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Author Topic: I'm calling a bottom too  (Read 2170 times)
ineededausername (OP)
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February 16, 2012, 09:55:59 PM
 #1



Major factors
1. The daily RSI has almost hit 30.  This has happened very rarely in the past, and it always leads to a move up!  
2. Depth actually looks pretty healthy right now, contrary to statements by people like Edward.
3. We just hit a major support level -- the 3.8-4.2 range.  

Smaller factors
1. Size of this correction is roughly 50%, important Fibonacci retracement level. (7.2->3.88)
2. Looks exactly like Spring '11.
3. Everyone's bearish on the forums Shocked
4. The big sellers have probably run out of BTC.
5. MACD hit its own long-term support.

(BFL)^2 < 0
Oldminer
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February 16, 2012, 10:02:14 PM
 #2

I think we could see a short term move up but I predict it will happen after the weekend (and after a weekend dip) if it happens at all. Longer term the outlook still looks bleak (in my opinion).

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February 16, 2012, 10:04:59 PM
 #3

I agree, but I believe retracements are calculated with the start of the rally as the base.  So with the current price of 4.28, we are at 56.15%.  That also makes 50% $4.6 and 61.8% is $3.9864.  $3.88 would be 63.8%.

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Bro
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February 16, 2012, 10:07:47 PM
 #4

Nice Fibonacci bro

I think so too btw.
ineededausername (OP)
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February 16, 2012, 10:08:45 PM
 #5

I believe this is called a "bull trap."

I hope you meant "bear trap," because bull traps don't go down.....

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adamstgBit
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February 16, 2012, 10:32:58 PM
 #6

I believe this is called a "bull trap."

I hope you meant "bear trap," because bull traps don't go down.....

I'm calling it a bull trap because as soon as the price gets high enough it will be zapped with a 6-10k sell off.  Bull. trap.

that was last weeks game

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February 16, 2012, 10:36:16 PM
 #7

Liquidated my short. Let's go!
Oldminer
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February 16, 2012, 10:43:19 PM
 #8

I believe this is called a "bull trap."

I hope you meant "bear trap," because bull traps don't go down.....

I'm calling it a bull trap because as soon as the price gets high enough it will be zapped with a 6-10k sell off.  Bull. trap.

Thats Bull Crap  Tongue

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February 16, 2012, 11:01:25 PM
 #9

I believe this is called a "bull trap."

I hope you meant "bear trap," because bull traps don't go down.....

I'm calling it a bull trap because as soon as the price gets high enough it will be zapped with a 6-10k sell off.  Bull. trap.

Thats Bull Crap  Tongue

Oh no!  A 10k sell off all the way down to .... $4.1.

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N12
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February 16, 2012, 11:14:16 PM
 #10

Let me add a few things.

  • historical volumes
  • 6 closed red daily candles consecutively
  • S3052 subscribers still waiting for a low which will not come (at least not this weekend)

ENJOY THE WEEKEND RALLY, BROS!
proudhon
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February 16, 2012, 11:47:58 PM
 #11

Let me add a few things.

  • historical volumes
  • 6 closed red daily candles consecutively
  • S3052 subscribers still waiting for a low which will not come (at least not this weekend)

ENJOY THE WEEKEND RALLY, BROS!

I've got my bitcoins.  Let's go.

Bitcoin Fact: the price of bitcoin will not be greater than $70k for more than 25 consecutive days at any point in the rest of recorded human history.
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February 16, 2012, 11:55:40 PM
 #12

I've got my bitcoins.  Let's go.
Weekend, trading back in the mid 5s: "Everything went better than expected." Grin
SkRRJyTC
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February 16, 2012, 11:58:24 PM
 #13

I've got my bitcoins.  Let's go.
Weekend, trading back in the mid 5s: "Everything went better than expected." Grin

Mid 5's = Everything went better than expected???

I'd say over 7 = Everything went better than expected!
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February 17, 2012, 12:03:43 AM
 #14

I've got my bitcoins.  Let's go.
Weekend, trading back in the mid 5s: "Everything went better than expected." Grin

that would be impressive.. i expect a high of 4.8 and cash below 4$ this weekend


Kluge
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February 17, 2012, 01:40:29 AM
 #15

Liquidated my short. Let's go!
Weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee!
ineededausername (OP)
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February 17, 2012, 01:50:43 AM
 #16

Up we go! Cheesy

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Koekiemonster
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February 17, 2012, 01:54:36 AM
 #17

There's just very little ask depth to cover the demand of mid/longtermbulls who shorted the way down and are planning to reverse their positions.

Curious to see what will happen. Smiley

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proudhon
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February 17, 2012, 01:56:18 AM
 #18

There's just very little ask depth to cover the demand of mid/longtermbulls who shorted the way down and are planning to reverse their positions.

Curious to see what will happen. Smiley

I'm going to go out on a limb here and guess that a few of those people aren't going to get back all the bitcoins they started with.

Bitcoin Fact: the price of bitcoin will not be greater than $70k for more than 25 consecutive days at any point in the rest of recorded human history.
Koekiemonster
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February 17, 2012, 02:00:10 AM
 #19

I think panic buying is a shitty term, but it could be applicable the upcoming 24h..

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February 17, 2012, 02:01:27 AM
 #20

let's see what happens...
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