Bitcoin Forum

OK, so a quick count reveals 19 threads with the word "halving" in the title (for the purposes of the poll this is the definition of a halving thread) in the first 5 pages of this sub-forum.

Obviously we have to add this one now, so a nice round twenty threads.

Using all your skill and analytical abilities please estimate how many "halving" threads there will be in just this sub-forum before the halving actually arrives.  Some factors to consider:

A) the ability of the average BCT user to operate the search function
B) the (closely related) ability of the average BCT user to read more than the top 5 any threads before posting a new one
C) the extraordinary optimism that the halving will bring a massive price increase, especially if you talk about it a lot

Notes: this is purely for fun and no warranty is given or implied.

Look into the number of threads preceding the 2012 halving.
Then tell yourself that it is "priced in". Human psychology doesn't change.

Right now the price is still relatively calm. Imagine what will happen once the price starts to rally. The amount of block halving threads will go through the roof. The more noobs the more of these threads.

Hmm, you are right maybe I should edit the poll and add an "over 500" option?

Halving threads to the MOON   ;D

I will guess there will be at least a halving of 500 so my guess is 250 threads before the halving comes and goes.

To the moon and back.

And then we will see another halving before we know it lol.

Seriously though the halving hype is a bit retarded esp when it hasnt happened yet.. still 2 months..

Too goddamned many!  :D

Really great to read that I am not the only one with such feelings. I bet we will get more than 100 new topics about halving till the actual halving takes place. Most of them will bring absolutely nothing new, just the 'discussion' who comes with the most absurd valuation of Bitcoin after halving, including $5k and beyond.
However, it is part of the bigger phenomena here on this forum. It is not only about halving, which is simply more pronounced. Every time we get a $20 move each way, there are at least five new topics about the price going to the moon or zero, depending on the direction of the move. It looks like Bitcoin's volatility is not that easy to digest.

I voted over 100...for sure! ;D

the closer we get to the halving the more threads we are going to see. and it almost doesn't matter if the price moves or not.
if it stays the same they are going to be about when it starts and why it hasn't yet.
and if it goes up, there are going to be about how high it is going to be and (like last time) 10K here we come :D

also don't forget about the spam bots calling bitcoin ponzi lol

not as a many as the boom that it will be when the halving will arrive

and was someone able to count them all until now, i bet they are not even 20

I think it will be less than 100 as I believe the old 'block halving' threads will get bumped like there is no tomorrow.

A lot will be popping up with that thread  as the halving is near,even on the normal post you can see that they are talking about the halving.

definitely more than 100 threads. but i don't think people with a paid signature will complain about it as it allows them to post more often in fresh threads.  :D

that is natural for human , not only in here but in a lot of forum , some people will ask or disscuss the same thing and too lazy to search the old one 

I think the main point of creating more halving threads are mainly for the signature spam, as now that more of them dont have anything to comment on other topics so they will start new halving with some new points adding in the thread but the reply will be the same.

From 19 to 100 it's just a small step, really, given the time frame.
A lot of people use Bitcoin, has some, thinks they may get rich, but don't come here often, or at all. And they hear of halving. Will they search? No! They will ask. Over and over again.

Of course, some will also try to create smarter or dumber threads, only to try to boost the post count (for sig campaings, for rank, ..).

It adds up. Even 500 option may be "small"..

I am going with a small number.  It is so much easier to reply to a thread than to start another one.  People thinking about the same things will post the the same thread if it is not too far down in the topic list.  It is when the threads lose activity people see there is no thread in the immediate view.  And yes, I agree with the poster previous to this one.  Many people will not search here.  They will be repeating arguments rather than trying to find their previously made arguments by someone else and the answers that are still applicable already there.

As we get closer to the date, I predict the people are going to be interested more and more and the threads will end up always on the front page, then the thread count will stop growing because people can just post to the threads that are there.

sdp

Even from a non-speculative, non-technical standpoint the halving is good. I know seeing a lot of threads about one topic might frustrate you, but don't you want people talk about Bitcoin? I want people talking about Bitcoin as much as possible and the more they're talking about it the more the might talk about it with people unfamiliar with it.

I really want Bitcoin back in the media with the date of this halving approaching it would be wonderful if r/bitcoin and r/btc could put aside their differences and try to get some stories about the halving to the front page on reddit. From their it would be picked up from other news outlets. Something positive and explaining what the halving is and when it's scheduled to occur, as we get closer. People talk about all the time the price of bitcoin reflects the halving already, it doesn't. If you seize the opportunity to promote something we all love you will find new adopters and those people had heard about the halving because they didn't even know what a bitcoin was.

So while the number of threads about the much awaited halving might be to many for you, they could be good for bitcoin.

halving is the wet dream for speculators around here. and for the rest it is some kind of hope to get rich over night, so that is no wonder everybody wants to talk about it.

Lol... likely a lot of halving. The threads will halve and create two different threads, then 4.... then 8 exponentially. Then, when the halving comes, there will be threads analysing the halving and commenting on the effects of it :D

I am certain tht the next month we will face a lot more flooded threads with the same questions about halving. These noobs pretending to know anything about it will not stop creating their thread like they actually know what is happening. :D
more likely multiplying at the same time. :D

I doubt halving will make anybody rich except the ones who are already rich.
Furthermore it's an event everybody is interested in because whatever will happen, it will have an effect to all of us.
I'm really looking forward for it and the different reactions of the people depending on the outcome.

