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Author Topic: are we going to have "fear" months?  (Read 875 times)
Devifajarina
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January 16, 2022, 01:02:41 PM
 #61

one one hand we have Omicron and the mark that it is leaving on the world economy.
on the other hand we have the bitcoin price failing to stay above $50k and all the FUD that came after that.

i can't predict the impact of all this on the price since the current $41k is already way below what the actual price should be, but i can expect a month or two of "fear" where people are scared of buying bitcoin and eventually start hoping for a drop so that they can buy more (something like what we saw during $30k period in the middle of 2021).

do you think January and possibly February could be the Fearuary months?
But I don't think it will be that long, bitcoin will find a recovery against future corrections, 50K failure will return to the green, once the correction is complete within this month or next month, the impact of the decline in my opinion is profitable, so we can buy with low prices, then save until bitcoin reaches a high price, in this case I'm sure in February or March conditions will return to normal, but for plen B we must also prepare, if bitcoin does not reach the desired price.
Correction is inevitable or market pullbacks could really happen and it would really vary out on market conditions based up on fundamentals or doesnt really have any reasons behind at all which it do really makes

things even more harder for you to analyze on.The market could neither have a long bearish season or trend and we dont know on when it would end and mind off that we had able to experience it back in the past

on which it did really boggles out peoples mind on how things would be going next and fear is something a very common emotion that we do felt off from time to time on seeing
these moments.
Precisely because of the unavoidable correction that has kept bitcoin under pressure to this day, the market varies greatly based on what happens to bitcoin.
To make an analysis of this season is quite complicated for us to do, because the market is not guaranteed to improve until next month.
But we also need to control our emotions, thoughts and fears, so that whatever happens in the future we can minimize the risk, because if this happens then the investment we make will have problems in the future, market response must also be considered to minimize all events that will occur.
Market sentiment is still continuing my forecast until February, so forcing bitcoin to continue correcting, making predictions is actually not difficult, but what makes it difficult is making predictions that are above 80% correct, controlling emotions and fears is very necessary at this time, considering market conditions are still in a state of flux. fluctuating circumstances or difficult phases, if we make the wrong decision, then the investment we make will have a bad impact in the future, to avoid all of that, calmness and readiness must really be improved.

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January 16, 2022, 03:07:22 PM
 #62

As having this crisis and covid-19 still exists, that always be a threat to the economic system of the government. Of course, if we keep this fear inside, we can't move on. That is why we should have to fight this feeling and become strong and have to win this, we soon surpass this situation. But what I see on the market trend, it is making good and recovering which means that people still have their support and hold their crypto rather than selling because of the existing new covid variant.

I find this not a threat anymore and I foresee a continuous recovery in the coming months.

the dilemma of most users is the situation happening around us. but we can always use this to our advantage. while we are already in crypto market, for sure, we are rooting for some projects that will do good once the market recovers. so if you have extra funds, you can slowly buy those alts but keep yourself updated also with their news or updates. in this manner, you are not blindly investing on these coins. because if you feel that alt is somewhat giving you a negative return, you can always cash out while you are still at positive and move to another alt.
When it comes to Alt, I am more inclined to look at the top 10 on coinmarketcap, although not all of them have ever reached a new ATH, indeed we are currently in a dilemma, market conditions have not recovered from the correction until now, but in investing we cannot rely on something that we think is right , moreover if Alt gives us a slight negative return, this needs to change the investment pattern we are doing, otherwise the investment will not yield anything.
Yes, choosing the top 10 on Coinmarketcap will be better but do not forget that the other coins have the chance to increase and some of them really increase besides the top 10 Coinmarketcap. Even if the market is not fully recovered and is still at the correction, it will increase at the right time. Fear or not will depend on yourself because as long as we know how to use the market situations for our benefits, we will get the chance to profit from our investment. If we can not sell our coins right now, we can wait for a while and sell them in the future, especially if we have many potential coins that can increase in the future.

