Bitcoin Forum

one one hand we have Omicron and the mark that it is leaving on the world economy.
on the other hand we have the bitcoin price failing to stay above $50k and all the FUD that came after that.

i can't predict the impact of all this on the price since the current $41k is already way below what the actual price should be, but i can expect a month or two of "fear" where people are scared of buying bitcoin and eventually start hoping for a drop so that they can buy more (something like what we saw during $30k period in the middle of 2021).

do you think January and possibly February could be the Fearuary months?

Possibly. There's so much fear right now already but I don't think it has peaked yet. (though I'm not saying that it necessarily needs to peak). Idunno, past bottoms even had me shitting myself despite me bullish on bitcoin for the long term; whereas right now I'm still pretty comfy lol. I just have a very slightly uneasy feeling in a trading sense. I mean, the lack of significant bounce is slightly worrying.

As for buying dips, I'm probably not going to go big right now just yet; though I'm dipping my feet in, just in case if this ends up being a short-mid term bottom.

Note: definitely not a "pro" trader

For a forum heavily populated with relentless Bitcoin bulls, we're surprisingly easily spooked.

Forget months, I hope that we'll get another 2014-16-style years-long depression. Miner's paradise. This time I'll keep most of it, I promise.

Let's not forget that like a huge chunk of people here are just here solely to make money off campaigns though; and barely even know anything about Bitcoin(hence easily spooked). I wouldn't even be surprised if most of them just automatically cash out after every payment received. 🤷

this is why i'm trying to assess the situation and come up with a better plan. if i see more panic in the market i would wait for a better price to buy the dip but if the well dries up i would have to jump in faster.
this has always been the reason why i LOVE panic sellers :D

But do not let us forget that you can have strategic investment regimen. For example, investing more as the price is continuously decreasing, so when the price start to increase it will be a profitable investment strategy. It can be more of bears for now but I am not certain, but we are certain that the bulls will again at a time make bitcoin uptrends to all-time-high, but what is needed is time.

I can see that Fudsters started their campaign about Bitcoin is going to lose its value so eventually people will start selling once it reaches below 39,999 because that is a psychological number to induce in people's mind that we entered into 30K region even if we are just one dollar below from 40K. The bearish trend may follow after this and then everything will starts from the beginning.

Fear months can turn into fear years pretty quickly.  If history is any guide we could be in for 40 months of fear as the jump from $4K to $70K unwinds itself.  Sure, there's always outside factors, but if you're taking a long time view of the market I think having some caution here and making sure you aren't invested with money you can't afford to lose is probably a good idea.  If you've been eating ramen and stacking sats for the last 3 years, maybe it's time to sell a little and buy yourself a steak dinner.  Had I told you a year ago that Bitcoin would be over $40K today you probably would have smiled, so my advice is to smile.

The ones panicking are the people who are over exposed to bitcoin or the late comers who haven’t been through a bear market before. I sold pretty much nothing from 2014 to Q3 2021. In 2018 I thought my life was over, full of regret & panic but I still sold nothing. I learnt from that mistake & sold 25% between 53.8k & 65k, I am prepared for all outcomes now, feels good.

I think everybody needs to feel like I did in 2018 & 2019 so they get experience to do it right in future cycles.

Fears and panicking are really expected when the price drops, so technically we might see more dramas in the market which can cost for a big price drop again. Well, this could be an opportunity to buy again just wait for the good signal before you buy. If you’re here in the market years before this drop, you should know what to do on this kind of situation, buy more.

Any months on a certain year could be possibly those fear months you do say because nothing is totally assured for such reason on why it had dropped on this way.If you've been on this market then
you wouldnt freak out which those common noobs would actually do.

Some might be seeing that these drops are good opportunities to buy but there are people who do go into the opposite way and telling that this is the end of crypto.

Deal with it because we cant really just have a market that would only focus on going up.

We can't deny that we are exactly here, in the fear months where there are so many people who are triggered and influenced of the fears spreading. that is not only because of the new existence of new variant (I am sure that there will be other variants again and again and this likely will never stop, let's a list).
People who concern with BTC price seems also to be very panicked about this current market situation. It has broken the support nad moreover some FUDs are also still spreading, some people also predict about the next support of reaching to drop again.
Well, this is normal that many people will be influenced by the FUD and become panicked enough.

If all or most people can think clearly about this, this current market will not mean many things. But sadly, many people (especially beginners( have been influenced and they are so afraid fo the market, think about Bitcoin bearish and will not rise up again.

Yea I agree, Bitcoin market related Fear needs to be experienced and after going through
it further fear events will be easily handled.

I'm not worried by this latest downturn, it gives me a chance to buy back some Satoshi's
which I had to sell in December, now I'm buying more Satoshi's for the same FIAT, its great.
I can do this in the belief that long term everything wil be just fine.

I heard a interesting interview on the radio today with a computer scientist about this current
downturn, He put it down partly to the unrest in Kazakhstan and how the internet was suspended
there from all the riots, this effected mining and mining is very popular there since China became
very unfriendly to Bitcoin last year.

Here is a related article > https://www.newscientist.com/article/2303666-kazakhstan-unrest-takes-down-a-fifth-of-global-bitcoin-mining-network/

Of course this is only temporary, a lot of people cannot see that.

https://i.imgur.com/M49jUri.png

If you take a look at this data and historical values, now is the extremely lowest value of the Fear & Greed Index of Bitcoin since last month which is 29.
This time, I remember way back in 2018 January (exclude alt season), after the peak, Bitcoin started to dump. I believe that next month could be the best the bounce month or like pullback after this dumps started on the month of January.

Omnicrom is a bad flu, any normal year I'd say terrible but in contrast to the more lethal prior variants Im almost willing to say its a slight positive.   Still markets will naturally pull back from the highs and Dollar index is higher now then its been for a while, there is fear overall.   However DXY is not beating the highs of July 2020 so I'm not that apprehensive bigger picture, we are talking about speculative moves.

