Bitcoin Forum

Hi guys I’m new to the forum and I’m new to the crypto world.
I would like to know if there is some method on how to understand when the market is going to dip or when the market is going to pump.
Thank you in advance to all of you

Traders use analysis to try and understand the market direction. I say try because there is no way to know with accuracy where the market is heading, all you can have are speculations which may be right or wrong. There are two types of analysis;
• Technical analysis and,
• Fundamental analysis.

In TA, you make use of previous charts and market actions to guess when the market is going to dip or rise. You need in-depth understanding of how to read charts and candles
In FA, you focus on the fundamentals of the project itself, major updates on the technology would have an effect on public sentiment and influence the price. For example, the halving effect reduces the rate of supply of new Bitcoins, and usually causes a rise in the price cause of lower supply against demand.

Just to add to what Upgrade00 said:

With technical analysis, a common misconception is that you will be able to "predict" markets. But in fact, it's just looking up certain probabilities. (e.g. based on indicator X and indicator Y, it's 5-10% more likely that this certain trading pair will go up a bit). Technical analysis won't give you some magical powers. :P

You can use two methods which includes either technical or fundamental analysis but more profitable if you can incorporate the two. Although they could be reliable but not 100% accurate because prices are moved majorly by supply and demand. Basically how much the last bidder is willing to offer. To get a good knowledge about how this works you should take up trading courses

If the short term market was easily predictable or if we had some free publically known indicators that were 100% accurate in predicting the outcomes of the market. Don't you think all of us traders would be millionaires by now?

I guess that answers your question. What we have are Technical and fundamental analysis tools, but they too aren't 100% accurate. They just help to shade some light on how the market might perform. Those tools and some vast experience as a trader might help you have some high win rate in trades, which is enough to grow your account over time.

Welcome to crypto and to the forum.  :)

The analysis is going to be your way of predicting the market if it's going to a dip or to the moon. Reading the charts will give you a significant opinion and why the market is going to be like that. You have to learn first those indicators that have been said to you by upgrade.

You can use the chart to help to analyze the possible things it happens in the coming days but certainly, it was sure that it goes the same direction. In general, it was still a sort of market prediction.
You don't need to wonder why it goes like this, in this volatile market nobody had the snip of what it REALLY happens tomorrow or even today. We all are guessing but at least with the help of TA, we got some insights. Just trust our well, that really it helps.

I believe the OP is looking for shortcuts here. But the sad truth is, no one has the crystal ball to know what will happen next. Even those holders of coins, they are just speculating to what may possibly happen. You can have better grasp if you are dedicating your time to know more about the coins you are holding, their development progress, actual execution of tasks and other factors.

we try to make money with the prediction we come up with by looking at the chart is not very accurate there will be lost despite the knowledge of how we use indicators. you will win mostly for the long term if you look at the chart in weeks and months chart.

if you are going to listen to the TA of others and compare it with yours, you will learn which indicators they are using and how they come up with the conclusions. technical analysis differs for every trader but they all have the same outlook for the long term.

Crypto is unpredictable no one knows what will be the price of any coin in the future look at the price yesterday and today. No one knows that the price will drop I can't even find news of why the price is drop. So it means no one knows that we will see the red market today.

TA and FA can only help you to make a decision it won't help to accurately predict what will be the next price movement. The important on market is to make your own strategy so that you can avoid losses and make more profit.

Since you are a newbie I would suggest you to start studying TA and FA trading you can use the link below for awesome list of guides and free tools to start practicing your trading skill.
- https://github.com/SpiralDevelopment/Awesome-Crypto-Trading


Another tip is to look for old data like Bitcoin Block-halving every cycle or every block-halving. Then expect for coming bull market after that and that would be your signal if the market is bullish.

Welcome and it’s good that you actually ask for this one because most of the newbies here are asking “What to Buy” without asking “How”.

Anyway, there’s a lot of ways to understand the market and how it works. You can look on the technical or you can also look on their fundamentals, and the edge of every project. This may take a lot of time as a newbie but its good that you don’t skip the learning process, also know what do you prefer, to trade, to hold or to do both.

Just like what the above said, you can either use TA or FA to predict the price of the market and its movement.

In the end we are all a speculators and there's no shortcut in trading 'cause the one who used that probably lost most of their money. Again, trading in cryptocurrency is not a quick rich scheme. You have to work your way up to be able to consider yourself as a good trader and you won't be able to ignore losses it's in their everytime you trade. What only counts is how much you win compared to what you lose.

All of the above, and there is more to understand about the market. It’s deep actually than just technical analysis and fundamentals. We must understand that crypto space is changing all the time. On a one beautiful day crypto could be gold and diamond mine while on the another it could be as hilarious as a joke of the evening. So we need to be very firm while trading any bits of it. I think we need information of next big moves beforehand so that we can save ourselves from such big crashes of market. If market is crashing then all the news channels has to in front of us so that we can understand what’s the basic cause for it. These things must be kept in mind so that next time we can judge the market with instinct itself.  :)

It is not easy but you can get close to it though you can't be perfect to it. Getting close however is by yourself and no body else, it means your strategy. You need to build a strategy that will work for you and you are going to have a good understanding of it. Such strategy is not more than either fundamental or technical analysis. You will learn the one working for you and that takes severe training and seriousness for you to be able to read the market.

For more information, fundamental analysis is particularly about news. So if you can understand trading the news then you can get to work on that but I believe most traders like myself duel more on technical analysis which is more of charts, drafts and use of indicators. Technical analysis usually works and effective, you can consider learning that way to build a good strategy.

You should read more book and obtain more knowledge of the financial world, trading as well as investing. With such knowledge, you will have a brief observation upon any market, including cryptocurrency. There are 2 type of analysis: technical and fundamental. But I believe fundamental is more suitable for newbie like you because you only need to skim and scan information from different source of news to draw your conclusion on the market

Reading books couldn't help this but with TA and through reading the chart is something that could help us. It was found to be more technical and need further analysis but it was to believe that is the only way we can make some prediction as to what happens someday. However, we can't be confident enough that we got it right as we are not sure that really be going to happen. But at least, we have possible insights into what will happen.

In addition above about fundamental and technical analysis which is perfectly good on how to understand the market situation.  Besides, there are a lot of tools that we can use to determine the possible market price flow, one of those is this Tradingview (https://www.tradingview.com/) so that you can keep practicing reading the price graph flow chart.

However, watching videos and tutorials are also helpful to understand the market situation.  But all I mentioned above didn't have an accurate result, these are just tools to determine and predict the market price but not an exact price.

Having the ability to predict when price can rise or fall is necessary for your success in this ecosystem. The demand and supply laws of any general market is applicable here in the crypto space. What you need to be able to make these price movement predictions is dependent on two factors, which are:

1. Fundamental information about how the crypto currency is doing in the market, its potential and usability.

2. Technical information gathered from the price of the crypto from its previous prices

With these two information, you are certain to make some accurate price predictions

First of all, since you are new to this forum. You should first aware to the set of rules of this forum, like do's and don'ts so you will not get banned and can able to continue to learn about cryptocurrency in this wonderful forum.

Newbies - Read before posting (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1689727.0) - This thread will help you.

Second, add to what others said above about trading or how the market works in cryptocurrency. If you are really newbies like still have no knowledge about trading or cryptocurrency. The best way to do first is "learn the basics", understand first those basics because those basics will be your foundation, understand how cryptocurrency works. And in trading, basics too, chart, chart tools, candles. And don't forget risk management if you are already starting to trade.

It would take you years, more than 4 years, to understand the market. I hope you will be fine within your first 4 years.

Let's take it simple because simplicity is the best.

• You don't have to know or understand the TA or FA. I don't say such analyses are useless but you can get profit by another approach
• Look at the Fear & Greed index
  
  • As the saying goes "Being fearful when others are greed, being greed when others are fearful"
  • Check the index with Altenartive.me (https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/)
  • You can compare the Fear & Greed Index chart with chart of Bitcoin, and see the above saying is correct or wrong

I do not think there is a right method to understand where the market is going up or down because the market will move differently from time to time. But I can only suggest you analyze the market daily and see the pattern from the market moves and compare with previous moves so you might get a sign of what you need to do.

But still, you can only predict where the market will move without know where the market will go. Sometimes the candle in the market has a big green but in the next hour, the red candle comes and changes the green candle. If you can analyze, that will be better for you so you know when to enter and quit the market. The thing that you need to be concern about is not being greedy in taking a profit.

