I thought that it was quit funny and interesting.. but surely made by a multi-coiner.. .so not sure where it is going to go with some of its premises including having vitalik as a kind of brainchild.. which seems as an initial misleading start to the plot. |
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A wild guess: today is the last day to get bitcoin below $3900.
Yes. The odds of the truth of that assertion are in the less than 25% arena. So far so good:  Maybe the odds of going below $3,900 again became slightly better than what they were on March 25, but they have not changed by a lot.. I would not even put them above 45% and that 45% is a bit charitable. You may end up being correct, regarding your guess, but I am not sure what that would be saying, besides you having had gotten lucky in your guess. Do you find that valuable in how you live your life? I certainly try to minimize gambling and guessing in how I live my life, but surely once in a while it is fun.. but that is it.. merely fun rather than something to attach much if any significance. |
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I knew that someone was on the cusp of legendary status and when I saw the Globb0 image you posted I thought it was him! Now I see the error of my ways.
I'll go back to chasing squirrels...
That is why I come here, to learn something new each and every day. I did not know that honey badgers chased squirrels. Perhaps you have a nutting abundance problem, attracting squirrels?  I'm on a diet of squirrel pie as a consequence of hodling. My neighbour feeds them peanuts (inadvertently since he's trying to feed the Jays - (blue not JuanGees) which fattens them up and makes them tasty. Much better than Ramen... Good on you.!!!!! |
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OFFICIAL END LIST
3107 exstasie*
Quick note, my guess was $3,170 not $3,107. Wow... if the BTC price gets to $3,170, then surely it has really decent odds to get to $3,107 too.... ... version 1 or version 2, I also hope that you are wrong ...   .... And what would you know? Why are you even here? You didn't even have the balls to place a proper prediction of yourself!  What is this world coming to? Dicks?  Let me consider the basis of my speculation and my existential presence too.......>>>>>>>>>>>>>Hm? price possibilities come from a variety of reasons including momentum dynamics. Helrow? My existentialism.. is partly based on forum membership... and discretion... And, since I exist, I will assert a BTC price preference, once again.... with specificity.... as.... UP.  |
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Updated the price of the offer, from $4000 to $5000.
hahahahahahaha Yeah, OG miners have morals, so it might cost you a bit more before you are going to be able to cross the moral versus dollar threshold. Part of the likely issue is that they know Cockholster, Calvin has more than that. |
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It's Thursday somewhere.
hahahahaaha Good one. I'm sure that "the team" could deem it Thursday, if it wanted to. |
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Cool... date change from April 1 to May 16. Anyone would have predicted otherwise? |
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There is something very sobering about seeing a MINIMUM PROJECTED VALUATION of over $10k by 7/1/2020. What is the sobering part? Wouldn't those "minimum projected valuations" cause a vast majority of "reasonable" peeps to conclude that the chart must be "a bit" overly bullish? |
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Hey... nice charts. I will assert that the charts do seem a bit more optimistic than me, but they are still nice to look at. In this regard, the charts seem to show that our current BTC price situation is even more suppressed than the 2014/15 bear market, and I would not come to that same conclusion regarding our current BTC price situation... but hey, what do I know? I am just ballparking my sentiments, and I prefer to error on the side of some kind of semblance of conservatism,.. when it comes to these kinds of matters. |
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The way is clear ahead for...umm...a year of meandering sideways steady gains.
FTFY That's really all we can hope for right? Those steady gains before the run. Actually, steady gains before any kind of pamp seem to be a reasonable pattern, and surely along the way, there are going to be a number of meaningful and frustrating corrections that cause "some" HODLers to wonder if they should sell some and take some profits and buy back lower... blah blah blah... HODLing during these times (or just selling very small amounts on price spikes while buying back on dips - without becoming too greedy) will likely pay off... both financially and psychologically. |
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Is there any data available about the distribution of claim sizes at mt Gox? Is the majority of the total claim amount part of small claims or large ones?
