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11861  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 27, 2020, 08:32:10 PM
'buying' right now at about 10.6K/btc...making Bob jelly
Phil knows what I am talking about  Grin.

My TA says we are running too hot right now.  Currently we are at the March 2021 price and it’s only December so we are roughly three months ahead of schedule.  

Likely scenarios are:  

1. My TA is shit

2.  We are aiming for a 2013 crash (although I would say we have not yet gone parabolic so this is a lower risk)

3.  We will stagnate at this price for 3 months and everyone will get bored

4.  This time it is differentTM and This Is Gentlemen please pick the colour of your helicopter (not black)

5. We are going to have a mild dump heading into early January and then bounce.  

Personally I’m going with option 5.  

yes, 5, but not mild, unless 25-30% drop is mild, could last into March-ish.

I am buying mine at 75% or  20.1k a coin.

The other coins I won't mention the prices I pay for them.



off topic

I had 85 usd worth of a shit coin locked into an exchange that now wants my kyc.
So Have been day trading it back and forth with BTC Since I won't give them kyc for 85 usd worth of a shit coin.

I had 32,000 of those shitcoins stuck worth 85 usd I now have  32,000  of the same shit coins

and 0.00162 btc worth  a total of 199 usd.

If this keeps up I may have to give them kyc.

[edit] and my 365 purchased from PayPal is now  575 and a 25 dollar PayPal coupon

393 is now 624.46 plus a 25 dollar credit
11862  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 27, 2020, 05:48:55 PM
Was looking at ebay for some titanium plates and found a good advertising for steel rods.

https://www.ebay.com/itm/1-1-2-Round-1045-Cold-Drawn-Steel-Bar-Stock-Lathe-Mill-12-Tool-CNC-Machining/233175062953?

2 photos

1 hot chick



1 steel rod

11863  Other / Off-topic / Re: Covid is fud on: December 27, 2020, 04:36:32 PM
2019 USA deaths were 2.8 million
2020 USA deaths were 3.2 million

the 2020 USA death total is a new record.

is that FUD.

well it is Fear in some ways

it is not Uuncertain that is has killed many
it is Doubt in some ways


So op is 2/3 correct.
11864  Economy / Collectibles / Re: [AUCTION] *PAUSED*CORROSIVE CREATIONS CRYPTODECK (HEARTS) *PAUSED* PLEASE READ on: December 27, 2020, 04:31:59 PM
Right guys. This is not a position I wanted to take but its one i simply MUST TAKE!

I was packaging up the cards there and a couple of things caught my eye. Long story short is that the polishing on these is quite simply not up to a standard that i deem acceptable.  I have absolutely no choice but to pause this auction and resume it at a later date.  I gave them a quick eyeball before the pics were taken and all seemed OK but during packaging, I give everything a very close look and I simply cannot let these go out.

I can only apologise for this however I need these to be in A1 condition  before shipping them out. We all like quality products and I feel I would be doing you all a disservice if I shipped these out to you as is.

Anyone who has placed bids, feel free to withdraw them as I understand your position too.

I hope you can all understand this is not a decision I take lightly.

Auction will resume at a later date with the same time left, same high bids (unless withdrawn) and will end at midnight on the following Saturday from when it commences. I will message everyone who has placed bids when it resumes.

Again, please accept my apologies.

Corrosive

With btc now to the moon I will withdraw my bid of 0.004 for the six of  hearts 💕

I intend to bid on the six of hearts 💕 but with the btc rise I feel I would like to start off fresh.
11865  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Number 9! Ninth altcoin thread. Back to the moon Baby! on: December 27, 2020, 04:23:53 PM
Phil,

Any update on viabtc vs nicehash since you switched some back to nicehash?   I'm using nicehash now but I only get paid once a week while btc price is increasing like mad and wondering if I should switch to viabtc and somehow convert to btc.

Thanks

well all my simplemining rigs hooked up to nicehash crashed.

and I can not access them until monday or tuesday.

my viabtc are running.

my window 10 xmr to nicehash work.

to be fair the crash may be an internet issue due to the large storm that happened

on Christmas. I need to go to my friends office and see if he lost his dsl service.

I will get back to this on mon or tues.

this would be about 350mh down and out. 14 to 16 a day.

viabtc just chugs along.

Besides all this. I want to ask people if they use chromes internet up/down monitoring app.

I use five different modems in different spots in New Jersey.