Right now I'm looking for a bounce back upwards.   The rejection of highs is what indicates future lows, we havent yet tested that yet so dont be quite so negative in this exact moment is my take.   See if we can beat the 2 day (https://talkimg.com/images/2023/06/12/AkqRw.png) average we are close to

Let it be like that.
We saw that happen many times before, so we do not have to fear if the market is still dropping, even to the lowest price.
That will be our discount time to buy as much bitcoin as possible.
Hopefully, Omicron is not too dangerous as the previous virus as we already get vaccinated and I guess the government will ask us to have a booster vaccine later.
The price could be down to $30k if more people still panic and can not hold their emotions.
Maybe we will see that happen this January and February since the Chinese New Year will come soon, making people sell some of their assets to celebrate it.

That's cause they're bulls, that's why they're easily spooked. I don't know why they're easily spooked though, especially those that have been in market for a long time already, kind of feels like there's not a lot of people that have learned to be patient and that this pace will be eventually outgrown because it's happened some time in the past.

Well it looks like we are going to be like that, however, for those who have been in the market and seen the ups and downs in 2017 and the eventually crypto winter after that, no need to panic and hopefully they learn their lessons to that long and bearish trend.

So personally, if the bears come early then we can't really stop it, but what we can do is to continue to accumulate as much as we can and have the mental toughness to HODL and then wait for another bull run.

Not gonna speculate but I don't think it's always to stay in constant as there are no permanent thing except change. Still staying on the sidelines is probably the best move I could ever think right now, probably the bestest.

I don't know if we gonna go back to 20k level once again but my stablecoin portfolio is always waiting to get some cheaper bitcoins and other favorite top alts.

We can't categorically call if 'fear' months, maybe we can see occasional dumps along the way.

But I do believed that there are smart investors or at least those who have matured enough to take advantage of this dumping and buy bitcoin at a cheap price to at least halt the incoming dumps.

Just a question on what will be the best price to enter amidst the selling pressure.

Well, to tell you the truth, I'm not sure Omicron has even had half a devastating effect as what Coronavirus had on the economy in 2020. Nah! Not anywhere close. At least, the world has an idea how to tackle Omicron unlike when Coronavirus debuted.

I expect that Bitcoin will dip this first quarters of the year. My expectation has nothing to do with the Omicron spread. It's from historical data of what transpired in the first quarters of 2018. Yes, this should be a fear month.

My guess is that it would be by March where most of the time during that month the fear starts. As the price reflects in the past that on that particular month, the price of bitcoin usually fell. But no matter what people will come out with these months, no one will stop me from holding.
And if I get to have some spare budget, I'll definitely buy as long as it's under $50k and even it goes under $40k or $30k, those prices are good to stack some bitcoins.

For more than two years, we have witnessed the constant creation of fear through a pandemic, and even when scientists say Omicron does not cause serious consequences, politicians around the world continue to act as if a disease is spreading around the world that kills every other infected person, while in reality the mortality rate is only 3.4%. When we look at the biggest panic in countries that have the highest rates of vaccination with 2 or three doses, one wonders who is crazy in that story - shouldn't the vaccine be the solution?

Personally, I am surprised that, despite everything, the world is holding up pretty well, but only because most governments have implemented very populist measures and injected a lot of money into the pockets of ordinary citizens and the economy. When they close the tap and the prices just go up, we can expect a crowd on the streets that will finally wonder how long all this will last.

I don’t think Bitcoin can avoid that vortex, because the whole market is connected and when things go downhill almost nothing can stay stable. Far from being pessimistic, but the next 3 months will probably be difficult for everyone - and when the winter in the northern hemisphere ends, things will start to return to normal - because the virus must also go on vacation ;)

I have no doubt it could happen, I've seen this kind of situation in the past, it's easy to decide now because if the price will dump, that means it will not end there, the bear market might stay for a longer period of time and that will bring a lot of accumulation opportunities for us.

Keep the faith high and enjoy the bear market as much as we enjoy the bull market since it's a cycle that we cannot prevent to happen.

Yeah, the price of bitcoin definitely would have been different if we did not have heard about the new strain of covid. At the same time, the awareness about making use of dips seems has been significantly increased which is the reason we are holding the support above $40k till now. So, when investors are confident about bullish trend in long run then this month may not remain how it started.

I guess tonight might be more crucial and if we see any bullish action tonight then we can be sure about upcoming bullish trend in 2022 otherwise this year would be a replica of 2014 and 2018.

nope this is a normal situation actually. because imagine how bitcoin reach the current ath in just a year? 2 all time high remember.. So for sure these is just a correction but everyone is panicking reason the price gradually decreasing as well. But still not a big deal tho. Yeah fuds are everywhere but remember how bitcoin can survive always despite of situation.. It's always too good to hold mate. Especially if you already dump some of your profits because no need to worry..indeed this situation will not last.

Not so sure in January and February Bitcoin will experience a large pumping, market conditions are currently very decisive in the month, but in the long run, this year Bitcoin will experience a big increase, although it cannot be clearly predicted in what month, and I still believe in Thus Bitcoin's condition will experience a large price increase, considering the market scenario is waiting for Bull Run to recover Bitcoin at the initial stages of pumping.

It's very small to reach the opportunity, although sometimes the market can change very quickly, two months to recover the market against bitcoin is a difficult job, considering that in the previous year bitcoin corrected for so long, if realistically speaking, then the opportunity is likely to happen in the middle of this year, but if the correction can be picked up in total in the next month, but we have to believe that bitcoin will reach at a great price.

People were looking for $100k a month ago, but now everyone are towards $50k. This is all because of the market fluctuation thats happening around the cryptocurrency network. Whenever the market experience downturn, automatically there arises fear among the investors. Specific people who have used to it, and if they are into trading it is good time to make an entry

Why you think that it is necessary to have some bullish trend in the market today, either way the market is moving high today and the market started to move higher by 3% and will see how long it can go. I am still expecting the market to go side way somewhere down the line and hopefully we will see that happen in the next few months and that is my expectation considering the global financial situation where inflation is looming.

Now bitcoin price around $41.5k+ i think most people now are want $50k-$60k+.Bitcoin is most valuable coin and bitcoin development increase day by day.I hope bitcoin development will be more in future. This the market condition that happening around the crypto market.I Think bitcoin price will be more increase in next two moth and it will be increase in 2022 and reached to next moth $50k+.

