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1421  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Unofficial Spondoolies SP20 thread on: May 01, 2015, 05:17:43 AM
How much time do you think SP20 could do a good work? 2017? or less?

because 4 machines + 4 Power supply (EVGA 1300) cost 2800 usd more or less. and it will give you 400 per month running at 1.4 th each one (5.6 th). so you will get your money back in 8 months, suppose you have cheap energy. Am I right?

Just using $.05/Kwh takes about $130 of that $400 in terms of raw electricity consumption for the mining hardware. That's a VERY favorable electrical rate. Gives you an operating profit of $270 per month. That assumes that there are no upward difficulty adjustments during the 10 months for payoff. At the end, you'll still have residual value in the power supplies, probably much less in the SP20's.

Yes it can work. You just won't get "rich" doing it (my definition of "rich").
1422  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: Solo mining lottery on: May 01, 2015, 04:54:55 AM
So, you've got about a 1 in 236673 chance of hitting a block today with that 10GH/s.

Better than spending $2 on a Powerball ticket at 1 in 175M for the jackpot.

Not exactly a fair comparison. Solve a block solo, and you have well under $7500. I don't know about you, but that isn't retirement class money for me or my family. On the other hand $50M even after taxes and taking it as a lump sum, IS retirement class money for me and my family.

No, that doesn't mean I play the lottery, just pointing out the absurdity of the comparison.
1423  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Do you think mining will be profitable again ? on: May 01, 2015, 12:09:56 AM
Hello,
I really want start mining, but I know actually it's not profitable and most of the time it's a waste of money.
So I wanted to kknow if you think that the mining will be profitable again ?
If not, why there is still so much miner ?
i don't think it will profitable any more, it is profitable only for old miners who already got their investment returned for mining hardware and  now they are only mining at cost of electricity while new miner has to earn for electricity and hardware investment

 There are ways to make money at this without owning anything more then a pc..  Proper spot rentals will earn you money.
 So to the op mining via rental is profitable  today if you know when to rent and wait for the right prices.

So you have to wait for a time when somebody on Westhash (for example) is willing to rent their mining hardware at a rate lower than what they would get mining on a pool? Kinda the opposite of when I renting out the hash on my SP20 at 30-40% over the rate I would get on Kano's pool? An "efficient market" theory would suggest that those kinds of disparities don't exist, or at least not for very long.
1424  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: antpool profit on: April 30, 2015, 11:38:18 PM
Wow, so BTC price has declined by roughly 50% (OK, a little more) in the last year. So you need about 20x the hash rate to earn the same number of $$$ in a week compared to last year. I am sure there are a dozen folks on here that can refine the math to get a more accurate answer, but the numbers are a stark contrast.

What's interesting, is that this ratio applies to miners large and small. That guy in Washington with the monster farm, with no other changes, has watched his "revenue" in terms of USD, decline by 90-95%. That's just stunning.
1425  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [ANN] Sfards: SF3301 Datasheet Open Source [Updated 30/4/15] on: April 30, 2015, 10:55:57 PM
My simplistic read of the Power/Freq/Voltage table suggests that they filled in values for some "reference" points. I am not sure we should interpret that to mean that ONLY .6V and .8V are allowed. The example of the SP20 suggests that it has a "variable" range DC to DC converter, within limits. The same goes for frequencies.

I am surprised also by the comment about the cost of such a DC2DC gadget. It seems like that, and an adjustable frequency gadget are pretty common these days, on a whole range of mining devices. Obviously there are variety of "non functional" combinations (e.g. Min volts and Max Frequency), as well as "poor efficiency" (e.g. Max Volts and Min Frequency). Beyond that it tends to be a limit of software on the extent folks are allowed to twist the Freq/Volt "knobs".

Not surprisingly, the Low Volts and Low Frequency setting yields the best efficiency.

This seems like pretty standard ASIC stuff doesn't it?
1426  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Is bitcoin price sustainable with higher & higher electricity costs for mining? on: April 30, 2015, 09:16:21 PM

Don't forget prisons and police as part of the cost.

I actually don't fear the power cost/difficulty = bust .

I do fear lack of demand due to public's perceptions of BTC = low price = bust out.

Police and prisons exist for a variety of reason. Direct cash theft is probably small potato's compared to drugs, assault, and homicide. So far I have seen nothing to suggest that Bitcoin eliminates financial crimes in general. It will certainly change the nature of some, but we've seen Ponzi schemes operate just fine within the Bitcoin realm.