In Clifton NJ
 I have verizon 300 mh service
 I have optimum 300 mh service

In Howell NJ
my house I have optimum 300 mh service
buysolar house I have optimum 300 mh service

In Lakewood NJ
friends office has verizon dsl

the chrome monitor is showing hundreds of cases of dropped internet since I found the app
at all five locations.
somedays It is perfect with no drops
on rainy bad storm days 50 or more split second drops.

does any check their up time with the chrome app?
11866  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 27, 2020, 01:03:06 PM

 Grin Cool

huh it did drop

28.2+ to 26.8+ Smiley


back up to 27.2+
11867  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Number 9! Ninth altcoin thread. Back to the moon Baby! on: December 27, 2020, 12:47:38 PM
Those drops always rise however. Look at ethermine pool stats instead and zoom out to Dec 24th,
https://ethermine.org/statistics

You can see the total hashrate was 61.7TH/s or so, and now its back to 60.8TH/s so the drop is more like ~1.5% or so. The hashrate decreased by 1.5mh/s per card so its more like 5% less. Since the price went up, the profitability is still the same however.

It would of been good if also the power consumption went down also by 5% then maybe it would make up for it. But when the speeds get into the 15MH/s range, then its mostly not worth keeping them running.

no don't look at a pool stats look at complete network.

from 23 to 25 was a 4.7% drop

it is too early to know it that is a reflection of 4gb cards leaving and new hash coming on.

if true it will trend down for 6-9 more dags.

If not true we will just grow.  So by jan 27 or so we are 230ph for the network or 310-315ph

WE COULD HAVE SINKING HASH AND RAISING PRICE = $$$$$$

I doubt if we will see sinking hashrate on ETH.  If at all, then it will only be for a short period.  Even though the 4GB cards and the Nvidia 10x0 cards are suffocating right now, there are new cards coming on the market that will fill the hole and then some.  Then you have the ever growing number of ASICs,  I think there will be more hasrate as the price of ETH climbs higher.  Think we will have a recurrence of the mining craze in 2017 when even the neighbor's dog was mining (DOGE no doubt).
Now pondering what to do with my Sapphire Pulse 4GB cards..  They are currently mining ETH at 25MH/s each.  The week before Xmas they did 28MH/s.  The power consumption has even gone up by 5Watts each card since they were doing 30MH/s..

the sinking if it lasts will be for 9-10 dags maybe it does it for just under a month.
11868  Economy / Speculation / Re: How degenerate is it buying and sitting on PayPal Bitcoin ? on: December 27, 2020, 12:37:41 PM
I just bought another $100 worth of PPBTC @ $26,666.

What are you gonna do about it. Huh ?

I gave you 1 merit bob how about that.


I am doing 3 things at the same time.

stacking in PayPal
selling on coinbase.
holding mining coins.

I have reached a point of being confused as what to do next.
11869  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Number 9! Ninth altcoin thread. Back to the moon Baby! on: December 26, 2020, 10:58:27 PM
Those drops always rise however. Look at ethermine pool stats instead and zoom out to Dec 24th,
https://ethermine.org/statistics

You can see the total hashrate was 61.7TH/s or so, and now its back to 60.8TH/s so the drop is more like ~1.5% or so. The hashrate decreased by 1.5mh/s per card so its more like 5% less. Since the price went up, the profitability is still the same however.

It would of been good if also the power consumption went down also by 5% then maybe it would make up for it. But when the speeds get into the 15MH/s range, then its mostly not worth keeping them running.

no don't look at a pool stats look at complete network.

from 23 to 25 was a 4.7% drop

it is too early to know it that is a reflection of 4gb cards leaving and new hash coming on.

if true it will trend down for 6-9 more dags.

If not true we will just grow.  So by jan 27 or so we are 230ph for the network or 310-315ph

WE COULD HAVE SINKING HASH AND RAISING PRICE = $$$$$$
11870  Economy / Speculation / Re: How is bitcoin worth buying now at these prices? on: December 26, 2020, 09:37:51 PM
With the price of it 25k at the moment... even when its 20k... in order to double your money, you need it to hit 50k or 40k.  That number still looks so far away with how much btc has went up this year.  And imagine wanting to 5x your money.  



Yea i know you would say... imagine btc is 50k or 100k or 300k, then what about then?  Well by then, i don't even know how it would make any sense to buy it as even doubling your money would be extremely hard.



For example I don't know anything about stocks but i think i rather buy a random stock and it has a much better chance to double in price than btc when its 25k.  Thoughts on this?

Okay a while back on sept 2018 amazon was worth 1915 dollars now it is worth 3172 dollars

so it did not double.

but Sept 2016 amazon was worth 800 and it went up 4x to 3172 dollars in 4 years or so.

and Sept 2014 amazon was worth 323 and it went up 10x to 3172 dollars in 6 years or so.

and Sept 2012 amazon was worth 256 and it went up 12x to 3172 dollar in 8 years or so.



