Maybe it's a law of Nature. Struggle is the path to progress.

 You are right!

Alik Bakhshi

Netanyahu's new intrigue and its consequences

         The protracted war in Gaza, without any prospects for achieving the set goal of destroying Hamas and freeing the hostages, does not seem to promise Netanyahu not only the post of prime minister, but political survival in general. Netanhu was initially mistaken in terms of the strategic rationale for the military invasion of Gaza, because it is impossible to deprive the people's dream of freedom, which Hamas has pledged to realize. If this is so, then every Palestinian is a potential Hamas militant, so Netanyahu himself has set himself the unattainable goal of destroying the Hamas organization, because in this case it is necessary to destroy all Palestinians in Gaza. However, the Israeli army, whether it wants it or not, is doing just that, judging by the number of victims and the scale of destruction, causing indignation of the world community, which, having already forgotten the terrorist attack of October 7, is demanding an end to the genocide of the Palestinians. America has to abandon the policy of double standard.(1,2) As a result, the UN, represented by the Security Council, makes a decision condemning Israel and demanding an end to military operations in Gaza. What follows is something more unpleasant for Netanyahu - Biden, in a personal telephone conversation, orders the withdrawal of the Israeli army from Gaza.

    Thus, Netanyahu faces the fact of defeat, because without an army in Gaza, the desired task of destroying Hamas is not feasible. Moreover, there is a growing protest movement in Israel calling for Netanyahu to resign. And, what is most scary for the right camp of Israeli politicians, is Biden’s statement about the creation of a Palestinian state as the only possible option to end the Arab-Israeli conflict. (3,4) The situation for Netanyahu as a politician is developing very unenviable and he, as a skilled political intriguer, decides to take a desperate step to set fire to the entire Middle East and thereby divert attention from the war in Gaza. To this end, the Israeli air force launched a missile attack on the Iranian consulate in Damascus, killing seven employees, including two high-ranking generals. Undoubtedly, this can be characterized as another terrorist attack (it must be said that the Arab-Israeli conflict is a series of terrorist attacks on both sides), especially outrageous because for the first time it was aimed at a diplomatic mission, and even by the state. This has never been seen before in the world of diplomacy. The result was the expected - Tehran’s angry threat of a retaliatory strike, which was part of Netanyahu’s plan, because in this case the entire Middle East would burn, and in such a way that it would not seem a little. At the same time, Netanyahu is not particularly concerned that the people of Israel will have to experience a missile attack from Iran.

     The entire Middle Eastern region is such a tangled tangle that sometimes it seems that only a big war can not only unravel, but simply eliminate it at once, followed by new interstate relations. There is no country in the region without serious claims to its neighbor, here everything is against everyone, if we recall the eight-year war of Iran with Iraq, Iraq with Kuwait, the tense relations of Syria, Iraq, Armenia and Iran with Turkey, the war between Azerbaijan and Armenia that did not end with a peace treaty, strained relations between Azerbaijan and Iran, and this against the backdrop of religious hostility between Sunnis and Shiites. This turmoil is complemented by the constant intervention of such heavyweights as the USA, EU and Russia, which responds with terrorist attacks, for example September 11 as the most tragic (5,6). Naturally, strategic alliances are concluded between players, mostly temporary. The most significant of them today are the alliance between America and Israel, between Turkey and Azerbaijan, between Russia and Iran, also unannounced - between Iran and Armenia, and Israel with Azerbaijan.
  
     It should be noted that it was Great Britain and France that laid a time bomb in the region when dividing the territory of the Ottoman Empire among themselves after the First World War. By the way, France has traditionally, since the era of the Crusades, been more partial than all Europeans to the Middle Eastern region; as the initiator of those ancient campaigns, it cannot forget the defeat that the Turks inflicted on it. Hence its constant sentiment against Turkey, and at the same time Azerbaijan. Today, it is France that is interfering in the relationship between Azerbaijan and Armenia, trying to prevent the conclusion of a peace treaty following the 2020 war, which put an end to Armenia’s 30-year occupation of Azerbaijani territory. It seems that the French liked the idea of a new Crusade, but in order not to be alone in this godly undertaking, they decided to attract fellow travelers through the UN and urgently convened the Security Council to condemn Azerbaijan with the adoption of subsequent sanctions, and possibly forceful methods. However, unexpectedly, one might say, right during a meeting of the Security Council, the Armenians let France down by officially abandoning territorial claims to Azerbaijan, thereby making France a laughing stock. Members of the Security Council, who already had enough problems with the war in Ukraine, breathed a sigh of relief and peacefully dispersed, mentally scolding the French representative.(7) It seems that Armenia is in vain looking in France for a replacement for Russia, which in the past created a state for the Armenians on the lands of Azerbaijan.( However, betrayal is a historical tradition for Armenians, if we recall the wars between the Great Roman Empire and Persia.

      By the way, the Iranian authorities are opposed to the appearance of France and the EU in the region, which will certainly break the Iran-Armenia strategic link directed against Azerbaijan. The fact is that Iran fears the unification of Northern Azerbaijan with Southern Azerbaijan, with its 30-40 million population of ethnic Azerbaijanis, which is the basis of the alliance with Armenia.