Not in my particular case. I will not be afraid for the next few months. I have been investing for some time now and I know what the ups and downs of the market are. Also, playing poker, the spurts have a certain similarity with stock market cycles. When my investments go down or I have a losing streak, I continue to do the same, DCA and play my style, because I know that in the long run I win.

Another thing is the masses, they are already, not just in fear, almost in panic I would say, and as the fear and greed index shows. As the economic year in general does not look bullish, with rate cuts in sight, I guess this will last at least a few months.

Already starting from early November 2021 it's when magnify image mirrors of bitcoin downgrade started indicating how Bitcoin will appear in 2022 so am not surprise experiencing the falling of bitcoin, actually i taught on my own that bitcoin will accelerate by January which we are into but since is not cognitive enough to predict cryptocurrency and it land at the accuracy side of it, so let not us Skip fear of more falling of bitcoin, and advice to study chart of bitcoin to if possible the falling have a strong bond before you can adventure into purchasing more of it.

If you say desire, maybe many people want bitcoin to reach the price of $100,000K, but that is unlikely to happen at the beginning to the middle of this year, because the correction doesn't seem to be fully healed for now, it is true that bitcoin is the only stable coin and is developing fairly well, the increase in bitcoin in the long term is also still very high, compared to the previous two years, and this year bitcoin will return to a good trend.

The desire must be balanced with the Bitcoin journey on the market, if not it is just a dream we want to achieve, talking about Bitcoin inseparable from the beginning of the trip until now, the process to achieve at current prices is the development they do, coupled with the existence of other influences Make Bitcoin increasingly priceless until now, realistic indeed if people expect Bitcoin to reach high prices, but we also don't forget this year Bitcoin hasn't recovered from a correction, so what needs to be done is the recovery, to be achieved at the price that people want.

More traders will definitely store their BTC into stablecoin because of this price. It's just that some are still hopeful that the price will abruptly jump up but as it's going down every week for the last 2 months, it's not going to be pretty for BTC holders.

It's a sounding alarm because even the stock market is also down, it's a signal of a market downturn which may surprise us because it is not really the "buy the dip" opportunity as we thought.

I also prefer to hold my bitcoin with the current market price drop not just for the fact that it is the dominant crypto but also I do believe that time will come it will going to up its price again. I don't think that I would speculate about the enter the bull trend earlier this year but I am very positive that we will go to see an up trend market of crypto within this year. I feel that this year bitcoin will be going to attain another milestone and hopefully, it will going to break its own ATH record, I don't think so if a $100k is possible but at least higher than its recent ATH.

Do you have any idea of what the ACTUAL Bitcoin price should be? ;D
I think that the current BTC price is the actual price.What happened in October/November was a price bubble and the 69K ATH price wasn't sustainable.The price bubble popped and we are now witnessing the actual price of Bitcoin,which is around 40-42K.
Yes,we are going to have "fear" months,but that's OK.
Bitcoin proved that it cannot serve as a safe heaven or as the perfect protection against inflation.
It's still a great volatile and risky asset,which outperformed all the other financial assets,but definitely not a safe heaven or inflation protection tool.

Yeah, This whole downtrend started after the big hype on ETF approval was already over. China timing there FUD news when there's no big news that people keeps holding on. This worsen when Omicron news appear since it might result for another global economic crisis due to its fast transmission rate. But having this in mind, I will still have confidence holding Bitcoin since institutional investor is still not losing hope and they are the one who holds the majority of the supply so its a still goog as long as they are holding.

I like to think it won't happen but with all the FUD coming out in social media you will be pushed to the edge of selling your lovely bitcoins especially the new investors. They lack the drive of holding it and they want profits as fast as they can because that's what they learned in the same platform "social media". "Buy this, be rich quick" schemes and Bitcoin is being used as the face of it.
No wonder we are back to $40k. That is where the strength is, the real hodlers. The question will be, who is going to buy back all those coins that was left by the soft hands? Yes, it will be the old investors again.  :D When? A big question. They might be waiting, just like us.

Seeing the decline in prices in the last month and a half, maybe some people are afraid. not to mention the unusually long period of negative market sentiment. Therefore, I think, people can stay in fear mode for the next month or two, as Bitcoin price usually moves sideways before a decisive up or down move.

I doubt though that the recent decline is due to the FUD?

It has something to do with the Kazakhstan political issue isn't it? as the bitcoin mining switch from China to Kazakhs and now there is a turmoil in that country, with no electricity sending the market into chaos as the hashing power is dropping.

So in any case the price is really going to drop hard because of this inadvertently effect of what is happening in that country.

Months!?  :D

Try years. And it'll be years of fear and disappointment until the world moves on from the failed bitcoin experiment.

I can see big disappointment in your words. Was it a bad time to buy?

The market situation is very nervous now and we are probably very close to panic. Still, the mood is full of hope that 2022 will be a repeat of 2021. I think February will be a month of fear, but in the end everything should end positively.

Nah, he just loves to troll about the price. He's doing it for (too) many years.

@proudhon, nice to see you posting again! Your presence tends to become a good signal for price starting to rise again ;D

If to this we also add the belief people have that the past has the tendency to repeat itself, then we can see how the behavior of investors will be affected by the belief that just because the market of cryptocurrencies crashed at the and of 2017 and the beginning of 2018 that something like this could happen again, so if we add all the factors that are currently in play there is a definitely a possibility that we could see a further decrease in the price.

Social media will always have people who do FUD and FOMO, right now there are two types of people, one of them says that this is the end of bitcoin and we will drop to a crazy low level, and the others are saying this is just a discount and nothing important. They are both wrong, this is not the end of bitcoin, but this is also a serious drop that takes us back a while as well.

In the long run the second party is a bit more right, because in the long run I believe it will be 100k+ one day anyway, but this is taking us some time back to lower levels and it will take a while before we go back to 50k+ which we had just last year so why would going down be anything good.

