Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: myself on January 05, 2012, 09:57:39 PM



Title: del
Post by: myself on January 05, 2012, 09:57:39 PM
del


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 05, 2012, 10:04:14 PM
I'm trying it out too.  I don't mind trying it publicly.

http://i44.tinypic.com/vmuq7b.png


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: SgtSpike on January 05, 2012, 10:05:49 PM
Well, I can tell you both one thing.  You're currently losing money.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Mushoz on January 05, 2012, 10:06:54 PM
Well, I can tell you both one thing.  You're currently losing money.

They both just opened their positions. Of course they will have a small loss due to spreads :p


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 05, 2012, 10:06:57 PM
Excellent!  I can help you guys.  I'm not a liar or a trickster; this is not a paradox.

Using 5:1, ok good.  Main thing is, don't let your margin fall below 2.1-2.5x maintenance.

If you see the price drop below your base price and you have tradable balance, buy buy buy!

But you both probably already know the basics.  PM if you have any questions; bitcoinica is practically all i've been doing for a couple months now.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: bulanula on January 05, 2012, 10:09:03 PM
Excellent!  I can help you guys.  I'm not a liar or a trickster; this is not a paradox.

Using 5:1, ok good.  Main thing is, don't let your margin fall below 2.1-2.5x maintenance.

If you see the price drop below your base price and you have tradable balance, buy buy buy!

But you both probably already know the basics.  PM if you have any questions; bitcoinica is practically all i've been doing for a couple months now.

LOL. For me this Bitcoinica stuff seems like out of another planet since I assume you are all day traders at Forex or something LOL.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 05, 2012, 10:10:14 PM
Another thing, keep some BTC or USD on mtgox.  Transferring funds to bitcoinica from mtgox code is the fastest method.  And if that price drops you want to get more funds into your position asap.

Taking profits from bitcoinica is a little different as of right now.  They are reaching their limit of mtgox coupons for withdrawal in USD.  So you could be waiting a while on a withdrawal from bitcoinica in mtgox coupon for USD.  BUT,

You can exchange your USD profit for BTC on bitcoinica (have to use their exchange rate which most times sucks); that will get your coupon immediately (and then you can sell them btcs on gox or do whatever you want with your profit in that form).


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 05, 2012, 10:10:54 PM
Excellent!  I can help you guys.  I'm not a liar or a trickster; this is not a paradox.

Using 5:1, ok good.  Main thing is, don't let your margin fall below 2.1-2.5x maintenance.

If you see the price drop below your base price and you have tradable balance, buy buy buy!

But you both probably already know the basics.  PM if you have any questions; bitcoinica is practically all i've been doing for a couple months now.

LOL. For me this Bitcoinica stuff seems like out of another planet since I assume you are all day traders at Forex or something LOL.

BTC and bitcoinica are my first experiences with any kind of trading.  Once I master them I will rule the planet.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: ArsenShnurkov on January 05, 2012, 10:11:00 PM
It's strange, really... there's no wall or anything.  Just resistance.

Please read that tread:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=56701.0

http://i40.tinypic.com/35kk8ja.png

I think that short is now around -20000 BTC


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 05, 2012, 10:18:44 PM
Quote
ANY QUESTIONS, JUST PM ME

 :D

Seriously, I'm more than willing to help via my own experiences.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Otoh on January 05, 2012, 10:20:24 PM
congrats! you're now in the black as your buy in spread has been covered, bitcoinica sell quote is $6.3104 atm against your base price of $6.2927 - let it ride


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Mushoz on January 05, 2012, 10:20:55 PM
Both in the green now, am I right? :)


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 05, 2012, 10:21:35 PM
I could grab a penny!

http://i44.tinypic.com/2ilbkfp.png


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 05, 2012, 10:22:08 PM
Well, I can tell you both one thing.  You're currently losing money.

They both just opened their positions. Of course they will have a small loss due to spreads :p

Right; the only way you're going to profit from the get-go is if you accurately predict the bottom of a spike up (or the top in the case of a downward spike if shorting), and set a limit order to buy/sell at that price.  If you just jump in at market price, no matter which direction you're going, you're going to show loss at first.  (MOST of the time, heh.  A while back bitcoinica actually showed a negative spread sometimes, which is fun.  Zhou has benevolently fixed this, though).

But jumping in at market price is not exactly dumb all the time, especially in the case of extremely strong movement pressure as we are seeing now.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: cypherdoc on January 05, 2012, 10:23:25 PM
this is great!


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 05, 2012, 10:23:43 PM

Good, ride it out if it keeps rising.  If it falls below your base price, pick up more.  The lower under your base price, the more you should pick up.  BUT only if it's under your base price.  If you show a loss but it's not under your base price yet, just leave it as long as your margin can cover maintenance.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 05, 2012, 10:25:14 PM

Good, ride it out if it keeps rising.  If it falls below your base price, pick up more.  The lower under your base price, the more you should pick up.  BUT only if it's under your base price.  If you show a loss but it's not under your base price yet, just leave it as long as your margin can cover maintenance.

When you say "leave it as long as your margin can cover maintenance" do you mean what's next to the Margin Balance field over on the right?


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: cypherdoc on January 05, 2012, 10:25:42 PM

we could very well be on the verge of Proudhon pumping Bitcoin!!!


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: trogdorjw73 on January 05, 2012, 10:26:56 PM

Using 5:1, ok good.
1:1 for now  



Main thing is, don't let your margin fall below 2.1-2.5x maintenance.
ok i get the point

edit: so the best approach to the USD BTC deposits is to keep most BTC if you are on a short position and to keep USD if you are on along position, 80/20 rule apply here no ?
I guess it depends on your approach. If you're really going long, IMO it would be better to go long with BTC -- as the price goes up, the value of your BTC (and thus available leverage) also goes up. On the other hand, if you start with BTC and go long and then the price drops, you drop twice as fast. IMO, using USD as your base investment is the best approach, since it won't fluctuate with the value of BTC.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 05, 2012, 10:27:17 PM

we could very well be on the verge of Proudhon pumping Bitcoin!!!

lol.  I just want to understand how this leveraged trading business works.  It's mystifying the way you guys talk about it.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 05, 2012, 10:28:28 PM

Using 5:1, ok good.
1:1 for now  



Main thing is, don't let your margin fall below 2.1-2.5x maintenance.
ok i get the point

edit: so the best approach to the USD BTC deposits is to keep most BTC if you are on a short position and to keep USD if you are on along position, 80/20 rule apply here no ?
I guess it depends on your approach. If you're really going long, IMO it would be better to go long with BTC -- as the price goes up, the value of your BTC (and thus available leverage) also goes up. On the other hand, if you start with BTC and go long and then the price drops, you drop twice as fast. IMO, using USD as your base investment is the best approach, since it won't fluctuate with the value of BTC.

Precisely.  I recently started another account so I could have one for shorts and one for longs to catch all the spikes, and I (try) to fund my short acct totally in BTC and my long in USD.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 05, 2012, 10:29:46 PM

we could very well be on the verge of Proudhon pumping Bitcoin!!!

lol.  I just want to understand how this leveraged trading business works.  It's mystifying the way you guys talk about it.

You're basically just getting a loan from Zhou.  That's the way I look at it.  And if you make money with his money that he loans you, great!  He profits from the spread.  If you lose money, well then he'll break your goddamned legs.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Mushoz on January 05, 2012, 10:30:29 PM
sold one at .35 and my position now is lower i am at $6.2841 $6.2927

Yup, instead of giving you your profits, it actually lowers your baseprice as you partially close your position. Once you completely close it, you will receive your profit. But why close it now though? Should have kept it! We're currently on our way UP :)


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: trogdorjw73 on January 05, 2012, 10:30:51 PM
Seems like someone is helping these two guys make money -- is that you cypherdoc, putting a bunch of sudden buys in to spike the price up to $6.50? LOL


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: ineededausername on January 05, 2012, 10:31:56 PM
There are tons of people who were waiting to buy.  Could be any one of those.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 05, 2012, 10:32:12 PM
sold one at .35 and my position now is lower i am at $6.2841 $6.2927

Yup, instead of giving you your profits, it actually lowers your baseprice as you partially close your position. Once you completely close it, you will receive your profit. But why close it now though? Should have kept it! We're currently on our way UP :)

Right -- if you want to extract some of your profit that you have made so far, just do a withdraw.  If you sell (or buy when short) any of your position, it will just affect your base price.

