Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: v0yager on January 03, 2015, 10:44:38 PM



Title: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: v0yager on January 03, 2015, 10:44:38 PM
Sadly,nothing can stop Bitcoin from dropping even $300 is super low?

So seem we are going up hit a new-low one by one. :-\


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: LOBSTER on January 03, 2015, 10:45:39 PM
A poll would be nice ;)

But I assume no. 250$ is the floor.


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: bigtimespaghetti on January 03, 2015, 10:48:22 PM
A poll would be nice ;)

But I assume no. 250$ is the floor.

I'd agree, at least for a medium term bottom.


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: Voltarius on January 03, 2015, 10:55:31 PM
It seems, yes. Bitcoin can offer great and profitable oportunities but i'm not in it just for that.
I'm in it for the concept and the fact that I believe it is a great new innovative currency that has the power to change the world.


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: riiiiising on January 03, 2015, 11:00:48 PM
Most likely yes, but not today. I wonder though if hitting $266 will have a significant psychological impact on the markets at this point, since it's  pretty clear that we're still stuck in this long bear trend.

Bitcoin's star is fading, and let's face it, there just really isn't much to be excited about right now. Sentiment is low. When [large company x] accepts bitcoin, it's like, ho hum, no big deal. In 2013 that would be huge news!

Now it's like, the Twinklevoss twins are still working on their ETF. Yes, any day now...

Personally I could give a shit about a bitcoin ETF, so I'm pretty sure nobody else in the general public cares either. That's where we're at.


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: zeroday on January 03, 2015, 11:11:04 PM
A poll would be nice ;)

But I assume no. 250$ is the floor.

May be $240


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: sgbett on January 03, 2015, 11:26:08 PM
Most likely yes, but not today. I wonder though if hitting $266 will have a significant psychological impact on the markets at this point, since it's  pretty clear that we're still stuck in this long bear trend.

Bitcoin's star is fading, and let's face it, there just really isn't much to be excited about right now. Sentiment is low. When [large company x] accepts bitcoin, it's like, ho hum, no big deal. In 2013 that would be huge news!

Now it's like, the Twinklevoss twins are still working on their ETF. Yes, any day now...

Personally I could give a shit about a bitcoin ETF, so I'm pretty sure nobody else in the general public cares either. That's where we're at.

definitely, whenever I think something, I always assume *everybody* thinks exactly the same as me! the world is so confusing to me if I consider any other possibilities!  ::)


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: celebreze32 on January 03, 2015, 11:27:46 PM
Most likely yes, but not today. I wonder though if hitting $266 will have a significant psychological impact on the markets at this point, since it's  pretty clear that we're still stuck in this long bear trend.

Bitcoin's star is fading, and let's face it, there just really isn't much to be excited about right now. Sentiment is low. When [large company x] accepts bitcoin, it's like, ho hum, no big deal. In 2013 that would be huge news!

Now it's like, the Twinklevoss twins are still working on their ETF. Yes, any day now...

Personally I could give a shit about a bitcoin ETF, so I'm pretty sure nobody else in the general public cares either. That's where we're at.

definitely, whenever I think something, I always assume *everybody* thinks exactly the same as me! the world is so confusing to me if I consider any other possibilities!  ::)

What do you think might happen to bitcoin's price in the coming week?


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: Stratobitz on January 03, 2015, 11:29:51 PM
I'm going to say it's likely we will see close to $100. However I see this as something that will likely happen longer term - perhaps in the next 12-18 months. Not something that will happen tomorrow.

Strato


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: riiiiising on January 03, 2015, 11:34:58 PM
Most likely yes, but not today. I wonder though if hitting $266 will have a significant psychological impact on the markets at this point, since it's  pretty clear that we're still stuck in this long bear trend.

Bitcoin's star is fading, and let's face it, there just really isn't much to be excited about right now. Sentiment is low. When [large company x] accepts bitcoin, it's like, ho hum, no big deal. In 2013 that would be huge news!

Now it's like, the Twinklevoss twins are still working on their ETF. Yes, any day now...