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January 16, 2022, 09:14:51 PM
 #63

Market sentiment is still continuing my forecast until February, so forcing bitcoin to continue correcting, making predictions is actually not difficult, but what makes it difficult is making predictions that are above 80% correct, controlling emotions and fears is very necessary at this time, considering market conditions are still in a state of flux. fluctuating circumstances or difficult phases, if we make the wrong decision, then the investment we make will have a bad impact in the future, to avoid all of that, calmness and readiness must really be improved.
It is not really that difficult to understand that bitcoin will be unpredictable for a while. As long as we can feel safe and not really get too excited about all the things we are seeing right now, then we are going to make a profit.

It is obvious and has always been obvious that it would be like this. So, we are going to have volatile movements, and that means sometimes it will be up and sometimes it will be low and if we are not emotionally weak then we are going to be able to handle it all. That is what I am hoping for right now, it is not easy for everyone to do it but as a long term investor the volatile movements will not become a huge problem for me.

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January 17, 2022, 07:16:06 AM
 #64

Market sentiment is still continuing my forecast until February, so forcing bitcoin to continue correcting, making predictions is actually not difficult, but what makes it difficult is making predictions that are above 80% correct, controlling emotions and fears is very necessary at this time, considering market conditions are still in a state of flux. fluctuating circumstances or difficult phases, if we make the wrong decision, then the investment we make will have a bad impact in the future, to avoid all of that, calmness and readiness must really be improved.
It is not really that difficult to understand that bitcoin will be unpredictable for a while. As long as we can feel safe and not really get too excited about all the things we are seeing right now, then we are going to make a profit.

It is obvious and has always been obvious that it would be like this. So, we are going to have volatile movements, and that means sometimes it will be up and sometimes it will be low and if we are not emotionally weak then we are going to be able to handle it all. That is what I am hoping for right now, it is not easy for everyone to do it but as a long term investor the volatile movements will not become a huge problem for me.
That's talking about opportunities in my opinion, there are many ways to get profit in investing in crypto, but because a lot of focus is on bitcoin, making people miss this opportunity, people think that the safest investment is only in bitcoin, despite the fact that it is, but bitcoin can't always be provide benefits for us, especially in the short term, we can not avoid fluctuations in the market, the ups and downs of a price is something that is possible. But don't be afraid, in the long run bitcoin will get better and maximized.

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January 18, 2022, 04:25:10 PM
 #65

Fears and panicking are really expected when the price drops, so technically we might see more dramas in the market which can cost for a big price drop again. Well, this could be an opportunity to buy again just wait for the good signal before you buy. If you’re here in the market years before this drop, you should know what to do on this kind of situation, buy more.


It is totally volatile area, fear or volatile months are normal here. We don't know what happen in these months even we can't predict next day. So be patient and don't go with panic sell or panic buy, conquer your emotions nowadays. We can't go with fear in this market so let it be.

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January 18, 2022, 04:34:28 PM
 #66

It is totally volatile area, fear or volatile months are normal here. We don't know what happen in these months even we can't predict next day. So be patient and don't go with panic sell or panic buy, conquer your emotions nowadays. We can't go with fear in this market so let it be.
It may be easy to say, but hard to put into practice when you can't control your emotions. Your advice isn't bad, but it would be much better if you were one of the holders who had a certain amount of bitcoin in your wallet so you could really feel how hot this hand is when the market is correcting. At least that's how I feel when I have bitcoin but the market down. It's not scary, but it can sometimes keep you from getting a good night's sleep. LOL

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January 18, 2022, 05:56:56 PM
 #67

Fear month again when bitcoin stuck only $44k and now back under $41k, better try to out activity from trading and stop opening with market price, lets working real or looking other activity without have coherence on internet. When we are seeing an internet always our hands try looking for with market condition, I think quit one or two months is better maybe when opening again have good news with bitcoin reach higher price above $70,000 or reach more than $100,000

