Bitcoin Forum

This concerns me about what will happen to bitcoin price after 2016 ? Will it crash after the block halving ? Is there any upcoming incident in 2017-18 that may push the price up again ?

in the long run, fundamentals determine the price.
halving affects the supply so that is fundamental.

there will always be bubbles and crashes, that's
how markets work.  why are you worried?

At this point we can only speculate as The Halving is still not close enough to see any movement of price caused by it. As I said before price went down after previous halvings
(either 1st bitcoin or litecoin halving) and it is hard to predict if this time will be different just because bitcoin market is now bigger, we have higher volume and more investors etc.

yep mainstreaming is a way to make bitcoin prices go higher and the halving could have negative affects on bitcoin prices

in the end we have a probability toward the increase this is because of how bitcoin was mean to be

miners will manipulate the price to make that it will increase, otherwise their whole farms would be doomed

you should look not at the random p&d but at the average increase

If I was in the BTC prediction business I would've retired by now. No one can have a clue about what'll occur. It's still standing and there are more transactions. That's a good sign and that'll do me.

Exactly, what we can be relatively certain is that the value increase every year, this one is a little different but we should close the year at more than $500 I suppose. Other than that we can't really know how the halving will affect the value. You can have two complete opposites arguments with perfectly valid points.

To have "hope" or "reasons" who can create a concern about the crash of bitcoin in that period mentioned by OP must exist at least one data or even one sign about this event. Since this moment I have not any reason to guess the happening of a such event. Any kind of data and any kind of sign. All the previous (during this day) period show and testify the total opposite of this concern (make stay quiet and satisfied about it) and not the opposite possibility. Double of the bitcoin transactions in 2015 compared to those made at 2014, increase and/or stability of price (like never before) during all the 2015, the halving which almost for sure may cause an increase of it (price), more spread and adaption (every day more) from existing and new countries (there is a page in Wikipedia which give an overall view - based on data - about this) or even other data that for the moment don't came in my mind. So my question is: why such concerns about the crash of the price of bitcoin after the halving?

People re not hyping cause of some temporary effect like it was during the last price jump. This halving s PERMANENT, it s going to cut the supply in half. If it would happen tomorrow, the price would go up. Since it s based on real and verifiable supply reduction, the price will stay up this time.


Unless Satoshi decided to sell his 1 million BTC.  ;D

I have to say that bitcoin price worry me at the moment.
If we don't see price increase in this year more people can loose confidence in bitcoin and give up.
If less people use bitcoin merchants will be less inspired to accept bitcoin.
If such scenario happen we will not see any breakthrough with bitcoin soon.

It is not only me. I think every HODLer is worried. Because there would be a crazy dump as soon as the price crosses 500 next time. From a HODLer's perspective, a reason to increase price in far future is also important as well as in near future.

Price is not only increased due to events like halving but there are lots of other unexpected things that could happen in market like pumping, bubble, manipulation this all affect the market or price moves. Upcoming halving seems to move price up like everybody expecting and after that nobody knows the future.

It looks like Bitcoin is going to be heavily hyped this year.

THOUGHT BITCOIN WAS DEAD? 2016 IS THE YEAR IT GOES BIG (http://www.wired.com/2016/01/thought-bitcoin-was-dead-2016-is-the-year-it-goes-big/)

Just like any other currency, there are always some things that determining how the currency will behave in the economy. people are talking of the prices in this year because they are so sure that it is a year when the bitcoin trading will grow more than ever before. personally, i do think there is greater than just 2016 and when the coin is accepted in  a few countries, we will do fine and the years to come will be even greater.

Bitcoin is going fantastic, time for some time offf R&R

Going to be one helluva a busy time a couple of months out from the halving  ;D

I don't think you have anything to worry about. This price will probably the floor for the coming years, maybe it will even be higher.

If you bought your coins below or at this level, the chance of losing out is quite low.

I say it's gonna be great,shitty,decent this works like stocks there no
fool proof way to see whats going to happen but i will the scrubs think what they will.

bitcoin prices in early 2016 were not too many changes, but many predict bitcoin prices will continue to rise in 2016, may reach $ 600, and I think no one knows exactly what will happen in the bitcoin halving, and the period 2017-18 will be more difficult to predict because we do not know what happened to halving bitcoin.

Yeah, everyone is expecting to see the price go to new levels.

According to what's going on lately, a price rise is a probable outcome. There are many probable causes for this price surge, but mainly many community members point to the halving as the main factor that will trigger a new price rise.
I for myself, see the adoption rate rising at a fast pace; new startups getting a lot of funding to invest in the industry and a lot of steam in the whole ecosystem all make some good signs that Bitcoin might get to new highs.

As for it to be able to maintain higher grounds I'm not so sure about that, since many experts are already saying that the halving is already accounted for!

The general psychology of the market is very bullish, there's no doubt about this at this point. It's pretty much granted we are going to see some serious stuff happening at around the halving time, the question is, how high will it go, and how low will it correct? And more importantly, are you willing to short to profit from it, or is it too much risk and you will hold it out? That's what im thinking about pretty much daily now.

It will surely crash after a big pump, i'm hoping to see the price stabilization at 600$.
we/i don't know any of the incident which could boost price of bitcoin in 2017/18.

It's not just bitcoin that is hyped for 2016. The blockchain, Ethereum, and IoT too. Just look at this piece at CoinDesk:

http://www.coindesk.com/16-blockchain-tech-predictions-2016/

Back in late 2014 and early last year, all the hype was about alts, and how alts would change the world. MaidSafe, Monero, etc.. Now they're all in the background. You actually don't have to worry a thing.

This is not hype what almost everyone is saying and talking about regarding a significant increase in price of Bitcoin in 2016.The halving of blocks will have huge impact and will give a stability and speculation to Bitcoin.

ya it is true and what you said is correct, hype is some users telling about price going beyond $1000 that is hype , normaly it goes $500 or above is according to the demand and market fluctuation and if some good news comes for bitcoins. Their are big players who are manupalating the market so some time price give high fluctuations.

