Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: ineededausername on February 16, 2012, 09:55:59 PM



Title: I'm calling a bottom too
Post by: ineededausername on February 16, 2012, 09:55:59 PM
http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/chart.png?width=940&m=mtgoxUSD&SubmitButton=Draw&r=150&i=&c=0&s=&e=&Prev=&Next=&t=S&b=&a1=&m1=10&a2=&m2=25&x=0&i1=MACD&i2=RSI&i3=&i4=&v=1&cv=0&ps=0&l=1&p=0&

Major factors
1. The daily RSI has almost hit 30.  This has happened very rarely in the past, and it always leads to a move up!  
2. Depth actually looks pretty healthy right now, contrary to statements by people like Edward.
3. We just hit a major support level -- the 3.8-4.2 range.  

Smaller factors
1. Size of this correction is roughly 50%, important Fibonacci retracement level. (7.2->3.88)
2. Looks exactly like Spring '11.
3. Everyone's bearish on the forums :o
4. The big sellers have probably run out of BTC.
5. MACD hit its own long-term support.


Title: Re: I'm calling a bottom too
Post by: Oldminer on February 16, 2012, 10:02:14 PM
I think we could see a short term move up but I predict it will happen after the weekend (and after a weekend dip) if it happens at all. Longer term the outlook still looks bleak (in my opinion).


Title: Re: I'm calling a bottom too
Post by: notme on February 16, 2012, 10:04:59 PM
I agree, but I believe retracements are calculated with the start of the rally as the base.  So with the current price of 4.28, we are at 56.15%.  That also makes 50% $4.6 and 61.8% is $3.9864.  $3.88 would be 63.8%.


Title: Re: I'm calling a bottom too
Post by: Bro on February 16, 2012, 10:07:47 PM
Nice Fibonacci bro

I think so too btw.


Title: Re: I'm calling a bottom too
Post by: ineededausername on February 16, 2012, 10:08:45 PM
I believe this is called a "bull trap."

I hope you meant "bear trap," because bull traps don't go down.....


Title: Re: I'm calling a bottom too
Post by: adamstgBit on February 16, 2012, 10:32:58 PM
I believe this is called a "bull trap."

I hope you meant "bear trap," because bull traps don't go down.....

I'm calling it a bull trap because as soon as the price gets high enough it will be zapped with a 6-10k sell off.  Bull. trap.

that was last weeks game


Title: Re: I'm calling a bottom too
Post by: Kluge on February 16, 2012, 10:36:16 PM
Liquidated my short. Let's go!


Title: Re: I'm calling a bottom too
Post by: Oldminer on February 16, 2012, 10:43:19 PM
I believe this is called a "bull trap."

I hope you meant "bear trap," because bull traps don't go down.....

I'm calling it a bull trap because as soon as the price gets high enough it will be zapped with a 6-10k sell off.  Bull. trap.

Thats Bull Crap  :P


Title: Re: I'm calling a bottom too
Post by: notme on February 16, 2012, 11:01:25 PM
I believe this is called a "bull trap."

I hope you meant "bear trap," because bull traps don't go down.....

I'm calling it a bull trap because as soon as the price gets high enough it will be zapped with a 6-10k sell off.  Bull. trap.

Thats Bull Crap  :P

Oh no!  A 10k sell off all the way down to .... $4.1.


Title: Re: I'm calling a bottom too
Post by: N12 on February 16, 2012, 11:14:16 PM
Let me add a few things.

  • historical volumes
  • 6 closed red daily candles consecutively
  • S3052 subscribers still waiting for a low which will not come (at least not this weekend)

ENJOY THE WEEKEND RALLY, BROS!


Title: Re: I'm calling a bottom too
Post by: proudhon on February 16, 2012, 11:47:58 PM
Let me add a few things.

  • historical volumes
  • 6 closed red daily candles consecutively
  • S3052 subscribers still waiting for a low which will not come (at least not this weekend)

ENJOY THE WEEKEND RALLY, BROS!

I've got my bitcoins.  Let's go.


Title: Re: I'm calling a bottom too
Post by: N12 on February 16, 2012, 11:55:40 PM
I've got my bitcoins.  Let's go.
Weekend, trading back in the mid 5s: "Everything went better than expected." ;D


Title: Re: I'm calling a bottom too
Post by: SkRRJyTC on February 16, 2012, 11:58:24 PM
I've got my bitcoins.  Let's go.
Weekend, trading back in the mid 5s: "Everything went better than expected." ;D

Mid 5's = Everything went better than expected???

I'd say over 7 = Everything went better than expected!


Title: Re: I'm calling a bottom too
Post by: adamstgBit on February 17, 2012, 12:03:43 AM
I've got my bitcoins.  Let's go.
Weekend, trading back in the mid 5s: "Everything went better than expected." ;D

that would be impressive.. i expect a high of 4.8 and cash below 4$ this weekend



Title: Re: I'm calling a bottom too
Post by: Kluge on February 17, 2012, 01:40:29 AM
Liquidated my short. Let's go!
Weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee!


Title: Re: I'm calling a bottom too
Post by: ineededausername on February 17, 2012, 01:50:43 AM
Up we go! :D


Title: Re: I'm calling a bottom too
Post by: Koekiemonster on February 17, 2012, 01:54:36 AM
There's just very little ask depth to cover the demand of mid/longtermbulls who shorted the way down and are planning to reverse their positions.

Curious to see what will happen. :)


Title: Re: I'm calling a bottom too
Post by: proudhon on February 17, 2012, 01:56:18 AM
There's just very little ask depth to cover the demand of mid/longtermbulls who shorted the way down and are planning to reverse their positions.

Curious to see what will happen. :)

I'm going to go out on a limb here and guess that a few of those people aren't going to get back all the bitcoins they started with.


Title: Re: I'm calling a bottom too
Post by: Koekiemonster on February 17, 2012, 02:00:10 AM
I think panic buying is a shitty term, but it could be applicable the upcoming 24h..


Title: Re: I'm calling a bottom too
Post by: thegato on February 17, 2012, 02:01:27 AM
let's see what happens...


Title: Re: I'm calling a bottom too
Post by: proudhon on February 17, 2012, 02:10:06 AM
I guess everyone's watching the show...