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1801  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Saudi Professional League 2023/2024 on: November 04, 2023, 11:33:59 PM
Al Nassr needs to score in their 3-6 matches consistently to catch up with Al Hilal whereas Al Hilal will need to equally lose in some of their subsequent matches to allow Al Nassr pass them by which is pretty much difficult to do. Al Nassr has missed that opportunity to have lost in their two matches.

I enjoyed today's win which was 2-0 over Khaleej. Cristiano Ronaldo's goal was a great opening for the success of Al Nassr today. It is fantastic to have scored over 460 goals before the age of 30 and another 400 goals after the age of 30. I am so excited to see a young man with such great success.

In other words, Al Nassr hopes that Al Hilal will experience defeat when they play some of their matches. for me, that doesn't match the depth of Al Nassr's squad. In fact, Al Nassr has a squad that is much more competitive than any squad competing in this league. Al Nassr should be able to perform consistently with the depth they have. This squad has Ronaldo, Sadio Mane, Talisca, and several other names. they just need to maintain their consistency, in order to maintain the distance between Al Hilal's points.

In today's match, Al Nassr was able to win the match over Al Khaleej. Statistically, the opposing team put up quite a fight even though Al Nassr basically controlled 72% of ball possession. however Al Khaleej had 11 total shots, 2 on target, 3 big chances. while Al Nasr, only had 8 total shots, 4 on target, 1 big chance. However, they were able to convert 2 of them into goals. With this result, Al Nassr remains 4 points adrift of the top of the standings.
Well, these two teams have not yet faced each other in the Saudi Pro League competition. Al Nassr can overtake Al Hilal's ranking if Al Nassr wins the two meetings. Thus, the top of the standings can be occupied by the team you hope for. but in reality, in football, goes ups and downs can happen to these two teams. Al Hilal could lose points in their matches, the opposite is true with Al Nassr. Well, now, Mitrovic has a collection of 9 goals and is only 3 goals behind Ronaldo. If Al Hilal can win matches with big scores, the temporary top scorer could change position.  Interesting isn't it, so let's just follow every development.
1802  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: November 04, 2023, 10:59:49 PM
I think the result of the match between Real Sociedad vs Barcelona would end in a draw. But at the end of time, Barcelona finally won with a goal by Araujo in the 90+2 minute. Barcelona won the match 0 - 1
This is a goal of victory and is very decisive. He is Barcelona's savior in this match. It cannot be denied that this match was quite tough for both of them. They are both quite offensive. Maybe Real Sociedad already thought it would be a draw too. However, they lost in the end after Araujo's shot went straight into their goal in the final minutes. And they were no longer able to catch up and in the end they had to lose.

I thought this match would end in a draw, and as a Barcelona fan I would be a little disappointed if the match ended in a draw. Fortunately, in the last minute at the end of the match, Araujo was able to score a goal to win for Barcelona. I don't know what to say about Araujo's goal, because Var was the one who decided the goal. but if we review it, Gundogan gave a long pass to coincide with Araujo running to meet the ball. and yep, a goal was scored. Even though there is a bit of controversy, as a fan I am happy with this victory.

In this match, Xavi applied a different pattern, like when Barcelona played against Real Madrid. Xavi implemented a 3-4-1-2 pattern, which seemed like the Barcelona players were trying to adapt to the system implemented by the coach. It was proven that this match was quite balanced in possession of the ball, in fact Real Sociedad was slightly superior based on the opportunities they created. Likewise, tactically and technically, the two teams are quite evenly matched. The difference is, Barcelona has 2 big opportunities. plus, Ter Stegen made 6 saves. As a result, Barcelona narrowly won over Sociedad.

In the previous match, Girona ensured their victory over Osasuna. they confirmed their position at the top of the standings, by overthrowing Osasuna with a final score of 2-4. Unexpectedly, they are still moving forward with their positive trend.
Next, we wait for the Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano match. On paper, Madrid should be able to win this match easily.
1803  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: November 04, 2023, 10:28:35 PM
According to my expectations, the Lorient vs Lens match has the potential to end in a draw. and yes, this match did not produce a single goal from the two teams competing this week. even though considering the comparison between these two teams, Lens is more favored by bookies. However, in fact, Lens was unable to get full points to increase its ranking on the standings. Even though according to statistics Lens slightly dominated ball possession, as well as opportunities, they didn't have a single big chance they created.

