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Author Topic: Is it still gambling if you're sure you're going to win?  (Read 1214 times)
michellee
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September 06, 2025, 11:17:49 AM
 #161

There are event you can predict on that even though it's not 💯 guaranteed that you're going to win,  a level of certainty makes you think that you're surely going to win.

The downside of that feeling is that you might become over confident to use a big amount in the game since you're to a large extent certain that you're going to win.

Can we still say we are gambling if the event is something we are at least 90% sure that we are going to win?
If we aren't calling it gambling then what else should we call it? so-far-as it involves staking of your hard earned money that is gambling of course, just that it is more like a sure game in other words sure banks, however gambling sometimes can be very unpredictable, nothing is certain in the game is either you lose or you win.
Yes, that is still gambling because money is involved. But we don't have to feel overconfident because we don't know the final result. There is a possibility for the result to be different from what we expect so when that happens, we may feel bad and want to try more.

That will just make us keep playing without thinks that we are already playing enough gambling. Gambling involves uncertainty even if we are sure with our analysis. So we must be wise in gambling.

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terrific
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September 06, 2025, 11:26:40 AM
 #162

No gambler can be too certain about winning otherwise it is no longer gambling, it becomes a business that you are sure that you will make profit. It is that level of uncertainty that makes you want to risk your money to determine the probability of it happening, even when you are quite sure that little uncertainty will make you not to put all your money into it. Being overconfident in gambling is irresponsible, it is what leads to addiction, no matter how sure you are you still need to use amount that you can afford to loose.
It's still gambling if someone is certain of what he's betting and that's because of their confidence. It doesn't add up some chances.
But to themselves, it's giving them their own way of having some trust to what they bet for and how they analyze games.
The determination that they have is only cheering themselves up but that certainty that they show isn't going to change the results.
I have that feeling sometimes fo being certain because of my confidence when I bet and that is solely fine.

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September 06, 2025, 01:21:08 PM
 #163

The chaos of bets that we believe are sometimes very safe, we must be very measured when making them because if we lose it is like being on a cloud and falling suddenly, the blow will be very strong, the only way for a bet to be safe is because it is Already rigged and that is Something very unethical, personally I do not like those things because it is very low Morale and Cheating , for that reason we must be a little more honest people, only then is fun Guaranteed.

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September 06, 2025, 01:28:24 PM
 #164

Being confident in winning is like being confident, and while confidence is good, we must be able to limit it. Overconfidence in gambling can be disastrous, I have no doubt about that.

I suspect that many people who become addicted to gambling and experience significant bankruptcy initially had high self-confidence, so even after losing, they still believed they could turn things around by winning enough to cover their losses. However, instead of being confident in winning, it only leads to despair.
We must remember that luck is paramount in gambling. If we're lucky, we'll win, and if we're unlucky, no matter how hard we try, we won't win.


In certain cases, of course, that chance could happen on average.

I think your point above is correct. Confidence and self-confidence may yield results, but both can change at any time at the gaming table, even after careful analysis. For example, someone might place a bet on an online sports match and bet on one of their favorite teams, but their prediction is wrong because the opponent's match tension is beyond their expectations.

What happens is that confidence sometimes only gives us a momentary sense of happiness/confidence. Whatever we play, there will always be a "domino effect" on the course of the game.

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September 06, 2025, 01:35:48 PM
 #165

Gambling cannot gives us the assurance of winning a game we want to play, but we often deceives our self to only place hope on what is not, thinking that we may have a wining opportunity for giving our efforts in it, while at the end, we may discover that we are wrong by the idea with had earlier before then regarding the game being played, this makes it more advisable that we should not have much expectation for winning in gambling, because we are going to be disappointed if care is not taken, every gambler will tell you that they are taking the risk and both chances for winning or losing as they gambling.

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September 06, 2025, 02:05:44 PM
 #166

Sometimes, according to the gambling condition of the gambler, they have different feelings about winning. They think that they will win in that bet, but in reality, it does not happen. They lose, but this is not always the case. There are many who win when they feel like it. When a gambler places a bet, he relies on uncertainty. He can get either a win or a loss. But the thing is that instead of being sure of winning, gambler can protect himself from the feeling of a sudden big loss.











