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101  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Get your coins out of Coinify ASAP on: July 10, 2022, 05:14:26 PM
I wonder what impact all this news spurt we are seeing lately is going to have on the ecosystem. If we are going to be optimistic, we could think that people will learn and save their own coins. But I doubt that this will be the case for the most part.

In addition, I think this will bring stricter regulations and a negative influence on the price, because let's think that all these entities helped BTC to reach 1T of market cap and 2T counting altcoins as well.

102  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin could become the gold of 21th century? on: July 10, 2022, 01:30:01 PM
Some argue that, BTC is Gold 3.0. A digital version much better than gold, because it does not weigh and is very easy to transfer to the other side of the globe in large quantities in minutes and at low cost. In the end, I think that more than definitions, what determines the essence of something is the majority use it is given, and today it seems that it is more an improved gold than a P2P Electronic Cash System, although the two characteristics coexist in BTC.
103  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: SCAM EXCHANGE: Openchange (Openchange.cash) (PARTIALLY SOLVED) on: July 10, 2022, 01:24:15 PM
I personally would not do business with them, as it is all nonsense. They are supposed to have been in business for many years? I don't know if they started implementing these rules on apparently stolen funds recently or it was the exchange they work with but the explanations they give don't make much sense.
104  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: My Recent Experience at a Land-Based Casino on: July 08, 2022, 10:08:07 AM
I recently visited a land-based casino after a long time to gamble, have some drinks and enjoy live music with a couple of my good buddies. Not long after we settled in, we heard one of the casino workers yelling at one of the gamblers. He said, "Sir please you have to leave now. You come here every day and you keep losing. Please be considerate of your wife and your newborn babies." The backstory is that this particular man is a very popular gambler at the casino not because of his winnings but because he keeps losing. Despite his losses, he would return to the casino the next day to gamble. From the story, his wife had just been delivered with twins. I would later find out that the casino worker is his nephew.

If you were the casino manager would you fire the casino worker for interfering with your business or would you ban the gambler from visiting the casino?

I see a conflict of interest here. The story didn't add up for me until you said the employee is his nephew.

Casinos make a lot of money on people who lose money, so kicking them out because they lose a lot doesn't seem to be in their line.

If I were the casino owner I wouldn't kick the employee out knowing he is his nephew, but I guess I couldn't be a casino owner either.
105  Economy / Speculation / Re: Reason why I put all my money in Bitcoin as a newbie on: July 08, 2022, 10:04:54 AM
We should think more about the risk of having all your investments in one single portfolio, such as bitcoin. Bitcoin happens to be the most reliable cryptocurrency for investment but at the same time, Bitcoin is a highly volatile asset. So I will still advise you to diversify your portfolio into multiple sources.

I agree. It is not uncommon on a BTC forum to have people who have either all in bitcoin or a very significant part of their net worth in it. I prefer to be diversified.

The problem with having it all in BTC as the OP comments is that some people panic when things don't go as expected and sell at a loss.
106  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: SCAM EXCHANGE: Openchange (Openchange.cash) (PARTIALLY SOLVED) on: July 08, 2022, 09:41:34 AM

How reliable is that? I see that it has a very high risk score and a 100% probability that they are stolen funds, which does not fit coming from a mixer, because the supposed stolen funds would have been mixed with others.

I would like to see a more detailed analysis to see how they justify their conclusions.
107  Other / Archival / Re: Are you ready to see Bitcoin at $10 000? on: July 06, 2022, 10:35:54 AM
I doubt that it will reach those levels, what happens is that in the bear market in which we find ourselves and the way the economy is, it is not out of the question, just as it is not surprising to see predictions like that.

I believe the $20k environment is strong support and many of the leveraged have already been liquidated. So I don't rule out the price going down to $15k for example, but I think we would be back to the $20k area soon. When we will go up and get back to $30k for example, I am not sure, but with positive news it could be in a short time.
108  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Lost everything in 2012, Lost everything in 2018, now building since 2020 on: July 05, 2022, 10:23:34 AM
This is another example, like many, of how people lose money on something that has performed as well as BTC. We don't hold it in such high regard now, but if we think back to when it went to $69k, at that time everyone who had bitcoins was in profit. But there are many in the past who bought high and sold low, who lost keys, etc. Many of them are BTChaters today.
109  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Breaking News: All Public Blockchains Must HV Centralized Control Administrative on: July 03, 2022, 11:33:37 AM
Can you provide a source for that?