     If Netanyahu’s plan succeeds, and Iran decides to launch a missile response at Israel out of revenge, then the war in Gaza will fade into the background. America, or even NATO, will get involved in the war on Israel’s side. There is no doubt that Israel will use the territory of Azerbaijan for a missile and drone attack, which will automatically bring Azerbaijan and Turkey into the coalition of opponents of Iran. As a result, Iran will fall under attack with a high probability of the fall of the ayatollah's stormy regime. A territorial reformatting with the subsequent unification of Azerbaijan is not excluded. The Turkic world will gain territorial continuity. There will be no need for the Zangezur corridor. The strategic highway connecting Baku with Ankara will pass through the ancient capital of Azerbaijan, the city of Tabriz. Such an outcome would be a national tragedy for Armenia; it would have to give up the revanchist dream of taking control of Karabakh.


1. Finally! https://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/108290.html
2. Netanyahu, Conscience, and October 7th. https://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/108570.html
3. The UN's fatal mistake. https://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/106403.html
4. Two states for two peoples. https://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/104990.html
5. ... And thunder struck. Israel, Vesti. 11.27.2001., 05.9.2002., https://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/2920.html
   6. International terrorism and its stakeholders. https://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/1904.html
   7. Armenia and the failed Crusade. https://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/103274.html
   8. “The Corrupt Wench of Imperialism.” https://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/97866.html

   04/12/2024э

Алик Бахши

Новая интрига Нетаньяху и её последствия

        Затянувшаяся война в Газе без каких-либо перспектив на достижение поставленной цели уничтожения ХАМАСа и освобождения заложников похоже не сулит Нетаньяху не только поста премьер-министра, а вообще политического выживания. Нетаньяху изначально ошибся в плане стратегического обоснования военного вторжения в Газу, ибо невозможно лишить мечту народа к свободе, осуществить которую обязался ХАМАС. Если это так, то каждый палестинец это потенциальный боевик ХАМАСа, поэтому Нетаньяху сам поставил себя перед недостижимой целью уничтожить организацию ХАМАС, ибо в таком случае надо уничтожить всех палестинцев в Газе. Впрочем армия Израиля, хочет она того или нет, как раз этим и занимается, судя по количеству жертв и масштабам разрушения, вызвав возмущение мировой общественности, которая уже и забыв теракт 7 октября, требует прекратить геноцид палестинцев. Америке приходиться отказаться от политики двойного стандарта.(1,2) В итоге ООН в лице Совета Безопасности выносит решение осуждающее Израиль и требует прекратить военные действия в Газе. Далее следует более неприятное для Нетаньяху, - Байден в личной беседе по телефону  приказывает вывести армию Израиля из Газы.

   Таким образом, Нетаньяху оказывается перед фактом поражения, потому что без армии в Газе желаемая задача уничтожить ХАМАС не осуществима. Более того, в Израиле растёт протестное движение, призывающее Нетаньяху выйти в отставку. И, что наиболее страшно для правого лагеря израильских политиков, это высказывание Байдена о создании палестинского государства как единственно возможного варианта прекратить арабо-израильский конфликт. (3,4) Ситуация для Нетаньяху как политика складывается весьма незавидная и он как искусный политический интриган  решается на отчаянный шаг подпалить весь Ближний Восток и отвести тем самым внимание от войны в Газе. С этой целью военно-воздушными силами Израиля наносится ракетный удар по консульству Ирана в Дамаске вследствие которого погибают семь сотрудников, в том числе два высокопоставленных генерала. Несомненно это можно характеризовать как очередной теракт (надо сказать, что арабо-израильский конфликт это череда терактов с обеих сторон), особо возмутительный тем, что впервые направлен на дипломатическое представительство, да ещё со стороны государства. Такого ещё не наблюдалось в мире дипломатии. В результате последовало ожидаемое – гневная угроза Тегерана об ответном ударе, что и входило план Нетаньяху, ибо в этом случае полыхнёт весь Ближний Восток, причем так, что мало не покажется. При этом Нетаньяху не особо озадачен тем, что народу Израиля придётся испытать ракетную атаку со стороны Ирана.

    Весь Ближневосточный регион это настолько запутанный клубок, что порой кажется, что только большая война может не сколько распутать, а просто разом ликвидировать его с последующими новыми межгосударственными отношениями. В регионе нет страны без серьёзных претензий к соседней, здесь все против всех, если вспомнить восьми-летнюю войну Ирана с Ираком, Ирака с Кувейтом, напряженные отношения Сирии, Ирака, Армении и Ирана с Турцией, не закончившуюся мирным договором войну Азербайджана с Арменией, натянутые отношениями между Азербайджаном и Ираном, и это на фоне религиозной неприязни между суннитами и шиитами. Эта сумятица дополняется постоянным вмешательством таких тяжеловесов как США, ЕС и Россия, что откликается терактами, например 11 сентября как наиболее трагический (5,6). Естественно между игроками заключаются стратегические союзы по большей части временные. Наиболее значимые из них на сегодня, это союз между Америкой и Израилем, между Турцией и Азербайджаном, между Россией и Ираном, также не объявленные – между Ираном и Арменией, и Израиля с Азербайджаном.
  