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September 06, 2025, 07:24:08 PM
 #167

There are bad bets where people are certain they will win because the odds are bad and its not even worth betting at that point.  The reason being its always possible to lose, if everybody has piled into a bet thinking they cannot lose then the odds may justify it being more of a watch only event.  
  I much prefer the idea of value betting, small amount on a slim chance can be just as entertaining if not more.   It does depend if you like an underdog winning against all expectations, I personally like to see the unexpected so its not just money to me.  Dead certs are almost a classic meme as a mistake Cheesy

 
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September 06, 2025, 07:29:24 PM
 #168

There are event you can predict on that even though it's not 💯 guaranteed that you're going to win,  a level of certainty makes you think that you're surely going to win.

The downside of that feeling is that you might become over confident to use a big amount in the game since you're to a large extent certain that you're going to win.

Can we still say we are gambling if the event is something we are at least 90% sure that we are going to win?
If we aren't calling it gambling then what else should we call it? so-far-as it involves staking of your hard earned money that is gambling of course, just that it is more like a sure game in other words sure banks, however gambling sometimes can be very unpredictable, nothing is certain in the game is either you lose or you win.
Yes, that is still gambling because money is involved. But we don't have to feel overconfident because we don't know the final result. There is a possibility for the result to be different from what we expect so when that happens, we may feel bad and want to try more.

That will just make us keep playing without thinks that we are already playing enough gambling. Gambling involves uncertainty even if we are sure with our analysis. So we must be wise in gambling.
And when you look closely this overconfidence is really what traps most gamblers it’s not even the initial loss that hurts the most it’s the idea in their mind that they should have won so they keep doubling down to prove themselves right instead of just moving on they believe the game owes them a result but gambling doesn’t owe anybody anything it only plays by its own rules the continuation of this mindset often leads to dangerous spirals someone starts small then increases the stake because they felt 90 percent sure and before they realize it their bankroll is damaged and the stress starts to kick in this stress then pushes them to gamble more hoping to recover losses but all it does is make the hole deeper and deeper until there is no way out except stopping completely this is why many experienced players always say discipline and self control are more important than any strategy because once you believe there are guaranteed wins you are already halfway lost in reality gambling is always uncertain and the only thing you can control is your own decision making if you treat every game as uncertain no matter how confident you feel you will protect yourself and give yourself the chance to stay in the game longer without destroying your finances and your peace of mind.

And that’s the real secret if you ask me it’s not about chasing the next big sure win but about learning how to manage both the highs and the lows because gambling is designed to test your emotions if you can stay calm in both moments of victory and defeat then you are already ahead of most people once you understand that it’s more about the journey than the illusion of guaranteed profit you will realize that patience and discipline are the only true allies in this game.

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September 06, 2025, 09:47:48 PM
 #169

Can we be sure of winning a bet in gambling, because this cannot be what is certain that we can have a preset mind upon what an outcome of any bet is, except we are going to collide with others to cheat on others as a result, because in gambling, anything can happen, that is why we make use of a reputable gambling platform in playing our bet and to remained secured for the best that could ever comes out of it.

You are right,  if we are sure of that outcomes of gambling then it is no longer gambling ...Gambling outcomes cannot be certain because anything can happen that's what make it gambling..like you said, this is only going to be possible to if you cheat the system and this isnt something that is easy to do...The element of surprise is something that's always attached to gambling and it's exciting

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September 06, 2025, 09:54:43 PM
 #170

Sometimes, according to the gambling condition of the gambler, they have different feelings about winning. They think that they will win in that bet, but in reality, it does not happen. They lose, but this is not always the case. There are many who win when they feel like it. When a gambler places a bet, he relies on uncertainty. He can get either a win or a loss. But the thing is that instead of being sure of winning, gambler can protect himself from the feeling of a sudden big loss.
I have the same idea of about feeling of winning today. And it's not sure that we'll win but we can't invalidate that feelings of ours.

And so, if we're going to sure to win I'd do that without hesitation but even with that positive thoughts in my mind playing with my bets.

I still think that I'll win no matter what happens and I think this is an important manner of a gambler for us to keep on being composed when we gamble.

