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Author Topic: Can I be profitable in the NBA PLAYOFFS? ===>check inside  (Read 473 times)
stadus (OP)
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May 05, 2023, 07:53:33 AM
Last edit: May 27, 2023, 11:42:44 AM by stadus
Merited by OgNasty (2), Viscore (1), Yamifoud (1), btc_angela (1)
 #1

My bankroll starts at $500, and I will update it after every result of all the games I bet on.

As a golden rule in sports betting, bettors should only put 2% to 5% of the total bankroll into a single bet. Therefore, I will start with 5%, but since this is the playoffs and I find it easy to predict, I may also try a semi-martingale strategy.


Update balance is 172.50.

First bet: Philadelphia 76ers x 2.10 (moneyline) @ $25- L
2nd bet : Warriors moneyline x2.43 (moneyline) @ $50 - L
3rd bet : 76ers 1st half x 2.04 (moneyline) @50 - W
4th bet : Nuggets x 2.00 (moneyline) @$50 - L
5th bet : Knicks +3.5 x 1.95 (spread) @$50 - L
6th bet : Warriors x 2.20 (moneyline) @$50 L
7th bet : Nuggets -6.5 x2.00 (spread) @100 W
8th bet : Heat +3.5 x 2.00 (spread) @$50 L
9th bet : Warriors -7 x2.00 (spread) @100 W\
10th bet : 76ers x 2.16 (monneyline) @$50 L
11th bet : Nuggets +2.5 x1.95 (spread) @50 W
12th bet : Miami -6.5 x2.00 (spread) @$50
13th bet : Warriors x 2.00 (moneyline) @50
14th bet : 76ers +6.5 x1.93 (spread) @$50 L
15th bet : 76ers moneyline x3.14 @30 L
15th bet : Celtics vs Heat under 210.5 x 1.96 @50
16th bet :  Lakers vs Nuggets game 3 is under 222 @$100.



Will be updated for correction.

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May 05, 2023, 09:56:39 AM
 #2

First bet: Philadelphia 76ers $25 x 2.10 (moneyline)
Where are you betting? I would like to know a few information about the odds or other information surrounding it, it is more convenient to keep track. Or, can you send a picture of it?
You know, it would be boring if I could just keep track of your win or loss without knowing any more information around it  Cheesy
And good luck, I hope you win on this first bet  Wink

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May 05, 2023, 10:57:06 AM
 #3

First bet: Philadelphia 76ers $25 x 2.10 (moneyline)
Where are you betting? I would like to know a few information about the odds or other information surrounding it, it is more convenient to keep track. Or, can you send a picture of it?
You know, it would be boring if I could just keep track of your win or loss without knowing any more information around it  Cheesy
And good luck, I hope you win on this first bet  Wink

If I'm not mistaken, and from the way I/we followed stadus in the NBA betting thread, he could be on Sportsbet.io.

Good luck, Sixers is the underdog in this game, but it's going to be in their homecourt and for sure this is what stadus could be looking. And Joel is the MVP and it was a disappointment performance for him last game so for sure he might come back here and proved to anyone that he deserves that MVP.

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May 05, 2023, 12:12:50 PM
 #4

~~~
First bet: Philadelphia 76ers $25 x 2.10 (moneyline)

I think I've seen something like this but in trading not gambling. I'm not sure if the thread is still being updated.

I would love to see how this goes; you should also consider adding a little detail why you choose your team alteast that would spice things up. Good luck with this, I do hope the result turns out to be nice.

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May 05, 2023, 12:33:52 PM
Merited by rdbase (1)
 #5

First bet: Philadelphia 76ers $25 x 2.10 (moneyline)
Where are you betting?
I'm betting on sportsbet.io and duelbits.com.

I would like to know a few information about the odds or other information surrounding it, it is more convenient to keep track. Or, can you send a picture of it?
You know, it would be boring if I could just keep track of your win or loss without knowing any more information around it  Cheesy
And good luck, I hope you win on this first bet  Wink

Just check the gambling sites mentioned and search for NBA or the particular team, and you will certainly see all the available betting odds.



If I'm not mistaken, and from the way I/we followed stadus in the NBA betting thread, he could be on Sportsbet.io.

Good luck, Sixers is the underdog in this game, but it's going to be in their homecourt and for sure this is what stadus could be looking. And Joel is the MVP and it was a disappointment performance for him last game so for sure he might come back here and proved to anyone that he deserves that MVP.

Yeah, I created that thread, but I wanted to have my own thread with my bets so I can trace my journey in the playoffs.

I had made bets in the first round already, but those are off the books. My journey officially starts with this first bet.



~~~
First bet: Philadelphia 76ers $25 x 2.10 (moneyline)

I think I've seen something like this but in trading not gambling. I'm not sure if the thread is still being updated.

I would love to see how this goes; you should also consider adding a little detail why you choose your team alteast that would spice things up. Good luck with this, I do hope the result turns out to be nice.


I'm following a very simple principle in sports betting, and that is to bet against the public since the public tends to lose more.