Infact the price has not shows any sign of ending the decline, everyday the price goes dip while investors are encouraged to buy at dip yet the price continue to drop, I hope the fear in the next two months wouldn't cause more newbies hodlers dumping their coins consequently leading to more price drop, this is indeed a trying time for new investors and hodlers, I hope the price correction end soonest and bullish runs return with full force, one certainty is that the price would surely bounce back having witnessed even more correction in the past.

There's no exemption when it comes on getting feared on the market condition because we would be thinking that our investment will really be mainly affected which i could say that it is really normal.

We do value money much and losing it will really cause up those kind of reactions since we are just human beings which it is really normal that we would really felt up that way whether you are a
noob or professional. Thing differs is the frequency and level of fear to be felt.

Noobs are more prone that to those who are experienced ones which is common sense.

That's the reason why more newbies are afraid of the current bearish trend, because the newbie has no knowledge and experience in
the crypto world. Therefore, never stop learning about the crypto world, to really understand that the price of Bitcoin is indeed very volatile.
Often the price of Bitcoin falls very deep and requires patience waiting for the price to recover, so there is no need to be afraid of the current
bearish trend, because the price of Bitcoin will not go down forever. Bitcoin price will surely recover soon and the price can go up very high,
so we don't need to hesitate to hold until the Bitcoin price rises again to the target we want. It's true that long term investment in Bitcoin
can make us rich, because the longer we hold Bitcoin, the more profit we make.

I don't think this sell-off has anything to do with Omicron. It did at the beginning of December however now its mostly due to the fed decisions on tapering and increases interest rates. The stock market is basically having a kangaroo market which means it goes up one day, and down the next and then back up the next day.

People are bearish one day... bullish the next. And this is leading to many people getting chopped in the markets. And I think bitcoins future holds alot in what the stock market indicies do for the next few weeks. If we keep going to new highs on the SP500, then I can see bitcoin bottoming at $39K and going higher. maybe even a new ATH. However if the stock market keeps dipping lower, so will bitcoin since its very closely correlated.

We are in a spot where the investors are feeling extreme fear.
If you are an intelligent investor, you know what will do when people are fearful. There is no need to say the infamous Warren Buffet's quote when it comes to investing because we know what we will do when others are fearful :).

Fear months are opportunity months for investors :). Lets take advantage to those who are panic selling and lets buy a lower price.

I think that we might see what happened in 2018. I'm hoping it will not but if it happens then I hope that all are ready for it.
With the start of 2022 not good, I think that we might see those investors in fear for the first 2 months of the year.

the panic is still there but i have to comment on the recent development that brought price up to $44k. this screwed a lot of shorters in a single upward move and they are so angry. we can even see their accounts on social media activate again after a long period of silence :D
maybe i should start a poll to see how long people think the shenanigans can go on.

oh oh a big bullish signal.

$274,835.91 ;D

If so, then there is no need for an analysis of the development of bitcoin going forward, we just have to wait for the pumping of bitcoin, the initial process of emergence until now being ranked first for bitcoin is inseparable from the development, team and big promotion they do, so it's impossible for them to survive in the current position without going through the process, just waiting is not more than enough?

But I don't think it will be that long, bitcoin will find a recovery against future corrections, 50K failure will return to the green, once the correction is complete within this month or next month, the impact of the decline in my opinion is profitable, so we can buy with low prices, then save until bitcoin reaches a high price, in this case I'm sure in February or March conditions will return to normal, but for plen B we must also prepare, if bitcoin does not reach the desired price.

Correction is inevitable or market pullbacks could really happen and it would really vary out on market conditions based up on fundamentals or doesnt really have any reasons behind at all which it do really makes

things even more harder for you to analyze on.The market could neither have a long bearish season or trend and we dont know on when it would end and mind off that we had able to experience it back in the past

on which it did really boggles out peoples mind on how things would be going next and fear is something a very common emotion that we do felt off from time to time on seeing
these moments.

As having this crisis and covid-19 still exists, that always be a threat to the economic system of the government. Of course, if we keep this fear inside, we can't move on. That is why we should have to fight this feeling and become strong and have to win this, we soon surpass this situation. But what I see on the market trend, it is making good and recovering which means that people still have their support and hold their crypto rather than selling because of the existing new covid variant.

I find this not a threat anymore and I foresee a continuous recovery in the coming months.

That is the thing, 50k is not that far away and just trying to even get there would be a lot of green days and that is enough to get people pumped. I know that most people do not get pumped about these things that easily anymore, but that is just the way they will change. People's perception of bitcoin changes so quickly, it goes down 5k and suddenly it is crashing and dying, it goes up 5k and suddenly it is alive all over again.

So, I am guessing that all those doomster people right now that fear for the price to fall, will end up feeling like they are missing out on something if they do not buy it as soon as it starts to go up again. I can't say for sure what is going to happen, but I know that we are going to definitely have a life jacket to hold onto if we go above 44k+ levels which will start to pump people and the higher it goes the more people will join in and make it even higher.

the dilemma of most users is the situation happening around us. but we can always use this to our advantage. while we are already in crypto market, for sure, we are rooting for some projects that will do good once the market recovers. so if you have extra funds, you can slowly buy those alts but keep yourself updated also with their news or updates. in this manner, you are not blindly investing on these coins. because if you feel that alt is somewhat giving you a negative return, you can always cash out while you are still at positive and move to another alt.

When it comes to Alt, I am more inclined to look at the top 10 on coinmarketcap, although not all of them have ever reached a new ATH, indeed we are currently in a dilemma, market conditions have not recovered from the correction until now, but in investing we cannot rely on something that we think is right , moreover if Alt gives us a slight negative return, this needs to change the investment pattern we are doing, otherwise the investment will not yield anything.

Market sentiment is still continuing my forecast until February, so forcing bitcoin to continue correcting, making predictions is actually not difficult, but what makes it difficult is making predictions that are above 80% correct, controlling emotions and fears is very necessary at this time, considering market conditions are still in a state of flux. fluctuating circumstances or difficult phases, if we make the wrong decision, then the investment we make will have a bad impact in the future, to avoid all of that, calmness and readiness must really be improved.