Personally I could give a shit about a bitcoin ETF, so I'm pretty sure nobody else in the general public cares either. That's where we're at.

definitely, whenever I think something, I always assume *everybody* thinks exactly the same as me! the world is so confusing to me if I consider any other possibilities!  ::)

Aren't you the guy who this morning claimed that the drop was over at $297 and that we'd be $100,000 by the end of this year?

Yeah... don't really care what you have to think.

edit: I found it! This guy claims we'll reach $560,000 by the end of this year!

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=800330.0

lmao... I can't believe that you haven't started posting under a new account yet.


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: sgbett on January 03, 2015, 11:38:42 PM
Most likely yes, but not today. I wonder though if hitting $266 will have a significant psychological impact on the markets at this point, since it's  pretty clear that we're still stuck in this long bear trend.

Bitcoin's star is fading, and let's face it, there just really isn't much to be excited about right now. Sentiment is low. When [large company x] accepts bitcoin, it's like, ho hum, no big deal. In 2013 that would be huge news!

Now it's like, the Twinklevoss twins are still working on their ETF. Yes, any day now...

Personally I could give a shit about a bitcoin ETF, so I'm pretty sure nobody else in the general public cares either. That's where we're at.

definitely, whenever I think something, I always assume *everybody* thinks exactly the same as me! the world is so confusing to me if I consider any other possibilities!  ::)

What do you think might happen to bitcoin's price in the coming week?

I have not the slightest idea! The best suggestion I have heard is that 'max pain' is below the previous ATH where nobody expects it to go, but no lower than $200 because that's where everyone wants to buy back in. So probably it will go there at some point (next week maybe? or maybe not?) but I think it will probably happen fast.

It will do this because of emergent behaviour and not because of any market manipulation. Some will make bank and tell tales of how they are the greatest traders of all time for predicting accurately. Those who lost will keep quiet.

I have no further cash that I wish to (can afford to) risk buying, I continue to hold as instructed by my head.

I still think its a pretty good bet to be long. EV continues to rise, as market price continues to fall. Interesting divergence. I have no idea what it means, if anything.

Or it will bleed, and die. If it does, so be it.


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: lolikop on January 03, 2015, 11:40:21 PM
noone knows if were gonna hit 100-200-300-500-1000-5000 just wait and see what happens


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: riiiiising on January 03, 2015, 11:42:08 PM

What do you think might happen to bitcoin's price in the coming week?

I have not the slightest idea!

The one honest thing sgbett has ever posted with his shill account! He's a "legendary" poster. The only thing legendary is how many times your predictions have been wrong. Is someone paying you per post to pump their holdings?


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: Winner on January 03, 2015, 11:42:42 PM
SHORT answer





yep


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: sgbett on January 03, 2015, 11:47:24 PM
Most likely yes, but not today. I wonder though if hitting $266 will have a significant psychological impact on the markets at this point, since it's  pretty clear that we're still stuck in this long bear trend.

Bitcoin's star is fading, and let's face it, there just really isn't much to be excited about right now. Sentiment is low. When [large company x] accepts bitcoin, it's like, ho hum, no big deal. In 2013 that would be huge news!

Now it's like, the Twinklevoss twins are still working on their ETF. Yes, any day now...

Personally I could give a shit about a bitcoin ETF, so I'm pretty sure nobody else in the general public cares either. That's where we're at.

definitely, whenever I think something, I always assume *everybody* thinks exactly the same as me! the world is so confusing to me if I consider any other possibilities!  ::)

Aren't you the guy who this morning claimed that the drop was over at $297 and that we'd be $100,000 by the end of this year?

Yeah... don't really care what you have to think.

edit: I found it! This guy claims we'll reach $560,000 by the end of this year!

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=800330.0

lmao... I can't believe that you haven't started posting under a new account yet.

then why are you even responding dear chap?

im not posting under a different account because this one works just fine.


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: riiiiising on January 03, 2015, 11:53:14 PM
Most likely yes, but not today. I wonder though if hitting $266 will have a significant psychological impact on the markets at this point, since it's  pretty clear that we're still stuck in this long bear trend.

Bitcoin's star is fading, and let's face it, there just really isn't much to be excited about right now. Sentiment is low. When [large company x] accepts bitcoin, it's like, ho hum, no big deal. In 2013 that would be huge news!

Now it's like, the Twinklevoss twins are still working on their ETF. Yes, any day now...

