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There are event you can predict on that even though it's not 💯 guaranteed that you're going to win,  a level of certainty makes you think that you're surely going to win.

The downside of that feeling is that you might become over confident to use a big amount in the game since you're to a large extent certain that you're going to win.

Can we still say we are gambling if the event is something we are at least 90% sure that we are going to win?

This could make it possible to win, given the probabilities involved. but on the other hand, it also depends on the performance of the bet in the end, as well as considering the worst-case scenario that could occur during the bet.

I think for those who are always involved in sports betting, this situation is quite common, where some matches seem easy with small odds, but that’s very normal because the teams being bet on are often unbalanced. Will it be a win? The probability is high. But will it win overall? The answer is clearly not always like that because sometimes unexpected things can happen.  During the soccer season (last season), I faced this situation several times, but I didn’t win all of them, and I didn’t bet on all of them either. I realized that overconfidence and overly small odds also need to be considered, and I prefer to look for other opportunities rather than betting on odds that are too small, even if the probability of winning is very high.

Is this a real thread? If you put money on it, you are gambling. No IFS, ANDS, or BUTS. I was sure Mike Tyson was going to kick Buster Douglasses ass  but guess what, he didn't. There are tons of events in sports where this or that is almost a guarantee, but shit happens and it doesn't go the way people thought it would.

If course, any activity that involves staking of money in order to make profits or loss is called gambling whether your bet is guaranteed or not. However, there is nothing like sure bet because a lot of people have had confidence in such events/games and bet with huge amounts of money and still lost the bet. Gambling results are unpredictable, only if it's rigged or match fix.

Betting with confidence can lead you into depression if your bet didn't work out because it will make you use the amount of money that you cannot afford to lose.

This is how some people will think and stake their money on a game or bet and lose. They may think that they would win and just lose because they are overconfident of their decisions.

Or maybe you can explain what you mean better and also let us know the kind of bet. But I have not seen a better that is 100% guaranteed before.

Of course, we can still say we're betting. Take, for example, games with odds of @1.10. You might think it's a guaranteed win, so you can bet all your money, but then lose. I've seen many cases of this. I've made some mistakes myself, placing high-odds games like @3.00 and very low-odds games like @1.15 in a parlay. Then, I'd win the high-odds games and lose the low-odds game.

From this, you learn that there's no 90% or 100% guarantee when it comes to sports betting and gambling in general. Take the recent case of the Club World Cup final, where the odds were as follows: Chelsea win @5.00 and PSG win @1.60. At the end of the game, Chelsea won. So, if you and some others were 90% confident that PSG would win, you would have lost the bet.

Of course, you're staking money on it, and you are not guaranteed to win. And so, what makes you think that something like 90% of the potential chance of winning wouldn't be considered gambling?

As long as you're taking chances, you're putting money with or without a chance, you're gambling and that's the reason that we're all gamblers.

We're taking chances and even if we know that we're going to lose money, we still bet.

That is interesting point about gambling even if you feel 90% sure you will win you are absolutely still gambling. This feeling of certainty can lead to risky overconfidence causing you to bet more money which makes remaining 10% chance of losing much more painful.

This is because gambling always involves putting money at risk for uncertain outcome even highly likely events can have unexpected results and emotional highs and lows are still present. Ultimately this feeling of near certainty can be dangerous as it makes people ignore smart ways to manage risk.

If you are 90% sure of winning, then this game is 10% gambling. If we are talking about sports betting, then this can be a trap. By the way, if this confidence is present in many bettors, then such a bet does not make sense. The gain will be negligible relative to the loss (which still has a chance). In general, it would be nice if you could give a specific example of what exactly we are discussing. Since the situation you described looks somewhat abstract.

Is there anything like that exist? because there's no one will run a business if they give 90% chances of winning for their gamblers.

But I think that that of set up can still be called as gambling. Since even if you stated that they have great chance to win there are still 10% that can change their current situation and make them a loser. This is provably the dream situation of the gambler since for sure there are lots of people there are tired to have 50% chance or lower to win on the games of chance they playing.

Definitely it's gambling provided you're risking money and you're expecting to get a win so sure it's gambling. What makes gambling gambling is the guarantee we get when we predict a particular game and then it's at a 50/50 play out either to give us returns or losses, so being sure about an event isn't a necessity to certify that but based on we're risking money and sometimes lose defines everything.

Whenever I bet on sports, I always think all of my picks will win, but in reality I'm at loss.

With this thread created, now I'm curious is there any gambler who bet when they're not sure with their picks? why bet in the first place? I would avoid to bet if I'm not 100% sure with my analysis and feeling.

All betting sites give 90% chances of winning, as long as they always bet less than @1.10 odds https://oddsjam.com/betting-calculators/implied-probability

A group of armed robbers must have been sured that they will successfully rob a bank before getting out of their cages and launch their attacks, the question is how dare of them?

They are about to forcefully take something in a world where there are security personals and also special forces, the chances of coming back alive is even the lowest, they can take the money they needed but come back home safe is not promised.

Many people have had confidence on stupid plans and things yet they failed, and for the fact that we all know what a gambling is all about how dare you to develop confidence on something that's near impossible to beat?

Gambling is even more crazy because it's future based, it is like turning yourself into Doctor Strange from Marvel Universe, and start bending time to your will.

I'm not sure what you meant here, but being a gambler I think majority of us here thinks that we are going to win whenever we play. We should always be positive, otherwise if you have that negative mindset then you are going to lose. So it's not that we can predict, but deep in our hearts we're going to win. But the outcome might be a different story, as even we are very optimistic, there is  this element of luck. And not every one has it, or maybe that night, the stars didn't align and so you are going to lose. Maybe in sports betting you can have this kind of mindset, like feeling that the team that you bet are going to win. Maybe they are the favorite or their opponent is weak so chances are very high that they are to win my ML or handicap covered. But in luck base games, yeah, you need to be positive that you are going to win.

I have a question, OP. Have you been betting with uncertainty? What makes sense of betting when you're in doubt? Because for me, I bet with certainty. I bet on the team that I believed would win.

That is why we have to analyze the game to decide which one of them we will put our bet on. Even though we rely on luck, at least we do something that increases our chances of winning. At least we never call ourselves stupid and gamble blindly. We don't just bet, but we analyze.

In gambling, sometimes being overconfident can lead to good results, but it is not always possible. If your confidence increases, you can get a positive result in your bet, but at the same time, there will be a greater chance of losing. If someone is overconfident and thinks that they will win the bet, even if they expect to win up to 90% of the time, there will be a greater chance of losing. You can never be sure of winning in betting. I have seen that despite having a 99% chance of winning in a bet, I had to lose in that bet, which I could never have imagined. From my point of view, no matter how much you are ahead in winning a bet, it is definitely gambling. Even if you are 99.99% in winning, you are still gambling.

In gambling nothing is sure because always things can go against you ifs and that's also part of this because no one can give you guaranteed of win in any case many times I have results which were never been supposed but happen.
Usually peoples have their views different about few things because they want to be linked with gambling even they are also understanding how this is working.
If you are feeling not good just avoid this best option for you but if you are in and then trying to have other options these are always just fake theory nothing with any other thing in sports betting, I also listen many theories, but these have never been up to mark.

Gambling is same thing no matter the circumstances. Take for example, some sports activities are being rigged and the outcome is being secretly shared to those ready to buy the game and they stake on it with huge amount targeting a huge win and in a situation like that, they are 100% sure and guaranteed of the outcome. So, since they are sure of the outcome, should we not call it gambling?

The fact that you are 90% certain about the outcome of a game doesn't mean that every other gamblers have same certainty, so it is still gambling.

Being confident in winning is like being confident, and while confidence is good, we must be able to limit it. Overconfidence in gambling can be disastrous, I have no doubt about that.

I suspect that many people who become addicted to gambling and experience significant bankruptcy initially had high self-confidence, so even after losing, they still believed they could turn things around by winning enough to cover their losses. However, instead of being confident in winning, it only leads to despair.
We must remember that luck is paramount in gambling. If we're lucky, we'll win, and if we're unlucky, no matter how hard we try, we won't win.

Yeah even at 0.1% or 99% wining or not you are still gambling. Though even at 90% chance you can still lose.

Gambling isn't just about the chances of winning, it's about risking something of value on an uncertain outcome. That 10% chance of losing still means you're taking a risk. And the danger is, as you said, overconfidence can make you risk more than you should, thinking you're in control. Even the bestlooking bets can go sideways. That's why true professionals always manage risk no matter how "certain" something feels. Cause that chance can flop too anytime.

The 10% left is enough to make a gambler lose so it is still gambling. Even if the gambler is 100% sure it is still gambling since something is always at stake. It is the confidence that always make a gambler wants to gamble. Just as the gambler would want to stake high if he is sure to win so also it will be for the gambler not to stake if he is also sure that he has a zero chance of winning. It will not even be reasonable for a gambler to decide to lose when it will be safer for him to ignore gambling at that particular session.

On some occasions a gambler would be afraid to place a stake due to fear and uncertainty and at the end the game will play and he will regret not playing the game. Others times, a gambler would be confidence and certain that he will win but end up losing. Regardless of how certain a gambler is there is always no winning guarantee and that is what makes it gambling. If gamblers starts winning everyday the bookies will close down and that is why gambling is always in the bookies favour to ensure that they profit continuously and remain in the market.