If there is a crazy dump and price goes low there will be many who see the new low price as a value, who will buy and hold,and there will be traders seeing a bottom and also buying....and price will rise again.

Again, this is how trading works.  Trends go farther than people expect until enough market participants agree it is clearly overbought or oversold.  Then price is pulled in the opposite direction. It goes back and forth until an equilibrium is reqched .  at that point volatility settles down until a new sentiment hits the market and price breaks out in one direction or another to find a new area of agreement and the process starts all over.  This is how markets have always worked and probably always will.

Don't be concerned, if you are then you may have too much invested in Bitcoin.  It should be fun and interesting to watch this year. Can't see it crashing after the halving but that is just speculation.  I am hoping for a great year of positive press for Bitcoin, it needs that before a major price increase.

its nothing anywhere close to what it was a few years ago

A hodler who is worried about there possibly being a crazy dump as the price crosses a certain point is not a hodler, but a weak hand. These are the ones who panic sells/contemplates panic selling during the times you describe. A real hodler isn't concerned about such downswings, even using them as opportunities to add to their hodlings just as they weren't concerned when the price stayed in the $220's for most of the year either, which was also a good time to have bought and hodled as it turns out. Real hodler's can just relax and enjoy the ride as they take part in history.

Bitcoin have a good price if you tell me so I think after halving I think that bitcoin have a potential that can go so high as it can.
But you never know what will happen with bitcoin so yeah we will see.

I am sure the speculation around the block halving will give the price an extra boost, but I do think this speculation part will vanish after the halving, which will cause the price to come down to more realistic price levels. I think a drop of 20-30% will happen after the halving.

The question is whether there is any known positive sentiment awaiting after block halving ?

I still have doubts about Etherneum, sure they have clear ambition and want to create a better bitcoin, one that is highly programmatic, making it much more dynamic than bitcoin.
They have real good team of a people, but they are no focused! They seems like laid off bunch of scientists who are unable to solve problems of real life cryptocurrency and consumers.

I think people will lose confidence in bitcoin if price decrease below a certain point.If it doesn't increase and remain same where it is now,no one is going to panic unless those who bought during 1000 $

the price will go up with whatever amount the market movers want. we might see the price get stuck between $600-$700 for a very long time during the halving, or we will see the price reach a new ath. people who will lose confidence in bitcoin if the price doesn't go up a lot, then they are free to leave. i trust in bitcoin and have full confidence even if we stay around $500 during the block halving.

i would put money on the fact that in the run up to the halving the price of bitcoin will sore and after wards when the hype dies down will fall, probably not back to where it is now, cause as has been said there will be fewer bitcoin being generated.

I think that the speculators will use the halving event to pump the bitcoin price (traders like too much this fasts movements) , and provably it will go down after the halving, but on long time bitcoin has potential for growing its price.

This might be a good time to buy bitcoin and sell after the halving if the price goes up.  It's a gamble but it might pay out!

This will definitely be interesting to watch. I think 2016 will be the year of bitcoin meaning it will go big.

there will be ups and downs in 2016 but as 2017 and 2018 it will rise as it meant to be and also some new hardware comping which will cause to spent more money and high difficulty

by the way the signature you re Waring is not paying anymore this campaign is gone/dead now probably his web site will be as well 

I think 16nm chips will play the key role to raise price after block halving. Market always tends towards true price discovery and as the difficulty is rising, true price to create one bitcoin will rise. Block halving will boost the same. In the overall effect, we'll see some significant shift in BTC price baseline from 2017 onwards (till 2020 block halving). I guess, the baseline would be 500+.

It's always good to see this video to get some perspective going:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XbZ8zDpX2Mg

As you can see, in the long run, the price that you get in becomes almost irrelevant. You can buy now, and it's 99.99% guaranteed that a year from now the price will be higher. Therefore, if you are here long term, it's a big waste of time trying to look for a perfect price to get in, just get in now without thinking about it too much would be my advice to anyone still not holding any coins which I hope is the minority at this point.

I'm guessing way more than that!

The price could achieve $3000 this year. Half the increase is due to block halving, the other half is due to 2MB or higher block size.

Very naive comment about investing.

I wish no one take investment advice from BitcoinTalk. :D

Thats what people used to say before bitcoin surged over 30$,50$,250$,1000$,1250$ ... By some logic taking advices from bitcointalk is the best thing
one can do, if you have the time to wait for it to happen. Even if it takes years..

I have a good feeling about 2016 overall.

haha lol.
for 1 year, bitcoin prices do not necessarily go up, the price in the previous year. possible to see the growth that took about 5 years~

I think nobody in the BitcoinTalk forum is qualified to give investment advice. There are many scammers here.

yes because the price of bitcoin will surely grow this year to new heights because of the halving event

As I've read in other threads, it is most likely that a majority of the price difference caused by the halving has already been priced in to the current value of Bitcoin, and thus there likely will not be another major upswing for a while, or at least until next halving.

Why would halving cause a crash? Halving is a good thing. The price will rise, but it also may drop, I wouldn't say crash though.

The majority of the people with me included think that the block halving will result in a significant price increase. However, there are also people who think the comming block halving will result in a lower price for whatever reason. I find these people to be doom thinkers.

I do think it's a hype, but I am not sure of it being a hype 100%.
It could be well that the price increase, but not times 3 like some are saying.

I will be there at 150 when the great disappointment will get viral.  ;D

There's a load of hype and I believe the price will both go up and down, but I am not bothered so much about this as for sure there'll be a huge amount of transactions, more so than I think we will likely of seen before. Interesting times ahead.

yes I agree with you everyone is hyping about bitcoin price in 2016  but now i will guess  when come 2017 and 2018 this time probably too much price increase but now everyone happy

Why would it crash after the halving?