So if you believe that for btc it is like amazon was in 2018 it did not gain much  in 2 years.

but if you believe that for btc it is like amazon was in 2012 you will 12x your money in 8 years or so


take your pick..

also look here

BTC will be worth more than all of these combined.




if btc catches apple it will grow a lot  about 5x


I watched a low of six dollar for btc.  it is now 26000

so 26000/6 = 4333.33 to 1.

This is not going to happen.

but 5 to 1 could happen.
11871  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 26, 2020, 09:21:03 PM
Sold a small piece at $26,413.40

11872  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 26, 2020, 07:06:05 PM
25K to 100K is not really "price action", it's a huge amount of money that needs to pour in. 250K, well, it's even much more bigger !

But I will not bet against it either.

It's not just about money. If supply is very reduced because few people are willing to sell and also because of the deflationary nature of bitcoin, less money is needed to make the price go up.

The flip side being that if nobody sells, the price can't go up anymore either !

I think it would be a great sign if nobody wanted to sell a single bitcoin at a certain price. It will never happen though.

There is plenty of supply available, the price just needs to get to the point where it shakes some loose. For instance, I'm guessing more than half of the bitcoin ever created would be available for sale right now at $1million each.

There is no shortage. It just seems like it because the price is so low. Who would sell now when they know what the next year has in store?

Guys like me sell small pieces .

Lets say I clear  .2 btc monthly with the mining.

So selling off 0.02 or 0.03 each big rise makes sense.

Mine and hodl most sell small pieces at :

20k
22k
25k
27k
30k

It is why I prefer slower gains so that selling off a piece happens 1 time a month.

11873  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: 5 gpu problem at the same time on: December 26, 2020, 05:11:39 PM
So at all the solution is change OS? I think it is better to find the failure and not change OS  Huh
I use Win10 (I use Linux also) for over 3 years on 30 rigs and i have found solutions for all issues but at the end i didn´t have much issues.

For me the better Mining Platform is Windows10, more flexible, more user friendly and so on.
But i think, to learn and understand mining is the best solution, if you understand it, than it is no problem to find the failure.

And by the way, this is not a OS problem i think. Have you tested every single GPU alone? Did you change the riser?


he only need to unplug his windows hard drive and have a usb stick loaded with smos plugged in.


The reason we ask for him to change the os to linux is more than what you think.

If he changes the os and it does not work.

It is 100% certain there is a physical defect.

Since he tested every riser 1 at a time
Since he tested every gpu 1 at a time
Since it all used to work.

Switching to linux and getting same result means a broken part.

It eliminates a sheath win 10 update that screwed everything up.


The only other thing possible would be physical and not a software setting.

Now to test further for physical is possible.

1) mobo has aged can no longer handle the load
2) mobo slot went bad.
3) a riser usb cable is bad.
4) psu has aged  and can not handle the cards load.


If linux works he is then certain the issue is windows 10 software.

Only thing to do is try linux so he can determine if it is os or hardware.

It is impossible (very hard ) to do so with out trying linux.


11874  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Number 9! Ninth altcoin thread. Back to the moon Baby! on: December 26, 2020, 04:57:37 PM
Yeah my 4GB cards are all down to 23.5mhs or so. Basically every DAG reduces the speed by at least 1mhs per card and what is worse you would think the power consumption would go down since it’s hashing slower but it uses the same power as before.

I think I will use them for 2 more dags and then shut them down. Anyone know if there is anything else to mine like Beam or Raven or whichever other coin people are mining these days. ETC makes like a dime a day after power costs.

Note the network drop was 4.7%

Track it and your hash drop.

Maybe it pays to run them a little longer than 2 jumps.



You can see a drop in hash rate on ethermine every dag increase.

https://ethermine.org/statistics

that is a pool

here is the whole network


https://etherscan.io/chart/hashrate

there was a solid drop from the 23rd to the 25th

295 to 281 or about -4.745%

lets wait until the next print on the 27-28 of dec and see what happens

maybe we drop to 267 another 4.7%

If true maybe we go as low as 210-230 in a month

11875  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: ETH hashrate keeps growing on: December 26, 2020, 04:35:26 PM
You can see a drop in hash rate on ethermine every dag increase.

https://ethermine.org/statistics

that is a pool

here is the whole network


https://etherscan.io/chart/hashrate

there was a solid drop from the 23rd to the 25th

295 to 281 or about -4.745%

lets wait until the next print on the 27-28 of dec and see what happens

maybe we drop to 267 another 4.7%

If true maybe we go as low as 210-230 in a month
11876  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 26, 2020, 04:03:45 PM
All right.

But...

What about 26000?

Is such a thing even possible?

Based on  July 2019 30k is possible today

Based on Dec 2017 70-80k is possible today

This is mining profits estimates.

