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Bitcoin => Bitcoin Discussion => Topic started by: EluguHcman on April 23, 2024, 12:00:31 PM



Title: The impact of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: EluguHcman on April 23, 2024, 12:00:31 PM
Earlier on I read about a thread in request "If will the Bitcoin halving have bigger impact in the Bitcoin industry"?.

It has really got some cracks on my head which yeah, I needed to hit on the reply sections but right then in time I am unable to find the thread and not even the search button could help me out.
So I am referencing my opinion to that thread here on my post.

My Opinion>>>
As simple as that, yes it does because Bitcoin halving has a mechanism impact to influence the supplies, preserves decentralized notations on a specific max volume of Bitcoin in the market to maintain stable rewards on the Bitcoin industrial structures.
And thereafter the halving comes the bull run and the OP will agree with me that every bull runs is accountable to surge an ATH which is resulted just after the halving.

So let us have a face to face of the halving where the bitcoin values drops and investors are being attracted to invest and holds until a long run of the bull run with its ATH. That is to yes YES the halving has bigger impact as Bitcoin is concerned in every circles.


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: Zaguru12 on April 23, 2024, 02:29:37 PM
To me the impact depends on the area you’re looking at it. If it is the price impact, I don’t think we will have the same impact as the other past halving because the percentage of the price movement is reducing this is due to bitcoin facing less volatility than before. For example in the early halving you can easily get a movement of more than 10X but now it is hard. If you look at even the current market price speculation you will notice that the highest the predictions are expected to go is 4X from the previous ATH ($69k). And as we go later in future I think the volatility will still reduce more.

As for adoption rate, I think the later we go into more halvings the more impact it gives


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: God bless u on April 23, 2024, 02:34:42 PM
Earlier on I read about a thread in request "If will the Bitcoin halving have bigger impact in the Bitcoin industry"?.

It has really got some cracks on my head which yeah, I needed to hit on the reply sections but right then in time I am unable to find the thread and not even the search button could help me out.
So I am referencing my opinion to that thread here on my post.

My Opinion>>>
As simple as that, yes it does because Bitcoin halving has a mechanism impact to influence the supplies, preserves decentralized notations on a specific max volume of Bitcoin in the market to maintain stable rewards on the Bitcoin industrial structures.
And thereafter the halving comes the bull run and the OP will agree with me that every bull runs is accountable to surge an ATH which is resulted just after the halving.

So let us have a face to face of the halving where the bitcoin values drops and investors are being attracted to invest and holds until a long run of the bull run with its ATH. That is to yes YES the halving has bigger impact as Bitcoin is concerned in every circles.
I think if something is obvious in crypto world then it should be the investors attracted to invest after BTC halving occurrence. These type of incidents are the ones which can be used to have profits for sure so we should try our best to get the right value of our investments.

Especially newbies should try to get a good amount of profit so their confidence in crypto increases. That type of events are for sure and taking benefits from them rather than only discussing them is the best thing we can do.


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: TheUltraElite on April 23, 2024, 02:50:05 PM
I think the halving's effect is still lying dormant, a lot of selling pressure against the buying pressure and the price remained under the current All-time-high?

To be honest, I dont see the halving times as good times to trade, or find an opportunity to trade because it is unpredictable but once the dust settles the bull or bear runs will initiate and then it becomes more fun.

Just let bitcoin grow as it is growing, unless we see more involvement from governments, growth will take time, a halving every four years has minimal impact.


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: SquirrelJulietGarden on April 23, 2024, 03:05:34 PM
As simple as that, yes it does because Bitcoin halving has a mechanism impact to influence the supplies
Supply increases with time until 2140 and halving does not reduce the Bitcoin supply. It only reduces new supply in next 210,000 blocks for next four years if you compare next four year new supply with bitcoin mined in previous four years.

Quote
preserves decentralized notations on a specific max volume of Bitcoin in the market to maintain stable rewards on the Bitcoin industrial structures.
I really don't understand what you want to say and discuss here.

Quote
And thereafter the halving comes the bull run and the OP will agree with me that every bull runs is accountable to surge an ATH which is resulted just after the halving.
A bull run does not need to lead to a new all time high. With Bitcoin, so far, with three previous bull runs, it is true but it can be changed in this cycle or next cycles. Bitcoin already broke 2021 all time high before the halving but will it break 2024 ATH again, make a new ATH, no one knows.

By saying "A bull run does not need to lead to a new all time high", I implied about altcoins. Many of them don't make new all time highs with a new big bull run of cryptocurrency market. We can say Bitcoin is different than altcoins but in many years later, when Bitcoin block subsidy becomes very small, effects from a Bitcoin halving might be smaller and very mildly. It will be not surprising if in future, Bitcoin will not make a new ATH after a halving.


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: Jawhead999 on April 23, 2024, 03:10:25 PM
Actually the bull run that would happen after halving event is just a pure speculation.

If halving event is the reason of bull run, why it's need to wait for next few months or year to increase? there's nothing difference between during halving event and a year after halving event because the reward already halved.


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: Marvelockg on April 23, 2024, 03:15:09 PM

So let us have a face to face of the halving where the bitcoin values drops and investors are being attracted to invest and holds until a long run of the bull run with its ATH. That is to yes YES the halving has bigger impact as Bitcoin is concerned in every circles.
I guess almost everyone that's in this system understands what comes with Bitcoin halving and based on what has happened in previous halving, expectation is becoming too high and a lot of persons are looking forward to a sudden bull but you've got to keep your heads-up not to allow your expectations push you into trying out somany shitty project things.

