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1661  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2022/23 on: May 03, 2023, 07:18:22 PM
I understand Real not even attempting to be first, that's gone and I get that, it has been gone for a while. But, not trying to keep the second place? That just doesn't make sense to me at all, it feels like we are talking about a team that just gave up and that's not normal. The weirdest thing is that they have lost to many teams now recently in la liga, and they are still considered a great team against City.

Normally no team that loses to Real Sociedad should be having any chance at all against Manchester City, there should be nothing even remotely close with each other, it should not be possible. However, since the difference between UCL real madrid and La liga real madrid is so vast that we could see them finish the season third and UCL winners and nobody would be shocked.
1662  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: Shitcoinpocalypse: Let's give a bunch of anonymous cartoon cat developers a $33 on: May 03, 2023, 03:33:43 PM
It is an "understandable" mistake to invest into these. I do say that it is a mistake and I do not agree that it will do great, but I think they are understandable anyway. Because, we are talking about something that makes no sense and yet a lot of people still did it, so when a million people invest into these silly stuff, the one million one will not be weird, that person just did what the other million people did already.

So, this is just a common mistake done by a huge community and as long as they keep doing it, they will keep making each other do this mistake constantly. There is no reason to do it, I think it should be focused on how much trouble it could be for people, but in the end we do not have any issues with this at all, and just let them learn by themselves.
1663  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: It's on! 2024 US Presidential Election Biden+Harris Vs Trump Bitcoin betting.... on: May 03, 2023, 02:56:39 PM
Hopefully Stake will also include some options to bet on the primaries, it would be ideal to make some money; the way I see it if things continue going this direction it is very likely Trump will take over the primaries easily, perhaps such bet would not be so profitable as the presidential one but it may help regardless.

Still expecting to see how Biden manages to secure his run in the case someone decided to confront him within the Democrat party.
I am a bit confused. I can see that Stake do have options to bet on the primaries. Right now, for the GOP nomination, Trump is at 1.40, while DeSantis at 3.75. On the other side, from the Democrat side we have Joe Biden at 1.16, Kennedy at 13.00 and Kamala at 17.00. The big development here is that Kennedy has overtaken Kamala as far as odds are considered. I would still say that Biden's odds are a bit too high, given his age and unfavorable poll numbers. BTW, Stake would be the ideal platform to make these sort of bets, since they have been around for so many years. I would rather not trust some of the newer platforms, even in case the odds are attractive.
Only possible way for Biden not to be nominee is him dying, or something major happening like being bed ridden or in hospital etc etc, basically not dead but not alive fully neither. They need something like that to happen in order for him not to be the nominee, it would be very difficult to pick someone else when he is the president.

The only reason why he is not at 1.01 or something is because he could have some health problems, if he was a health 40 year old guy, he would have 1.01 because it is very unlikely in any party, to have a president that doesn't run for reelection, almost every single president has always managed to get the nomination for reelection, it's too common. Look at trump, he even lost once, and he still gets the reelection, because he was their last president.
1664  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 02, 2023, 07:25:34 PM
The best way for this season to end for Bayern is to get these wins, and maybe they were lucky or not but they didn't do anything wrong and got the points anyway, so if they keep this up, even if they end up with playing terribly, as long as they get the three points each game, that is good enough, how they played to get those points do not matter. I hope that it gets better and eventually we will see them do a lot better.

I hope that it is not that difficult to do anything extraordinary, they are already the best team and should be doing fine, I hope that it will get close to end like this though, I want to see Dortmund push for the title at least, even if they fail or not, at least it should give us viewers some fun to watch.
1665  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2022/23 on: May 02, 2023, 06:53:53 PM
Top teams doing alright suddenly, obviously this has to do with the fact that the ending is getting closer so they are taking the league a lot more seriously. ATM is just 2 points behind Real Madrid, I feel like there is this situation going on where we are talking about ATM may end up passing Real if they lose just a single game, and even a tie would put them at risk.

This is why the City game for Real Madrid is very important but they can't let the league down for the time being neither, they have to win, there is no other option and can't really do anything else at the moment neither. I know that it is going to be a difficult one, and I know that it may not be next game or game after that, but as long as ATM keeps winning, Real needs to win as well.
1666  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: May 02, 2023, 04:21:31 PM
Arsenal has to win, they have no other choice, they were so close to getting the title and due to just a few bad weeks suddenly they are losing the title. Being chased by City is a hard job and then they lost to City directly as well, so when you combine those two together, I can understand why they are not at the top anymore and it is most likely that City will win this league as well.