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September 06, 2025, 09:58:51 PM
 #171

Gambling cannot gives us the assurance of winning a game we want to play, but we often deceives our self to only place hope on what is not, thinking that we may have a wining opportunity for giving our efforts in it, while at the end, we may discover that we are wrong by the idea with had earlier before then regarding the game being played, this makes it more advisable that we should not have much expectation for winning in gambling, because we are going to be disappointed if care is not taken, every gambler will tell you that they are taking the risk and both chances for winning or losing as they gambling.
The great confidence and overestimation of gambling is always a problem for us in the end to make the situation a little more realistic towards looking at gambling that not all is only about good possibilities but it can be the opposite of that.

Even though confidence is good, it does not mean that in this case we are always fixated on it in gambling and assume that confidence can make us continue to win because in the end in gambling it is not always like that.
So in the end, even though self-confidence is important, on the other hand, we must be more realistic when looking at gambling where in the end the ratio of defeat is far greater than the victory that will be felt so that we will be more able to accept the results we get in the gambling we do.


 
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September 06, 2025, 10:18:39 PM
 #172

There is know perfect assurance in an game in as much as gambling is  concern there so taking off such thinking from your mind will do more good than harm to you. It is called gambling because it involves taking risk without any assurance it can come to reality no matter what, although some games appear to be so sure but reverse is its outcome at last for example: central republic of Africa won Nigeria in 7 October 2021 1:0 when the odd for them to win Nigeria was 25 odds which is indirectly 100 percent assurance for Nigeria to win yet reverse was the case

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September 06, 2025, 10:24:27 PM
 #173

You are right,  if we are sure of that outcomes of gambling then it is no longer gambling ...Gambling outcomes cannot be certain because anything can happen that's what make it gambling..like you said, this is only going to be possible to if you cheat the system and this isnt something that is easy to do...The element of surprise is something that's always attached to gambling and it's exciting

The outcome of gambling cannot be 100% certain, even with a 90% certainty that you’re going to win, there is still a more probability that the game played will fall into the 10% category and you will end up losing the game. The thrill and fun is when you don’t know the outcome. And if the outcome is known to you, you’re no more gambling but cheating the system to win money from them. The outcome of a game in gambling is never certain, so don’t allow over confidence to make you wager more than what you can afford to lose. That’s the easiest way to get you distracted and lose in gambling.


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September 06, 2025, 10:38:06 PM
 #174

Even with a 90% chance, it's still a gamble. That extra 10% can bring everything down, and that's where many people get too excited. The confidence of "almost certainty" is what makes people raise their hand, and when it goes wrong, the fall comes hard.

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September 06, 2025, 10:44:02 PM
 #175

The chaos of bets that we believe are sometimes very safe, we must be very measured when making them because if we lose it is like being on a cloud and falling suddenly, the blow will be very strong, the only way for a bet to be safe is because it is Already rigged and that is Something very unethical, personally I do not like those things because it is very low Morale and Cheating , for that reason we must be a little more honest people, only then is fun Guaranteed.


I think the basis of calling a bet a sure one relies heavily on the clarity and the understanding that the gambler has gotten about the gamble. For instance, when we talk about sports betting, you look at the teams involved and you're able to tell easily what club wins and what club losses, then you minimize your level of risks through reducing your odds and probably increasing your betting funds though.

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September 06, 2025, 10:51:31 PM
 #176

There is know perfect assurance in an game in as much as gambling is  concern there so taking off such thinking from your mind will do more good than harm to you. It is called gambling because it involves taking risk without any assurance it can come to reality no matter what, although some games appear to be so sure but reverse is its outcome at last for example: central republic of Africa won Nigeria in 7 October 2021 1:0 when the odd for them to win Nigeria was 25 odds which is indirectly 100 percent assurance for Nigeria to win yet reverse was the case
Am happy that you understand this fact, some people keep saving themselves which is bad, gambling is never sure and it is better for some people to know that gambling can never change from what it represent to any other thing, so it will be we save ourselves that stress of thinking that there's something like sure bet or anything certain in gambling, when you gamble if you win good for you but if you don't just be good for yourself because you can't change it or help it, if some gambler can be sincere to themselves I think they won't be having any problem while gambling.