I have just googled it and I can't find anything.

I had to google it in another way, here it is:

Crypto regulation faces even steeper climb after Supreme Court EPA decision
110  Economy / Speculation / Re: Speculators : Bitcoins is up now 21k buy buy buy ! but... on: June 28, 2022, 06:31:27 AM
Speculators : "Bitcoins is up now 21k buy buy buy ! yeah 100k coming soon  "....but it was 47k this March and 61k in 2021 ... so how the ..f..uck is bitcoin a winner ?

The only guys that won are speculators/traders that pumped and dumped and miners, the rest got wiped out ...

It starting to feel that "Bitcoin game" is a scam ...a big ponzi ...

Let me guess: your net worth is something like $30, if not negative. And it pisses you off that many of us have profited from Bitcoin.

I know the story, when the price recovers you won't come back here.

The next leg down is going to surprise us and it may get to $13000. I don't think Bitcoin is bottom at $17600. Bitcoin is still very weak and stuck at $21000 for days now is not a good sign of recovery. The fundamental and news on the war in Ukraine is also affecting bitcoin and other financial assets.

I don't say it with as much certainty as you do, but I wouldn't be surprised if the worst is yet to come.
111  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Most of us have lived a world of USD dominance, but history changes on: June 27, 2022, 08:27:50 AM
Before the USD was accepted as the world currency, there used to be the British Pound as the main currency.

And before that, the Spanish Real.

Those are the latest 3 world currencies. We're about to enter the fourth one, Bitcoin.

It will take some time, but it will happen.

Many of us would like that, but I doubt that bitcoin will be widely used as a currency in the future. The most valuable thing about bitcoin is the 21 million cap and diminishing supply with halvings. That makes it more valuable as time goes on.

I think bitcoin will be used to store wealth rather than for day-to-day payments, although the two forms will coexist, as they already do today.
112  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Did Bitcoin Disappointed You ? on: June 22, 2022, 11:01:21 AM
Not really.

The recent price performance is what has disappointed me a bit, just like the $70k ath, which fell short for this cycle. But Bitcoin is still the same, with the same properties that allow you to store and transfer wealth in large amounts without relying on a centralized entity.
113  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Macau's Casino Operation Continues Despite The Latest Outbreak on: June 21, 2022, 10:30:53 AM
I had no idea about the outbreak. I'd like to think that the worst of COVID-19 is over and it's gone flu-like, at least that's what we've been hearing.

In the case of Macau, they are doing it more for prevention, for their "zero COVID" policy, as the article says than because there is an outbreak like March 2020.

But the problem is:

Quote
Macao only has one public hospital with its services already stretched on a daily basis.

That is why they prefer a tough prevention policy.

114  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Recent events should make you withdraw all your coins to your own wallet: Part 2 on: June 20, 2022, 10:16:50 AM
To me, what this makes me wonder is how BTC has progressed on the basis of its market becoming a kind of financial casino that the whitepaper wanted to run away from.

From the idea of a P2P currency, apart from BTC, thousands of centralized currencies were created and are exchanged for it in search of the quick profit in centralised exchanges, and to top it off lately with an emphasis on leverage: "borrow against your Bitcoin". But in order to borrow you have to give up your private keys, just as you have to give up your private keys in order to get a measly interest.

I would say that many of those who have seen their funds frozen in Celsius have invested because they have seen the Youtuber of the moment, hoping to make a lot of money and not so much because they have an alternative for their savings that cannot be confiscated by anyone if they take minimum safety measures.

Those of us who have some idea of the subject will never have a significant part of our BTC holdings in exchanges.

Which is very easy to do, and the whole point of this thread: Withdraw your coins to your own wallet. Then, just wait.

The problem with some is that they simply can't wait. They simply can't just patiently wait. It seems a lot simply cannot relax. They cannot stay put. They're antsy with their Bitcoin. They have ants in their pants!

How many times have we read posts asking how they could earn from their Bitcoin? How many times have we heard people saying they'd rather invest their Bitcoin and earn a little than just HODL it and earn nothing?