    Надо отметить, что именно Великобритания с Францией заложили в регионе мину замедленного действия при дележе между собой территории Османской империи после Первой мировой войны. Кстати, Франция традиционно ещё с эпохи Крестовых походов более всех европейцев неравнодушна к Ближневосточному региону, она как инициатор тех древних походов никак не может забыть поражение, которое ей нанесли тюрки. Отсюда её постоянная настроенность против Турции, а заодно и Азербайджана.  Сегодня именно Франция вмешивается во взаимоотношения между Азербайджаном и Арменией, пытаясь помешать заключить мирный договор по итогам войны 2020 года, положившей конец 30 летней оккупации Арменией территории Азербайджана. Похоже, идея нового Крестового похода французам пришлась по душе, но, чтобы не быть одинокими в этом богоугодном деле, они решили привлечь попутчиков через ООН и срочно созвали Совет безопасности для осуждения Азербайджана с принятием последующих санкций, а возможно и силовых методов. Однако, неожиданно, можно сказать, прямо во время заседания Совета безопасности, армяне подвели Францию, официально отказавшись от территориальных претензий к Азербайджану, выставив тем самым Францию на посмешище. Члены Совета безопасности, которым и без того достаточно проблем с войной в Украине, облегченно вздохнули и мирно разошлись, мысленно пожурив французского представителя.(7) Кажется, Армения напрасно ищет в лице Франции замену России, создавшей в прошлом армянам государство на землях Азербайджана.( Впрочем, предательство историческая традиция для армян, если вспомнить войны между Великой Римской Империей и Персией.

     Кстати, против появление Франции и ЕС в регионе настроены власти Ирана, что непременно разорвёт стратегическую связку Иран-Армения, направленную против Азербайджана. Дело в том, что Иран опасается объединения Северного Азербайджана с Южным, с его 30 - 40 миллионным населением этнических азербайджанцев, что является основой союза с Арменией.

    Если замысел Нетаньяху удастся, и Иран из мести решиться нанести ракетный ответ Израилю, то война в Газе отойдёт на второй план. На стороне Израиля в войну ввяжется Америка, а то и НАТО. Нет сомнения, Израиль воспользуется территорией Азербайджана для ракетной и дроновой атаки, что автоматически введёт Азербайджан и Турцию в коалицию противников Ирана. Как следствие Иран попадёт под раздачу с большой вероятностью падения ненастного режима аятолл. Не исключено территориальное переформатирование с последующим объединением Азербайджана. Тюркский мир обретёт территориальную непрерывность. Отпадёт необходимость в Зангезурском коридоре. Стратегическая магистраль, связывающая Баку с Анкарой, пройдёт через древнюю столицу Азербайджана город Тебриз. Такой исход для Армении станет народной трагедией, придётся расстаться с реваншистской мечтой овладеть Карабахом.


1.   Наконец!  https://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/108290.html
2.   Нетаньяху, Совесть, и 7 Октября.  https://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/108570.html
3.   Роковая ошибка ООН. https://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/106403.html
4.   Два государства для двух народов. https://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/104990.html
5. … И грянул гром. Израиль, «Вести». 27.11.2001., 9.05.2002., https://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/2920.html
  6. Международный терроризм и его интересанты. https://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/1904.html
  7. Армения и сорвавшийся Крестовый поход. https://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/103274.html  
  8. «Продажная девка империализма». https://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/97866.html

  12.04.2024

Alik Bahshi

                                                                 When the donkey will die?

                                                                              or his reflection in the mirror

"I'm the one who calculates your vices.
In good and bad you become a mirror.
It affected you so what is.
Smash the mirror - small honor "

Nizami

Russian President Vladimir Putin, according to their own way, to the traditional, bandit jargon, was careless enough to promise a dead donkey ears from Latvia, and if so, the tail presumably get Japan, Finland's neck, and so on. Actually, I used to compare Russia with the dragon, who, after he had swallowed Afghanistan happened indigestion. ("Chechnya, who's next?" Israel. Our country. 12/11/96.) But Putin as Russian president, still visible. Donkey, donkey so, here I am not going to argue. It remains only to find out when he will die, meaning a donkey.

World history shows that all the colonial empires had their end. The Russian Empire, which traded with the Communists came to power, the name of the Soviet Union, in which the Secretary General of the rules instead of the emperor, also was no exception. The dragon can not be a dragon, if someone does not devour, and empire empire, if not capture even some country. In the next victim was chosen the most frail of the inner circle country located at the underbelly of the Soviet Union. In addition, the invasion of Afghanistan approached a Kremlin to his longtime dream to go to the Indian Ocean. However, despite the fact that Russian for ten years, fully owned by all operational space, despite the enormous superiority in military-technical equipment, in Afghanistan, they suffered a crushing defeat. The well-known Russian saying "who approach us with the sword come, and will perish by the sword", was true for the Afghans. Afghan bandits, spooks, the militants, the spirits - in fact terrorists, as it is now fashionable to call, so give the teeth a dragon that he had to crawl back to his lair, leaving the battlefield broken fangs, which later sprouted into a Taliban. Russian dream, which, somehow very vivid, voiced scandalously famous Duma deputy Zhirinovsky, "wash the soldiers' boots in the Indian Ocean" and remained a dream.
A failed military adventure in Afghanistan has had far-reaching political implications. Undeclared shameful war has exposed the lies and hypocrisy that podchivali Kremlin communist citizens. It was impossible to solder with the truth, for some unknown reason, the victim, in a zinc coffin, received all in large quantities in response to all-out war waged by the Soviet Union against the Afghan people. Economy, not taking into account the laws of the market, to keep some time for pure enthusiasm and coercion became ineffective and could no longer provide the ever increasing demands of the war machine of the empire. The first democratic transformation that Gorbachev was forced to introduce in order to make a civilized person or the Soviet system, he said, to build "socialism with a human face", so shaken patchwork empire that it is in the early 90-ies of the last century, kolapsirovala , a spin-off of the country, which had national status. Empire of Lies was powerless against free speech, which is the first to use the power of the Baltic colony, followed by the rest of "voluntary brotherhood of peoples" dispersed to the poor apartments, leaving pockets of fuming hot spots.