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September 06, 2025, 10:54:02 PM
 #177


The outcome of gambling cannot be 100% certain, even with a 90% certainty that you’re going to win, there is still a more probability that the game played will fall into the 10% category and you will end up losing the game. The thrill and fun is when you don’t know the outcome. And if the outcome is known to you, you’re no more gambling but cheating the system to win money from them. The outcome of a game in gambling is never certain, so don’t allow over confidence to make you wager more than what you can afford to lose. That’s the easiest way to get you distracted and lose in gambling.

Even at a 99% chance of winning it is still a gamble but this time around might be tagged as a less risky gamble. If we looked at the sports betting for example taking football betting there are games which one will actually see almost a certain possibility of something happen with clear certainty of it happening but at the end of the day the game turns the other way this is the fun part of it, let me Make example of 2016 Premier league champions I think it was reported that only one person made that wager of Leicester winning the title, because it was looking impossible, so this is clearly to show that impossibility is not in this game.

Going for games which is actually pre planned or staged is not gambling but rather cheating self which we definitely know doesn’t have any taste of excitement of gambling. Been overconfident of your game playing out well and if it actually go sideways is where the gambling excitement lies

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September 06, 2025, 11:03:27 PM
 #178

There are event you can predict on that even though it's not 💯 guaranteed that you're going to win,  a level of certainty makes you think that you're surely going to win.

The downside of that feeling is that you might become over confident to use a big amount in the game since you're to a large extent certain that you're going to win.

Can we still say we are gambling if the event is something we are at least 90% sure that we are going to win?
Yes it is gambling, in as much as you are betting using your money or property involved, the possibility of you should not be seen as not gambling because you have worked well to earn your your reward because understanding a game to the point of winning is not always easy and most times the wins might be based on your the persons luck which cannot be overemphasized, except if the bets are being tempered for personal favour which will not be good at all, in that case we no longer see it has a game anymore because cheating has being introduced which is not healthy at all for a gambler and should be discourage if we really understand what we mean by gambling .

The joy and fun in gambling is that we don't know our chances of winning, which makes it more interesting and captivating, therefore we should not allow that aspect of gambling to be taking away from us when gambling, if we really want to do the right thing.

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September 06, 2025, 11:10:11 PM
 #179

Even with a 90% chance, it's still a gamble. That extra 10% can bring everything down, and that's where many people get too excited. The confidence of "almost certainty" is what makes people raise their hand, and when it goes wrong, the fall comes hard.

Even as low as 2% can still make you lose your bet so in gambling nothing is certain, no matter how good it may look to you as long as there is a possibility of getting a different outcome than what you expected then it should be considered gambling.

Even an odd of 1.02 or lower can still make you lose your bet and if you do the calculation according to most bookies you’ll see that the chance of losing that bet is lower than 2% and yet bets like that have made people lost their parlay bets - from their potential thousands or hundreds of dollars to nothing just because of a game they thought was certain to win because of the the little probability of it being wrong.

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September 06, 2025, 11:16:26 PM
 #180


The outcome of gambling cannot be 100% certain, even with a 90% certainty that you’re going to win, there is still a more probability that the game played will fall into the 10% category and you will end up losing the game. The thrill and fun is when you don’t know the outcome. And if the outcome is known to you, you’re no more gambling but cheating the system to win money from them. The outcome of a game in gambling is never certain, so don’t allow over confidence to make you wager more than what you can afford to lose. That’s the easiest way to get you distracted and lose in gambling.
No one can ever claim that they are having 100% about winning in gambling because it's never been like this gambling is always unpredictable and has a high risk even someone who is sure about their claim will usually put money at stake before making such a statement keep in mind that even if you're sure about winning there are still chances of losing.
Usually people put huge amounts on winning due to someone's prediction only to have the worst end result of their investment over the last few years many cases have shown that people who lose big bets can become despondent and commit crimes or take their own lives these tragedies often occur when a person has no sufficient sources or information about gambling.
The risk is always present, and not taking things seriously can lead to harm to others and stress for those linked to the individual involved gambling should never be seen as a way of quick fixes.

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