Yes, the creditors list is public, but I don't remember where it is. And yes, there are a few hue (legit) claims that sum the majority of BTC. Ie: Josh Jones of Btcbuilder has like 40000 IIRC. i just looked briefly at a pdf list from 2016, there were a good amount of 3 digit btc claims, and some 4 digit ones too. the bulk seemed to be single or double digits, with a lot of < 1 btc amounts. gonna try to find the latest full list in some sort of excel importable format. That would be an interesting list to become refreshed upon the data therein. Just like you suggested, vapourminer, there are likely some changes to the list, especially since they have been accepting belated claims - which is certainly a fair thing to do, especially if those claims seem to be valid. On the other hand, the BIG ASS claim from CoinLab seems to be more of a leveraging claim, rather than having any kind of significant merit.... |
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I knew that someone was on the cusp of legendary status and when I saw the Globb0 image you posted I thought it was him! Now I see the error of my ways.
I'll go back to chasing squirrels...
That is why I come here, to learn something new each and every day. I did not know that honey badgers chased squirrels. Perhaps you have a nutting abundance problem, attracting squirrels? |
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PSA
make sure you have a regular backup strategy and that it actually works.
in my case a few days ago lost the primary drive in this daily driver, a Samsung 840 pro a bit over 5 years old. took out my installed programs and documents folder. (btc blockchain and games are on separate ssds and i keep a lot of copies of stuff in a 1 TB spinner raid 1 array on this rig, they were and are fine).
however, i had a full drive image 2 weeks old, and a documents backup from the night before. used the opportunity to get a bigger ssd via amazon prime so two days later i image the new drive from backup, copy the documents backup over and i had everything basically back to the proceedings nights status. turns out the old ssd still could access most files and recovered the stuff that i had done that day, minus a few emails in the local copy of outlook. a self test of the 840 pro ssd i ran after this was all over failed. oh, and image and documents backups are on a freenas rig with the equivalent of raid 5.
TL;DR
backup regularly, and TEST your backup strategy regularly.
I don't claim to be any kind of sophisticated person in terms of technology, but I had been following regular backing up practices since my first computers in the early 90s. In late 2012, I had my main drive go out, and something like 2 back ups went out too. I tried all kinds of things to recover each of them, and I could not figure out recovery on my own. Thereafter, I went to a back up specialist, and he was able to recover one of the drives.. but the data on the drive was in a kind of non-compiled format.. that caused considerable time and efforts for me to sort through the all of the various files and to resort them in to some kind of semblance of my previous files.. I may have lost some files.. I am not sure... I did not have any bitcoins back then, but fuck.. sometimes weird things can happen.. even when you believe that you are following prudent practices... I had a similar thing happen in early 2016.. but not with hard drives, but instead with two of my then three computers... My main computer went out.. so I took the hardrive out of while I took the computer to get repaired, and started working from my second computer (internal drive of computer 1 as external drive on computer 2), then a few days later computer 2 went out... fuck... I then took computer 2 to the store and worked from computer 3.. which was a very old and slow computer that seemed to be on it's last leg.. but computer 3 did carry me through nearly 2 weeks until I got computer 1 back from repairs... Crazy... |
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Final results from the last one:  im not sure what to make of that, as most WO folk should always be more or less in accumulate mode unless in financial distress or the profit at the time is too good to pass up, say to exchange into some other type of wealth or holding. so dumping, especially at 4k USD, doesnt make sense to me, especially as most of us think it will ultimately be much higher down the road. maybe some folk are treating it as a bonus to spend? i voted hodl of course. im curious as to the reasons some voted "dump." full disclosure: last December, after the October deadline, i logged into mtgox for lulz (1st time logging into it since it went under) and found i actually had a btc balance. i was like wtf could of sworn i emptied it out. but low and behold i was wrong. so submitted a claim as the site still let me do it even though it was after that October deadline, and *poof* find my claim is accepted in that email that recently went out. The vote was not what you would do but rather what mt Gox creditors would do. On aggregate I expect a lot of selling of people no longer interested in the investment or who can use a financial windfall for normal life expenses (marriage, children, vacation, house, debt, medical expenses etc.) with or without gentle pressure from a significant other. Life has continued on since early 2014 "people no longer interested in the investment" = a rare beast (especially if we are referring to peeps who have been "in BTC" since GOX) |