However, we will leave the imperial dragon and go to "Putin's ass." Lop-eared profile considerably relaxed. The belly is so cramped that the protruding ribs are good bait for the young, but very hungry cubs the Ural and Volga steppes, front hooves ass rubbed the blood on ledges of the Caucasus Mountains, rear right, he is still able to kick, but there has long been a Chinese weave them the ropes. Perhaps his donkey head donkey and understands that it should not interfere with the upcoming and inevitable change, stubbornly blocking the path of freedom and democracy. But how put these mulishness!

In this over, it can be said the first phase of the sunset of the Russian Empire, which continues to be a "prison of nations", despite the fact that emerged from the Soviet Union, without exception Soviet republics. People live and autonomous republics, territories, regions and districts, fancy borders are drawn by the Kremlin offices in the conversion of the empire to the Soviet Union, and remained in the colonial rule. Anticipating future territorial losses Moscow as many foreign lands brought into borders of the Russian Federation. Vast territories were rejected in favor of the mother country: for example, the entire territory of the Derbent Khanate, was derived from Azerbaijan. It's like to send, for example, Chuvashia Novgorod principality ottorgnuv it from Russia. How could it happen historically that Bashkiria has long border with Tatarstan and Kazakhstan? Can not explain why Kyrgyzstan received the status of a Union Republic of Tuva and Yakutia or not, or why Belarus, never knowing state gets it just a gift, and still does not know what to do with it, and the people of the North Caucasus, who were struggling with Russian from the first day of the occupation to the present time, do not bother to freedom. Moreover, that there was no precedent, ready to completely destroy the Russian, who challenged the empire, freedom Chechen people, who in the past been subjected to repeated physical violence and deportation.

The change to a democratic socialist system put Russia in the face not only of complex political problems, but also the very serious economic difficulties. Market economy in the Russian context mutated into an ugly shape oligarchic-mafia, whose motto is "steal while there that robbing." The fact is that the traditional greed and venality of Russian officials, unreasonably increased under Yeltsin, and, most importantly, a pathological unwillingness and inability of the Russian people to engage in the most efficient and organized creative activities, which clearly seen since the days of the Vikings invitation to Russia (by the way the name is Russ, Norman origin), has led to a whole galaxy of oligarchs, we say, not of Russian nationality, who, above all, not seen in the Russian homeland. Placing billions of dollars to banks in different countries, they have not invested the money for the creation of industrial enterprises, because their main concern was as much as possible and as quickly as possible deflation and sales of raw materials. Such common practice robberies country has nothing in common with a market economy, Russia translated into the category of the Third World. Say you come to mind American billionaire secretly export capital and hide it, say, in a Swiss bank. On the contrary, unlike the Russian oligarchs, he invests the money for the construction of facilities in Russia, though, if we are to be honest to the end, this will be his biggest mistake.

Combination of democracy and oligarchy is nonsense. Tycoon in a democratic society is the culprit, but in Russia oligarchy gained legitimacy. Russian people are so passive and inert, so used to having all of the changes and set down from the top, including the Revolution as a new phenomenon oligarchy took for granted, not realizing how it is immoral for the existence of a normal democratic society. Symbiosis of power and money reaches unimaginable heights under Yeltsin. Cashing fabulous capital using fraudulent tricks and combinations, new nuvoroshi, for further enrichment, are the power structures, literally buying parliamentary seats and ministerial portfolios. It went so far that the oligarchs are appointed by the President, who served as a guarantee of their well-being, that is, "roof", as told to Putin. Hastily searching for a replacement degraded Yeltsin, the oligarchs blundered badly, dragging Putin for president in the hope that the executive officer KGB will obedient puppet. The oligarchs have not considered what is not in them, namely, patriotism, which is present in Putin, and in considerable quantities.

Putin, hitherto concealed their ambitions, cool mixed with patriotism, did not want to continue to play the role of Yeltsin as president of sham, executor of the oligarchs, and decided to stop the process of further decay and looting of the empire, and then restore it to the old borders. Vector of all of his actions as president has one direction - back to the empire.