Beware when withdrawing though, to leave enough in margin in case of a sudden spike.  Object is to not ever liquidate (mine, anyway).


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 05, 2012, 10:35:31 PM
lol.  I just want to understand how this leveraged trading business works.  It's mystifying the way you guys talk about it.
for me is like this
10:1
you go to a drug dealer and you have 100$ he give you another 900$ so you can go and buy a larger bag of drugs  if the value of said drugs goes below 900 you have to give the bag to your dealer and then you need to pay him some taxes

Excellent analogy.  It works like when you get a front from your dealer.   ;)


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: cypherdoc on January 05, 2012, 10:37:52 PM

we could very well be on the verge of Proudhon pumping Bitcoin!!!

lol.  I just want to understand how this leveraged trading business works.  It's mystifying the way you guys talk about it.

how u likin this Proudhon!!!? you be makin MONEY!!!


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: ineededausername on January 05, 2012, 10:39:31 PM
now that we talk about leverage, how on earth on bond market they give you 400:1 the variance need to be damn f low so they give you that leverage  :D

Yeah... Bitcoin is not a normal market ;)


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: bulanula on January 05, 2012, 10:40:59 PM

we could very well be on the verge of Proudhon pumping Bitcoin!!!

lol.  I just want to understand how this leveraged trading business works.  It's mystifying the way you guys talk about it.

how u likin this Proudhon!!!? you be makin MONEY!!!

LOL. You guys need to teach me this trading business as well. Seems too damn hard with all these terms. WTF is spread or margin ? I feel like an idiot every time I read the speculation board.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: cypherdoc on January 05, 2012, 10:42:14 PM
gaud, what i'd pay to see Proudhon get excited... ;)


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Litt on January 05, 2012, 10:43:25 PM
Look at you two in the black already! Good timing.  :D


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: cypherdoc on January 05, 2012, 10:44:51 PM
LOL, the market is climbing just b/c of Proudhon.  how ironic; after all his trolling, if he ends up owning an island next to the rest of us.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 05, 2012, 10:45:16 PM
gaud, what i'd pay to see Proudhon get excited... ;)

This is pretty cool.  I still don't get what the fuck I'm supposed to do.  Liquidate?  Withdraw?  What's the difference?  I'm sure I'll figure it out.  I guess I picked a ok time to go long.  ;D


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: ineededausername on January 05, 2012, 10:45:32 PM

we could very well be on the verge of Proudhon pumping Bitcoin!!!

lol.  I just want to understand how this leveraged trading business works.  It's mystifying the way you guys talk about it.

how u likin this Proudhon!!!? you be makin MONEY!!!

LOL. You guys need to teach me this trading business as well. Seems too damn hard with all these terms. WTF is spread or margin ? I feel like an idiot every time I read the speculation board.

Google should be sufficient to teach you how to trade :)

If not, read the drug dealer analogy up there.  
Leverage = You borrow money and use it to take a position on the market.  Later on, you return the money.  If you lose enough money, your own balance is wiped out and you have to repay the loan.  It's a way of multiplying returns.
Spread = Ask - bid: Bitcoinica makes a profit by buying low and selling high to you.  They sell to you at the ask (you buy at ask when you go long), vice versa for bid.
Shorting = When you borrow bitcoins to sell, and the market takes a plunge, and then you buy more bitcoins and keep the difference.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: cypherdoc on January 05, 2012, 10:45:36 PM
Look at you two in the black already! Good timing.  :D

whether he admits it or not, Proudhon was born to be long.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: cypherdoc on January 05, 2012, 10:47:55 PM
this thread has the potential to be the highlight of the week  :D :D :D


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: ineededausername on January 05, 2012, 10:48:10 PM
Look at you two in the black already! Good timing.  :D

whether he admits it or not, Proudhon was born to be long.

He was long back in April... he's simply coming back to the good side.

Proudhon, welcome back.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 05, 2012, 10:49:26 PM
Look at you two in the black already! Good timing.  :D

whether he admits it or not, Proudhon was born to be long.

Is this a racial slur??
XD


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: cypherdoc on January 05, 2012, 10:49:47 PM
Look at you two in the black already! Good timing.  :D

whether he admits it or not, Proudhon was born to be long.

He was long back in April... he's simply coming back to the good side.

Proudhon, welcome back.

the shorts are probably screaming in terror once they heard Proudhon was leveraging up.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 05, 2012, 10:51:36 PM
Look at you two in the black already! Good timing.  :D

whether he admits it or not, Proudhon was born to be long.

He was long back in April... he's simply coming back to the good side.

Proudhon, welcome back.

I guess this is as good a time as ever to admit that I went all in back at $2.4 but have had my finger very nervously over the sell button ever since.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: ineededausername on January 05, 2012, 10:52:43 PM
Look at you two in the black already! Good timing.  :D

whether he admits it or not, Proudhon was born to be long.

He was long back in April... he's simply coming back to the good side.

Proudhon, welcome back.

I guess this is as good a time as ever to admit that I went all in back at $2.4 but have had my finger very nervously over the sell button ever since.


Ha! You were trolling us all along!
You were simply a bear so that you could buy more, weren't you? One of the many fake bears on this forum, I guess.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 05, 2012, 10:54:41 PM
Look at you two in the black already! Good timing.  :D

whether he admits it or not, Proudhon was born to be long.

He was long back in April... he's simply coming back to the good side.

Proudhon, welcome back.

I guess this is as good a time as ever to admit that I went all in back at $2.4 but have had my finger very nervously over the sell button ever since.

Nice play, if it's true.
And now I know you don't really need any help after all.  :-)


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 05, 2012, 10:57:00 PM
Look at you two in the black already! Good timing.  :D

whether he admits it or not, Proudhon was born to be long.

He was long back in April... he's simply coming back to the good side.

Proudhon, welcome back.

I guess this is as good a time as ever to admit that I went all in back at $2.4 but have had my finger very nervously over the sell button ever since.


Ha! You were trolling us all along!
You were simply a bear so that you could buy more, weren't you? One of the many fake bears on this forum, I guess.

Well, no, I really was...er...am bearish, I think.  At least, long term I don't think these spikes are sustainable.  But I had a bunch of money sitting in MtGox not doing anything and I just decided sort of on a whim that I'd buy back in.  I actually sold a few times on the way up because I was convinced it was all going to come crashing back down, but so far I've only managed to lose bitcoin.  My bearishness is getting shaken up pretty good, as much as I try to resist it.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 05, 2012, 10:58:01 PM
Look at you two in the black already! Good timing.  :D

whether he admits it or not, Proudhon was born to be long.

He was long back in April... he's simply coming back to the good side.

Proudhon, welcome back.

I guess this is as good a time as ever to admit that I went all in back at $2.4 but have had my finger very nervously over the sell button ever since.

Nice play, if it's true.
And now I know you don't really need any help after all.  :-)

Well, buying and selling on MtGox is as easy as it can be.  You don't need to know much at all about market stuff to do that.  This bitcoinica stuff is an entirely different animal, I think.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: ineededausername on January 05, 2012, 10:58:12 PM
Look at you two in the black already! Good timing.  :D

whether he admits it or not, Proudhon was born to be long.

He was long back in April... he's simply coming back to the good side.

Proudhon, welcome back.

I guess this is as good a time as ever to admit that I went all in back at $2.4 but have had my finger very nervously over the sell button ever since.


Ha! You were trolling us all along!
You were simply a bear so that you could buy more, weren't you? One of the many fake bears on this forum, I guess.

Well, no, I really was...er...am bearish, I think.  At least, long term I don't think these spikes are sustainable.  But I had a bunch of money sitting in MtGox not doing anything and I just decided sort of on a whim that I'd buy back in.  I actually sold a few times on the way up because I was convinced it was all going to come crashing back down, but so far I've only managed to lose bitcoin.  My bearishness is getting shaken up pretty good, as much as I try to resist it.

Admit it, you're a bull... what kind of bear goes long!?  A fake one.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 05, 2012, 11:01:15 PM
Look at you two in the black already! Good timing.  :D

whether he admits it or not, Proudhon was born to be long.

He was long back in April... he's simply coming back to the good side.

Proudhon, welcome back.

I guess this is as good a time as ever to admit that I went all in back at $2.4 but have had my finger very nervously over the sell button ever since.


Ha! You were trolling us all along!
You were simply a bear so that you could buy more, weren't you? One of the many fake bears on this forum, I guess.