In terms of acceptance, right now Bitcoin is a "solution in search of a problem". I have yet to see a compelling reason to use Bitcoin instead of USD for anything so far (yes I am a USA resident). The very few times I've purchased something with BTC, it was mining related, and required by the Seller. Just my $.02 on Bitcoin acceptance.
1427  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Newest Diff thread April 19th to May 1st-Closed for picks!! on: April 30, 2015, 08:58:13 PM

  For a miner centric person like myself anything making more demand attracts my interest.  I would be nice to have a good long term upward trend.  Being in my late 50's I can recall serious discussions about gold being resistive to breaking the 300 dollar ceiling. I see one of BTC's biggest issues of  acting as  a hedge property being   fixed by these wall street type investors.
I would love to see a controlled rise to 800- 1000

It's not obvious to me at all that having Wall Street take an interest is a good thing, for the long term. We all learned first hand what Wall Street can do to things that are usually pretty stable and boring like mortgages. While I think a controlled rise would be swell, your idea and mine about "controlled" might be quite different than Goldman Sachs.
1428  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: antminer s6 4500gh/s 1000watts on: April 30, 2015, 08:36:54 PM
It seems obvious to me that once you get to a certain scale, your mining operation no longer fits into a residence (i.e. where people live, sleep, etc), and is more appropriate for a commercial environment. I would expect that the servicing electrical company lays out their infrastructure according to the expected usage. At some point they won't be able to accommodate a business operating within a residential area. You can try and push around the boundaries at various times and in various ways, but at some point it just won't make sense. That point will depend on a variety of locale specific factors, that aren't uniform across the country. Even if you are willing to convert your home to mining, it may not fly. Besides electricity, also think cooling and noise (usually generated by the cooling). Your residential neighbors may not appreciate the impact you have on their lives.
1429  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Newest Diff thread April 19th to May 1st-Closed for picks!! on: April 30, 2015, 04:38:01 AM
Even if it isn't negative, it will be a small positive. As I mentioned, I think this is strictly the oscillation of variance, as opposed to anything substantive in terms of actual hashrate.
1430  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: antpool profit on: April 29, 2015, 08:57:09 PM
10 hrs and not even $1.00 value lol.

That shows you that mining requires lots of hash to get even a decent sizable btc produced for the workloads given.

You should just sell the miner on ebay, and buy bitcoin while prices are down. Dont do the whole mining nonsense.
LOL... of course it does.  Where've you been for the past couple years? Tongue

Last year on this date, that S3 (440GH/s) would have expected to make 0.03171BTC daily.  Now it expects to make 0.004648BTC a day.

Does anybody recall what the BTC prices almost exactly one year ago today? Mr. Bravo says that the BTC/day is about 1/10 of what it was year ago. I am sure the BTC prices was higher, but was it 2x, 3x, or what? So in fiat, are we down to 1/20 or so for an equivalent hash rate compared to a year ago?
1431  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Is bitcoin price sustainable with higher & higher electricity costs for mining? on: April 29, 2015, 07:46:07 PM
I think a great deal of the above discussion emanates from the differing views of Bitcoin. I, and expect many others, view Bitcoin as a commodity. The other major view is the one that Bitcoin seems to aspire to, is that of a currency. Most regular currencies are strictly that, they have no use value outside of a form of payment. Obviously in the past, precious metals were used as a form of currency. Today those all have become a commodity, and are acquired either for their usage (e.g. gold/silver for jewelry, dental fillings, etc), or as a store of value. Gold for example is held by many as a hedge against inflation, assuming it will go up in value with inflation. Those that hold gold though are completely exposed to any price swings that accompany holding a commodity. Just like when a person buys and then holds Bitcoin. Most other commodities I can think of are usage centric in nature. Pork, corn, oil, coal are generally expected to be consumed and rarely have any long term value.

What's really interesting about Bitcoin though, is that it has a "target" rate of production, and will self adjust to try and hit that target. That's unlike any other commodity of the past. Precious metals of all kinds have had their boom and bust cycles. But none of them had an intrinsic rate of production. Plant more acres, get more corn at the end of the summer. Drill more wells, produce (maybe) more oil over the year. We can also see when it will step down by half sometime in 2016 (aka the "halving"). We have seen the massive rise in difficulty as a result of huge investments in mining hardware and efficiency, but over the course of a month, we are producing about the same number of Bitcoins in April of 2015, as we did in April of 2014 and 2013. A huge "Bitcoin rush" akin to the "Gold rush" has produced no appreciable increase in the production of the commodity because of the built-in difficulty adjustments.

In terms of how Bitcoin is perceived in terms of value, it's anybodies guess. It seems like the usual laws of supply and demand apply. At the outset, mining was the biggest supplier, though that shrinks every month as the total amount of Bitcoin in "circulation" grows. The impact of mining will only shrink with time in terms of the total supply side.

