A nice analysis. Some of you can't read..
Here is a simple chart with 3 levels:
- Holding 50MA is good
- Holding 20MA is bullish,
- Losing the 100MA is bearish! (IF we lose it (pay attention, I said IF!) I will be extreme bearish on #Bitcoin and consider a 1k target)
For now target = 10.965  Source: https://twitter.com/888Velvet/status/1220714005376983041 |
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This new year for China means a lot, it is the launch of its stablecoin, and it will be competing with the best in its nature, they have prepared for more than 5 years for this, although they are directly threatened by Libra, it cannot be forgotten that it is a The path that will lead to Bitcoin, people will know the technology even more, and they will not hesitate to go the best way, they may use stablecoin to comply with the corresponding regulations, but the adoption will be the one that wins in its entirety, it will be a great start.
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I remember as if it had been at this time, a friend, who studied with me at the University, called me on the phone saying that there was a forum that referred to everything about Bitcoin and Altcoins, (this in 2017 just when Bitcoin was running towards the trend up) where there were experts, investors and the information was level A1, I did not hesitate and came here.
I started to participate in some Altcoins Airdrops, but after reading the threads, the same forum forces us to raise the level of knowledge and a simple publication is not enough, it must be supported by arguments established in books, articles, among others. All this to raise the level, at that moment the adventure began.
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Even when your trading logic is solid, and based on watching other successful people, following the logic is the hardest part. It's simply not that easy, emotions get in the way.
Being emotional is not a good thing in trading but we should trade with good senses and overcome greed in trading. We decide to trade then will have to follow the rules as well. We saw so many successful people in the trading journey but we can’t trust them all just make proper research while trusting any trading person even if he is the most successful trader but trade only with your own knowledge. Based on the fact that emotions often move the market, we must learn to have enough agility to know when the movements occur because of emotions and when it is the action of whales, whales may often place their bullish traps, the trader Who learns to see this kind of movements, will have long-term gains. This type of teaching is what the great famous speculator Jesse Livermore advises in his books, although it was applied in the stock market between the years (1800-1923) they are currently valid and applied to the Bitcoin market. |
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~snip~
Without a doubt, at some point they will have to accept Crypto's technology and economy, Bitcoin represents a lot of power, not only in technology but also in money, they must accept that many are already using Bitcoin for payments, what they should do is implement Payment methods using blockchain. Those countries that do not agree with Bitcoin or crypto, at some point they will have to be, since they will lose many businesses, it is also an excellent way to obtain liquidity because they benefit from a deflationary economy, which they cannot try to corrupt because it is simply impossible. Those who disagree cannot cover the sun with one finger, they will simply be out of play. It can be said that China is a Pro-Blockchain country and NOT Bitcoin, even if they do a lot of FUD, they cannot make people prefer to use a stable currency established by a government than Bitcoin. |
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Bueno según la firma de inteligencia de mercado arrojó esos resultados, que al menos 78,4.149 direcciones poseen mínimo de 1 bitcoin completo o más y han venido creciendo de manera gradual y con un comportamiento lineal:  Cantidad de direcciones que poseen un bitcoin (BTC). Fuente: Glassnode. Claro que esta métrica para muchos analistas representa una fortaleza para Bitcoin, ya que algunos estudios indican que han doblado esta marca del total que había desde 2015, así como otros estudios indican que ha crecido un 11% para llegar hasta los 784000, se destaca que aquellos que poseen ( 0.1-1 )BTC han aumentado casi de manera idéntica entre el año pasado y el actual. Por supuesto la Lista Rica de Bitcoin: tres de las cinco direcciones principales en la lista completa, publicada por Bitinfocharts, pertenecen a importantes exchanges como Huobi, Bitfinex y Binance. Encabezando esa lista está la billetera fría de Huobi, que actualmente contiene 255.502 bitcoins. también las direcciones con más de 10BTC alcanzaron máximos históricos. Fuente: https://www.diariobitcoin.com/index.php/2020/01/23/glassnode-784-149-direcciones-poseen-minimo-1-bitcoin-completo-o-mas/?from=bitven.comSin duda alguna el incremento de direcciones y de Hodlers de Bitcoin ha venido creciendo, ahora con más intensidad, esto lo considero un buen augurio, por supuesto que estos datos no demuestran la realidad de los números exactos, pero nos puede dar una idea que va por buen camino, aunque a veces parece subjetivo se puede tomar como un indicativo que las etapas del mercado al menos en la acumulación se están dando a pesar de algunos fundamentales. |
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Ayer leí que Maduro está empujando fuerte para que el Petro tenga un uso más extendido, al punto que será en breve (no sé si ya) obligatorio el pago de ciertos servicios del estado en Petros exclusivamente (Pasaportes, Registro de la Propiedad, Notarías públicas, etc.).