Well, no, I really was...er...am bearish, I think.  At least, long term I don't think these spikes are sustainable.  But I had a bunch of money sitting in MtGox not doing anything and I just decided sort of on a whim that I'd buy back in.  I actually sold a few times on the way up because I was convinced it was all going to come crashing back down, but so far I've only managed to lose bitcoin.  My bearishness is getting shaken up pretty good, as much as I try to resist it.

Admit it, you're a bull... what kind of bear goes long!?  A fake one.

The bitcoinica thing is just an experiment so I can figure out how it works.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 05, 2012, 11:07:35 PM
Right on -- I think I understand Proudhon's "mystification" about leverage better now :-)

Let me put it another way now:  It's a tool for poor people to make money faster.

I'm (was) shit poor.  If bitcoinica doesn't take my money, alcohol and drugs will.  Sad but true.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: StewartJ on January 05, 2012, 11:09:21 PM
This was instructive, thanks for publicly displaying a bit of this Bitcoinica stuff.  Always been curious.  Not my style of trading I guess.

 I just like the easier buy low, sell high, take some profit, and repeat approach on Mt Gox.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 05, 2012, 11:33:12 PM
i need to go to sleep and i did close the deal so i get something to show you
profit:0.9151
capital: 8*6.2927=50.34USD
1.811% rate
time spent just look at OP and this post


You may be kicking yourself when you wake up.   ;)


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 05, 2012, 11:41:14 PM
Liquidate?   ???


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 05, 2012, 11:43:36 PM
Liquidate?   ???

Not a wise move at this point, IMO.  If you have a low enough base price anyway.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 05, 2012, 11:44:39 PM
http://i40.tinypic.com/xlkow5.png


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Otoh on January 05, 2012, 11:48:24 PM
 No, no, no - seriously hold to at least 2017 (edit: like I should have done with my leveraged well in profit longs today ::) ) & when you have nice unrealized profits along the way then just add to your long position by buying more with them whenever there's a 10% to 25% spike down at least with this first 1 Btc account, you'll also have a very sellable newsworthy story by then too, start another bitcoinica account to practice how easy it is to lose money fast trading on margin if you like, remember your entry level was the $2.50 or less that you paid for this bit under 3 months ago, like what - a cup of coffee - let it roll  ;D


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 05, 2012, 11:49:59 PM

DEFINITELY hold dude.  Price would have to drop below $1.95 for you to be force liquidated.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: randomguy7 on January 05, 2012, 11:59:28 PM

DEFINITELY hold dude.  Price would have to drop below $1.95 for you to be force liquidated.

Nope he would be forced liquidated long before $1.95. His margin at $1.95 - (6.3078-1.95) = -2.40 net value (which must stay above $1.01). Correct me if I'm wrong.

Edit: forced liquidation should occur at $3.6589. hm something is wrong here...


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 06, 2012, 12:05:31 AM

DEFINITELY hold dude.  Price would have to drop below $1.95 for you to be force liquidated.

Nope he would be forced liquidated long before $1.95. His margin at $1.95 - (6.3078-1.95) = -2.40 net value (which must stay above $1.01). Correct me if I'm wrong.

At 5x leverage, forced liquidation occurs when net value falls below 2x maintenance.
2x maint here = $2.02
Net V = 9.78
Net V = 2x maint = 7.76
7.76 / total btc in position (absolute value) = 7.76 / 4 = 1.95
I'm sorry; I was mistaken -- The price of BTC would have to drop to base price minus 1.95.  Which is still pretty darn low.
EDIT:
Someone correct me if this is an incorrect calculation.
If it's correct, basically then if you think the price of BTC will drop below 6.31 - 1.95 = 4.36, heh, yeah go ahead and liquidate.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 06, 2012, 12:08:02 AM
Thanks for the explanations.  This is fascinating.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: teflone on January 06, 2012, 12:08:31 AM
More faith needed..

http://i44.tinypic.com/2z6t4xd.jpg


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: cypherdoc on January 06, 2012, 12:12:02 AM
Thanks for the explanations.  This is fascinating.

its called the opportunity of a lifetime.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: randomguy7 on January 06, 2012, 12:15:02 AM
Hm Crypt_Current are you sure net value must stay above 2 x maintenance? Why x2?


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 06, 2012, 12:16:19 AM
Hm Crypt_Current are you sure net value must stay above 2 x maintenance? Why x2?

If you're using 5x leverage, yes.  it can drop further if you use less leverage.
Why is I don't know; that's just the rules that Zhoutong programmed into his awesome algorithm.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 06, 2012, 12:18:16 AM
Hm Crypt_Current are you sure net value must stay above 2 x maintenance? Why x2?

If you're using 5x leverage, yes.  it can drop further if you use less leverage.
Why is I don't know; that's just the rules that Zhoutong programmed into his awesome algorithm.

BTW, also if you look at the "Settings" page in Bitcoinica, where you select your leverage, it will show you max tolerated loss as a percentage for each leverage.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 06, 2012, 12:23:26 AM
Hm Crypt_Current are you sure net value must stay above 2 x maintenance? Why x2?

If you're using 5x leverage, yes.  it can drop further if you use less leverage.
Why is I don't know; that's just the rules that Zhoutong programmed into his awesome algorithm.

BTW, also if you look at the "Settings" page in Bitcoinica, where you select your leverage, it will show you max tolerated loss as a percentage for each leverage.

... aaaaaaaaand after doing some further calculations, 16% (max tolerated loss for 5x margin) works out to be far less loss than would occur to bring net value down to 2x maintenance.  In my case, anyway... but I am using a margin of BTC and USD.  Maybe there's something I'm not taking into account.
All I know for sure, is that before the other leverage options were added, 5x was the only option, and the rule was forced liquidation when net value falls below 2x maintenance.  Maybe Zhoutong can address this; tell us if anything has changed since the new leverage options were added.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: randomguy7 on January 06, 2012, 12:31:48 AM
Hm Crypt_Current are you sure net value must stay above 2 x maintenance? Why x2?

If you're using 5x leverage, yes.  it can drop further if you use less leverage.
Why is I don't know; that's just the rules that Zhoutong programmed into his awesome algorithm.

BTW, also if you look at the "Settings" page in Bitcoinica, where you select your leverage, it will show you max tolerated loss as a percentage for each leverage.

... aaaaaaaaand after doing some further calculations, 16% (max tolerated loss for 5x margin) works out to be far less loss than would occur to bring net value down to 2x maintenance.  In my case, anyway... but I am using a margin of BTC and USD.  Maybe there's something I'm not taking into account.
All I know for sure, is that before the other leverage options were added, 5x was the only option, and the rule was forced liquidation when net value falls below 2x maintenance.  Maybe Zhoutong can address this; tell us if anything has changed since the new leverage options were added.

Hm still doesn't make sense to me. I redid my calculation assuming net profit must stay above 1x maintenance and it says proudhon gets liquidated at a move below $5.24824.

Wanna bet for 1 BTC? If we're both wrong, both could pay 0.5 BTC to the bitcoin faucet.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 06, 2012, 12:34:04 AM
Hm Crypt_Current are you sure net value must stay above 2 x maintenance? Why x2?

If you're using 5x leverage, yes.  it can drop further if you use less leverage.
Why is I don't know; that's just the rules that Zhoutong programmed into his awesome algorithm.

BTW, also if you look at the "Settings" page in Bitcoinica, where you select your leverage, it will show you max tolerated loss as a percentage for each leverage.

... aaaaaaaaand after doing some further calculations, 16% (max tolerated loss for 5x margin) works out to be far less loss than would occur to bring net value down to 2x maintenance.  In my case, anyway... but I am using a margin of BTC and USD.  Maybe there's something I'm not taking into account.
All I know for sure, is that before the other leverage options were added, 5x was the only option, and the rule was forced liquidation when net value falls below 2x maintenance.  Maybe Zhoutong can address this; tell us if anything has changed since the new leverage options were added.

Hm still doesn't make sense to me. I redid my calculation assuming net profit must stay above 1x maintenance and it says proudhon gets liquidated at a move below $5.24824.

Wanna bet for 1 BTC? If we're both wrong, both could pay 0.5 BTC to the bitcoin faucet.

Nah, I don't wanna bet, because I think you're right.  :-D  I think I was just used to the old rules and the new rules for loss tolerance are more strict.
No wonder that spike down last week forced a liquidation of my position at the time... 16% loss is apparently less than netv-2xMaint.  Ah well, live & learn.  :-D


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 06, 2012, 12:35:37 AM
Hm Crypt_Current are you sure net value must stay above 2 x maintenance? Why x2?