Op can you at least explain to us about the event you're talking about Here? though you're right when you said about certainty because in gambling there is two things involve is either you win or you lose so this two things is very certain rather it takes a lot of time before we can experience wining that's depending on the method we are using to gamble, this is the reason why some people don't easily give up in gambling because they believe that some day that they will be lucky to win just like other people, this motivates most people to keep gambling without thinking of stopping whether they're in a losing streak or not they don't care.

Based on what I’ve been through, every time I feel almost 100% certain that I’m going to win, that’s exactly when I lose. it just happens like that. But still, it doesn’t mean you should always doubt yourself. Eventually, you’ll figure things out through experience and start to see which side makes more sense to go with. Just don’t rely on emotions all the time. It’s better to back it up with some research so at least you’re not just guessing, you’re confident both mentally and emotionally.

Even how small the chance of losing you can't guarantee yourself that you'll going to win, and like what you said OP, in such event you may use big amount of money and when upset happened surely the dissapointment will not be at ease, there are times that gambler expereinced this kind of situation thinking that it's a easy game to predict as the team or player that they'll going to bet with got an upper hand and got that heavy favor from the bookies, but then again, since that you are still inside gambling chances of being upset still possible to take place.

When you have, for example, 90% of chances of winning, the odds are very low and the payout will be smaller compared to more risky bets. Apocollapse is right when he mentions the "less than 1.10 odds". And, in the long run, you have less than 50% of chances of winning money, no matter how "sure" the bets are. Therefore, chances of winning single bets alone don't turn a game into gambling or not, but the combination between the probability and the odds.

We all know the house edge, so think about it this way: if a gambler had the conviction that in the long run he will win, like casinos do, because the relation between the probability and the odds is unbalance in his favor, to me, that could not be called gambling. Unfortunately, this doesn't happen in practice.

It is still gambling because there's a money involved.

Moreover, even you're too confident that your prediction is going to happen, in gambling, nothing is certain. It can go the way you didn't expect it to be. Confidence is not sufficient to win since there are many gamblers who do so yet they still lose. There's no such thing as sure, because if that's the case then probably many gamblers are already rich by now.

If someone comes to gambling, it means that he has already heard about it in a positive way from friends or from advertising or from news about a lucky person who won a lot of money.
And our perception is arranged in such a way that we always wish ourselves the best and believe in the positive, therefore many people, once they learn about the lottery, for example, immediately begin to believe that they will also succeed. And by buying a lottery ticket they will be able to win a big prize.

You will still gamble if you use money, whether you are sure to win or have no clue. Gambling gives you no certainty about the result so you don't have a high expectation of winning. Even if you are sure about winning the match, that still does not guarantee you can win because many things can happen in the middle of the match.

You can be sure of winning but you should accept it if somehow you lose in gambling. You will not know what the final result will be so you need to place the money you can afford to lose. That is a prevention for you not to use too much money to bet. Besides that, you reduce the risk of losing a lot of money.

Unless it’s not 100% you are still gambling even if it’s 99.9999% winning percentage since there’s still a chance of losing with minimal risk. Gambling means you are betting your money for a chance to win. If there’s a risk no matter how low it is means you are gambling.

I bet even on fixed match your bet still can’t be considered as 100% sure win because there’s a chance that party involved bust or doesn’t do the agreed outcome on the game.

There’s always a risk involved on gambling.

What event are you referring to? Are you referring to sports betting or something else? You've already written the word "prediction," meaning there no certainty or guarantee of success even if you're confident you'll win. Of course I won't deny that I'm optimistic when placing a bet from the start, I mean we should be confident in the bets we're going to place but the final outcome! Whether we succeed or not depends on luck.

You still have a 10% chance of losing all the money you bet (which is no small thing).
Unlike investing in a business, where you invest in equipment to work with the hope of recouping your investment through hard work (you're not guaranteed to work, but you're investing in your business), in this case you still have a margin for recovery. If things go badly, you can sell off your equipment and still recover the loss.
Differently, with a bet, if you have a 90% chance of winning but things still go badly, what do you do? You lose everything and have no way of recovering.
I absolutely consider it gambling.

This your question is contradictory because so far as you stake your money on an event that you can either win or lose, it doesn't matter if you have the conviction that you are going to win but it's still gambling. Haven't you seen in a boxing match whereby one of them is a popular boxer that everyone knows that he will win the fight and they bet in his favor and at the end of the day he will still win so we cannot say because the outcome of an event is already known and not call it gambling anymore, besides you can even bet the likely outcome since you are very sure but it can still go against your expectation and you lose the bet. That notwithstanding, there is no such thing as a sure bet in gambling because if there is, some people will beat the casino in the sense that as soon as they see a sure bet, they can take loan and even sell their properties to stake such bets knowing fully well that they will live a better life after winning huge from the bet.

I think you answered your own question- even if there is a high chance of CERTAINTY that you will going to win, it is still considered gambling UNLESS the result is absolute.

Gambling is a game of chance. You are pretty much aware that even the slightest odds of winning may be in or against your favor depending on your general luck. So even if you argue that a person has 90% chance of winning, never discount the possibility of that 10% even if the odds are still 99% against 1.

At the end of the day, gambling is all about luck. What gives gambling the sensation of anxiety and adrenaline is its nature of not being absolute but random. Even if the odds may be in your favour, nothing is still absolute in this environment.

The 90% prediction is believed to win, who doesn't want to place a bet, if I can make sure Valentino Rossi can beat Lorenzo, Marc Marquez, in the fantastic MotoGP racing arena, of course I will place an infinite bet.

But whether the prediction can guarantee an accurate victory, that is fearful that gamblers, sometimes the prediction can turn 100c not as expected, for that junction Normally as usual, too arrogant to place bets on uncertain frequencies.

There's still a 10 percent chance of losing, so it is still a gamble. If there is risk, it is still gambling. Yes, 90 percent is a high winning chance, but I have never seen that happen. If it does, you won't really get much profit, considering the odds will be like x1.02 - x1.10. You will need 100k - 1M of dollars at risk just so you could feel the profit, and there are rarely people who would do that because of the "what if?". What if they lose?

It's scary. So a gambler would probably just go for the 50-50 with a good profit of x1.80- x1.90, or maybe use some spreads rather than go for a very low profit with large money on the line.

I thought you are going to say that the downside of it is that we might get disappointed after being overconfident that we are going to win but lost at the end of the day. But however such confident can be misleading, because it will make a person stake a huge amount of money in hoping to win big, but at the end of the match it turns out that your confidence is being turn down on. That's why it's not good to put your hope on an uncertain event no matter how real it looks like or how you feel it will be.

Yes we can say it's gambling even though the event is almost %100 sure to happen. But since it has not yet happened then it is classified as betting because it is still under probability.

Even though the odds of winning are very high (90%), you're not guaranteed to win or lose every playing session. In the short term, you might experience losses. However, if you play repeatedly day by day, you'll tend to win overall based on the given probabilities.

It's like flipping a modified coin with heads and tails. If the coin lands on "heads" 9 out of 10 times, you'll see heads most of the time, but occasionally, "tails" will still appear, and you can't predict the outcome of the next flip. This means you're still playing with probability.

Yes it is still gambling, because deep down in you no matter how sure you are that you will win, there's always going to be a feeling it doubt in your confidence. You might be thinking that you are going to win but there's always that tiny voice saying "what if" and that's also you taking the risk regardless so yes it's gambling all the same, even with a 90% certainty it's still gambling because that 10% uncertainty is you taking the risk to gamble. Gambling is a game of 50/50% and even if you have your luck at 95% that remaining 5% is the anxiety that makes it gambling.

With that one of the best way before to act is assisted with the help of the statistical side for example if you are playing with the sports betting most of us will not just rely only with the odds or the percentage of win rates but also we can also use the statistics from the player, team and the match history of the game so you can make a fully decision where to put a bet. Now if you are playing slot games for sure you will be use the RTP rate percentage to check if the game is giving a good win rate or not. Always use the data presentation its not just a design at all there.

No matter how sure you are, once you risk your money on it, it’s still gambling, even if you’re 99% or 99.9% confident. Unexpected events, like injuries during the game, can instantly drop your chances of winning from 99% to 50%, or even flip the outcome completely. Even without any unfortunate events, there are times when the underdog performs well and the favorite ends up having an unlucky or bad game and that's nothing new in sports.

It’s still gambling because you put your money at risk, even if there is 10% uncertainty; the event is gambling, so even if you are 100% sure of winning, you never know until you claim your winnings.
Nothing has changed; there are options to choose from in the events, and you are putting money on it, with winners and losers, so it's still gambling, as all the elements are present.

There is still hope to win in betting but not the belief that you can win 90% is too much even if you bet with odds of 1.01x for example.
Because it does look convincing to win but is it realistic to take those odds?

A gambler's confidence level is definitely you but they don't expect more than 90% because that's too high unless 60/40 confidence level in sports betting is a reasonable possibility.

As long as there is still a chance that you are capable of losing that bet we can still call it gambling. The event is not 100% certified that you will win it, so even at 99.9%  chances that you are doing to win it is still gambling. I don't know about other sports, but in football, there many times that football matches that your analysis might have shown you that a certain club will win, but at the end of the day the match won't end as expected. The team that nobody thought could win ends up winning.

Yes, we are gambling even if the event is something we are sure to win. After we analyze the teams, we will find which team has the potential to win so we will pick the team. But you should not feel too confident about winning because everything can happen. You may prepare yourself if the team lose against the opponent because many people cannot believe that they will finally lose. If you know that sports betting has uncertainty that we can not predict so we must be ready for anything.