Personally I could give a shit about a bitcoin ETF, so I'm pretty sure nobody else in the general public cares either. That's where we're at.

definitely, whenever I think something, I always assume *everybody* thinks exactly the same as me! the world is so confusing to me if I consider any other possibilities!  ::)

Aren't you the guy who this morning claimed that the drop was over at $297 and that we'd be $100,000 by the end of this year?

Yeah... don't really care what you have to think.

edit: I found it! This guy claims we'll reach $560,000 by the end of this year!

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=800330.0

lmao... I can't believe that you haven't started posting under a new account yet.

then why are you even responding dear chap?

im not posting under a different account because this one works just fine.

Just to remind some of the newer people here that you're a paid shill, probably by rpitelia (hence the reason you both use your picture as your avatar). I worry that someone may actually be impressionable enough to take your postings seriously.


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: xDan on January 03, 2015, 11:57:35 PM
Just to remind some of the newer people here that you're a paid shill, probably by rpitelia (hence the reason you both use your picture as your avatar). I worry that someone may actually be impressionable enough to take your postings seriously.
Of "riiiising" and sgbett, one of them has been here since 2011, the other, not quite as long.


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: chesthing on January 03, 2015, 11:58:27 PM
Most likely yes, but not today. I wonder though if hitting $266 will have a significant psychological impact on the markets at this point, since it's  pretty clear that we're still stuck in this long bear trend.

Bitcoin's star is fading, and let's face it, there just really isn't much to be excited about right now. Sentiment is low. When [large company x] accepts bitcoin, it's like, ho hum, no big deal. In 2013 that would be huge news!

Now it's like, the Twinklevoss twins are still working on their ETF. Yes, any day now...

Personally I could give a shit about a bitcoin ETF, so I'm pretty sure nobody else in the general public cares either. That's where we're at.

definitely, whenever I think something, I always assume *everybody* thinks exactly the same as me! the world is so confusing to me if I consider any other possibilities!  ::)

Aren't you the guy who this morning claimed that the drop was over at $297 and that we'd be $100,000 by the end of this year?

Yeah... don't really care what you have to think.

edit: I found it! This guy claims we'll reach $560,000 by the end of this year!

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=800330.0

lmao... I can't believe that you haven't started posting under a new account yet.

He's also one of the guys who sent a shitload of money to Mt Gox when the btc price was crashing so hard on that exchange - yeah, he's not the sharpest tool.


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: Addition on January 04, 2015, 12:04:26 AM
$200/BTC?    Some point in the future perhaps, but honestly don't think this session will take us there.

Will probably see support around where the Bearwhale left off around $270-300.

Just posted on another thread - there's are some of us that think a rebound is probable over next 36Hrs?

If we are right, then I guess this would be a great time for speculators to buy, but who knows??


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: sgbett on January 04, 2015, 12:17:43 AM

What do you think might happen to bitcoin's price in the coming week?

I have not the slightest idea!

The one honest thing sgbett has ever posted with his shill account! He's a "legendary" poster. The only thing legendary is how many times your predictions have been wrong. Is someone paying you per post to pump their holdings?

It's what I always post. I don't need yours or anyone else's validation I'm comfortable with my *opinion*, it's nice when people agree. It's better if they can present a solid counter though.

I'm also quite happy to be wrong. It doesn't hurt you know, you'll figure it out one day.

I have an interest in BTC price as a measure of its success in becoming a new currency (insert morpheus/neo meme) of some sort, maybe global or multinational. Maybe it will address some of the deficiencies of the current global financial system, maybe not. As BTC price appreciates I hedge against its collapse by skimming some fiat. So yes, I have a vested interest in the price rising.

I think its a bit silly to think that what *I* say on some internet forum will affect trading of a $4bn market cap 'commodity'. So I find your question interesting. *especially* as you already said what I say isn't important! Do *you* think I'm being paid to pump someone's holdings?

My posts are usually honest, often they include irreverent humour, sometimes I speculate on possible future outcomes. Sometimes I post meme pics, or get involved in a flame war or whatever. Largely this forum is entertainment for me.