If you're using 5x leverage, yes.  it can drop further if you use less leverage.
Why is I don't know; that's just the rules that Zhoutong programmed into his awesome algorithm.

BTW, also if you look at the "Settings" page in Bitcoinica, where you select your leverage, it will show you max tolerated loss as a percentage for each leverage.

... aaaaaaaaand after doing some further calculations, 16% (max tolerated loss for 5x margin) works out to be far less loss than would occur to bring net value down to 2x maintenance.  In my case, anyway... but I am using a margin of BTC and USD.  Maybe there's something I'm not taking into account.
All I know for sure, is that before the other leverage options were added, 5x was the only option, and the rule was forced liquidation when net value falls below 2x maintenance.  Maybe Zhoutong can address this; tell us if anything has changed since the new leverage options were added.

Hm still doesn't make sense to me. I redid my calculation assuming net profit must stay above 1x maintenance and it says proudhon gets liquidated at a move below $5.24824.

Wanna bet for 1 BTC? If we're both wrong, both could pay 0.5 BTC to the bitcoin faucet.

BUT... even with the corrected bottom threshold of $5.24, my advice to Proudhon is to keep on holdin.  That's what I'd do.  And I'd watch it.  Boy oh boy, the sleep I have lost in the past couple months.  If it looks like we're droppin fast, plug some more funds into your margin.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 06, 2012, 12:39:08 AM
LAWLZ, i think i just figured something out.  The percentage P/L is percentage of your TRADABLE balance, not just your margin.  Whew.  So we have much more leeway than I thought.  And that force liquidation I suffered from last week must then be due to lack of diligence on my part (had to sleep) as I had originally thought.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: randomguy7 on January 06, 2012, 12:43:42 AM
Hm Crypt_Current are you sure net value must stay above 2 x maintenance? Why x2?

If you're using 5x leverage, yes.  it can drop further if you use less leverage.
Why is I don't know; that's just the rules that Zhoutong programmed into his awesome algorithm.

BTW, also if you look at the "Settings" page in Bitcoinica, where you select your leverage, it will show you max tolerated loss as a percentage for each leverage.

... aaaaaaaaand after doing some further calculations, 16% (max tolerated loss for 5x margin) works out to be far less loss than would occur to bring net value down to 2x maintenance.  In my case, anyway... but I am using a margin of BTC and USD.  Maybe there's something I'm not taking into account.
All I know for sure, is that before the other leverage options were added, 5x was the only option, and the rule was forced liquidation when net value falls below 2x maintenance.  Maybe Zhoutong can address this; tell us if anything has changed since the new leverage options were added.

Hm still doesn't make sense to me. I redid my calculation assuming net profit must stay above 1x maintenance and it says proudhon gets liquidated at a move below $5.24824.

Wanna bet for 1 BTC? If we're both wrong, both could pay 0.5 BTC to the bitcoin faucet.

Nah, I don't wanna bet, because I think you're right.  :-D  I think I was just used to the old rules and the new rules for loss tolerance are more strict.
No wonder that spike down last week forced a liquidation of my position at the time... 16% loss is apparently less than netv-2xMaint.  Ah well, live & learn.  :-D

Well it also depends on if your account is funded with usd or btc. If you have only btc and are long, a dropping price will screw you much faster.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: cypherdoc on January 06, 2012, 12:47:47 AM
Hm Crypt_Current are you sure net value must stay above 2 x maintenance? Why x2?

If you're using 5x leverage, yes.  it can drop further if you use less leverage.
Why is I don't know; that's just the rules that Zhoutong programmed into his awesome algorithm.

BTW, also if you look at the "Settings" page in Bitcoinica, where you select your leverage, it will show you max tolerated loss as a percentage for each leverage.

... aaaaaaaaand after doing some further calculations, 16% (max tolerated loss for 5x margin) works out to be far less loss than would occur to bring net value down to 2x maintenance.  In my case, anyway... but I am using a margin of BTC and USD.  Maybe there's something I'm not taking into account.
All I know for sure, is that before the other leverage options were added, 5x was the only option, and the rule was forced liquidation when net value falls below 2x maintenance.  Maybe Zhoutong can address this; tell us if anything has changed since the new leverage options were added.

Hm still doesn't make sense to me. I redid my calculation assuming net profit must stay above 1x maintenance and it says proudhon gets liquidated at a move below $5.24824.

Wanna bet for 1 BTC? If we're both wrong, both could pay 0.5 BTC to the bitcoin faucet.

Nah, I don't wanna bet, because I think you're right.  :-D  I think I was just used to the old rules and the new rules for loss tolerance are more strict.
No wonder that spike down last week forced a liquidation of my position at the time... 16% loss is apparently less than netv-2xMaint.  Ah well, live & learn.  :-D

Well it also depends on if your account is funded with usd or btc. If you have only btc and are long, a dropping price will screw you much faster.

this is what i meant when i said its like a mini derivatives tower.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: legitnick on January 06, 2012, 03:10:01 AM
https://i.imgur.com/DyLq7.png
I started with $60 yesterday.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: notme on January 06, 2012, 06:25:04 AM

A nice quiet buy.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 06, 2012, 06:27:16 AM
f**k i cant sleep


yes forced liquidation are based on account not position

I can't sleep either :-D
What do you mean "based on account not position"?


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: sat0pi on January 06, 2012, 07:02:17 AM
Here is my current position:

https://i.imgur.com/1lpnd.png


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 06, 2012, 07:07:01 AM
Here is my current position:

https://i.imgur.com/1lpnd.png

ONLY 16% pfffffftttttttt  ::)


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: sat0pi on January 06, 2012, 07:12:30 AM
Here is my current position:

https://i.imgur.com/1lpnd.png

ONLY 16% pfffffftttttttt  ::)

Yeah I know, right? :P The experienced trader in me says to take profit now, but at the same time something tells me Bitcoin is not the same as anything I've ever traded before. :P


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: sat0pi on January 06, 2012, 07:16:07 AM
Should have listened to the experienced trader in me... Somebody just dumped a truckload of bitcoins lol.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: RandyMarsh on January 06, 2012, 02:19:50 PM
https://i.imgur.com/hojMF.png

What decided the price at which that trade was executed?


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: rebuilder on January 06, 2012, 02:31:40 PM
https://i.imgur.com/hojMF.png

What decided the price at which that trade was executed?

As I understand it:
The buy order was entered into the queue when Bitcoinica's buy hit 6.8010. It then became a market order, but wasn't executed immediately on Mt. Gox due to a number of delays in the system. Probably the spike down to 6.8010 and below was quite steep, so by the time the buy actually went through, the price on Gox had fallen further.

You got lucky in other words. It could have gone the other way, too, and the spike might have only just touched 6.8, leaving your order unexecuted

Someone correct me if I got this wrong...


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: ziv on January 06, 2012, 04:39:18 PM
I trying out bitcoinica with a bit of money I'm willing to loose for the entertainment value.

The market moved in my favour for five or ten minutes. The spread on bitcoinica widened to $0.4 so the profit available to me was not as much as I expected. I could leave a limit order on bitcoinica and have the mtgox price swing 5% or more past it and not get my order executed.
It's an extra risk I wasn't totally aware of.

Bitcoinica is badly documented. For example I can't find any official explanation of the * that sometimes appears next to buy or sell when the market moves.
Seems to mean no liquidity, you won't get an order executed right this moment?

Bitcoinica does not full details of company registration or office address. The domain uses a whois privacy service. It is possible they could just dissapear.

I think I am playing with fire. It's fun but if I'm drunk, tired or impetuous I'm going to get burned.



Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: cypherdoc on January 06, 2012, 04:43:24 PM
https://i.imgur.com/hojMF.png

What decided the price at which that trade was executed?

now THAT is brutal, in the sense of unpredictable.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: cypherdoc on January 06, 2012, 04:49:01 PM
https://i.imgur.com/hojMF.png

What decided the price at which that trade was executed?

As I understand it:
The buy order was entered into the queue when Bitcoinica's buy hit 6.8010. It then became a market order, but wasn't executed immediately on Mt. Gox due to a number of delays in the system. Probably the spike down to 6.8010 and below was quite steep, so by the time the buy actually went through, the price on Gox had fallen further.