It’s a tricky question but the premise of your own opinion to assurance of winning which means it’s a sure bet for you but not 100% accurate based on the actual game.

But assuming you meant a guaranteed 100% winning like arbitrage betting then I believe it’s not already gambling because there’s no risk involved on your bet due to guaranteed +EV regardless what will be the outcome of the game.

In short you are not gambling because there’s no risk of losing.

For me it won't be a problem, I will still gamble even though I have a feeling that there will be a possibility of losing, because basically I don't really chase winning, I only prioritize entertainment, while winning is a bonus from additional entertainment for me, so that also applies if I have a feeling that there is a possibility that I will win. And we also need to realize that basically everything related to gambling is about luck, so I can't just believe in the potential for winning (especially with a large ratio of win), because things like this can be found in gambling such as sports games that bring the favored team vs. the underdog team, and we know that the favored team doesn't always win, right ? So we can conclude that it's all about Luck.

There is no way it's possible to have sure certainty when it comes to gambling except it's a different event that you have an inside information that will give you such confidence but however if it's just the regular casino type of thing we know then it's very much impossible.

Additionally, it's still gambling as long as there is a chance of your certainty to flop, but if there is no chance of getting it wrong then it not gambling.

Yes it is purely gambling and there is no other name to call it because since we can't tell with certainty or %100 certain that we are going to win it is still gambling.
Well that's a good point, I have had such experience before in the past. There are times one will come across a game that looks so real and as such it won't look as if one is gambling because of the level of certainty.however no matter how sure or certain one is, about the outcome of a game it doesn't change the fact that they don't have control over what the outcome will be. So as long as there is uncertainty, no matter how small it maybe what we are still doing is gambling. The risk of losing one's funds is there despite the confidence so it is still gambling.

How can you be sure you are going to win? Gambling and being sure does not go together because I don't think you can be sure in gambling. So, let's not contradict ourselves here, gambling remains a game of chance and treating it likewise is the way to go because greed will creep in and ruined you. If you are sure tih are going to win, you can sell all your properties, borrow money from the bank and bet the game and become super rich.

If we are 90% sure that we will win an event, then of course we can gamble there. In fact, gambling is mainly for entertainment, if entertainment is needed, then there is no such thing as sure and uncertain events, any event can be bet on. I always analyze the teams before betting. After analyzing, I participate in gambling. I analyze well and can analyze well, so I can still win most of the bets in gambling. When an uncertain event cannot be analyzed well, then bets have been seen to lose a lot. So where there is 90% or 80% sure that there is a possibility of winning this match, that event can be bet on.

Yes there are games you feel very certain that you are going to win, but I can boldly tell you that it can still be called gambling. We all know that we can never be 100% sure about any gamble. Like you said you can be about 90% sure of winning the gamble, but I can boldly tell you that the gamble is the 10%. Like you said you can decide to gamble with a huge amount of money,  because you feel almost certain,  but we all know that in gambling nothing is certain, so there is a probability that you might still lose. The fact that you can either lose or win makes it a gamble.

Be careful taking this point of view as betting is absolute. It's not like owning a stock, where you can buy at $100 and watch it slide down to $90, but you can then cash out if you decide the risk is not for you. If you place a $100 bet on something like 1.1x multiplier, which the bookmaker has priced with the idea that it's got a good chance to win, then you make only 10% profit but if you lose it'll wipe your bet out entirely. For me, that possibility of a 10% increase is still extremely high risk. I've actually lost three bets in very quick succession that were priced around 1.03x, so even those bets that look extremely safe can fall through and cause you a big downside. A 90% chance of winning does not sound so good in that context.

Depends on the odds.

If you gamble on low odds, you will feel you're going to win, not wrong though. It could make our excitement low, but if you bet a big amount of money, at least 1x of your monthly salary, your adrenaline would be high.

This is why I don't like to bet on low odds, I bet at least @1.50, it's already low for me.

Yes, of course, such scenario can definitely be called gambling, because inasmuch as you are not 100% sure that the outcome will be exactly just as you predicted, and their exist an atom of doubt in you that maybe this game you just predicted, may not happen exactly. Because however, I have also seen many game with a 99% success rate still fails to play, not to talkless of mere just 90% success rate. While secondly, despite how a game looks so appealing to play, it is never advisable you gamble more than you can always afford to lose.

Here's the thing, no matter how sure you think an option is in gambling there's still a possibility that this can turn against your prediction that you think is hundred percent accurate. This is a game of probability, things change within a second and minute, so to answer your question, yes it is still gambling. Just because you are sure of it doesn't actually mean that you can't end up losing. Gambling is very tricky

Well depends on what you mean, I think...

If you mean by "if you're sure you're going to win" that you are making a fraud bet which has a certain outcome the other party is not aware of but you are, then that is not considered gambling but rather a scam.

A real bet in gambling is unpredictable. Sure, the probabilities can be easily calculated and based on them, the bet can be made but there are no 100% guaranteed wins in betting (unless it is a unfair bet, as mentioned).

First of all, there is no event you can ever be guaranteed to win from.

Second, You are gambling no matter how small the chance of losing. Because of that possibility of losing, it’s still a risk and you are gambling to avoid that risk but it still exists. Honestly even if all signs point towards a specific event happening, it might still not happen.

The fact that it not 100% guaranteed makes it a gamble and moreover you are still going to invest your money to gain more. Having some percentage of guarantee about winning wouldn’t change the name of gambling and that will make you still a gambler.

If you eventually follow the downside of that feeling it might increase the risks of the process and having more guarantee doesn’t mean you are not going to lose.

Hmm. There's nothing certain, and even 90% still rattles confidences to some because you can bet on low multipliers in sports betting, meaning you have a higher chance of winning, but it's not a guarantee. I read the title, thinking it was about fixed matches or something similar.

If you think like that, it's somewhat giving off the "illusion of control" that you think it's a sure win, which is never a thing in gambling. I think overconfidence can lead you to lose money.

Technically it's still gambling because you are putting your money on the line... Gambling can be very funny, even when you think that you are sure of the outcome you might end up getting surprised at the end of the day because within a split second things can change, anything can happen that's why it's called gambling... Even when you feel like you are sure of the outcome it still doesn't make it hundred percent guaranteed

Yes I will still consider it as gambling  if anyone else would not do same, I will even consider myself to be extremely lucky if I know for a 90% that I will win. It will be absolutely nice to know that you are going to win and event you bet on, with such knowledge you can even stake with a higher amount but because of the risk that you outlined, it will be out of stupidity and greed for someone to stake in a game with a massive amount that they can not afford to lose. Even when you are very sure of the game out, don't take bad risk on your money. It will be extremely fun to go to the casino all day know that you will win and winning exactly the the money you had in mind, that's gambling.

Think about those match fixing games it's fits perfectly into the analogy. Most of those people who bet on the fixed matches already know that they are going to win but they bet anyway, for me, it still counts as gambling as there is already an odd, and some betting stats. It happens within the gambling community even though it is illegal. On the other hand, what do we call it, if it is not gambling?

I know you can have a higher winning percentage in your favor if you place your bets on sports, and if it's a sport that doesn't require a draw, it's much easier to predict the winner. People lose by placing more bets that, while they might earn more money, only make it harder for them to win.

It will never stop being gambling because you'll never be 100% sure. I don't think you'll ever be even 90% sure due to the number of variables at play.

But if it's a rigged game and you know in advance what will happen, then you're not betting, you're cheating.

Of course. There are many gambling events and games where you have 90% winning chance, however, the money you put at stake will guarantee only a small amount in case you win. On long term it's not profitable anyway, as the house still overcome gamblers, because for each loss you face (inside those 10% chance against you), you have to win another 10 bets just to recover the lost money previously.

You may have 99% winning chance and it will still be gambling, and potential profit will be always proportional to your winning chances. The more winning chances you have, less profit you will potentially make from each placed bet.

We are still gambling in this case, but I can argue this always with you that we can be confident in playing a game that it will be sure as a win, if gamblers already knows a particular game they can be having free chance ls of winning each time they are playing, then they will not stop from playing such each time they are gambling, we can't be rest assured in developing confidence on gambling, because it will be that we lose or win regardless of the game being played and there's no one that can blast of having it come as it has been presumed.

I will definitely gamble if I get a high chance of winning there. But I will definitely not panic and bet an amount that I cannot afford to lose. In the field of gambling, no one can guarantee that he will win 100%, so why should I bet an amount that I cannot afford to lose where there is no 100% certainty.

We certainly take different risks at different times and will definitely take risks. Because, without taking risks, you can never expect to get anything better. However, you should not take risks of such an amount that you cannot afford to lose.

Yes what is gambling all about it's about taking risk that is what makes it gambling if you are sure about an event there is no need gambling on it again because the lesser the chances of winning the better for a gambler to bet on the game so I don't see anything wrong with someone gambling on an event that the probability of winning is slim.



Luck and chance is what gambling is all about even the normal football matches that we are playing there are matches that the winning options is not even up to ten percent and still yet people bet on it hoping that they can get lucky in the process

Alan Garner: [looks at his manual] It says here we should work in teams. Who wants to be my spotter?
Doug Billings: I don't think you should be doing too much gambling tonight, Alan.
Alan Garner: Gambling? Who said anything about gambling? It's not gambling when you know you're gonna win. Counting cards is a foolproof system.
Stu Price: It's also illegal.
Alan Garner: It's not illegal. It's frowned upon, like masturbating on an airplane.
Phil Wenneck: I'm pretty sure that's illegal too.
Alan Garner: Yeah, maybe after 9/11, where everybody got so sensitive. Thanks a lot, bin Laden.