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January 18, 2022, 08:09:38 PM
 #68

Fear month again when bitcoin stuck only $44k and now back under $41k, better try to out activity from trading and stop opening with market price, lets working real or looking other activity without have coherence on internet. When we are seeing an internet always our hands try looking for with market condition, I think quit one or two months is better maybe when opening again have good news with bitcoin reach higher price above $70,000 or reach more than $100,000
If you do go for long term then this is applicable or considerable but if not then it is impossible for someone not to check out the market even on a single day since of course we would

really be needing to be aware on what are the things been happening around in the market and it is really just a common behavior of yours that you would
really be having this kind of activity towards it.

Its normal to fear off those bear season or dumping state but doesnt mean that this isnt an opportunity for you to enter.


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January 18, 2022, 09:01:27 PM
 #69

Fear month again when bitcoin stuck only $44k and now back under $41k, better try to out activity from trading and stop opening with market price, lets working real or looking other activity without have coherence on internet. When we are seeing an internet always our hands try looking for with market condition, I think quit one or two months is better maybe when opening again have good news with bitcoin reach higher price above $70,000 or reach more than $100,000
If you do go for long term then this is applicable or considerable but if not then it is impossible for someone not to check out the market even on a single day since of course we would

really be needing to be aware on what are the things been happening around in the market and it is really just a common behavior of yours that you would
really be having this kind of activity towards it.

Its normal to fear off those bear season or dumping state but doesnt mean that this isnt an opportunity for you to enter.
Exactly. Developing fears as the market continues to fall its prices is always a yearly scenario that appears every time bearish season starts to take place. But is there really a good reason to develop fear? Yes, if you think you are hodling the wrong coins but if you are into good and well established coins, then there's no need to fear as all of them will eventually recover. And this bear season will be another good entry to start investing in the market and fill our bags with potential coins.

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January 18, 2022, 09:37:18 PM
 #70

It is totally volatile area, fear or volatile months are normal here. We don't know what happen in these months even we can't predict next day. So be patient and don't go with panic sell or panic buy, conquer your emotions nowadays. We can't go with fear in this market so let it be.
It may be easy to say, but hard to put into practice when you can't control your emotions. Your advice isn't bad, but it would be much better if you were one of the holders who had a certain amount of bitcoin in your wallet so you could really feel how hot this hand is when the market is correcting. At least that's how I feel when I have bitcoin but the market down. It's not scary, but it can sometimes keep you from getting a good night's sleep. LOL
Yes, its really hard because i've been there. But the question is, does it help the situation to be better by having us to fear? I guess it will even worsen the situation once not properly managed. Fear is something that is already a part of being a human but if we always tolerate it, it will only make us deprived from the opportunities that this bearish season brings. So lets be practical, this is not the best time to fear about what is currently happening, divert your emotions into something useful like buying at the dip so we can be more profitable if this bearish season will be over.
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January 19, 2022, 04:24:20 PM
 #71

Yes, its really hard because i've been there. But the question is, does it help the situation to be better by having us to fear?
It depends on what our investment goals are. If we expect a commensurate return then we need not be afraid when the market is experiencing a correction. Price fluctuations are a normal situation which allows investors and traders to make profits but on the other hand fluctuations also cause a lot of losses. Short term investment may be much riskier if it fails to control emotions properly especially when the market trend is not as expected, it has happened time and time again until now.

I guess it will even worsen the situation once not properly managed. Fear is something that is already a part of being a human but if we always tolerate it, it will only make us deprived from the opportunities that this bearish season brings. So lets be practical, this is not the best time to fear about what is currently happening, divert your emotions into something useful like buying at the dip so we can be more profitable if this bearish season will be over.
It's safe to say that the best way to get a decent return is to invest in the long term and not focus too much on monitoring price movements in the market. It would probably be much better if we were able to implement an accumulation strategy without worrying too much about price fluctuations.