On the other hand, the home team managed to hold the match to a draw against Lens. It's natural that Lorient's performance is much more unstable than the opposing team. In fact, Lorient occupies a position in an unsafe zone. at least, getting one point wasn't too bad of an outcome for them.
On the Lens side, it is very natural that they are not too focused on this match. that's why, I suspect that this match will end in a draw. because, Haise is focusing his squad more on welcoming the fourth matchday of the Chanpions League which will visit PSV's headquarters. This match will be a crucial match for Lens if they want to have a chance of qualifying for the next phase. Unfortunately, Lens had to go all out to win the match against PSV.  Moreover, bookies favor the home team. However, in football it is unique because anything can happen.

In the other match, Marseille vs Lille. So far, Gattuso has not been able to bring his team much better. Even though they were playing at home, Gennaro Gattuso's squad was unable to overthrow Lille. but at least, they didn't play the match too badly. So, we'll see how far Marseille goes in this competition.
1804  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: November 04, 2023, 09:32:24 PM
Arsenal looking like they would drop precious point this weekend because as it stands Newcastle is up by one goal against them, after Manchester city destroyed Bournemouth today Arsenal should have aimed at winning this game to keep the pursuit on. They premier league title race is best achieved by winning this sort of game.
Not a good start from Newcastle but after a while they began to add pressure on Arsenal, I would say the Newcastle lead is well deserved as so far they have been the best team in the game.

As I said at the start, I have serious doubts about this match. Before I say, there are factors that make me doubt Arsenal. However, my estimate is that this match will end in a draw. Apparently, Arsenal had to be defeated by Newcastle at St James' Pack. Even though statistically Arsenal had more control over the game and ball possession, the fact is that they played not according to my expectations. Of the 14 total shots, only 1 was on target. In fact, Arsenal didn't have 1 also a big opportunity.
I hope Arteta realizes that Nketiah cannot be expected to always score goals in every match. In fact, he tends to only score easy goals, aka Tap-In. and it was proven, in this match and this pure striker was unable to bring his team  equalized, even made it a win for them.

But I am well aware that this is not the player's fault, but rather the coach's. Because, Arteta has other options that he can rely on a little as a center forward. In fact, Arsenal has Trossard who can play anywhere  he was positioned. If he was the main starter, maybe the results would be different. It could also be, if Areta was forced to rotate Harvertz again as a center forward. with the scenario, Harvertz can open up space for his colleagues to look for gaps to create opportunities. or, more extreme, Martinelli is rotated to center forward, and his position is occupied by Trossard. These two players can rotate with each other to create combinations to create opportunities and win the match.

But once again, whatever it is, as a coach Arteta is the person who knows his team's squad better. It's just that, as a Gunners fan, defeat is normal, it's just that in this match I was a little disappointed. As a result, Arsenal was quite a few points away from Manchester City, who defeated their opponent with a landslide score. and I hope Arsenal will show a high performance when they host Sevilla in the Champions League group phase.
1805  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: November 04, 2023, 08:55:26 PM
And, as I predicted, the Dortmund vs Bayern Munich match. as I said at the top of the previous post, this match will produce lots of goals. It's just me, I didn't think that Dortmund wouldn't be able to score even 1 goal in this match. As usual, even though Fullkrug is not good or bad, he was unable to fulfill his duties as a goal scoring machine in this crucial match. In fact, several players usually contribute to creating opportunities and scoring goals. In this match, they almost didn't play in optimal performance. Overall, this match was balanced. However, in the first half, Bayern dominated ball possession more. even tactically and technically, Bayern is superior. overall, Dortmund only had 1 shot on target from 15 attempted shots, 2 big chances.

And what Bayern has shown in this league is inversely proportional to the home team. even though he only had 14 total shots, 8 of them were on target, 4 were big chances, and 4 goals were converted. as I said in the previous post, this match will be a crucial match for Kane. and it was proven, Kane scored a hat trick for the umpteenth time.
As a result, the match ended with a score of 0-4. Plus, Kane temporarily leads as the top scorer with 15 goals, 1 goal difference from Guirassy with 14 goals.
For betting options, both betting on Bayern and the Over option, according to what I predicted in the previous post.
Well, now Tuchel just needs to focus his squad on hosting Galatasaray in the Champions League group stage match. As for the Bundesliga, gradually they will return to being at the top of the league standings.
1806  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: November 04, 2023, 07:39:44 PM
It's very bad for Atletico to lose by a promotion team because anyway, it is clear that Atletico has a very good chance of winning. Because yes, at this moment Atletico are also still in good form and also, in fact Atletico have good statistics in this match. But the result is still, Atletico is very disappointed because I also bet for Atletico to win, but what happened was a very disappointing defeat. With results like that, Ateltico cannot be expected to be higher because after all, Atletico performance is always inconsistent when playing against mediocre teams and that is clearly bad for Atletico.