In the definition of gambling, it talks about staking money and the game being under probabilities. Even as your confidence level is high, you still can't be too sure that it will end up the same way you placed the bet.

That money you stake on the game and the little worry you keep in your mind until the game ends up playing still make it qualify to be under gambling. There are scenarios like that where the winning percentage from the beginning is very high, but we still don't consider calling it anything. If we don't call it gambling, what should we refer to it as?

Yes! You are still gambling even if you are 90% sure or even 99% sure. That small chance of losing means you are risking it. The problem with feeling over-confident is just that: you will probably risk too much. If that 10% chance of losing actually happens, you could lose quite a lot.

Any game that have 100 percent winning is no more gambling because gambling involves staking once valuable asset in an activity that he or she is not sure. That's why it is clearly stated we should stake what we can lose with out any regret. In gambling, no game is sure or 100 percent accurate no matter the difference we see among them that's why one can not predict the winner of any tournament from the beginning until the end of the tournament. Example, who will believe Chelsea will be the winner of 2025 club world cup

Like PSG vs Chelsea  and then they went ahead losing to Chelsea  ;D,  there's  no  guarantee about a future event , it's  just what you believe would happen, doesn't  mean another person won't  see it differently no matter the level  of certainty or whatever  you think and lo you could be wrong  as well .. that's  why it's  called gambling
So far it involves your prediction  plus your  money, it's  still gambling and you can be too sure either

Oh yes gambling is absolutely a game of uncertainty to which we shouldn't act with much assurance on any game between two teams wether its between two teams which one is weak and the other stronger. Chelsea Vs PSG match final was one game which left many gamblers losing so much of their bet because hardly did anyone thought Chelsea could have won PSG after watching how PSG won all big sides in all competitions.

There are no guarantees winning in gambling. No matter how positive you are with your bets, that you are definitely sure you’re going to win, but the fact that all gambling outcomes are unpredictable, then it will never come to a point that winning has already been guaranteed.

Even in trading itself, there are no sure profits in the end, much more for gambling where everything is carried out by luck and chances.

What is considered not a gamble is when you do demos, there is no involvement of money and if you do that. It only means that you're afraid of taking risk. And that's fine when you are playing the demos and you're not putting your money in the line because that's what the real enjoyment is. But the time come that you will regret it because, you will say to yourself that you should have put real money on it and risk it. Because you are sure that you're going to win that bet and it shoud have made you money afterwards.

Yes, in as much as you are using money to get another money in terms of betting it's known as gambling .
Remember when you gamble, you are wagering your valuable things, most times funds with the reason of winning

You being sure and overconfident in your wins before staking your bet shows that you are gambling, gambling has to do with losses and wins, at times being sure of your bets could be misleading and so whatever the outcome is, it is still gambling.

The result is not 100% guaranteed so it is still gambling. As long as you put your luck on is considered gamble for me. Anything can happen in gambling, and that 10% chance to lose is still possible if you get unlucky.

It's best to not bet big amount just because you feel confident. If you do bet huge amount then lose, it might make you to gamble more wanting to recover that loss.

I haven’t seen any gambler who’s definitely sure that he will win his bets, although a lot are making positive predictions, but in the end, majority still lose despite how surely they were when they started betting.

This is gambling, not trading or investing. So if you think you have the ability to see the future outcomes of your bets, that all your bets are sure to hit the jackpot, then you are not a real gambler, but just exaggerating things and overreacting to gambling.

When you predict something and put money into it, it's gambling. I don't know any other name or definition of what you're describing, even if you are 90% that you are going to win, there are events where bettors are betting on manipulated games, and they are sure to get a 100% result in their favour, and it's still considered gambling.
So even if you are 100% sure of winning, as long as the element of predicting and putting money in the hope of growing it, it's still gambling.
I think all references will define it that way.

For me, the rule that says it is not scary to be sure of something, but it is scary to be overconfident, always holds. There is a big difference between these two feelings. Yes, we know that we can win by understanding a few things and knowing some obvious things, but our overconfidence can let us down, because in addition to our knowledge, there are surprises that are likely. And then we can bitterly regret if we bet on an amount that is very significant for us.

It's not called gambling because someone is participating and speculating who's going to win, no. It's called gambling because money is involved. Whether you're cocksure (that's a wrong assumption, anyway) that's you're going to win or not, once a bet is placed; it's gambling. It doesn't matter the amount staked or the level of certainty.

However, it's still advised that one should be prudent placing bets even if one feels too certain of winning. Nothing is guaranteed in gambling. It's pure luck.

Those are exceptional cases, unfortunately they exist, and a few years ago a scandal broke in Italy. To avoid making things too sensational, they even bet on minor teams and in Serie B.
But in this specific case, it's cheating, so it's obvious you have a guaranteed win. We no longer have a 90% chance, and it wouldn't make sense in the context of this discussion, don't you think?  ;)

There is no certainty in gambling and that's why if it's about winning and they're telling that they are sure that it will be, it's not 100% at all.

Most likely, they're just analyses and predictions and that's why even if there is a big chance for them to win, it's not going to be enough at all to say that they're going to win 100% accurately. It's still gambling to say that if they are sure that they can win but we know the reality that nobody wins surely.

The word gambling is a description of uncertainty,  so if at any point you are sure of a thing then you are not gambling that thing,  you are only taking a calculated risk or better put you are trying to make the most out of an opportunity you just found at a point.  Gambling will always mean you have almost no idea of what to expect so it is a 50/50 chance in that you may win amd you may loose the game, which ever way you are not sure of what the actual outcome would be you are only hoping it comes out as you expect.

Over confidence is a bad thing in gambling, this can make you go out of your budget because of some mental speculation on possible winning and a loss would definitely humble you.


The gambler is only digging a big hole in his finances if he uses amounts that he cannot afford to loose. He might get wins actually, but a major downside is that he is cultivating a habit that would not go down well with him if actually he starts experiencing losses. He should remember that when you stake very huge even on a small odds, if you win, you would win little, but if you loose, you loose big, it is important to Use your head

 
Who gave you such assurance? gambling is a 50/50 activity, no matter how confident you're that a win would come across, even if you are winning the bet and it is not yet final whistle, it is still 50 / 50 unless you cash out and the fractional funds is credited to you.

in this world - especially in the world of gambling - nothing is certain, even if it seems certain. it doesn't matter. even a 0.001% chance of losing is a risk, let alone a 10% chance of losing. mathematically you still have a chance of losing and it is a gamble.

if you want to confirm that this is true, start investing all the money you have saved in bets that seem “sure”. eventually the risks you take will pay off.

Gambling cannot be equated with investing but everyone will agree to you, 10% still a probability of lose. while Investing carries a lower risk, while betting carries a higher risk. Even a 10% chance lose in betting still become a higher risk for players. We can see from what happens with slots with 96% RTP. do slot players actually win money every playing session? Of course not, many lose more money than win. 90% win, will be organized with various type, from small win below base bet and multiplier.

Another example, in poker, you have straight card on hand, 90% you win, but 10% maybe other player have flush or higher. you are making all in, and surprised with flush :D

It is always a gamble no matter the level of confidence that you may have as long as you are trying to predict the future as I assume you talk about sport betting when you say 90% level of confidence to be sure that is going to be a win. No one can predict the future and we have so many proofs of odds of 1.04 to 1.10 that have gone in ruin as the teams in Basketball and Tennis have let us down, examples like these you can find a lot with a simple google search or asking Chatgpt if you like. Now this level of confidence can hurt you pretty badly if you go and put a lot of money in the even you think that is going to be a sure win and in fact it happens to be a loss, so there is always gambling as long as you are trying to predict the future, you cannot get out of it.

It is gambling when you stake your money or something valuable on something that you don't have control over to happen, so yes if you are very certain that it will happen and bet your money on it that is gambling. If what you are betting on is very certain to happen it can make you to put significant amount on it and if it happens that almost everybody shares your bet that means that the reward for winning will not be significant because it is shared among many winners. Believe or hope is good for gamblers but it won't have any impact on the result so use small amounts that you can afford to loose.

You can still gamble because there are 10% that are not sure you will win, the chances are that you will win but not 100%, so gambling eh. Unless you have a cheater gambler
at every casinos you enter.

Then there is no 100% accurate that we will win any casino online to gamble, so the majority of gamblers are playing because their mindset may be their gambling
because they are all expecting their luck when they win no more

If the probability is high, I don't think there's a problem with betting above-average amounts, but make sure you've considered the risks involved. Even with a high probability of winning, there's still a risk.
If I were in that situation, I would do the same, but instead of betting all my money, I would bet by increasing it by 30% to 50% of my usual bet. That way, I'd have some money left over to cover living expenses for the next few months.

If there is a 10% chance of losing all the stake, then it is gambling. In my opinion, I mean... there are casino games like dices in which you are allowed with mess up with the multiplier in order to get even lower chances of losing and it is still gambling, isn't it?

Only if the chances of losing are specially low, like down to 0.0001% I would say it is not gambling. Otherwise, investing would be called gambling and going to work in the morning would be considered to be a form of gambling as well, both of those activities involve a degree of risk, not only of losing one's money, there are also statistics on how possible it is for one to lose one's life in a car crash. In life there is risk everywhere, but not gambling.