And the donkey is clear: Democracy and Empire - are incompatible. Moreover, democracy is contraindicated Empire! And if so, where I started the first president, in addition to the war in Chechnya, the systematic and pronounced attack on the media, much of which was controlled by oligarch Vladimir Gusinsky. From the time of the events of the Nord-Ost Putin declares total war on freedom of speech, which, as it turned out, prevent him from successfully fight terrorism. As a result, television in Russia has become as overregulated and uninteresting, as under communism, and Gusinsky had to flee abroad, the pursuit of the Russian prosecutor's office. Following the run Gusinsky was a former secretary of the Security Council oligarch Berezovsky. Oligarchs feel uncomfortable. Putin has put an end to the phenomenon of the oligarchy. Too ambitious and young tycoon Khodorkovsky neponyala that of Russian democracy remains one name, fled the country and decided to fight Putin in the hope that people will buy for the upcoming presidential elections. And would buy! However, Putin has managed to revive the chain of command in the Soviet and, I think, has built a prison for the presidential candidates. Prosecutors and courts placed the former cvoego functioning under the Communists. As a result, Khodorkovsky - in prison. He now enough time to realize their political mistakes and understand what Russia.

Sure, Putin said during the Yeltsin era subjects of the Russian Federation have too much political freedom, which eventually became loose and collapse the rest of the empire. So Putin headed for a change of government, namely, the elimination of such a thing as a federal subject. Here Putin is not original, the first time such an idea was put forward by Mr. Solzhenitsyn, the writer decided to do one time politically active and speaking, somehow, with a keynote speech from the podium of the State Duma. Dressed in a tunic dictator Time Nobel Prize easily disposed of peoples of the former Soviet Union and present-day Russia, placing them in his political scheme "arrangement of Russia", and his idea of the revival of the territorial division into provinces clearly looked like a nostalgia for the former tsarist empire times. Solzhenitsyn argued for the provincial structure of Russia to erase even the memory of the peoples inhabiting the empire. Perhaps this idea has Putin on the soul and it is performing "free voleizleyanie" peoples, began to unite ethnic constituents in the region (ie province), in which the governor would be appointed by the President himself. Thus Putin stripped of all meaning the existence of such an important legislative body, as upper house, the seat of the elected governor. Almost after the introduction of the constitutional changes, the legislature is also in the hands of the president, that is, on the face of violation of the basic principle of democracy - the separation of the legislative power of the executive.

It seems there was no man in the nation, more tongue-tied than Chernomyrdin, but once he had, inadvertently pulled on lokonichnosti brilliant phrase, "like the best, but it turned out as always." Here, the whole philosophy, all the quintessence of the Russian people. Beginning with Peter the Great Russian people literally pull the ears in Europe, but the distance is not at all close. The latter idea, related to the introduction of Western-style democracy, now we can safely say torn Russia, just like all the previous foreign to the Russian spirit of innovation. Democracy is counter to the Russian people, and, in general, we need a democracy, the people who carries a gene Oblomovism and does not want to engage in political or economic activities. In such circumstances necessarily turn up foreigner with a collar and verbal carrot.

 Donkey is a lot to hang noodles on the ears

Were there many Russian leaders among a handful of socialist revolution? Russian people are not capable of a revolution, but it is able to revolt. Imagine that came to power by oligarchs and, instead of the imaginary "dictatorship of the proletariat" would establish a real dictatorship of the oligarchs. Impoverishment of the people necessarily would lead to a terrible riot of bloody pogroms. The fact that Putin was in power, it is crucial for Russia. And do not Yavlinsky, Nemtsov, Hakamada, Kasparov and other talkers Democrats are ready for their mercantile interests distribute empire infidels. The fact that the leaders of these parties have no democratic Russian, does not seem strange, but only shows how unpopular the idea of democracy in the national environment. But in the patriotic and pro-fascist parties, with the exception of clown-jester, Bar origin, full of "gosudarstvoopredelyayuschy people" (creative discovery Russian nationalists in linguistics). Russian chauvinism, pointed to by Stalin, deeply ingrained in the national consciousness, and the imperial ideology is an insurmountable obstacle to the introduction of democratic principles in Russia. Putin's course back to the people of the empire found understanding and support, as well as simple and clear policy question of soaking the Chechens in the toilet, strangling vermin (Chechnya) and circumcision Western guardians of democracy. Having finished with the oligarchs, the state itself will sell the spoil of the colonial peoples, for in most of Russia is nothing, and when it will be sold, the empire will come to its natural end. But this would be the case if the empire political situation stabilizes, but just in this respect for big problems. The war in the Caucasus is expanding, after Chechnya to fight for freedom rises Dagestan. No wonder Putin plans to strengthen Russia's military presence in the Caspian Sea, in giving the Russian fleet three new frigates, which poses a threat to all littoral states.
Putin's policies are dangerous not only to the neighboring, former fraternal peoples, most of whom Putin had sour relations, but also for established democracies, which could result in Russia's self-isolation.

Loneliness is fatal to all life, and donkeys in this sense is not an exception. In Putin's ass no friends. With mule Lukoshenko bored and love to engage in useless, because the mule in this matter is not useless. In Armenian ass, if you remember utyatnitsu, blasted Armenian Dashnaks Moscow subway (the first in the Soviet Union attack), rely insecure and dangerous, and can ... In mind there was only Tehran ass, which seems to promise a bunch of dry, highly flammable hay (nuclear weapons), love and friendship. However, from our ass to know that ...

"Only a stone unknown
joy and pain
And love on earth -
one ass! "

Ghafur Ghulam




20.07.05.

I proceed from the fact that Russia is an empire, and therefore it will not avoid collapse, like all empires. Russia will cease to exist and shrink to Muscovy. Its border to the East will be limited to Tatarstan. The Caucasus will be completely freed from the dictates of the Kremlin. I have an old article “When the Donkey Dies,” I’ll post it now.