For those of us that are previlage to witness this halving while we are still at our entry level in our Bitcoin accumilation journey, it's more of having a practical hands on lesson that will better prepare us for the next circle and regardless of the pump that comes at the end of this circle, it's never going to make any difference at all Bitcoin we've not actually stacked up a good amount of Bitcoin that will see us to even consider selling any part of it for any reason even if the bull comes today and shut Bitcoin up to $250k


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: Faisal2202 on April 23, 2024, 08:33:03 PM
Just let bitcoin grow as it is growing, unless we see more involvement from governments, growth will take time, a halving every four years has minimal impact.
So you are the second dude I have heard saying that halving has not big impact on the price of BTC while the adoption have and I do agree with the fact that adoption has bigger impact but I am still confused on the line where you say Halving has minimal impact. As IMHO, halving cause an increment in the ratio of demand and supply, and considering the current situation adoption is increasing day by day due to ETFs.

And as the block reward has been reduced by half lesser BTC will come into the market which will decrease the supply as along the block reward more people are now preferring to hold BTC, and during this holding phase many new people join this holding group and end up losing the wallet's key which do the work of burning here. The point is IMO Halving has good impact as it drives people's emotions towards BTC and thus adoptions changes accordingly. What you think?


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: tabas on April 23, 2024, 08:39:05 PM
English isn't my first language but IMO, the title "impactation" does have a different meaning than the word you want to convey which is impact. I think you want to use impaction instead of that. Anyway, it's a common knowledge that the impact of halving has always been there and that's due to the fact that for every cycle, the halving is the signal of it all.

and the OP will agree with me that every bull runs is accountable to surge an ATH which is resulted just after the halving.
I agree that every bull run, it all starts with the halving but you are the OP.  ;D


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: Oasisman on April 23, 2024, 09:08:59 PM
English isn't my first language but IMO, the title "impactation" does have a different meaning than the word you want to convey which is impact. I think you want to use impaction instead of that. Anyway, it's a common knowledge that the impact of halving has always been there and that's due to the fact that for every cycle, the halving is the signal of it all.

and the OP will agree with me that every bull runs is accountable to surge an ATH which is resulted just after the halving.
I agree that every bull run, it all starts with the halving but you are the OP.  ;D

The OP is quite a little mixed up right there, but I think he is referring to someone whom he lost the original post that he supposed to make reply of but instead post this thread as a reply to that lost post. It's a little complicated LOL.
But anyways, the bitcoin halving impact in the market is not gonna be a huge question mark anymore. Yeah you are right, it is a common knowledge for everyone who is here longer enough to experience at least the last 3 halvings that there is indeed a huge impact positively when the event occurs. We even call it the 4 year cycle, which a lot of investors are now following.


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: bettercrypto on April 23, 2024, 09:33:28 PM
Actually, with the halving that happened today, there are many people who really expected, and because of this expectation, maybe many people are also disappointed because what they expected to be 100k per bitcoin did not happen, and many people were also happy because they still have a chance to save. of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, it seems.

But nevertheless, this event seems normal to those who have been around for a long time because it has happened several times. It's really up to our decisions or hands as to what we believe, whether we continue or not; it's that simple. But the majority still believe in this and other potential cryptos in the market that they can still offer good future savings.


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: alastantiger on April 23, 2024, 09:34:28 PM
With regards to price impact, historically halving has never been an explosive move to the upside this has always come later. I thought halving was going to be different from the past three but it is no different. They all follow the same similar trend which is that, the movements around halving events were often characterized by a period of stability in which neither significantly increases or decreases sharply. In addition, noting from the past events, we should expect the impact of the halving on bitcoin's price to occur weeks to months after the halving, rather than immediately following the event.


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: Ojima-ojo on April 23, 2024, 09:39:32 PM
No one has the perfect English but then just like others have stated, you need to edit the topic title and make the right grammatical usage of the word (impact) in this context instead of impactation as mentioned on the title.


But then let get back to business on the impact of bitcoin halving on the bitcoin network, offcourse bitcoin halving have a noticeable impact on the bitcoin network and rewards, so that is a noticeable impact enough that worth being mentioned.




Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: yazher on April 23, 2024, 09:49:58 PM
We only based on its history every time bitcoin halving happens, after it, the price will rise until it reaches a huge amount that creates a new ATH in its price. this is where their motivation to buy bitcoins came and also lots of positive things happened after bitcoin halving such as implementations of big companies that we never thought of joining the era of bitcoins. Here in our country, we never thought of seeing our local online micropayment service making bitcoins and other altcoins available on their service, this is what the impact that the halving created, it creates an opportunity for big companies and also an investment opportunity for us as well.


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: Slow death on April 23, 2024, 11:23:03 PM
although history shows us that after the halving the price rose a lot, we still need to be cautious this time, I say this because with so many people buying bitcoin and the price is already very high, it is difficult for it to rise much, for example the current price and more than $60,000, so having a 4x increase, for example, we would be talking about $240,000, this is a very difficult task, unlike in the past when we had a price of $10,000 and with a 4x increase we are already at $40,000 , it was easy to see or think about increases of 8x or 10x. Today, with the current talk of 10x increase, it is an almost impossible mission, even a 3x increase is difficult.

That's why in my opinion we need to be cautious, those people who bought at $15000 can dream of 10x increases, but for people who are buying today, dreaming of big increases may not be realistic even if a lot of money enters the market, A lot and a lot of money would have to come in and a lot of people wouldn't have to sell, so that we could at least see a 2x increase. It turns out that every time people see prices of $80,000, they will sell $90,000. We will see if even with this current price it will be possible to have a large price increase in the coming months or years.