With my years of betting experience, I have found out that the better team does not always win (cover the spread) because there are many factors to consider, and the biggest factor in the game is the officiating.

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May 05, 2023, 01:42:53 PM
 #6

I'm following a very simple principle in sports betting, and that is to bet against the public since the public tends to lose more.

With my years of betting experience, I have found out that the better team does not always win (cover the spread) because there are many factors to consider, and the biggest factor in the game is the officiating.
How do you determine for sure that you are betting on the opposite side of the majority? If you bet too early, the odds between both sides may change until it is locked. Sometimes you bet on a team that has a lower win rate, many other people think so, and when you bet early, they put together, you know what I mean?

Also, I don't think moderators can influence matches like, although it is still possible, but i believe, if it happens, they will impact matches where the stakes are bigger

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May 05, 2023, 04:45:36 PM
 #7

Yes it could be especially if you will be having a good analysis of the games you are interested with. On the usual, there are factors being considered by bettors of NBA League; one is homecourt advantage, and another is whether the main players would be playing or not or if they would be vilable to play for next game. These are only to name a few things to consider when making an analogy, based on my experience in NBA betting. Also, if you would be depending on their scires during offseason, refrain from doing so 'coz most of the time, players are more serious with playoffs and quarter finals. There are many platforms to choose from and play with. Choose ofcourse platform which has a credential in this industry to avoid encountering bigger risk on your capital from the start.

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May 05, 2023, 04:54:08 PM
 #8

I think Philly is set for Game 3 considering it's their home court and Embiid is likely upset during that game 2 performance. Playoffs is a profitable if only you're not off on every predictions but this time if you try martingale strategy I think you've got a good chance to win, both teams seems to have been alternating on winning games.
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May 06, 2023, 12:56:37 PM
 #9

First bet: Philadelphia 76ers $25 x 2.10 (moneyline)
Unfortunately, I lost my first bet and my updated bankroll balance is now $475.

For my next bet, I'm putting $50 on the Warriors moneyline in their upcoming game against the LA Lakers. The odds have been boosted to 2.43, so I'm hoping for a big payout.

Good luck to me!

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May 06, 2023, 01:04:26 PM
 #10

First bet: Philadelphia 76ers $25 x 2.10 (moneyline)
Unfortunately, I lost my first bet and my updated bankroll balance is now $475.

For my next bet, I'm putting $50 on the Warriors moneyline in their upcoming game against the LA Lakers. The odds have been boosted to 2.43, so I'm hoping for a big payout.

Good luck to me!

It's difficult to resist the Warriors at the moment, especially after their big win in Game 2. They have a lot of momentum, and even though they lost one game at home, I think they have a good chance of winning at least one game in LA. Good luck to you and your martingale style of betting - it's definitely an interesting approach.

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May 06, 2023, 01:05:03 PM
 #11


Unfortunately, I lost my first bet and my updated bankroll balance is now $475.

For my next bet, I'm putting $50 on the Warriors moneyline in their upcoming game against the LA Lakers. The odds have been boosted to 2.43, so I'm hoping for a big payout.

Good luck to me!

I notice that you double your bet since your first bet lose. At what point you will stop increasing your bet to recover losses also why you are not making multiple bets instead of increasing your bets for a higher odds pick. I’m afraid that you might ended up chasing losses and pick risky bets to easily pick up profit.

This is an exciting thread to track the real time experience of user instead of randomly post bets on separate threads. It will be more transparent if you will include screenshot of your bet slip considering that you already disclose your bet size in your post. Good luck bud! I'm with Warriors side too.

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May 06, 2023, 01:35:52 PM
 #12


Unfortunately, I lost my first bet and my updated bankroll balance is now $475.

For my next bet, I'm putting $50 on the Warriors moneyline in their upcoming game against the LA Lakers. The odds have been boosted to 2.43, so I'm hoping for a big payout.

Good luck to me!

I notice that you double your bet since your first bet lose. At what point you will stop increasing your bet to recover losses also why you are not making multiple bets instead of increasing your bets for a higher odds pick. I’m afraid that you might ended up chasing losses and pick risky bets to easily pick up profit.
This is not a total martingale strategy where I double my bet until I win. Currently, I am not following any specific system for bankroll management. Instead, I wager an amount based on what I like. However, I assure you that I will not lose control. The total bankroll I mentioned above will be the only bankroll I use for the entire playoffs period.

This is an exciting thread to track the real time experience of user instead of randomly post bets on separate threads. It will be more transparent if you will include screenshot of your bet slip considering that you already disclose your bet size in your post. Good luck bud! I'm with Warriors side too.

I may post some screenshots of my bets later in my journey, but right now, I don't want to feel obligated to do so. Besides, I'm not trying to convince anyone about the transparency of my bets. Whether you choose to fade, follow, believe, or not, it's not a big deal for me.

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May 06, 2023, 03:15:09 PM
 #13

First bet: Philadelphia 76ers $25 x 2.10 (moneyline)
Unfortunately, I lost my first bet and my updated bankroll balance is now $475.