Thank you very much to all of you for the very helpful reply to my answer. I appreciate a lot. I started my crypto journey last May so I still  a new by. I have invested on some big project like ethereum cardano polka dot and I added money during the recent dump trying to accumulate a little bit more and continue to hold until the end of the year. This one for now was my simple strategy. End of year should be the end of this cycle or what I understood and I’m planning to take some profit to leave in ethereum for the long term.

There is no alternative to the experience but it is your hard work and your homework that will make you successful in this trade. You have to study the charts, maps, candles, online trading classes, Trading courses, trading analysis, senior opinion, jump & dump, bullish & bearish , prediction and signals, etc. The study of the crypto market is very important for your success. It is different from the stock market etc. its psychology is also different.

Such skills come from a trader with opt, only with opt, no need to waste time on empty advice in the analysis or adopt trading methods from the original "Masters" of trading, until you determine for yourself a trading strategy that will be comfortable for you and minimize risks, no one will give you a clear and correct advice, unfortunately or fortunately only those who have passed this thorny path by trial and error become a real effective trader.

First welcome him/her to the crypto world .We all know that we need to do hard work to success on trading .However the market is quite different from any other market .It is so difficult to get the upcoming trend .There are many things behind that which we can try to get the market those are Fundamental analysis and technical analysis .If you learn these things you can easily get a idea about the market movement .You can learn this from google and youtube easily hope you will get a good idea then .

to be honest, there is no specific methodology, perhaps news can affect the market, for example, a project partnership or new huge venture investments, this is an impetus for growth dynamics, you can also play on negative news, this is my personal observation. It will be best if you figure everything out yourself and try and win by trial and error.

You could definitely check those to see what's about to happen, I personally do check them to see it, but it doesn't mean that it guarantees you what it will do. For example, lately it has been more like if the price is high than it is greed, if the price is low then it is fear type of situation there.

There are moments when it is low and not fearful and high and not greedy as well but that index misses that most of the time. In any case that shows it fearing right now and I am guessing that a huge price action is about to happen, I would say that it is mostly correct and I agree with it, after all who wouldn't want to see it go up, but I have to say that it is certainly not a guaranteed deal.

Watching the downtrend and trying to catch the bottom price of Bitcoin is usually very difficult and this is what is called catching a falling knife. You can’t really get the bottom price. I haven’t seen anyone that is able to predict what the price is going to be 100%, since the market is volatile it is very difficult to do such. But it’s still not bad to invest when the market goes down, just don’t be in a hurry.

It is always best to calm down in whatever you are doing in this market, take your time to analyze the charts and know what's right for you to do before you invest your money.Two more things I would like to say is that As a newbie you shouldn’t spend your whole day looking at the charts,next is that you shouldn’t be selling your coins to buy other coins that are going up.

The market is very difficult to predict when it will go down or when it will go up. But usually traders do market analysis before they buy or sell coins, this is one of the efforts that can be done even though the analysis is not necessarily correct. But at least you have preparation in advance. In addition, you also have to have a strategy when trading so that you are not confused and indecisive when dealing with an unstable market.

This is why technical analysis is called a pseudo-science by Wikipedia. It can only tell you about possible trends and how the market might react but it can never predict the future. For that you actually need a time machine. :D

Things dont always end up similar to past outcomes, so every chance of varying is there. News affects the market strongly and they can never be brought out mathematically on TA.

The importance of FA + TA is that gives you more insight on how to place your orders and how to possibly get a grip over yourself when trading.

What the OP asks, if was possible then the person doing so would have become a millionaire already and would be ruling the world. Which means that such things cannot be done, again unless you have a time machine. 8)

Trading is not a matter of mystery or fate it is a kind of special skill that is possible for any trader to acquire special skills are the ability to analyze the market and buy and sell the right currencies at the right price at the right time. Also there is no suitable time to trade to understand the market in advance take trades following the analysis enter the market just when get confirmation of my trade do not have day or night to trade think it is better to trade all the time if confirmation is available.

Technical and fundamental analysis are just a sort of helping aids so we can come up with a good prediction but never to be exact. Because if we can do that, all people will definitely do trading because the future price will be seen already. If you are a trader, make a close monitoring on how the coins in the market move so you will have an idea what coins are profitable to trade. You can try to watch demos and videos and add it into your knowledge. Honestly, there is no way we can understand the market in advance if we want a clear picture, because as long as the market remains to be volatile, the movement of the market will always be abstract.

You can know this when you study the charts. Do your analysis. Also bear it in mind that you can’t fully predict these moves. It’s never a 100% accuracy. You just increase your chances of trading in the right direction when you study and do your analysis.

probably a bigger time frame can tell you if the market is going too dip and also using some useful indicators when it comes trading it can help also.. By the way if you're not familiar about such stuff, just make research ,infact there's no problem with it since most of the information can be found in the internet, just invest small time for it if you're really interested to know more information when it comes trading.

So that you can understand the market, what I recommend the most is reading, reading books, in my case I learned a lot with books by Wyckoff, Jesse Livermore, Warren Buffet, some others, but reading books is much more powerful than seeing and learning by YouTube, or any social network, because in most cases they only focus on technical analysis and the market does not move only with technical analysis, you have to understand it and understand everything that can cause large movements to occur.

In terms of trading understanding, it is not that easy actually. Analysis is one of the factor that we should learn here as an individual traders here in this type of business. And for you to get that skills you need to learn to read here in the forum discussing about trading in cryptocurrency, so in that way you can feed yourself at least how to understand the situation in the market.

Trade is indeed very broad and we need to look at it in several ways,
Expertise in analysis is very important and is definitely needed in trading,
so never ever ignore it because when we don't want to learn and don't have the skills of course it will make us easy to lose money just like that

This is what exactly all traders are trying to find and unfortunately not all the traders are successful with their attempts. We need to be stronger in technical and fundamental analysis so that we could predict the directions of market in advance. But, due to various influencing things at more than 50% of times, these technical parts may deviate from expected behavior which means you cannot predict market directions accurately all the times.

The level of speculating market's ups and downs in advance will decide your success in trading. So, every new trader must try to find all the resources to learn and practice all the technical part of market speculations.

Continuous learning. Build experience. Even how many books, references, guides, videos, articles you will read about how to analyze the market, without applying and experience in actual, you won't understand those.

Just keep with the basics until such time that you can now anticipate what will happen next.

Crypto is volatile and unpredictable. There's no assurance that any analysis will be 100% accurate.

Many think that crypto is about becoming rich over night but in reality its quite different. I would say Upgrade00 has explained very well how to understand the market. In my opinion, TA and FA gives you only idea (or guess) of how market will behave but you cant be 100% sure of crypto market. It has his own swings in both directions that are very hard to predict.   

There’s no direct scheme how to understand market. Every trader does that by his/her unique way. In general, traders make analysis of graphics; are constantly monitoring crypto news, launch of futures and even twitter page of Elon Mask. All that give some info about what can probably happen with crypto. This info helps trader to make assumptions and to put orders. And, of course, key to success depends on emotional state of the trader (panic can ruin everything). But again, traders make only assumptions, try to predict and such predictions are not always successful.

Trading isn't typically guessing or gambling as the case may be. When you say traders wait on twitter pages of popular influencers like Elon musk to make their traded well that's not what trading is all about. We have gambler's, speculators those that have zero or no idea of what they're doing but just trying their lucks with hopes of coming out successful.

Now this users are usually successful when they start but as time goes on their luck runs out and they begin to lose and if precaution aren't taken, they can lose all they have gained in addition to their initiate capital. Trading has to do with discipline, been ables to read and interpret charts.

A traders gets the idea of how the market will react from the charts and not by waiting on some genius or self acclaimed expert to manipulate the market for their selfish desires.

In an attempt to predict the further movement of the coin, everyone is mistaken, both beginners and experienced traders. But the main thing will be for you not to lose your deposit completely if the market moves in the opposite direction from your expectations. To do this, you need to adhere to risk management.

With that, welcome to the world of crypto space mate, the thing I can only give to you is begin with learning here, be observant, read here in the forum at your own free time to feed yourself regarding about in this business, don enter into trading here if you are not fully prepare, because if you enter without preparation expect the risk you will encounter here for sure, nor even you have an idea risk still here in crypto space.

I aren't fully agree with you.Because he is a newcomer in crypto.So Its very important to gather experience and to learn about Technical analysis and about Project details.
In crypto fear and greed index doesn't work properly when markets are being manipulated by whales.
So Crypto Manipulation can be the worst experience for a new comer. So its very important to have patience and to have knowledge about Project and Technical Analysis properly.