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: Asuspawer09 on April 23, 2024, 11:35:08 PM
In theory, it should increase its market price because it is going to affect the market price if we are going to check the Bitcoin halving timeline we could easily notice that the halving has its effect increasing the market price and probably going to reach a time high, but we could also notice that the price is having a huge slow down because it gonna need more and more money on it in order to keep up with the trend, I mean we could see in the first halving we could easily see how the market price increases from 5$ to around 1000$ I mean if you ride that part you're probably rich already, that was like 10x but in the next halving it kinda slow down until this halving which probably we are only going to see x2 in the market price of it, I mean just to make that x2 on Bitcoin it's already gonna need a huge amount of money, so it's not going to be easy, were just wasn't sure if it is going to happen because something could happen that never happened before we just don't know.

Still, that was the pattern of the past halving, so most of the traders are going to depend on that pattern since it is just what we have, Bitcoin halving might have other impacts that we don't know yet but it might not really matter for some, Personally, I would just hold for long term until it is Bullrun and exit the market, I'm not really the type to hold until I die, one thing I realize is always to have an exit strategy whatever happened I should sell when its Bullrun.


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: YUriy1991 on April 24, 2024, 03:40:38 AM
Still, that was the pattern of the past halving, so most of the traders are going to depend on that pattern since it is just what we have, Bitcoin halving might have other impacts that we don't know yet but it might not really matter for some, Personally, I would just hold for long term until it is Bullrun and exit the market, I'm not really the type to hold until I die, one thing I realize is always to have an exit strategy whatever happened I should sell when its Bullrun.

The reason for the post halving increase will not only come from the high interest of ordinary users, but also come from large companies or institutions where it is certain that new entrants are arriving, where one of the classic reasons is that they lack money facing the current increase in global financial pressure.

Yes, the direction is to more positive growth and I think this halving moment is also one of the effective options for them to get out of what I said above because the price of BTC can reach $85,000 - $100,000 per coin in 2024.


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: davis196 on April 24, 2024, 06:07:26 AM
Quote
As simple as that, yes it does because Bitcoin halving has a mechanism impact to influence the supplies, preserves decentralized notations on a specific max volume of Bitcoin in the market to maintain stable rewards on the Bitcoin industrial structures.
And thereafter the halving comes the bull run and the OP will agree with me that every bull runs is accountable to surge an ATH which is resulted just after the halving.

Bitcoin industrial structures? WTF? It seems to me that some AI has created this text. OP, did you wrote this by yourself? Can you explain what do you mean by "Bitcoin industrial structures"? Do you mean Bitcoin miners? ;D As if Bitcoin is being produced in giant facilities like cars and trucks. ;D
Anyway, this is probably the 1000th forum thread about "Will the BTC halving have an impact over the price?" We've been here back in 2020 and the forum was full with the same forum threads. I guess that the forum was full with similar threads back in 2016 and 2012.
The 2024 BTC halving is behind our backs and maybe we should stop flooding the forum with the same threads over and over again.


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: Yaunfitda on April 24, 2024, 06:24:18 AM
But isn't it obvious that after the halving, we reaches new all time high? So that is the impact that we all have been seeing and experiencing ever since. Bitcoin investors accumulate and hold and then sell on the right time, great ROI for everyone. Bitcoin miners continue to support the network, we paid them, then they make money, simply as that. And those average joe like the rest of us have learn and mature, followed DCA or do traders, so same result with whales, we also make money and we enjoyed our financial freedom because of Bitcoin and it's design to halved every 4 years and pushed the price as supply is dwindling, but the demand is at a record level. So what else do we need to discussed?


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: Justbillywitt on April 24, 2024, 07:15:21 AM
Actually the bull run that would happen after halving event is just a pure speculation.

If halving event is the reason of bull run, why it's need to wait for next few months or year to increase? there's nothing difference between during halving event and a year after halving event because the reward already halved.
The wait for few months or a year is part of the process that started after the halving event has occurred. You don't give birth to a child today and expect the child to walk that same day. The child will need few months or a year to be able to walk.

The halving has sparked up a process, though it might not be visible, but something is really happening which can only be visible in few months or a year after the halving, so we can confidently say that it is the halving that started the process.

When. Something has happened more than once it's no longer a coincidence, it becomes a norm. That's to say that halving is the reason for the bull run we see after few months to a year after the halving.


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: michellee on April 24, 2024, 08:12:21 AM
But isn't it obvious that after the halving, we reaches new all time high? So that is the impact that we all have been seeing and experiencing ever since. Bitcoin investors accumulate and hold and then sell on the right time, great ROI for everyone. Bitcoin miners continue to support the network, we paid them, then they make money, simply as that. And those average joe like the rest of us have learn and mature, followed DCA or do traders, so same result with whales, we also make money and we enjoyed our financial freedom because of Bitcoin and it's design to halved every 4 years and pushed the price as supply is dwindling, but the demand is at a record level. So what else do we need to discussed?
If you say the highest point is a new ATH, Bitcoin reached it some time ago, putting its price in the range of more than $70k. But it is not yet a new high or ATH price for Bitcoin, especially since the halving has just happened. It may still take more months for this to happen.

We can only wait for Bitcoin to get its ATH price. Meanwhile, the impact of the halving is a reduction in rewards for miners and the possibility of Bitcoin reaching its new ATH again. This is what Bitcoin investors have been waiting for. They are still trying to buy more Bitcoin because of that possibility.

Joining DCA or becoming a trader is a way to generate profits from Bitcoin. If people can be patient while waiting for the price to increase, they can make huge profits. There will definitely be a high demand for Bitcoin, especially for investors who still want to buy more Bitcoin.


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: coolfree on April 24, 2024, 08:24:56 AM
Actually the bull run that would happen after halving event is just a pure speculation.