That's the same as betting on Real Madrid against Zaragoza & Real Madrid has @1,1 odds. The question is, if we choose Real Madrid with those small odds, can we still say it's a gambling?

The answer is "Yes". Even if you only get @1,01 odds, which means you have 99% winning chance, it's still gambling, because you still have 1% losing chance.

If the odds are greater than 70%, you should continue playing. It's simple: the logic behind these odds needs to be taken seriously if your calculations are reliable. However, if you don't base your calculations on such high odds, then it's tantamount to hallucinations.

It's important to understand that if you're a gambler relying on unfounded beliefs, considering them repeatedly is the right decision.

It's a mental trap. I'm sure most losers feel the same way because they don't bet with the expectation of losing, right?

The main drawback of this feeling is that you can be completely wrong about the "subject" of the bet.

Even if you are 100% sure of winning, it is still a game of chance, because even under the most favorable conditions your chances will not be higher than 99.9%, and it is those same 0.01% that make you part of the "game of chance". It is like a joker in a gambler's deck.:)

Even if you are 110% sure that you are doing to win your bet in an event, it's still a gamble because your assurance or confidence may turn out to be far different from what is supposed to be the reality, this is exactly how over confidence made me bet a whooping $3k on a football match between Saudi Arabia and Argentina back in 2022, I believed there was no way Argentina wasn't going to beat Saudi Arabia hands down, not when they have Messi also playing.

But to my greatest shock, Saudi Arabia ended up beating Argentina and that was how I lost my money, till today, I still regret that incident because that money was too much for me to lose, I only betted it because I was too sure I was going to win, but reality turned out to be different from what I thought it would be.
So, every gamble is a gamble, it doesn't matter how sure you are about winning, it's still a risk because you can still lose.

If you are sure that you will win then it's no more a gamble, your result should be 100% accurate, but in this world of gambling how many have turned out to be a fantasy? So many I guess, then why should we be lying to ourselves that some people can just gamble and have it their ways all the time?

Even if you are 90% sure that you will win, this is still a gamble, it doesn't change anything and what you are gambling your money on is what will determine the fate of your prediction, gamblers should be the most humble people in the world because they are stuck in between.

You have no power over anything until things go your way and you win, don't also feel special when you win because it's just another one good day in a hundred bad days ahead.

90% isn't same as 100% and even if you can say there is 99.9% of you winning the game the remaining percentage is still in play which means there's possibility for other outcome too and it's gambling. The best example for this is sport betting with odds like 10.11 and 1.01,then you can be sure that 99% the winner will be the team that have 1.01 but we can never rule out the other and still there will be players betting on it and if it's their day then they make a big reap out of it.

It's difficult actually because such confidence can be a false thing where you only always feel that such situations can still occur for victory but in the end it can actually become a blunder that ultimately makes the victory that has been obtained slowly depleted.

Indeed, sometimes this can also be a victory more when we are really lucky but in most cases that have happened now things like this by forcing when already feeling victory will only make our condition messy because the ambition we have will slowly get worse for gambling size.
I don't want to be naive because I think not a few gamblers do things like that even I also feel the same way but indeed things like this cannot be done continuously because the conditions for the worst possibility will actually be fatal.

It can certainly be said to be gambling if you are betting. Besides, it is just a belief based on our prediction that we are sure will win. The result is still unknown to us. Like when you bet on the favored team to win. This is because statistically and in terms of team strength, they are indeed superior. Additionally, the odds given by the bookmakers support this. In such betting, the chances of winning are high, but the profit is small.

Your question makes me laugh. I spend a fair amount of time playing poker, and the funny thing is, you're always in the clear as long as there are four cards on the board. There are times when a 5th card on the river turns the game around. So, I lose even though I'm 90% sure. And I think that's the funny thing. Until there's a 100% logic to it, I think gambling is fun for you.

This is actually my own opinion, but your personal opinion is yours, you can never be satisfied with the advice of others. So always try to understand the facts.

In fact, it is not possible to say for sure on the gambling platform that I will win here, but some evens or some games can be predicted and analyzed well and there it can be predicted which way the result of the match will go. Moreover, in most cases it is not possible to analyze which way the result of this match will go and what will happen. This can only be done in the field of sports betting, but casino games such as slot games, table, dice, etc. are completely dependent on luck, there you cannot analyze anything with your own analysis and prediction and cannot be understood in advance.

We don't have assurance of winning a bet until after the end of the game, then we see if we have the winning or losing part of it, that is all for luck, we should not be deceived that we can play a bet that has 100% winning assurance, such thing does not exist, am not saying we cant develop trust to an extent that a game may come as win, but its all by chance or luck, while on a general view in gambling, we often lose than to win.

Yeah, if you try to define gambling the outcome would be putting something valuable at risk whether it be money, time even relations, where the result is heavily dependent on random outcomes and not by skill. It means that even if we are 90% sure of the outcome, but the outcome is still dominated by chance, it would still be counted as gambling.

Also, the court use the Dominant factor test, where if the outcome is based more on chance and not on skill, it is considered as gambling.

But if we rely on some data, analysis which gives us an advantage (like in investing or speculating), then it would be considered as calculated risk or speculation and not pure gambling.

What happens when we become more confident in our predictions is that we bet bigger. Because the odds are certainly small, and our strong belief in winning allows us to think about betting bigger. Gamblers can be confident in their predictions, but the outcome of the bets may not be as expected. We might get lucky to win with 100% confidence, but during bad luck, we have already placed big bets, and the results do not meet expectations.

He is obviously referring to sports betting and not casino because in sports betting, you can control the winning to an extent because you chose the games to play, you can chose how many odds you want and by extension, how much you want to win. Unlike sports betting, casino is totally based on luck as you will never know what you will win. There are stil casinos that are not based on luck entirely such as poker. However, the truth is no one can be sure of the outcome of bets.

Yes, because sometimes being overconfident means increasing your losses. In sports betting, you can be overconfident sometimes, but not in all cases. And since casino games are completely dependent on luck, there is no way to say when we will win. In betting, it is better not to be 100% confident in any bet. By doing this, it is definitely possible to reduce the amount of losses. And if you are overconfident, then the amount of losses will increase. Since there is no certainty in betting, whatever level of confidence there is should be called gambling.

If there are this factor in that scenario with 90% sure win:

stake
risk
reward

if one is missing there then it won't be gambling at all. at 90% there is still 10% risk that meets one of the criteria for gambling.  If you put some money or valuables meets the criteria of stake, and if there is a reward when winning, then it meets another criteria, then we can confidently say that with the given scenario, it is still considered gambling.

You are 90% sure of winning, but you're actually not the one to determine the win because you don't have control over what happens, so I think it is still gambling from every sense. Take sport betting for example, some games looks too easy to predict, with certainty of winning, but you as a bettor don't determine the actions and outcomes when the actual game begins. And just like the very first reply said, it is your money, so you are definitely gambling. As long as it involves you staking something for what you don't actually have influence on, then it is gambling.

As a gambler you are suppose to be disciplined, you should know that there is no assurance that you going to win when gambling, you might be sure about the bet which you planning to place, but at the end, you might still end up losing, that’s why when you are gambling, you are suppose to be disciplined and make sure you don’t go beyond your budget when gambling. When gambling anything can happen, and you shouldn’t have plans for the money that you have not win yet. Some people will start planning on how they are going to spend their win even before they win a bet, that’s very wrong because you might end up being disappointed at the end.

If you are gambling with a specific amount of money, just maintain it, even if you are so confident with the bet which you are planning to place, then just maintain your budget, don’t increase the amount that you are gambling with, because when you increase the amount you gambling with, and you end up losing, that might end up causing another problem for you.

Yes because we'll always be betting on an event that hasn't yet happened, Just because we're sure it's going to happen doesn't mean it's already confirmed, If it were confirmed hen the "bet" wouldn't exist.

Sports are a changing situation we can't predict with such precision, I've seen soccer bettors who were very sure of winning and when you ask them, they say they lost They were very sure of winning, They even said they were going to toast and nothing happened So, nothing is certain.

Even betting against an underdog team can never be certain that they will win. One event in particular that I remember very well was the Saudi Arabia win against Argentina in the 2022 World Cup in Qatar, which was completely unexpected. In that match, even though most people supported Argentina, no one could have imagined that such an event would happen in football. But it happened and Argentina lost. There is no certainty in gambling until the result is determined. If someone is confirmed before the end of the match, their chances of losing also increase.

Definitely, it's still gambling, despite the percentage of assurance of winning, The high feeling of certainty can be deceiving and overconfidence usually leads to risky bets huge losses. No result is always with full guarantee, so as long as there is money staking with chance of losing, will always be gambling and not a sure investment

Sure in gamble there is nothing like assurance those who claims that they're giving 100% sure game are all fake so we should not be deceived, if wining from gamble is that easy as they think or we think do you think this set of people would  have been sharing odds? Is very obvious that they're doing all of that for thier best interest and only fools that can believe in those thier nonsense talks, so Long as I know that gambling is a luck based so  no one will come to my face and tell me that there is something like assurance or 100% in gamble.

Of course, your description mostly resembles with sports betting, because in sports betting, when you have knowledge and experience about a certain sport, you will mostly know which team is going to win, or at least have a higher possibility of winning based on their skills, stats, and player capacity, but sports betting is gambling, maybe different than casino games because it's not always dependent on luck, but it can't be said that it isn't gambling only because you mostly know what the outcome could be.