You got lucky in other words. It could have gone the other way, too, and the spike might have only just touched 6.8, leaving your order unexecuted

Someone correct me if I got this wrong...

i think it is a function of the 4 sec delay btwn when u hit the buy button and when it executed.  you were lucky enough to have a spike down during that 4 sec i would imagine.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 06, 2012, 06:02:45 PM
Still holdin' on.

http://i42.tinypic.com/sze8n7.png


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: ineededausername on January 06, 2012, 06:05:25 PM

proudhon the bull perseveres in the face of uncertainty! ;D


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 06, 2012, 07:53:13 PM
can anyone make a simple analogy got this trailing stop note ?
Quote
Your order works like a Stop order. However, when market price decreases (buying) or increases (selling), your target price will also change by the same value.

I have been wondering about that kind of order too and have not used it yet.  The key issue is the term "target price" -- I don't think it is clearly defined anywhere.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Luis_GT on January 06, 2012, 09:00:30 PM

Keep driving the price up so we can Zhoutounged all those sell positions!


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: mb300sd on January 06, 2012, 09:04:17 PM
When shorts get zhoutounged, there are buy orders placed on gox and the price is forced higher, correct?

Someone spike the price! Lets see $8 today!


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: sgbett on January 06, 2012, 10:09:18 PM
the asterisk on the sell side means people can't sell because zhou is out of BTC not USD.

If anything this is preventing/slowing a price collapse.

Plus I have sand in my vagina because I decided to go long at $7.15 last night :(


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: ineededausername on January 06, 2012, 10:14:14 PM
Plus I have sand in my vagina because I decided to go long at $7.15 last night :(

I have a message for my fellow bulls, who have been zhoutonged or hurt by this correction.

The correction is actually an enormously bullish sign.  Here, look at the charts.

http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/chart.png?width=940&m=mtgoxUSD&SubmitButton=Draw&r=360&i=&c=0&s=&e=&Prev=&Next=&t=S&b=&a1=&m1=10&a2=&m2=25&x=0&i1=OBV&i2=MACD&i3=RSI&i4=PPO&v=1&cv=1&ps=0&l=1&p=0&

On one of the highest-volume days in the history of bitcoin, almost 1.5 million dollars caused a massive correction down... but is it so massive?  As 8PM draws near, we are ending up right back where we started.  Indeed, on this chart, the net result of the $1.5 million correction is a brief blip in a sea of green.  It has caused a change of -25 cents.

Again, $1.5 million is one of the highest volumes ever recorded in the bitcoin markets, and all it caused was a small correction, which barely registered in the technical indicators.  What does this mean for the continuation of the rally? ;D



Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 06, 2012, 10:18:10 PM
Plus I have sand in my vagina because I decided to go long at $7.15 last night :(

I have a message for my fellow bulls, who have been zhoutonged or hurt by this correction.

The correction is actually an enormously bullish sign.  Here, look at the charts.

http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/chart.png?width=940&m=mtgoxUSD&SubmitButton=Draw&r=360&i=&c=0&s=&e=&Prev=&Next=&t=S&b=&a1=&m1=10&a2=&m2=25&x=0&i1=OBV&i2=MACD&i3=RSI&i4=PPO&v=1&cv=1&ps=0&l=1&p=0&

On one of the highest-volume days in the history of bitcoin, almost 1.5 million dollars caused a massive correction down... but is it so massive?  As 8PM draws near, we are ending up right back where we started.  Indeed, on this chart, the net result of the $1.5 million correction is a brief blip in a sea of green.  It has caused a change of -25 cents.

Again, $1.5 million is one of the highest volumes ever recorded in the bitcoin markets, and all it caused was a small correction, which barely registered in the technical indicators.  What does this mean for the continuation of the rally? ;D



+111111111111111111111111111111


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 06, 2012, 10:44:27 PM
I'm still in.

http://i43.tinypic.com/70yznq.png


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: legitnick on January 06, 2012, 10:51:22 PM
Me too
https://i.imgur.com/pn28I.png


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 06, 2012, 10:55:50 PM

Hahahaha, having been hanging around this board since August or so, man it is so amusing to me to see this.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 06, 2012, 10:59:25 PM
yall showed yours, i'll show mine:
http://i44.tinypic.com/30k9dhw.png


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: teflone on January 06, 2012, 11:03:02 PM
Liquidate!!!!!!





Just kidding, that 100 should turn into at least  275 by months end..


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: sgbett on January 07, 2012, 12:43:24 AM
Plus I have sand in my vagina because I decided to go long at $7.15 last night :(

I have a message for my fellow bulls, who have been zhoutonged or hurt by this correction.

The correction is actually an enormously bullish sign.  Here, look at the charts.

...snip...


The sand is because i shorted too early when it was 6.25, when it broke to 7.2 I made an emotional decision and flipped my position.

I've found this to be one of the best indicators around. In the cold light of day today I released that I had been total rash. I've spent most of the day reviewing this and made the tough decision to close again for another loss.

You see bullish signs on those charts, I am long term bullish, I'm holding a stash long for the long term, but my play money is for trading and  right now this is the daily chart I am looking at...

https://i.imgur.com/gTFVT.png

Failing to break out of bollinger, and a lot of room to the downside.
RSI: Overbought

They give me the sense that this rally is over (for now), and a correction is on the cards.

Money flow OBV and PVT all peaky but a closer look at the hourly:

https://i.imgur.com/KAmV6.png

Failed attempt to break above 7.20
OBV and PVT failed to make new highs

Thats just my opinion, as unpopular is it might be right now!

I'm about 33% long BTC, the rest is in USD and I have a bunch of buy orders all the way back down to $2. (I've even sent some loving zhou's way, I just kind a like that site however much it screws me, or rather, I screw myself on it!)

I tell you this, not because I think it will have any effect (I think the market is big enough now, that these forums do not have an effect - if indeed they ever did!) or because I think anyone should do anything based on my view, but so that I can say 'I told you so' if I'm right ;)

Good luck all!


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: sgbett on January 07, 2012, 12:52:24 AM
I've seen that asterisk blinking on the sell side of bitcoinica an awful lot today. That makes me think a lot of people are selling, or that a lot of people are short...

https://i.imgur.com/6689e.png

wedge forming.... could go either way ;)

if it's up then it will be one hell of a squeeze!


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 07, 2012, 03:08:24 AM
Liquidate!!!!!!





Just kidding, that 100 should turn into at least  275 by months end..

Hoping I can keep it going longer than that.  Got another account with a short position to hedge / catch the spikes.  Crossing my fingers.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Luis_GT on January 07, 2012, 05:20:47 AM
I think that recent spike to 7 just killed a lot of the sell orders in bitcoinica...

http://i16.photobucket.com/albums/b29/Luis_GT/Meme/aww-yea-meme-original.jpg


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 09, 2012, 12:03:13 PM
i am out
it was a nice day

I should have got out.  Still haven't been liquidated, but it's probably coming soon.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 09, 2012, 12:05:00 PM
i am out
it was a nice day

I should have got out.  Still haven't been liquidated, but it's probably coming soon.
plz tell me that you did short

Nope.  But I was just experimenting with 1BTC.  So, meh.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 09, 2012, 12:13:56 PM
so you dint get out when i told u so and u dint short like a grizzly when i said that ......


is nice to see that you dint trust me and you did your own math 

I'm sorry.

http://i44.tinypic.com/11qtzq9.png


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: RicePicker on January 09, 2012, 12:25:47 PM
I hope you are liquidating that position soon Myself.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: BadBear on January 09, 2012, 01:19:00 PM
so you dint get out when i told u so and u dint short like a grizzly when i said that ......


is nice to see that you dint trust me and you did your own math 

I'm sorry.

http://i44.tinypic.com/11qtzq9.png

This is just perfect, and beautiful. 


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Luis_GT on January 09, 2012, 03:55:48 PM
Who got Zhoutonged by that last dump last night?


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: SgtSpike on January 09, 2012, 04:08:58 PM
Who got Zhoutonged by that last dump last night?
I didn't, but was probably close!  Went long at 6.89...


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Luis_GT on January 09, 2012, 04:12:52 PM
Who got Zhoutonged by that last dump last night?
I didn't, but was probably close!  Went long at 6.89...

Same here... still on the running


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 09, 2012, 04:34:24 PM
http://i41.tinypic.com/nex7xi.png

hehe


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: sgbett on January 09, 2012, 04:45:08 PM
https://i.imgur.com/GF6kD.png


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: pirateat40 on January 09, 2012, 04:48:38 PM
Mahahahahhaa

{undefined picture}

take that!