Yes, choosing the top 10 on Coinmarketcap will be better but do not forget that the other coins have the chance to increase and some of them really increase besides the top 10 Coinmarketcap. Even if the market is not fully recovered and is still at the correction, it will increase at the right time. Fear or not will depend on yourself because as long as we know how to use the market situations for our benefits, we will get the chance to profit from our investment. If we can not sell our coins right now, we can wait for a while and sell them in the future, especially if we have many potential coins that can increase in the future.

It is not really that difficult to understand that bitcoin will be unpredictable for a while. As long as we can feel safe and not really get too excited about all the things we are seeing right now, then we are going to make a profit.

It is obvious and has always been obvious that it would be like this. So, we are going to have volatile movements, and that means sometimes it will be up and sometimes it will be low and if we are not emotionally weak then we are going to be able to handle it all. That is what I am hoping for right now, it is not easy for everyone to do it but as a long term investor the volatile movements will not become a huge problem for me.

That's talking about opportunities in my opinion, there are many ways to get profit in investing in crypto, but because a lot of focus is on bitcoin, making people miss this opportunity, people think that the safest investment is only in bitcoin, despite the fact that it is, but bitcoin can't always be provide benefits for us, especially in the short term, we can not avoid fluctuations in the market, the ups and downs of a price is something that is possible. But don't be afraid, in the long run bitcoin will get better and maximized.

It is totally volatile area, fear or volatile months are normal here. We don't know what happen in these months even we can't predict next day. So be patient and don't go with panic sell or panic buy, conquer your emotions nowadays. We can't go with fear in this market so let it be.

It may be easy to say, but hard to put into practice when you can't control your emotions. Your advice isn't bad, but it would be much better if you were one of the holders who had a certain amount of bitcoin in your wallet so you could really feel how hot this hand is when the market is correcting. At least that's how I feel when I have bitcoin but the market down. It's not scary, but it can sometimes keep you from getting a good night's sleep. LOL

Fear month again when bitcoin stuck only $44k and now back under $41k, better try to out activity from trading and stop opening with market price, lets working real or looking other activity without have coherence on internet. When we are seeing an internet always our hands try looking for with market condition, I think quit one or two months is better maybe when opening again have good news with bitcoin reach higher price above $70,000 or reach more than $100,000

If you do go for long term then this is applicable or considerable but if not then it is impossible for someone not to check out the market even on a single day since of course we would

really be needing to be aware on what are the things been happening around in the market and it is really just a common behavior of yours that you would
really be having this kind of activity towards it.

Its normal to fear off those bear season or dumping state but doesnt mean that this isnt an opportunity for you to enter.

Exactly. Developing fears as the market continues to fall its prices is always a yearly scenario that appears every time bearish season starts to take place. But is there really a good reason to develop fear? Yes, if you think you are hodling the wrong coins but if you are into good and well established coins, then there's no need to fear as all of them will eventually recover. And this bear season will be another good entry to start investing in the market and fill our bags with potential coins.

Yes, its really hard because i've been there. But the question is, does it help the situation to be better by having us to fear? I guess it will even worsen the situation once not properly managed. Fear is something that is already a part of being a human but if we always tolerate it, it will only make us deprived from the opportunities that this bearish season brings. So lets be practical, this is not the best time to fear about what is currently happening, divert your emotions into something useful like buying at the dip so we can be more profitable if this bearish season will be over.

It depends on what our investment goals are. If we expect a commensurate return then we need not be afraid when the market is experiencing a correction. Price fluctuations are a normal situation which allows investors and traders to make profits but on the other hand fluctuations also cause a lot of losses. Short term investment may be much riskier if it fails to control emotions properly especially when the market trend is not as expected, it has happened time and time again until now.

It's safe to say that the best way to get a decent return is to invest in the long term and not focus too much on monitoring price movements in the market. It would probably be much better if we were able to implement an accumulation strategy without worrying too much about price fluctuations.

And that is precisely the issue, if someone wants to trade some altcoins because they think they can obtain more profits with those coins then they are free to do so, however if they think they can hold those coins for the long term then that is a huge mistake, holding your coins is an effective strategy but it only works with good coins like bitcoin, if you hold anything else and then the bear market comes then anyone doing that will suffer massive losses.

Well, if you tend to hold your coins for long term, make sure you won't be bothered anymore by any price fluctuations as this is very possible for a very volatile market. I think fear is most likely be seen in newbies but if you have been here for quite long, then you should get used to the market and is expected to be more calm than being panic. Because honestly, having fear and end up panic selling will only worsen the scenario and ends up putting yourself in a huge mess.

yes, it's possible, but it can also be no. we don't know how crypto will move until that day. because sometimes the information provided is very good, so it makes the pump price, and sometimes the FUD is so strong that it causes a dump.
In fact, when February is the month that makes crypto prices dump, I would assume that it is a discount and a sign to buy. however, if we look at the history from a few years ago, when the bitcoin price dumped, it would definitely pump up within a few months or years. when the price dumps, it becomes an opportunity to accumulate assets. fear or not, it depends on how you look at it.

I guess you will get misguided if you follow different-year-month-wise trend of bitcoin market; because of example, November month was highly bullish month for all cryptocurrencies but 2021's November month was a different one hence there cannot be any pre-defined market trend for bitcoin market overall. It is like as usual market may surprise us at any time.

I am not expecting this January and February months are going to be bearish but might be sideways to bullish as per my speculations still buying the currently available dips will surely help you to maximize your profits by holding long duration enough.

But what makes it a fear to the investors right now is that we don't have a FUD and yet the price keeps dropping this month. And this is just the beginning of the year but it seems we started at the wrong foot already. So it doesn't look good.


Based on the start of bearish trend in 2018, it was like March-April wherein we really saw the price dumps and hits below 5 digits. But now it's early, it's only January but the price is going down hard from the last all time high of $69k in November.

FUD most stronger impact how to make price dump and I think right now better waiting when bitcoin recovery because have many time FUD make investor afraid and panic keep selling with lower price, better they try cut loss than waiting few days later to see price up. Maybe they really panic because when FUD coming they think the end of cryptocurrency era how ever have thousand time FUD is coming and gone but still keep chance for bitcoin and altcoin back to higher price.