  Здесь есть два момента. Если его возьмут вне России, то его ждёт Гаага и пожизненное заключение. Если поймают внутри России, то его распут на воротах Кремля. Так что у раба на галерах есть выбор.

 Действия свернут в любом случае. Войной этот вопрос Израилю не решить. Уже одно то, что надо делать после оккупации всей Газы никто в Израиле не знает.

Байден осудил действия Нетаньяху в Газе. В самом Израиле против политики Нетаньяху нерод вышел на демонстрацию. Вероятность, что Нетаньяху придётся подать в отставку велика.

Biden condemned Netanyahu's actions in Gaza. In Israel itself, many people went out to demonstrate against Netanyahu’s policies. The likelihood that Netanyahu will have to resign is high.

 The jokes will end as soon as the Russian Empire begins to fall apart. Karelia will return to Finland along with Vyborg - the second largest city in Finland.

  This is not the first terrorist attack by the Palestinians. Terrorist attacks are difficult to predict. It is necessary to exclude the cause of terrorist attacks; only in this case is it possible to prevent them.

There are two expressions - "if" and
"if this happened." So in the first one, all options are open.

You did not understand the sarcasm, I meant that if in 1940 Russia had a reason to attack Finland, today this reason has returned due to joining NATO. Look, Putin said that he attacked Ukraine only because it could join NATO, and the Finns have already joined NATO, but Putin is silent. This means that Putin is lying, and the reason for the war with Ukraine is completely different, namely, Putin wants to restore the empire within the borders of the USSR and started with Ukraine and Georgia.


I mean that if Russia loses the war with Ukraine, then it will collapse in the future like any colonial empire, and then Finland will regain its lost territories.


[moderator's note: multiple posts have been merged]

Финляндия закрыла границу с Россией. Видимо решили, что для русских туристов есть достаточно территорий с таким же климатом как в Финляндии, пусть там и кайфуют.

Alik Bakhshi

Netanyahu, Conscience, and October 7

 
 
          Before the next Knesset elections, in the article “When conscience is silent” (1), I warned voters about a possible mistake, referring to Netanyahu. Let me quote an excerpt from that article:
      “As is known, the People need their servants only during the one month preceding the elections to the Knesset.
      They say about us that every nation has the government it deserves. And don’t doubt for a minute that this is not so! It is thanks to us, the voters, that criminal elements, deceivers and liars found themselves in the Knesset. It is thanks to the voters that the Knesset does not exist for parliamentarians to work in it, because for the most part it is empty, but has turned, like Paradise, into a lifelong abode for them. Yes, they have found Paradise here in the Knesset, and maybe this is the reason for the uncleanliness of the people’s representatives; they no longer need to take care of their souls if they are already in Paradise. This is especially noticeable among representatives of religious parties, who seem to be supposed to take care of the soul by virtue of their position. And the fact that most of the deputies ended up in prison from among them is nothing other than the machinations of Satan, who is known for his partiality towards God’s servants.
      It was only thanks to the voters that nepotism and corruption flourished in the Knesset.
      Citizens of Israel, don’t you see that over many years of continuous care for you, the family roots of your deputies have grown so deeply into the foundation of the Knesset that if you start to uproot them, the very building of the Knesset will collapse. It’s probably easier to build a new building than to carry out such a thankless and painstaking job of clearing it of weeds.”

     “... is it worthwhile to understand all this before the elections itself, to appeal to the conscience of the deputies, because we should not ask them, but ourselves, why this is happening. Do not turn to the conscience of others, turn rather to your own conscience, it will not deceive you.
     Conscience, this difficult-to-explain thing, is more significant than Love and Faith. This is what makes us blush when we are crafty. It may happen that before the law you will be pure and impeccable; laws, after all, are created by people. You can bypass the law, but Conscience - never. You can make a deal with Faith, Love, but not with Conscience. People have different thoughts, different views, but there is no different Conscience. This is a misconception, it is the same for everyone. Conscience is patiently silent if you do not address it, because it is not she who needs you, it is you who needs her. If you do not want to turn to it, having driven it deep into yourself, then when it gets out, it will incinerate your soul like a volcano, turning the last moments of life into an unbearable Hell, which may be the same Hell that people are afraid of. Conscience is the substance that will give you the final score before going into oblivion, decide to leave a good memory of you or consign you to oblivion. Conscience is God in ourselves.
    A person who lives in harmony with Conscience is always open to people, he has nothing to hide. People are involuntarily drawn to this. Find them.
     Before you cast your vote, look into the eyes of your chosen one, so that it does not turn out that you have elected to parliament a person with the most sly look in all of Israel, who will not try to deceive you again. Do not act rashly, do not make a deal with your Conscience.
 
    I’m not a religious person, although I’m not a materialist, and this is not a sermon, this is just my view of the situation in which we all found ourselves on the eve of the elections.”

      It is known that the Constitution long promised to the people of Israel with a clear separation of all three branches of power, legislative, executive and judicial, as well as with the indispensable separation of the Faith from the state, as required by Democracy, did not take place for a demographic reason, namely the unresolved issue with the Palestinians, who are formally within the state borders of Israel. Such an abnormal situation for a country that deceptively positions itself as democratic and with a flawed election system inevitably leads to the emergence in power of unprincipled and cynical people who are forced to deal with issues very far from those that they declare in their election programs. In this regard, Netanyahu, of course, turned out to be unsurpassed in the art of political intrigue.
   
