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My bankroll starts at $500, and I will update it after every result of all the games I bet on.

As a golden rule in sports betting, bettors should only put 2% to 5% of the total bankroll into a single bet. Therefore, I will start with 5%, but since this is the playoffs and I find it easy to predict, I may also try a semi-martingale strategy.

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Update balance is 172.50.

First bet: Philadelphia 76ers x 2.10 (moneyline) @ $25- L
2nd bet : Warriors moneyline x2.43 (moneyline) @ $50 - L
3rd bet : 76ers 1st half x 2.04 (moneyline) @50 - W
4th bet : Nuggets x 2.00 (moneyline) @$50 - L
5th bet : Knicks +3.5 x 1.95 (spread) @$50 - L
6th bet : Warriors x 2.20 (moneyline) @$50 L
7th bet : Nuggets -6.5 x2.00 (spread) @100 W
8th bet : Heat +3.5 x 2.00 (spread) @$50 L
9th bet : Warriors -7 x2.00 (spread) @100 W\
10th bet : 76ers x 2.16 (monneyline) @$50 L
11th bet : Nuggets +2.5 x1.95 (spread) @50 W
12th bet : Miami -6.5 x2.00 (spread) @$50
13th bet : Warriors x 2.00 (moneyline) @50
14th bet : 76ers +6.5 x1.93 (spread) @$50 L
15th bet : 76ers moneyline x3.14 @30 L
15th bet : Celtics vs Heat under 210.5 x 1.96 @50
16th bet :  Lakers vs Nuggets game 3 is under 222 @$100.

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Will be updated for correction.

Where are you betting? I would like to know a few information about the odds or other information surrounding it, it is more convenient to keep track. Or, can you send a picture of it?
You know, it would be boring if I could just keep track of your win or loss without knowing any more information around it  :D
And good luck, I hope you win on this first bet  ;)

If I'm not mistaken, and from the way I/we followed stadus in the NBA betting thread, he could be on Sportsbet.io.

Good luck, Sixers is the underdog in this game, but it's going to be in their homecourt and for sure this is what stadus could be looking. And Joel is the MVP and it was a disappointment performance for him last game so for sure he might come back here and proved to anyone that he deserves that MVP.

I think I've seen something like this but in trading not gambling. I'm not sure if the thread is still being updated.

I would love to see how this goes; you should also consider adding a little detail why you choose your team alteast that would spice things up. Good luck with this, I do hope the result turns out to be nice.

I'm betting on sportsbet.io and duelbits.com.


Just check the gambling sites mentioned and search for NBA or the particular team, and you will certainly see all the available betting odds.

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Yeah, I created that thread, but I wanted to have my own thread with my bets so I can trace my journey in the playoffs.

I had made bets in the first round already, but those are off the books. My journey officially starts with this first bet.

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I'm following a very simple principle in sports betting, and that is to bet against the public since the public tends to lose more.

With my years of betting experience, I have found out that the better team does not always win (cover the spread) because there are many factors to consider, and the biggest factor in the game is the officiating.

How do you determine for sure that you are betting on the opposite side of the majority? If you bet too early, the odds between both sides may change until it is locked. Sometimes you bet on a team that has a lower win rate, many other people think so, and when you bet early, they put together, you know what I mean?

Also, I don't think moderators can influence matches like, although it is still possible, but i believe, if it happens, they will impact matches where the stakes are bigger

Yes it could be especially if you will be having a good analysis of the games you are interested with. On the usual, there are factors being considered by bettors of NBA League; one is homecourt advantage, and another is whether the main players would be playing or not or if they would be vilable to play for next game. These are only to name a few things to consider when making an analogy, based on my experience in NBA betting. Also, if you would be depending on their scires during offseason, refrain from doing so 'coz most of the time, players are more serious with playoffs and quarter finals. There are many platforms to choose from and play with. Choose ofcourse platform which has a credential in this industry to avoid encountering bigger risk on your capital from the start.

I think Philly is set for Game 3 considering it's their home court and Embiid is likely upset during that game 2 performance. Playoffs is a profitable if only you're not off on every predictions but this time if you try martingale strategy I think you've got a good chance to win, both teams seems to have been alternating on winning games.

Unfortunately, I lost my first bet and my updated bankroll balance is now $475.

For my next bet, I'm putting $50 on the Warriors moneyline in their upcoming game against the LA Lakers. The odds have been boosted to 2.43, so I'm hoping for a big payout.

Good luck to me!