In terms of demand though, I have no idea. My view is pretty myopic in terms of non-miner demand for Bitcoins. The obvious trading schemes are at work, but what is the intrinsic demand for Bitcoin? Is there a significant consumer demand for Bitcoin? Unless and until someone has a cogent theory on Bitcoin demand, we will all be at the mercy of whatever blows the Bitcoin price the way it does.
1432  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Is it to late to buy ANTMINER and start for a beginner ? on: April 29, 2015, 05:42:24 PM
Also, even if all the requirements align in your favor, do not expect to get "rich" by mining on a small scale. Everybody has a  definition of "rich", so if you are happy with a few USD per month in operating profit, then you are good to go.
1433  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: Cost break downs of Mining rigs? on: April 29, 2015, 05:35:55 PM
A while ago someone had a page that did all the math on cost per /kw/gh/BTCperday/cost with ROI and stuff, I can't seem to find it.. anyone have any ideas on or have a link to any sites that have done the maths?

If you know your KW cost, rest can be calculated @ www.cloudmining.website/calculator.php

Personally I would not rely on a "Cloud Mining Calculator" as my only source of information. Multiple calculators would seem like a better choice, though you may well get different answers.
1434  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Am I too Late?! on: April 29, 2015, 05:32:13 PM
Thanks for the replys, do you know how much data is used over the net to run a bit miner? IE a single or two S3's for example. I presume the connection doesnt have to be fast. I run my internet from my mobile as i have unlimited data and regularly download upto and over 60gb a month lol that will teach them to tell me its unlimited!

My simplistic understanding of the protocol for a miner to a poll is that low latency is way more important that high bandwidth. Of course your mobile carrier can "reshape" (i.e. slow down) your access to the Internet, will still keeping it "unlimited". Smiley
1435  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: SP20 more GHs? on: April 29, 2015, 06:19:34 AM
Is 120 bad for the chips?  I thought they throttle themselves to stay under 125 to prevent damage?  Of course generally speaking chips last longer if they are run cooler but I thought <125 is still within spec, correct me if I am wrong.

In addition to the temperature issues, the SP20, as do many miners, become grossly inefficient at their very top speed. By that I mean that last 100 Gh/s requires well over 100 watts to achieve. Everybody that claims to have free power really means that they have a limited amount of power they have already paid for in one way or another.
1436  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: antminer s6 4500gh/s 1000watts on: April 29, 2015, 06:06:37 AM
Even if I were single, I seriously doubt that I would "chase Bitcoin across the USA". There are other ways to make money, and have an interesting life. Having a major part of your livelihood wrapped up in Bitcoin seems like an enormous risk, and not very interesting after 5-8 years, if that long. I can't see Bitcoin as a career at all. Sure there are variety of skills you would develop, none of which require Bitcoin to develop. I would much prefer to develop skills which aren't as likely to go POOF if Bitcoin just turns into a pile of meaningless bits.
1437  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2s3's or 1 c1 on: April 29, 2015, 05:58:28 AM
Yes exact same chip's.  They take up a decent amount of space by time you set up them up.  They run at a much higher freq then the S3's. Below is a old picture of my 2 C1's.

http://i100.photobucket.com/albums/m25/notlist3d/C1/IMG_3214_zps554b8085.jpg

This is within the first 2 day's of running as they still had syscooling pumps.
If you could find some way to run them in series... I don't know too much about water cooling and I never really got into the thermodynamics and fluid mechanics stuff... but if there was some way to hook up like 10 boards to a single pump/radiator then I could see the density argument.  Has anyone tried doing something like that?  Throwing 10 boards, a pump/radiator/fans/etc into a 4U enclosure?  I'm not sure if something like that is even possible...

I would think a series arrangement would be terrible for ten blades. As the water flows through the loop, it will increase in temperature, until the 10th blade where it's pretty warm and doesn't have as much capacity to absorb more. Wouldn't it make more sense to have the cool water exiting the radiator go into a manifold which essentially distributes the water down multiple paths to each blade?
1438  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: SP20 more GHs? on: April 28, 2015, 07:16:03 PM
The incoming air temp of 15C is just great. Since you have already got 3 of the 8 chips running at 120C, there probably really isn't much more to be had. While I personally think you should stop here, or even dial back a bit, there a couple of small adjustments that can be made. I don't recommend them though:

The fan can go to 100. Change the Auto setting to 100. I doubt this will help much. It probably won't sound much louder since it's already at 90 (selected by Auto).

The Max Volts can also go as high as .79 I think.

I think the power limit for each loop can actually go to 288 rather than 280. Right now you don't appear to be hitting 280 anyway, so this probably won't matter.

As has been said, 1600+ Ghash is an excellent "real world" number for an SP20. Seeking more really isn't wise.
1439  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: Solo mining lottery on: April 28, 2015, 12:00:07 AM
Yes, there are numerous folks that are now "solo mining". I've even seen folks that will rent hash from Westhash/Nice hash to throw at a solo mining pool. You might want to look in the "Pools" sub-forum for more additional discussion. My most recent recollection was 727miner hit a block on a solo pool, though he had rented some hash as I recall.
1440  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Anminer C9 speculation thread on: April 27, 2015, 11:52:06 PM
Unless of course they never release C2 though C8, in an effort to "get it right" for C9?
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