Its my Advice to all newcomers in Crypto that First learn a lot and then try to make your Decision in Crypto Trading.

Most Traders often try to predict the market where as the markets cannot be predicted. The best way to make money from the market is to understand market structure and follow the structure from the higher time frame that is the daily or 4 hour to the M15 or M5. Use the knowledge of what price is doing on the higher time frame to frame trades or setups on the lower timeframe.

It might be possible only through technical analysis still only up to some 60% and the remaining 40% is fully depending on conditions of that particular day. You cannot do anything about the remaining 40% of chances to know about the market direction well in advance.

If everyone is able to know market directions like when it is going to dip or pump, then everyone will be making easy money which might be impacting the balance of our society and economic life. So, everything is happening for a reason hence only for the people who are hard-working and dedicating all their time might be getting chances to know the directions of market and trade well to make profits.

We have all kinds of different people in the trading world, that is the emphasis. We have very very brand new noobs that end up trading whatever people tell them to do, there are a bit older noobs who trade based on what influencers and Elon Musk says but they are doing the same thing as the brand new one does, they just do it on limited amount of people instead of anyone, we have mediocre traders like me who end up trading based on their own TA research that sometimes wins or loses, we have experts who trade with experience and talent, and we have those crazy people with 10 monitors and all charts with 5 minute candles and pips and leverages and all that.

The correct statement indeed. They should be used as "indicators" because they indicate a movement, they do not predict it.

Those selfish people you mention are not traders, they are manipulators who attempt to use the unregulated nature and chaos in the market to fuel their own needs and fill up or empty their own bags on unsuspecting naive traders.

However, people will not learn from these mistakes. There will some fools who will again fall for the next manipulation move and end up in a loss. The diligent ones will attempt to join the same side of the manipulators, in order to dump when they say buy and buy when they say dump. One can try using this strategy too in future.

Getting know about when the market is going to rise or fall is not that much easier for anyone as it is highly unpredictable for all of us. But people keep trying for that in the name of analysis and experience. When you keep on watching market movements then you may get some idea on how to predict market direction but nothing will be hundred percent assured one because market may react for the any news which might be happening at any time at anywhere hence you cannot predict market direction as we cannot what news is going to impact the market.

I'm not here to discourage you but I'm just stating the facts about trading. You may go for learning technical analysis which is the only available to for all the traders to know about market direction but technical analysis cannot get you any clear idea which is 100% true.

What you said are true. There is no clearer way on how to understand the market in advance because its purely unpredictable. Even how profitable you are in trading, you cannot still predict the market with 100% accuracy because if we all do, the whole community will be trading for sure and there will be lot of millionaires i guess. But price changes from time to time because the market is easily affected by some fuds or any news from social media. Although technical and fundamental analysis may help, but you can't expect that they will be 100% reliable.

first of all welcome to bitcointalk and welcome to the crypto world  .
for your concern  , there are methods that we are using to predict the market but this method might not work 100 percent because we are not superhuman that can accurately detect if what the future will be .
 the methods are looking and anlyzing the charts , listening or watching the news ,  and reading the speculations in the forum .

This is something that cant be known but somewhat with due experience you could really able to have at least have the idea on what are the things you should gonna do rather than have no idea at all.

Understanding the market isnt really that hard when you are already aware on how it works and how it moves and this isnt something that could be able to handle it out.

Knowing things in advance isnt possible even just with simple decisions in life thats why its never been good to have these kind of presumptions.

One think can not make you to understand the market. You need to learn about the market and how it moves so you can understand the market very well. Try to learn how to trade cause this will help you to visualize the market from the market a normal investor or ordinary person will see the market. Get the skill and enjoy your understanding about the market.

Something that you need to understand is that technical analysis can be used to give predictions about what the market is most likely to do at the moment, but that is all what they are, predictions, for example have you ever seen the weather report say that there is going to be a lot of rain during that particular day and the next ones and then nothing happens, the days are beautiful and sunny and you wonder what happened? And the answer to that is simple, the conditions changed and now their prediction is useless and the same happens with technical analysis.

No one can predict the incoming dip of rising of the coins price, if we can predict it then we can earn millions but it is not easy. Crypto market is high on volatility and that's a normal thing because no one can control it it is decentralized. only the market volume or the good news or new development of the coins can give us a clue,example is the news about China's banning of crypto mining. I am sure that it can make the price dip because this news is a bearish news and some small investors will surely do panic selling.

I think it is very important for you to understand how the market works and so, you can say that it was impossible to get such information in advance. I gonna tell you that here in crypto it is full of surprises, you can never know what will be the next trend even though you are in the market since from the start. As in the nature of being volatile, that is somehow it really knows. So I just tell you that stop thinking that way because you only got disappointed but instead to embrace what really it is, otherwise.

No one can accurately know the movement of crypto prices, we can only do analysis to predict where the market will move. Even that does not
guarantee 100% accuracy, especially since crypto price movements are very volatile, so it is much more difficult to predict. However, with the analysis
we do, we become aware of what steps we should take, so we don't make decisions randomly. As you said it's no different than predicting
the future weather, it's not 100% accurate, but we can at least get an idea of what will happen. So always be careful in every decision we make
in the crypto world.

Only speculations can be reliable for this time, because we aren't sure how long the bear market would probably push us towards resistance. Most of the time when price took time to move upward, there it goes downturn would drastically put us all down, yet it caused more possible panic selling for weak handed traders. Our emotions was really a huge factor once price saturates so bad.

There is no way you can "understand" the market in advance. All those analysis will just give you a hint about what "might" happen to the market next. Whatever result you get from your analysis might happen or might not. Based on those analysis people take a risk and invest. The other way is to keep yourself updated with current events. Lets say a coin that has been in development will launch something new or add a new feature. This might cause the price to go up since people will start investing hoping for a bull run. Like look at cardano. The price went up a lot in last few months right before the Alonzo upgrade which added smart contract feature to the network.

Market analysis can only look at one general direction. You can choose some valuable coins to hold for a long time. Don't choose memes, because novices can't seize opportunities.

Indeed, when we have such godly skill, the leverage trading genre of exchanges will become pieces of wood and gouged out by termites like us, even one fine day, bankruptcy notices of exchanges may also appear but unfortunately, divine skill is only the dream standard of trading merchants. The current standard still stops at extremely elementary skills, although it can be enhanced, but its properties are only to remove images that can cause hallucinations and go in the wrong direction of analysis, only reduce some cases of anxiety but do not completely cut off the risk

Most of the trader as I had seen previously in most of my posts that they want more and more money without getting into loss, And I think probably it is impossible. I want to say that the trading market is volatile and probably it will be not the same as it was in the previous some years or some days even . But you have to watch the coins graphs, their previous charts etc to get notified about the market.

There is nothing special tools for this you have to check few things for understanding of this market in advance like read good analyst blogs or columns because if someone able to understand this all then surely all traders could be billionaires which is not possible.

But, good thing now many TA and FA are available for understanding and having some good idea about market because most of the traders love to have some good technical analysis which consist of charts and graphs are good for understanding of this all market. Remind one thing even these technical and fundamentals analysis are helpful but still these are not 100% reliable.

Crypto market totally uncertain.  It is very difficult to guess about the crypto market in advance. And if it could be guessed in advance, everyone would be involved in cryptocurrency and everyone would become a millionaire. If you keep a close eye on the market, do a deep analysis of the market data, then maybe you can guess something.

Yes there is a method that is used to know when the market will either move up or down, and it is called technical analysis and fundamental analysis. There are so many things you have to learn in trading to be good enough and make profit, and it is all something that you will have to be doing step-by-step and before you know it, steady with time you’re going to get better when you have learnt a lot. You can use tools that can help you.

As a noob that you are I wouldn’t recommend joining all those groups or making use of bots right now, even bots require that you know how to set them up and you have to be doing that frequently, if not they wouldn’t work. So it’s good to learn everything about trade yourself.

And I hope they could understand it but somehow, they wanted to change it to become predictable because of being greedy. I understand that they need assurance however, the market couldn't provide such a thing but instead, the risk is always we have to face. We have to accept this kind of market feature, we can't do anything but to adjust and adapt how it works, not the crypto will change for us.

So, if this can be hard to accept, it is really hard to get through with this, and the feeling of being doubtful remains.

It's all base on analysis, the fundamental (news) and technical (reading or plotting graph, chart etc.) and speculations. No trader can be so certain.
However I can recommend you http://investing.com for your learning skill

Trading without loss is very impossible.

Even the best traders in the world cannot escape the potential losses with their trades. So if somebody tells that they can flee from losses as they trade, they're lying.