THe reasonable thing is that it rises. Same demand, less btc in the market, hence prices rise. No?

i dont understand why it would crash after the halfing lol. after halfing it would be the same bitcoin as before but with a reduced supply. if nything should happen to bitcoin it would be that the price would increase cuz the supply went down

I think after 2016, the price will be higher bitcoin, it is because half has been block, thus pushing prices higher, it would also be caused because of the many investors who entered into bitcoin world so as to make the price

Don't worry about what are the the hype to wait for after halving, there is always a hype every now and then. Just visit the speculation section you'll see everyone with motivation posts just about anything to take advantage of.

Bitcoin is too big to just stop in such a short period of time.

The price MUST go up or all these large farms will become unprofitable and shut down which would create vacum in the market. So it s inevitable, the price of a commodity this big, with such a huge demand MUST rise as soon as supply gets halved.

I don't think there's a need to hype up the presence of Bitcoin becuase it's about time for people to know about it, Bitcoin has been around for a few years now and even if most news about Bitcoins are related about scam, it's still news that can help awareness about Bitcoins.

Nothing is certain and nothing is a must. After previous halving price of bitcoin actually went down. How exactly lack of specialized bitcoin farms will create vacuum?
It will actually be the same story imo, maybe difficulty will be lower and normal people could be mining again with profits? And you are forgetting that we already have more than 15 millions of BTC floating around.

Everyone is hyping 2016 because of the halving and let's face it that's pretty much all we've got to look forward to this year. Currently bitcoin has become very uncertain because of all the infighting and temper tantrums from devs that have happened and merhcant adoption is very slow.


Nothing is certain but bitcoin was designed like this and due to supply and demand the value should increase over time. If the price continues to fall it will eventually become unprofitable for the miners and if so then we're in real trouble.

Actually, the only halving we've had so far was late 2012, and the price went UP.

and that halving was totally different 50 from 25 is not like 25 from 12.5, totally differet scenario

there is far less margin for miner now than what it was before

there was always so many hypes and FUD's when it comes to bitcoin. IMO that is because there is numerous inexperienced traders and investors in the market who buy/sell which every little news they hear. and that is why this halving is going to have a big effect too.

Halving is one thing that can affect the price. The drama between Core and the Classic is second. This might have greater effect on the bitcoin price, as it shows that Bitcoin devs dont really know what to do. They dont agree on fundamental things and cant get to any consensus.

To be honestly, i'm not sure whats gonna happen when halving 2016 kicks in.
But in the long run i believe in Bitcoin and they will definetly rise (again)

I don`t think it will crash after the halving! No way! If the halving decreases the quantity of coins generated by the miners, then the coins become more scarce in the market, so the price increases. That`s the law of the market, my friend.

How do you know? That's what usually happens after a big price increase. The hype is going to be massive for the halving so people will buy bitcoins en masse expecting the price to go up and it very likely will just because of that but many people will also dump their coins looking to cash out as quickly as possible and of course this will send the price crashing back down. I think there's a lot of people who are still holding from buying in at 1k and those people will probably all dump if it goes any where near that again so I think we could be in for a turbulent time. Hopefully it doesn't crash down too far and remains at a decent price after the halving. I guess we can only wait and see.

I too do not think for any chances for prices to fall down after halving, even there would be a heavy sell off, the halving consequence will get more buyers to match that selling pressures.

Of course there is. Read my above post. The halving will only matter as long as demand outstrips supply so there needs to be a big demand for btc. Once the hype and excitement has died off people will just go back to normal so there needs to be a reason why people are going to be buying more coins or the price will likely fall. Maybe we will get a big company or two accepting coins by then but I doubt it but I do know there's going to be a lot of people dumping their coins if we get a big increase.

but the reality, price will become unstable as commonly happening to bitcoin,the price  will count on demand and supply,even halving will give an affect, but i dont think the price will go rocketing

Price will increase this is inevitable, block halving will influence that!
But we are not safe from all those manipulations that will occur.
Now we can see how they are trying to bring price down 400-390-380..
Resistance is greater!

anything is possible in bitcoin market but for price to go down there is no chance especially around the halving. if this hard fork, block size issue gets solved soon, i am expecting great things for the future of bitcoin.

It might be a good time to buy and sell bitcoin.

Well, you have to consider more than just the "law of the market".  You also have to realize that there is a potential hard fork coming about, and that there might be uncertainty in where miners should point their hashing power towards/exchange sites knowing which version to support, and so on.  There hasn't really been much said to how much notice people will have in advance before the whole thing comes about.  I don't think this potential fork will just be sprung upon miners and other bitcoin users all the sudden; but it could very well happen...

Point I'm trying to make, is that there are a lot of things being debated on that could affect the functionality, and therefore, the price of Bitcoin.

What is thing with the block halving?  Does it effect alot of the mining progress?

Miners "Mine" blocks in the block chain (the fundamental part of Bitcoins infrastructure) for a reward.  People sometimes mine in "Pools" where other miners get together and try to solve a block; or sometimes big time miners with a lot of hashing power mine blocks alone.  The current reward for each block is 25 BTC right now, and during the summer, it will be cut in half to 12.5.

You can read more about this here:
https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Controlled_supply

Like someone that I don't remember that it on the forum, it could crash because a lot of people that bought in the big bubble could sell in the big pump that will come with the halving to have their investment back.

World's interest in Bitcoin is quite significant already, comparing to the past years, so the market won't let falling that much. Some people will say, that 300$ is a good price to buyback, others would say that 250 and so on. I doubt if the proce will go under 200$ again.

2016 is supposed to be a great year for bitcoin. I personnally think that it will bring a chance for many more people to join in. If the price goes to new highs, even with the halving, there will even a new run into mining.

