Bitcoin Forum

********************NEWEST UPDATE*********************
Ok bitcointalk! I have been hard at work over this last week. I have just put the finishing touches on my site!

I will be posting a new topic soon about how to identify pricing bottoms by utilizing the creation cost. It needs a couple more revisions, but it will be ready today or tomorrow.

Here is the link to my site again:

https://www.amsinger.org (https://www.amsinger.org)

As always I love your opinions and criticism. You need friction to make fire ;)

Aaron

P.S. The next client research will be covering the price volatility increases when bitcoin is high above the creation cost.

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*****************UPDATE*******************

Thanks so much everyone for your opinions and views!

I am setting up a complete redesign of the site, and I will be back in around a week with all new research and probing bitcoin questions.

The site will be down while I make all the upgrades and rebalance the scales.

Bitcointalk is one of the few places where you can go to meet crypto people. I am honored to speak and share my data and views with you all!

Love and hard work,

Aaron

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Here is an overview of how to find and UNDERSTAND your risk while investing in crypto. If you want to see how it works click this link:



I have previous posts on here explaining an optimal entry point based on fundamentals on Feb 7. This is an explanation of May 2 to May 27.

Creation Cost - The variable cost it takes to create a bitcoin

On May 2 BTC risk hit its lowest since February. BTC was 15.1% above its price floor This is a rare and likely profitable situation. The price floor represents the price at which whales start buying due to the natural cash flow of cryptocurrency. It represents the point of strongest buying capability in the market.

On May 27, after the 59% price spike, the risk level increased to 55.5%. The price had virtually no support and due to the high price every miner and holder with any awareness of risk levels was selling and not holding.

I created fundamental analysis in order to provide my clients the information that they need to measure risk and understand the crypto market. With the fundamental price floor you know automatically if the price is low or high. $3000/BTC was INCREDIBLY high 4 years ago, $3000/BTC now is a mortgage-your-house steal. With price floor and cash flow analysis my clients know when the market is high and when it is low.

I truly hope that you find this information useful to you. I made this because of the pain I felt in Nov 2018. I needed to know why it didn't go to zero, and I found the price floor.

Aaron

Helpful Links:

I hope that bumping is allowed, because I believe that this is an important topic especially recently.

This information is timely as a number of people could benefit, at least educationally. Practically speaking, bitcoin prises can defile technical analysis which means there is always an amount of risk attached to trading

Very true. Understanding risk is the cornerstone of ANY investment. I can't stop the mania, but I can help people profit from it.

This topic will always be relevant. Many people are not able to understand and correctly identify their risks. This is a whole separate science. You are right to spread this information.

I am honored by your responses. It is good when experienced people say such kind words.

Aaron

Several critical risks plague this asset class and stand in the way of broader market adoption and stability.

Risks that jeopardize cryptocurrencies and stand in the way of market progress are:

Technological Risks: The computational complexity and energy consumption of bitcoin mining are some of the technical limitations of cryptocurrencies. For this, investors should be aware of technological risks and false promises of decentralization that are being made in many projects.

Human Error: At the crypto whale end of the market, the high profile nature and public quality of large asset holders may expose people to direct physical security threats, such as ransom or extortion.

Care, Custody, and Control: Apart from the intangible nature of cryptocurrencies, one of the major issues in the market is care, custody, and control. Not every crypto investor can afford this level of security, but all are subject to the emerging nature of custody, and control.

This topic was aimed more at analyzing the financial risk of crypto and less the infrastructural and logistical risks.

Apologies if it wasn't clear,

Aaron

in fact every investment must have a risk but how do we minimize the risk by analyzing and predicting a surge in prices and when we have to buy and sell.

The purpose of my site and all my posts is to show people that the creation cost forms the basis for understanding risk. It is highly unlikely someone will be selling new Ford Fusions for less than it costs Ford to make a Ford Fusion. Bitcoin is no different.

If you know the creation cost, you know how low it can go. If you know how low it can go, you can gauge the risk of your investment. I demonstrate that here on my site:

https://www.amsinger.org/sample-analysis (https://www.amsinger.org/sample-analysis)

Please give it a look when you have a chance and see that it is very possible and important to gauge risk in crypto.

Pleasure talking to you,

Aaron

P.S. Low risk is generally good to buy, high risk is generally good to sell.

I think it's a nice initiative to talk to people about important things they should do before investing. And risk assessment is definitely crucial (when you invest, you gotta know what your 'odds' are, so to speak). Yet this topic seems to be overlooked very often. When people discuss investments, they usually stress the importance of doing research on what kind of coin this is, what is its market cap, use cases, dev team, etc. But not "what are the chances this coin will go up or down". I am not sure that it's possible to predict the risks accurately, though, but even trying to do so is better than completely neglecting this aspect.

If you know the creation cost, you know your risk. After entering low risk you profit off the volatility. That is the type of information I give my clients.

Volatility is to be profited off not be afraid of.

Aaron

Only very rarely are the most efficient creation costs crossed by the price. That is a true nature of almost any market. No new car is sold at cost by Ford. No new bitcoin is sold at cost by the "Ford" of bitcoin mining.

I give my information to my clients to minimize their risk and increase their confidence in their trading. I can't wait for the market to fully correct and my clients know when the bottom is in using similar data to the data in this link:

https://www.amsinger.org/open-research (https://www.amsinger.org/open-research)

I hope that I have given you a bit more confidence in your trading too ;)

Aaron

Understanding you risk is knowing the price at when to buy and price at when to sell never be greedy or over ambitious this would spell trouble for any investor also know that everything is a risk here but we still have to make a decision

What are you making a decision based on my friend? If you don't have numbers and cash flow analysis for an investment you are flying blind. I am trying to get people to use risk in crypto so they can understand why these type of situations happen.

Without risk analysis how do you know what is high or low?

please, please, please, use the numbers

Link is up top,

Aaron

Frankly speaking, I still do not understand all the risks of crypto investments. But I hope that this knowledge will come to me eventually

The higher the risk, the more it will be profitable. Cryptocurrency is a risky investment. We need to understand that if we invest in cryptocurrency, we can lose our capital. That is why we need to know it before we enter. Some of our fellow traders take this investment as an easy money. So, they never assumed that they will be lost when they will create mistakes.

but the risk in crypto is not only from knowing the price when buying and the price when selling it. more broadly it is clear what happens with crypto we also have to understand. like nowadays crypto is often used as a fraud because the number of projects that are running and what is obtained is not comparable so it becomes a scam. so to join Crypto must be prepared to not be lazy to do research so that it does not happen with the unwanted.

It's difficult to predict !

That's the risk you need to attempt when you decide to invest on crypto.
For example : I've invest on bitcoin over 5 years and it's really amazing experience so far !

With some regret make me to determine what action I will do in the future ( HOLD )

i am wondering whether anybody is going to buy what you are selling them here which is your guesswork. specially now that in less than 2 weeks  you have a terrible track record of always predicting the wrong thing.

In all this I promote knowing creation cost data, so that people can more effectively know when the market is low.

I suggest to people to know, not guess, their risk.

I suggest to people to see bitcoin as the financial tool that it is, and not think it is somehow magical.

I aim to help people make safer money in crypto, that is my goal.

Aaron

https://www.amsinger.org (https://www.amsinger.org)

P.S. It really isn't as hard or as stressful as people make it out to be.

Again, I don't make predictions, I tell people the risk.

I have an open and archived portfolio that my clients get to see, they know how "wrong" I am.

It is not guesswork, it is knowledge of the creation costs and understanding that this is a massively manipulated market both upwards and downwards.

I don't think anyone (except the manipulators) knew the price was going to explode to $13.8k. I do know that that price is and was unsustainable for a long period.

Bitcoin rises and falls, any person with any experience in it knows that. All I do is share my experience with my clients and even give much data away for free ;)

Aaron

https://www.amsinger.org (https://www.amsinger.org)

P.S. Only my clients have the most current and the most accurate data.

Yes investing in cryptocurrency is.very risky and I can attest to that after my investment failed in 2018 where I was expecting a bull run but it did never happen so there during the bear I lost much of the money. Now, I am starting to learn more about how risky it is investing in bitcoin but if learn well then there could be a fast and easy money.