Right, in fact I am very sure that Atletico will win this match with a minimum of 2 goals in their hands. However, in fact, when played, Diego Simione's squad was unable to get full points in this match. In fact, the team they are playing against is a promotional team. Even based on player quality, ranking and performance have quite different gaps. As a result, this match did not meet my expectations. In fact, my estimate is the handicap option is -75 with odds @1.82. It will be very lucky for those who bet on La Pamas, because they have odds @5.60.

I am optimistic that ATM will shift the ranking occupied by the team above them. But in football it is unique, even a highly favored team can be overthrown by a promoted team. It could be that ATM is focusing more on the Champions League stage matches. So, they didn't really prioritize this match. maybe they thought Las Pamas could be handled, even though the facts said otherwise. and if I refer to the match statistics, the home team dominated the game a little more, as did the chances they created. The two teams do not have any striking differences both from a tactical and technical perspective. It's just that Atletico had 3 big opportunities. unfortunately, they only converted 1 goal.

Next, ATM will play an away match at Celtic's headquarters in the Champions League group phase. to secure their position, 3 points is a mandatory result. So, let's wait for the next match.
1807  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: November 04, 2023, 05:10:40 PM
Neuer returned to the team in time, since Ulreich fell ill and missed today's ~~
Seems Manuel Neuer have bigger chance to be main goal keeper for Bayern Munich against Dortmund will play few hours later, after returning to the team and played two matches its enough for Neuer get back his main position from Sven Ulreich. Interested match between Dortmund vs Bayern Munich exactly as classic match and both teams have good history when facing each other. Bayern Munich won't continue bad performed after eliminating on DFB Pokal and want to pressure Bayern Leverkusen standings position.

For Dortmund its their moment if want take Bayern Munich position, with two points left have bigger chance for Dortmund drop Bayern Munich on 2nd standings and move up several place to 2nd position behind Bayern Leverkusen keep lead top position awhile.

That's clear, we know very well after Neuer returned to the field with his squad. automatically, his position will no longer be replaced by another goalkeeper. Moreover, Bayern has no one to rely on in terms of a reliable goalkeeper. So, I am very sure that Neuer will be the main goalkeeper in the match against Dotmund. In less than an hour, the match between Dortmund and Bayern Munich will be held. This match should be an exciting match for us to enjoy as neutral fans.
Talking about Dortmund, this match will actually be a tough battle for them, as I have reviewed in many posts. In fact, Dortmund's pure stickers have not been able to answer the team's needs as sharp and reliable attackers. In the end, Terizic implemented another strategy so that other players participated in scoring goals. Playing at home will provide great motivation for Dortmund against the Bundesliga giants.

On the contrary, this match is also equally important for Bayern Munich. especially, after falling at DFB Fokal. Victory in this match must be a revival for Bayern. plus, reducing the difference in points from Leverkusen who are at the top of the Bundesliga standings. This match is also a big challenge for Kane as a pure striker in his squad. Even though they are playing away from home, Bayern is still favored by the bookies.
Referring to the predicted line-up, on Bayern's side there doesn't seem to be much change except for the substitute player who was injured and Kimmich who scored a red card. However, Tuchel has prepared his squad to face this match. Ahead of this week's meeting in the Budesliga, the two teams will play their match in the Champions League group phase. The difference is, Bayern are not too worried about their position.
But for Dortmund, the group phase could be decisive for them. Well, talking about betting options, Dormund with @3.85 and Bayern @1.80. looking at these odds, it is very interesting to bet on Bayern. because, it's rare for Bayern to have odds that are quite ideal. My estimate is that Bayern will win this match in the hope that the match will be a worthy, exciting and interesting match for us to watch. Also, I suspect there will be a lot of goals in this match.
1808  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: November 04, 2023, 04:23:53 PM
Arsenal is in good condition at the moment and Arsenal has not lost in 10 matches, I am sure that even though Newcastle is in good condition, I am not sure if Newcastle is tough enough to face Arsenal because Arsenal has a pretty strong defense at the moment.
Arsenal can beat Manchester City before. I think Newcastle is not much different from Manchester City's performance, they are both equally strong but we also don't know because this match is not easy to predict even though we see Arsenal's chance of winning is bigger, but Newscastle will be superior because they are playing at home and a draw is possible like when facing Chelsea at their home.