In essence, anything that you make a bet on, like put something up at stake in order to win something on top of it in case you win, is considered gambling, now whether you know the results or have confidence that you are going to win is irrelevant, because you have something up at stake, and you are going to win something on top of it if you turn out to be correct.

I came with full confidence that I could win, even though the odds of losing in gambling and betting are quite high. Because I didn't have confidence in winning, I would never visit a gambling site and place a bet.

I come with full confidence to win, but if the gambling I do and the bets I place end in a loss, then we must strive to accept the outcome gracefully, and that one loss should be enough for us to step away from gambling and try again another time. Never act recklessly, because if we make another deposit immediately after losing, it will only deepen the losses we have incurred. Feeling confident about winning is acceptable, but we must also recognize our limits when gambling and be able to accept the results gracefully.

Reading title, you said surety of winning then I wouldn't have called it gambling because gambling requires element of chance but reading the topic content you mentioned 90% winning chance and it's obviously gambling.

Example, play dice with 95% of winning chance.

I do not gamble with certainties but gambling with probability and when gambling I usually use the amount I know that even though I lose it I wouldn't for any day regret why I used such amount to gamble but I have to bear the loses, that is why while gambling even though I am so sure of the game I wouldn't be carried away with how I have analysis the game and get carried to start with higher amounts.

In downside, we can say that we are gradually being affected or controlled by emotions and most time it's emotions that gives birth to addiction while gambling, so therefore, we have to deal away emotions while gambling. Although, I understand that where there is finance there emotions and one can't take their emotions and feelings away when their money is involved.

What event you refer to?  :-\
I am sure every bettor will be optimistic that they are going to win it. Unfortunately, the result can be unexpected.

This is one of the reasons that a better can lose all their money. Being over confident isn't good, it is better to keep gambling in a proper way. Even you assume you are likely to win it, you mustn't try to use all your money.

Since there is no guarantee to win, it will be always gambling. Even the chance to win 99%, the result can be the opposite of our prediction. This happens many times in football matches. A big team is often defeated by a mediocre team, especially it is a friendly match.

A high probability of winning often convinces gamblers to bet more - but it never guarantees a win. Probability is simply a possibility and isn't a guarantee of winning. When it comes to sports betting, you shouldn't focus solely on probability. Sometimes you should also consider other unexpected events that occur during the game. Even though the team with a high probability of winning is likely to win the match - there is always a chance that you will lose the bet because they lose or draw.

Betting based on probability certainly allows you to win - but how much you can bet is up to you and how responsible you are. One person may only be able to afford $10 - another $50, but you may be able to afford to lose $500.

This is why nothing is guaranteed when it comes to gambling... I'm sure a lot of people put their money on Tyson because they know that it's a sure thing for him to win based on his history and strength compared to his opponent but like you said shit happens..Even though we are hundred percent sure of the outcome it still doesn't mean that we are completely safe... people need to realize this so they can gamble responsibly

I think it's something like when most players put on the favorite because he showed great results before, and this time he will lose to the underdog and because of this a lot of money will be lost. I think bookmakers understand all this and even when losing money to players, they understand that there will come a time when they will get their money back from these players, and perhaps they will lose even more over time. I even heard that a new player is very valuable for them, because over a long gaming path, if it happens, they will lose a lot. But we as players must resist this as much as possible and even try to win, but not only based on luck, but also on strategy.

I remember very well that time when that game happened. I was at work and saw how many people lost their bets; most of them lost That's a clear example of how things aren't always certain Unexpected things can happen because nothing is set in stone Anything can happen in sports, and when teams are tired and the desire to beat a big team like Argentina is there, then no bet is safe you always have to go all the way.

The truth is gambling can never be sure no matter what, and yeah, if you're sure about the outcome or you have a guarantee about the outcome such activity is not supposed to be considered as gambling. Gambling" as the name implies is something you're doing without a guarantee about the outcome, you think those that brought this gambling are fools? They just do it in such a way that only those set of people who are lucky that can win from gamble. if we are always sure about the wining I don't think if gambling will still be in existence till now . because those builders won't be making profit from it.

If only about your title or we are 100 percent sure that we can win, then that is not gambling anymore because gambling is about taking a risk. Now, if it is about your subject or we only has a 90 percent winning chance, then obviously yeah we are still gambling.

We shouldn't be deceived by the numbers (90 percent or 10 percent). Even 99 percent win chance or 1 percent lose chance can still be lethal. Me and many gamblers has proved this already and as usual, we are confident to bet high amounts. Sometimes we regret it but there are also times that we don't because we intend it to happen for the purposes of wagering to level up our gambling accounts faster.

First of all there's no sure win or guarantee win when it comes to gambling or betting but you can use the term higher percentage chance, if at all there's such a thing like sure game as you said, Them most gambling companies will have folded by now, because someone will just sale his land or house and even put all the money they have and bet on that sure game in order to make a return and will continue to do it over again, so far no game is fully guaranteed of the outcome that makes it remain gambling, wether 90% or 99% chance of winning.

The answer is up to you, yes & no, if you believe and are capable of course you can, but if you only believe in yourself without any money you have to sacrifice or force the situation like borrowing money from friends or relatives, it's best not to be too rash rather than regretting it later.

For me, the right answer is yes, if you say yes and no then it means you're not sure so you have to stand on either yes or no and left for me I'll say yes cause you far you're predicting on an event that's yet to happen and you stake your money on it then you're gambling whether you're sure about the outcome or not. Also I don't support borrowing money to gamble cause I've been in a situation where a big team was given a very good odd to win but then they lost to a smaller team with bigger odds, I was very sure that the big team would definitely win, now imagine if I had borrowed money to stake on that game, I would've been in debt, take the last world cup match between Argentina and Saudi Arabia for instance, I believe majority betted on Argentina cause they were very sure they'll win, who would've believed that Saudi Arabia would win that match.

We should not talk as if we already knows how the end of a game is going to be when we gamble, not until everything ends, we may not be that accurate with our predictions, some gamblers in their own way do gambling in this direction, but its not an advisable patter to do, as we cant say what may comes out of any bet we take, some might have attempted this once or even more than two time, that it happened the exact way they have predicted, however, we should not be misguided, because this does not always occur the same way we perceived form it.

Where I'm from there's a saying that goes: "don't count your chickens before they're born" , and that's why, if you have complete confidence in a sports bet you have to wait, there's always the Possibility that things will change with an extraordinary event, it always happens , it's not something new , we've seen results in sports that seem impossible and that many bettors have lost million-dollar bets.

I think that predicting events in sports is more difficult than, for example, events in the crypto sphere, in particular, whether a crypto asset will reach a certain price by a certain time period. And in this sense, predicting prices of crypto assets on prediction platforms such as Polymarket or Kalshi is more promising if your goal is to make a profit, and not to enjoy trading and predictions. If we ask ourselves why forecasting in trading is less difficult than forecasting sports events, we will come to the following argument: forecasting in trading can rely on many cool advanced metrics. In forecasting sports events, we can only rely on statistics of previous games.

The certainty of getting 90%sure in any prediction is not real no matter who claimed it to be except it's not prediction many has fallen prey if losing heavily as a result of assuring themselves that they have secured such percentage on many game they play and the results become the reverse after been played, gambling is usually a 50-50 game inorder words it's mostly luck even a team with all possibility can still loose with such ground of all possibility, I will state in my opinion that any thing gambling can't be 90% sure except fixed prediction that one has envisage before it play.

The only time when it is not gambling is when you have information from an inside source and you are 100% sure of the result, any other thing is pure gambling. Even when you bet on so called sure bets like odds of 1.03 to 1.10 you are still gambling as nothing is guaranteed even in such games. Let me remind you that we have witnessed many times such odds being lost games, especially in tennis and basketball. As I said the only time I would call not gambling is when you have 100% guarantee that you are going to win money no matter what happens to the event you are betting your money into it. If it was so simple to win at 90% chance I believe a lot of people would be rich yet they are not.

Right, it is never possible to know the outcome of a bet in advance with certainty, because the amount of human knowledge is limited, the amount of risk, certainty over probability, and uncertainty are present, so it is basically not possible to say precisely. Many unexpected events occur in the game that we can never imagine, such as a player getting injured or not performing well in a match, so it is never possible to give 100% certainty through betting. It is never possible to say in advance what the outcome of a match may be depending on the player's performance.

I think some gamble with that feeling, and many bets are made based on that feeling, even though it's clouded by the desire to increase their winnings, which is called greed.
This situation stems from the gambler's personality, which is often described as being confident in a bet.
I place a bet because I'm confident that what I think will be close to reality, even if it's not 100% guaranteed to be the desired outcome.

If you're sure that you're going to win and somebody is sure that you're going to lose then both of you puts money on it that is gambling. If everybody believes that they're going to win and nobody is ready to go against them gambling cannot take place. Anything that involves you staking your money for or against something to happen is gambling, if no money or something of value involved that cannot be gambling. Although I don't think that there's anything that somebody can be 100% certain to happen in this life, we take risks everyday and if we put money on them it becomes gambling.

You're right, back then there are some events that is almost 100% guarantee but at some point they start playing hard to get and that's to prove to us that things has really changed in this gambling space. So I think this is the right time we stop putting much hope in this event and only focus on having fun with it or if you don't also want to take it as part of fun you have every right to put an end to it and no one is going to ask you why you decided to quit from gambling.

Since they're playing hard to get, because if you think that things is going to get better where you will be giving some guarantee definitely you will end up losing everything you have. So there is two options, that's either you gamble with the intention of having fun or you just stop gambling once and for all so that you won't be having too much expectations while gambling.

