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Title: Short-term target? Post by: AmazonStuff on May 01, 2013, 09:53:25 PM Please share your opinion :)
http://www.negotiationisover.net/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/target-300x300.jpg Title: Re: Short-term target? Post by: uMMcQxCWELNzkt on May 01, 2013, 09:56:49 PM You should add $180+ and $40- just for the sake of those who believe in either of the extremes.
Title: Re: Short-term target? Post by: AmazonStuff on May 01, 2013, 09:58:28 PM You should add $180+ and $40- just for the sake of those who believe in either of the extremes. Here, you have extremes now :D Title: Re: Short-term target? Post by: evolve on May 01, 2013, 10:17:16 PM Depends on what you mean by "short term" (Weeks, days, hours, minutes?). I voted $80 and assumed we were talking about days.
Title: Re: Short-term target? Post by: AmazonStuff on May 01, 2013, 10:20:35 PM Depends on what you mean by "short term" (Weeks, days, hours, minutes?). I voted $80 and assumed we were talking about days. OK, let's say 24h Title: Re: Short-term target? Post by: AmazonStuff on May 01, 2013, 10:23:23 PM Currently, results look like normal distribution...
Title: Re: Short-term target? Post by: Ichthyo on May 02, 2013, 12:30:31 AM Currently, results look like normal distribution... ...centred roughly at the current price with a bias to slightly lower values in the centre of weight, but with a more developed tail on the up side Title: Re: Short-term target? Post by: arepo on May 02, 2013, 05:48:17 AM straight to zero, of course ::)
edit: Currently, results look like normal distribution... ...centred roughly at the current price with a bias to slightly lower values in the centre of weight, but with a more developed tail on the up side this is a really good model. the normal distribution is a probabilistic representation. i wonder how one would go about calculating the skew? Title: Re: Short-term target? Post by: notme on May 02, 2013, 06:00:31 AM straight to zero, of course ::) edit: Currently, results look like normal distribution... ...centred roughly at the current price with a bias to slightly lower values in the centre of weight, but with a more developed tail on the up side this is a really good model. the normal distribution is a probabilistic representation. i wonder how one would go about calculating the skew? Skew = (mean - median ) / (standard deviation) Title: Re: Short-term target? Post by: seleme on May 02, 2013, 06:17:10 AM Don't have idea and nobody does. Act as it happens, that's the only way you can deal with bitcoins market, unless you're the one who can make things happen.
Title: Re: Short-term target? Post by: arepo on May 02, 2013, 06:37:38 AM straight to zero, of course ::) edit: Currently, results look like normal distribution... ...centred roughly at the current price with a bias to slightly lower values in the centre of weight, but with a more developed tail on the up side this is a really good model. the normal distribution is a probabilistic representation. i wonder how one would go about calculating the skew? Skew = (mean - median ) / (standard deviation) executing that on historical price data would be simple. the question is, is it a functioning indicator? is the height above the peak of the distribution indicative of deviation from a trendline? time-scale matters here as well. |