It is good that you are thinking in this manner. When you know the risk levels it is much easier to invest at the right times and make profit. Check out this article where I explain why a feb 7 investment was very low risk:

https://www.amsinger.org/open-research (https://www.amsinger.org/open-research)

I made all this to make crypto investing easier and less difficult to learn.

Aaron

You invested on the wrong time. You invested just because of the hype. And also, you haven't lost anything if you haven't sold any coins. The values  of the coin dropped, not the number of coins you invested. Just keep holding it until you reached your desired profit goal.
And stop considering crypto currencies as a way of making fast and easy money!

That is why it is usually best to do the opposite of what everyone is telling you to do.  Like when the complete newbs that don't understand technology start to buy bitcoin that is when you know its time to sell.  When you see bitcoin all over mainstream news telling you to buy, its time to sell.

I mostly agree, That is not always correct, but that method would help you avoid the major traps.

Wouldn't you want to know the true data behind your actions. Be aware of everything the news as well as the fundamental risk?

Check out my site man. If you are trading more than $1000 it is truly worth it.

https://www.amsinger.org (https://www.amsinger.org)

Peace love and higher profit!

Aaron

It seems to me that if you compare the situation with what you are talking about today, today you definitely cannot buy Bitcoin, because it will lead to bad consequences.  the price is already starting to inflate the numbers, but nevertheless you can still make money on the difference in price, because for several days the price still fluctuates within certain limits.

Very true, if you trade on volatility you are in paradise right now ;)

Aaron

Bitcoin is number one in the cryptocurrency industrial, hence crypto is a digital asset, which take many process to be listed in the public market, Secondly crypto has no specific prize, it always fluctuate, and also has high risk of lost and profitable, base on the prospect on the coin.

Good thing you're sharing that information. Understanding the risks of crypto is very useful and very necessary for us. So this is really something that everyone should learn.

This is the main point, of course in all aspects of crypto.
Know when to enter and when to exit. Actually if we look at a glance, every time is a suitable time for entry but we also have to look at the market conditions at that time, whether stable or not. If Bitcoin is bullrun and you wanna entry to the alts, then it's not the time, the probably for getting more red is possible.

There are many financial aspects to it that grant bitcoin and other coins stability. The needs of the miners and the cash flow that they have at hand form the basis of value for any proof of work coin. When the bitcoin price is close to the creation cost it is similar to buying "wholesale". When the price is high and far from the creation cost it is similar to buying "retail".

I want to make it easier for people to know when bitcoin is "on sale" if you will. I want more people to buy it wholesale. I think that is the right thing, rather than lie to people.

Thank you for your view. I wish you great profits!

Aaron

Thank you for your very kind words. I am happy to spread understanding and help people. It is my calling, and I am proud to save people from suffering.

My pleasure,

Aaron

I partially agree, if you have patience and little care for efficiency you could have bought bitcoin at $1000 5 years ago and waited 4 years to get profitable.

I made my analysis so people can see clearly when it is actually low and a good deal. I don't want people to be burnt like they were in early 2018 I don't think it is super healthy to burn people over year+ long bear cycles. If the market was more stable it would be less painful for everyone.

Thank you for your contribution,

Aaron

Fast and Easy money mindset will just put you into trouble or messing up your investment pattern.
Its true that you haven't lost anything as long you are still holding your coins.Recovery is inevitable
but your patience would be primarily be tested out.

There are 2 major risks which I believe is predominant in crypto. First is the loss of investment as a result of price fall, this part is very scary because you can decide to hodl a certain coin only to come back and discover that it has lost its value. Secondly is the issue of security, one has to be very careful else the person will become a victim of crypto wallet hack.

Well these two are very major and are common risks in crypto. This is the reason why we have to study and understand first the nature of crypto before deciding to invest in it. There are so many risks when it comes to crypto investment and we might just end up losing our money if we cannot learn on how to survive from these risks.

Nice.
Crypto world involves two big main things, profit, and risk.
And how to know the risks, we can learn from ourself experience, others, and also crypto information. So far, we know that the risks of crypto worlds are losing, scammed, and also phishing and more other shitcoins. However, those risks always lead us for the better condition in order to be more aware and careful to avoid the risks.

The only way you can really understand the risks in crypto is knowing the basic ideology of the entire nature of the crypto ecosystem. This helps you to develop good strategies and plans to maximize your profits from your investments...

I can't tell you all how happy I am to see people sharing their experiences and views on this difficult and complex topic. I assume most of us have both made lots of money and lost lots of money in crypto.

The nature of crypto is very isolated, for example I have only met 3 other people that invested in crypto in real life. It has been difficult and painstaking to learn my crypto lessons. It is very nice to hear you all share your lessons and to see what you look for and think about when you look into crypto.

My heart is warmed by this.

I hope more people feel comfortable sharing their views,

Aaron

indeed the second point that you describe is a fundamental thing that becomes a risk which is scary for users, but the risks we have to manage with the good one does is take the right financial decisions and use a multilayered security to minimize hacker attacks. in addition, we should not be careless and should be able to learn and understand the various cases that occur so that we can prevent the risks that may occur

the biggest risk that you need to understand, specially when you are entering the cryptocurrency market also known as altcoin market, is the risk of pump and dumps since they are the dominating force in the altcoin market and that is what you see every day of the week.
and since pump and dump is something 100% unpredictable, you will always be at the risk of getting dumped on by the pumpers who are controlling that altcoin's price and unfortunately there is no escaping that which is why many investors tend to never even get into any altcoins.

It's just as good as that. Before investing, you should invest in thinking or analyzing news analysis. However, most investors do not complain about this. They only invest on the basis of the market growth and invest in them.

As I see the article about it, I can say that it will be very knowledgable to all people who use cryptocurrency and those who will just about to use any cryptocurrency. Well, it is pretty obvious that investing in cryptocurrency involves risk because money is also involved right. But, there are some guides in this article to know easily how and what to do before investing in a new project or any coin.
I just hope they just elaborate on some terminologies that they use in the article.

I lost 2.35 bitcoin due to a security failure a few years back... It wasn't worth much then, but now it is worth a hearty chunk o change lol

Live and learn, and also don't make passwords while under the influence  ;)

We all have to grow and develop to become the professionals that we strive to be. Opsec is now #1 priority for me, and I have never lost a single coin since :)

Aaron

I truly believe forex and crypto are matches made in heaven. I lean towards fundamental analysis based on creation costs more than technical analysis. This has led me to be usually too early in my trades, which I am always striving to improve. In 2017 I was too early on numerous trades by 2-4 months. Now I have generally shortened that to 1-2 months. I have learned that the market moves slower than I originally expected, and I have developed my risk analysis with that in mind.

You can find my crypto fundamental analysis here:

https://www.amsinger.org/sample-analysis (https://www.amsinger.org/sample-analysis)

Markets are constantly changing and growing, good analysis is what gives us the power to measure that.

Aaron

Which article are you referring to, and what terminologies would you like clarification on?

I am happy to help,

Aaron

i think the best way to understand the risks in crypto is to experience it
oh my God i am speaking through my experience , its true . Sometimes knowing it is not enough
you think you know it but suddenly it slams to your face but then its a lesson learn.
Respect the Market , accept that not all you think is right. then you lessen the risks.

You must realize that you will take risks every day working with cryptocurrencies before you start dealing with Bitcoin and tokens. Risks can be not too high if you invest in reliable BTC and Ethereum.

The simplest formula to understand risk of market is to get knowledge about the Bitcoin History, if you have figured that out right, it will for sure bring results for us. However, if we are going in without doing our search on the history of Crypto (https://cryptolinks.com/900/historyofbitcoin), it will just not put us on right side. So this is where we really have to be watchful and try digging as deep as we can. It is the only and actual way that we will be able to benefit through.

Risk is part of our life when you try something new like investing and buying in cryptocurrency. If you are a risk taker then invest more of your money and if you want to buy coins that you think has a good potential to pump in the future then do it. Every people have their own decision when it comes to investments  and always be ready for the results of your choice.

Aside from these detailed info analysis, one must somehow understand and get to know their own "gut feel" surrounding everything (after filtering all that noise). Since after all is said and done, the ball definitely stops at some point and one must ultimately decide to trigger those inner demons to either buy or sell, or still hodl instead. :o

It's simple man, in Holding long term there is none.

Of course that there will always be the what if possibility inside our minds but we need to overcome those doubts and keep going. Of course, each person is responsible for their own actions and that is what scares many.