Its same situation as long as people put money on something they bet and think they could win. Also for sure no people would think about they are losing since for sure in first place no people would gonna spend their money on gambling if they know that they would just lose their money.

People usually aim to win since it serves their pleasure to bet more.

I think it will only happen that our chance to win goes 100% if we have capabilities to manipulate the system. But this is cheating and high been discourage to be done by people.

If you have 1% doubt about winning then it is gambling and every gamble has more chances of losing than winning. There is no guarantee that you will win in gambling but in some bets your chances of winning are very high so there is such a mental tendency to increase the amount of money in the bet. But I have seen many weak teams win against strong teams. Normally we are used to betting in favor of strong teams but I participate in betting with the ability to lose and mentally prepared when betting.

There should be no overconfidence in gambling, especially if you are betting on those bets where strong teams compete against weak teams. Gambling with the goal that you will lose.

Once it involves staking of money you can still refer it to be gambling and there is something you should have in your mind that gambling involves two major things which wining or losing, you should also understand that no sure games that is why it is advisable to gambling wisely because a game can only be sure when the games in the winning roll. So bear it in mind that there is know guarantee of sure games in any ways.

The answer doesn't depend on what he thinks but on what the truth is, if you think that you know the outcome of a game and because of that you can use the opportunity to take betting as an investment or a means of income, you will get disappointed when you don't expect and on that day you might lose everything you have. Whether you know what the outcome of any game can be or you don't know, it still regarded as gambling because in gambling you can not determine 100% of what will happen. You can still be sure about the result and then something unexpected will happen.

You can't really say that you are sure about something because you said that there can be unexpected things to happen. How would you be sure of something if there are factors that could change the outcome you expected? The simple answer is that no one can read the future so no one can really 100% figure out what could happen and be sure of it. Even those people who say they can see the future always put out disclaimers saying they aren't 100% sure either. No one can ever be truly sure.

All this is absolutely true and when some gambler says that this only happens to other stupid people, then he needs to be afraid that he too can fall under the influence of excessive self-confidence, which will ruin his deposit.
In many life situations, self-confidence plays a very positive role. For example, if you are too confident in yourself at your regular job, then others will think that they do not know something, unlike you, and will give in to you, changing their opinion. But this does not apply to gambling.

I think this is just overconfidence, and if you overlook it, it can lead one to lose. Even if you think a game will be a win for you, that doesn't make gambling predictable, and this doesn't mean you can now gamble with any amount of money because you think you will end up winning.

Let's be careful about our thoughts in gambling; gambling is very much unpredictable. Whether you think you will win doesn't make it easy or make winning certain. For me, I think this is a wrong mindset in gambling, and it can mislead one on how to go about gambling. Gamblers need to gain a real understanding and set personal thoughts and mindsets aside; this will really help one handle gambling better.

Even if there's only a %1 chance of losing, it's still called gambling. I've lost a lot by betting on football matches with 1.05 odds :) All bets that seem easy are actually harder. There's a lot of match fixing in football, so you can lose on games you see as guaranteed.

Can we be sure of winning a bet in gambling, because this cannot be what is certain that we can have a preset mind upon what an outcome of any bet is, except we are going to collide with others to cheat on others as a result, because in gambling, anything can happen, that is why we make use of a reputable gambling platform in playing our bet and to remained secured for the best that could ever comes out of it.

No gambler is sure that they will win what they do is try their luck if they will win or not anybody that is sure of winning will definitely bet with all his savings since he is fully aware that he is going to win.
You can only just conclude within your imagination that you will win but not sure if gamblers are always sure about their winning i believe most casino company would have close down before now, so winning in gambling is never a sure that rather a thing of luck.

This may not be about been sure of winning because even in coalition to cheat you never can be too sure as the other gamblers can possibly betray and that which you were hoping on with the mind of certainty to win the system ends up turning against you because someone betrayed.  Even the reputable site can have some fowl play but because of their reputation, they never get noticed as they have built reputation big enough to make up for some of these misconduct wheennit happens.

I understand your input here, but lets take it in this manner of approach, maybe this can be more applicable on physical gambling casinos, whereby you can decide to play games with a fellow gambler and if not smart or experienced enough, you can be cheated, but talking about the probability of this same thing happening in online casinos may be difficult, because everything is almost done virtually and we cant determine what a game outcome maybe and not even by any other player that is involved or the casino itself.

If there was certainty, everyone would take up gambling as a profession. I think if someone could assure 50% win rate, many would still try to get rich by gambling. But in the true sense of the word, there is no certainty of winning from gambling. Those who want to claim that this uncertain platform is somehow certain have a high chance of losing because those gamblers will try to use more money to ensure a win. Just as humans cannot predict what will happen in the future, they also cannot guarantee anything.

Anybody that's sure of the outcome of their bet isn't gambling but I don't think that's possible because despite you getting the scoreline of a fixed game, there could be some changes happening when the game is played. And when you're using a tempered game , something can still go wrong. The Idea of having the result of a game before you play it doesn't always work out that way and that's what there's always a note by those game fixers that there's no 100% guaranteed for what they're giving you.I don't get it with people looking to cheat the system always. How will you feel when you win something that you already know you were going to win. There's no fun in that and that's not something I want to experience if I'm gambling.

I think being too sure in gambling can be seen as been carried away by illusion, although I won't say this things don't happen, this kind of f behaviour is normally found among sport bet gamblers, there are some matches that a better will be convinced that one of the teams will will win comfortably but that doesn't mean that it will happen that way, there are many things that determines the outcome of any football match aside individual team form, something like red card, unexpected injury, sometimes referees can be biased to and many more so that's what no one should be too sure in their bet to avoid being disappointed, those that believes that they knows how to predict matches or those that are too convince by their instincts that their gamble will come exactly aa they predict it lose alot.

It's only a few times that bettors can actually be confident in the outcome of their bets and it happens like that, else it's not so simple that people can just get to know about the outcome of a bet. If it was that simple or easy, many bettors would be extremely rich, especially those players that knows how to do proper prediction. One can be confident in the outcome of their bet but yet lose the game because the least expect thing could bring a different outcome.

It is very true, at the end of the day we realize that this is a risk that will always be taken according to what we must do, the one who bets risks money, just as he can Multiply it he can lose it, when I bet even if I am sure I must accept my defeat if it happens, somehow I must learn for the next time to bet with more foundation, that is what must always be done, with that knowledge and experience mature.

As long as it's not 100%, it's still gambling. Even it's 99% chance that you're winning, there's still 1% chance that you're not. I've played MMORPG games for a long time already that's why even a 1% chance or even lower still matters - just like in those games where the drop rate is below 1%. I also apply it on gambling.

For me, as long as it's not 100%, I don't want to say that you're "guaranteed" to win. There's no such thing as certainty when it comes to gambling or even in investing. 90% chance of winning can still make you lose your money. I mean there's still 1 out of 10 chances that you will lose your money, and that's still a huge one. For me, there's no such thing as "sure win" in gambling despite the low odds or in this case, 90% chance of winning.

Yes that's true, no game is so sure that we can assume it not to be called gambling, even if the chances of winning is %200, it is still considered Gambling. I even wonder why op will think that a game that is too sure can not be considered gambling. If not gambling then what else is it? Just as the case may be, no game is a sure game till the final result is out. All game are considered to be luck base and not sure game.

I mean, yeah. Of course its still gambling even if you're sure that you're going to win, there is still a chance that you will lose which is not the greatest thing to think of but hey that is how it goes. Even when you're full in it 210 percent that 1 off chance that you think is so ooooo far out there and not even close to becoming attainable finally hits you're sunken down in the dumps and thats the pit for you!!!!! Oink oink piggy oh no. Thats a big mess, yes in deed.

If we aren't calling it gambling then what else should we call it? so-far-as it involves staking of your hard earned money that is gambling of course, just that it is more like a sure game in other words sure banger, however there are still some games that you will have the 100 percent guarantee of winning but yet it wouldn't happen as planned rather the reverse might be the case, that why it's always important you expect both at every game so you wouldn't get disappointed.

No gambler can be too certain about winning otherwise it is no longer gambling, it becomes a business that you are sure that you will make profit. It is that level of uncertainty that makes you want to risk your money to determine the probability of it happening, even when you are quite sure that little uncertainty will make you not to put all your money into it. Being overconfident in gambling is irresponsible, it is what leads to addiction, no matter how sure you are you still need to use amount that you can afford to loose.

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Yes, even if you are 90% sure, it is still gambling. imo gambling is something where the outcome is uncertain and the value of your stake is always at risk. Also, if there is an element of chance that can affect the outcome, such as any-chance or dominant factor test, these are also considered gambling. Do you know about Snap card game?? it is 100% dependent on your skill, it also passes the any-chance test and considered as gambling.. Actually, we need to see how much skill or chance dominates a game, not our confidence level. so become cognizant of certainty does not blot out the wager.

Yes, that is still gambling because money is involved. But we don't have to feel overconfident because we don't know the final result. There is a possibility for the result to be different from what we expect so when that happens, we may feel bad and want to try more.

That will just make us keep playing without thinks that we are already playing enough gambling. Gambling involves uncertainty even if we are sure with our analysis. So we must be wise in gambling.

It's still gambling if someone is certain of what he's betting and that's because of their confidence. It doesn't add up some chances.
But to themselves, it's giving them their own way of having some trust to what they bet for and how they analyze games.
The determination that they have is only cheering themselves up but that certainty that they show isn't going to change the results.
I have that feeling sometimes fo being certain because of my confidence when I bet and that is solely fine.

