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Author Topic: The impact of Bitcoin halving and my opinion  (Read 446 times)
EluguHcman (OP)
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April 23, 2024, 12:00:31 PM
Last edit: April 24, 2024, 08:38:03 AM by EluguHcman
 #1

Earlier on I read about a thread in request "If will the Bitcoin halving have bigger impact in the Bitcoin industry"?.

It has really got some cracks on my head which yeah, I needed to hit on the reply sections but right then in time I am unable to find the thread and not even the search button could help me out.
So I am referencing my opinion to that thread here on my post.

My Opinion>>>
As simple as that, yes it does because Bitcoin halving has a mechanism impact to influence the supplies, preserves decentralized notations on a specific max volume of Bitcoin in the market to maintain stable rewards on the Bitcoin industrial structures.
And thereafter the halving comes the bull run and the OP will agree with me that every bull runs is accountable to surge an ATH which is resulted just after the halving.

So let us have a face to face of the halving where the bitcoin values drops and investors are being attracted to invest and holds until a long run of the bull run with its ATH. That is to yes YES the halving has bigger impact as Bitcoin is concerned in every circles.











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April 23, 2024, 02:29:37 PM
 #2

To me the impact depends on the area you’re looking at it. If it is the price impact, I don’t think we will have the same impact as the other past halving because the percentage of the price movement is reducing this is due to bitcoin facing less volatility than before. For example in the early halving you can easily get a movement of more than 10X but now it is hard. If you look at even the current market price speculation you will notice that the highest the predictions are expected to go is 4X from the previous ATH ($69k). And as we go later in future I think the volatility will still reduce more.

As for adoption rate, I think the later we go into more halvings the more impact it gives

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April 23, 2024, 02:34:42 PM
 #3

Earlier on I read about a thread in request "If will the Bitcoin halving have bigger impact in the Bitcoin industry"?.

It has really got some cracks on my head which yeah, I needed to hit on the reply sections but right then in time I am unable to find the thread and not even the search button could help me out.
So I am referencing my opinion to that thread here on my post.

My Opinion>>>
As simple as that, yes it does because Bitcoin halving has a mechanism impact to influence the supplies, preserves decentralized notations on a specific max volume of Bitcoin in the market to maintain stable rewards on the Bitcoin industrial structures.
And thereafter the halving comes the bull run and the OP will agree with me that every bull runs is accountable to surge an ATH which is resulted just after the halving.

So let us have a face to face of the halving where the bitcoin values drops and investors are being attracted to invest and holds until a long run of the bull run with its ATH. That is to yes YES the halving has bigger impact as Bitcoin is concerned in every circles.
I think if something is obvious in crypto world then it should be the investors attracted to invest after BTC halving occurrence. These type of incidents are the ones which can be used to have profits for sure so we should try our best to get the right value of our investments.

Especially newbies should try to get a good amount of profit so their confidence in crypto increases. That type of events are for sure and taking benefits from them rather than only discussing them is the best thing we can do.

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April 23, 2024, 02:50:05 PM
 #4

I think the halving's effect is still lying dormant, a lot of selling pressure against the buying pressure and the price remained under the current All-time-high?

To be honest, I dont see the halving times as good times to trade, or find an opportunity to trade because it is unpredictable but once the dust settles the bull or bear runs will initiate and then it becomes more fun.

Just let bitcoin grow as it is growing, unless we see more involvement from governments, growth will take time, a halving every four years has minimal impact.

 
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April 23, 2024, 03:05:34 PM
 #5

As simple as that, yes it does because Bitcoin halving has a mechanism impact to influence the supplies
Supply increases with time until 2140 and halving does not reduce the Bitcoin supply. It only reduces new supply in next 210,000 blocks for next four years if you compare next four year new supply with bitcoin mined in previous four years.

Quote
preserves decentralized notations on a specific max volume of Bitcoin in the market to maintain stable rewards on the Bitcoin industrial structures.
I really don't understand what you want to say and discuss here.

Quote
And thereafter the halving comes the bull run and the OP will agree with me that every bull runs is accountable to surge an ATH which is resulted just after the halving.
A bull run does not need to lead to a new all time high. With Bitcoin, so far, with three previous bull runs, it is true but it can be changed in this cycle or next cycles. Bitcoin already broke 2021 all time high before the halving but will it break 2024 ATH again, make a new ATH, no one knows.

By saying "A bull run does not need to lead to a new all time high", I implied about altcoins. Many of them don't make new all time highs with a new big bull run of cryptocurrency market. We can say Bitcoin is different than altcoins but in many years later, when Bitcoin block subsidy becomes very small, effects from a Bitcoin halving might be smaller and very mildly. It will be not surprising if in future, Bitcoin will not make a new ATH after a halving.

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April 23, 2024, 03:10:25 PM
 #6

Actually the bull run that would happen after halving event is just a pure speculation.

If halving event is the reason of bull run, why it's need to wait for next few months or year to increase? there's nothing difference between during halving event and a year after halving event because the reward already halved.