A lot are saying they want to make the most of their Bitcoin. They just can't let it sleep in their cold storage. They'd rather stake or lend them because they're not spending them anyway; they're keeping them long-term anyway.

I hope people will finally learn from this!

Like it or not, most retail investors are impulsive people who look to bitcoin or any other investment for a magical way out of their shitty lives, and their way of thinking doesn't usually involve a boring strategy along the lines of: buy bitcoin, store it in a hardware wallet and don't worry about the price in 5 years.























115  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin is dead! on: June 19, 2022, 09:41:00 AM
It would be very naive to think that bitcoin is dead, just as it would be very naive to think that investing in bitcoin is going to be as profitable going forward as it was in the early cycles. And even more so after what we are seeing. It's not dead, that's for sure but the forecasts for this cycle have disappointed to the downside.
116  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: New South Korean president is pro-Bitcoiner and vows to deregulate the industry on: June 17, 2022, 07:31:57 AM
Bitcoin should never have been regulated in the first place, for it to be de-regulated. It is a decentralized network which does not need a central authority to function, it is a Peer-to-Peer system, where the users function as their own banks.

Yes, but what is clear is that the authorities were not going to allow their power to be taken away from them. I think that when they realized what BTCwas and that trying to ban it was like banning the internet, they decided to regulate it, centralizing it in a subtle way.

The more BTChas grown, the less centralized it has been, and I don't think the trend will change going forward, despite the P2PECS in the whitepaper.
117  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 15, 2022, 09:20:17 AM
What kind of addiction?  I never do drugs; I am very strictly against the recreational abuse of psychotropics.  Except in such circumstances as having just lost a fortune, I don’t drink immoderately; I rarely drink at all.  I don’t have any history of problems with gambling—perhaps because I understand the mathematics of gambling; if someone offers me a game of chance, I will only bet on the EV+ side in the amount proved optimal by the Kelly Criterion.  Not sure what you mean.

What I believe is that sometimes, no matter how smart we are, we have an emotional part that we do not consciously control part of the time, and overconfidence in our intelligence can activate that emotional part.

There are cases of very intelligent people ruined, or who ended up committing suicide and things like that, and I think it is largely because of that, apart from not learning to be happy with everyday things, with contentment.

The worst part:  I am sufficiently intelligent to have warned others in the past not to do what I did.

I get rekt by NOT following my own advice.  I knew better.

Perhaps I was underconfident in my own intelligence, and thus vulnerable to the allure of all the influences that urge people towards taking debt against BTC and using margin.  It’s not that anyone told me to do this.  There is a sort of a psychological background noise urging it:  The “don’t spend your BTC—borrow against it!” ads we’ve all seen, the promotion of margin trading by exchanges, the public chatter of some traders who act like they have brass balls with margin, etc.  If you don’t have confidence in your own judgment, then eventually, it sinks in.  It is a subtle type of peer pressure and social influence.

The person most to blame for popularizing this is Michael Saylor, the exchanges took advantage of his message to make a lot of money.
118  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 15, 2022, 07:56:50 AM
$48.82 is now a lot of money to me.  Finding that loose change helped so much.

A very sad story for how smart you sound. The moral I draw from the story, regardless of whether it is true or not, as I cannot verify it, is that one should never be overconfident of one's intelligence. Doing so can have catastrophic consequences.
119  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC Sentiment Poll for June on: June 14, 2022, 06:08:41 AM
We are in the middle of June and my sentiment is, obviously after yesterday, bearish. I think it is clear that the best of this cycle is over, not only because of recent events but also because of the macroeconomic situation. The only thing I hope is that the $20k support holds strong, as piercing it clearly down would unleash a panic like never before, as nothing like this has ever happened in the short history of BTC.
120  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Re: Coinbase tx to multiple addresses on: June 10, 2022, 06:39:09 AM
Are you talking about the transaction where the pool pays the miners later? In that case those transactions are usually sent with 0 fee and is mined by the same pool not by other pools. Like this tx mined by F2Pool spending many coinbase outputs mined by F2Pool:
https://blockchair.com/bitcoin/transaction/273061e67153c877d83bd823dc7debe3bee20300cbd4fad089104d217382c6a5

Is that 0 fee transaction confirmed by the same miner or pool that sends it? I mean the first confirmation.
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