I don't know why people will be "HYPING" about the price, it seems to be going lower and lower. RIP Bitcoin

People are hyping the price after halving. When halving comes, the price will sky-rocket.

I hope the bitcoin price gets to $10000 as many people believe it will :P

it depending what happen in bitcoin halving,i am sure bitcoin halving will give effect to bitcoin price,and we all dont know what will happen,the bitcoin halving effect will influence bitcoin pric until 2017-18 i think.

With all else being equal the halving will put pressure on the miners to hold out for more return on their earnings. With the block reward going from 25 down to 12.5 and using current prices ~$375 BTC, their income would drop from $9,375/block (25*$375) down to $4697.50 (12.5*$375) if the price did not rise. Mining revenue is already running on razor thin margins, so a prolonged period of  lower prices would force many miners to shut down. This coupled with the fact that the incoming dilution of fresh BTC is also going to decrease from approximately 6000 new BTC/day down to 3000 BTC/day, should combine to strengthen prices over the long term.

The only effect of the halving is that the fresh supply of bitcoin will reduce by halve. It needs less money to support the price.

That should be very nice.
Nobody knows what the future will bring. But everything is possible.
I am a believer and have plenty of time.

This is bitcointalk forum about bitcoin..This is right place for this kind of talks.
I don't see anything wrong in this price predictions..
Its natural when halving happens price will start to rise sooner or later .

Everyone is hyping yes, but its true about the price.
The price will rise and everyone is excited to make profit.
So that's why they are hyping about it.

Every community hypes about their supported crypto and it's not just in BTC. It happens on those Pump and Dump coins as well. Not sure if the hyping is successful though as the price just keeps on getting lower.

I think the block halving will increase the BTC price since the offering will be lower, Technically I think lower offer would equal higher price with the same demand "which can rise since BTC is gaining more ground now".

Millions of new users are required to increase the price by a significant amount.

Not really, i guess it really mostly depend on who the users are, and it's the people that are interested in blockchain tech, and investors mostly probably.
A strong impact on the btc/fiat price is affected by block reward as well, and it should be a lot easier for the price to rise once the miner dumps are halved.
Don't be so negative, half of success is in attitude.

There appears to be renewed interest in a lot of alt coins for 2016 as we have already seen several pumps. I agree that a rising BTC floats all boats, as most alts are directly coupled to the price of BTC, but I also think we will start to see a bit more independence as the year progresses, including LTC. We had the pump last year where LTC broke above $8 and above the .01 LTC/BTC ratio so it is not always directly coupled to BTC, and I have a feeling we might see a few more pumps. While most alts are only good for pump/dump, I believe over time the more useful alts will begin to take on a life of their own.

There is no sign that large companies or banks are supporting Bitcoin.  More the opposite.  Banks are just looking at blockchain technology for their own use.

It depends on the popularity of bitcoin. When bitcoin is widely adopted and is very popular, the banks will support it to make money.

Nope. Banks wont support Bitcoin, as they have no control over it. They will make their own "Bitcoin". That's the point of all this R3 bank consortium anyway. Banks are only interested in the blockchain, and how it can benefit them, not the customer.

I think it will be the exact opposite regarding block halving, it should increase massively in price after the halving since the incoming supply would be halved, At least this is how I see it.

I believe there is always a hype every now and then, but Bitcoin is too big to just stop in such a short period of time. And the halving should make the price rise significantly.

This is my current vision about the halving that had made bitcoin reach a high value without nothing real big to that happen soo i may say this will turn into back to the 300 dollars.

Here's my prediction: By summer 2016 the price of Bitcoin will be aruond $500 and from that point it will grow steadily, 20%-25% per year, so it will be around $600 in 2017, and it will be around $730 in 2018. The main reasons for the growing are that Bitcoin will be introduced (in a good way) to more people.

I think it will increase with the incoming block halving, with less BTC in the market from mining the price should increase. Wondering if mining BTC will be profitable after the halving.

If everyone is hyping the price in one direction then usually it goes the other way. I do not know what to think about. I guess that the halving advantage is already priced in. So we will only see strong price increasing if the economic situation is going worser or there are very good news around Bitcoin.

The halving is still 5 months away. I think the price in May will reflect the halving effect. Not now.

Some good news about solving the blocksize issue will likely pump the price up a lot. And that is quite likely to happen.

I do belief you are right.
The dev's are taking this radio silence for way to long. It's time for some action.
Everybody knows that.

I agree with the halving advantage being already priced.

But no it's not if everyone thinks it goes in one direction it goes the other way. Otherwise it would never go up cause most of bitcoin users think the price will double every 3 months xD

yeah i am agree with you . now all people hyping  but what happen in future . what time is bitcoin price is less and what time is  bitcoin price increase.we can,t know but know is good

Everyone is HYPING about bitcoin all the time ;) but probably 2016 will be pretty special for BTC, tons of new effective exchanges are opening and starting to operate, block halving is coming near and media coverage is reaching new heights, probably all of these are good news.

Yes this is not something new. There is a hype going on like always.
Let's just wait and see what will happen. So many hyping is not good at all.

how they cant be bitcoin price is going up so who invested a lot in it will be rich soon .

There are still a few month left until then... everyone thinks price will rise so do I let's see :D

it seems like this time the bitcoin price hype could not push the market higher than $400.

we are stuck here (at least for the time being)

I think it will rise even after the Halving. Because people will realise that the amount of BTC is limited. And also, there will be another halving approaching and so on. So i think the price will rise in 2016 and then stay about the same for the  2017.

Pretty bold of you to think that. There are a lot of factors and it'll remain unpredictable. So to be more realistic, I suppose it'll be up this year about $500 like you've predicted but will go down to $400 again come 2017.

Price will increase after halving for sure, but we are not sure how long it will be stable, we need price stability in bitcoins that will only encourage more and more people to start using bitcoins, if price is not stable people would never invest their money into bitcoins.