But, we need to make sure that Arsenal pushes it as further as they can. Chelsea is already a bad team this season and shouldn't really change anything, it looks like there is nothing wrong with that, but at the end of the day if we are talking about anything more than that, then Arseanl should be able to beat Chelsea when they both have such different seasons.
1667  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Motosport General discussion tread --- Formula1, MotoGP, WTCC, ETCC, DTM..... on: May 02, 2023, 08:35:50 AM
The question now should be:
can Perez fight for the title against Max until the end of the season?
The question will not be whether Perez can fight for the title, but is Perez allowed to fight for the title at all from the team or does Verstappen at RedBull have too much influence in the meantime? Normally there has rarely been a team order at RedBull, but you never know.

In any case, it doesn't look like RedBull can really threaten the other teams in the long term
That also depends on the league points situation as well and how the race is going. When you have a dominant enough car that you are 1-2, then it doesn't matter who is the 1-2 in that situation and you will not be risked, you will be kept going as much as it can with the same 1-2 without caring about the leader.

However, Perez is used when they need him to do something to get a win, right now this season so far they didn't need something like that, they didn't need a situation where Perez needed to do something extra to get them the win, they have done well enough that Max and Perez ended up great so far. This means that we need to see the team do well, and they won't meddle with the positions, but if other cars get better, they will start to ask Perez to defend.
1668  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why does It takes time for market to be bull on: May 02, 2023, 05:25:24 AM
Well, it requires everyone to be hyped about it at the same time, that's the issue. We all know that it is not going to be easy to suddenly consider investing into bitcoin all at the same time, you and I may not invest together on the same hour, that is the issue.

So when the bull comes, that means a good chunk of people invested at the same time and that is not common, we need something to make that happen. Usually after halving is the period when the price goes up, because it is not going to be just investment that makes it go up but also less people selling as well. This is why I believe that when there are more investors but also less sellers, the price starts to slowly go up. That's what makes bitcoin go up, halving and causing income of miners to drop, so price goes up to make up for it.
1669  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: Looking for the Next Great 1000x on: May 01, 2023, 08:44:51 PM
I can't believe that there are people who actually suggested some coins. You are telling me that you think the coin you are shilling here will make 1000x return? Seriously? So you believe that if I invest 1000 dollars into it, I will take out 1 million dollars out of that project, seriously? All these people are dreaming and we are not going to really see anything like that ever, it is not going to happen.

What we can see right now is what is realistic and to be a bit pragmatist, I do not think that 1000x will ever be possible and it's easier to just take whatever you are given instead of have a goal. Like buy bitcoin, and if it goes up, it went up, that is more than enough and no need to do anything else. I personally feel like that is good enough for me, whatever the return is.
1670  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: who Want To Bet On 2024 USA elections? on: May 01, 2023, 08:18:11 PM
It is waaaaaay too early to bet on this right now, I think it should be a few months at least. You know when I wager? when I know both sides and their nominees for sure and they start their campaign. I am not saying 24 hours before the election starts, but lets see the nominations officially first, and we start seeing president and opponent starting a tour.

If you watch even a single debate between the two together, then it is going to be a good one. I am not sure how well it would be received considering whenever Trump speaks he makes someone hate him, and whenever Biden speaks... he doesn't Cheesy. So both sides will have terrible candidates that will take USA worse, but if you are talking about just the bet, then wait for them to face each other first and then bet.
1671  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2023 NBA Season on: May 01, 2023, 07:29:18 PM
The funny thing is, it's once again Lebron vs Warriors. This is a different conference, and yet the story continues. I am not sure if it's going to be simple or not, maybe Lebron will get a win, maybe Warriors will do fine, I really can't say much about it and I will have to watch and see what happens. I know that Heat looks better than Knicks, I know Nuggets looked better than Suns, and I can say that Celtics probably will do alright, but when it comes to Lakers vs Warriors, it's a series I am not entirely sure about.