   If at the origins of the emergence of Israel in a hostile environment in power stood such strong personalities as David Ben Gurion and Golda Meir, guided by the famous saying “It doesn’t matter what the goyim say, it’s important what the Jews do,” then over time, when Israel increasingly fell into dependence on the United States, and therefore forced to reckon with an overseas ally and patron, the need for such leaders has disappeared. Confidence in its safety from external enemies lulled Israel's vigilance towards internal enemies, which, it is true, had to be pacified from time to time, which became an inevitable, habitual tradition for the country, but which, as it turned out, turned out to be mortally dangerous.
Everything changed on October 7, Israel was shocked by an unprecedented terrorist attack, more than 2,500 Hamas militants freely penetrated from Gaza into the border kibbutzim and the city of Sderot, brutally killing 1,200 Israelis and taking 242 hostages. The attack was accompanied by a massive bombardment of missiles and drones into Israel. For Netanyahu, always busy with quarrelsome internal coalition squabbles, what happened was a complete surprise, which was the reason for the failure of the country’s political leadership and the army command dependent on it, whose response actions were not timely, which ultimately led to such a large number of victims.
   
   There are no words, Netanyahu’s guilt is undeniable, but we must not forget that precisely, as I said, the vicious system of power needed people like Netanyahu, who were well versed in the current conditions, but were not capable of solving global vital government tasks. Netanyahu, who has set his sights on the unattainable end to Hamas at once, does not seem to know how to do this, considering that every Palestinian is a potential Hamas member, including, to be honest, children, and most importantly, Netanyahu does not find an answer to the question of what to do with Gaza after the war.
   
     The war in Gaza has been going on for half a year and is accompanied by a large number of civilian casualties, which causes outrage among the international community. The convened UN Security Council calls on Israel to immediately cease hostilities. Moreover, America, which has always turned a blind eye to Israel's occupation of Palestinian territory, suddenly spoke out about the creation of a Palestinian state as the only way to end the Arab-Israeli conflict that has lasted for 75 years.(2) This is truly a stab in the back of Israeli politicians, who even in a bad dream could not imagine an independent state of Palestine. From all that has happened, one can come to a very unexpected conclusion - thanks to the terrorist organization Hamas, a state called Palestine will be created.
     If this happens, Netanyahu will have a difficult explanation with the parents of the soldiers who died in vain. How can one not recall the words of Golda Meir: “A man who loses his conscience loses all.”

1. When Conscience is silent. https://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/4464.html
2. Finally! https://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/108290.html
     
     04/06/2024

Алик Бахши

Нетаньяху, Совесть, и 7 Октября

 
         Перед очередными выборами в Кнессет в статье «Когда молчит совесть» (1) я предупреждал избирателей о возможной ошибки, имея ввиду Нетаньяху. Позволю себе привести выдержку из той статьи:
      «В Народе, как известно, нуждаются его слуги только в течение одного месяца, предшествующего выборам в Кнессет.
     Это про нас говорят, что каждый народ имеет то правительство, которое он заслуживает. И на минуту не сомневайтесь, что это не так! Это благодаря нам, избирателям в Кнессете оказались криминальные элементы, обманщики и лгуны. Это благодаря избирателям Кнессет существует не для работы в нём парламентариев, потому что в большей части он пуст, а превратился, подобно Раю, в пожизненную обитель для них. Да они обрели Рай здесь в Кнессете и может быть в этом причина нечистоплотности народных избранников, им нет необходимости более заботиться о душе, коли они уже в Раю. Особенно это заметно по представителям религиозных партий, которым вроде как по должности полагается заботиться о душе. А то, что больше всего депутатов оказалось в тюрьме именно из их числа, так это не иначе, как происки Сатаны, который известен своим неравнодушием к божьим слугам.
     Только благодаря избирателям, в Кнессете расцвела семейственность и коррупция.
     Граждане Израиля, неужели вы не видите, что за долгие годы непрерывной заботы о вас родственные корни ваших депутатов настолько глубоко проросли в фундамент Кнессета, что если начать выкорчёвывать их, то рухнет само здание Кнессета. Проще наверное построить новое здание, чем проводить столь неблагодарную и кропотливую работу по окучиванию его от сорняков.»