It's difficult to resist the Warriors at the moment, especially after their big win in Game 2. They have a lot of momentum, and even though they lost one game at home, I think they have a good chance of winning at least one game in LA. Good luck to you and your martingale style of betting - it's definitely an interesting approach.

I notice that you double your bet since your first bet lose. At what point you will stop increasing your bet to recover losses also why you are not making multiple bets instead of increasing your bets for a higher odds pick. I’m afraid that you might ended up chasing losses and pick risky bets to easily pick up profit.

This is an exciting thread to track the real time experience of user instead of randomly post bets on separate threads. It will be more transparent if you will include screenshot of your bet slip considering that you already disclose your bet size in your post. Good luck bud! I'm with Warriors side too.

This is not a total martingale strategy where I double my bet until I win. Currently, I am not following any specific system for bankroll management. Instead, I wager an amount based on what I like. However, I assure you that I will not lose control. The total bankroll I mentioned above will be the only bankroll I use for the entire playoffs period.


I may post some screenshots of my bets later in my journey, but right now, I don't want to feel obligated to do so. Besides, I'm not trying to convince anyone about the transparency of my bets. Whether you choose to fade, follow, believe, or not, it's not a big deal for me.

Looks interesting, would like to get more updates from this.
Why not try to bet on every games for every team, you might have a good luck on it. Anyway, which site are you betting? NBA Semis are getting more interesting as we are close to see the finalist, with regards to Lakers, that could be a good bet as they have a home court advantage.

Unfortunately, I lost the bet as the LA Lakers had a blowout win. I have two losses already and I'm still figuring out how to get my first win.

For my next bet, I'm sticking with my strategy. It's on the Celtics vs. 76ers Game 4, and my bet will be on the 76ers to win the first half with 2.04 odds for $50. If they lose the first half, I will double my bet for the full game result on 76ers.

Updated bankroll balance : $425

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The 76ers had a big win in the first half, which brings my updated bankroll to $477.

For my next bet, I'm choosing the Nuggets on the road with 2.00 ML odds for $50. Good luck to me!

Unfortunately, I lost my bet on the Nuggets, so my updated balance is now $375.

For tomorrow's games, I'm placing two bets: Knicks +3.5 at 1.95 odds and Warriors moneyline at 2.20 odds, both with $50.

Just read this thread lately and wow, this is a very risky thing to do. Lately on the playoffs as i have observed, seldom we can see favorites who lost the game, i think it was only the Warriors who lost to the Lakers in game 1 and Sixers winning game 1 also against the Celtics, other than that it was all the favorites winning the games.

Tomorrow would be interesting as maybe one of the underdogs might win so a little profit here if that happens.

Good luck with your experiment mate, hope you can have a profit after the playoffs.

I'm hoping for a Warriors win and it's also okay if the Heat win as long as it's by a maximum of 3 points. That way, both of my bets will win.

I have not been profitable so far, as I lost two bets today. As a result of these losses, my bankroll has decreased to $275.

Tomorrow, I'll be betting on the Denver Nuggets -6.5 for 2.00 odds. It will be for $100.

Since you still have a balance, your gambling journey isn't over yet. The -6.5 point spread for the Nuggets is quite high, but I like that pick because they're back at home and coming from two losses, so they might come back strong in game 5 and take the lead in the series again. Despite Jokic's recent shoving incident with the Suns owner, he wasn't suspended, so the Nuggets still have a good chance to win this game. Let's hope they'll cover the spread.

I won my bet, which brings my total bankroll up to $375, but that's still down from my original bankroll of $500.

Tomorrow, I'm thinking about betting on the Heat at +3.5 and the Warriors at -7. I plan to wager $50 on the Heat and $100 on the Warriors.

That's a good plan as I'm also thinking that the Warriors will bounce back big tomorrow and that 7-point spread will be covered easily as they are playing in their homecourt while the Heat is on the role that i think the Knicks season will be over tomorrow.

If you win on the two bets, that would big, and suddenly you will be having profit instantly so good luck.

BTW, i'll be tailing you on your bets tomorrow.

I will bet on the Heat, but I'll be taking the moneyline instead. The Heat are the underdogs in the first and second rounds of their series. So, I'm thinking maybe the trend will continue, and the Heat will end the Knicks in five games like they did against the Bucks.

Or, maybe I'll bet on the Knicks/Heat game as the Heat usually play well in the second half. The odds for that are 9.20, which is not available in Sportsbet, but other bookies are offering it.

Good luck betting with the Warriors. This is like the most tough time for them as the Lakers need only one more win for them to proceed to the next bracket.
But it's also exciting to bet on such situation when the Warriors are going to be more determined and eager to win this match of them because if they won't play at their best and without a heart, they're eliminated.