It's great to understand, this market  encrypted because it is a market with great risk and variations, but because of this variation it ends up attracting many users without information, eventually investing and losing everything!

The main issue here its hype. The majority don't even know what they're investing in and would prefer to listen to the crowd. And after that prices crash once you've bought into it. It's really important to arm yourself with bits of knowledge before hopping on the hype train.

Profit and Risk are directly proportional to each other. The higher the risk, the higher are the chances of profit. Since bitcoin & crypto are volatile in nature, both profit and risk are high. You can gain quick money and lose all money if you are not careful in crypto and trading.

That's the risk on a positive side but what about the other side?
Well, here is a thing, i'd rather take the risk of losing while learning everything than losing without even understanding something.
Crypto world is a very risky place which means if you don't know anything you will be left with nothing if you try to get something without knowing something first.

That method is incredibly dangerous. If you do that you will get your money taken from you. Crypto news is propaganda, not even thinly veiled propaganda.

If you want to invest with knowledge of the true risk, check out my site:

https://www.amsinger.org (https://www.amsinger.org)

I made it so people don't have to trust "crypto news" which is like trusting a politician,

Aaron

This is not an educated statement. This statement is false.

If I am walking on the edge of a cliff my risk is high, but I have nothing to profit off. You are promoting nonsensical and dangerous views of "investing", and I am very inclined to slap a:

THANK YOU PAID TROLL

All caps warning on this.

If you want true information about risk, check out my site:

https://www.amsinger.org (https://www.amsinger.org)

Always a pleasure slapping trolls,

Aaron

You are literally telling people to lose their money in halting English. Man, you trolls have totally cooled down after the pump and during the dump.

That is like saying if you are swimming it is better to drown to learn how to swim than it is to not drown by not swimming. What kinda non logic is that.

THANK YOU PAID TROLL.

If you would like to learn and be aware of everything I have learned in my 6 years of experience, check out my site:

https://www.amsinger.org (https://www.amsinger.org)

I made it so people don't have to "learn" how this guy is saying to learn.

Aaron

I think there is always a risk whenever we want to invest in something here in cryptocurrencies. The market is volatile and may damage the amount of money we have even though we do thorough research. But I think cryptocurrencies will never die and even though we make a mistake in investing, as long as we stick in the right coins, we will still be able to earn a profit.

Understanding the risk in cryptocurrency can't be understood being an outsider. Only on practical usage one can get to know about the risk in it. With the experience we gain with time it is possible to overcome the risk, at very specific times it won't be easily overcome. To be good with cryptocurrency user need to be observe the market moves very precisely.

investment in cryptocurrencies is full of risks, before investing you should learn and recognize the cryptocurrency that will be invested. The risk caused is not only about losing some money but the metality risk caused by the cryptocurrencies price that often change, the price jump in cryptocurrencies can cause panic and even euphoria, it is better to prepare yourself before entering the investment market.

To understand the risk in crypto we should know that cryptos is volatile because of being decentralized system and all our investment is unassured because no third party regulated for protection and much more if hackers steal our assets as the fact that our investment are floating on internet.

I think there is not only risk in crypto in the world of other investments that there is always a risk.  That is what we must understand.  We cannot avoid risk.  Therefore we must find the least risk. People who have just jumped into the crypto world will find it hard to understand the risks in crypto. You should read a lot and learn about crypto to know and understand the risks that exist in the crypto world.

This is what I aim to help people do, mitigate risk. Crypto is littered with dangers and scams, my site provides a financial basis for investing AT THE RIGHT TIME and devaluing at the right time.

I have coalesced 6 years of my experience in bitcoin into these simple principles and algorithms. The price doesn't naturally go below the creation cost, it is the only thing of stability and structure in the bitcoin/crypto market.

Happy to spread a little more risk awareness,

Aaron

https://www.amsinger.org (https://www.amsinger.org)

thank you for the information provided i was delighted to have received this useful information i also once solved the same thing the price of compilation went up i didn't sell it hoping there would be a bigger one exploding my request was no fear anymore.

This information can be applied on experts and especially the new ones. Being able to recognize risks everytime you invest is a good thing so you won't have any one to blame in the end. Because there are people who blames the coins even though they already know the risks.

The only thing to understand the real risk of cryptocurrency is to experience of a loss. If you already lost many pennies in this industry, you will say to yourself that you are in a risk. However, not all people only learned from their mistakes. I have tried myself to lessen the risk I have encountering since I joined btt via tutz. Until now, I am not easily scammed nor hacked because I really understand what am I doing in this field.

usually high-risk coins are created to be able to pump in high quantities and can be one of the best coins, but may have to carry out continuous analysis and research so that when choosing coins that are at risk of feeling safe and profit is earned

The risk of always in every activity that we do, so even in the field cryptocurrency contain the risk of, to profit we have to dare to take risks but should be measured, if we take risks that it will get huge profits but can also loss. So we should take care wrestle in the field crypto

the solution is learning market progress.
we can analyze the chart of Bitcoin and with every 4 year Bitcoin will have a halfing time.
a year after halfing time is the bigest bullrun of Bitcoin.
it aproved in 2017, so i think 2021 is will have a same time.

As a professional and experienced crypto currency player, we should be wise in taking strategies and measuring risk management. Understanding risk becomes very important to prepare ourselves for the losses and market conditions that will suddenly fall. We can arrange risk and strategy management for this risk after we understand the bitcoin movement throughout the year and then analyze it. That way is the most effective way in my opinion than we just depend on other people's opinions that are not clear.

Bitcoin is still heavily controlled by a small group of whales.  You would have to be a fool to not think this market isn't manipulated.  Additionally we have tether printed that may not even be backed by enough USD to also push the price up.

When it comes to capital market or asset exchange then there is always a certain risk but as crypto is a highly volatile digital market the intensity of risk increases here, therefore, it is important to understand the risk ratio before any execution.

To predict an increase or decrease in a coin is not very easy. Sometimes we are a lot tempted by the words of other people who say that a coin will go out in the end, it turns out it's all bullshit. I suggest you to reduce the risk of investing in cryptocurrency, for the first time we use free money, and avoid purchasing ico coins, buy coins that are included in the top 10. See a lot of volume indicating that the coin is stable, it won't fall from the forecast. Dare to cut if the situation is pressed.

Every investment is risky. That's all we need to remember. But of course, the key is to minimize the risk and do everything you can to be prepared if something went wrong. The risk is one of the features of cryptocurrencies, there is no other choice.

I doubt about that thing chief :^)

Yes yes and yes, but how do you analyze it tho? You can't just look at it without thinking anything dude, many people just "analyze" the price movement and guess what? They didn't even get anything from it. Also understand the risk is not going to help you at all if you don't know what the fuck are you doing.

To understand  risk it is needed  to take risk.. :)
As this  is said that to get more profit we have to take risks.. more  risks means more risks...

Isn't the risk that could give us loses but, it is the way we handle our investment. Have this risk existed since from the very beginning and it worrying for us  cause we live it for a long time. This is why we have to be strong and stay calm, risk will not be a thing to think of but it is a thing we have to ignore of.

People can understand the risk within the world of crypto investment but they just don't want to do it. They are all driven by greed and FOMO and how do I know that? They are the people who will curse crypto when they got burnt and experience a massive loss. They knew the risks in there but they are putting aside the chance that they can also lose because they are in the midst of the bull run effect that you feel like that there is now way you are going to lose.

Well this is difficult   to define  that how to tackle the risk.. or how to understand about risk... first take risk then  you will automatically understand about risk...

Good information but it's a topic that is on a regular so I don't know if bumping it is acceptable.
I would have love to read something from your own knowledge and experience not links from elsewhere

Yessssss the main and most important  thing is a huge risk.. that we have to take the risk..

if we need to understand some thing first we have to touch them. therefore we need to touch crypto to understand the risk. there are many places which we can observe crypto. you can invest small amounty of money in crypto and then you can hold or trade those for understand the risk of crypto. people are fear to trade and invest but they need to understand the risk. if you understand risk without investing. how ever there is a risk when you are investing.

indeed a way to overcome that risk is to dare to take risks, if you never risk then will arise a sense of how to threat it and will eventually understand, but I think we should take the risk in a measured so as not to bear the risk is not too large

Very true, most opinions in February were "bitcoin to 1k". How wrong the loudest opinions were.