True that it's rather unpredictable.
Nevertheless, if you look at the charts, you see that the amount of transactions does nothing but rise, and that so does the btc price.
You can say it'll rise, or at least predict it knowing you're certainly right.

Giving a percentage though, is a bit too much. Bitcoin remains extremely shady and moves when it wants not when you expect it ^^

If price become stable than bitcoin will loss it charm but bitcoin need some steady growth rather than dumping and pumping.

I think price stability important for mainstream usage

That is my thoughts as well. When the price is not stable, a merchant cannot price his goods with bitcoin and when he receive the bitcoin, he will have to convert it into fiat straight away.

Lol, I like this way of thinking ;D

But you can't hope that such a currency will steadily increase. It will have to seek the pump and dump scheme with the hope that pumps will be stronger than dumps, that's the economic growth model of btc ;)

This is valid point, we need Bitcoin to became mainstream  right.
From another point of view, Bitcoin is attractive for speculation too, price fluctuation is good for them.

the halving should have an opposite effect if my understanding how the bitcoin market is correct, basically the halving would mean less incoming new supply of coins leading to an increase of value of already existing coins. the halving might have a negative effect on miners and there numbers though.

If the price of bitcoin doubles, the net effect on the bitcoin will be neutral. If the difficulty rises as fast as recent ones, it will be bad for miners.

yeah every body is hyping bitcoin price in 2016 hope same like amount also keep 2017 and very good for business and for earn money

I think, in the long run, it is up.

I don't think it's going to fall at least

some people said that no one can answer what will happen to bitcoin price when bitcoin halving come,and i search in google about that,and i also can't find sastify answer.

The bitcoin price will rise in 2016. That is due to many factors. The number one is the more adoption of bitcoin. The next is the halving.

After 2016, next halving will be at 2020.

But, if blocksize remain stuck at 1mb, how does more adoption take place?

Everyone is hyping about the price because of the halving. However, I believe that the market already corrected itself and we probably won't see such a big advancement in the price...

And many people will be disappointed. But this is not first and probably not last time we see pump and dumps. Hype is created not because bitcoin will suddenly become rare or mining will become become double expensive, simple whales want more money, and they will pump it.

Hyping on the bitcoin price is going high, as the halving is expected this year the price hype is circulating much than other years of bitcoin.

Low chanse of price doubling cause it's really huge value 800$. It's possible only after halving but also chanse is so low

I think a lot of miners will turn off and difficulty will drop. Especially those, who are already running with very little ROI. Price might go up a bit, but I don't think we will see a doubling. I would place some buy orders around 250 for the dump after people realize they didn't double up.

I think everyone is hyping because halving is coming. And many people predict the price of bitcoin increase in 2016 because of halving. and i hope it happen too.

yeah everyone is hyping about bitcoin halving
but honestly, I feel so so. I can only pray and hope for the best in the 2016

I am stocking up now. 2016 is going to be the year that BTC comes back to the thousands $ in price.

Yes this is scenario i also trying to understand and to imagine.
People are weak and panic can be triggered within seconds, this is why trade is not for all people. I think price of mining will determine next realistic price for a longer time, because miners won't sell under and investors wont buy much over that price.
What is price of mining now? Real price?

It mostly depends on where you are mining. Miners in most parts of Europe are paying way more fiat for electricity, than for example the hordes of Chinese miners. They also have the advantage of cheaper hardware, lower cost of rent, salaries etc.

Ok for example Chinese, i meant to say lowest mining price, approcimatly, does not need exact number.. 300, 400$? And when you know is this number higher than actual price, and what will be mining price after having...All This can help you to know to understand where we are heading.

If 0.1% of Wall Street money comes to bitcoin and other digital coins, the price of bitcoin will sky rocket.

I thinking the same thing might really happen, big pump because of people expectations price is going to rise after halving, and dump when price almost reach 1K. But it is just speculation, I just taking popcorn and keeping Bitcoins in cold wallet - playing it safe as always  8)

Most likely scenario is that many will stop mining as profit in terms of BTC will certainly go down. There's no guarantee than the price will go up twofold to maintain profitability and even if there's an attempt to manipulate the market I think it's going to be smashed by profit taking.

Nobody can really know what will happen after the halving, it has the same chance of going up then it does of going down.

Is just a nature of bitcoin if we will see that the price will increase after halving until 600 i think some traders will dump their bitcoins and it will decrease again but they will buy again because of price decreasing.. until the price will increase untill 800  usd and it will stable back again i think in 700 usd..

The only hope for price rise is pump generated mainly by miners in anticipation of their loses after block reward will be halved.
They might create short time bubble and people will act like this is factual price rise caused by halving.

I think the price rise will last for few days only and then again back to normal.

We have not seen any significant movement yet.

last year people start talking about "2016 is year of bitcoins" so many people talk about that,they look very sure bitcoin price will raise up so high this year,but after 3 month in 2016,i dont see any massive price movement,just impatience to wait block halving,what will happen ???

Given the current situation, it'll most likely crash and recover in 2017.

$800 is a huge value? I do not think so. When halving occurs, the demand for bitcoin will fly, which makes bitcoins more popular to induce more new users get into board for buying more bitcoins. So, we're going to see new all-time high price.

We should be more realistic, price after halving will not exceed 700 USD at best and it will be in 600-700 USD range which is very good in my point of view, but in a more idealistic view I agree with you.

We all dont know what the Bitcoin price will be in 2016 and that is the problem, we all hope of course that the value will rise in the future and that we can have some profit.
But it is indeed very hard to predict because you never know what will happen with the value in the future and that is very risky and bad.
So you should take risks when you are going to sell or buy it.

I think people began to fear if halving given't effect on the price of bitcoin so their speculation would be a nonsense.
I feel sorry for someone who has bought a lot of bitcoin. if this does not happen
but even so I hope it happens

We can make just predictions. The remaining part can be understood only at times of halving. Whether it made the halving effective or not.

