When it comes to food, my country has a terrible deal with the EU. It looks like the EU will be the first continent to be hit by food shortages.
Food issues over the past year have been present in every single country around the world, the type and degree of the issues are different per country bug generally so far it has been small enough for the governments to manage it. For example in EU we had the fertilizer crisis followed by decreased output followed by higher food prices and in some cases small shortages like the cooking oil shortage over a year ago in Europe.
Things are changing a lot and sometimes very fast so we can't make long term predictions but unless something major changes I don't think we are about to see any
major food shortage in Europe. Specially since every country has found a way to handle the crisis to some extent for example IIRC it was UK that started changing its import policies to handle the shortage by no longer enforcing certain "standards" for stuff they import like the pesticides used in those products; so that they can avert the crisis in short term despite the health health problems it'll cause in long run.
Yes, I know. But now these two ideologies are at odds. Countries with Islamic ideology seem to have been a bit forgotten by America
To be fair the beef US has in West Asia is not about ideology it is about resources. They haven't forgotten anything either, one of the biggest US presences is still in West Asia (ie. their CENTCOM). They recently sent more troops to the region too which many are predicting an upcoming war. I summarized it in the last part of
this comment and
this with the effects it can have on energy prices.
because they are no longer too dangerous after the collapse of {...} Iran
I'm not sure what you mean by "collapse" when it comes to Iran but you should read the US The National Security Strategy documents released every year. For the past 4 decades Iran is on top of that list basically ever since Iranians put a boot up US ass kicking them and their dictator out, they have wanted back in but Iran is too strong for them to colonize
Yes, indeed the second world war took place in the European Union and spread to Japan, Russia and America. And it seems that America succeeded in taking advantage of this situation, because America was the last country to join the second world war, so that when other countries had run out of ammunition and logistical supplies, America came with new troops and logistical supplies so that they were able to win the war quite easily.
Exactly. Also because US was too far away and very hard to reach, the infrastructure was intact whereas Europe and Russia (and pretty much everywhere else) were destroyed which got US its unipolar power ever since the war ended.
This also proves another reason why there won't be a direct arms conflict between US and anybody else because unlike 80 years ago, US mainland is no longer "hard to reach"...
The food crisis in the EU and the tension between America and Russia could make the 3rd world war happen again in the EU. Or do you have other thoughts?
If you mean armed conflict I believe the chances of a large scale armed conflict is low at this point specially in more of Europe (unless something major changes, like I said above). However, it will remain in Ukraine and Russia may start advancing more to completely cut Ukraine off from the sea. Worst case scenario is for Russia to go through Belarus to take the tiny part of Lithuania that links it to the part of Russia (ie. Kaliningrad) that is separated from mainland to gain better and direct access to Baltic sea.
But it will continue happening in different forms effects of which we will see in food, energy and economy.
The problem is United States and what the regime sees as a "threat". Basically if you are familiar with USA and read their national security documents like the NSS I mentioned above, they see any country that is growing in any way as a threat. That's absurd, isn't it? But that's US!
For example they see China as a threat only because the Chinese economy has been growing and getting stronger lol.
This is why United States sees 3 major threats, ie. 3 growing countries as it is also outlined in NSS: Russia, China and Iran.
Now the issue is that US military can not face any of them since it is nowhere near strong enough. So instead their strategy is the Nixon Doctrine which is basically to create proxies to fight their so called "threats".
These proxies are commonly known as
the 3 NATOs:
- The regular NATO we all know as the one including Europe to counter Russia.
- The Arabic NATO that consists of Arabic countries in West Asia and small to medium militia and terrorist groups to counter Iran
- The Asian NATO that consists of Taiwan, Japan, Australia and a couple of other Asian countries to counter China
This has been the state of "word war 3" for many years now. Sometimes it escalates like Russia invading one of these proxies or China threatening to invade Taiwan or Iran bombing the shit out of US bases across West Asia. Sometimes it subsides by US escaping Afghanistan and Arab countries getting out of military contracts with US and replace it with Iran, US admitting Taiwan is part of China and they won't arm it, stuff like that.
So depending on how things go, the effects on different regions like EU can be vastly different. For example if the war they're predicting with Lebanon (that will affect Iran) actually happens as predicted, it will grow quickly and become extremely violent across West Asia (ie. in at least a dozen countries) which will affect the oil price which will then severely affect Europe and the world economy. This can even lead to more Russian advances in Europe (as I said Russia is already eyeing Lithuania and even Latvia) so things could escalate more in that front specially because US will be caught in a severe crossfire that sucks all its resources leaving nothing to be sent to Ukraine anymore.
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