This is just honest: I'm a guy OTI with a few bitcoins that wants to see it succeed because I think its cool, I think its generally of net benefit to mankind and because if it goes to say $100k a coin I can buy a Porsche or something, just for a laugh and then put my custom plates (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=401489.msg4351384#msg4351384) on it. Is that so hard to believe?

What's your story?


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: riiiiising on January 04, 2015, 12:26:11 AM
Just to remind some of the newer people here that you're a paid shill, probably by rpitelia (hence the reason you both use your picture as your avatar). I worry that someone may actually be impressionable enough to take your postings seriously.
Of "riiiising" and sgbett, one of them has been here since 2011, the other, not quite as long.

generally people who were correct about the prolonged bear market in 2014 were banned last summer/fall for trying to warn others. something to keep in mind.


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: sgbett on January 04, 2015, 12:27:27 AM
Most likely yes, but not today. I wonder though if hitting $266 will have a significant psychological impact on the markets at this point, since it's  pretty clear that we're still stuck in this long bear trend.

Bitcoin's star is fading, and let's face it, there just really isn't much to be excited about right now. Sentiment is low. When [large company x] accepts bitcoin, it's like, ho hum, no big deal. In 2013 that would be huge news!

Now it's like, the Twinklevoss twins are still working on their ETF. Yes, any day now...

Personally I could give a shit about a bitcoin ETF, so I'm pretty sure nobody else in the general public cares either. That's where we're at.

definitely, whenever I think something, I always assume *everybody* thinks exactly the same as me! the world is so confusing to me if I consider any other possibilities!  ::)

Aren't you the guy who this morning claimed that the drop was over at $297 and that we'd be $100,000 by the end of this year?

Yeah... don't really care what you have to think.

edit: I found it! This guy claims we'll reach $560,000 by the end of this year!

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=800330.0

lmao... I can't believe that you haven't started posting under a new account yet.

He's also one of the guys who sent a shitload of money to Mt Gox when the btc price was crashing so hard on that exchange - yeah, he's not the sharpest tool.

I bought goxcoins for cents on the dollar because it looked to me like there was more value to be had there. When the gox bankruptcy concludes and I get zero I am an idiot. If the bankruptcy concludes and I get more back than what I paid, then I was a shrewd investor.

Once again, I know my downside, I know my stake. I know my risk. Outcome is TBC. You can pretend you *know* the outcome all you want, truth is neither of us do.

Until the wave function collapses the position of the particle remains unknown.

Yeah I'm an idiot.  ::)


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: chesthing on January 04, 2015, 12:31:18 AM
Yes, you are an idiot. At the point you sent Gox money it was painfully obvious what was unfolding.


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: xDan on January 04, 2015, 12:41:44 AM
Just to remind some of the newer people here that you're a paid shill, probably by rpitelia (hence the reason you both use your picture as your avatar). I worry that someone may actually be impressionable enough to take your postings seriously.
Of "riiiising" and sgbett, one of them has been here since 2011, the other, not quite as long.

generally people who were correct about the prolonged bear market in 2014 were banned last summer/fall for trying to warn others. something to keep in mind.
Your sockpuppet brothers who spam "bitcoin is die WARNING!!1" repeatedly in mock concern, perhaps. There are plenty of bears around who present interesting arguments and engage. In fact, there are plenty of trolls still around, but only the more clever and subtle ones who bother to put in some effort.

Why not try a little harder yourself? ;)


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: IMZ on January 04, 2015, 12:43:15 AM
I am surprised that there's so little mention of 'GFC Two.' My mob -- IndiaMikeZulu -- got into cryptos 'cause we see the global economy goin' belly up.

Mark


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: sgbett on January 04, 2015, 12:46:09 AM
Yes, you are an idiot. At the point you sent Gox money it was painfully obvious what was unfolding.

I lost money at bitcoinica too. I bet you saw that coming as well.


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: minerpumpkin on January 04, 2015, 12:46:41 AM
That's the big question, I guess... I'll go with: No. But it could be a close one. I think a magic barrier is going to be $250 and if we break significantly beyond that... who knows. But I don't see anything that warrants a further decline or even failure of Bitcoin as a whole.