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January 19, 2022, 05:34:22 PM
 #72

Fear month again when bitcoin stuck only $44k and now back under $41k, better try to out activity from trading and stop opening with market price, lets working real or looking other activity without have coherence on internet. When we are seeing an internet always our hands try looking for with market condition, I think quit one or two months is better maybe when opening again have good news with bitcoin reach higher price above $70,000 or reach more than $100,000
If you do go for long term then this is applicable or considerable but if not then it is impossible for someone not to check out the market even on a single day since of course we would

really be needing to be aware on what are the things been happening around in the market and it is really just a common behavior of yours that you would
really be having this kind of activity towards it.

Its normal to fear off those bear season or dumping state but doesnt mean that this isnt an opportunity for you to enter.
Exactly. Developing fears as the market continues to fall its prices is always a yearly scenario that appears every time bearish season starts to take place. But is there really a good reason to develop fear? Yes, if you think you are hodling the wrong coins but if you are into good and well established coins, then there's no need to fear as all of them will eventually recover. And this bear season will be another good entry to start investing in the market and fill our bags with potential coins.
And that is precisely the issue, if someone wants to trade some altcoins because they think they can obtain more profits with those coins then they are free to do so, however if they think they can hold those coins for the long term then that is a huge mistake, holding your coins is an effective strategy but it only works with good coins like bitcoin, if you hold anything else and then the bear market comes then anyone doing that will suffer massive losses.

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January 19, 2022, 09:40:24 PM
 #73

Yes, its really hard because i've been there. But the question is, does it help the situation to be better by having us to fear?
It depends on what our investment goals are. If we expect a commensurate return then we need not be afraid when the market is experiencing a correction. Price fluctuations are a normal situation which allows investors and traders to make profits but on the other hand fluctuations also cause a lot of losses. Short term investment may be much riskier if it fails to control emotions properly especially when the market trend is not as expected, it has happened time and time again until now.

I guess it will even worsen the situation once not properly managed. Fear is something that is already a part of being a human but if we always tolerate it, it will only make us deprived from the opportunities that this bearish season brings. So lets be practical, this is not the best time to fear about what is currently happening, divert your emotions into something useful like buying at the dip so we can be more profitable if this bearish season will be over.
It's safe to say that the best way to get a decent return is to invest in the long term and not focus too much on monitoring price movements in the market. It would probably be much better if we were able to implement an accumulation strategy without worrying too much about price fluctuations.
Well, if you tend to hold your coins for long term, make sure you won't be bothered anymore by any price fluctuations as this is very possible for a very volatile market. I think fear is most likely be seen in newbies but if you have been here for quite long, then you should get used to the market and is expected to be more calm than being panic. Because honestly, having fear and end up panic selling will only worsen the scenario and ends up putting yourself in a huge mess.

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January 20, 2022, 05:35:27 AM
 #74

yes, it's possible, but it can also be no. we don't know how crypto will move until that day. because sometimes the information provided is very good, so it makes the pump price, and sometimes the FUD is so strong that it causes a dump.
In fact, when February is the month that makes crypto prices dump, I would assume that it is a discount and a sign to buy. however, if we look at the history from a few years ago, when the bitcoin price dumped, it would definitely pump up within a few months or years. when the price dumps, it becomes an opportunity to accumulate assets. fear or not, it depends on how you look at it.

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January 20, 2022, 05:55:45 AM
 #75

In fact, when February is the month that makes crypto prices dump, I would assume that it is a discount and a sign to buy. however, if we look at the history from a few years ago, when the bitcoin price dumped, it would definitely pump up within a few months or years. when the price dumps, it becomes an opportunity to accumulate assets. fear or not, it depends on how you look at it.
I guess you will get misguided if you follow different-year-month-wise trend of bitcoin market; because of example, November month was highly bullish month for all cryptocurrencies but 2021's November month was a different one hence there cannot be any pre-defined market trend for bitcoin market overall. It is like as usual market may surprise us at any time.