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: sgbett on January 09, 2012, 04:54:09 PM

nop, I had to watch it go all the way back up to 6.7 couple of hours ago. That wasn't pretty!

edit..

just caught 50 at 6.19 though ....


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 11, 2012, 03:14:27 AM
is about time to go down see you ppl at 6

lulz, then 2


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 11, 2012, 12:51:26 PM
Hehe

http://i43.tinypic.com/6f47yh.png


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: legitnick on January 11, 2012, 01:05:46 PM
https://i.imgur.com/k1trs.png  ;)


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: sgbett on January 11, 2012, 03:43:32 PM
green position archived  ;D

same!

150554   BTCUSD   Market   -50.0   -   20 minutes ago   Executed @ 6.9564


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: bitwiz on January 11, 2012, 05:25:07 PM
I just went short and took my .30ct for my daytrading long.

and I have the feeling that it went down.. hehe

BTCUSD    -5.0    $6.8680    -$0.57    -1.661%    Liquidate


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: naima53 on January 11, 2012, 05:29:09 PM
FUUUU!! DOWN  :( :( :(


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Ente on January 11, 2012, 08:17:48 PM
I cant believe I just read the whole 8 pages, not understanding a word! :-)

Ente


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: bitwiz on January 11, 2012, 08:33:38 PM
I cant believe I just read the whole 8 pages, not understanding a word! :-)

Ente
i will make a tutorial thread later if you need :)

this will be a hell of a tut, sir. ,-)


@ente
I read a bit on babypips.com a few month ago and then, a few days ago, I heard from bitcoinica. If you want to play with your coins just read some about forex basics. It is a bit confusing but wors the time imho. Have fun and dont forget to sleep!


EDIT:
a Question for the pros here.
Will this stop execute if the price goes up to 7.2 or higher?

151130    BTCUSD    Stop    3.0    $7.2000    less than a minute ago    ACTIVE    Cancel
   151131    BTCUSD    Stop    2.0    $7.2000    less than a minute ago    ACTIVE    Cancel

I am currently on a short for 5 Coins. So this should safe me from being broke after I wake up, right?


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Otoh on January 12, 2012, 12:15:55 PM

a Question for the pros here.
Will this stop execute if the price goes up to 7.2 or higher?

151130    BTCUSD    Stop    3.0    $7.2000    less than a minute ago    ACTIVE    Cancel
151131    BTCUSD    Stop    2.0    $7.2000    less than a minute ago    ACTIVE    Cancel

I am currently on a short for 5 Coins. So this should safe me from being broke after I wake up, right?
yes, I believe that will close out your short position of 5 coins if & when the bitcoinica buy price reaches $7.20 or >
but I haven't tried this out as yet so am not 100%

EDIT: also I don't know how bitcoinica's Redis server going down would affect any stop orders that you'd placed if your stop price was hit during this outage


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 12, 2012, 01:53:46 PM
I think we're going to bounce off of $6 or lower again.  I hope we bounce, anyway.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: sgbett on January 12, 2012, 03:32:19 PM
It's orders all the way down baby!


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: byronbb on January 12, 2012, 04:01:16 PM
quite the rumble


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: bitwiz on January 12, 2012, 04:25:46 PM

buy:
BTC/USD
▲6.40438
sell:
BTC/USD
▲6.47750

this was a nice spread =)


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 12, 2012, 04:45:50 PM

Are you getting nervous?

http://i40.tinypic.com/vhuyj7.png

Edit:

Yikes!

http://i42.tinypic.com/ic47qb.png


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: bitwiz on January 12, 2012, 04:51:30 PM
this where two really big buys, this whole market is kind of crazy, lol.


EDIT: but it seems to even out relatively fast.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: bitwiz on January 12, 2012, 05:01:52 PM
you are right, but a few mins ago I saw 2. But I dont know enough right now. I feel like a kid exporing the FX world.
Wonder when I get a mad wife because of my new "hobby" lol.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: ineededausername on January 13, 2012, 03:39:49 PM

Those numbers don't look right...


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Otoh on January 13, 2012, 05:09:14 PM

yep, I noticed that they didn't add up as well, you'd need to have the BUY price shown fallen to $6.53 in order to realise the profit shown on that short with it's given base price of $6.5852 & @ 0.838% of unrealised profit shown - looks like someone may have been shopping :-\


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: RandyMarsh on January 13, 2012, 08:56:07 PM
https://i.imgur.com/en4Jt.png

What of this position? Feel free to tell me i've done something idiotic.  ::)


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: M4v3R on January 13, 2012, 09:03:05 PM
What of this position? Feel free to tell me i've done something idiotic.  ::)

We'll, I'm on the exact opposite of yours:

http://dl.dropbox.com/u/1127246/Screenshots/wfx6.png


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: RandyMarsh on January 13, 2012, 11:32:26 PM
tvm i am out

The short from 6.5852? did you make any profit?


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: ineededausername on January 14, 2012, 12:46:24 AM
tvm i am out

The short from 6.5852? did you make any profit?
aye



now someone is selling like mad is not me hehe

ok that screenshot is so fake it isn't even funny..


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: RandyMarsh on January 14, 2012, 12:55:47 AM
tvm i am out

The short from 6.5852? did you make any profit?
aye



now someone is selling like mad is not me hehe

ok that screenshot is so fake it isn't even funny..

Couldn't he have just partially closed the position before that?


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: RandyMarsh on January 14, 2012, 12:59:48 AM
tvm i am out

The short from 6.5852? did you make any profit?
aye



now someone is selling like mad is not me hehe

ok that screenshot is so fake it isn't even funny..
make your math
2345*6.5852=15442.294
15442.294*0.838%=129.40642372


that part works out... its the fact that the difference between buy and base in that screen shot is not 0.838% its more like 0.06% 0.091%

Edit: got my numbers wrong there, they might still be wrong... im tired


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: zhoutong on January 14, 2012, 01:08:32 AM
tvm i am out

The short from 6.5852? did you make any profit?
aye



now someone is selling like mad is not me hehe

ok that screenshot is so fake it isn't even funny..
make your math
2345*6.5852=15442.294
15442.294*0.838%=129.40642372


that part works out... its the fact that the difference between buy and base in that screen shot is not 0.838% its more like 0.06% 0.091%

Edit: got my numbers wrong there, they might still be wrong... im tired

The price updates every 3 seconds. The position updates every 10 seconds. That's why...


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Otoh on January 14, 2012, 01:09:46 AM
BUY $6.5792 shown on screen whilst you actually need a BUY of $6.53 to show the % gain & profit that you posted, unless I'm missing something fundamental here...


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Otoh on January 14, 2012, 01:10:48 AM
OK - solved thx


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: RandyMarsh on January 14, 2012, 01:15:54 AM
OK - solved thx

we are like totally Mystery Inc right now, solving like... price discrepancies n shit... yeah


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Otoh on January 14, 2012, 01:28:46 AM
OK - solved thx

we are like totally Mystery Inc right now, solving like... price discrepancies n shit... yeah

lol yer, I'm just taking Khou's word for it being legit, most of my BTC are parked at his gaff atm so I'm biased to consider him an oracle of legitimate BTC wisdom & propriety


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: byronbb on January 14, 2012, 06:27:17 AM
https://i.imgur.com/Lrwba.jpg


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: M4v3R on January 14, 2012, 07:05:55 AM

You actually sold on the was at the lowest point in a few days? Wow :D


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: notme on January 14, 2012, 07:07:00 AM

You actually sold on the was at the lowest point in a few days? Wow :D

Looks to me like he bought.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: byronbb on January 14, 2012, 07:09:43 AM
Yeah put a small 5 down when we bottomed. Things seemed funny....


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: notme on January 14, 2012, 07:10:32 AM
Yeah put a small 5 down when we bottomed. Things seemed funny....

Made a buck already :).


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 14, 2012, 12:09:17 PM
I went 10:1 long at $6.39 last night, placed a limit order at $6.50, and went to sleep.  I just woke up to find that my limit order was executed at $6.73.  I think it did it right.   ;D


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: M4v3R on January 14, 2012, 12:44:24 PM
Looks to me like he bought.

Ok, I am oficially blind.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 14, 2012, 06:42:51 PM
damn i was shorting .......