El problema que se le suma a la desconfianza en el Petro, parece ser que no es ni siquiera sencillo canjear ese medio Petro para los pensionistas y funcionarios, dado que se requiere ciertos conocimientos de informática como es lógico, al punto que muchas personas siguen teniendo su medio Petro en un mensaje de texto (sin haber iniciado el proceso de conversión a Petros "reales").
Es así, de hecho trataron de reclamar el Petro a través de el sistema biométrico de pago, pues las personas sólo debían colocar el pulgar y automáticamente podían consumirles el Petro y adquirir lo que iban a comprar, pero el sistema se caía, muy pocos lo lograron y aparte la mayoría de comerciantes quedaron ponchados porque aún no les han pagado el equivalente en Bolívares, es decir , no implementaron Blockchain, y no conforme con ello produjeron que la inflación cayera mucho más rápido de lo normal. Lo de los pasaportes y registros es real, se debe hacer en Petros, lo más cumbre es que el dólar sube con respecto a la moneda local, es muy difícil para las personas que lo tienen tener claro su valor, es por ello que están con una economía realmente descontrolada dolarizada pero que no funciona. Por ese mismo problema es que muchos están acudiendo a localbitcoins.com, sobre todo puede que consigan algunas empresas interesadas, pues necesitan tener petros para que puedan gestionar sus aranceles por ese medio, ya que los comenzarán a exigir. |
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So i heard that the number of Bitcoin transaction increased double recently.
which means i can expect price increasing near future right?
It does not necessarily mean that as operations increase the price increases, in many cases they often use many bots to perform such operations, what can increase the price is adoption, in some part it is good that stablecoins close to launch drive people to know about technology, and it will be an easy way to go to get to Bitcoin, if more people enter the market, it will be able to generate more demand, and by decreasing the offer the price increase will be generated. |
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The best started since 2012 ..  (CME) launched one such product, a bitcoin options contract, which reportedly had a successful first day of trading with a total of 55 contracts, worth 275 bitcoin, or the equivalent of $2.4 million.  As much as 65 percent of respondents to a survey conducted by crypto indexer Bitwise and ETF Trends said that a crypto ETF was their preferred method of getting exposure, followed by a distant 16 percent preferring direct ownership and an even more distant 9 percent preferring a mutual fund. Source: https://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspeculations/2020/01/21/bitcoin-has-its-best-start-to-a-year-since-2012#69eccbae69e9 |
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Después de que el gobierno haya asignado 1/2 Petro a trabajadores del área pública y pensionados, dado los problemas con la plataforma y que actualmente se encuentra pausado, algunos usuarios han decidido vender el Petro a la mitad de precio, a cambio de Bitcoin, ya que la mayoría lo quieren cambiar así sea a Bolívares para que puedan acceder a comprar alimentos. El valor nominal de Ptr es 60usd, vendiéndolo a 30usd viene siendo aproximadamente : 0.0036BTC.... Sin embargo, los vendedores están luchando debido a la excesiva presión de venta del lanzamiento. Pinto no puede aceptar el Petro, ya que no puede completar el ciclo completo de intercambio y vender el Petro que recibió anteriormente. Lo bueno es que están buscando alternativas para salir del Petro, ya que no pueden intercambiarla por dinero directamente, el gobierno está obligando a las personas a cancelar algunos aranceles en petro para moverlo.  Fuente: https://es.cointelegraph.com/news/venezuelans-selling-petro-on-localbitcoins-at-half-the-official-pricePor supuesto que en estos momentos no se ve mucho la demanda en Localbitcoins.com, no todos saben de la plataforma, la educación en Criptomonedas y Bitcoin no es tan elevada, es cuestión de tiempo en como se desarrolle la iniciativa, puede que algunas empresas quieran adquirir ptr para pagar los aranceles que el gobierno les exija en PTR... ya han tenido algunos problemas para la venta de barriles de petróleo, ya que están exigiendo que deben hacerlo de esa manera, y se han negado a hacer dichos pagos. |
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Risk and Performance, interesting thinking of PlanB#bitcoin risk & return (-74% & 206%) is off the chart!