I am not expecting this January and February months are going to be bearish but might be sideways to bullish as per my speculations still buying the currently available dips will surely help you to maximize your profits by holding long duration enough.

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January 20, 2022, 01:44:23 PM
 #76

yes, it's possible, but it can also be no. we don't know how crypto will move until that day. because sometimes the information provided is very good, so it makes the pump price, and sometimes the FUD is so strong that it causes a dump.

But what makes it a fear to the investors right now is that we don't have a FUD and yet the price keeps dropping this month. And this is just the beginning of the year but it seems we started at the wrong foot already. So it doesn't look good.

In fact, when February is the month that makes crypto prices dump, I would assume that it is a discount and a sign to buy. however, if we look at the history from a few years ago, when the bitcoin price dumped, it would definitely pump up within a few months or years. when the price dumps, it becomes an opportunity to accumulate assets. fear or not, it depends on how you look at it.

Based on the start of bearish trend in 2018, it was like March-April wherein we really saw the price dumps and hits below 5 digits. But now it's early, it's only January but the price is going down hard from the last all time high of $69k in November.

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January 20, 2022, 01:46:15 PM
 #77

yes, it's possible, but it can also be no. we don't know how crypto will move until that day. because sometimes the information provided is very good, so it makes the pump price, and sometimes the FUD is so strong that it causes a dump.
In fact, when February is the month that makes crypto prices dump, I would assume that it is a discount and a sign to buy. however, if we look at the history from a few years ago, when the bitcoin price dumped, it would definitely pump up within a few months or years. when the price dumps, it becomes an opportunity to accumulate assets. fear or not, it depends on how you look at it.
FUD most stronger impact how to make price dump and I think right now better waiting when bitcoin recovery because have many time FUD make investor afraid and panic keep selling with lower price, better they try cut loss than waiting few days later to see price up. Maybe they really panic because when FUD coming they think the end of cryptocurrency era how ever have thousand time FUD is coming and gone but still keep chance for bitcoin and altcoin back to higher price.

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January 20, 2022, 02:28:00 PM
 #78

Is this month is a time of fear for you just because we drift sideways to negative then sure we will have this fear.  Overall Bitcoin has been quite steady even while retracting in its gains, its still risen over 6 months, over a year and anything but this near term disappoint its been fine.  I would call it more dismal then anything more dramatic.

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jaberwock
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January 20, 2022, 09:39:27 PM
 #79

one one hand we have Omicron and the mark that it is leaving on the world economy.
on the other hand we have the bitcoin price failing to stay above $50k and all the FUD that came after that.

i can't predict the impact of all this on the price since the current $41k is already way below what the actual price should be, but i can expect a month or two of "fear" where people are scared of buying bitcoin and eventually start hoping for a drop so that they can buy more (something like what we saw during $30k period in the middle of 2021).
We "had" fear months, these were the fear months and we had them already. If you are still not sure about what's going on then you are not aware of the current climate. We had very bad falls and that was bad and that's it, we do not need to have anything else on top of this to call it a fear month.

Now I believe the future holds better results for us, we should be doing fine and we should be just focusing on making as much profit as we can, that's it. If it was a good month and prices went up then I would be worried about another increase, but since we had a decrease, then stagnant, then another decrease all back to back that usually means we should be going up soon.

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January 21, 2022, 04:34:56 AM
 #80

Is this month is a time of fear for you just because we drift sideways to negative then sure we will have this fear.  Overall Bitcoin has been quite steady even while retracting in its gains, its still risen over 6 months, over a year and anything but this near term disappoint its been fine.  I would call it more dismal then anything more dramatic.
It's pretty subjective to say though, for some I am pretty that they're probably going to see it as an opportunity to buy at a lower price but given how not everyone thinks this way and only a few see this kind of months as an opportunity, I would still agree that fear months are real. For me it's the opposite though, it's the greed months.
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