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April 23, 2024, 03:15:09 PM
 #7


So let us have a face to face of the halving where the bitcoin values drops and investors are being attracted to invest and holds until a long run of the bull run with its ATH. That is to yes YES the halving has bigger impact as Bitcoin is concerned in every circles.
I guess almost everyone that's in this system understands what comes with Bitcoin halving and based on what has happened in previous halving, expectation is becoming too high and a lot of persons are looking forward to a sudden bull but you've got to keep your heads-up not to allow your expectations push you into trying out somany shitty project things.

For those of us that are previlage to witness this halving while we are still at our entry level in our Bitcoin accumilation journey, it's more of having a practical hands on lesson that will better prepare us for the next circle and regardless of the pump that comes at the end of this circle, it's never going to make any difference at all Bitcoin we've not actually stacked up a good amount of Bitcoin that will see us to even consider selling any part of it for any reason even if the bull comes today and shut Bitcoin up to $250k

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April 23, 2024, 08:33:03 PM
 #8

Just let bitcoin grow as it is growing, unless we see more involvement from governments, growth will take time, a halving every four years has minimal impact.
So you are the second dude I have heard saying that halving has not big impact on the price of BTC while the adoption have and I do agree with the fact that adoption has bigger impact but I am still confused on the line where you say Halving has minimal impact. As IMHO, halving cause an increment in the ratio of demand and supply, and considering the current situation adoption is increasing day by day due to ETFs.

And as the block reward has been reduced by half lesser BTC will come into the market which will decrease the supply as along the block reward more people are now preferring to hold BTC, and during this holding phase many new people join this holding group and end up losing the wallet's key which do the work of burning here. The point is IMO Halving has good impact as it drives people's emotions towards BTC and thus adoptions changes accordingly. What you think?

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April 23, 2024, 08:39:05 PM
 #9

English isn't my first language but IMO, the title "impactation" does have a different meaning than the word you want to convey which is impact. I think you want to use impaction instead of that. Anyway, it's a common knowledge that the impact of halving has always been there and that's due to the fact that for every cycle, the halving is the signal of it all.

and the OP will agree with me that every bull runs is accountable to surge an ATH which is resulted just after the halving.
I agree that every bull run, it all starts with the halving but you are the OP.  Grin

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April 23, 2024, 09:08:59 PM
 #10

English isn't my first language but IMO, the title "impactation" does have a different meaning than the word you want to convey which is impact. I think you want to use impaction instead of that. Anyway, it's a common knowledge that the impact of halving has always been there and that's due to the fact that for every cycle, the halving is the signal of it all.

and the OP will agree with me that every bull runs is accountable to surge an ATH which is resulted just after the halving.
I agree that every bull run, it all starts with the halving but you are the OP.  Grin

The OP is quite a little mixed up right there, but I think he is referring to someone whom he lost the original post that he supposed to make reply of but instead post this thread as a reply to that lost post. It's a little complicated LOL.
But anyways, the bitcoin halving impact in the market is not gonna be a huge question mark anymore. Yeah you are right, it is a common knowledge for everyone who is here longer enough to experience at least the last 3 halvings that there is indeed a huge impact positively when the event occurs. We even call it the 4 year cycle, which a lot of investors are now following.

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April 23, 2024, 09:33:28 PM
 #11

Actually, with the halving that happened today, there are many people who really expected, and because of this expectation, maybe many people are also disappointed because what they expected to be 100k per bitcoin did not happen, and many people were also happy because they still have a chance to save. of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, it seems.

But nevertheless, this event seems normal to those who have been around for a long time because it has happened several times. It's really up to our decisions or hands as to what we believe, whether we continue or not; it's that simple. But the majority still believe in this and other potential cryptos in the market that they can still offer good future savings.

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April 23, 2024, 09:34:28 PM
 #12

With regards to price impact, historically halving has never been an explosive move to the upside this has always come later. I thought halving was going to be different from the past three but it is no different. They all follow the same similar trend which is that, the movements around halving events were often characterized by a period of stability in which neither significantly increases or decreases sharply. In addition, noting from the past events, we should expect the impact of the halving on bitcoin's price to occur weeks to months after the halving, rather than immediately following the event.

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April 23, 2024, 09:39:32 PM
 #13

No one has the perfect English but then just like others have stated, you need to edit the topic title and make the right grammatical usage of the word (impact) in this context instead of impactation as mentioned on the title.


But then let get back to business on the impact of bitcoin halving on the bitcoin network, offcourse bitcoin halving have a noticeable impact on the bitcoin network and rewards, so that is a noticeable impact enough that worth being mentioned.



 
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April 23, 2024, 09:49:58 PM
 #14

We only based on its history every time bitcoin halving happens, after it, the price will rise until it reaches a huge amount that creates a new ATH in its price. this is where their motivation to buy bitcoins came and also lots of positive things happened after bitcoin halving such as implementations of big companies that we never thought of joining the era of bitcoins. Here in our country, we never thought of seeing our local online micropayment service making bitcoins and other altcoins available on their service, this is what the impact that the halving created, it creates an opportunity for big companies and also an investment opportunity for us as well.

