I did not know, either deep down on the inside or otherwise.


They haven't come yet?  Shit.


I agree that $6,500 would not be low enough to knock us out of our current bull market, unless such price levels were to drag out for a very long time, maybe a year or longer?



You are kind of gloating, lambie.  I can sense it.       

$3k would scare me, and I might even start to get a bit scared if we start to get close to $5k.

Call me a pussy.



hahahaha


No, don't.

Huh?  I don't change.  I buy BTC if the price goes down and I sell if the BTC price goes up. 

How could that kind of behavior be any kind of indicator of anything... it is largely BTC price neutral, except that I frequently will respond to dumbass troll/shills, like rebal15, so perhaps my increases or decreases in responding to dumbass troll/shills, like rebal15, could be an indication that more or fewer troll/shills, like rebal15, are out and about and gloating?

You are right!!!!!

Probably a good time to short.

Exactly!!!!!

But I am feeling as if something is missing from all of "this"?



                                                                                                                             

And?

Exactly!!!!


Don't end up doing both, LFC, when you intended to do only one.  Otherwise, guys (and may even gal) will become angry as fuck at you.

I don't really agree with what seems to be the sentiment of the bolded part above..... let me repeat it here: "You , among others, provide a lot of words and are a great distraction ! ." Of course, I agree that I literally provide a lot of words; however, you make it sound as if I am trying to pump my bags or something like that or that I am unintentionally misleading folks into a kind of wrong world view.

Sure, my suggestion is that people need to take some stake in bitcoin, and likely a 1% stake is the minimum level of prudence, from my view, but my larger message has largely attempted to be that people have to decide for themselves, take responsibility for their own actions, and exercise their own prudence that is hopefully somehow customized to their own situation. 

In other words (yes it takes words to do this), one of the main problems that I have found with people is that there are a lot of them who do not come anywhere near close enough to even attempting to figure out their own personal and financial situation with any degree of particularity before investing in anything whether bitcoin or otherwise.  So, I don't see myself as forcing any kind of agenda on people beyond attempting to get people to do more homework on themselves and their situation in order that they make wiser choices, especially in regards to getting into bitcoin and largely minimizing their exposure to shit coins. 

My words in these kinds of threads are also to attempt to help myself to work through ideas, and to the extent that I am trying to do anything with evoking action from peeps, rather than brainstorming for myself, has been attempting to solicit thinking from other peeps and brainstorming attempts without really telling them what to do, beyond asserting that they should learn their own situation and adapt to their own situation while being responsible for their own decisions (or dumb or whatever that might be).

Personally, I have tentatively concluded that you are more patronizing towards people than me and chastise them for not adequately considering downside bitcoin scenarios.

Ok. I will concede that maybe in the end, we are largely the same, but kind of seem to come at the bitcoin thingie-ma-jiggie from a different angle. 

Let me give one more pitch attempt.  You seem to strongly suggest that people error on the side of making sure that they adequately consider possible downside BTC scenarios, but for some reason you are nearly constantly stuck on BTC going down, and you are not really telling people to buy BTC (so it seems to me), and I seem to error on the side of strongly suggesting that people make sure that they get into the bitcoin game (while taking responsibility for themselves) and make sure that they make sure that they have enough stake into bitcoin at all times in order to adequately prepare their lil selfies for possible up.       

Aren't you so precious for dealing in puzzles?


NOT


 

Seems a bit glass half full-ish, but hey what do I know?  It is straight-forward message "art" of a "NOT artist" (your words, not mine).  Go figure!!

I doubt that either of us are going to assert that any scenario is impossible, the various scenarios just become a matter of probability and also the extent to which we see the rise from $4,200 to $13,880 as a kind of failure to break out or as a break out that just needs some time to consolidate before moving further up.  Even though, to me, you seem more inclined to recognize some kind of failure to break out, I consider the matter to be a kind of unexpected equity cushion that has been created, and likely some difficulties to return all the way back to $4,200 break out point which is a kind of relief in my thinking to have so much cushion between our current price and the $4,200 and below territory in which we were floating prior to April 1.  

Yeah, we can talk about preferences that bitcoin would have moved more slowly and gradually up to $8k, like you said, but that is way too fucking boring for bitcoin.  She does not work like that.  She works, partly, by engaging in exaggerated price moves that no one expected, and she does it because she can.  And, for that reason, no one really has any meaningful ability to predict what she is going to do next, except for knowing that if we have enough capital, then we can attempt to push her beyond expectations (and perhaps that does not always work, but some whales are going to make some efforts in that direction and try to see if they can get their momentum to stick and to either make a profit on the way up or make a profit on the way down).

Probably you and I are not saying anything too much different from each other, except that you seem to want to emphasize down, and I continue to want to remain hopeful about any up that might occur.  Each of us believes that we are more correct than the other in how we describe bitcoin price dynamics, and in the end, we are saying very similar things with somewhat disparate emphases.


I agree.  Fuck the charts, unless they say something that I like.   

Yeah.  You would not want to ramble like me, you might start making some sense.

hahahahahahaha   

Actually, I prefer to predict where the price has been rather than where it is going, too - especially if we are talking about short term predictions and the future.    

Yeah, but we have already had our 85% correction down to $3,122.  Remember December 2018?

We are getting another 60% to 85% correction from the $13,880?  That makes hardly any sense.

Now if you were talking about a 60% to 85% correction from some kind of new ATH or something like that, then you might be starting to make some senses.  Perhaps?

In other words, the impression that I am getting is that you are one of those loonies or shills who are spreading disingenuous pie in the sky thinking rather than attempting to grapple with on-the-ground BTC price dynamic realities.

Doesn't look good.  

I am not sure if I understand the overall proposition, of the above.

Shouldn't three possible scenarios be something more closely resembling: 1) Up 2) down or 3) flat?

How could you have proposed three possible scenarios that are: 1) Up 2) down or 3) up?   Confusioning!!!

Oh?  I thought "goyim" was a term of endearment.  Maybe I am miss understanding dee retarded evil little quasi-irrelevant roachie more than I had previously believed?  Go figure.

Unless I read your post incorrectly, I was only trying to suggest that your earlier comment seemed to have been suggesting that we are in an August 2017-like scenario currently.  So, I thought that was a wrong assumption.  Again, maybe I misunderstood your earlier post, but that was why I was trying to suggest that it seems that we are still in early 2016 - and I am not even trying to suggest where we go from here... except maybe up in the next few years ... without any real presumption about whether more correction might happen from where we are right now.

Yeah.. Deathwing.  You party poop.

Don't you know that "girls just wanna have fun?"   

I remember August 2017 to December 2017 being a quite wonderful feeling.

I still think that we are still in a kind of late 2015 to early 2016 period... still waiting for the May 2016 breakout. 

We already had our October/November 2015 break out, and that was when we broke up to $13,880.  Of course, no two breakouts or chart patterns are going to look alike, but still Majormax, you should at least be attempting to compare the correct areas of the fractal.  AmiNOTrite?