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Final results from the last one: im not sure what to make of that, as most WO folk should always be more or less in accumulate mode unless in financial distress or the profit at the time is too good to pass up, say to exchange into some other type of wealth or holding. so dumping, especially at 4k USD, doesnt make sense to me. maybe some folk are treating it as a bonus to spend? i voted hodl of course. im curious as to the reasons some voted "dump." disclaimer: last December, after the October deadline, i logged into mtgox for lulz and found i actually had a balance. i was like wtf could of sworn i emptied it out. but low and behold i was wrong. so submitted a claim as the site still let me do it even though it was after that October deadline, and *poof* find my claim is "accepted" in that email that went out. I was planning to hodl the BTC and use the FIAT part to buy more BTC. Since then my financial situation has changed and, while I do still plan to hodl the BTC, I am not so sure if I will withdraw the FIAT part or use it to buy more BTC. By the time I get it I will have decided. Congrats on your newfound GOX balance I am focusing in your use of the above bolded (my added bold by the way) part "then." When is this purported GOX distribution going to happen? You have a decent estimation of a date or set of dates? |
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OFFICIAL END LIST
3107 exstasie*
Quick note, my guess was $3,170 not $3,107. Wow... if the BTC price gets to $3,170, then surely it has really decent odds to get to $3,107 too.... ... version 1 or version 2, I also hope that you are wrong ... .... |
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Did you ever show us a graph of your 260k call, and could you extend it out further to see the next bottom.
My TA charted stops late 2021.  oic. tyvm. just the overlay. with the dip to local low in late summer lol. depending on exchange, but still you may as well just have my addy. for when you settle your debt That's the spirit V8!!!!!.... Don't be giving up, too easily. Go V8 go!!!!!!... .. ( I mean your spirit, not the BTC price.. I would prefer that you do NOT win your lil bet... hahahahahaha) |
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Cause and effect. Maybe JJG causes team MicG to come into existence?  My use of the word "team" was initially meant as a bit of a metaphor, and surely, as you suggest Globb0 there may have been some evolution of the whole concept and even changing of the dynamics of the whole team micg matter based on a kind of back and forth.. possible, good, bad and ugly... Anyhow, we know that we do not live in a static world. I had attempted to explain the "team" concept a few times, which, initially, was largely an assessment that online persona of micg does not really add up. So, it would be good to take much of the online persona and various information with a grain of salt, and yeah, if you want to get on the metaphorical team or whatever it is, then that is your choice. I am not going to go so far as to argue that the various aspects of "team micg" does not provide any value here or other parts of the forum, even if there is a bit of lulling into the story that many members seem to love (or just wanna be true... blah blah blah)... In the end, if no one gets hurt, then no harm no foul.. so to speak.. so carry on... carry on. |
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Relax. Roger Ver is irrelevant. He is much better over there than in our community. Let him quietly fade into obscurity while he burns all his btc trying to prop up his shitcoin.
I remember his interview with Youtuber John Carvalho, this guy is a psycho! a little demonstration. https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=132&v=oCOjCEth6xIHahahahahahaha... I remember watching that whole interview at around the time that it came out... but the 2 minute snip-it does hone in on the best of very memorable moments showing a true inner working of psycho who is taking bcash too seriously.. here is a little better link that uploads the snip-it at the beginning. https://youtu.be/oCOjCEth6xI |
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No moon yet though. We still have months of turbulence ahead.  I hate you. Fuck your overlay...... A problem is that your overlay is very likely to be correct.  It is going to take a decent amount of time to fight our way up.. fight out of this wet paper bag, and ultimately, those of us "in the know" appreciate the ultimate bitcoin price direction... clearly and nearly inevitably... . ... UP.... |
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