If halving event is the reason of bull run, why it's need to wait for next few months or year to increase? there's nothing difference between during halving event and a year after halving event because the reward already halved.

People were certainly disappointed the last time this happened :p


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: EluguHcman on April 24, 2024, 08:45:54 AM
I think the halving's effect is still lying dormant, a lot of selling pressure against the buying pressure and the price remained under the current All-time-high?

To be honest, I dont see the halving times as good times to trade, or find an opportunity to trade because it is unpredictable but once the dust settles the bull or bear runs will initiate and then it becomes more fun.

Just let bitcoin grow as it is growing, unless we see more involvement from governments, growth will take time, a halving every four years has minimal impact.
While you have made these outlines of bull and the bear run becoming more funs for investors, it is captured that these two circles of the bull and the bear is activated after the halving has played its role so then it is obvious and agreed that the halving has bigger impacts on the Bitcoin in considering the Price value which would surge a great height of a new ATH after the previous.


Title: Re: The impact of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: justdimin on April 24, 2024, 07:04:33 PM
As simple as that, yes it does because Bitcoin halving has a mechanism impact to influence the supplies, preserves decentralized notations on a specific max volume of Bitcoin in the market to maintain stable rewards on the Bitcoin industrial structures.
And thereafter the halving comes the bull run and the OP will agree with me that every bull runs is accountable to surge an ATH which is resulted just after the halving.

So let us have a face to face of the halving where the bitcoin values drops and investors are being attracted to invest and holds until a long run of the bull run with its ATH. That is to yes YES the halving has bigger impact as Bitcoin is concerned in every circles.
Of course it does, there isn't even anyone denying that it does. First of all it is a huge huge deal for miners, because it means they are making half of what they sued to make, and considering the difficulty level is high, we are talking about a lot of machines and a lot of expense, just to mine half of what they mined last week.

It means, unless the price starts to go up soon, they are not going to be happy about what they have, and I would agree with that, they would be right about that. I believe that we are going to end up with a much higher price, because they would need to sell higher, and that is why we are going to have a big impact on the price as well, that is just how it works if you look at the past history of halving.


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: tabas on April 24, 2024, 07:45:06 PM
and the OP will agree with me that every bull runs is accountable to surge an ATH which is resulted just after the halving.
I agree that every bull run, it all starts with the halving but you are the OP.  ;D

The OP is quite a little mixed up right there, but I think he is referring to someone whom he lost the original post that he supposed to make reply of but instead post this thread as a reply to that lost post. It's a little complicated LOL.
I am not sure with that but one thing is, he's agreeing with himself as he's the OP.  :D

But anyways, the bitcoin halving impact in the market is not gonna be a huge question mark anymore. Yeah you are right, it is a common knowledge for everyone who is here longer enough to experience at least the last 3 halvings that there is indeed a huge impact positively when the event occurs. We even call it the 4 year cycle, which a lot of investors are now following.
Exactly, it is a 4-year cycle and there are a lot of folks here that have understood the routine and there is nothing to worry about it. Most of us are just holding it and moving towards the peak of the market. Someone doesn't have to sell at the peak because it's hard to spot that exact moment but IMO, majority that have bought even at the start of the year are already in profit before the halving happened.


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: Onyeeze on April 24, 2024, 09:12:40 PM
Actually the bull run that would happen after halving event is just a pure speculation.

If halving event is the reason of bull run, why it's need to wait for next few months or year to increase? there's nothing difference between during halving event and a year after halving event because the reward already halved.
nobody come say of Bitcoin regulation or increment because whatever thing they are saying concerning Bitcoin is based on their own understanding of the market of Bitcoin one thing I told people that they should do concentrate on is to know when to purchase Bitcoin and when not to purchase Bitcoin so therefore I believe that the Bitcoin investment have to do with understanding and basic research before they can invest on Bitcoin, but some persons doesn't make such research to know if they invest now in bitcoin can suicide or not.


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: legendbtc on April 25, 2024, 11:06:15 AM
Actually the bull run that would happen after halving event is just a pure speculation.

If halving event is the reason of bull run, why it's need to wait for next few months or year to increase? there's nothing difference between during halving event and a year after halving event because the reward already halved.

I agree that it is all pure speculation as we have neither proof nor any guarantee for it. But the bull season did not come immediately after the halving and that we hastily concluded that the halving was not the catalyst that created the bull season is not entirely correct. Everything takes time to absorb and be effective, we cannot expect it to happen immediately.

Furthermore, this is the financial market and if everything is so predictable then who will be the losers in the market? Making money in the financial markets has never been easy and there aren't too many winners, so it has to happen in the most unexpected way. When the crowd is most hopeful and excited, it will not come, but when the crowd becomes depressed and disappointed, that is when the bull season will come.

Personally, I still believe that the halving is the catalyst for the bull season, but the market is also being manipulated so the bull season will always come in the most unexpected way.


Title: Re: The impact of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: Blitzboy on April 25, 2024, 12:18:10 PM
The halving is huge. Its not some little adjustment - it fundamentally cuts Bitcoin's supply in half. Scarcity drives such wild price hikes after a halving. Economic basics: finite supply, consistent demand, price rises. This is how Bitcoin builds value over time. Bitcoin's halving is like this force. It initially lowers the price, but smart investors know that's prime purchasing time. This pattern is essential to Bitcoin's operation. Its built-in mechanism for long-term growth makes it unique. Indeed, halving has a huge impact. It controls market movements and determines Bitcoin's fate in this new economy.


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: aoluain on April 25, 2024, 01:56:41 PM
Actually the bull run that would happen after halving event is just a pure speculation.

If halving event is the reason of bull run, why it's need to wait for next few months or year to increase? there's nothing difference between during halving event and a year after halving event because the reward already halved.