Now in July 2019 the 13k price tanked as it was too good for mining

and in Dec 2017 the 19.9k price tanked as it was too good for mining.

The 25k price is close to being too good for a miner that has gear in hand.

So the question is does the desire from big time investors over ride the excess mining profits.

Maybe it does.

especially if a lot of countries other than Norway start investing into btc to help pension plans.
11877  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 26, 2020, 03:51:21 PM
So does anyone have any insight as to why hashrate is not chasing this rise?

Are the big miners caught with their pants down?

Same thing happened in Sept - Dec 2017..

And in 2018 after BTC price crash gear caught up

Sept 5  2017 diff was .9035 trillion. price was 4616 usd

Dec 16 2017 diff was 1.591 trillion price was 19,900


Oct 12 2018 diff was 7.445t price was 6,400


Diff simply could not catch up and orders for it were back ordered.
11878  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: just bought GTX 1070 6 card after setup my PC see only 4 card on: December 26, 2020, 02:37:21 PM
İ disabled onboard gpu but PC still blackscreen.

Yes it is win10


So try doing the simple mining down load.

or buy a second mobo.
11879  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 26, 2020, 01:48:30 PM
in the beginning of 2017 bears were expecting a double top and game over for btc (china ban, etc...). biggest bulls were hoping for $2500 by EOY. No one was expecting $20k. No one.

now, with the beginning of 2021 soon, expectations are way more bullish. 100k is being referred to a conservative prediction. can it be that easy? bitcoin usually surprises everyone. how could bitcoin surprise us next year?

a) it could simply not moon at all. like trying to get above 30k all year without breaking it.
b) it could actually go down (that would be a surprise indeed)
c) it could moon way higher than 100k

how about a repitition of a 2013 scenario? going to 100k by april 2021, drop to 60k during summer and a november spike to 400k...

if it goes to 100k by April I will make some good money the next 100 days.
11880  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 26, 2020, 01:25:38 PM
I really cant tell if it's just like 16/17 after the $1200 ATH and we kept going until 20k... Or are we going too fast right now and will crash hard?

That time $100 jumps were huge and became normal later. Is it the same with $1000 this time? If some has 100 bitcoins he could make sometimes 100k a day just by selling the top and catching the dip and rinse and repeat...

Too fast? You really think if the blowoff top is say $400k we're going too fast? Even if it's only $200k I don't think we're going too fast... prepare yourself for a face-melting rally...  Cool

Too fast because of the numbers we are currently dealing with are very high! Like said, sometimes we have 1k jumps and dumps a day. Thats massive amount of money. I also believe we will see six digits. Maybe end of 2021. Yet it sounds so unreal to me.

Well, what can I say... get used to it. We are likely to see $10k daily jumps during this bullrun. $1k jumps are so 2017...  Cool

Unfortunately all this money will not help us in any way as long as humanity will accept this scamdemic. What's all the money if you only allowed to sit at home and only go out to buy food.

We should buy an island, name it bitcoinisland and do whatever we want. İf their money can buy all the politicians, media, WHO etc. and create a pharmadictature. So our money should be able to buy an island and make our own fucking laws. No vaccined morons allowed. No tests. No masks.

Yep I wish I could give you and all mask less freedom lovers an entire island .

With plenty of food and drink.

No doctors so you can be free from medicine like vaccines.

No cops so you can be free from law.



Actually your idea is truly good. separately each group would have a real readable number for the illness.

So if australia was the mask free zone. with no masks vaccines or doctors and cops and the rest of the world all used masks and vaccines and cops to enforce it.

one group would either tie lose or win

and if in 2 years the mask free freedom lovers had a terrible death rate then they would look like the morons 80 % of the world thinks they are.

but if the mask free freedom lovers had a tiny small death rate then the 80% or so of the rest of the world would truly be like  the assholes the mask free freedoms lovers think they are.

too bad australia would never surrender the entire country to test it out for 2 years.

We will simply end up with an 80-20 or 70-30 divided opinion on this issue.

Since it is over 11 months and 3 weeks since my wife and I got sick with covid-19 and we are still treating my wife's lung damage from the illness I would be on the opposite side of what you believe.

But I really would love to give you and the rest of the mask free fuck the doctors and vaccine people a nice big island to live on for the next two years.

I would like to see how right or wrong they are without risking the wear mask and give me a vaccine group.

As it stands if the mask less are wrong they are risking the other group.        (    Note the edit spelling of mask less )
as if the mask wearing vaccinator group is wrong they are risking the other group.

BTW 2019 deaths for the USA = 2.8 million
and 2020 deaths for the USA = about 3.2 million

so 400k more dead in the USA this year.  which is the highest number ever for the USA.

Would be nice to know which group has it right.  As that number would be smaller if we all guessed correctly and did it.
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