They only look at their gains but never acknowledge their losses at some point of their lives and trades.

Guessing and predicting is easy, but how to make it accurate is impossible. You are right, if all people can do it, all of us already become a millionaire or even a billionaire. Price move is always unpredictable, but if we are already learning crypto market for a long time, we should know a little about the signs/indicators of when it probably increases or decreases. At least learning fundamental and technical analysis first, they can be very helpful.

Both technical and fundamental analysis are the key to understanding the market.

You can understand market very well these days. There are so many learning classes going about trading and market. All you need to know it is in your hand to learn. From YouTube, news, television etc so many medium these days, learn from anywhere and do some practical with real money. This practices will give you more understanding then other trying to teach you. So be ready and go to learn about a deeply intense market where public will be "zero or hero"

it is very difficult to determine market conditions, but what I do is when the market chart already has one resistance and when there is a second resistance, I predict the market will dump. Likewise with the occurrence of this pump based on support one and support two. this can help me to more easily see future market movements.

Actually we cannot predict when the market will dump and pump accurately. Let me know which Alt you are going to trade, so I can look at the chart and provide analysis of future movements. At least this helps you as a basis for re-analyzing market conditions. If you have learned trading techniques, try to determine the resistance and support lines. This technique will also help you analyze the market going forward.

There is a zero chance that anyone could understand how the market works, you would have to end up being a little bit crazy to "know" what will happen. We are all just guessing what will happen and everyone else does the same thing as well. If you really want to be certain about what will happen just invent a time machine, go to future, check what happens with the price and then come back.

Just do what you can do, hope for the best and do not try to change anything else, do not try to "know" what will happen, just assume what may happen and act accordingly. Of course, learn about TA and chart reading and all that but that doesn't mean that you will profit from it, it could still be wrong.

And this is something that newbies do not get, they may think that if you cannot predict what the market is going to do precisely then technical analysis is useless, but even having a vague idea of what the market will do next is incredibly valuable as you will be able to take a position on the side you think the price is most likely to go, this means that over the long term you will win more times than what you lose and this will bring you profits.

Mostly if I had to talk about the top traders, then they analyze the coins which they want to buy and want to take an entry at the point they want to buy, they see different graphs of the coins, their charts, mostly their news on google and on twitter etc, all of these things helps the investors alot, but trading is completely volatile as well. Which sometimes can go against prediction.

There are a lot of ways on how to understand the market in advance but there is no sure prediction when will the dips and its peaks occur. What we all have are just speculations that are sometimes true, and sometimes false. So even if you are newbie or legend in trading, there's no difference because at the end of the day, you both fail in making the right prediction.

However, we have technical and fundamental analysis that will really help to come up with almost right predictions. But since we have different strategies to use when we talk about understanding the market, so the outcome will only reflect on how well we know the market and its volatility.

Can you also remember that meme coin like doge coin has pumped this year and getting very high to close to a $1. Trading or hodling is like a game that can profit or lose but with more care you can profit. A coin like dogecoin was under valued for a long time 10 years back but it took the opportunity of a pump in price and today most investors hodl it and waiting for another pump.

For me, the only way to understand the market is through experience. Without experience, getting a positive result will be much more difficult, really.

Youre definitely right on this one.There's no other way to understand the market but way through experience itself because you wouldn't be aware on how this one moves.

Knowing in advance is just an impossible thing because the market is way too unpredictable even having the most good analysis would turn out to be garbage if the market would turn upside down

cause of sudden events or having no reason at all which you should really be aware in the first place if you do tend to deal with this off.

That makes sense. I just have to say to OP that lurking every day in the crypto market will automatically feed our minds. Reading technical analysis can't be learned by new ones that quickly and easily without them engaging in the actual scene. Technical analysis are not meant to predict what will happen accurately but will just give us some possible cases that will happen next.

OP can also consider reading speculations and predictions and try to analyze the supporting factors why those predictions were formed. Just have to take note too that even professional ones are losing today even how experienced they are. That's how unpredictable the crypto market is.

I must agree on you when say experience is still the most accurate way on how to understand the market in advance. Although there is no way we can understand the market perfectly because of its volatility, but through experience we will be able to learn more on what is really happening in the crypto market. And with various experiences that will also give us varied lessons to learned to help us understand the market more. There are also those fundamental and technical analysis that are also helpful in understanding in the market and you will learn them easier with as you go on with your experiences.

Indeed. Experience can help us give a clearer picture on how the market can be understand in advance. Actually, there are a lot of ways on how to understand them but for newbies who lack the knowledge on how the market works so through experience, it can give us a full understanding on how the market moves and how we should react on it. But since the market has its own volatility, even if how well we know the market, it will always bound to change due to unexpected events that will create a sudden move in the market differently.

Experience and due diligence of checking the market.
Also, following the progress of those projects you are holding and keeping an eye on their social media channels.
Experience will teach you how to manage your portfolio, or will tell you if it is right to sell or hold.
But the knowledge of the coin you are holding is also important as it will give you insights on what is happening with the coin.

That was hard mate. We can understand but that is still considered as a prediction if we were able to make one. There are factors affecting the pump and dump like news, event, and sometimes no reason at all but the market will just turn bullish or bearish.

There are traders who are sharing their views on the Speculation section. You might want to read some of those. For now, rely on other's information until such time you can now create on your own.

The most difficult things to be hundred percent sure in crypto currency trading is to know when the market trend has reached the bottom and about to take an upward direction. You really have to look out for factors that influence the market in either direction such as news whether positive or negative one all influence the direction of crypto currency market and technical analysis as history and candle stick pattern do repeat themselves over time.

Theory of knowledge is very important and necessary, but it is also meaningless if you have not experienced it to get the best view of it.
I see many people hanging around with knowledge and then getting lost in FOMO and losing patience with the plan you have in mind.
So just refer to the knowledge shared from others and create your own ways that you feel are most suitable to know what you need.

True, but the point to be noted here is that the real reason why some well known rich guy pumped that coin is that they needed to sell their stash. This cannot be proved because of lack of evidence but this is a type of somewhat "legal" manipulation of the market.

Unethical - Yes
Punishable - No.

So take it with a bit of a salt. It is more likely that if you had a stash of Doge already at that time, you would likely not have sold but hoped for even better returns, which is exactly what the rich guy wanted you to do.

This is indeed coming from my experience. Whenever you see any sort of inorganic pump or dump - do the opposite of what the public sentiment would go. You might feel uneasy but truth is that this sector sees way more manipulation than a regulated stock market.

Yes, and you have to know how to do technical analysis to be able to tell this. And that is what is called support and resistance, and analysts can rely on this strategy to be able to tell when the market might go down or up. But this is a guaranteed to be hundred percent accurate. Analysis helps you to tell what’s likely to be the outcome in the market, but it doesn’t mean that that’s what is going to happen in the market. But that aside you can as well rely on fundamental analysis or your instincts based on events that are taking place. Predicting the market has to do with a lot of things, and it is not easy to do.

For understanding in advance knowledge is very important because without this you are unable to do anything education and knowledge give you good side of anything and for better results third thing is experience which need some time because no one have this from start just came through in trading.

For this you need to start with very small amount and check your all things on daily basis after sometime do your all trades analysis this will give you very good view, and then you can take some big risk, and also you can understand all market in advance because without practical this all is not possible.

If you want to learn to swim, you will have to jump into the pool.

Nobody really understands the market "in advance" because they are just making an educated guess at that point. Obviously it is not really that much of a problem when you get it right and make a profit but there are times when you could be wrong or the market may do something that it shouldn't based on data. Trying to predict what the market will do is basically just data, it is actually not that hard at all to learn to read that data and if you read it right then you will know what it should be doing.

However the only reason people still do make a loss is the fact that market could do something it shouldn't do at all. Like the data (charts) may say that it should go up but there could be a big news come out of china and then it drops, those type of things do happen.

If you have some knowledgeable about forex trading then you will be glad to know that Crypto is not much different either, except these assets are highly speculative and will react to what people or the government do or say. But one indicator that helps with knowing which direction the markets are going is reading the charts using technical analysis which is faster than using indicators such as moving averages but these tend to be slow to reveal the move.  If you don't mind others analyzing the charts for you youtube has several channels for such material,good luck.

To be honest, you couldn't understand the market movement quickly and it will still take a long run. There are lots of tutorials about technical analysis that you could find online. There will be different speculations yet it will still be an advantage if you could do it yourself. Have the eagerness to look for legit and trusted resources and focus on learning about dealing with the market changes first.