Hehe, I went long again.   ;D


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 14, 2012, 08:56:32 PM

I went 10:1 long again with a couple bitcoins when there was a really tight spread under $6.75.  If that works out it'll be my 3rd profitable long position in 24hrs.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: cypherdoc on January 14, 2012, 08:58:50 PM

I went 10:1 long again with a couple bitcoins when there was a really tight spread under $6.75.  If that works out it'll be my 3rd profitable long position in 24hrs.

Bears scramble for cover as Proudhon leverages up. :D


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: ineededausername on January 15, 2012, 04:18:53 PM
i am waiting for good wife fanbots
http://48.imagebam.com/download/T-dah5CuyFX10pcpGDCePg/16993/169920905/Bitcoinica_1326643848820.png
if the grizzly god help me on this one i will have to sacrifice a virgin or something

You'll get wiped out with 50% chance if we go to 7.2.  You should reconsider.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 15, 2012, 04:51:04 PM
I guess I'll show my hand too, then.

http://i42.tinypic.com/2co2d0i.png


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: xepera on January 15, 2012, 04:57:08 PM
I guess I'll show my hand too, then.

http://i42.tinypic.com/2co2d0i.png
I don' get this one - what do you want to achieve with this order?

I have to state that i am kind of new to this hole bitcoinica thing (not even registered yet), so maybe you want to explain this to me.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 15, 2012, 04:58:16 PM
I guess I'll show my hand too, then.

http://i42.tinypic.com/2co2d0i.png
I don' get this one - what do you want to achieve with this order?

I have to state that i am kind of new to this hole bitcoinica thing (not even registered yet), so maybe you want to explain this to me.

I'm going to buy 100,000 BTC when the price reaches $6.99.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: xepera on January 15, 2012, 05:04:09 PM
That was clear to me. But why you want to buy at 6.99 and not at 6.90 (i.e.)?


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 15, 2012, 05:08:10 PM
That was clear to me. But why you want to buy at 6.99 and not at 6.90 (i.e.)?

Hmmm, good point.  I changed my mind.  I'm going short:

http://i39.tinypic.com/34sjsq9.png


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: xepera on January 15, 2012, 05:13:32 PM
Selling 25 Million BTC of maybe 8 Millions (don't nail me on that) calculated by today? Haha... ;D


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: waspoza on January 15, 2012, 05:16:29 PM
Selling 25 Million BTC of maybe 8 Millions (don't nail me on that) calculated by today? Haha... ;D
He used big leverage obviously.  ;)


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 15, 2012, 05:18:08 PM
I hope everyone got the point of my little demonstration...

i am waiting for good wife fanbots
http://48.imagebam.com/download/T-dah5CuyFX10pcpGDCePg/16993/169920905/Bitcoinica_1326643848820.png
if the grizzly god help me on this one i will have to sacrifice a virgin or something


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: cypherdoc on January 15, 2012, 05:18:42 PM
That was clear to me. But why you want to buy at 6.99 and not at 6.90 (i.e.)?

Hmmm, good point.  I changed my mind.  I'm going short:

http://i39.tinypic.com/34sjsq9.png

LOL!  i've come to like you more and more with each passing comment.  at least you have a sense of humor unlike some of the bad bears around here.

point being, these screen shots are worthless since the display can be manipulated. 

"myself" above, didn't even bother to remove the "You don't have any active positions yet.  Why not place an order now?"


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 15, 2012, 07:41:17 PM
That was clear to me. But why you want to buy at 6.99 and not at 6.90 (i.e.)?

Hmmm, good point.  I changed my mind.  I'm going short:

http://i39.tinypic.com/34sjsq9.png

lol, he's a bear now again.  like a light switch, this guy.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 15, 2012, 07:42:17 PM
"myself" above, didn't even bother to remove the "You don't have any active positions yet.  Why not place an order now?"
why i should remove that ?
Maybe change your order?  You REALLY don't think it will go higher than $7 ????????


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 15, 2012, 07:46:46 PM
The point, in case anyone missed it, is that that's probably not a real order.  Anyone can place limit and stop order for any amount they want whether they've got money in their account to back the order.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: teflone on January 15, 2012, 07:51:24 PM
The point, in case anyone missed it, is that that's probably not a real order.  Anyone can place limit and stop order for any amount they want whether they've got money in their account to back the order.

hahaha, I just thought you were a mad fast photoshopper...


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 15, 2012, 11:02:03 PM
myself, did you short?


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 15, 2012, 11:08:55 PM
Maybe change your order?  You REALLY don't think it will go higher than $7 ????????
not today or tomorrow

LOL, good thing your post included no dates, and only the relative terms "today" and "tomorrow"


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 15, 2012, 11:14:28 PM

Pics or it didn't happen!  XD


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 15, 2012, 11:23:28 PM
temthaw dont worry  the top buy is at 7.1  :D

Is that today?  Or tomorrow??   ;D


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: legitnick on January 15, 2012, 11:25:24 PM
https://i.imgur.com/eSboC.png


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 15, 2012, 11:31:24 PM

You're doing it...right.  I should have hung onto my long at $6.38.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Mushoz on January 16, 2012, 12:40:16 AM
Lot of 6.9x action on goxlive! Coming back down up. :D


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: bittenbob on January 16, 2012, 12:48:15 AM
Lot of 6.9x action on goxlive! Coming back down. :D

Seems like its back above 7 to me  :o


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: legitnick on January 16, 2012, 04:14:39 AM
https://i.imgur.com/SjwEi.png


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: bittenbob on January 16, 2012, 04:48:54 AM
So since no one else can go long on bitcoinica I would say we are going to break 7.20.

Either that or Zhou is going to dump a bunch of coins to liquidate those longs (aka bucket shop).


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 17, 2012, 03:46:41 PM
@proudhon time to get a new avatar ?
https://i.imgur.com/TpVjm.gif  ;D

I should probably sell all my bitcoins, huh?


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 17, 2012, 03:50:33 PM
I should probably sell all my bitcoins, huh?
plz dont do that

Too late.   ;D

http://i43.tinypic.com/r1eluw.png


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 17, 2012, 07:52:59 PM
you did liquidate late but you did it  ;D now is way down

Looks like I made the right choice.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 17, 2012, 07:54:11 PM
you did liquidate late but you did it  ;D now is way down

Looks like I made the right choice.

I'm holding my long position til triple digits  ;D


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 17, 2012, 07:58:43 PM
you did liquidate late but you did it  ;D now is way down

Looks like I made the right choice.
nope i dint last night i liquidated my old position and this morning i did open another, this morning i did lost ~0.10 per bitcoin compared to the old position, that is like 500$

Yes, I made the right choice.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 17, 2012, 08:03:49 PM
yes u did but u and i get the same problem like me you dint made the optimal choice, for me was keeping the position open and for you was to close that when the market was above 7

At least it's clear enough where we're headed.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 17, 2012, 08:05:34 PM
yes u did but u and i get the same problem like me you dint made the optimal choice, for me was keeping the position open and for you was to close that when the market was above 7

At least it's clear enough where we're headed.

Up?


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 17, 2012, 08:13:40 PM
yes u did but u and i get the same problem like me you dint made the optimal choice, for me was keeping the position open and for you was to close that when the market was above 7

At least it's clear enough where we're headed.

Up?

I don't think the price is going up.  I've put bids in between $3 and $4 $6.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: notme on January 17, 2012, 08:59:18 PM
yes u did but u and i get the same problem like me you dint made the optimal choice, for me was keeping the position open and for you was to close that when the market was above 7

At least it's clear enough where we're headed.

Up?

I don't think the price is going up.  I've put bids in between $3 and $4 $6.

You might catch the $6 if you get lucky.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 17, 2012, 09:01:49 PM
yes u did but u and i get the same problem like me you dint made the optimal choice, for me was keeping the position open and for you was to close that when the market was above 7

At least it's clear enough where we're headed.

Up?

I don't think the price is going up.  I've put bids in between $3 and $4 $6.

You might catch the $6 if you get lucky.

Like I'm saying.  I really think the long term upward trend is too strong for there to be any more sub 6 prices.  Maybe.  I'm prepared to go as low as $5.  Any lower than that and I will have to add to my margin to prevent Zhoutonging  :o :-[ >:(


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: bitwiz on January 17, 2012, 09:12:07 PM
just a feeling from a noob but I think we will see an other up for a few cents....

I am playing long ...

(with my playmoney and this is less then 10 cheezies)

EDIT:
oh oh looks like i lost 2 burgers .... maybe I am just bad at gambling, lol.