Let the oddmakers decide it on our own behalf and that's fine but I am not trusting the results as much as they do. This is looking like typical "home team wins" series if nothing unexpected happens but something unexpected may happen obviously.
1672  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2022/23 Season on: May 01, 2023, 07:02:55 PM
The momentum change is the most important thing about this series. Juventus has been a little bit bad in the league recently, had 3 loss in a row, and they looked not so great, whereas Sevilla looks like they started the season terribly but doing a lot better these days. I am hoping that they would do at least a bit fine, not a huge amount of greatness but at least fine.

This momentum change means that Sevilla may have become better than Juventus, if you asked me a month ago I would say Juventus is the better team but when I look at it today I think it is a bit obvious that Sevilla is getting ahead of them. This is why I believe that we shouldn't really bet on Juventus with %100 confidence, do bet on them if you want to, just not have %100 guaranteed trust in them right away.
1673  Economy / Gambling / Re: Duelbits.com | Casino & Sportsbook | VIP | Instant withdrawals!|ARGENTINA & AVFC on: May 01, 2023, 06:49:23 AM
Their VIP program is ok, but personally it is not really different than other casinos. A lot of casinos give a (small) cash bonus when leveling up and also offer increased rakeback. I am a small gambler and even achieving the lowest tier is hard for me lol.

As long as I remember, the main difference of the VIP program in duelbits compared to other casinos is about the calculation of the level up reward. Most other casinos use like a fixed amount for the level up reward while duelbits is based on the wager and house edge. It means that we may have different level up rewards for the same wager amount but we play different games. Correct me if I'm wrong.
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I think it is more about dynamic changes than the fixed one and that is the difference. However, there is another difference that other places do not offer anything to non-vip that duelbits offers, so that is the biggest difference to me. If you have a casino that still offers some stuff to non-vip people as well, doesn't require you to be vip just to participate in things, then that is a good casino.

Most other places require at least some level of vip before you could end up with anything, and that's not what I would like to see, that just doesn't make sense to me at all. If we can go beyond that, then we could totally have a situation where it looks as if we are dealing with a place that cares about everyone for real and not just people with money.
1674  Economy / Gambling / Re: FreeBitco.in-$200 FreeBTC⭐Win Lambo🔥0.2BTC DailyJackpot🏆$32,500 Wager Contest on: May 01, 2023, 05:10:40 AM
I'm not sure that martingale is still the mainstay strategy for many gamblers because this type of strategy requires a lot of money to use and not all types of games can use the martingale strategy.
We must really understand in advance what game we will choose so that we can determine the method and strategy that is suitable for use.
I have used this strategy several times, but when I was still at the beginning of a game session with small bets, we could get a profit, we had to immediately move on to another game because if not, then all the balance you had would be gone without remainder.
Strategy is important but it will be more important to be able to find the right type of game and how to use the strategy that we have so that we don't fail in every game session.
I think even a lot of money can't fix it, there has been a lot of tries that failed eventually because it's a bad method, in the end the more you gamble the higher chance of getting bad streaks, someone calculated that if you gamble thousands and thousands of hands, then you end up with a loss streak for sure, the possibility of it becomes unavoidable.

It means that even if you have tens of millions of dollars, even if there were no max bets, even if you could bet 100 million per bet, you would not be able to keep winning and end up losing eventually. Doesn't matter if you are Elon Musk who sold everything and used the money to gamble, mathematically it will always end up with a loss if you keep gambling that way, there is no longer term win with martingale.
1675  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: April 30, 2023, 07:49:44 PM
It is great to see Milan and Inter get involved with the top places once again. They were there at second and third positions anyway but then they started to lose a bit and dropped, Lazio got ahead first, then they gave Juventus their points back, so suddenly they found themselves 4th and 5th. Now they are doing alright, winning games where juventus and Lazio lost, and they are getting closer.