An interesting thread to follow, I am not really akin to NBAs, would have been a really interesting idea to bet along with the op, and seeing that he already lost most of his bets, I would always go with the opposite, I wil be following to see the later outcome of this..

Goodluck to you op, and I am really hoping you end up in profit, at least, I know of a saying that "the bad situation of a market in the morning does not mean the market will be bad all through the day till evening".

No matter the outcome, it's hard to discount the Warriors' performance on their home court. They should be able to win here, but covering the spread is another story. OP seems very confident with the Warriors, as they have placed bigger bets compared to the first game, so let's see if the Warriors can really cover.

Based on their current ATS record of 29-16-1, the Warriors' chances of covering are quite high. Their home straight-up win record of 36-10 is also impressive.

It's not that the Warriors are at an advantage because game 5 is to be played in their home court; it is that if they lose this game, it is over for them. For me, this is a more compelling reason for Kerr to be at his wisest point and for the players to be at their best performances, and for them to win. Home court or not, they will have to win this. Otherwise, it's the end for the defending champ. I guess I would still place even a moneyline bet on the Warriors even if this were played in the Lakers' home.

That's heavy @stadus.
Miami Heat lost. So your chance to regain the lost $50 will be on the Warriors' game against the Lakers. I also think they can win this one and their home crowd will be a lot of help to boost them up and maybe scare the Lakers bench whenever they come in. I am tailing this but only @-5.5.
If it ends up at a close game I am expecting the spreads could still be covered.

Steph Curry badly need help from Klay Thomson, the burden was too heavy at lifting the offense for the Warriors team. Someone must step up his game.

I lost on the Heat bet but won on the Warriors bet, resulting in a profitable day that brings my total bankroll to $425.

Tomorrow, I have the 76ers moneyline with odds of 2.16 and the Nuggets +2.5 at 1.95. Both bets are $50 each.

Though the Heat lost game 5 but still a profitable day for @stadus as he doubled his bet on the Warriors.

RJ Barrett was having a big game as his offensive output was enough to compliment Brunson who has also a very excellent game producing 38 big points to extend the series to game 6.

As for the Warriors, man that was tough game in the fourth, i though that it would be a close ending but thanks to those Steph Curry clutch shots that put the Lakers for good hehe.

Good thing for @stadus that the Heat vs Knicks game came first and the doubled bet won.

What's the plan for tomorrow? Sixers vs Celtics is a very unpredictable series which i think we just rely on luck to win on that series as no amount of analysis could somehow tell us on who got the edge for tomorrow's ballgame but might be the homecourt advantage will give the Sixers a little edge here.

I like the Nuggets, but I will skip the 76ers since we all know how good the Celtics are. They can win on the road, and I believe this series will go to game 7. As for the Nuggets, I think the trend will stop in 6. They are currently in good momentum after a dominant win in game 5. Jokic is expected to contribute a triple-double, and it's highly unlikely that they will let this game go to a 7th series.

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He must be very confident with the Warriors winning and covering the spread at home.

And they won.
A great advantage as they take the home court advantage but not just that, they just mainly are stronger and played better for this fifth game. So congratulations to you stadus, you've won this match.

Good luck on this bet and I think you're going to win this bet as there will be no CP3 for the Suns for tomorrow's match. This could be it for the Nuggets and could be the last game for Suns if ever they lose.

This bet seems to be the easiest for OP tonight. They could have gone 2-2 if the 76ers didn't collapse in the 4th quarter. Currently, the Suns are in control with a 25-point lead. While the Suns may not necessarily let up, it's safe to say they won't be mounting a comeback in this game.

Congratulations in advance to the Nuggets on reaching the Western Conference Finals!

Congratulations on the Warriors bet, that's still profits.
Today you got 1/2 again with only a little bit of loss, right? The ML for the Nuggets could've been better especially without Ayton playing the game.
Still, that's a good pick you did there.
Many have thought the Phoenix Suns will try to tie the game and the Nuggets ending it at Game 7 but we are right because I also took the bet for the Denver Nuggets.
Sadly, I missed the 1st game and never had the chance to place my bet.

Up next, Warriors or Lakers?  ;) I am rooting for the Warriors, I wish they will give better odds and I think AD will be playing despite the hit in the head in Game 5.

I lost 5% of my $50 because I only received $47.5 from my Denver bet, which brings my total bankroll to $422.5.

Tomorrow, my bets are Miami -6.5 and the Warriors moneyline for $50 each.