I agree that it is all pure speculation as we have neither proof nor any guarantee for it. But the bull season did not come immediately after the halving and that we hastily concluded that the halving was not the catalyst that created the bull season is not entirely correct. Everything takes time to absorb and be effective, we cannot expect it to happen immediately.

Furthermore, this is the financial market and if everything is so predictable then who will be the losers in the market? Making money in the financial markets has never been easy and there aren't too many winners, so it has to happen in the most unexpected way. When the crowd is most hopeful and excited, it will not come, but when the crowd becomes depressed and disappointed, that is when the bull season will come.

Personally, I still believe that the halving is the catalyst for the bull season, but the market is also being manipulated so the bull season will always come in the most unexpected way.

Good points, something I never thought about before but it makes sense that the Halving is the
catalyst for the bull market which has followed every time so far. I guess its speculation, everyone
knows "its going to happen" and we all move in that direction which actually creates the bull market,
maybe its like a self-fulfilling prophecy?

Maybe its a HODL'ing thing, there is a increase in adoption, more people getting into Bitcoin, more
speculators, more buying and HODL'ing even when the dump happens.


Furthermore, this is the financial market and if everything is so predictable then who will be the losers in the market?



The losers will be the ones who essentially "buy high" and "sell low".
Some people want to see results before they get into Bitcoin so they only buy when the price is high,
we all know that the markets dont keep going up and up. There will be others approximately 12 months
from now who will but right before a big market correction if it happens as per previous post halving market corrections



 


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: Spaceman1000$ on April 25, 2024, 03:43:39 PM
I think the halving's effect is still lying dormant, a lot of selling pressure against the buying pressure and the price remained under the current All-time-high?

To be honest, I dont see the halving times as good times to trade, or find an opportunity to trade because it is unpredictable but once the dust settles the bull or bear runs will initiate and then it becomes more fun.

Just let bitcoin grow as it is growing, unless we see more involvement from governments, growth will take time, a halving every four years has minimal impact.
I agree with you, the halving hasn't gotten much effect on the price at the moment, everything seems to be normal except for the mempool congestion. I believe most investors are just waiting the see the dust settle for them to take the next step.

Letting Bitcoin grow as it's growing should be the normal thing and not overburden yourself with uncertainty because of the halving that just occurred. Most investors understand how the market works and some are very calm with the situation of things, the ATH prediction will certainly come which will obviously take time and a lot of persons are looking towards $100k.


Title: Re: The impact of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: AVE5 on April 25, 2024, 06:49:08 PM
Bitcoin halving is part of the genetic mottion to complete bitcoin program in a circle and it's of which every events of bitcoin of a circle is advanced to the previous circle such as the ATH.
About the impact of bitcoin halving, yes it does have huge impact of bitcoin promo by which it's an event period which limits bitcoins price and increases the number of Investors. This alone is a huge impact to bitcoin.


Title: Re: The impact of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: DaNNy001 on April 25, 2024, 07:04:47 PM
Bitcoin halving is part of the genetic mottion to complete bitcoin program in a circle and it's of which every events of bitcoin of a circle is advanced to the previous circle such as the ATH.
About the impact of bitcoin halving, yes it does have huge impact of bitcoin promo by which it's an event period which limits bitcoins price and increases the number of Investors. This alone is a huge impact to bitcoin.
This will be the first real halving but due to the knowledge I have gather from the community, I am led to believe and understand that the halving is significant enough for everyone to step up their game and buy more coins. Due to the past records, it's believe that the price always goes up whenever it's the halving years and this has place a mentality on all Bitcoin investors to actually buy more coins during this period and people get encourage more to buy during this period because there is actually a nice price for those types of investors that are always scared of the DIP or bear season.


Title: Re: The impact of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: Antotena on April 25, 2024, 07:39:13 PM
As simple as that, yes it does because Bitcoin halving has a mechanism impact to influence the supplies, preserves decentralized notations on a specific max volume of Bitcoin in the market to maintain stable rewards on the Bitcoin industrial structures.
And thereafter the halving comes the bull run and the OP will agree with me that every bull runs is accountable to surge an ATH which is resulted just after the halving.

So let us have a face to face of the halving where the bitcoin values drops and investors are being attracted to invest and holds until a long run of the bull run with its ATH. That is to yes YES the halving has bigger impact as Bitcoin is concerned in every circles.

Why do I feel like we might not experienced a large new price like everyone is expecting, like we night likely see Bitcoin pass the all time high but I'm not the only person that Bitcoin will do half a million. Let's say for instance Bitcoin jump up to $100k and then we want more upside growth of Bitcoin, if we want to see Bitcoin around $500k, that means Bitcoin would have to x5 in value and that seems to large to me and the crash wouldn't be easy to look at.

It's good to have some bags though, even when I don't have enough Bitcoin or even a half of it, I have some I'm holding because the hardest place I want to see my Bitcoin on is stablecoins because inflation is spoiling everything and food inflation is another problem that is spoiling fiats. I would rather hold a Bitcoin with 50% annual percentage on Bitcoin investment than leave everything on stablecoin.


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: darkangel11 on April 25, 2024, 08:00:31 PM
I agree with you, the halving hasn't gotten much effect on the price at the moment, everything seems to be normal except for the mempool congestion. I believe most investors are just waiting the see the dust settle for them to take the next step.
They aren't waiting for any dust to settle. Bitcoin halvings never worked any other way than they do now, meaning that they never caused a FOMO rally.
I don't get why some people expect halving to work like ETF approval because it never did and it never will. Bitcoin halving reduces the sell pressure from miners
There used to be 900 BTC mined every day and now it's only 450, so the supply pressure has been reduced from around 60 million USD to 30 million. That's the halving effect and for it to impact the price we'll have to probably wait a few months.