You should know and understand that there is no exact information on the crypto market when there will be a rise or fall in cryptocurrency prices. All the information that you can find is either guesswork, or fantasies, or someone's wishes, and there is also a technical analysis and many different theories. In practice, either you know the insider information, or you are lucky, and in very rare cases there are people who can forgive the likely price diversification of cryptocurrencies in the future, but basically no one knows anything 100%.

Technical analysis helps a lot to analyze the market, although I have learned that only technical analysis is not enough, you have to understand the market, for this it is to look for explanations of why the movements, how a whale can think, what movements is more likely to be able to do, when determining a possible institutional investment so that it can be entered safely, and thus the technical analysis has the positive effect, of course this is not overnight, it takes time, some only take as a strategy to follow Crypto news, although I do not see it as a good strategy, I think it can be used for informational purposes and not as investment advice.

If you have knowledge, experience and patience then you will definitely profit. This is the 100% right method if you want to make a profit in the crypto world. I could probably get away with not being experienced if you are very well studied and have great knowledge on the subject and you have patience and can wait, but it is still better if you had all three of them.

Trading is not a child's play, not everyone can make a profit from it and in order to make a profit from it you have to do some stuff beforehand and have to focus on not doing any mistakes. Emotions getting into trading is number one reason why people keep making a mistake as well, so being emotionless could be fourth as well.

It is obvious that what you are talking about can only be provided by technical analysis, however I will give you a warning, technical analysis can only give you and indication of what is the most likely scenario that could happen at any given time, however the markets change incredibly quickly so a bullish analysis could be made one day and the very next day the analysis turns bearish as there is a very negative movement and you have no other option but to adjust your analysis and your expectations out of the market.

if you can understand market then first you need to some knowledge about crypto and its graph to study well about there position that when they will up and when when the dump and down and study there graph for at least 6 months period and know that when the break they support zone if you read and study the graph well then see your results you make some good profit in crypto and as will give signals about coin to others people.

I have seen a coin price value grow up when the coin get listed on a well known exchange or they have extended or have partnered with someone extending their business and so on. Besides this, the coin followed Bitcoin's growth. So we have so many reasons behind a coin's growth.

Indications and News can help to understand the market to extend but we can not just blindly follow them. With those indications and updates, we can come to a conclusion or prediction that the market will reach to a certain level. Be familiar with all indications and keep yourself updated with news around the coin you have invested. These few things will support you to identify the market just to an extend and that too not exactly.

The graph or chart itself is the one that you need to understand.

You may not have a 100% understanding of what might come next. However, you have the potential to predict what will happen next if you're knowledgeable about charts and analysis.

Prediction could be made if you do really know on how to read up with the charts and not just making any actions without any basis or something in related to that.
Knowing the market in advance is something impossible because everything cant really be read up no matter how good your chart analysis is but due to unpredictability
of the market then its no surprising that you would really commit out bad speculations and guesses which are actually just normal but due to experience
you would gradually understand on how this market works and moves.

And, there is no chart that's exactly the same. The trends and patterns might be different which is why to succeed in trading one must have the skill set to make the market analysis from scratch and when required. Yes, there are similarities but also differences, and it is these differences that can sometimes be costly, so much so that when trading with large capital can be significant.

Not everyone can be an expert at putting together these trends and predictions but with enough practice, a good trader should be able to catch their wave.

And that's the key, newbies want to have the ability to predict what the market is going to do and they want to have a high degree of accuracy from the get go, it seems they do not understand that the people that can more accurately predict what the market is going to do at any given time have a lot of experience, so if they want to achieve the same level of results those people have then they need to invest the same amount of time and effort that they did so, and this is something that many newbies do not really want to do.

Definitely, you're new and firstly, you don't have to think like that but rather to understand how the market works rather than being hungry to make a profit instantly. If you only think like that, I'm afraid that you will only fail at the end of the day.

If you could listen to us and follow our advice, I believe you will reach your goal. Yes, it needs some hard works and patience, thinking instant was just insane as it never happens in real life. Don't believe it as is just like making yourself a fool.

I agree, they're all different because of the trends and they're changing most of the time.

Understanding the market itself through these factors will give you the benefit and advantage towards the market. But it takes a lot of experience before you can have that almost accurate analysis.

Use technical analysis and fundamental analysis to prepare itself with the market behavior. No one knows about the market that what is the next move of market. We can just predict the market with our analysis that market can move to this direction. So, brother manage your risk in trading. Risk management is the most important key factor in trading.

There is no genie in the bottle for anyone to know precisely when market will dump or pump.  However,  there are many signal that can lead you to make decisions for the pump or dump.  I will advice that you should start learning about resistance and support couple with other charting tools that will help you take inform decision!

Risk management is not easy but if we can do that, we can prevent anything that can happen to us because we will have other ways to avoid that. Technical and fundamental analysis can help us know where the market will move and even if we can not know exactly where the market will move, at least we can prepare.

There is no mechanism for understanding the market and there never will be. There are two factors that affect it.
1. These are whales that can affect the rate of coins, especially bitcoin, they do this for their own benefit
2. Worldwide HYIP or news that carries the technological nature of the development of the project.
If you analyze these two components, you will have a rough understanding of market fluctuations.

In addition to technical and fundamental analysis and money management, I think psychology also determines the success of a trade. many of us are complacent with trading psychology, and of course analysis can be damaged because psychology is not yet stable.

That experience is also something that needs to get refreshed as well, which is one of the hardest things people will have to do. You study hard to learn something, you get to a point where you feel like you can test it, then you start working on it a lot and then you become good at it and you feel like that's it.

However that's not it, you do not just become good and stay good forever, even though you made so much money from being good, then you will start to be not as good, first it will not be obvious and then it will look like it is just a bad stretch but soon you will realize that you need to keep on working on your craft and keep on trying to get better. In order to do this, even while you are great and making bunch of profit, you will still need to read and learn and become even better, so that when things change, you wouldn't be left behind.

There's no sure way on how will the market move but if we can prepare for it  before a market pump or dump will happen, then it will be an advantage for us. The risk will somehow be lessen. Risk management might be easy to think, but once you're in the real scenario like trading or investing in the market, you can say that its really a hard thing to do. One thing i can suggest, just don't be carried on by your emotions every time you trade because it will definitely ruin your whole trading activity. Emotions should never be a hindrance so you need to control it.

Although what OP is looking for is practically some clues to know the most basic, what he asks is what most traders look for over the years and for that it takes a lot of effort, dedication and study. If OP wants to learn to understand the market I think he has to read a lot, educate himself and as I have said in previous publications, I always recommend reading books by Wyckoff, Jesse Livermore, Warren Buffet, just to learn to identify if you want to be a market speculator or be an investor.

In this way you can save many failures, because having your own knowledge is able to give opinions based on clear arguments as important authors.

Step-by-step process, find an informative venue to learn the very basic and try to execute your gain knowledge by placing that into real trade.

It's not easy to identify the market, especially when dealing with crypto. There are many things to consider.
a lot of sideways and fluctuations that you also need to understand.

Not because you made a good trade will meant that you can do it repeated with the same strategy, but
the good thing is you can always adjust in each mistake with your anticipations.

Knowing about the market future movement is not as easy as we can think but looking and market speculation just like you have said can be of great help without having to stress yourself of the market volatility. Technical analysis can also be of help in knowing what the market price is possible of heading to.
Since no one is perfect about the market speculation, I think looking at various speculation and analysis of the market can be okay and making your  decisions on them can be also okay.

Normally that we get to have some bad moments in the market.

This will happen to anyone and by that time it happens to you, you have to realize that there's a lot to learn more so that you can understand the market.

Technically you will know where the market will go with your datas and much observation, but trading is not just technically analysis, theres alot of factor will bring price to random direction. In this case, your experience will make your technical analysis more stable and give a clearer picture in taking the next step. So in my opinion, profit from trading cannot be instant, trading is a matter of time and your personal experience based on proper technical analysis.

Thats correct. Trading is not just about Technical/Fundamental Analysis, in crypto trading even TA/FA fails at times since its totally volatile and speculative in nature. Crypto trading is not for everyone even experts fail here.
I agree on the fact that you learn it by experience but make sure you don't lose huge money while learning it.

You will probably never know what the market will do in advance even if you know TA and all the related stuff. The difference is that when you know TA then you know what the market "should" do but never what it "will" do and there is a big difference there. Sure most of the time market does what it should do and that is how you make a profit, most people make an overall profit that way and yes they do lose money when it does opposite of what it should do but that is a rarer situation, yet not uncommon. That means while you are profiting 70% of the time, you lose money 30% of the time.