Is this month is a time of fear for you just because we drift sideways to negative then sure we will have this fear.  Overall Bitcoin has been quite steady even while retracting in its gains, its still risen over 6 months, over a year and anything but this near term disappoint its been fine.  I would call it more dismal then anything more dramatic.

We "had" fear months, these were the fear months and we had them already. If you are still not sure about what's going on then you are not aware of the current climate. We had very bad falls and that was bad and that's it, we do not need to have anything else on top of this to call it a fear month.

Now I believe the future holds better results for us, we should be doing fine and we should be just focusing on making as much profit as we can, that's it. If it was a good month and prices went up then I would be worried about another increase, but since we had a decrease, then stagnant, then another decrease all back to back that usually means we should be going up soon.

It's pretty subjective to say though, for some I am pretty that they're probably going to see it as an opportunity to buy at a lower price but given how not everyone thinks this way and only a few see this kind of months as an opportunity, I would still agree that fear months are real. For me it's the opposite though, it's the greed months.

Yes. This time will definitely create fear months for those who can't appreciate the opportunity that the market is giving now. But for us who have been here for years, this is the perfect time to accumulate potential coins as bitcoin at the present is already at $38,999 and i think it will fall even deeper if this bearish season continues.

However, although we can't stop the people from having fear if the price decline will continue, but it won't really help at all knowing what is happening right now is also part of the market cycle. Just think of it, if bullish season is the season to sell, i think what we have right now is definitely the season to buy and hold. Just do the right thing and of course, never panic. That way, we won't fall in losses.

Maybe some doesn't have the money right now to buy or others are really afraid and very reluctant.

But if you have experience and see the long bear market the last time and then went on a bull run price of $69k last year, you can say that it is indeed a good time to buy an then just hold for years.

So now another decline, below $40k now and we don't know what will be the extend of this downturn. Hopefully we can get back to the support of $40k and not really goes to $36k because that is going to be scary for the majority.

Fear comes to those who invest what they can afford to lose, bear and bull trend in the Cryptocurrency market is something that you should expect because this has been the scene ever since there's a possibility that Bitcoin will continue to drop this February so if you're a weak hands time to sell and if you are a true believer this is the best opportunity opened up for you.

greedy is far from fearing because greed people are those kind of investors that keeps their Holding even there are already a profit as they are keep looking for high and high income and that makes greedy person most loser .

While Fearing is also being afraid and they are the one who keeps selling even though there are only small decrease in market as they are fear of losing even single amount of their investments.

so meaning these are not opposite instead different views and attitude .

This month begin with bad moment bitcoin and altcoin dump, looks as fear month for this January and waiting have the same on next month or bitcoin make magician pump again above $60,000. Still on weekend maybe tomorrow not really surprise for bitcoin can reach higher price because nothing hope on weekend moment to see good price, next sleep well again for waiting bitcoin can give us much profit.

Why would you not hold your investment if you are making a profit from it? I mean lets assume that I invested 1k into something, and I was very lucky and it became 1 million dollars, why should I sell it? If I bought bitcoin at 1 dollar, and got 100 bitcoins, I would have close to 4 million dollars from my 100 dollar investment, if I said "enough, I should not be greedy" at 100k, then I would have lost out on 3.9 million dollars.

You see how "greed" made me a lot more money? That is why I do not think that we should be selling too quickly if the investment we made makes sense. I am talking about coins like BTC, ETH, BNB, LTC and so forth, they are really good and they should be doing fine. The problem is usually with coins like doge or shiba or xrp or bch/bsv and so forth, they are the main problems because they do not really deserve to be there and if you can get out of them then you should.

If you say so, but i think what's best appropriate this time is to become more greedy than being fearful. If we can be more greedy, then we should always make the right move to improve our profits in the future and that will be possible if we can buy potential coins as much as we want today because that will also be given as rewards in the near future. However, being fear this time is the fear to lose. And the best thing we can do is to hold still our coins as selling would mean a huge loss this time.

Nothing is guaranteed here. There are no specific months that are either “fear months” or “bullish cycle months” or so. Like last month, most of us are expecting that BTC will be having a major bull run to $100k, but it’s the other way around. Expect the unexpected. We just have to be ready on whatever happens to the price today, tomorrow, next week, next month, and so on. Make sure that you only invest and trade an amount that you can afford to lose. If you are a long-term thinker of Bitcoin and doesn’t mind about the price, you can try to DCA every month.

Of course and we might already be in one as these come when markets are in their bearish state which triggers the fear which leads to many of us holding out on buys, not until the bulls are in the market to signal for the buy low and sale high. And the goodness of all this is that its all temporary, if the fear factor is high it wont be long not untill its a green day for the bulls.

Why stop at months, I think we can speculate this whole year might be a fear year.  I'd call it consolidation, natural process and revision and its not as bad as it appears but people get to fear readily so yep good call by OP.     
  I'm not a great fan of hype either, if somehow I could trade both engage and sell I would be alot richer doing so.    It often OTT overdone silly fear imo, BTC behind the scenes matters more.

I hope the pandemic ends soon. Omicron is still turbulent in your country, right? the investment sentiment has also weakened, in addition to cryptocurrencies (bitcoins).

the 1st quarter of 2022 is fairly constant in price (bitcoin), past events may repeat themselves in the past, the difference is that nowadays people want to buy bitcoin (partly) economic difficulties. layoffs and business bankruptcy. hopefully the economy returns improved and was greeted with an increasing interest in buying bitcoin for investment.

a situation like this (btc is getting dumped) the moment you have to wait for entry should still return to risk management.

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end of february my filing will increase and retest above $42,000

It's better to speculate based on year than months because we can see a bigger picture using a year as our basis. Well, the market maybe bearish now but that would never end the crypto market, like in the past, this is the trend that we are seeing again, and if we didn't make the right decision in the past, this is the time to correct that and it should start from buying the dip so we can stock some crypto assets for the coming bull market.

You're right. We often missed opportunities something like this so now is the perfect time to to fill our bags again with our potential coins and we should start buying from the dip. It will be even a lot better if we can buy in every dip so that if we can see that the bearish trend continues, then we can maximize buying from these cheap prices. I guess there's no room for fear in crypto this time as people should be more greedy than be fearful when faced with opportunities like this. 