In the match between these two teams, the bookies did not really favor either of the two teams. the available odds do not have a significant difference. Newcastle with odds of @2.80, while Arsenal with @2.55. which means, this match will likely feature an exciting match between the two teams fighting for full points. What is certain is that both teams both need points. both Newcastle as the home team, as well as Arsenal, to strengthen their position in the rankings.

Well, as you said, to be more precise, these two teams are both unbeaten in their last 5 matches, even though two matches resulted in draws. Maybe because of that, bookies don't really favor either of these two teams, even though these two teams actually have a gap based on ranking.
For the last point you said, this seems to be an ideal consideration. in fact, this match has the potential to end in a draw, considering that we refer to several factors. In this match, Arsenal will not be strengthened by G.Jesus. meaning, it is likely that Nketiah will replace him. You can imagine, if this player is not very reliable when it comes to scoring goals. However, that doesn't mean he can't do it. It's just that he often waits for the ball rather than taking part in building attacks. despite all that, Arsenal can rely on other players.

On the other hand, in this match Newcastle played at their own headquarters. Playing in front of his supporters provides enormous motivation. Moreover, they have just succeeded in overthrowing Man United in the EFL Cup. Well, what's unique is that these two teams will play a group stage match in the Champions League after this meeting.
Talking about betting, as a Gunners fan, although I think this match is doubtful.  but for us, we still have to provide support to the Gunners.
1809  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: November 03, 2023, 11:43:55 PM

~~
Well i think there's an improvement in their team they're currently begin to build a good chemistry and that's why their performance as improved, they got a very good squad that most top managers would love to manage however Luis Enrique needs to figure out which strategy is very easy for his players and perfect it instead of texting different strategies in each match and making errors in his squad rotation, they should be lucky that Mbappé didn't leave this summer if not it would've been more difficult for them since their top finisher is still figure how to adapt perfectly into their system.

 PSG are the stronger side I'm all comparison and don't have any excuses if they lose or draw the game cause Montpellier is no match for them, I feel both teams would score but PSG would win the game with over 1.5 goals and Mbappé would score in the match cause he's in a good form currently and the fact that they're the hosting team would make it more easier for PSG.

We can see the results of this match, the fact is that Mbappe doesn't always score goals in every match he plays. In fact, he didn't even provide an assist. It's quite clear, if not always the star player will always contribute in every match. plus, as I said, Enrique emphasizes teamwork play. and it was proven, PSG was able to win this match with a score of 3-0. despite the fact, PSG's striker players did not contribute to scoring goals in this match.
Regarding strategy, it would be very natural for the coach to always change it and adapt it to the opposing team. In terms of pattern, in several matches, Enrique is now starting to apply a 4-2-2 pattern. Maybe, he wants to maximize his team. especially, against a team that tends to play defensively.

Regarding Mbappe, I have a different perception from you. For me, both are equally beneficial. In fact, Mbeppe chose to stay until his contract expires in 2024. If Mbappe left, that would be normal.  because, the coming and going of players will always happen all the time, but not for Kub. If Mbappe leaves, the club will look for and bring in the ideal player. However, gradually without Mbeppe, PSG will find their own way with the financial conditions they have. and that's why, Enrique is now the head coach of PSG. 

Regarding the match results, this match was as I predicted in the post above. At least PSG will score two goals against Montpellier, I would even say that PSG has the potential to score more goals than that. and yep, the handicap option -1.7 @1.80 meets my expectations. Unfortunately, Mbappe did not take part in scoring goals. I think, at least he will contribute 1 goal. With this result, PSG temporarily shifted Nice's position by 2 points and became the top of the Ligue 1 standings.
1810  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: November 03, 2023, 11:04:03 PM
If Newcastle United wins this trophy,it will be a shame to Arsenal who played beautiful football last season without winning any trophy.Mikel Areta has this as a problem now,because he will neglect to win the little trophies that he would have won,and want to win the big one which he finds it very difficult to.He is now aiming for the premier league tittle this season,but he is still gambling with the games.He has decided to play Karl Harvetz who have flopped in almost all Arsenal matches that he has played this season, Despite having Trossard who can florish in that department very well,he has opted to play a player that cannot even boast of an assist since he came to Arsenal.Therefore,anytime Arsenal loses,it's always Arteta the Gambles with it.