Looking at 50 years price data: bonds, gold and stocks are on the same risk & return line, consistent with EMH and CAPM. But bitcoin is far above that line. IMO that is the reason why the market overestimated bitcoin risk.  Source: https://twitter.com/100trillionUSD/status/1220055061235216384 |
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Bitcointalk profile link: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1153977;Current amount of posts (including this one): 4532 Amount of merit EARNED in the last 120 days: +200 SegWit BTC Address for Payouts: bc1qrmsvr2s5mmvutgfq6djuujycd2w6hxt8v5v00r I will change Signature and Avatar if I am accepted. |
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Confirmed, Payment Received,
Thank you very much.
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Economists mostly follow traditional models, only some see beyond. Successful Bitcoin holders have low time preference & judge over extended periods, e.g. risk-adjusted return over 4-year holding periods. If an economist has not researched this strong market signal for explanations of supply & demand, they don't have a useful opinion about it.  Source: https://twitter.com/NickSzabo4/status/1219805247536693248 |
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El negocio de Blockchain les puede traer menos gastos, sobre todo para la plataforma de los bancos, en este artículo hacen mención"Bancos europeos necesitarían tiempo para implementar negocios con blockchain" Representantes de Santander, ING, Banco de Inglaterra y BCE debatieron sobre la cadena de bloques.
Las instituciones buscan fórmula para establecer un "know how" con esta tecnología que sea rentable. Todo surgió del congreso celebrado el 20 y 21 de Enero en Barcelona, el "European Blockchain Convention de Barcelona" , en esta convención o congreso tomaron en consideración los aspectos regulatorios que aún están en discusión, todo lo relacionado con la seguridad ya que hoy día Ransoware es un gran enemigo, y el tiempo que tienen para incluir la tecnología. Fuente: https://www.criptonoticias.com/negocios/bancos-europeos-necesitarian-tiempo-negocios-blockchain/Es interesante, me gusta la idea que España tenga esta iniciativa, sin duda es un País que busca la innovación en sus procesos, si se está adentrando cada vez más en Blockchain los resultados van a ser muy buenos... |
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~snip~
If we measure inflation in terms of local currency, it is in free fall, there is no way to stop it, the use of dollars makes the money in local currency move in favor of buying and selling dollars, not to mention the amount of money to the that goes the cash Colombia where they take advantage of the paper money for other types of businesses. If it is dollarized, people move more dollars, but the government does not have the dollar as a payment currency, it only moves the bolivar and is trying to implement the petro, which caused a great fall in the economy, it is like the printing of currency fiat, the only thing is that this time it was digital. There is no liquidity, what they do is create more inflation to obtain liquidity for the government, something that very few know is that much more money moves on the border with Colombia than in the capital of Caracas. The businesses that are generated on the border with Colombia are at 1000%. It is clearly a scenario in which Bitcoin turns out to be the best refuge of value for particular economies in Venezuela, gold too, but due to lack of knowledge in most people, Bitcoin is managed by those who know how to do it, since whether in trade or investment. The only thing that has served inflation is for the adoption of Bitcoin to be bigger every day, it is for that same reason the high volumes of trade generated in Venezuela that can be searched on localbitcoins.com. |
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