This results with overall profit and you will be doing fine. However nobody really knows what it will do, they all guess, even with all the data in the world.

Personally I think that risk management is the easiest part of being a trader, what happens is that many traders do not want to apply its principles because by doing so they are also reducing the profits they could possibly get, and while that is true what they do not understand is that they are also increasing the chances they will actually get those profits, but unfortunately they do not see it that way and only realize too late they should have done so, but by the time they do it there is nothing they can do about the losses they have incurred already.

Not that really that easy as you said because when it comes to risk management then it would particular talks about in all sorts of those normal things which some of them do really need actual experience and skills

for you to make such action.There's no way on knowing the market on advance but using up some common tools or indicators then you do at least know on where it could possibly go on but its not an assurance.

With proper experience and knowledge then you could at least able to handle yourself but dont go that confident.

It must take a long time to understand the nature of crypto market. Besides it requires a long time, a trader must learn it seriously and continuously. If he doesn't take attention to learning it, he probably doesn't know it well although experiencing it for years. That's why a trader must be smart and plan a strategy to have enough knowledge about crypto market.

Trading is one of those skills that you get better at by practicing and while practicing do expect to have losses.

You can't understand the markets in advance but with the more exposure to news, market movements and historic trends you will be at least better off making a

more comfortable decision. Ultimately, risk can't be separated from trading but it is the nature of the game  :D

In general, understanding the market is far from the easiest process. It should be understood that it is important for a trader to assess the market sensibly, but this is far from the easiest process.

It's a part of this business where you can enhance your chances of not losing a lot, but remember, there are instances

that even you take hard with your position, a bad market will hits you up and bring losses to your investment.

Trading is something that you need to continue learning. With a good and comfortable strategy, it provides decent
chances to earn, but always keep in mind that you are in need to work with changes and adjust when you needed
and the situation is calling you to do so.

There are two costs that are basic for any financial backer to know: the current cost of the speculation they own or plan to claim and its future selling cost Regardless of this financial backers are continually investigating past valuing history and utilizing it to impact their future venture choices.

A few financial backers will not accepting a stock or file that has risen too strongly, in light of the fact that they accept that it's expected for an amendment ​while different financial backers stay away from a falling stock since they dread it will keep on breaking down

If you're able to find any method to understand when the market is going to rise or fall then you will become a billionaire within a time period of maximum one month. Yeah, I am not kidding ;); this is an universal fact. Each and everyone on trading space is deliberating looking for such an effective method to figure out when the market is going to rise or fall.

So, what you are looking for is an endless search. You must take your time to learn and practice to achieve your goal of understanding when the market will rise or not.

Learning about technical analysis and fundamental things may help anyone to predict market direction but only up to certain limits. These days, out of Internet, anyone could learn technical and fundamental aspects of trading very easily. So, I like to suggest you to go for learning it.

I think there is now way for getting the answer that there must be the way we are looking for a coin to pump and a coin we were looking for a coin to dump, but the only way is having much knowledge about that coins which you want to buy and have better capability of prediction about the coins and how to invest in that coin, that is the way which may help you a lot.

Everything is the game of speculation, analysis and calculations.
If you master in all these then no one can stop you from becoming rich in trading.
But as a newbie, it’s hard to master and understand all these.
So there’s an alternative to this. Follow some great traders and make bids on their calls.
This will surely help you to understand the market and prevents you from choosing the wrong coins.
Hope this helps you OP.

To be honest there is no method to know the future with 100% accuracy. But the guess could come up near. So for trading experience and the trading analysis can help you to reach near to the result. But sometime you can win sometime you can lose. In this case the more experience, the more you know about analysis the more chance to win the game.

Yes. Making a mistake is human nature, no one is perfect even if he is a professional/experienced trader. Each trader is possible to do a mistake, but how many made mistakes will be varied. A professional trader won't make the same mistake many times, he will learn how to deal with the mistake. By learning the market as a whole and avoid mistakes, a professional trader will survive a long time in crypto market. A professional trader must also be disciplined to learn and constantly improve their abilities. That's what we must learn from a professional/experienced trader.

Another issue which I think it is more important than the number of mistakes is the magnitude of the mistakes themselves, a good trader may make a mistake but the mistake is going to be small and as such they are not going to have too much of a trouble trying to fix that mistake during their next trades, but when it comes to the newbie we see something completely different and we see that the mistakes they make are enormous and in many cases it is impossible to recover from them.

There is no way to understand the crypto market in advance. If it was understood in advance, investors would never have lost.  However, exparts can guess something about the crypto market. You can read their blog post if you want. You can get some ideas.

It should be more or less accepted by any trader that they will lose money if they start trading and accept it from beforehand that there will be losses. If they have zero prior knowledge of stock market trading before going into crypto trading this can be hard to accept.

Of course if 100% predictions were possible then they would not be predictions any more - they would be fortune telling and we all know much of a scam that is. So predicting the market is based on a number of inputs and they include the previous charts and past history of the market, the current news surrounding crypto and the market fear/greed indices.

It is therefore not possible to know what can happen in future accurately - like I said, you dont have a time machibe...yet. ::)

understanding the only valid up and down market requires analysis. but I think the analysis is difficult to do and must be studied carefully. sometimes even professional players are not 100% accurate on the analysis, they must be carried out carefully before entering the market

By following charts we can observe the market before any sudden dump or pump. Technical charts with technical tools indicates the trend of the market that the market is in side ways, up trend or in down trend. Its just an observation that this can happens. But their is no one that predict 100% correct about the market. So, get ready yourself with the market trend. And follow the trend then we will make money.

It is difficult for us to predict market conditions with certainty, but two factors that often occur are pumps and dumps. Both are often determined by support and resistance lines, when you find a support line in the market, the market will most likely go up. And vice versa with the resistance line. We get this skill by learning about support and resistance.

Whenever there is decrease in supply in the market, show that the price of crypto is about to increase in the market and also whenever there is increase in demand in the market, show that the price of that particular coin is about to dump in the market. When ever the price is decreasing in the market is a sign that the price is about to dump for trader to be aware of the market not to experience losses in the market.

While what you are saying is 100% true you can be sure that newbies are never going to accept it, newbies despite their inexperience have an ideal of how the market should work for them, and yes this includes being able to predict what the market is going to do all the time, so when people like us contradict their views instead of accepting they are wrong they try to prove us wrong instead by finding such a system, then they find a scammer that tells them what they want to hear and lose their money not long after it.

To understand the market, of course, we must apply discipline to the analysis first. with the application of that discipline we will understand whether the market is moving according to our plan or not, but don't forget to place a target and stop loss, if this is done continuously, then we will automatically understand the characteristics of the market

Here the discipline of observing prices from time to time is very necessary, at the beginning do not decide in advance to put in, but we really have to know in advance the role of the coin we pick, especially Bitcoin in the market for its price movements first. Well, it's not easy to predict the market due to very sensitive characteristics being influenced by certain things, but if you get used to observing many times... we will know where it is time to enter and start what is planned.

There are no way to know advance about market. no one can tell actual advance. Traders expert use previous trade history chart to understand about a coin future and also they follow every coin roadmap and Daily update and development on project  social media and Channel. You can also use thous for understand market condition.

I think there is no way to know the exact direction of the market, we can only predict. By using charts and analytical techniques to make short-term market predictions. This requires you to learn about analysis, you are a newbie, need to learn and understand crypto well before trading. However, that prediction is not always correct, need to be very careful before each decision

That's right, trading or investing is just a prediction game, there's a risk but you can win if you are well versed and you have enough experience to be a trader. This is a game that when somebody wins, somebody will lose money,  it's a battle of traders because of the market volatility, so even if how smart you are, you can never be right all the time, but you can be right most of the time and that will make you profitable.

In fact in cryptocurrency no advance can be considered. Especially in the case of trading, nothing can be matched by analyzing in advance. And although analysis can be done, yes it is not 100% accurate In fact, it is very difficult to say when the price of a coin will increase a lot. After some adequate analysis, some ideas may be taken.

You can only speculate to what may possibly happen to the coin's market, but it is quite difficult to predict accurately what's gonna happen. Even if you are very familiar with the project, one good news or bad news, it can easily affect its trend in the market. And sometimes, you won't know that coming because most of the time it is just a spur-of-the-moment type thing.
But if you are focusing your interest to some specific coins and know the small details of their development progress, if there's any, you will only get the idea where they are heading but not exactly how they will perform in the market. So yes, this task is hard as you have no fix factors that you can refer to, it changes with time.