Be smart invest when others selling and sell when others buying. This is basics, especially if you're new in tradings. I believe there is still time for buying, and we will see 600$ at least, but you must wait..But unrealistic stories about 2k$
or more can make only damage with that kind of hype.

Agreed. Sub 450 prices are still good for buying for long term. Sub 400 prices seem to me like a very sure buy (probably will go up in just weeks). But thousands... that is not probable in my view.

With respect to bitcoin ecosystem, halving must be a very big event and most expected one. Even it is schedule one it can happen once per every four years. So, the expectations and speculations of all the bitcoiners will drive bitcoin prices to new height.

If there was no halving then the price may sit below 100$ the halving has great effect on the price of bitcoin as it affect how bitcoin is being mined.

Yeah that is right,, halving would be a good weight to balance the demand and supply, without halving, there might be a oversupply of bitcoin and that is not good for the price..

Thats why people are hyping the prices of bitcoin because of them halving event and this event going to give the miners a hard time mining the coin ang gives less reward.

Everyone is into hype because this year will be the halving and the halving is an event where the price will be high because there will be less bitcoin to be produce when mining.

most people just assume the upcoming block halving will make the price go up to very high price levels, but people don't seem to realize that the price can also go down. no matter how small the chances are, it is a possibility. one thing is sure, no matter what happens, we will definitely be able to make profits as there will be a lot volatility in the runup to the block halving.

It will go down for sometime because the whale manipulate the price when they bought enough bitcoin and then the price will boost so that they will profit more.

should be nice. Nobody knows what the future will bring. But everything is possible.

It is very possible that if there wasn't a block halving upcoming, we would now see the price around the $300 price level. All because there is more supply than demand. Whales can hold the price at certain levels, but at some point even they will stop supporting certain price levels.

300$ or maybe below 300$,the halving really did a good job to increase the price of bitcoin,so with the coming halving the price will rise.

Yes. Nothing to get surprised as it is highly expected one. Bitcoins price will going to bounce back to it previous lifetime higher price. The main reason for the price bounce back would be halving.

The halving in bitcoin will dictate is new price and will just stay there playing around that margin,we hope to profit by that time.

it is most likely that a majority of the price difference caused by the halving has already been priced in to the current value of Bitcoin, and thus there likely will not be another major upswing for a while..

I personnally think that it will bring a chance for many more people to join in. If the price goes to new highs, even with the halving, there will even a new run into mining.

If the price wont go up after the halving there will be a chaos in the market and the price might fall down again.

it is not about that. in any market when the price goes up super fast in a short time and in some cases without any real increase in users to create new demand, it is called a price bubble which has to burst and price should fall to normal or higher than normal price again.

But once the price of bitcoin goes to new higher price, then there would be more new users into bitcoin ecosystem and they are definitely going for buying some bitcoins. So, the pressure of buying will cope up with the price down.

Yes, halving is a sudden change, which will trigger any kind of consequences on most probably the positive consequences for uᴉoɔʇᴉq price levels for obvious reason of low supply. I believe bitcoin prices will hit $1000 price levels.

There is of course a chance that this will happen but in fact its still insecure if the bitcoin halving will let this happen.
The bitcoin itself is still unpredictable these days and no one is knowing what the halving will do with the market price.
Most likely it will rise a bit but I do not think it will rise to such a high amount if I'm honest.

$2k is just kidding at this time when bitcoin is too younger, for becoming a well established and reaching to the price $2k, I think it will require 20 years or maybe it reach with 10 years.

Yeah the bitcoin price may rise a few dollars but it will really not be so high just like in the past halving,we will just have to wait a few more months and see if our profit is high.

I think people have to stop with hyping about the price increase that is coming and the halving because in fact if people keep doing this they will maybe get disappointing.
There is a chance the halving will do almost nothing to the price, so people will be very disappointing than because everyone said its gonna increase.
Sometimes I have the feeling people are just hyping about it to attract people to bitcoins but this is just wrong because if they will lose money because of it they will stop soon or later with investing in it.

Fact that if nothing happen, something will happen. In fact if the price doesn't rise, people will sell as they're disappointed, hence price will crash hard!

If the price crashed hard then that would be a good time to buy thats what whales want and then after that the price will surely go up.

Yeah as the last time we wont get a high profit with the halving which is gonna take place within few months. This time a great hype on the year 2016 is going on which is based on a expectation on halving.

Yes, you are true if the halving did not bring any benefit to the users in real the price in any way will reach to about $600 because of its hype by people. But I hope halving will benefit.

But I think if the halving will really benefit people with big profit that it will double up or reach to atleast $700  then we have to buy it even at the price of $500, as at least it will benefit us $200.

That would be great price but we are forgetting that there are still problems within the core and they are still not agreeing to any decision at all and with the halving coming the transaction will be getting slower and slower.

I believe if the buyers had bought enough bitcoins then they should now have to stop buying and have to struggle for the price increase, as no one will accept the price increase unless they stop buying.

you mean like if they have already bought enough bitcoins they will not buy any more and there will be no price increase or what?

everyone is hyping about the price of the bitcoin because they know that it will rise significantly during the halving event, i hope thats what will happen and i will make a lot of money

No the price do not have effect of price increase or price decrease because of halving, but it is due to the interest and adoption of people that the price get some value and stability.

Fundamentally, the price of the bitcoin depends on the supply and demand of the coins. The usage will increase the demand.

Short term price movement is dependent on long & short games at various market...

Yeah but bitcoins price doesn't depend much on that. Just according to the technology the crypts are running successfully without much falls.

i agree, all the long and short games are effective but not as much as the supply and demand and also the increasing demand the more usage will cause.

Supply and demand and ... demand? ;) It makes an interesting change from "supply and demand and [insert bogeyman/angel]"!