    « … стоит ли разбираться во всём этом перед самыми выборами, взывать к совести депутатов, ибо не с них надо спрашивать, а с нас самих, почему такое происходит. Не обращайтесь к совести других, обратитесь лучше к своей совести, она вас не обманет.
    Совесть, эта труднообъяснимая вещь более значима, чем Любовь, Вера. Это то, что заставляет нас краснеть при лукавстве. Может случится так, что перед законом Вы будете чисты и безупречны, законы, в конце концов, создают люди. Вы можете обойти закон, но Совесть – никогда. Можно пойти на сделку с Верой, Любовью, но не с Совестью. У людей бывают разные мысли, различные взгляды, но нет разной Совести. Это заблуждение, она у всех одинакова. Совесть терпеливо молчит, если Вы не обращаетесь к ней, ибо не она нуждается в Вас, это Вы нуждаетесь в ней. Если Вы не желаете обращаться к ней, глубоко загнав её в себя, то выбираясь, она подобно вулкану испепелит Вашу душу, обратит последние мгновения жизни в невыносимый Ад, который может быть и есть тот самый Ад, которым стращают людей. Совесть это та субстанция, которая предъявит Вам окончательный счёт перед уходом в небытие, решит оставить о вас добрую память или предать забвению. Совесть, это Бог в нас самих.
   Человек, живущий в ладах с Совестью, всегда открыт людям, ему нечего скрывать. К такому люди невольно тянутся.    Найдите таких.
    Вглядитесь, прежде чем отдать свой голос, в глаза Вашего избранника, чтобы не получилось так, что в парламент вы избрали человека с самым лукавым взглядом во всём Израиле, который не применёт вновь провести вас. Не поступайте опрометчиво, не идите на сделку с Совестью.
 
   Я человек не религиозный, хотя и не материалист, и это не проповедь, это лишь мой взгляд на ситуацию, в которой мы все оказались накануне выборов.»

       
     Известно, давно обещанная народу Израиля Конституция с четким разделением всех трёх ветвей власти, законодательной, исполнительной и судебной, а также с непременным отделением Веры от государства, как того требует Демократия не состоялась по демографической причине, а именно не решенного вопроса с палестинцами, формально находящимися в пределах государственной границы Израиля. Подобная ненормальная ситуация для страны, обманчиво позиционирующей себя демократической, и с порочной системой выборов неизбежно приводит к появлению во власти людей беспринципных и циничных, вынужденных более заниматься вопросами весьма далёкими от тех, которые они декларируют в предвыборных программах. В этом плане Нетаньяху, безусловно, оказался непревзойдённым в искусстве политической интриги.
     
  Если у истоков появления Израиля в условиях враждебного окружения во власти стояли такие сильные личности как Давид Бен Гурион и Голда Меир, руководствующиеся известным изречением «Неважно, что говорят гои, важно, что делают евреи », то со временем, когда Израиль всё более подпадал в зависимость от США, а потому вынужденный считаться с заокеанским союзником и покровителем, надобность в подобных лидерах отпала. Уверенность в своей безопасности от внешних врагов усыпила бдительность Израиля к врагам внутренним, которых правда время от времени приходилось усмирять, что стало для страны неизбежной, привычной традицией, но которая, как выяснилось, оказалась смертельно опасной.

     Всё изменилось 7 октября, Израиль потряс небывалый теракт, более 2500 боевиков ХАМАСа беспрепятственно проникли из Газы в приграничные кибуцы и город Сдерот, жестоко убив 1200 израильтян и взяв 242 заложника. Атака сопровождалась массовым обстрелом территории Израиля ракетами и дронами. Для Нетаньяху, вечно занятого склочными внутри коалиционными разборками, случившееся оказалось полной неожиданностью, что явилось причиной провала политического руководства страны и зависимого от него армейского командования, ответные действия которого не были своевременными, что в итоге и привело к столь большому числу жертв. 
   Слов нет, вина Нетаньяху несомненна, но не надо забывать, что именно, как я говорил, порочная система власти нуждалась в людях типа Нетаньяху, прекрасно ориентирующихся в сложившихся условиях, но не способных решать глобальные жизненно важные государственные задачи. Нетаньяху, замахнувшийся на недостижимое разом покончить с ХАМАС, похоже не знает как это сделать, если учесть, что каждый палестинец это потенциальный хамасовец, включая, что греха таить, и детей, и самое главное Нетаньяху не находит ответа, на вопрос, что делать с Газой после войны. 
   
    Война в Газе идёт уже пол года и сопровождается большим количеством жертв гражданского населения, что вызывает возмущение международной общественности. Созванный Совет Безопасности ООН призывает Израиль к немедленному прекращению боевых действий. Более того, Америка, которая всегда закрывала глаза на оккупацию Израилем территории Палестины, неожиданно высказалась о создании палестинского государства, как единственного способа закончить арабо-израильский конфликт, длящийся на протяжении 75 лет.(2) Это по истине удар ножом в спину израильским политикам, которые и в дурном сне не могли бы представить независимое государство Палестина. Из всего происшедшего можно придти к весьма неожиданному выводу – благодаря террористической организации ХАМАС будет создано государство с названием Палестина.
    Если такое случится, Нетаньяху предстоит тяжелое объяснение с родителями напрасно погибших солдат. Как тут не вспомнить слова Голды Меир: «Человек, который теряет совесть, теряет всё.»

   

1.   Когда молчит Совесть. https://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/4464.html 
2.   Наконец! https://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/108290.html
     
    06.04.2024

Putin received another blow from Finland, which became a NATO member, because Finland signed a security treaty with Ukraine. We must remember that Finland has claims against Russia, which took away its territories in 1940, and in the event of Russia’s defeat in the war with Ukraine, Finland will return its ancestral lands.

Путин получил ещё один удар со стороны Финляндии, ставшей членом НАТО тем, что Финляндия подписала договор с Украиной о безопасности. Надо помнить, что Финляндия имеет претензии к России, которая отобрала её территории в 1940 году и в случае поражения России в войне с Украиной, Финляндия вернёт свои исконные земли.