Title: Re: The impact of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: Asiska02 on April 25, 2024, 08:33:12 PM
My Opinion>>>
As simple as that, yes it does because Bitcoin halving has a mechanism impact to influence the supplies, preserves decentralized notations on a specific max volume of Bitcoin in the market to maintain stable rewards on the Bitcoin industrial structures.
And thereafter the halving comes the bull run and the OP will agree with me that every bull runs is accountable to surge an ATH which is resulted just after the halving.

So let us have a face to face of the halving where the bitcoin values drops and investors are being attracted to invest and holds until a long run of the bull run with its ATH. That is to yes YES the halving has bigger impact as Bitcoin is concerned in every circles.

The impact the halving has on bitcoin cannot be overstated. Just look back into history on how every bitcoin halving events have come to be and how bitcoin attained a new all time high after the halving. It is a sequence that haven’t changed till date. The little changes that occurred in the market was that it broke through the all time high even before the halving took place. Looking closely at the market before the halving occurs, that major dump that happened was a sign that it has to be on that same sequence it has been following for all the past halvings.

Those pump in price that triggered it to surpass the all time high could be as a result of the new inventions in the bitcoin ecosystem like the spot bitcoin ETF. Those wailing and also maybe the OP you’re referring to would have been expecting an immediate surge in prices after the halving but that’s not the case. It will come but not immediately as many novice in the crypto world foresees it.


Title: Re: The impact of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: Fiasem20 on April 25, 2024, 08:44:40 PM
Bitcoin halving is one of the most discussed topic in the crypto space.Bitcoin halving is an event that tend to happen every 4 years after 210,000 blocks have been mined.After every halving event the price of Bitcoin increase (ATH),from the previous halvings that occurred the price of Bitcoin significantly increase.Miners are rewarded for validating the blockchain network and transaction fees.According to Vitalik Buterin-The main reason why this is done is to keep inflation under control. – Vitalik Buterin, creator of Ethereum.But with the expansion of the network and the growth of Bitcoin adoption, the need to reduce inflation and simultaneously prevent the rapid depletion of Bitcoin available for the mining came to the  fore  (https://stormgain.com/blog/bitcoin-halving-explained).


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: Ale88 on April 25, 2024, 10:50:52 PM
To me the impact depends on the area you’re looking at it. If it is the price impact, I don’t think we will have the same impact as the other past halving because the percentage of the price movement is reducing this is due to bitcoin facing less volatility than before. For example in the early halving you can easily get a movement of more than 10X but now it is hard. If you look at even the current market price speculation you will notice that the highest the predictions are expected to go is 4X from the previous ATH ($69k). And as we go later in future I think the volatility will still reduce more.

As for adoption rate, I think the later we go into more halvings the more impact it gives
I agree with you. It's kind of funny when people expect a sudden price increase because of the halving, almost as if nobody knew it was coming. The halving has an impact on price on the long run because there will always be people interested in buying bitcoin so many of them will buy after the halving simply because before they couldn't buy for whatever reason.


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: fuguebtc on April 26, 2024, 01:32:44 PM
To me the impact depends on the area you’re looking at it. If it is the price impact, I don’t think we will have the same impact as the other past halving because the percentage of the price movement is reducing this is due to bitcoin facing less volatility than before. For example in the early halving you can easily get a movement of more than 10X but now it is hard. If you look at even the current market price speculation you will notice that the highest the predictions are expected to go is 4X from the previous ATH ($69k). And as we go later in future I think the volatility will still reduce more.

As for adoption rate, I think the later we go into more halvings the more impact it gives
I agree with you. It's kind of funny when people expect a sudden price increase because of the halving, almost as if nobody knew it was coming. The halving has an impact on price on the long run because there will always be people interested in buying bitcoin so many of them will buy after the halving simply because before they couldn't buy for whatever reason.

I don't blame the newcomers because they have never experienced a halving before, but the funny thing is that there are still some investors who have gone through a halving before and also expect the price to increase immediately when the halving is completed .

Not just the halving but with any event similar to  ETFs, everything takes time to create a positive impact for bitcoin. But many investors want everything to happen immediately, and what's even more ironic is that those people often claim that they don't see bitcoin as a get-rich-quick investment. LOL.


Title: Re: The impact of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: Mame89 on April 26, 2024, 08:07:46 PM
The halving is huge. Its not some little adjustment - it fundamentally cuts Bitcoin's supply in half. Scarcity drives such wild price hikes after a halving. Economic basics: finite supply, consistent demand, price rises. This is how Bitcoin builds value over time. Bitcoin's halving is like this force. It initially lowers the price, but smart investors know that's prime purchasing time. This pattern is essential to Bitcoin's operation. Its built-in mechanism for long-term growth makes it unique. Indeed, halving has a huge impact. It controls market movements and determines Bitcoin's fate in this new economy.
Yes that's right. The impact of this halving is certain and certainly has a big influence on its increase, even though currently the price is still stable, we can predict that usually after the halving Bitcoin will experience a very significant increase.

Because according to post-halving history, what happened before, post-halving, will stimulate the market to experience another bullish increase. This is also what several market analysts have said and they think that this increase has been taken into account by the market, we just have to wait for time. Although currently the price of bitcoin remains relatively stable post-halving, transaction fees on the network have spiked, proving increased activity. What is clear is that every halving will reduce the dilutive impact of mining so that the cycle will repeat itself, believe me. Doing dca on bitcoin and holding it in the long term will impact our finances in the future.