Yeah everyone is hyping about 2016 and the bitcoin prices. Many people that 2016 is the year of Bitcoin. I do not know what the prices will be in 2016 I just wait and see it for my self.

lol.
i mean to say the normal changes to supply and demand due to price change and other things.

and also what fricircled mentioned above, the increasing number of services and new people that find out about bitcoin (new investments) will lead to increasing demand :)

I read interesting article about Bitcoin price prediction for 2016 and I have to say this fragment caught my eye:

"Many are bullish on the Bitcoin price on this account alone. Daniel Masters, co-founder Global Advisors, a Jersey-based hedge fund with interests in Bitcoin startups, predicts that the price could go as high as $4,400 by the end of 2017. Of course, this will make the 2013 highs of above $1,100 like nothing much.

"If OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) came out tomorrow and said, 'in six months' time we're going to halve oil production', the oil price would instantaneously react'."

I found this metaphor with OPEC very accurate. I wonder if this will be the scenario we might see.

More at: https://bitcoinaverage.com/blog/what-could-shape-bitcoin-price-chart-in-2016 (https://bitcoinaverage.com/blog/what-could-shape-bitcoin-price-chart-in-2016)

following hypes have always lead to something good, and big hypes mean there will be a big thing at the end of it because the size of the hype means more people will get involved with the hype. Eth is a clear example of such procedeure.

Yeah, these are the Hypes which will increase the price of bitcoin at halving or around halving days. As with these hypes, everyone start to collect bitcoin, and they start to believe on bitcoin a value of bitcoin is created in everyone heart, and people do not sell their coins at lower price, so the price increases.

yes price should go to 800$ atleast after halving, and halving is probably most important bitcoin event in 2016,  because  it will rise price of bitcoin for sure and by couple of hundreds atleast, also pretty important thing for bitcoin is lots of new bitcoin sites to buy and sell for bitcoin, this will rise price in 2016 too

The halving is the most important event in 2016. We will also increase the block size to 2MB or higher this year.

Everyone is hoping that Bitcoin will have a great value in this year but that is not possible now as you can see now you see that the value is now stable so that is bad.
But they have to be more popular also to make it also more acceptable and that would be nice for Bitcoin itself I think.

Everyone is hyping and its logical, most likely the bitcoin halving will be very profitable because the worth if the bitcoin will increase.
Is of course unpredictable but possible for sure!

i think that there are way more possibilities that the bitcoin price will go significantly than that it will fall pretty soon because of the halving that is incoming

i consider it as a really good investment because of that that i can believe in because it will most probably give me a lot of money and i can invest some good money in it without any worries

hype is what drives the price
get on board before hand and profit

I'm cool with whatever happens.  I'm in a Zen space all up in this piece.  What I'm very curious about is how the halving will/won't affect the price.  I've been saying that it's priced in and I'm pretty sure at least some market efficiency is in play.  If it was a certain thing that the price is going to spike, everyone could make money--and that would make no sense whatsoever.

Hype is really what make the price of bitcoin go like crazy everyone is hyping about the price will which will go up when the halving is done.

Everyone is hyping about the price of bitcoin because of the halving and more companies has been investing in bitcoin this year thats why the price of bitcoin is going up.

The hype also cause the price to go up when a lot of people believe in that news about bitcoin price is going up,its good if theres always a hype in bitcoin.

It already might be too late. When all the hype turns to nothing, prepare for a lot of disappointed bagholders.
Nothing can kill a product like great expectations.

I am one of those who believe that after halving the price of Bitcoin will go up, but I don't think anyone can tell by how much.

THat's right, hype affect the price somehow...Mostly if everyone is thinking about high price, they will keep their coins and wait til it happens...Which in return when a high price came in everyone  will dump and will start to make the price drop again, it's like a cycle...

it's good and nice to see the price go up due to the hyped up block halving, but we all know that hypes come and go. they don't last very long. i am looking for a slower but way more sustainable growth for the coming years. we have seen the price get dumped down from high price levels way too often. in order to get the average non tech people to adopt bitcoin, we need the price to become more stable and more stronger.

Yes no one can really tell what will the price be but it will certainly go up thats what we are all waiting for.

Certainly is one of the most overused yet overly-inaccurate word to describe bitcoin's price movements. Just so you know, halving doesn't always necessarily mean price increase or moon. Not being a pessimist here but just telling out the truth.

It seems like a very common rhetoric that the price is bound to increase, but somebody has to be thinking the opposite otherwise the price would have ballooned already.

I'm interested in hearing the argument against the price increase. I mean, I know theres the idea of pricing in, but what else is there?

Of course that everybody hopes for awesome price rise this year, because of halving, because of openbazaar opening too, many reasons for that

And i really think that price will rise, should be around 700$ at end of this year,but i have no idea what price rises will be in 2017-2018 years

I to is hoping that we will be able to hit that price but i dont know if there would be any un expected events that would happen in 2017-18 all we can do is wait if there would be one.

The halving that is going to happen will make us more profitable no matter what happens if we have stock up some bitcoin in our wallet and just wait for it.

Everyone is hyping yes, but its true about the price, price will rise and everyone is excited to make profit.

What I am about to say is not a rational argument at all but.... if you believe that the BTC price will not increase significantly around the halving, you should not be a trader. You do not understand market psychology, herd mentality, panic buying, etc...

You are trying to apply logic to price movement which will get you no where.

There is always a hype every now and then, but Bitcoin is too big to just stop in such a short period of time. And the halving should make the price rise significantly.

We are already into 4th month of 2016 and there is no considerable increase in bitcoin price.I think we will hear some good news at the end of year

I don't think much about this. But hyping of price is completely due to the speculations and predictions put forth by most of the users.

The most people are hoping that the value will be more worth of course because they want to make profit with it and that is logic and the main reason that they bought.
But you see that the halving is coming and that would be nice for the people who already have Bitcoin so they can maybe sell it later after the halving, but you never know.