A big problem with crypto is the fact that most of the volume is COMPLETELY fake.

This is an SEC memorandum documenting just how face most of the volume in crypto is:

https://www.sec.gov/comments/sr-nysearca-2019-01/srnysearca201901-5164833-183434.pdf (https://www.sec.gov/comments/sr-nysearca-2019-01/srnysearca201901-5164833-183434.pdf)

I operate off the creation cost exclusively.

I put my major investment into bitcoin in March of 2017. I made plenty of mistakes investing in scam ICO's, but still did very well that year. 2018 was downhill for my portfolio, but I began delving into finding true metrics for crypto volume during that time. The happening in Nov 2018 was very painful for me, and that is when I began wondering why BTC didn't go to zero. I asked, why did it stay so stable at $3,300? Over the next 6 months I programmed and designed my metrics for understanding creation costs so I would never be screwed by a 50% haircut for nonsense like Nov 2018. 1.5 months ago I launched my site, and now I am promoting intelligent risk analysis in a nonsensical scam heavy world (bitcoin and crypto). I have been active in crypto for 6 years. I've watched and monitored it constantly.

I understand risk in this arena better than almost anyone else in the world because knowing the creation cost would have kept me safe and aware of all the shenanigans and corrupt behavior of this game.

I publish this information here:

https://www.amsinger.org (https://www.amsinger.org)

That's my story in a nutshell. I hope you like it,

Aaron

It should be tested but in a small form just to learn how things works, afterwards you can decide whether to add more or to be contented with the results, taking the risk might test your emotional capabilities to handle situations around this type of investment, make sure to be aware and ready to cope up.

This is a thread about risk analysis please no shilling for coins here.

You can find information on the topic of the thread here:

https://www.amsinger.org (https://www.amsinger.org)

Thanks,

Aaron

There is a saying on Wall Street:

"A good trader makes a good trade and feels great. A great trader makes a great trade and feels NOTHING."

No need for emotions in trading my friend ;)

Aaron

Exactly what ypu want to deliver about the risk in bitcoin investment most of the peoplle konow that risk but in Bitcoin or crypto in general need to be always active to monitor about the movements of bitcoin in the market to minimize the risk because it is high volatility fluctuations.

Understanding the risks in crypto trading means knowing the exact loss that will be received when the price drops rapidly. For that there is no choice but to sell it to reduce losses even more.
Therefore, crypto traders must continue to update information to find out external and internal factors that will make crypto prices rise or fall. If you are late in knowing the latest info, you can experience a prediction when making a policy.

If they want to earn, they need to understand that.

That is the reason why I don't like referring or inviting or introducing my friends or my parents to Bitcoin or any other cryptocurrencies. They are not used to this kind of volatility and the one who will be taking the blame when they lose is obviously me even though they did not even listen to me to all of the things I warned them.

At least once every 24 hours bumping is allowable in forum,but you have to delete the former bump so the thread will remain clean and neat

Regarding to your thread ,this is very helpful to newbie specially those hesitant to invest when they have already some ideas in how to profit here

That’s not an actual investors mate,those are a fly by night kind of investors who’s just enter here for gains and not for even learning in which most of the time the reason why they were fails in investing

In cryptocurrency, risk is simply defined and explained as the probability of either increasing or decreasing the amount of funds you have in your wallet by either hodling and buying more or selling your crypto coin as a moment in time. The basic requirement needed to understand risk in the crypto space is knowing what influence the raise and fall of the market value of most crypto coins and understanding the patterns in the trend of the price value. In order to understand this, massive research on the crypto market is the key...

There will always be risks. That is not a problem for as long as you are aware of it. And that you are always monitoring and doing balance in everything. If we remove risks, that means there will be no more gains as well. The rise and fall is always the reason why there are profits as there are risks. Just remind yourself not let greed and other emotions take the better in you.

It seems to me that the entire cryptocurrency market carries with it a big risk due to large fluctuations in cryptocurrency prices.  I think that many users of cryptocurrency faced a problem when you hope for one thing, but in reality you get something completely different.

This is a big reason of why I started my site, and have been making threads about understanding not wild predictions. So many people get lucky or unlucky and extrapolate nonsense from that.

Crypto is a lonely game, we don't usually have people to talk to about it, so it is more difficult to benefit from other people's wisdom.

https://www.amsinger.org/how-it-works (https://www.amsinger.org/how-it-works)

Aaron

this is a good piece of advice to many who do not understand crypto currency risks.

I think everyone should be aware that the cryptocurrency market is really very risky. But in this market it is possible to make a lot of money if you take a risk. The most important thing is not to lose your head and not to get into debt and loans

The most important thing is to make money in bitcoin. Your mindset is the mindset you would want in cattle headed for the slaughter house.

I want people to be aware of their risk, not wish on stars.

Aaron

https://www.amsinger.org (https://www.amsinger.org)

Crypto's too volatile market that's the main risk. It's even more than the risk in the traditional market.

Crypto is the risk. And any investment is the risk.

Crypto gets less volatile the closer it gets to the creation cost. The volatility was exceptionally low from December to April, when the price was being supported by the miners. Check out the graph here:

https://www.amsinger.org/how-it-works (https://www.amsinger.org/how-it-works)

You can see the increase in volatility in the 2017-2018 market.

the reality is still, everyone can't understant what risk they have do when invest on crypto and fud every where when loss them money

All things in our lives carry their own risks, especially in cryptocurrency. I think cryptocurrency is an investment that can be categorized in the high-risk investment. The risk is something that cannot be avoided, but we can minimize it by researching the projects or coins that we will follow or buy. Starting from the white paper, roadmap, team, benefits of the coin, the market to be entered and many more. Sometimes after everything looks good but in the end, we still have to bear a bad risk. That often happens. But at least we have tried to manage all the risks that will occur and prepare to face the worst risks that might occur.

not everyone  . most of us do already understand what is risk on cryptos but there are few that enters instantly without knowing the risk what they will be facing .   understanding the risk is easy , all you gotta do is read the definition of cryptos  . you will see that cryptos are volatile or unstable  .

after that , you will only learn how to apply this   . applying is the difficult thing of them all  and this is why most of crypto users fail   .

Cryptocurrency, for some people may still be unfamiliar when they hear it. Cryptocurrency or crypto currency is a digital currency or has no form and is predicted to replace fiat currency because it is considered more profitable.Because crypto prices are fluctuating depending on market demand, and because the number of crypto is limited so that it will not experience inflation. Crypto trading is one way to invest by making transactions to buy, sell, and trade crypto assets that produce a difference as a profit. People want their investment to always go up, this is natural, but there is no guarantee that crypto will rise. Crypto is unpredictable, and this is precisely what causes people to be interested.
My advice, buy the crypto amount that you like in an amount that is not too large and don't over think it. If possible, do the transaction in crypto, asking that you be paid with crypto. This is another way to get crypto without retail prices.
Beginner investors should start investing in small amounts.  If you want to understand the risk of crypto, then my advice is you have to take part, so you can study and participate in an initial coin offering (ICO).

I think that the risk in the cryptocurrency market is not 50 to 50% of winning or losing, but perhaps 99% plus 1. Only you will win, or you will actually lose.  First of all, it is the volatility of cryptocurrency that increases the risk for each investor.

Isn't it better to use data to help you make those decisions?

https://www.amsinger.org (https://www.amsinger.org)

Consider the main risks of investing in virtual currency:
1) Theft or loss by negligence
If any attacker gains access to the investor’s private secret key, then he can steal all the contents of the digital wallet.
2) The risks associated with cyber security
Hackers can crack virtual currency trading platforms.
3) Virtual Currency Fraud
Since the creation of Bitcoin, its adoption has grown exponentially, making it the most popular virtual currency used throughout the world. Unfortunately, with the increasing popularity of cryptocurrency increases and the number of scammers who want to make money on it.
4) Lack of consumer protection
The unpleasant fact is that Bitcoin does not provide any consumer protection. Completed transactions can no longer be undone. All you can do after a failed transaction is to try to convince the recipient of funds to voluntarily return them. This is due to the fact that there is no guarantor-intermediary, as is the case with bank cards.
5) High volatility
Bitcoin value fluctuations are, in general, practically unpredictable in the short term, and this adds riskiness to it. Financial experts can relatively accurately predict the value of the dollar, the euro and other real currencies or stock quotes. But no one can predict exactly what the cost of Bitcoin will be tomorrow.