I think that is a pretty fair statement to make.

There is virtually no bullishness left in the marketplace, which is fair enough given that you are looking at a stage in the bull market without much new money. It's really just a zero sum game right now, with people trading against people.

Definitely expect more dumps to come in the next few months. I think that markets are fatigued and the path down faces much less resistance than the path up right now.

From December and January looks fear months and I hope next February as happy month for investor and cryptocurrency holder. I want get back my money after loss much when bitcoin and altcoin dump, waiting next month and really hope never have bad news or some one make FUD with bitcoin and altcoin. Tired with every month have bad news and country make FUD with bitcoin and altcoin price dump because they are really bad thing for cryptocurrency.

Yeah everyone are waiting for a bull trend so that they can get back their money that was lost during these times of bear trend. Actually, I would include myself too to those people who are waiting for it, like you mate I've also loss my money but I always believe that patience is a virtue, that the market will going to pump up again and we can make a good profit from it. I don't panic sell instead I choose to hold my asset in a long term investment, I am very optimistic that we will going to see the market pump again.

Entering the year 2022 we have been surprised by price movements in the market which are quite scary, right now we don't even see any signs the market will improve and even today bitcoin crash again which caused its price to drop to $33,700 and this may not be the lowest price level yet in January.
We all hope that the market will improve soon, but we should use the current downward momentum to increase the assets we have at a low price, so that when prices start to improve, we can at least get a profit from the assets we buy now.

We never know when the fear will be over. The only thing i can say is that we may need to wait a bit because it will not be easy for bitcoin to cross 40K resistance which was once strong support. If we don't get a quick bounce before the end of the month, i am afraid we may see next month further selling pressure.
Also i do not believe that fud and bad news are the cause of the dump. It's only the manipulation by whales and exchanges who want to earn maximum by confusing the retail investors.

Dont ever think that fear would be over because this market could really have that never ending situation on which it could really changed up from time to time knowing that news and fundamentals could float
around. Fear is part of human nature on which these emotions couldnt really get rid of but if you do have that sufficient experience then you could handle it at least.
When you do have that enough skills and experience then you wouldnt easily panic out on things happening since you could handle it out and do know on what
should be doing next.

I can see that the market has not recovered totally, so more likely that this current dump will still be happening in the next 2-3 months from now. But there are no reasons to be fearful this time as we are also in a big opportunity right now to buy more bitcoin and established altcoins. In fact, based on my own experiences, while others are fearful, one should be more greedy to accumulated more. That helped me a lot to never get panic and self pity because i have never been losin all this time, and i get all the chances to fill my bag with coins with great potentials.

Neither would takes time or would really recover directly because this market could give out direct assurance whether it could rise up its price after a dump but at least we are seeing some progress in terms of recovery which do matter the most.For you as an investor and wont easily freak out then you should expect the unexpected considering that this is how the market works.

Fear,anxiety,bogglig mind and confusion could really be felt anytime on various market conditions and this is where experience does count on certain individual.You wouldnt survive if you dont able to cope up that well specially with your emotions.

Actually, if we think about it again, what happened at the beginning of 2022 is very natural. We have seen how in 2021 almost all coins experience
a bullish trend, even some coins break record highs. So we can't expect the crypto market to continue to rise without a price decline, that's the crypto
cycle, if there is a bullish trend and then there will be a bearish trend. So instead of panicking and fearing the current bearish trend, why don't
we do something positive, like collect some potential coins. Because what is happening now actually provides an opportunity for us to buy coins at
low prices, so don't waste this opportunity. As long as we choose the right coins for investment, there is no need to be afraid of the bearish trend,
because the next bullish trend will definitely come. We really just need to be patient when investing in crypto to be able to make big profits.

Every month is a fear month. When the prices go down, people fear of loosing money. When prices go up, people fear of loosing profit. When crypto newcomers see a slight drop, they fear loosing money. When there is stagnation or market being flat, people fear of doing nothing to increase value of their portfolio. Even those who hold and set a goal of selling when the price hits X, or hold for Y years, from time to time check their wallets and balances. That is feeling fear too. Those who start to develop a project, fear of failing. Every day is a day of fear, and you ask about months.

True, but in a bull cycle, most likely the price is going to spike in the coming months.
As compare to a bear market when the chances are high for the price to go on a downward spiral just like what we are experiencing since December of 2021. So it's a more than 2 months already of the price going down. So February continues to be a fear month and so is the other months unless we will somewhat recovered to $50k, in my opinion.

In my opinion, in February to March there may be so much fear because there is the potential for a rate hike by the Fed to be one of the factors behind the recent decline in bitcoin prices. The current price decline will continue considering that the new Fed's tapering will occur in March. Moreover, the current lack of positive sentiment in the crypto market has also had an impact on the bearish trend.

Fundamentals is something not an assurance that other market sentiments would really be having such impact or correlation here on crypto market thats why i dont really mind much

about these events but eventually they do really somewhat had that impact but now one knows on whats happening behind the curtains thats why its not that precise for you to rely on.

Fear months would be always lurking in the corner since we know that this market is unpredictable then neither technical or fundamentals could be fucked up.

The fear is already everywhere in the market. People are believing that btc may settle at somewhere $25k and the fear will continue till green light is seen. But saying that btc will still be going down is a fearful thing to hear because people are buying it much already at this time. But the many people that are buying are buying with fear and they are buying with part of their budget so that they will be at the safer side.

So what would you called the January? when the price drops down to below 30k? isn't the fear month also because the problem about Russia and Ukraine is taking place?

well at least we have been seeing the market now as recovering and slowly getting up again.

how can you call every month is fear month when there are months that continuously increasing? like in November last year?