Title: Re: The impact of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: Rengga Jati on April 26, 2024, 08:56:55 PM
So let us have a face to face of the halving where the bitcoin values drops and investors are being attracted to invest and holds until a long run of the bull run with its ATH. That is to yes YES the halving has bigger impact as Bitcoin is concerned in every circles.
For me, still yes.
Even though currently, the impact of the Bitcoin halving is not that significant, in fact many people say that the price of Bitcoin has fallen since the halving occurred, and this is true. However, the impact of the Bitcoin halving usually won't be felt immediately, right? What this means is that the Bitcoin market still needs time and conditions in which BTC will really experience a significant bullish era with a fairly skyrocketing rate of increase.

And in the end it can reach and exceed the new ATH. But here, sometimes that's not enough, it can easily happen because there are so many conditions that influence the market. And this is one of them. That is actually a very extraordinary thing, which makes us have to remain persistent and patient.

But what is certain is that I personally am very confident that we will be able to get and feel the impact of this halving in the next few months, that is the cycle of Bitcoin. we have to be patient to follow it.


Title: Re: The impact of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: Moreno233 on April 26, 2024, 09:23:19 PM
The halving is like a designed mechanism integrated into Bitcoin by the found, the essence of which is to create scarcity and as time progresses. Unlike fiat that more notes are printed, this being the main cause of inflation even though the governments will never admit this, Bitcoin has anti-inflation attributes as it keeps getting better and more valuable with the passage of time. Indeed the halving and the limited supply of Bitcoin represent a lasting solution to inflation and like I said before, Bitcoin will keep getting better.



Title: Re: The impact of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: wiss19 on April 27, 2024, 05:40:22 AM
I think the halving's effect is still lying dormant, a lot of selling pressure against the buying pressure and the price remained under the current All-time-high?

To be honest, I dont see the halving times as good times to trade, or find an opportunity to trade because it is unpredictable but once the dust settles the bull or bear runs will initiate and then it becomes more fun.

Just let bitcoin grow as it is growing, unless we see more involvement from governments, growth will take time, a halving every four years has minimal impact.
I feel like there's a very big confusing situation going on with Bitcoin at the moment where traders don't understand if the market is going to go higher or if the chances of a bearish crash are high right now, so many people just stay silent. The hold is sitting neither they are buying nor are selling including me.
I've seen a lot of people talking about halving as if halving is magic and right after Bitcoin halving Bitcoin will go up a lot and people will start profiting right away.

And I agree with you that Halving time or the time when the market is very high is not a suitable time for trading as you have high chances of waiting for a long time for profit. As we all saw Bitcoin crossed its all-time high before the halving, and at this time Bitcoin is running enough proof so it won't be so easy to say that Bitcoin will go up and not down. So, I suggest traders with low investment should either adopt the DCA method or wait for a good time to trade.


Title: Re: The impact of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: Hypnosis00 on April 27, 2024, 06:47:52 AM
Good side- it catches the attention of the community and makes the price skyrocket, and everyone seems happy with it.

Bad side - FOMO is quite visible and new investors sell their Bitcoin which makes the price drop. And it is quite disappointing after seeing the fees skyrocket as well together with the price.

I can't blame the people for thinking that the market is changing now. But yes, can do nothing but deal with the situation and be more prepared for the upcoming. However, I remain confident that this even gives us more positive results than negative ones and the new ATH.


Title: Re: The impact of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: Bravut on April 27, 2024, 05:27:32 PM
I think the halving's effect is still lying dormant, a lot of selling pressure against the buying pressure and the price remained under the current All-time-high?

To be honest, I dont see the halving times as good times to trade, or find an opportunity to trade because it is unpredictable but once the dust settles the bull or bear runs will initiate and then it becomes more fun.

Just let bitcoin grow as it is growing, unless we see more involvement from governments, growth will take time, a halving every four years has minimal impact.
I feel like there's a very big confusing situation going on with Bitcoin at the moment where traders don't understand if the market is going to go higher or if the chances of a bearish crash are high right now, so many people just stay silent. The hold is sitting neither they are buying nor are selling including me.
I've seen a lot of people talking about halving as if halving is magic and right after Bitcoin halving Bitcoin will go up a lot and people will start profiting right away.

And I agree with you that Halving time or the time when the market is very high is not a suitable time for trading as you have high chances of waiting for a long time for profit. As we all saw Bitcoin crossed its all-time high before the halving, and at this time Bitcoin is running enough proof so it won't be so easy to say that Bitcoin will go up and not down. So, I suggest traders with low investment should either adopt the DCA method or wait for a good time to trade.


Traders that understand market movement isn't shaken by the price movement as far there confluence align. And I would say  there is a clear difference between Traders and Investors, Traders are present either for a day, week or month just to make profit off the market whereas Investors hold for long-term careless about price movement, stick to there plan and keep buying, accumulating anytime.

The only best approach is applying DCA, this shades you from panic, fomo since your asset will keep soaring high. Bitcoin is an asset not just a tradable coin. The essence is to build a strong portfolio, and accumulate more bitcoin for the future in a long run. That's the goal, having enough stash of Bitcoin, it's a digital gold just like we will all want physical gold and value it much because we know it value so is Bitcoin.


Title: Re: The impact of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: crwth on April 27, 2024, 05:36:32 PM
Well, I think the most important thing that we have accomplished recently is that the BTC ETF was approved, and having BTC as an asset class is a game changer, knowing that other people would be able to buy their BTC without really having to get to the hard stuff of learning and made it easier for those "older money" to go into it.

Since there would be other people that go and buy it, there should be more supply. I hope that people will get to have their own.