It depend on what investments you do in crypto mate,because if you are willing to wait and trust bitcoin then the opportunity of losing will turns a little not like if you do daytrading or short terms.thats what I can vouch in my years in this market

We all know that every investment has a profit and at the same time there is a loss. risk (loss) is one of the elements incorporated in the business (buying and selling coins / trading) that is inseparable. By having good risk management and capital management, of course hoping to help minimize all risks to be able to adapt to the wild market.

By applying the risk management that comes is to maximize the chance of greater profits coming. The trading strategy is to carry out trading activities continuously, in this case the problem is to sell at a higher price than when buying and doing it regularly, but in trading we need a solid strategy to read where the market will move. test by predicting the movement of coins.
NB: players can start trading when the trend of the price of coins is going up / down, because what they are looking for is selling higher to buy when it's cheap for long-term hold.

There is not a single professional trader who skips risk management in his daily routine. In crypto trading, there are some specific tips for better managing risk management, some examples are:
Don't overtrading
Determine Your Risk Level
Use Stop and Limit Orders as Needed
Calculate your Risk / Reward Ratio
Control Fear

*****************UPDATE*******************

Thanks so much everyone for your opinions and views!

I am setting up a complete redesign of the site, and I will be back in around a week with all new research and probing bitcoin questions.

The site will be down while I make all the upgrades and rebalance the scales.

Bitcointalk is one of the few places where you can go to meet crypto people. I am honored to speak and share my data and views with you all!

Love and hard work,

Aaron

******************************************

Cryptocurrency is a lottery and there will always be a risk. Only by getting to know the market well can you avoid it. You have to learn from mistakes. And do not do them again ...

I followed the link to the site from the message of the author of this topic, saw the chart of the bitcoin price. But why this graph presents 2018? After all, now 2019 year. It's strange and not very true. The fortune teller assumes, but the market maker decides. ;)

I saw it also, and maybe OP is thinking that 2019 market scheme will be the same as what happened last year.
Talking about the risk, it is really high and if we mismanage this thing, it simply making our financial capabilities down. This is why we should have knowledge in crypto investment for it will be causing us to be a dead one.

It is really easy to understand risk on crypto. We all know that crypto is unpredictable and it is known as the most high volatility market that can make us gain or loss depending on our own way of understanding into it. So i think by simply looking at the market that is high on volatility we can maybe say that crypto is really risky.

Understanding is the easiest part but taking the risk is what they/we cant take easily.Only fiew low iq people cant understad the risk of a thing they are going in or just simply they dont care about it.

For me, to understand risk in crypto first, you should know about cryptocurrency especially in bitcoin that the price is very fluctuating and if you invest some money you should do your studies about this cryptos and make sure spend some money that you can afford to lose. Also, there are some many things to consider to understand the risk in crypto that only depends on what will you choose. :)

Types of risks
Market
These risks are directly related to the asset.
Nonmarket
Situations that may arise in the world and locally provoke losses.
Systemic
Risks that threaten the whole of cryptoeconomics.
When you invest in cryptocurrencies, you need to understand that the value of any asset mainly consists of community faith in a bright future, and when any information, news, settlement or bans at the government level affect the community opinion, the likelihood of its occurrence is in doubt, which leads to community frustration and loss of faith in this brightest future, and then this share of expectations, which formed the price, is blown away.

In general investing in crypto is a high risk investment, it doesn't matter how high the value is.
Even if you invest in solid coins, you are still at a high risk, just like for example, ETH made an ATH at above $1,000 and people invested because it's the best coin in the altcoins market, but it falls even fall below $100 and that's a big loss for whoever invested it at above $1,000, so that says how risky investing is.

Those are the minimum things to step into this market. cryptocurrency is an open market that is not strictly controlled. This has a great impact on the value and effect of the community and vice versa. The value of bitcoin and crypto are marketed under freedom. For me, when you understand, risk is also an opportunity. Take advantage of it or throw it away. That is everyone's choice.

There is a lot of risk when investing in the cryptocurrency market, which is the way many people think when they invest in this market. To limit investors' risk, learn carefully about basic trading methods, security and deep research on coins that you want to invest to minimize your failure. Referring to many sources to make timely decisions is also a factor that should be considered.

In reference to current bitmarket situation - nobody guarantees that your investments and your money are safe. This is one of the examples of how risky the cryptocurrency market is.

I think risk is inseparable part of every investment, even if you are really into cryptocurrencies and fully informed about it, there are so many factors which could be out of your control, for example crypto exchange BitMarket, suddenly closes down because of ‘loss of liquidity’ we will never know how much truth there is, maybe it was just a scam

yea crypto is risk, somany crypto have in the world. but we are don't know about all crypto. frist we need to know about crypto and choice the original crypto and invest. i think if we are select any wrong crypto and invest, then we can lost every thing. so it is good point for all bitcoin holder that select right crypto. just we need to follow toper good quality crypto and invest then we can get gainer in future.

********************NEWEST UPDATE*********************
Ok bitcointalk! I have been hard at work over this last week. I have just put the finishing touches on my site!

I will be posting a new topic soon about how to identify pricing bottoms by utilizing the creation cost. It needs a couple more revisions, but it will be ready today or tomorrow.

Here is the link to my site again:

https://www.amsinger.org

As always I love your opinions and criticism. You need friction to make fire ;)

Aaron

P.S. The next client research will be covering the price volatility increases when bitcoin is high above the creation cost.

*******************************************************

Relevant topic. Some people come in crypto and start complaining bout the loses. Learn the market and the risks first before investing.

risk management is a must know in crypto but may are just in for the cash and quick money which end up in lossing everything , this is actually a good topic to learn from but in every day activities by crypto we learn each day but the little you know about cant be gone any day but will definitely be a useful one.

Understanding the risk in Crypto might take some time if you have just started Cryptocurrency recently. Users wont be able to understand it completely if they do not know what technology is being used and how the Cryptocurrency Industry works. There are always risk involving personal investment. Investing is already a risk if you do not know where will the money go. We have to be careful creating decisions because a lot of users are already losing big amounts of money due to carelessness.

Everyone should think of the risk and the reward in crypto, it cannot be focus on the reward alone as that would surely make us fail investing here.
When we know the risk, meaning, we understand how this works and since since it's a high risk, we should know how to deal with this kind of high risk.

As for me, I don't put a lot of money in crypto as I know I could lose a lot here if I fail but  when I earn, I think I wish I could put more, but realize I should not because that's some kind of greed in me will make me fail if the opposite outcome happened.

Crypto itself is risky. But understanding this, simply educate yourself before engaging to avoid disappointment and to ready your self that it is volatile and change is inevitable. You know, in a war before you join the battle you need preparation and be well equipped. Just like here, you have to learn to deal with your emotions. Being emotional will not take you long, over braved might lose what you have. Understand first the word risk, it is an act that might happen with uncertainty.

Have you ever thought about the risks of investing and how to reduce them? So, no matter in which field you are involved, it is important to understand that any business is associated with certain risks. This is especially true of investing, that is, the investment of your savings in specific assets. It is important to note that whatever financial instrument for capital increase you choose, there is no 100% guarantee against possible losses. Moreover, the attitude to various kinds of investment risks largely depends on whether the investor receives income from his investments or remains at a loss. That is why every investment person should definitely understand the subject of investment risks.

Investing in bitcoin is the most risky investment because of the volatility nature of bitcoins and altcoins. If you are willing to invest in crypto you should have some holding power because most of the time we buy the bitcoins and it prices move further down. It is difficult for short term investors to survive in this market, but if you come here for long term then there should be no problem for you.
In the long run, the prices will move up.

When judging the risk associated with investing in BTC and cryptocurrency, one important factor to consider is duration of the investment, "how long do you intend holdimg your cryptocurrency?". Provided blockchains dont become vulnerable to some hack from a quantum computer, the risk associated with investing in cryprocurrency long term is almost 0 in my opinion. Look back five years ago. Imagine such exponential growth happens again.

Lol. He had also a point. The thing is, you don't want to accept his views about risk and profits.

We can say that they are complementary. Meaning to say, they are existing with each other. Profits are dependent on the risk. If we risk, we get profits. If we have profits, we risk something.

You would never become a winner unless you bet, that is like a gambling.

