single rumor about anything related to cryptocurrencies used to trigger a large dip in the market.

I find this being a good change and I was reminded by your pointer that most news these days doesn't affect the market that much, it's either that investors are becoming wiser or they are more focused on the market than on news channels and aggregators to see such things and start panic selling at an instant.

    The real answer to your question is that it is not easy to know, and no one knows if it really is a bear market. Because what often happens here in the crypto market is what others think is a bear market, it turns out that in reality there was only a short-term correction in the trend that ended.

    Such a situation happens many times in this business field. That means it's really in our hands, whether it's a bear market or not. That's why we should be aware of or sensitive to the upcoming events in this cryptocurrency field.

Yes, these hints are enough to say where the market is going. Else you can also see it in a very basic manner. If more people selling the coins in any particular exchange, then that will lead to the bear market. As they are not buying the coins, and not increasing the demand. Also this trend is seen after the bull run only. So there is always high probability that you will see a bear season soon after the bull run. But if you are a long term trader, then these seasons will not affect you a lot.

Right, bear season follows after bull run, so prepare for another buying opportunity again. And expect that  when the bear season is coming, majority of the coins are dropping mostly 20% from their bullish price, so when we start seeing that in the market, it’s a good sign for beginners to enter the market and maximize their bitcoin accumulation, or even buy some potential altcoins that have high chances to recover and increase their prices.

When ever you find bull run in the market, just have it in mind that it will not live forever which is the reason why many investors will use bull run period to earn much profits from the market by releasing all their coins to the market to make profits, hopping that there will surely be a bear run where investors will use to buy coins again and hodl for future benefits.

 If you are an active users in this forum,you will surely know how to expect bull run like the bull run that is happening in the market right now and many investors knew that there will be bull run in this year 2024 that was giving them the hope to continue hodling till this period and, the bull run has started manifesting in the market.

Its normal to see a bearish market after a bull run, since the market is only composed of two market seasons. Now, if you are seeing the opposite trend of bullish season, obviously we are entering already the bearish market. But to be honest, we should not be worrying about this since this offers a big opportunity for all investors to buy again and maximize bitcoin purchase. However, for those who still fear about bearish market, I guess they don’t really understand that profits in bitcoin was built first during bearish market.

No one has any idea that when will be bear market and when will be Bull but they are estimating by longterm price prediction. Like if price of every coin get reduces for longer period of time then we can say it bear season but if the price of bitcoin is 41k$ and suddenly it reduces to 39k$ then we cannot call it as a bear because these changes are just for little timing.

No one know that when will bear market initiate but now it seems that market is greener as it will soon attain new ATH so therefore this stage can be termed as Bull season. Bull or bear season is a matter of month not a matter of days so it can be classified according to increase or decrease that exists for some months.

The interesting thing to note is that when the bull market begins and runs, people want to know when bear market is going to come and vice-versa, we humans indeed are never happy with anything. ;D

This stems from the fact that most of the people trading with their coins dont understand the method to deal with the bear or bull markets. During the bull, like right now, we sell and then once we are out of bitcoins, we wait it out. During the bear, we buy at dropping levels and when we cant anymore, we wait for it go back up.

And the bull-stagnant-bear cycle will continue every few months or so, just a game of patience.