...
2 games
all wins : 0.732422 * 0.732422 = 53.64%
1 win 1 lose : 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 19.59%
all loses : 0.267578 * 0.267578 = 7.15%
...
Why the sum of all percentage in 2 games are not 100% ?
1 win 1 lose : 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 19.59% times 22 games
all wins : 0.732422 * 0.732422 = 53.64%
1 win 1 lose : 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 19.59%
all loses : 0.267578 * 0.267578 = 7.15%
...
Why the sum of all percentage in 2 games are not 100% ?
(1 win 1 loss = 1 loss 1 win)
Thanks, so this is the correct one :
1 game
win : 73%
lose : 27%
2 games = 2^2 = 4 combination
all wins : 0.732422 * 0.732422 = 53.64%
1 win 1 lose : 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 19.59%
1 lose 1 win : 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 19.59%
all loses : 0.267578 * 0.267578 = 7.15%
3 games = 2^3 = 8 combination
win win win
win win lose
win lose win
win lose lose
lose win lose
lose win win
lose lose win
lose lose lose
compacted to
1 [win win win] : 0.732422 * 0.732422 * 0.732422 = 39.29%
3 [win win lose] : 0.732422 * 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 14.35% * 3 = 43.05%
3 [lose lose win] : 0.267578 * 0.267578 * 0.732422 = 5.24% * 3 = 15.73%
1 [lose lose lose] : 0.267578 * 0.267578 * 0.267578 = 1.91
The winning chance streak get reduced after each game
As long as I don't play more than