Some risks for electronic money such as security, transaction risks, and profits are frequent. Although basic risks are available, investors are also excited to join this network. It is not possible to predict its value but it is also the mystery that curious people cannot easily ignore.

There's risk in every decision and thing we take and do respectively being it a professional work or investing in cryptocurrency. That's why you need to understand the risk in cryptocurrency that everything can happen. You can either lose your money or earn some tokens since its unpredictable to determine the value of cryptocurrencies. Nevertheless, the good thing is that people are joining the network despite the risks involved.

The Coinexx Forex company accepts Bitcoin for Forex trading. Not too long ago, they introduced the BTC/USD pair. So you can actually see what it's like speculating with Bitcoin.   https://coinexx.com/

8)

Agree with Kiefner, this topic will always be hot, I think. At least, as long as cryptos exist. But I believe that crypto risks can be identified with the help of various crypto tools. Recently I have decided to check this theory of mine and installed infobot that is perfect for my exchange, https://t.me/CexIoInfoBot. And I should say that such bots are really useful things. Sure, they will not predict whether Bitcoin will go to the moon or crash, but at least they will inform you about some change in the market or crypto price.

I think you will be more intelligent in understanding the risks in crypto currencies when you have joined the crypto currency seriously. The hours you spend with crypto currencies will lead you to be more experienced, including understanding the risks of crypto currencies and all their predictions in the future. In a simple way to avoid the risk of loss, at the beginning you must be able to recover the capital you spend to invest in crypto currencies. After your capital has returned, the investment that you plant is now the fruit of the profits from your investment.

The bitcoin risk analysis can help novice hot traders not to lose all their money. Thank you for your work, I am sure it will be incredibly useful. I think it would be a good idea to bring in influencer and experienced traders to express their opinions. To do for example a video content for your web site where well-experied crypto users are explaining some possible risks or smth like that

If someone decides to invest in cryptocurrencies this means that they automatically accepts the risk that is connected to that.
Due to the fact that there is a possibility to make a lot of money there is the opposite possibility as well. This means that there is huge risks from those investments. If you take the risk you have the option to make good profits.

As an investor taking risk is the goal. You make every use of any given opportunity. You never can tell where the breakthrough will come. Nothing good comes easy without taking a bold step to success

actually all businesses also have a high risk, especially in crypto currencies also have a high risk, if you are not really good at a good way to invest and trade crypto I think you too do not, will lose profits, and if you can have the ability the good thing is I'm sure you will also get benefits that are easier on crypto.

It is not too hard to understand risk in crypto because the price for every coin increase and decrease in daily so we can know that if we are late to sell the coin when it increases, we will not make any profit. But there is another risk that we should know which is if the price is down, we don't know how long the price will stay in the low price, and we need to learn about the patient, so we can hold the coin for some periods.

I think that it is precisely those cryptocurrency users who have not studied the cryptocurrency market who, and because of their greed, rushed to invest in cryptocurrency at the end of 2017 when it was very dangerous to tell about the risks.  Moreover, such people took loans and sold houses to buy Bitcoin, because they spread the news in the information space that Bitcoin would grow even above $ 20,000.  But we all saw the results in 2018.  Therefore, you need to evaluate all the chances before you start acting in the cryptocurrency market.

Agree with your opinion, that all businesses especially for investment is clearly very high risk. for that we need an accurate analysis in every step that will be done. especially investment in the field of crypto, which is very difficult to guess its movements, but by making frequent transactions and learning the mistakes that are made will make us more wise to move on.

Many thanks and my pleasure, I delved into understanding risk in order to help myself figure out what was happening in bitcoin. Why the massive swings? Why doesn't bitcoin go to zero?! It is very fascinating, and I enjoy delving into the reasons why.

https://www.amsinger.org (https://www.amsinger.org)

I publish my data on my site,

Aaron

In order to understand risk in crypto, you should first accept the fact that there are risks in the crypto ecosystem. Once there is an acceptance, understanding all the risks involved in either trading or investing into cryptocurrencies will be very easy and simple. With acceptance, investors can easily develop investment plans and strategies to meet these risks...

It very risky when you decide to venture into the digital space as everything is about planning, timing and instinct. You lose everything with just a blink  likewise could you make millions of dollars vice versa.

So true, if you want to lessen up atleast the risk in trading, we must study the basic fundamentals of trading like the basic indicators.. Everything around us have a risk.. It's all about is how to handle it... Proper knowledge and information can somehow help us to lessen the risk that we can encounter. 

This is well said, learn to accept that when you understand crypto risks is always involved. In all bussiness you have their is a risks. Learning is knowledge were you can have and that you will adopt when investing in crypto.

I agree, since being an investor or buying bitcoin is a very risky decision and can make your money vanish in an instant or it can grow in an intant. I think the best way to understand the risk of the bitcoin is by taking it. Taking the risk may answer your question since the chance is just 50/50, it may result in either bad or good.

well you ave some good analysis there as the market itsef has must power over everyone analysis which sometime we hope it went south and it turn west or north but still a good mood to buy low and sell high even if is jist a little gain to acumulate more btc which is a major goal for all.

I agree. Every investments even not in crypto has risk to overcome and make it successful. You have to understand the fact that there is always risk in everything and have to learn about it and play with it. You have to know first the risk before choosing to invest because that might lose you everything. Making profits is not always especially when you do not understand the market.

True. analysis in crypto market its still unpredictable. mostly all prediction just a hopes and can even be the opposite. that's what many people should do. but in its actions it is not easy. a lot of pressure from the crypto market itself. buying low and selling high sounds easy to do but to do is very complicated.

Running based on how bitcoin and altcoin price you will know about how risk in cryptocurrency, first time I don't know what is bitcoin and altcoin how faced risk with bitcoin situation but just one month I know all of it.

Cryptocurrencies have their volatilities, that's enough already for you to understand the risks in cryptocurrencies. You could lose your money in investing it on cryptocurrencies if you don't have any knowledge about it, if you will just buy whatever coins you want, say goodbye to your capital and think again if you really want to invest in cryptocurrencies. Google will help you for all of the things you still don't know and always asking yourself what to do to minimize the risks in cryptocurrencies.

The volatility of Bitcoin is not a hindrance if you have the ability to wait, analyze the market and do everything on time. This is me talking about trading. The main thing is not to make hasty decisions, this is the formula for success

To understand the situation on how crypto works that is volatile prices could gives us information the risks in crypto. Actually at first hard to understand but by having reading and getting information from some traders we will get some knowledge and learning the flow in crypto.

You cannot fully understand the risks in crypto until you start trading yourself

It's impossible to detect risk on everyday basis. We can only invest in the moment and hope the price rises. If the price falls, we must be patient until it rises again above the initial buying price. Otherwise, well we can't predict the future.

Very important to know after the most recent crash last week.

https://www.amsinger.org/bitcointalk

In such cases, it is best to make economic calculations and be prepared to buy Bitcoin at low prices. I always hold a financial pillow in order to buy Bitcoin below 7000 dollars and below 5000 dollars.

You can understand when your are joining and investing your money with cryptocurrency risk, when your asset price down you will know how much your money loss and when your assets have higher price you will be glad with how much profit do you get, keep save your money when price down with small lost than you have lost all your money.

Understanding the risk in crypto is easy, you either lose or win. It is lika any other investment. Payments with cryptocurrencies are something new and people see that it is more convinient than normal payments. That's why cryptocurrencies have gain that much popularity. I think that the Bitcoin and other altcoins are the future. I can see the potential they have but I would never risk all my fortune to invest in a crypto. Instead i would invest as much as I can afford to lose. I don't have control over the cryptocurrencies and this is the reason why cannot invets all my money but an investment in crypto is wise. We should ask ourselves "What will happen if in the future people pay only with crypto and flat currencies disappear?".

Risk management is very important factor for us to become successful. Those successful traders and investors have good risk management. I'm a trader and I have good risk management for me to minimize my losses.

Indeed, it is helpful in terms of investing, trading and even in holding a cryptocurrency.
We should understand the risk of every investment, by applying risk management, we should predict and make a decision in the possible things to happen in our investment. Having an alternative action is one of the way to make sure that your investment will give you enough profit.

Those who don't know their risk are really the one who gave up easily, losing their money easily as they don't know the risk associated with what they are doing.