We do not have to have people losing but eventually people will lose because price goes down not because there needs to be a loser. Trading means that if you buy at 10 dollars, and sell at 15 dollars you made a profit, if the price drops then the buyer lost money but it is not something that is forced, if the price goes from 15 to 20 and he sells there then he made a profit as well, and if that buyer buys at 20 and sells at 25 then he makes a profit as well.

This could go on forever as long as the price doesn't fall, and if you are holding and not selling then you are not going to be making a loss as long as you are not selling any of the thing you bought at under the price you spent. So all in all there is a good chance that you are not going to be making any type of profit if you end up selling, but as long as you hold there is a chance there could be no losers.

There's no such thing about 100% accuracy on this market or any market you do tend to deal with because price could move because of several factors.

1. Demand
2. Manipulation
3. Trend

This isnt something that you could take grasp or would know in advance since we are just humans.
If this market turns out to be predictable then we wont really be seeing this on point
because everybody is making money. hehehe

If all this could be foreseen, we would all be rich :)) Unfortunately, this is a financial market similar to the classic stock exchange, so there are bull runs and bear markets.
However, we can try to be guided by the sentiments on the market and even what users write on this forum. If someone is carefully browsing Bitcointalk, it can be easily seen that now most of the posts are very positive, so it can be concluded that prices will continue to rise.

All are predictions and there are those who are good at analyzing the market if it's about the advanced sight in the market.

There are, those people that can analyze what's with it in advance, that's the reason why they're doing that. To have a peek at what's possibly going to happen in the nearest future. That's also why you see a bunch of technical analyses because they're showing what's possible to happen in the future and if you believe them, you'll do what you have to do in advance as well.

As a new trader in the Crypto world, you need to understand a few things that will help you to speculate the next day's movement of the market.

Analysing past weekly and monthly data
Stay updated with news
Monitor movement of crypto market (daily, monthly and yearly)
Keep yourself updated every time.

Cryptocurrency market is unpredictable so,  you may not know precisely when the marketing will dip.  You could however take your cue from activities going on in the market.  Some people use on-chain activities to determine what is happening with buyer and seller of bitcoin.  Some people believe if usdt is been minted and transfer to centralized exchange,  that could be a signal for bitcoin price appreciation.  That also go for large amount of bitcoin been deposit as a signal for depreciation of value of bitcoin.  You have to form your own hypothesis and test it out until you can rely on it for your trading and investment decisions!

As a new trader in crypto world, you need to understand a few things that will help you speculate the next day's movement of the market. You can learn or gain even little knowledge when you start researching and study the charts. Also bear in minds that you can't predict your moves. It's never a 100%accuracy that's why you need to be updated wth news, monitor the movement of crypto (daily, monthly and yearly). Always keep yourself updated everytime and always trust yourself.

Welcome to the forum:)

There is no way you can accurately predict how the market will turn out. However, you can get an idea where it could be going. For that, you need to understand analysis, both fundamental and technical, like @upgrade00 explained.

There's no way to predict in advance but you said how to understand. You can understand the market in advance through technical analysis however that doesn't mean that you will fully understand the market you will only know what could possibly happen in the market.

It's very hard to know about market going on advance but sometimes you can understand by simple technical analysis (TA) with price chart in different exchanges. You can also gain knowledge about market analysis by adding different telegram channels.

Basically we have technical analysis for exact that need alone but it may not get us 100% accurate signal about when and where market may turn. Still, we may get up to 60% accurate signal to trade with and for remaining 40% we need to rely on stoploss order.

No do not waste your time in social media and I am sure that most telegram channels which are selling signals for subscription are fake and re-seller of other such signal selling third parties. So, self-learning alone will help us to predict market direction.

This implies that no one has become perfect when it comes to trading, even those expert traders have also experienced such trouble because of the volatile nature of the market. Even applying TA and FA seems don't work effectively and we can never escape from that.
To get a profit assurance is unlikely but it is not impossible as long as work it hard and has to focus on what we are doing. It is simple, the results of our trade are the outcomes of what we do.

before we can be sure the market will go down or up we must be able to understand the market itself. but I think it will be difficult to accurately determine whether the market will go down or up so it takes experience and good analysis. therefore an investor or trader needs several tries to make a profit because they also experience a lot of experience that can be learned in the future. What is certain is that if the market has started to rise or fall, don't be in a hurry to make a decision. think carefully so as not to be disappointed in the future.

for certainty when the pump occurs I don't think anyone knows for sure, but for beginners we can use indicators to get signals. for example, we use the Moving average indicator, then from there we will be able to find out the price action that will occur in the market, but this is not always the correct signal presented. therefore the need for experience is needed

I will give you a hint about the trading strategies, in trading can't be said that when it will rise and when it will go down, but the thing which matters a lot is the recognizing the coins because it is the only thing through which we can get into it can profit should be taken at that point, so always follows your strategies and work on them nicely.

You wrote as a Fundamental trader with the news and all that atuff. There's nothing wrong in that but you've to realise that trading is beyond fundamentals. There's a technical aspect to it; that which enables traders make a  long term decision based on the parameters of whatever their indicators have been able to show them. Again, anyone found trying to base their crypto knowledge on what they get on the supposedly "twitter page of Elon Mask" according to you, isn't a real investor for me. Elon may be the richest man alive but that doesn't mean he has trading experience or that he's profitable trading. From the little I know of him online, he's more of a hodler than trader. So, why would anyone take his trade calls any serious then?

Unfortunately many times newbies design trading systems that rely on them being able to predict what the market is going to do 100% of the time and while they can get away with such system for some time we know no one can keep that accuracy, and then when they lose a few trades in a row they panic and that is when they make some major mistakes, and by the time they have learned the truth out of this market there is not much they can do about all the money they have lost already.

It is not successful to have 100% of people in this cryptocurrency. No one can say anything in advance. However, there are online books for analysis.You can do a little analysis of the market by follow all the online books but you cannot do one hundred percent analysis.

Only experienced and knowledgeable people can know the details about the market. Since you are new to this forum you should do technical analysis about the market. In order to do technical analysis, you need to do trading analysis on different exchanges. You need to bring various telegram group update news.

Using indicators is also under TA including charting analysis, Moving Average indicators is use to determine the trend, price below or above it determines the trend, candlestick patterns is very helpful in determining the possible change in trend direction, for instance exhaustion candles like Pin Bar, Engulfing bar etc formed at oversold or overbought zones indicated by RSI indicator isba signal for price reversal however all these requires experience as you rightly said.

Experience will teach OP to learn and understand the market in advance.

There's no way it can be learned overnight. There will be lots of losses, stress, regret, disappointment, that OP will experience before being able to analyze the market in advance. OP just needs to move forward and continue working on learning.

Practice makes perfect.

Use technical analysis in order for you to understand the current market situation and the possibility of what will it print in the future but all cryptocurrency are volatile except for stable coins that's why the technical analysis won't work 100% accurate but it is better to use technical analysis when entering and exiting position in the market rather than making a decision blindly.

If it was possible then the market speculation would cease to exist. Because nobody a knows what can really happen but we can only predict hence trading happens on speculation and we have so many market options available to trade on.

A lot of resources are available on the internet. It just needs a little work to get them and then spend time reading them. But that is what most unsuccessful traders lack - patience. Because of lack of patience they want information quickly and they would trade on that impulsively, leading to losses indeed.

I would like to stress that even they cannot predict correctly every time a certain time frame in selected. It takes a lot of analysis and guesswork to give a guarded answer on their part.

I would not recommend bombarding yourself with so much news. Being a long term hodler really removes all these problems but if you are day trading then you would need it.

Whoever said that he already knows everything after reading and experiencing trading in a short span of time is very prone to losing a lot in the long run.

This venue of investment is a never ending learning process. The more you engaged and experienced trading, the more skills you will learn
and capable of using to improve your opportunities.

Trading strategy is not a game of luck but an idea that composed of every knowledge that you gained from time to time.

Winning and losing trades gives you a set of learning that you can continually polish to improve for more.

This is something that happens to newbies all the time, after a few successful trades they think trading is easy and they just have a natural talent for it, however the trader which has been successful for a long time knows that in order to achieve that feat he needs to keep improving himself because the moment he stops that is the moment his competitors will begin to get the money he has in his account, basically the more we experience in the market the more we understand how little we actually understand it, an attitude which is the opposite most newbies have.