Congratulations to stadus and as well as the Denver Nuggets for advancing, that was really an easy bet. While the Nuggets are celebrating, there goes the blaming and flaming from the fans of the Suns on the web and they're disturbing Kevin Durant on this loss.
It's just hard to accept for them that their best team has lost this playoffs. Another team that has been dominating before this playoffs and then gets kicked off by a better team. I can remember the Jazz on them but that team has nowhere to be found now.  :-\

Ayton's injury really put them into a messy situation which led them to an elimination last night because they've got no good cover inside the paint and no rebounds coming from their end. Booker was already having a hard time too in the first quarter and then there's Murray who keeps talking at him to mess him in his head, which really is effective by the way. Cam Payne put some good stats but that is not enough to keep the team afloat.

Warriors @ Lakers later, this will be a tight game.

I think the Warriors is getting a good odds now as Wiggins will be questionable for game 6 due to rib cage injury.
AD and LeBron said they're questionable for game 6 too per several articles and Lakers' social media account. But I don't think they're not playing in a very important close out game. A game 7 against the Warriors is not a good sign for the Lakers.
But regardless if Wiggins play the Warriors will still have a good odd as the Lakers are unbeatable at home this post season.

I love threads like this, so subscribing.
It would be nice if you could see general statistics in one post (for example, the first one) after there will be a lot of bets (or there will be many pages in the topic) it will be quite inconvenient to follow the current state of affairs.


Isn't it obvious that no team can have a 100% result and refereeing has nothing to do with it. Even in chess, where everything is mathematically quite accurate, a chess program that is weaker than another chess program can sometimes win the game.

It seems that the Golden State Warriors are more likely to allow Wiggins to play although we will only know the final decision a few minutes before the Game 6 official tip-off. A must-win for the Warriors and prepared to risk everything. Of course, it's not that they will push Wiggins to its limit but as long as he can manage, he will be kept on the rotation.

As for the Lakers' Lebron James and Anthony Davis, currently listed as probable and more likely, they will play.

If the Lakers won't be able to close out the later game, the momentum will now shift to the Golden State Warriors, and sorry to say, the Lakers are more likely to get eliminated in this series if they will return to the Chase Center for Game 7.


Good luck, mate. That was a tough bet.

If I were to choose Warriors, I will pick point spread instead between +3.5 to +4.5 with odds playing around @1.89 and @1.75 respectively.

I too would love to see the original post updated to reflect all the bets and the current bankroll amount. Having to read through each post hoping to find the next bet is exhausting.

Great thread though and props to you for being willing to document your gambling experience publicly knowing that the odds are against you. As others have said, Good Luck to you!

I can imagine the pain not just from the team but also for the fans that they've lost on their home court having that advantage. Anyway, Nuggets moves on and going to face Lakers.

Not really a tight game. The Lakers won and the points from those superstars that we've been hopeful for GSW didn't do that much honestly. Dray keeps on having those fouls until he's got no use anymore for the team. While Poole, has funny stats for this game 6 and he didn't really contribute at all. While watching Steph doing all of those in-the-middle layups trying to cover the lead but still ain't enough. Congrats Lakers!

The Lakers clearly dominated the game, and I would say they deserved the win, although they were criticized for being great floppers. But who cares? That's part of the game. Until the organization does something about it, it will always be used as part of the strategy. The Lakers sent a big message as they eliminated the defending champions, so they should feel confident in their next matchup against the Nuggets, who are the number 1 team in the West.

Loss both bets so my bankroll goes down to $322.50

Sad times. But that comes with martingale-ing your way into your bets, so it’s pretty much expected. Future wins should cover for these loss, provided that you’re able to still place bets in the future lmao. Anyhow I think you have a good chance of winning with this new bet. Seeing as you played it safe and moneylined Warriors who if ai must say, aren’t putting up a good performance this season. Let’s see how you’ll fare tomorrow but my money’s gonna be on Miami, no particular reason really, just wanted to spite my relatives and friends who are die-hard warriors fans

Early picks again.

I am leaning on the 76ers +6.5 (1.93) for $50 and moneyline (3.14) $30 . GL!

Nobody cares about those criticisms until they manage a win. Well, that message goes to the Denver Nuggets as they'll be the next opponent they'll be in. But will the Denver Nuggets will be afraid of that? Nah. They're a strong team and they've made it this far and as you've said, their rank is considerably better than the Lakers. In terms of speculations, the Lakers really have a place to get knocked down by the Nuggets.
But again, this is just us that we're giving those thoughts while the win of Lakers against the defending champs are still way fresh until now.