Risking in crypto is fine, but we should know our limits, how much % of our income we are willing to invest with and how much time we can devote to learn about crypto, it is not all about we know the project is great, but we should consider a lot of factors before investing. 

There are many things we need to understand first before we enter or transact with. Risk management is very important for one of us to become successful and perform very smoothly. For being traders and investors, we should be careful for the things we do in our crypto because we like mostly to earn a lot but if there is a risk, it is not be success. Risk management is all we need here in cyrpto.

In every investment, there's always a risk attached in it. With crypto, it's very important that you should know how risky it is to trade or invest in crypto since the price of crypto will never be stabilize since from the start and up to the present. And for us to be able to understand the risk then we should be more patient and focused on reaching our goal why we are here investing in crypto.

being patient and foccused doesnt make you understand the risk  . what if you are  first timer on this industry ? to understand the risk we must read the instrunctions or the manual of crypto  .

 if you are foccus and patient of hodling , you still wont be able to know if what will happen next  . for advanced users  , we already know the risk that entails on cryptos so we must not act like we are noobs on this scene   .

Only trading cryptocurrency assets will bring you more understanding about the situation and trends in the cryptocurrency market. You must have at least 1 year experience in trading on the cryptocurrency market.

Exactly, trading has no secret or no short cut to it, it takes a lot of courage, experience, fail/loss before we will finally learn about it, 1 year experience is good enough if we are contiguously doing trading, at least almost every day, and not when we just want or when we do have time. But, it depends on our capacity to learn it easily, some people has become pro trader in less than a year because they are focus on it.

for me that the topic in your post is very useful for me or other friends in the bitcoin community who have read your posts, actually before we adapt to bitcoin, of course we have to understand more about bitcoin because we have to understand about the risks of the bitcoin market so there is no loss when we invest in bitcoin.

Those are the type of investors that the only reason that keeps them on investing is due to its trend.
They are more focus on making a profit without proper knowledge. Facing the risk is actually one of the factors of being a successful investor. Without facing it and knowing the risk of investment nothing will happen.
If fear comes first when it comes to investing, there is no way that an investor will keep on investing, losing his investment is possible.

Every investment have risk both with online investment and offline investment, before investing with bitcoin people have try to know what risk by investing with bitcoin when bitcoin have lower price. Crypto have big risk when price down and big result when price higher, have to be brave faced with risk of bitcoin and altcoin investment to make you stronger with bitcoin.

To fully understand the risk in crypto , you must be ready to loose a lot of capital. Specially if you are a newbie lots of the risks are unknown
and to exploit crypto you need to understand the true value of the asset you are trading. Most of all on the latter part the top risks that you will be facing is your attitude. Are you going to be hodl, be greedy or be contented?

The cryptocurrency market is very volatile and unpredictable as well. the market has too much volatility which makes it very risky for many investors. though volatility is what makes the cryptocurrency market very profitable as well. remember, the higher the risk the higher the profits. thus, the more risk you take the more money you are going to get. 

With risks in the cryptocurrency market, you need to understand what cycle Bitcoin and Altcoins are currently going through. Of course there is a lot of risk and there is also a chance of making big money here.

You don't need to spend 1 year on understanding the risk of in cryptocurrency, it is too basic for everyone to understand as long as they are not narrow-minded people or don't have a low IQ (that's a different case, lol). Simple googling will help anyone to fully understand what cryptocurrency is and what are the risks we should be aware to avoid conflicts in the long run, the problem is, many people want to be spoon feed (ignore them).

May I know what you want to say? You have roll the same risk factor again and again. When there is growth you need to sell and when the market value started falling you need to sell it as soon as possible.
If you do it in such way means you need to then there is no risks. If you are good in handle it you can make the profit.

They say that the best teacher is the experience that is why it is important to have an experience in trading crypto assets to know what was the real environment in crypto market. Before we enter the crypto world we are probably aware about the risks involve in trading cryptos so we must monitor its price atleast every 2 to 3 days. Also, we dont need to panic. We should use our intellect rather than emotions.

The risk in the cryptocurrency environment is very difficult to understand, because it is a new market, new technologies and even a new economy. Perhaps only in 5 years there will come an understanding of the risks for those who will develop here.

No, for me its easy to understand the risk because I fully understand why crypto is and therefore I know the risk of investing.
If you are an investor, you need to be very ready to loss because investing in crypto is considered a high risk investment, which means you will take a higher risk and you are expecting a higher reward.

But its not an easy task for most of individual to understand the risk of investment.
Investment should be something you can take to lose. If you are not prepared to face that risk, you are somehow not ready or you do not fully understand the investment you took part with.
Its easy to say that crypto investment is risky, but most of investors doesn't even know how to manage the risk itself for their investments.

In order to understand the risks in crypto, you need to have experience in trading

Practically about how to invest with bitcoin and waiting when bitcoin price higher and lower will give you moment how to know risk with bitcoin and altcoin, you can know whit how to faced and ready your self with bitcoin and altcoin investment risk, when price dump you can feel how risk if bitcoin price have dump, always use your investment source from not your saving money for ready when price of bitcoin down.

Yes, you are right, but not necessarily in trading, you need to generally understand investments and finances.

For newbies and most experts, this might seem very difficult.
 But thanks to some platforms which provide education on how to go about the crypto-currency industry, there are unlimited information about crypto

You can understand risk in cryptocurrencies through reading in Trading Discussion, bitcoin discussion and more. There are many topics that involve risk, you can learn a lot on it. Also, research in different sites could make you gain knowledge too.

If you are researcher you can understand crypto if you search and learn about it.
Risk in cryto is there because we can lost our money but in you have smart strategy you can get more profits.

Basically you should know how to handle risk by applying risk management.
Analyzing your investment and evaluate the risk. Without applying risk management, your chances to minimize and to avoid losses is highly expected.

Well, you will understand the risk best once you try loss on your own skin.  :)
However, to avoid that you need knowledge about Bitcoin and the market so try to get aa much information as you can from trusted sources. Also, don't forget that Bitcoin is volatile and majority of risk lies exactly in that feature.
Also, inform yourself about risk management in general, it will also help you with Bitcoin.

waw good information, you are among those who have understood what bitcoin is and the risks, I have come to understand through your writing, I hope everyone here is pleased to read it and make them better understand more about the risks of using bitcoin ..

Exchangers are biggest risk in crypto market we should safe guard our coins every now and then from ex changers and keep it in hardware wallets

Smart strategy can be created with your good experiences, while working around this industry understanding the risk and creating system
to lessen the chance of losing your money, while in the other side, planning your strategy to create good outcome to your work. Crytosphere
have a lots of twist, making the best use of it to gain better chance of earning.

basically you make technical analysis, understanding crypto history every week. Here in my opinion the price of the floor changes with market changes, moreover the market is influenced by news and whales. Do to understand the ups and downs of prices is not just fundamental analysis. You must also understand market behavior.

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Having loss once is the great lesson you'll have because after you lose something you will realize what is wrong with your action yet experience can be considered as one of the most important you ought obtain in this industry. Obtain knowledge as much as you can, never stop learning because this will be your guide to lessen the risk. Planning could be a good option as well.

Volatility is part of the trading, so I won't consider it a major risk, I'll just term it high risk/high reward. you have NANO going up by %10,000 in a few months, that's huge, but also u need to know NANO can collapse %10,000 in one month, this doesn't seem likely though at the current state, but a time might come. therefore you need to know how to take profit and not be greedy.

With high volatility, those who get in at the wrong time or wrong coin can pay dearly. Even with Bitcoin, you can see swings of upwards of 50% within weeks. those who are looking to invest need to know what they are getting into and do research into Bitcoin and the other coins they are interested in. Investment in any market will be bound to the market fluctuations. I think it’d be a safer to go with the stock market but if you want a bigger reward go into the cryptocurrency space especially new born Altcoins.

Risk is always associated with crypto we just have to manage how we can get profit by investing in crypto. The best way to understand risk is market risk, once you start survey on crypto you will get to know which currency is profitable when market is down.

That's just some of the factors we should consider, the risk actually is on the overall market, even with the most stable coin in the market which is bitcoin, investing on it is still considered as a high risk investment. We need to understand in general view that every investment has a risk, here in crypto, the reward is high, therefore its just right to consider it as a high risk investment.