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April 23, 2024, 11:23:03 PM
 #15

although history shows us that after the halving the price rose a lot, we still need to be cautious this time, I say this because with so many people buying bitcoin and the price is already very high, it is difficult for it to rise much, for example the current price and more than $60,000, so having a 4x increase, for example, we would be talking about $240,000, this is a very difficult task, unlike in the past when we had a price of $10,000 and with a 4x increase we are already at $40,000 , it was easy to see or think about increases of 8x or 10x. Today, with the current talk of 10x increase, it is an almost impossible mission, even a 3x increase is difficult.

That's why in my opinion we need to be cautious, those people who bought at $15000 can dream of 10x increases, but for people who are buying today, dreaming of big increases may not be realistic even if a lot of money enters the market, A lot and a lot of money would have to come in and a lot of people wouldn't have to sell, so that we could at least see a 2x increase. It turns out that every time people see prices of $80,000, they will sell $90,000. We will see if even with this current price it will be possible to have a large price increase in the coming months or years.

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April 23, 2024, 11:35:08 PM
 #16

In theory, it should increase its market price because it is going to affect the market price if we are going to check the Bitcoin halving timeline we could easily notice that the halving has its effect increasing the market price and probably going to reach a time high, but we could also notice that the price is having a huge slow down because it gonna need more and more money on it in order to keep up with the trend, I mean we could see in the first halving we could easily see how the market price increases from 5$ to around 1000$ I mean if you ride that part you're probably rich already, that was like 10x but in the next halving it kinda slow down until this halving which probably we are only going to see x2 in the market price of it, I mean just to make that x2 on Bitcoin it's already gonna need a huge amount of money, so it's not going to be easy, were just wasn't sure if it is going to happen because something could happen that never happened before we just don't know.

Still, that was the pattern of the past halving, so most of the traders are going to depend on that pattern since it is just what we have, Bitcoin halving might have other impacts that we don't know yet but it might not really matter for some, Personally, I would just hold for long term until it is Bullrun and exit the market, I'm not really the type to hold until I die, one thing I realize is always to have an exit strategy whatever happened I should sell when its Bullrun.
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April 24, 2024, 03:40:38 AM
 #17

Still, that was the pattern of the past halving, so most of the traders are going to depend on that pattern since it is just what we have, Bitcoin halving might have other impacts that we don't know yet but it might not really matter for some, Personally, I would just hold for long term until it is Bullrun and exit the market, I'm not really the type to hold until I die, one thing I realize is always to have an exit strategy whatever happened I should sell when its Bullrun.

The reason for the post halving increase will not only come from the high interest of ordinary users, but also come from large companies or institutions where it is certain that new entrants are arriving, where one of the classic reasons is that they lack money facing the current increase in global financial pressure.

Yes, the direction is to more positive growth and I think this halving moment is also one of the effective options for them to get out of what I said above because the price of BTC can reach $85,000 - $100,000 per coin in 2024.

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April 24, 2024, 06:07:26 AM
 #18

Quote
As simple as that, yes it does because Bitcoin halving has a mechanism impact to influence the supplies, preserves decentralized notations on a specific max volume of Bitcoin in the market to maintain stable rewards on the Bitcoin industrial structures.
And thereafter the halving comes the bull run and the OP will agree with me that every bull runs is accountable to surge an ATH which is resulted just after the halving.

Bitcoin industrial structures? WTF? It seems to me that some AI has created this text. OP, did you wrote this by yourself? Can you explain what do you mean by "Bitcoin industrial structures"? Do you mean Bitcoin miners? Grin As if Bitcoin is being produced in giant facilities like cars and trucks. Grin
Anyway, this is probably the 1000th forum thread about "Will the BTC halving have an impact over the price?" We've been here back in 2020 and the forum was full with the same forum threads. I guess that the forum was full with similar threads back in 2016 and 2012.
The 2024 BTC halving is behind our backs and maybe we should stop flooding the forum with the same threads over and over again.

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April 24, 2024, 06:24:18 AM
 #19

But isn't it obvious that after the halving, we reaches new all time high? So that is the impact that we all have been seeing and experiencing ever since. Bitcoin investors accumulate and hold and then sell on the right time, great ROI for everyone. Bitcoin miners continue to support the network, we paid them, then they make money, simply as that. And those average joe like the rest of us have learn and mature, followed DCA or do traders, so same result with whales, we also make money and we enjoyed our financial freedom because of Bitcoin and it's design to halved every 4 years and pushed the price as supply is dwindling, but the demand is at a record level. So what else do we need to discussed?

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April 24, 2024, 07:15:21 AM
 #20

Actually the bull run that would happen after halving event is just a pure speculation.

If halving event is the reason of bull run, why it's need to wait for next few months or year to increase? there's nothing difference between during halving event and a year after halving event because the reward already halved.
The wait for few months or a year is part of the process that started after the halving event has occurred. You don't give birth to a child today and expect the child to walk that same day. The child will need few months or a year to be able to walk.

The halving has sparked up a process, though it might not be visible, but something is really happening which can only be visible in few months or a year after the halving, so we can confidently say that it is the halving that started the process.

When. Something has happened more than once it's no longer a coincidence, it becomes a norm. That's to say that halving is the reason for the bull run we see after few months to a year after the halving.

R


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