For my next bet, I'm putting $50 on the Warriors moneyline in their upcoming game against the LA Lakers. The odds have been boosted to 2.43, so I'm hoping for a big payout.

Good luck to me!
Looks interesting, would like to get more updates from this.
Why not try to bet on every games for every team, you might have a good luck on it. Anyway, which site are you betting? NBA Semis are getting more interesting as we are close to see the finalist, with regards to Lakers, that could be a good bet as they have a home court advantage.
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May 07, 2023, 07:02:05 AM
Last edit: May 07, 2023, 10:58:22 PM by stadus
 #14

For my next bet, I'm putting $50 on the Warriors moneyline in their upcoming game against the LA Lakers.
Unfortunately, I lost the bet as the LA Lakers had a blowout win. I have two losses already and I'm still figuring out how to get my first win.

For my next bet, I'm sticking with my strategy. It's on the Celtics vs. 76ers Game 4, and my bet will be on the 76ers to win the first half with 2.04 odds for $50. If they lose the first half, I will double my bet for the full game result on 76ers.

Updated bankroll balance : $425



The 76ers had a big win in the first half, which brings my updated bankroll to $477.

For my next bet, I'm choosing the Nuggets on the road with 2.00 ML odds for $50. Good luck to me!

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May 08, 2023, 07:38:27 AM
 #15

For my next bet, I'm choosing the Nuggets on the road with 2.00 ML odds for $50. Good luck to me!

Unfortunately, I lost my bet on the Nuggets, so my updated balance is now $375.

For tomorrow's games, I'm placing two bets: Knicks +3.5 at 1.95 odds and Warriors moneyline at 2.20 odds, both with $50.

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May 08, 2023, 07:58:33 AM
 #16

For my next bet, I'm choosing the Nuggets on the road with 2.00 ML odds for $50. Good luck to me!

Unfortunately, I lost my bet on the Nuggets, so my updated balance is now $375.

For tomorrow's games, I'm placing two bets: Knicks +3.5 at 1.95 odds and Warriors moneyline at 2.20 odds, both with $50.

Just read this thread lately and wow, this is a very risky thing to do. Lately on the playoffs as i have observed, seldom we can see favorites who lost the game, i think it was only the Warriors who lost to the Lakers in game 1 and Sixers winning game 1 also against the Celtics, other than that it was all the favorites winning the games.

Tomorrow would be interesting as maybe one of the underdogs might win so a little profit here if that happens.

Good luck with your experiment mate, hope you can have a profit after the playoffs.
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May 08, 2023, 08:08:04 AM
 #17

For my next bet, I'm choosing the Nuggets on the road with 2.00 ML odds for $50. Good luck to me!

Unfortunately, I lost my bet on the Nuggets, so my updated balance is now $375.

For tomorrow's games, I'm placing two bets: Knicks +3.5 at 1.95 odds and Warriors moneyline at 2.20 odds, both with $50.

Just read this thread lately and wow, this is a very risky thing to do. Lately on the playoffs as i have observed, seldom we can see favorites who lost the game, i think it was only the Warriors who lost to the Lakers in game 1 and Sixers winning game 1 also against the Celtics, other than that it was all the favorites winning the games.

Tomorrow would be interesting as maybe one of the underdogs might win so a little profit here if that happens.

Good luck with your experiment mate, hope you can have a profit after the playoffs.

I'm hoping for a Warriors win and it's also okay if the Heat win as long as it's by a maximum of 3 points. That way, both of my bets will win.

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May 09, 2023, 05:26:10 AM
 #18

Good luck with your experiment mate, hope you can have a profit after the playoffs.

I have not been profitable so far, as I lost two bets today. As a result of these losses, my bankroll has decreased to $275.

Tomorrow, I'll be betting on the Denver Nuggets -6.5 for 2.00 odds. It will be for $100.

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May 09, 2023, 09:41:12 AM
 #19

Good luck with your experiment mate, hope you can have a profit after the playoffs.

I have not been profitable so far, as I lost two bets today. As a result of these losses, my bankroll has decreased to $275.

Tomorrow, I'll be betting on the Denver Nuggets -6.5 for 2.00 odds. It will be for $100.

Since you still have a balance, your gambling journey isn't over yet. The -6.5 point spread for the Nuggets is quite high, but I like that pick because they're back at home and coming from two losses, so they might come back strong in game 5 and take the lead in the series again. Despite Jokic's recent shoving incident with the Suns owner, he wasn't suspended, so the Nuggets still have a good chance to win this game. Let's hope they'll cover the spread.



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May 10, 2023, 11:04:13 AM
 #20

Good luck with your experiment mate, hope you can have a profit after the playoffs.

I have not been profitable so far, as I lost two bets today. As a result of these losses, my bankroll has decreased to $275.

Tomorrow, I'll be betting on the Denver Nuggets -6.5 for 2.00 odds. It will be for $100.

I won my bet, which brings my total bankroll up to $375, but that's still down from my original bankroll of $500.

Tomorrow, I'm thinking about betting on the Heat at +3.5 and the Warriors at -7. I plan to wager $50 on the Heat and $100 on the Warriors.

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