I agree with your opinion, I will also say that experience is the best lesson to understand and avoid risks in trading. indeed we must have knowledge about analysis or trading strategies, but all that is not enough if we never get the risk of trading. we must always look for reliable information, and also we should not be bored in looking for comparisons of our strategies with friends. because in my opinion comparing strategies to many people, can increase our strategy in doing good trading.

To understand all the risks associated with cryptocurrency trading, you need to understand how it works and gain experience in trading.

If we are talking about trading, then this is true. Experience teaches us to be careful and not be a gambler, understand the market. Here, probably the best advice is to trade small sums so that the experience is not very bitter.

Learning not only from your own experience but also when having your own research to expand and have an individual knowledge when it comes to trading. Not everyone can start trading immediately, you can earn experience, but it is not enough to learn everything about it.

Learning and Smart mind is always be our priority don't stop learning because we know that crypto is spreading and improving. a lot of new possible things is for crypto. it is risky but its worth it. learn how to avoid risk of investing and trading. wiser users will always win and don't be carried away of any distractions and attractions. just stick to your knowledge. and be contented.

There are actually lots of risks when we talk about cryptocurrency. Number one about that is scamming because as of now scammers are scattered in every sector here in which sometimes you can not recognize who is saying the truth because they are giving you some facts but instead they are taking advantage of you. I am nearly being scammed before but because I am aware at all times, I prevent that using my own intelligence knowing everything the person said and I am searching and studying if all of that is true, I should see it from myself. You should be aware in every action or decision you make because only one mistake can lose all of your money so be aware and attentive at all times. Since it is a virtual world you cannot just go to the police and say that your money is being stolen. Police cant help you to that. So be AWARE.

The most important thing for me, which is a risk in the world of cryptocurrency, we can lose big within a few hours. In fact
the worst can lose all our capital. Therefore, making the right decision is necessary to avoid risk in the world of cryptocurrency.
Prepare carefully, learn technical and fundamental analysis and follow along news about cryptocurrency. That way you will be
able to read the market, so the decision is taken can be right. Then we can avoid the risk or at least minimize the risks that will
be faced.

The risk I fear is loss and fraud, and it must be fully understood and will be a very valuable lesson so that it does not repeat itself.
What is really needed in Cryptocurrency is knowledge in all matters relating to Cryptocurrency.
so both require more in-depth research before acting, and find accurate information about its truthfulness, and carry out detailed investigations before participating.

There are many risk involve here because crypto don't have physical form and it is dangerous to trust people in the internet  you can lose a big amount of money if you don't undestand the risk or dont have knowledge

I publish risk analysis and tell you what the pros are doing on my site here:

https://www.amsinger.org

I made this thread to help people understand risk months ago.

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Without experimenting it is impossible to understand the risk of cryptocurrency. Most of the time the growth we predict to take place and the reality gets deviated from certain point. This deviation might take towards growth or else downwards. Here we need to be careful with alternative plans. People experiencing loss is termed as risk, this can be overcome by holding until the respective asset turns to be profitable.

We all known that Bitcoin Price is not only rising price so that if we invest we have to choice only to get some profit if the bitcoin falls down you need to hold it remember that bitcoin is imposible to hit $0 and the secondone you have a target price if bitcoin reaches your target price you can sell it. That's why you are always 50/50 investing in Bitcoin. But if you want to get it free you can work here at bitcointalk by promoting projects here and get some rewards.

To really understand it then it comes with experience that you can accumulate through time in your stay in the cryptoworld. Though sometimes we made mistakes but that is a part of the process for us to learn and be better. When you come to a point that you had acquired the ability to not panic when the price started to fall big time as high as the price it had risen which I think is one of the biggest risk that is existing in cryptoworld but not permanent as the market volume became massive so as well as the volatility would lessen.

If you commited mistakes, it is not mean that you are a failure. You commit mistakes because it makes us human, it only means that we need to improve something. It is part of the learning process where we can use the lesson that we got from our past mistakes to become a better trader or a better investor.

I think the easiest way is to try opening a chart of any other altcoin or bitcoin and tracking the change for a short period of 1 hour to 1 day. No property has changed its value so quickly. Going up and down very fast, the stock market or forex can't change that fast. Bitcoin or altcoin is difficult to use value analysis models to apply.

And for me my another opinion you don't need to understand the risk you can work here and you don't need to spend money in bitcoin, you can earn here by taking Bounties etc. You can earn without understanding the risk in crypto.

without experience, we will never learn what failure is. as we know, some of the richest people in the world often fail. how to understand the risk I think it will come in person and it will become an experience so that finally we can understand and minimize that risk.

We know that bitcoin price is not stable if invest in bitcoin you have only 2 ways if you want to earn Hold- if the value drops and hold until you get profit , Sell- if the value goes up and you are contented with your profit. But there are ways to earn free Bitcoin without concern about the risk you can do Bounty and many more to earn it free here.

in investing not only hold and also sell but these things are done in a structured way. we cannot buy it without going through the research process and we also cannot sell it with satisfaction because there are some people who have no satisfaction limit. You need to research early to solve problems when investing

Just like you can't swim unless you jump into the water, you cant learn risk associated with bitcoin and cryptocurrency until you start investing in it. Bitcoin market risks are very different then other markets and can only be learned if you have bitcoin holdings and you go through up/down market.
Risk comes from not knowing what you're doing. - Warren Buffett

It is very hard to understand crypto risking especially if you don't know what crypto is all about and how crypto is running all throughout the world right? According on what you have been said, bitcoin is impossible to reach for about $0? Maybe yes maybe no, we definitely don't know what would happen on the next few years if bitcoin will still be having a very large amount or value in the market so we must better to understand what investing in crypto really meansin order for us to know what is the feeling of having a risk in crypto. What is the feeling when bitcoin is dumping or pumping those people who did not yet try to invest will never feel or understand the true meaning of risking on crypto.

We can easily identify the risks if we have information about what it is. If we will focus in learning than investing then we can easily handle the risks. There are incestors who do not identify the risks and it lead to them huge losses. Before we make investment, we should handle the risks first for us to maximize our profit and avoid losses. Focus on improving our financial intelligence for us to easily understand the risks.

so far what keeps people going is the mistakes he makes and he learns from the mistakes he experiences. so I think we will continue to grow when we find mistakes, most importantly when things go wrong we have to make corrections to ourselves

Let's now worry too much, making mistakes is really a good thing for us, as it will be a lesson that we will gonna learn in our life, so it is fine for as long as we are charging it to our experience and doing something for us to be able to learn more and just taking risk all the time without doing something if what we are doing is fine or not.

That will help you to understand the volatility of the market but that is not going to necessarily help you to understand the risk, the risk that you are taking when investing in the market of cryptocurrencies has to do with how much money you are investing in it and where is your stop loss, if you are using a very tight stop loss then it doesn't matter that the market moves a lot you are only going to lose a very small amount of money with each trade that you make and your risk for each trade will be low.

I can't believe this post is so popular lol

https://www.amsinger.org

How we learn driving and understand risk associated with it? Few by taking classes at police learning centers and remaining by driving our self. Same for crpto trading, you can learn some risks by study (charts, technical analysis, news etc) and remaining by trading yourself. That's the best combination.

Indeed, by studying the market we will be able to understand its risk and its potential.
Actually these two things are the most important as people coming here to invest and they should consider the risk and reward ratio for them to know if investing in crypto is really a good decision.

If an investor is one sided, meaning, aware of the rewards only and not the risk, then for sure he will not survive when the market struggles, like what's happening now.

The risk in cryptocurrency is when you invest in a particular project and thereby receive risks from the investment. Most often, high-profitable projects that fall under such risks, which offer investors a profit of 120% or maybe even more.

That's right :) here in crypto world you're just like playing gambling, you have to take all the risk, you have to invest money and spend your time and effort here in all circumstances although we dont have any assurance whether we are going to be successful or unfortunately not. But as long as we gain benefits here all we have to do is to be patient and invest all the best we can.

information regarding risk in trading or even flat out buying bitcoins is timely, and I must say just like any trading schemes there is some form of risk into it. What matters most with bitcoin though is the fact that the intervals and the timings on when you should deposit or withdraw money makes the profit running, unlike regular tradingwhere you'd still need to do that along with more things to consider in order to gain revenue

It's impossible to detect risk on everyday basis. We can only invest in the moment and hope the price rises. If the price falls, we must be patient until it rises again above the initial buying price. Otherwise, well we can't predict the future.