Another bad game by Juventus or Lazio, and we can see either Milan or Inter to get ahead, or maybe both of them at the same time. That is how you know a club is a big team, they end up winning games when they should and that makes the worlds change, there is really no situation where we should be considering Milan or Inter gone until the league is fully over.
1676  Economy / Gambling / Re: 🎲BetFury.io|🎉BetFury Affiliate Program is live| 💸Earn with RevShare up to 60% on: April 30, 2023, 07:15:04 PM
I don't know what you mean that farming wouldn't be possible, as it looks like biswap has USDT-BFG farm currently with apy of 60.75%. Is that something you were looking at or some other kind of staking?
He probably meant BFG farming, which was previously available on the Betfury site, and it should be noted that this feature was in demand among some users. Unfortunately, the Betfury team decided to finish this farming in the middle of last year, and now as you already said, farming on Biswap is the only alternative to this if we don't take into account BFG staking directly on the Betfury site.
Could be regarding biswap request, they probably wouldn't let it be run there and here at the same time. All in all, farming was a good one. I feel like the return is not bad neither, if you truly trust BFG and it will go up, then having 60% on top of something that will go up is great.

I bet that it will not stay that way though, right now the price is not amazing, lets not say bad, but can't say good neither, which is why it is at 60% right now and that is why it's invested less, but when the time comes and the price goes up, we are going to see the rate drop as well, more and more people will buy BFG and that will result with 60% becoming more like 20% instead, because it changes based on how much it is in there, and when it has more in it, then the rate drops. So if anyone trusts it right now, it is time to act early to farm.
1677  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: April 30, 2023, 06:49:31 PM
It looks like winner of Fa Cup will be either united or city, it looks like Liverpool is 5th as well. In that case, does Liverpool go to UCL or Europa? The winner of FA cup goes to UCL as far as I remember, if that's true, the winner is already in the top 4 and going into the UCL next season anyway, does that make the 5th go to UCL instead? If that's the case they got really lucky this season to get that ticket, it could have been quite difficult to handle.

In any case, I am guessing that it is going to be a tough situation but I hope that they do their best. They had a terrible season all year long but finishing strong, winning so many games in a row, haven't lost in a long time, that is a good recovery and I feel like they deserved it.
1678  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2023 NBA Season on: April 29, 2023, 11:45:40 PM
Can't believe that Warriors ended up losing a home game. We all knew before the series even started that this season Warriors were great at home and terrible at road games, this meant that they would probably win the home games and would probably lose the road games and if they could just get one win at road then they would get the series. But looking at the scenario we have now, they lost one home and won one road game so far with this way.

I think it is going to be a tough game seven for them. Not only they are tired because they are on seventh game at the moment, but we are talking about a situation where they will play a road game on a season they have been terrible on the road. Lets see how it will do, but I bet that it will do a bit weirdly.
1679  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- 2022/23 | Round of 16 on: April 29, 2023, 11:18:04 PM
The trick is that De Bruyne was always a technical player and he always passed so well for his teammates, but Haaland was missing, they scored and they played wonderful and they won cups, it was all great until Haaland showed up, after he did, things changed and a team that already won everything but UCL, became even better and that's shocking, you don't see the best team become even better, you see best teams start to fall apart a lot more often than you see them get better. This is why now?

Now De Bruyne still passes wonderfully but then the person he passes to ends up getting the ball and bulldozes through everyone in front of him and he just scores, people can't catch up to him and he can score from anywhere and can move his body all angles to score, he is a scoring machine without a doubt.
I think the unyielding situation is the biggest difference compared to last year as well. They end up working hard but even if they fall behind, even if they do as much as they could but fail, they don't give up and they fight hard to make sure it works for them. This is why it's important to not compare them to last season, because last season they ended up with a lot of "active resting" periods within games, they give up when they are ahead, so they get a lot worse when it comes down to leading.

This season, even when they scored the first goal against Arsenal, Pep was busy arguing with Ederson about a small tiny mistake, that's the power they have this season, they will work much harder to make it happen and that will make sure that they get the cup and the league as well, because being ahead means nothing anymore, they want to keep working 90 minutes even if they are winning.
1680  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2022/23 Season on: April 29, 2023, 03:31:32 PM
Too many people look at the possible winner of Juventus-Sevilla game and not a lot of attention is shown to Roma-Leverkusen game. The winner of that series will be in the finals as well and potentially have just a single game to win it all, so anything could happen. I agree that Juventus or Sevilla will be the favourites at the final game but just because they are favourites doesn't mean they will win it, we have seen plenty of favourites lose at the finals before and the same thing could happen this year as well.

This is why I highly suggest that people should look at the other matchup as well. I think Roma will win it at home, and Leverkusen will win at home too, and the process will come down to goal difference between both games to decide who will go up.
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