Speculation is right now Bitcoin's biggest network effect.
Some do it on short term, others on a long term.
Being in for long is having the advantage that whatever is happening due to halving shouldn't really bother you.
But of course everyone will have a smile on his face if Bitcoin should rise in value.

Yes everyone is hyping about it and I think its logical that they are hyping about it because the price is gonna rise most likely due to the halving that is coming this year in July/June.
There is a big chance the price will rise to a higher amount and there are even people saying that its gonna reach a record height for the bitcoin itself.
If this happen it would be very good for the popularity but also for us all to make profit of course.

It will rise even after the Halving. Because people will realise that the amount of BTC is limited. And also, there will be another halving approaching and so on.

If everyone dumps being excited, then it would be a huge crash.

you're right, but it may be due to halving. halving will probably happen in 2016 in addition to the price of bitcoin currently riding slowly, this proves that the price of bitcoin still continues and has not yet reached its highest price

Not every one will dump. I think the future of bitcoin is very bright. I will buy some when the price is lower.

Yeah this is something that I noticed to, everybody is excited about the Bitcoin prices in 2016. The price is not still climbing so that is a good thing but why people are hyping so much is something I do not understand.

Research - Block reward halving & you will see!

Bitcoin hype is due to the halving within the mid of this year. Now from the past week the price is increasing continuously, this also makes users hype more about this year.

The question is what will happen after the halving is done ? Will bitcoin fall sharp ?

Even though the daily new supply of bitcoins gets reduced by 50%, the total amount of existing bitcoins increases. This dilutes the price per bitcoin, if there is no new demand.

In other words, Bitcoin is still inflationary even though inflation gets cut in half (to a more healthy ~4%).

The new demand is the key to the success of bitcoin. We need to find more users for the bitcoin. I use bitcoin.

It takes time to get more people on board to use Bitcoin. We can't force people to join us, but we can show them how they can benefit from it. Then they can choose whether or not to join.

yeah but the point it that miners will dump less on the market, so if the demand stay the same the price should increase as a consequence of less dumping, this will not count the hype and everythign else concerning the halving

this si the possible minimum increase

Telling them about real world uses like Purse.io for Amazon discount or Foldapp.com for Starbucks discount may do the wonder...

If the price goes very high on halving, sure there will be gradual fall in price. But this won't be a sharp fall. Price will get stabilized after a certain fall of price.

it will all come down to how the rise is. people have been hyping about halving and a big rise (a bubble) for over six months now, but the price of bitcoin has been rising gradually from the lowest price of $190 to the current $450 and as we can see now, the fall backs are only temporary and small because of panic sells. so that would be the same in the future too.

Bank of American Merril Lynch did analysis of the value of bitcoin in 2013. It was determined to be $1200. Today, it  should be more.

Now, as we are standing at the door of 600, what do u think?

I think the price could be $600 during the time of halving, ie 10 July. then it will rise to $900 in year end.

They are doing that because they can now see the value of Bitcoin and that is really nice because the value is now rising so that is quite good for the people who already have it.
But the best thing that they have to do is not to be greedy and just sell it on the right moment when they can earn profit.

The price is already $630 now. I think the price could be $650 during the halving time, but I could be wrong.

well yes everyone including me are hyped for price this year, because of simple reasons, i have some bitcoins in my wallet now, and price after halving will be very, very large

so i will sell my bitcoins then, when price will be large and i will get lots of profit so this is why i am so hyped about price this year, and i am sure that others are hyped for same reasons

the main reason really is the halving event and people really hyping the price of bitcoin some other saying bitcoin well reach to 1k$ and some other said bitcoin will die in this year but really i can say for this is really impressive year for bitcoin and price is really rising up for more many people well talking and speculating the bitcoins price success.

The price is still going up so I can understand why people are getting hyped because of this. I am also ready to sell some coins because the price is nice and high right now.

I think it is not the time to sell our coins, the price of bitcoin is still much lesser regarding to the expectations from halving, we should have to wait a few months more as after a few months we will see the price more higher maybe it will be doubled up at that time.

when prices are very low under $400, we expect the rise in prices to sell and now the price is very high, but people always want to be greedy, to await higher. I think to sell some today it's good, but is waiting closer when halving it better

Yes, you can sell some coins and book profits.
It is kind of de-risking your portfolio.
You should apply the same rules of traditional trading to Bitcoin as well.  :)

Yes if current price is allowing you to earn some profits then you should sell some of your coins and  hold rest for the future as price will be even higher at the time of halving.

Everybody is hyping about it but right now that is also not really bad and the truth is that the price is gonna rise to a high amount, to be honest its now already raised to a pretty high amount.

They are all hyping about it but I think this year is also doing this, there are all kind of events and people know the bitcoin is gonna rise because of it.
As a example the halving is gonna let the bitcoin rise for sure.

It goes both ways.

Theres a set period where people already sold off their bitcoin and the more sell offs there are it will eventually give a price slump.

Depending on the volume, so you`ll see lowered prices after the sell off hits in 20 something days.

It's just a question of what the new all time high will be before the crash occurs.

The new all time high could be $1600. If the price is achieved slowly, the price will not crash. If there is big pump, there is big dump.

Not always true. Just a few months back before block halving, price was pumped from ~400 USD to ~800 USD. But, it is still holding ~650 USD. In reality, a group of Chinese miners are always trying to short bitcoin to maximize profit. But, when their effort does not materialize, they have to buy quickly to cover their loss. This results in sudden price rise.

^^^ Warning!
This user is simply a shill account for the
'cloud mining' ponzi scam he promotes in
his signature.


Hype is the last thing bitcoin's price needs. Bubbles pop and commerce doesn't feel safe in an unfamiliar tech which is prone to wild market shift in any direction.

We have got an answer to this year old Q.