Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: zby on January 28, 2012, 08:06:06 AM



Title: Bearish and bullish threads on this page - new indicator
Post by: zby on January 28, 2012, 08:06:06 AM
A new, contrarian indicator.

Currently in the first 20 threads on this page there are no bullish threads and about 5 bearish threads.


Title: Re: Bearish and bullish threads on this page - new indicator
Post by: N12 on January 28, 2012, 08:12:27 AM
Care to list what you think of as bearish ones?


Title: Re: Bearish and bullish threads on this page - new indicator
Post by: zby on January 28, 2012, 08:37:43 AM
I am a bit lazy - so I am now changing the range to 10 first threads.

The obviously bearish ones:

Smart Money has left the building… Have you?
shit, shit, shit

No obviously bullish threads, but if the date was not sooo far away one could count "Block Reward changing to 25 BTC in November-December 2012".

At the 12 position was another bear: KNIFE IMMINENT


Title: Re: Bearish and bullish threads on this page - new indicator
Post by: old_engineer on January 28, 2012, 09:00:09 AM
Your indicator is basically a poll of what the top 10 posters think.  Why not add a poll to this thread and just ask what people think?  I think you'll get better data because only really chatty posters start new threads when there are several other relevant threads in the top 10. 


Title: Re: Bearish and bullish threads on this page - new indicator
Post by: adamstgBit on January 28, 2012, 09:23:06 AM
maybe you should look at the chart.

dose that look baerish to you  :D

http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/chart.png?width=940.1666660000001&m=mtgoxUSD&SubmitButton=Draw&r=5&i=&c=0&s=&e=&Prev=&Next=&t=S&b=&a1=&m1=10&a2=&m2=25&x=0&i1=&i2=&i3=&i4=&v=1&cv=0&ps=0&l=0&p=0&


Title: Re: Bearish and bullish threads on this page - new indicator
Post by: chsados on January 28, 2012, 09:25:00 AM

that was unexpected


Title: Re: Bearish and bullish threads on this page - new indicator
Post by: N12 on January 28, 2012, 09:29:50 AM
Good thing I switched back to bull and took my BTC profits.

Have you?


Title: Re: Bearish and bullish threads on this page - new indicator
Post by: chsados on January 28, 2012, 09:31:42 AM
still holding out...


Title: Re: Bearish and bullish threads on this page - new indicator
Post by: adamstgBit on January 28, 2012, 09:35:04 AM
i cough the knife last night bought 10,000BTC at 5.20 8)

hehehe

not!  but i did grab a few at 5.30ish

we are going to steam past 7$ over the weekend!  ;D ;D ;D


Title: Re: Bearish and bullish threads on this page - new indicator
Post by: zby on January 28, 2012, 09:53:40 AM

Didn't I say contrarian indicator?  This shows that it worked this time :)


Title: Re: Bearish and bullish threads on this page - new indicator
Post by: N12 on January 28, 2012, 09:54:58 AM
Yep, still room up. Bitcoinica is confirming by not showing a *.


Title: Re: Bearish and bullish threads on this page - new indicator
Post by: proudhon on January 28, 2012, 12:11:48 PM
we are going to steam past 7$ over the weekend!  ;D ;D ;D

Oh god.


Title: Re: Bearish and bullish threads on this page - new indicator
Post by: rebuilder on January 28, 2012, 02:27:18 PM
we are going to steam past 7$ over the weekend!  ;D ;D ;D

Oh god.

You don't get it, proudhon. We're going so high so fast, the spike will rip a hole in the space/time continuum and all our buys will get executed in 2009, retroactively skyrocketing the price to infinity.


Title: Re: Bearish and bullish threads on this page - new indicator
Post by: proudhon on January 28, 2012, 02:31:51 PM
we are going to steam past 7$ over the weekend!  ;D ;D ;D

Oh god.

You don't get it, proudhon. We're going so high so fast, the spike will rip a hole in the space/time continuum and all our buys will get executed in 2009, retroactively skyrocketing the price to infinity.

Fuck yea!


Title: Re: Bearish and bullish threads on this page - new indicator
Post by: sadpandatech on January 28, 2012, 03:02:21 PM
I wouldn't get too excited. We are still just tussling about with the same $2M that was injected between Dec. 30 and Jan. 5. Best possible case IMO is to start bumping $7.20 again and demonstrate a strong bearish consensus in the Speculation threads... Perhaps then Whale will come in and spend another $1M or so.

I was going to toss some minnow sized buys in there at 5.32. And then I saw;
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-7l52AhkrazA/TihA-DKlzTI/AAAAAAAAAOo/Gv2hPvgquj8/s1600/shark-week.png


Title: Re: Bearish and bullish threads on this page - new indicator
Post by: NamelessOne on January 28, 2012, 03:03:36 PM
Toss in some minnow buys now instead!  :D


Title: Re: Bearish and bullish threads on this page - new indicator
Post by: elux on January 28, 2012, 03:07:27 PM
We're going so high so fast, the spike will rip a hole in the space/time continuum and all our buys will get executed in 2009, retroactively skyrocketing the price to infinity.

Behold, the quintessence of Bitcointalk Speculation. :)


Title: Re: Bearish and bullish threads on this page - new indicator
Post by: rebuilder on January 28, 2012, 03:13:33 PM
Look for: Bumping $7.20, low volume, low volatility, bearish sentiment... In the dead of night.

Which time zone?


Title: Re: Bearish and bullish threads on this page - new indicator
Post by: naima53 on January 28, 2012, 03:28:18 PM
I want a little break the silence ... gut feeling tells me that it will increase ...