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: TheUltraElite on May 21, 2024, 04:13:58 PM
So you are the second dude I have heard saying that halving has not big impact on the price of BTC while the adoption have and I do agree with the fact that adoption has bigger impact but I am still confused on the line where you say Halving has minimal impact. As IMHO, halving cause an increment in the ratio of demand and supply, and considering the current situation adoption is increasing day by day due to ETFs.

And as the block reward has been reduced by half lesser BTC will come into the market which will decrease the supply as along the block reward more people are now preferring to hold BTC, and during this holding phase many new people join this holding group and end up losing the wallet's key which do the work of burning here. The point is IMO Halving has good impact as it drives people's emotions towards BTC and thus adoptions changes accordingly. What you think?
Thread has been inactive for a month now and I think this is a right time to reignite the discussion. As per my previous post, to clarify, a bigger movement in bitcoin's price occurs when governments make positive changes, acceptance rises and people approach it in a positive manner. Halving is not directly related to these things. However historically previous halvings have seen massive upstrokes and downstrokes, which was anticipated this year too but did not actually happen.

But looking further, the bull market has come back and the coming months have been indeed topsy turvy with regard to the price. But these are not directly due to halving but major other happenings in the market.


Title: Re: The impact of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: EarnOnVictor on May 21, 2024, 05:32:13 PM
The truth is that the main motive of Satoshi Nakamoto to have planned halving is not even about the bull run caused by its post-market effect every 4-year cycle but for the scarcity of Bitcoin itself so that it can force lower supply and more demand. But today, that halving has now turned into a tradition where investors now regularly targeting to pump money into Bitcoin, which is causing the ever-celebrated bull run of the market. I believe that this will continue to happen until further notice and people will continue to gain preplanned earnings in Bitcoin because this period is always easy to know and of course often causes FOMO where people can earn from the market easily.

However, the heavy price of Bitcoin will always be a discouragement even if people do not like thinking towards that angle much. Bitcoin is no more as though it was at $500. For this, the having will continue to cause some post-market effect that will cause soaring of the market price but it will not be significant like before anymore. This is where the expectation of people will be disappointed as multiple earnings like before could drastically reduce.


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: Faisal2202 on May 21, 2024, 05:38:15 PM
But looking further, the bull market has come back and the coming months have been indeed topsy turvy with regard to the price. But these are not directly due to halving but major other happenings in the market.
That's right when governments make positive changes, traditional people with lesser trust in BTC also try there luck or time with it. They start to invest too. But do you think Halving is the major reason of why US authorities accepted the ETFs? I think it is. Because halving have bigger impact on the price of BTC and if they would accept the ETFs things will become more smooth means the demand will be increased and supply will be shorted. Thus we might see a big boom in the price.

Now the question is, why authorities accepted ETFs now? Beacuse those 11 ETFs companies filed for it, they fight for it, they struggle to make it happen, they spent money on it, if they would not have, then I don't think ETFs were to be accepted this time also. Now other question is why those companies waited for 2024 or 2023, why not in 2022, because they know, the right time. So directly or indirectly, halving have a big role here, as market's sentiments revolve around it,


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: 0t3p0t on May 21, 2024, 05:40:23 PM
Actually the bull run that would happen after halving event is just a pure speculation.

If halving event is the reason of bull run, why it's need to wait for next few months or year to increase? there's nothing difference between during halving event and a year after halving event because the reward already halved.
Yeah given the fact that new ATH has happened before halving event which is I thinkdoes not repeat on it's previous four year cycle history. It could be that this all depends on news as we can see ETF has made it clear that it is the reason why crypto prices rally especially Bitcoin. So yeah no doubt the next bull run is just a speculation and still depends on good news and bad news.


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: MainIbem on May 21, 2024, 06:51:16 PM
Yeah given the fact that new ATH has happened before halving event which is I thinkdoes not repeat on it's previous four year cycle history. It could be that this all depends on news as we can see ETF has made it clear that it is the reason why crypto prices rally especially Bitcoin. So yeah no doubt the next bull run is just a speculation and still depends on good news and bad news.
I think we all saw the impact it had all over the media, before the halving the news of the halving was spreading all over the media and brought the attention of more businesses, industries and more rich merchants. Because of the halving many people were so anxious to know about Bitcoin and even though it didn't get to the expected ATH of most newbies who had the mindset of it going x2 of it's current price but atleast the halving have made many people to get the idea of what Bitcoin is all about and I believe most of them might have made research to learn more and study about Bitcoin. Well the halving might not have gone as expected and some might be a little discouraged but those who's made research of the previous halving would understand that BTC would still encounter a long bull which normally occurs in some period after the halving, all they just need is patience.


Title: Re: The impactation of Bitcoin halving and my opinion
Post by: Nanga Parbat on May 21, 2024, 07:43:36 PM
But isn't it obvious that after the halving, we reaches new all time high? So that is the impact that we all have been seeing and experiencing ever since. Bitcoin investors accumulate and hold and then sell on the right time, great ROI for everyone. Bitcoin miners continue to support the network, we paid them, then they make money, simply as that. And those average joe like the rest of us have learn and mature, followed DCA or do traders, so same result with whales, we also make money and we enjoyed our financial freedom because of Bitcoin and it's design to halved every 4 years and pushed the price as supply is dwindling, but the demand is at a record level. So what else do we need to discussed?
Your point is correct.  Bitcoin crosses its all time high every Halving.  Those who hold Bitcoin and sell after the halving when Bitcoin is at its peak will make the most profit.  In contrast  those who sell Bitcoin early in the short-term profit cycle will occasionally experience losses or make low profits.  A long term holding strategy has the potential to yield high returns for Bitcoin as its value always sees a substantial increase after a halving. Even knowing all this we still take our trade and investment in loss but it happens only because we don't think long time . To think long term we have to strengthen our strategy and plan . But we ignore this thing.