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: DonQuijote on January 04, 2015, 12:49:20 AM
I hope!
My $ are waiting haha  ;D


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: vicemayor on January 04, 2015, 03:10:16 AM
Some time this year, I have feeling that bitcoin will trade about on par with US dollar at $100 / BTC. Not just because $100 level serves as a 'psychological' bottom but also because for those who do use it for transactions (and have trouble doing simple mathematical currency conversions), $100/BTC is easy even for Forrest Gump.



Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: smalltimer on January 04, 2015, 03:15:15 AM
in case we hit 200$ it's "good night my darling"


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: Q7 on January 04, 2015, 03:19:47 AM
Practically I'm not that all worried. When the price goes down, that is the opportunity made available for us to grab bitcoin at cheap price. And at cheap price means something which has the potential to be worth a lot someday is now at a bargain price. I remember during early of the year it was like 600+ and I have double thoughts of whether to spend to get it. Now I don't have any of those feelings or hesitation.


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: jacktheking on January 04, 2015, 03:28:55 AM
Might reach.. but chances are.. 250 USD and it will get up again. My view..


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: xcapator on January 04, 2015, 07:55:55 AM
We're not going anywhere lower than this, can't you see this bubble being formed right now? its so obvious that we are going not even to moon, but even further - to the core!


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: piramida on January 04, 2015, 08:41:21 AM
1. if 265 holds, that will be a solid confirmation and an early start of a rally to happen this spring.

2. if 265 breaks, that would also mean that both a multi-year exponential trend *and* the previous rally's ATH are broken, neither of which have happened before, especially at once - and if it does, I would not be surprised to see another 30+% retraction.

My bet, with about 90% confidence, is on the outcome #1, but I won't rule #2 out seeing how thin the market is. Still, my money is at the better probability, so I'm buying here.

But this, for a first time, actually is the defining moment in bitcoin's price history.


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: JimboToronto on January 04, 2015, 09:20:34 AM
it's impossible to hit $200

$200 is not impossible. $10,000 is not impossible.

Short-term improbable for sure.


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: inca on January 04, 2015, 09:25:26 AM
Just to remind some of the newer people here that you're a paid shill, probably by rpitelia (hence the reason you both use your picture as your avatar). I worry that someone may actually be impressionable enough to take your postings seriously.
Of "riiiising" and sgbett, one of them has been here since 2011, the other, not quite as long.

generally people who were correct about the prolonged bear market in 2014 were banned last summer/fall for trying to warn others. something to keep in mind.

Sgbett is a valued poster. You are just a troll alt. Pretty transparent to any reader with half a brain.


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: micky123 on January 04, 2015, 09:28:36 AM
It is extremely difficult to predict the bottom. I am still not sure it has bottomed out! I am even unsure as to why the price is falling, i expected it to rise in the new year but clearly thats not the case. Looks like China has big control over BTC and they are dropping the price to influence panic sells, this is the only thing i can think of atm. I will probably wait for it to hit $250 and then buy some. Anyone know a good place where i can buy BTC for dollars from India, maybe using paypal verified accounts? Localbitcoins are extremely costly for my liking! ;D


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: JimboToronto on January 04, 2015, 09:31:31 AM
Sgbett is a valued poster. You are just a troll alt. Pretty transparent to any reader with half a brain.

Hear hear. Nothing like a small downturn to get the clueless trolls worked up to a lather.

LOL

 :) ;) :D ;D 8)


Title: Re: Are we going to hit $200?
Post by: applesRyummy on January 04, 2015, 05:36:59 PM
1. if 265 holds, that will be a solid confirmation and an early start of a rally to happen this spring.

2. if 265 breaks, that would also mean that both a multi-year exponential trend *and* the previous rally's ATH are broken, neither of which have happened before, especially at once - and if it does, I would not be surprised to see another 30+% retraction.

My bet, with about 90% confidence, is on the outcome #1, but I won't rule #2 out seeing how thin the market is. Still, my money is at the better probability, so I'm buying here.

But this, for a first time, actually is the defining moment in bitcoin's price history.
I personally think it is more likely we will see something closer to option 2. If you look at the volume on bitfinex you will see that it has spiked tremendously. This leads me to believe that they are having to sell large positions that were leveraged. This will potentially create a domino affect that more leveraged positions will be liquidated similar to what we saw a few months ago with several $50+ drops at once over several days