As of today, these are the "halving" threads I could find in the first 10 pages of just this forum (28 of thm):

1. How will halving affect the value? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1293642.0
2. Halving already priced in, Sell before others dump at this false expectation https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1413522.0
3. Halving and its effects https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1412851.0
4. Halving - Will we see a new price high? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1307098.0
5. Bitcoin Block Reward Halving - Invest? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1407141.0
6. How will the Block halving impact the bitcoin price? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1404244.0
7. 232 days before bitcoin block reward halving  https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1274372.0
8. Hold onto your balls gentlemen , the halvening is coming! ;) https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1300923.0
9. How many "halving" threads will there be before we get to the halving? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1410022.0
10. Getting closer to Halving but .. no increase ? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1406951.0
11. What will happen with the Bitcoin price after the halving on 07-17-2016? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1328097.0
12. Poll: predict the date of the 2016 halving https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1406631.0
13. With the halving coming... https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1409428.0
14. Share your Views and thought about Block halving Pump!!! https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1389393.0
15. WOT will happen after the halving ? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1407305.0
16. Halving has already Begun, Yes or No? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1373465.0
17. July 20, 2016, the block halving date, what will the price be? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1292572.0
18. Block Halving in 2016 - Boon or Bane for BTC price ?? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1077581.0
19. Bitcoin halving how will it affect price? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1364165.0
20. I could see BTC going down to the lower 300's by the time of the halving https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1328718.0
21. What happens to Chinese mining companies if there is no halving price rise? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1382522.0
22. What will happen if there's no price rise for the halfing? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1304141.0
23. Why do the 2 bitcoin halving clocks have dates that are 3 weeks different? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1365759.msg0#new
24. You know what happened last time when money supply got slashed in half https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1391966.0
25. What will happen for the price when halving is ended? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1380064.0
26. Bitcoin halving: how will it impact the bitcoin ecosystem? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1284259.0
27. Bitcoin Price and why? Halving and future. info (Discussion/Debate) https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1366274.0
28. What do you think will be the price of BTC at the moment of halving? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1346562.0

Pretty confident with my over 100 prediction ... ;)

As I'm a dedicated sheep I'm going to start one every day between now and then. Once it's come and gone I'll have 2020 to look forward to so I'll slowly ramp up unless this forum is renamed halvingtalk.org.

That's the spirit!

Interestingly the 26-50 range is picking up some votes.

As correctly stated in the OP, most users of this forum are too lazy to use search option. Instead, they start a new topic, without even reading that all they have to say is already written. The thread picks up for couple of days and dies shortly after that. And then the story repeats. If we are at 30 at the moment, I see an easy 100+ by the time of halving.

I too voted 100+..I saw lots of redundant threads in this forum..Obviously some of those threads will only talk about the same topic as the increase in price..OP is right about those A,B, and C reasons..

What is the status for today? How many halving topics we had so far?

There would be something about 25 threads on halving. Though there are few more months it keeps on counting, might reach above 100 at times of halving.

I could say 100+ as it approach this caused much excitement.

I believe there are now three more halving threads making 31 in total but I haven't done a proper check I am afraid.

As many has already explained, the effect of halving is yet to surface. The main reason is the current block-size debate as well as the real demand-supply imbalance has yet to set in.

Most likely the effect of halving will be seen a few months after the real reward halving.

That may or may not be true, but this is not the thread to discuss the effect of the halving except for its resultant impact upon the number of repetitive and duplicative threads in this sub-forum.

Edited to add : ideally you should start a new thread to say that.

I'm calling shenanigans. You've obviously a whale who's bet big on a high thread count and are now blatantly - blatantly - trying to manipulate the number of new threads. ;)

i think there might be even more because people are actually waiting for it really much and they really want for it to happen in order to earn some good money out of that

i would predict that there will be around 50 all in all because people will start to create even more of it when there will be around a month left till the halving event

If we manage to count the number of times 'halving' is mentioned in the speculation board, I think you will conclude that there is nothing else in the minds of the people here.  ;D

I think it is a bit like with ICOs: you have an explosion on the first three days when you get a lot of volume, then nothing happens until the very last moment and then again a WAVE (pun intended) of late-comers makes the volume. Same with halving topics. We are currently traversing the boring part of the season, but fireworks are yet to come.

There will be hundreds of halving threads before the July halving time. People are very keen on the topic.

I guess we may be very close to hundred topics already.

I think so...New threads about halving sprouts like mushroom specially in the speculations...I was looking around on new threads yesterday, I think the craig wright threads are also increasing in number.. kidding...  :)

Too many - but that's a sucker bet as there are ALREADY too many.

 8-O

no over 9000.... spazzdla is greatly saddened.

Honestly, the number of "Halving" threads are terrifying. They are like an unstoppable force of spammers. Newbie accounts, one-liner/word posts, it's a little annoying. Expect more "halving" threads to popup by June and July as it gets closer to the halving.

and then we find new things to repeat over and over again

sometimes it's also fun to bump some old threats (especially the ones that have price predictions in them).

$10 by next week!

and watch people react to a prediction from 2012 without realizing it's 2012 because they didn't actually read the post but they only read the title]

hilarious.

Two more weeks have passed and we are starting being literally flooded by halving topics.
The worst thing about it is, we still have more than two months to go.
I guess we get another couple of hundreds of new threads about halving from today till then.

http://imagizer.imageshack.us/a/img922/7489/qnW7oM.jpg

http://www.thehalvening.com/






53 Days.




Bank-Run ... quick !