Fear is always in the Heart and mind of weak investors so this will be depending if whom we are talking about.

if this is about the HODLERS? then fear is nothing , but for those who are seeking for quick bucks, then yes they have fear in high level each day.

some people have associated this price drop with the omicon, but why doesn't the price go up now that they are getting used to this variant? in my opinion the price just dropped because the strong resistance didn't break and there was selling pressure


I don't believe that February is a month of fear, the price will recover, just be patient

There is certainly fear and panic, but I think those who have understood how the market performs will certainly not experience excessive fear, most institusi investors and holders will usually only choose bitcoin and altcoins that have strong fundamentals as their assets, so that when the market entering the worst phase like now maybe they will be more patient and save their assets until the market recovers.

Most people who have been here for a while already realized the situation. I mean it is basically just a boring thing right now for me, because it is like third or so that I am seeing the same thing happening. Plus this time around it is actually quite high and I am in profit so it is a bit different in a happy sort of way for me. This is why I do not really end up caring about the situation, who cares about the drop when you are in profit and know that it will go up in the long run?

I have seen it drop as much as 80%+ before and it did not impacted my life, I am guessing that the same will happen once again, it always ends up in the high prices and it will end up in the high prices once again. When you know that 100k+ is coming, sooner or later, then you wouldn't worry about it neither, because that is what we are all dreaming about and it will happen eventually.

The ones who do have experience are the ones who could really make out some good control of their finances or investments in general since they are aware on how things works
and what are the things should be done on times like this because we cant just have a market that would have continuous rise and those fear months could really happen
and as a human being you would really be having these kind of reactions but with due experience you could handle it out.What matter most here is
to sustain yourself on any circumstances.

Fear should be over at this point, its broken the trend of falls since the ATH and has started some process of recovery.  Both the recent bottom pin candle (https://www.learntotradethemarket.com/forex-trading-strategies/facts-about-pin-bar-candlesticks) on the chart and also todays break upwards was done with good volume (https://talkimg.com/images/2023/06/12/Ak6xw.png) to it.

For the meantime yeah, the price has broken the trend line and up to $41k, very interesting movement this early February so hopefully this is a momentum shift for us.

So we will see where the break out run will go, it's weekend which tend to slow down the trading, but I don't see it that way, investors are still going to be active at this point and could push the price even further.

Buying Bitcoin above $50k and expecting high within a short period of time should not be encouraged and that is what I sense from OP submission. This is because we all how long it takes Bitcoin to move above $20k except for those who are new here, they have read from Bitcoin history.

I think, Entering February 2022 we will no longer experience fear because the price of bitcoin and other crypto assets is slowly rebounding. where the price of bitcoin rose 10% and traded again at the price level of $ 41k. We are currently back in the bullish phase so the price of bitcoin will continue to rise until it creates a new ATH again.

 Obviously, it could. The thing about crypto that everyone has to learn is that ANYTHING could happen here. We could go to 10k, we could go to 100k, who knows? This is why nobody should ever think that they know what is going to happen or nobody should say one thing can't ever happen. But, looking at the price right now, it is clear that most of the situation we have in our hands right now is in profit, 40k+ has been achieved and that means there is hype in the market. This doesn't guarantee us a big return and 50k+ but it certainly does mean that if we want that, it would be easier to get it now.

I believe is too early to make a conclusion about whether what usually happen to Bitcoin price in the of February will repeat itself this year, and is equally too early for one to start saying Bitcoin price in on the way to a new ATH as anything can happen in crypto currency market.

The thing is, February is a bullish month for crypto historically and I think we may see green candles here. Of course, there's still risk and that wouldn't be taken away especially for crypto that is too volatile as an asset. Good thing it rebounded at 40k-41k level but I think I expect to work it sideways movement here to play so it's a good day to scalp trade especially for those who do day trade.

Don't be too optimistic about the month of February of being a bullish month and is you accept the fact that Bitcoin is too volatile and with that in mind, one will need to trade with care in other to avoid story that touch the heart.

Bitcoin don't use to obey people's assumptions or calculations or predictions. We cannot just say that because bitcoin has entered $40,000 that it will not drop again until it will get to a new all time high. You can be correct o, but sometimes bitcoin don't work like that. You can hear small news now and bitcoin will fall back. So for me I am still watching the market.

Possible. February there was so much fear as the rally in bitcoin's price hike has slowed since the start of the year due to heavy selling traders and investors and a lack of positive sentiment from major institutions.

With the war happening between Russia and Ukraine, for sure there's an effect to the crypto market, therefore I expect that the bearish market will continue and it will result in more panic. Well, the price has slightly recovered, however, we are still not in the comfort zone, it's still very low compared to its ATH, so I'm guessing, maybe we will see $20k over time.

  That's right, other than bitcoin are you like me?
For example, suppose you have a few shares of stock that you want to keep for some time in the future as an effort when things can get this bad for the (temporary) price of bitcoin.? or other physical instruments, for example?.

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  it's terrible (bitcoin), and hopefully it won't be too deep from today to the next.
I can't imagine, past prices (corrections) for all this at the beginning of the year until now, the hope that the pump will return, at least breaking through $ 50,000 is a pretty logical expectation.
  Even though I'm not very active in selling, at least for such a cheap price discount, it's time to harvest and be bullish and ATH again,
we both pray and hope, bro
for a price that will repeat itself in bitcoin

There is price recovery with time than what is being expected. $20k over time might happen, the price that declined on the day of war start should've made the price down to $25k by now for those panic wave. Somehow the market turned bullish he very next day and even crossed $40k. There are more months left for the year, maybe $20k can be low bottom if things didn't go well due to war.

I dont really consider out those external factors that do affect this market from time to time.Yes, it might be having some connection with economic aspect but i dont really believe
that it could make out big effects on crypto space.The price is moving out just like into those normal or casual days on which it isnt really that much of a concern of the events
or happenings around that we are seeing.If you do really mind on buying on cheaper prices then you should really be market on taking such step rather than on doing nothing at all.
Fear is always there and there's no way that we could get rid of.

But so far though, even if there is a war in Europe, the price is very strong at $38k-$39k.

I know it's a bit surprising, but I guess the price is not going to the lows of $20k because investors might be putting their money on bitcoin right now. So I'm seeing the price to be really trying to break that $40k barrier even if we are at war. And it just shows how bitcoin can be in case of war outbreak. People are going to flock to hedge their wealth could be the main reason.