When we are still noob we do really have those kind of thoughts that we could able to take grasp on things very well on a short time manner
but when reality slaps you in the  face then you would really realize on how reality works and you would do things accordingly.Well, its a very common thing we do have when we dont still have an idea on how this market works.You would presumpt into something which isnt really right at all.Practice do indeed makes perfect  and dont rush on everything specially into this investment.

Reading market sentiments is not only impossible, but risky too.
Though, there are signs which can tell you about the situation in the markets.

Trend is your friend, so follow where the trend is going.
Look for the patterns (google about patterns and you will learn about so many patterns).
Look for higher highs and lower lows because they indicate trend changes.
Doji, shooting star and other various candle types can help understand the next candle's move.

That seems perfect...
We shouldn't have to underestimate the market and we can't just live that presumption for this might be the reason to fail. More practice literally gains more experience and this could give us more idea and market information. And this couldn't happen instantly, a week, a month, or maybe a year of learning isn't enough nor we could see the real happening in the future.

We can make use of our experience to make some TA and some insights but never does it says that we are predicting it right coz that always be impossible.

Those who want to make money quickly will tend to make this mistake and the number of such users in the world is more indeed. It is normal to wish to become rich, but nobody can predict how the market is going to move with 100% accuracy and therefore it is based on a lot of guesswork. Beginner's luck can often hit newbies and they need to be careful not to take that seriously. With shitcoin popping up everywhere, it is easy to get swayed in thinking they will be good for the long term but that is a mistake.

Nobody can actually say whether some shitcoin will be big tomorrow, but bitcoin will be big this much can be said with a lot of certainty. So if you have one thing to put money in, put it in bitcoin and you will not have to worry about how big it will be, just wait and watch, just like the early adopters of bitcoin have been doing.

There is just one option to understand the market in advance which is in my opinion didn't give guaranteed that it will happen 100%, which is the prediction of the coins which you want to trade on through the coins graph and collecting some news or information about the coins, these type of things can help you a lot to get profit.

To be able to know what will happen to the market in the future, that is only with predictions based on the analysis of several past market movements, no one can accurately predict market conditions that will dump and pump. If we apply analytical techniques, we can see the market with a support line for an up market and a resistance line for a down market. However, this does not guarantee that it will happen for sure.

We'll there's lot for you to read to have at least learn something in predicting the price actions. Aside from learning the technical analysis from charts, there are still some complexity in it. Learning about OBV is one of the simplest way to do it. Another thing is the A/D Line. However, these are just tools for you to decide if you want to jump in or not. These tools are there only to provide you the probabilities and that's not certainties. And lastly, learn to earn more.

Understanding the market is what we call analysis (technical analysis and fundamental analysis). So, for you to be able to understand the cryptocurrency market you have to know how analysis works, you can look at the works of other market analysts and see how they are able to make market predictions, although this doesn’t come out 100% right most of the times, but at least it can help you to know the direction the market is likely to head to in the nearest future or long term.

So, you have to study the charts and know how you can make use of these charts to predict where the market can be heading to whether it will be going up or down, when you are able to learn this, you will be able to understand the market and  know what will be the possible outcome.

Nobody can understand the market accurately and predict how it will behave. However, one can make informed trading decisions if they have understanding of technical and fundamental analysis. Analysis can help give you a better understanding; however, there is no guarantee.

I think no one can point out the exact date of the next bullish market or next bearish market. Traders,investors, crypto expert, has no power to point out the best time to sell or buy they only decide base on what they believe and based on the market situation so we also need to do our own research and we need not to always depend on them let's decide by our self.

That's very much true for unregulated crypto market which is manipulated by news and events more often then other trading markets. There is tons of material available about how market will behave in future but its not certain, history shows all such predictions were wrong. The best way is to DYOR and after reading reliable crypto sources.

For you to understand market advance you need to follow this steps:
1- Decreasing: whenever the price of a particular coin is reducing gradually in the market show that the price of that coin will not increase higher for their customers to make good profit.
2- Increasing: whenever the price of a particular coin is pumping and others are decreasing in the market show the coin will not last more than two month for pumping .
3- Few buyers : whenever you see few buyers in the market show that the season is not a season for profit making than to continue holding your coins till the price hit higher.

If you want to understand the market movement, you should learn both technical and fundamental analysis. It's not easy  that's why ypu need to learn about it. Also study the graph and learn the candles on how it moves and change in every five, fifteen, or thirty minutes  or even every hour. If you are doing trade, i believe step by step you will understand the market.

FA and TA are only 50% correct, because so much of speculation happening in an unregulated market, you have to know how you can use it to your advantage and not how to predict a movement.

One thing I understand is that you have to be ready with both BTC and Fiat at all times if you want to execute some profiting trades. When the market is dropping use the Fiat to buy and when the market is rising use the BTC to sell. Now the only thing that you decide on your own is the point of selling or buying. This will depend on support and resistance levels.

If you follow what I said above, you will be able to make gross profits over large margins but it will take time. Patience is the key here. Those who bought at 19k USD at the first bitcoin ATH above 19k, were angry that the market crashed after that and tried to panic sell. Had they been holding all these years they would have got 2x gains on the price today.

You can't really understand it in advance but it can give you a glimpse or possible ideas what will happen to the market and to do that you would either go along with the news and discussion and the most accurate one is the technical analysis but that doesn't mean that you would understand the market in advance. It's really hard to understand the market situation and analyze it accurately.

market analysis will not be 100% accurate and we only need to analyze it correctly according to the trade agreement.
Know the basics of trading, technical analysis and Fundamental knowledge. both are very important to be able to observe the market. If you have mastered it, then the market will be able to read and of course will provide benefits in every trade.

You can understand it in advance and that's why we see those speculators and as well as those traders that are giving their analysis and thought about the market. By having that skill in the market which most traders have, knowing the market in advance is possible. You don't need complex understanding for having it because it's like having an intelligent guess or hypothesis.

But the thing is what you've said, everyone can understand what the market seems to have in advance but giving accurate details about it. It may go the x path based on your analysis but the actual, it go through the other path.

Every person can easily understand the situation of market but due to fud news any person can't understand the situation.because there is indicators that will give you a good option for buying or selling but some times bad news will create a crash.

If everyone of us can see the movement in advance, for sure many of us have seen bitcoin going down to $36k.

But the reality is kicking in that it's unpredictable. We have the indicators that won't be enough in seeing the market in advance especially if you're a day trader.

You'll depend on those indicators most of the time.

Understanding when the market will go down and up is usually done by doing a market analysis. However, market analysis is not completely accurate because the market is actually difficult to predict because of its fluctuating value. Here what can be done is to try to analyze it even though there is still no certainty at least we have tried and are more careful to move. You can search on several youtube channels for ways to analyze the market or you can read some articles on google, it seems to be able to help. After you feel that you understand enough, try to practice analyzing the market directly.

There are two kind of market, the bearish and the bullish, how would you understand it? Well, it is very easy, if there's a lot of bearish flags (red candles, lower high and lower low) that's a bearish marker, while the bullish market is the opposite, a lot of green candles (higher low and higher high). In order to make profits in those kind of situation, the TA is gonna come in, you need also to understand how to make one and how to read one to be able to understand what's going on in the market.

If you are serious about understanding the market and its trends, corrections, etc. then you must study market charts.

Nowadays market charts are used by professionals of every kind. They rely upon charts to provide a visual, graphical view of what is going on at this time and in the recent past to many years ago

Crypto market is totally unpredictable but here is what i learnt from 10 years crypto experience.
When market is full in Dip and fears increase In market this the best time to take entry and when market are In full bullish mode and people feel over confident than this is the time to exit from market and wait for dip.

Welcome to the Bitcointalk forum, to understand the market you have to know crypto first. You have to learn about crypto, until you know it well. You can only analyze based on how the market was before and what the future potential is. To know the market will go up, I often determine the support line in the market, meaning that there is a movement like before. This looks really easy, but it's the easiest. You will have to analyze yourself and decide if you are sure.

That technical study gives some indications of which direction the market can move in the long run but for the short term mostly depends on daily news what is happening.  But accordingly, to me, no one can predict/understand fully the market direction. Many experts failed many times to predict correctly.

It's true that the crypto market is really unpredictable and don't waste time just predicting it's better to just follow the news and developments from the market,
With the crypto market being unpredictable, I think we need to have a really strong mentality

I agree. Technical analyses help in predicting the market movements, but it doesn’t guarantee what will happened in the market in advance. It just helps in making decisions, providing grounds on why such decision shall be made. But at the end of the day, no one can really attest the actual movement. So, yes, follow the news and the market developments happening.