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Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: ElectricMucus on October 21, 2012, 11:19:01 PM



Title: I drew lines on a chart.
Post by: ElectricMucus on October 21, 2012, 11:19:01 PM
I call it the long term trend.


https://i.imgur.com/wise1.png

Discuss.


Title: Re: I drew lines on a chart.
Post by: silverbox on October 21, 2012, 11:20:46 PM
YO!, You shouldn't be giving away such awesomeness for free!!


Title: Re: I drew lines on a chart.
Post by: ElectricMucus on October 21, 2012, 11:36:25 PM
I'm in the mood. :)

Besides I like "stable" prices.


Title: Re: I drew lines on a chart.
Post by: Foxpup on October 22, 2012, 01:29:01 AM
The long term trend consists of straight lines on a linear chart? Guess we're all doomed, then.


Title: Re: I drew lines on a chart.
Post by: mobodick on October 22, 2012, 04:34:03 AM
I think you're one trend behind.


Title: Re: I drew lines on a chart.
Post by: phatsphere on October 22, 2012, 10:08:00 AM
more love for logarithms please!


Title: Re: I drew lines on a chart.
Post by: herzmeister on October 22, 2012, 10:29:32 AM
You drew a lot of lines. Which one is the long term trend?  ???

I still believe there wouldn't have been a crash, at least not that massive, had it not been for the MtGox incident.

I still meet folks who believe "Bitcoin was hacked".

Lots of "investors" back then didn't really understand Bitcoin yet, and just followed the herd when everyone was selling.


Title: Re: I drew lines on a chart.
Post by: Mushoz on October 22, 2012, 11:31:29 AM
Okay, so lots of nice looking lines, but what do they mean? Will the price go up or down in the short/mid/longterm?


Title: Re: I drew lines on a chart.
Post by: ElectricMucus on October 22, 2012, 12:53:18 PM
The long term trend consists of straight lines on a linear chart? Guess we're all doomed, then.

I'm not saying it is forever.


Title: Re: I drew lines on a chart.
Post by: Spekulatius on October 22, 2012, 01:20:22 PM
Seriously Mucus, the only two lines that have some informational value are those two:

http://i47.tinypic.com/s2uus8.png


Title: Re: I drew lines on a chart.
Post by: ElectricMucus on October 22, 2012, 01:34:45 PM
People ask what's a long term trend, here is one... Stop complaining.


Title: Re: I drew lines on a chart.
Post by: Akka on October 22, 2012, 01:41:18 PM
Seriously Mucus, the only two lines that have some informational value are those two:

http://i47.tinypic.com/s2uus8.png

Impressive, so he accidental made 1/3 of his random lines have informational value.

Come on Mucus, you can do better. (or worse, seems like how serious you take this whole 0 evidence speculations).


Title: Re: I drew lines on a chart.
Post by: BitLucky on October 22, 2012, 02:02:56 PM
more love for logarithms please!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8L6Dpq5kY_A


Title: Re: I drew lines on a chart.
Post by: DoomDumas on October 22, 2012, 03:25:23 PM
more love for logarithms please!

Indeed, I go for Log chart too, much more representative of reality !  In linear chart, price doubling looks like bubbles, in fact, on a log chart, price are much more realistic when big varation occurs !

see..

Linear : Wow, a bubble and a crash !!!

http://s13.postimage.org/tppevm9cj/image.jpg (http://postimage.org/image/tppevm9cj/)

Log : Ok, some reasonable variation !!!

http://s15.postimage.org/78f67ocdj/image.jpg (http://postimage.org/image/78f67ocdj/)

Very different !


Title: Re: I drew lines on a chart.
Post by: ElectricMucus on October 22, 2012, 06:51:41 PM
Same method different timeframe.

You all still think of the parallel lines as pointless?

https://i.imgur.com/Ey1BR.png


I realize that "lines on a chart" has limitations, but it isn't supposed to exceed those, at least for me.
For something better there need to be rigorous methods.


Title: Re: I drew lines on a chart.
Post by: mobodick on October 22, 2012, 06:54:15 PM
Same method different timeframe.

You all still think of the parallel lines as pointless?

https://i.imgur.com/Ey1BR.png

Aah, there you go,. latest trends ladies and gentlemen!
:)


Title: Re: I drew lines on a chart.
Post by: myself on October 22, 2012, 11:09:20 PM
what did i win ?



https://i.imgur.com/C0XlD.png


Title: Re: I drew lines on a chart.
Post by: ElectricMucus on October 22, 2012, 11:21:02 PM
IDK... did you automate it?


Title: Re: I drew lines on a chart.
Post by: myself on October 22, 2012, 11:29:22 PM
IDK... did you automate it?
http://www.sierrachart.com/index.php?l=doc/doc_TechnicalStudiesReference.html#244


Title: Re: I drew lines on a chart.
Post by: ElectricMucus on October 22, 2012, 11:43:22 PM
IDK... did you automate it?
http://www.sierrachart.com/index.php?l=doc/doc_TechnicalStudiesReference.html#244

In that case make a bot and see if you won...


Title: Re: I drew lines on a chart.
Post by: myself on October 23, 2012, 12:00:26 AM
In that case make a bot and see if you won...
/makebot does not work for me >:(


Title: Re: I drew lines on a chart.
Post by: SkRRJyTC on October 23, 2012, 01:05:47 AM
In that case make a bot and see if you won...
/makebot does not work for me >:(

You must be missing some parameters.    ;D



Title: Re: I drew lines on a chart.
Post by: myself on October 25, 2012, 01:28:11 PM
so the lines are awesome no ?


Title: Re: I drew lines on a chart.
Post by: ElectricMucus on October 25, 2012, 07:42:53 PM
So far it seem the bears would at least be successful in pushing the price down to 10.

so the lines are awesome no ?
what?

btw where are your posts?


Title: Re: I drew lines on a chart.
Post by: cloon on October 25, 2012, 09:12:12 PM
here's one of my long term analysis
hard resistance between 10 and 10.5. below its freefallzone :-[
http://s12.postimage.org/girk8x319/bitcoinbild.jpg