Also be careful when you bet with the martingale, you know that many people use that method and when you lose control, you won't notice that there are no funds in your balance wallet at the casino.

      So good luck to you no matter what, and I hope you win and apart from that gambling responsibly is still important which as you mentioned we must do and follow the golden rules as gamblers.

Loss all my bets, updated balance is $242.5.

That's just how it goes. In gambling, no matter how hard we try or do an analysis in sports betting, there will still be times that we can get unlucky and lose the bets that we make but we shouldn't get discouraged easily because there are still happy times and that is when we finally win. It can happen no matter how weak we are with our analysis.

Martingale is known to be risky but he said he only do it partially, also he is doing it in sports betting where knowledge and experience in the game can matter so I guess it is fine. Anyways about the team, I am seeing a lot of memes about the golden state warriors. It's kinda funny but I think it shows that they still fully support the team.

Amount bet ; $50

Under 210.5 with 1.96 odds for game 1 between the Celtics and Heat.

Good luck.

The current balance is $272.5.

My pick for the Lakers vs Nuggets game 3 is under 222  for $100.

The Lakers have found a way to increase their chances of winning by being more physical in the game. They have made adjustments to their starting lineup to ensure they are not dominated by the Nuggets' big players. In fact, they led in the first half of game 2, but the Nuggets made a comeback in the fourth quarter with a big run.

Considering they are playing at home in a must-win game, it's expected that the Lakers will continue to play with physicality. However, their shooting might not improve significantly unless they draw more fouls. Given these factors, I believe the total score of 222 is still high, indicating that it is likely to hit the under. Additionally, I have placed a small bet on the total score falling within the range of 191-200 in case the game becomes exceptionally physical.

It is a pity that you still do not conduct general statistics. What is the total number of bets already placed? I see that the balance has decreased quite seriously. Is it reasonable to increase the size of the bet with such results? A couple of bad games can end your experiment ahead of time.

Since you requested it, I'll show the statistics after game 3 of Lakers vs Nuggets.


My goal here is to win, not to last longer but still in the losing side. If my journey ends before the NBA finals, then so be it. I'll just adjust next time and be hopeful that my strategy will work. As I mentioned earlier, I could double my bet, but it's not a total Martingale style.

Current balance is 172.5.

My pick for game 3 in the NBA FINALS is Miami Heat moneyline with 2.34 odds for $100.

Putting this one on my notifications list since I see this series going the full 7 games.
Just seen this thread so it is still live since we are in the heat of the finals and with your bet tonight, I can see Miami taking another one now since they stole one in Denver last game.
They odds were juiced at over 4.00x on the site you are placing bets on.
For this game, they are more or less in favor even if over the 100 mark.

It's a pretty big advantage if you can get a win over the Miami Heat, but that's risky because their opponent is the Nuggets, who are a pretty strong team and always get satisfying results in every match series.
If I were you, it's better to place a bet later when the match has started and really calculate which team has the potential to win.
But I still have faith that the Nuggets will be the winners.

It's easier said than done, mate. Honestly, I've tried that before, thinking it would be easier, but in reality, when you're live betting, you become more emotional, which can cause you to lose focus. So personally, as a sports bettor, my preference is to focus more on pregame odds, although I do engage in live betting as well.

Loss - updated balance is $72.50

I'm putting my current balance of $72.50 on the Miami Heat moneyline, which has odds of 4.41.

Good luck!

I'm sorry for your loss. It's a pity that the series ended at the same time as your deposit.
Do you plan to analyze your bets, maybe fix something and try a similar experiment again in the future? It seems to me that your main mistake was that you violated the rule about which you yourself wrote. Rebalancing the bet size would allow you to keep at least part of the deposit.

Again, even if it is an early pick, we still have some chance to be emotional about it especially if we saw some huge lines on the underdog in which we also think that they stand a good chance against the favorites even if the lines were suggesting the opposite in the first place. The OP's written rule might do the trick but as the playoffs drags, our emotions and analysis drags as well.
Unfortunately, in the case of Miami Heat, they only managed to win 1 game and nothing follows after that.

Yeah, you're right, but it doesn't make sense to bet 5% of the total bankroll when the amount is too low. I would rather go all in since there are only a few games remaining. So, for example, in game 5 where the Nuggets could win, then I might as well risk everything I have and consider the experiment a failure if my bet losses. I'm sure I have learned a lot from this experiment, and I will try again next season right from the start of the regular season. Hopefully, by that time, I will end up with a profit.

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Current balance "0" . I am closing this thread also. Thanks, guys!