How do you biggies all handle this up and down with real money? I mean its funny to loose or win a few bucks but if you do more then a few grand... wow that would mentally kill me.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 17, 2012, 09:59:30 PM
https://i.imgur.com/i5eEZ.jpg current position i did put some black....  u know  ;D

lol smartass


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 17, 2012, 10:01:51 PM
just a feeling from a noob but I think we will see an other up for a few cents....

I am playing long ...

(with my playmoney and this is less then 10 cheezies)

EDIT:
oh oh looks like i lost 2 burgers .... maybe I am just bad at gambling, lol.

How do you biggies all handle this up and down with real money? I mean its funny to loose or win a few bucks but if you do more then a few grand... wow that would mentally kill me.

I'm no "biggie" myself... I just bet with some coins I mined and then a very small amount of dollars from my Pell grant... (think two orders of magnitude less than the "biggies")... And I will still cry (on the inside) if I lose it all, because I could have used that money for cheeseburgers and tacos  :D


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 17, 2012, 11:01:06 PM

Bitcoinica - Why we can't have nice things since 2011!


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 18, 2012, 01:22:35 AM
i dont know about u but i am in again :) joined at 5.9

I'm in again on MtGox.  I'm staying far, far away from bitcoinica.  In any event, this shakedown increased my overall BTC position by quite a lot.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: pirateat40 on January 18, 2012, 05:47:45 PM
I'm now safe to say that yesterday was the most rewarding day for me since my very first Bitcoin. :)


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: pirateat40 on January 18, 2012, 11:38:11 PM
low volume is low .... wall at 5.7 wall at 5.9  party time ?

Most of the walls are fake.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: pirateat40 on January 18, 2012, 11:58:05 PM
low volume is low .... wall at 5.7 wall at 5.9  party time ?

Most of the walls are fake.
look now

http://screenshotuploader.com/i/ex39POwL6Ze.png
That's all for now.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: pirateat40 on January 19, 2012, 12:04:29 AM
i was look/talking at the wall at zoom 1, bears dont have the push power to go at 5.50 today

I expect a full apology when we hit $5.  Likewise, I'll do the same if this doesn't play out.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: gewure on January 19, 2012, 10:31:18 PM
second day in a row where you can hardly hit the buy button cause he stays in that *-mood all the time


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: legitnick on January 19, 2012, 10:32:45 PM
Any donations to the nick is broke foundation?  :-[


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: notme on January 19, 2012, 11:19:01 PM
i hope you ppl dint go long after 6.25  ;D

Nope... 6.19 with plenty of room to buy more if it goes below that (and the bullseye goes away).


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: notme on January 22, 2012, 04:25:40 PM
now the question is: the wall at 6 is fake ?

A bull just reared his horns.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 22, 2012, 05:18:17 PM
now the question is: the wall at 6 is fake ?

A bull just reared his horns.

Hardly.  Here's my best guess at what's going to happen for the foreseeable future.  We'll continue on a slow downtrend for several weeks, possibly dipping down into the $4 range.  Despite the downward trending price, the amount of money on the bids side will continue to grow.  I think the downward price movement, combined with so far unprecedented amounts of money prepared to buy is going to act like a very tough spring.  When the spring is released the price will very quickly pass resistance levels and reach new 2012 highs (I doubt very much the price will pass all time highs).


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: notme on January 22, 2012, 05:57:28 PM
Hardly.  Here's my best guess at what's going to happen for the foreseeable future.  We'll continue on a slow downtrend for several weeks, possibly dipping down into the $4 range.  Despite the downward trending price, the amount of money on the bids side will continue to grow.  I think the downward price movement, combined with so far unprecedented amounts of money prepared to buy is going to act like a very tough spring.  When the spring is released the price will very quickly pass resistance levels and reach new 2012 highs (I doubt very much the price will pass all time highs).

I see no reason why we should go that low.  I doubt we'll go under 5.8.  I see no immediate reason for a decline even this far, but wouldn't count it out either.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: naima53 on January 25, 2012, 03:20:16 PM
i did forget to update this, i am shorting, if anyone wants to join me i have to say this; dont short on bitcoinica * is needed there so bulls cant leverage buy  ;D
I have had time to buy couple of days ago. On an extent Approximately 5... 7 minutes were not *  :D And right after it the reserve has ended... Has sufficed on 5... 7 minutes of the continuous purchase  ;D


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 25, 2012, 07:04:09 PM

WTF is wrong with you people?


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Costia on January 25, 2012, 07:05:34 PM
WTF  :o


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: N12 on January 25, 2012, 07:07:22 PM
It’s shopped, I don’t see any * on Bitcoinica.

There’s still something wrong with lots of people here, though.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on January 25, 2012, 07:11:02 PM
It’s shopped, I don’t see any * on Bitcoinica.

There’s still something wrong with lots of people here, though.

No, buying has definitely been getting the starfish in the past 30 minutes.  It's there right now.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: N12 on January 25, 2012, 07:20:11 PM
It’s shopped, I don’t see any * on Bitcoinica.

There’s still something wrong with lots of people here, though.

No, buying has definitely been getting the starfish in the past 30 minutes.  It's there right now.
WHAT’S WRONG WITH THOSE PEOPLE MAN

THE FUCK IS WRONG WITH THEM?


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Elwar on January 25, 2012, 07:50:35 PM
I must have missed this.

What does the * mean?


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Eveofwar on January 25, 2012, 07:54:39 PM
I must have missed this.

What does the * mean?
means that bitcoinica dont have USD/BTC(if is on buy that means USD) to open NEW positions, seams allot of ppl did go long and used all the money reserved by bitcoinica  

There was a * on the sell side for just a few moments.  A star on both sides.

Sounds to me like funds are lacking in BOTH departments.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Eveofwar on January 25, 2012, 07:59:08 PM
There was a * on the sell side for just a few moments.

Sounds to me like funds are lacking in BOTH departments.
no that is mathematically impossible, you get * on both sides when bitcoinica cant connect to mtgox API, so users can exploit this and open positions against bitcoinica

I stand corrected; still scary to see happen.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Vandroiy on January 26, 2012, 12:05:03 PM

I saw it happen, logged in with my asterisk monitoring account... and LOL'd.

Bitcoinica traders. The guys who just never cease to amaze me.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: pirateat40 on January 26, 2012, 08:24:53 PM
http://screenshotuploader.com/i/01/yWHX1RQm0.png


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: copumpkin on January 26, 2012, 08:25:57 PM

'shopped. I can tell from the pixel at (3,5).


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: BTCurious on January 26, 2012, 08:30:41 PM
Damn guy, you're a sharp spotter there!


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: phorensic on January 26, 2012, 08:32:48 PM
That's a screenshot from the future.  Where BTC bubbled to over 9,000 and then popped.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: BTCurious on January 26, 2012, 08:35:51 PM
That's a screenshot from the future.  Where BTC bubbled to over 9,000 and then popped.
That's why there's a minus. It's because it went back in time.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on February 04, 2012, 02:01:49 PM

Yawn.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: naima53 on February 05, 2012, 02:16:54 PM
is about time to test the 5.7 wall  ;D
wall 5.6 now ... soon ...


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: proudhon on February 05, 2012, 02:21:19 PM
is about time to test the 5.7 wall  ;D
wall 5.6 now ... soon ...

Soon what?


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: rampone on February 05, 2012, 02:37:12 PM
Hey, I kind of built that multiple 903 bitcoin wall. Was a bot or a buyer going nutz. I just move my 100 wall up and a bit up and the 900 btc buy went over it a bit. and so on. Then insta takedown, or he forgot for some time. I do not know if the orderbook lagged, or it was real. An i do not if it was a real person or a bot gone nutz.  either way.... had maaaaa fun


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: naima53 on February 05, 2012, 02:40:21 PM
is about time to test the 5.7 wall  ;D
wall 5.6 now ... soon ...

Soon what?
try beat the 5.6 (I think)


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: Crypt_Current on February 06, 2012, 12:30:28 AM
savethedqay.com is up

https://i.imgur.com/WmCzk.jpg

playing "protect the money" = not fun  >:(


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: byronbb on February 06, 2012, 09:35:50 PM
Spread is super tight at the moment. Keep seeing double star-fish every few minutes though.


Title: Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica
Post by: byronbb on February 07, 2012, 06:01:54 AM
i am out have a nice day  ;D

https://i.imgur.com/c601z.jpg