The chaos of bets that we believe are sometimes very safe, we must be very measured when making them because if we lose it is like being on a cloud and falling suddenly, the blow will be very strong, the only way for a bet to be safe is because it is Already rigged and that is Something very unethical, personally I do not like those things because it is very low Morale and Cheating , for that reason we must be a little more honest people, only then is fun Guaranteed.

In certain cases, of course, that chance could happen on average.

I think your point above is correct. Confidence and self-confidence may yield results, but both can change at any time at the gaming table, even after careful analysis. For example, someone might place a bet on an online sports match and bet on one of their favorite teams, but their prediction is wrong because the opponent's match tension is beyond their expectations.

What happens is that confidence sometimes only gives us a momentary sense of happiness/confidence. Whatever we play, there will always be a "domino effect" on the course of the game.

Gambling cannot gives us the assurance of winning a game we want to play, but we often deceives our self to only place hope on what is not, thinking that we may have a wining opportunity for giving our efforts in it, while at the end, we may discover that we are wrong by the idea with had earlier before then regarding the game being played, this makes it more advisable that we should not have much expectation for winning in gambling, because we are going to be disappointed if care is not taken, every gambler will tell you that they are taking the risk and both chances for winning or losing as they gambling.

Sometimes, according to the gambling condition of the gambler, they have different feelings about winning. They think that they will win in that bet, but in reality, it does not happen. They lose, but this is not always the case. There are many who win when they feel like it. When a gambler places a bet, he relies on uncertainty. He can get either a win or a loss. But the thing is that instead of being sure of winning, gambler can protect himself from the feeling of a sudden big loss.

There are bad bets where people are certain they will win because the odds are bad and its not even worth betting at that point.  The reason being its always possible to lose, if everybody has piled into a bet thinking they cannot lose then the odds may justify it being more of a watch only event.  
  I much prefer the idea of value betting, small amount on a slim chance can be just as entertaining if not more.   It does depend if you like an underdog winning against all expectations, I personally like to see the unexpected so its not just money to me.  Dead certs are almost a classic meme as a mistake :D

And when you look closely this overconfidence is really what traps most gamblers it’s not even the initial loss that hurts the most it’s the idea in their mind that they should have won so they keep doubling down to prove themselves right instead of just moving on they believe the game owes them a result but gambling doesn’t owe anybody anything it only plays by its own rules the continuation of this mindset often leads to dangerous spirals someone starts small then increases the stake because they felt 90 percent sure and before they realize it their bankroll is damaged and the stress starts to kick in this stress then pushes them to gamble more hoping to recover losses but all it does is make the hole deeper and deeper until there is no way out except stopping completely this is why many experienced players always say discipline and self control are more important than any strategy because once you believe there are guaranteed wins you are already halfway lost in reality gambling is always uncertain and the only thing you can control is your own decision making if you treat every game as uncertain no matter how confident you feel you will protect yourself and give yourself the chance to stay in the game longer without destroying your finances and your peace of mind.

And that’s the real secret if you ask me it’s not about chasing the next big sure win but about learning how to manage both the highs and the lows because gambling is designed to test your emotions if you can stay calm in both moments of victory and defeat then you are already ahead of most people once you understand that it’s more about the journey than the illusion of guaranteed profit you will realize that patience and discipline are the only true allies in this game.

You are right,  if we are sure of that outcomes of gambling then it is no longer gambling ...Gambling outcomes cannot be certain because anything can happen that's what make it gambling..like you said, this is only going to be possible to if you cheat the system and this isnt something that is easy to do...The element of surprise is something that's always attached to gambling and it's exciting

I have the same idea of about feeling of winning today. And it's not sure that we'll win but we can't invalidate that feelings of ours.

And so, if we're going to sure to win I'd do that without hesitation but even with that positive thoughts in my mind playing with my bets.

I still think that I'll win no matter what happens and I think this is an important manner of a gambler for us to keep on being composed when we gamble.

The great confidence and overestimation of gambling is always a problem for us in the end to make the situation a little more realistic towards looking at gambling that not all is only about good possibilities but it can be the opposite of that.

Even though confidence is good, it does not mean that in this case we are always fixated on it in gambling and assume that confidence can make us continue to win because in the end in gambling it is not always like that.
So in the end, even though self-confidence is important, on the other hand, we must be more realistic when looking at gambling where in the end the ratio of defeat is far greater than the victory that will be felt so that we will be more able to accept the results we get in the gambling we do.

There is know perfect assurance in an game in as much as gambling is  concern there so taking off such thinking from your mind will do more good than harm to you. It is called gambling because it involves taking risk without any assurance it can come to reality no matter what, although some games appear to be so sure but reverse is its outcome at last for example: central republic of Africa won Nigeria in 7 October 2021 1:0 when the odd for them to win Nigeria was 25 odds which is indirectly 100 percent assurance for Nigeria to win yet reverse was the case

The outcome of gambling cannot be 100% certain, even with a 90% certainty that you’re going to win, there is still a more probability that the game played will fall into the 10% category and you will end up losing the game. The thrill and fun is when you don’t know the outcome. And if the outcome is known to you, you’re no more gambling but cheating the system to win money from them. The outcome of a game in gambling is never certain, so don’t allow over confidence to make you wager more than what you can afford to lose. That’s the easiest way to get you distracted and lose in gambling.

Even with a 90% chance, it's still a gamble. That extra 10% can bring everything down, and that's where many people get too excited. The confidence of "almost certainty" is what makes people raise their hand, and when it goes wrong, the fall comes hard.

I think the basis of calling a bet a sure one relies heavily on the clarity and the understanding that the gambler has gotten about the gamble. For instance, when we talk about sports betting, you look at the teams involved and you're able to tell easily what club wins and what club losses, then you minimize your level of risks through reducing your odds and probably increasing your betting funds though.

Am happy that you understand this fact, some people keep saving themselves which is bad, gambling is never sure and it is better for some people to know that gambling can never change from what it represent to any other thing, so it will be we save ourselves that stress of thinking that there's something like sure bet or anything certain in gambling, when you gamble if you win good for you but if you don't just be good for yourself because you can't change it or help it, if some gambler can be sincere to themselves I think they won't be having any problem while gambling.

Even at a 99% chance of winning it is still a gamble but this time around might be tagged as a less risky gamble. If we looked at the sports betting for example taking football betting there are games which one will actually see almost a certain possibility of something happen with clear certainty of it happening but at the end of the day the game turns the other way this is the fun part of it, let me Make example of 2016 Premier league champions I think it was reported that only one person made that wager of Leicester winning the title, because it was looking impossible, so this is clearly to show that impossibility is not in this game.

Going for games which is actually pre planned or staged is not gambling but rather cheating self which we definitely know doesn’t have any taste of excitement of gambling. Been overconfident of your game playing out well and if it actually go sideways is where the gambling excitement lies

Yes it is gambling, in as much as you are betting using your money or property involved, the possibility of you should not be seen as not gambling because you have worked well to earn your your reward because understanding a game to the point of winning is not always easy and most times the wins might be based on your the persons luck which cannot be overemphasized, except if the bets are being tempered for personal favour which will not be good at all, in that case we no longer see it has a game anymore because cheating has being introduced which is not healthy at all for a gambler and should be discourage if we really understand what we mean by gambling .

The joy and fun in gambling is that we don't know our chances of winning, which makes it more interesting and captivating, therefore we should not allow that aspect of gambling to be taking away from us when gambling, if we really want to do the right thing.

Even as low as 2% can still make you lose your bet so in gambling nothing is certain, no matter how good it may look to you as long as there is a possibility of getting a different outcome than what you expected then it should be considered gambling.

Even an odd of 1.02 or lower can still make you lose your bet and if you do the calculation according to most bookies you’ll see that the chance of losing that bet is lower than 2% and yet bets like that have made people lost their parlay bets - from their potential thousands or hundreds of dollars to nothing just because of a game they thought was certain to win because of the the little probability of it being wrong.

No one can ever claim that they are having 100% about winning in gambling because it's never been like this gambling is always unpredictable and has a high risk even someone who is sure about their claim will usually put money at stake before making such a statement keep in mind that even if you're sure about winning there are still chances of losing.
Usually people put huge amounts on winning due to someone's prediction only to have the worst end result of their investment over the last few years many cases have shown that people who lose big bets can become despondent and commit crimes or take their own lives these tragedies often occur when a person has no sufficient sources or information about gambling.
The risk is always present, and not taking things seriously can lead to harm to others and stress for those linked to the individual involved gambling should never be seen as a way of quick fixes.

I think nobody would place their bet if they were uncertain. They choose that team because they are certain and feel they will win. Placing a huge bet could be something too risky. However, what if it wins? For sure, you will regret it if you only place a small bet because you're thinking negatively despite the feeling that they will win the game.

In gambling, trust is the only thing we hold when placing our bet. Trusting the team matters. If we feel uncertain, then we don't have to bet as well. It is as simple as that.

Gamblers go through a lot of challenge whenever their instincts claims to be sure and then they double down along the line for bigger win, and end up losing. Whoever thinks they're right or sure of their prediction could be getting hurt in different ways, when they don't win. The blame might eat them up on the inside, maybe for not following the right instinct or choice, or they begin to have self doubt. Gaming shouldn't be a thing to conclude the result when it's not yet out.