Something that is difficult for you to accept with the available data and statistics, even to qualify for the next phase, Necastle's position is still very doubtful. So, especially if we have to imagine that Newcastle will be able to win this competition trophy. To be honest, I don't want to underestimate Eddie Howe's squad, in fact we don't need to talk that far ahead. Let's just discuss this group phase, where it is not certain that Newcastle will be able to qualify for the next phase. Apart from that, it is not certain that Newcastle will win the match if they meet Manchester City, who are still a strong candidate in this competition.

As for Arsenal, we can see it on the standings. now, they are ranked 2nd in the Premier league. while Newcastle, far below, is in 6th position. in fact, they did not enter the top four positions in the standings. In the Champions League competition, Arsenal is in first place in the group phase even though they are only 1 point behind Lens. It seems clear, doesn't it, that these two teams have differences.

As an Arsenal fan, I enjoy every match they play. Now Arteta is targeting several trophies, which is very natural because Arsenal's owner has only recently been willing to make a big splash, after so long they have only relied on new and cheap young arrivals.
Regarding Harvetz, as the coach, he knows what he is doing with his squad. in fact, we can't know what Arteta is planning. Maybe, if the coach had more confidence, Harvetz would be able to develop much better. although on his journey, he needs a process because his current position is new in the Gunners squad. even if it fails, it will be very natural. After all, Pep Guardiola, too, is not always successful in making all his newcomers into great players. Well, before this competition is held, these two teams will meet in the Premier League. Let's just enjoy the match that will be presented.
1811  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: November 03, 2023, 10:24:58 PM
Osimehn is linked to Chelsea rather than Manchester United. I'm not sure if he will prefer to join Manchester United over Chelsea if both offers come his way, but he has always been a fan of the Chelsea club and it will be a dream come true for him if he joins the club soon. I have a strong hunch that Osimhen will contribute to any team he joins between these two. If Manchester United is keen for him, I'm sure they've budgeted for the huge fee they'll have to pay to bring him in after being recognised as the world's eighth best player.


Manchester United previously received FFP sanctions, which is why Ten Hag only received very low spending funds in the previous transfer window. If, in fact, United don't get an FFP sanction, I'm pretty sure the Glazers will spend spending funds according to the team's needs, even though it's not as big as what Qatar promised if they acquired it.
Previously, Osimhen was only willing to join two clubs, namely Manchester United and Real Madrid. with the reason, these two teams compete in the Champions League.

As for Chelsea, Osimhen didn't comment much, especially since Chelsea didn't take part in the most prestigious competition. Well, now I don't really know how the rumors regarding Osimhen are developing. However, my guess is that it is unlikely that this Napoli star will be willing to join Chelsea. Yep, if you remember what Osimhen said, he wants to compete in the Champions League. now we are talking on the United side, whether they will bring him in the next summer transfer window. Honestly, I doubt it, because there are several factors and one of them is as I said above.

Talking about Osimhen at his current age, he has maturity and is established in his game. Now, the question is, which team is really serious about signing him. Plus, with a fantastic transfer price value. However, I am quite sure that this Napoli star will be able to adapt to playing in any league with his abilities.
1812  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Saudi Professional League 2023/2024 on: November 03, 2023, 09:55:38 PM
Yep, Al Hilal won again the match with 2 goals. They are leading the table with 7 points differences now. So far, Al Hilal performance is very impressive, they are undefeatable. Anyway, in the match against Al Fateh, Al Hilal couldn't dominate the match. Al Fateh won the ball possession, they also made more shots attempts. But Al Hilal showed their quality, they could make more shots on target and succeed to score 2 goals. This means, Al Hilal played more effectively in the match.


In this match, Al Hilal benefited by winning a penalty in the 5th minute. and Mitrovic did not waste this opportunity. as the match progressed after taking the lead in the 5th minute, Al Hilal committed more frequent violations. They were recorded as committing 22 violations, 4 of which received yellow cards.
Referring to the statistics of this match, the home team slightly dominated ball possession, they were also superior in terms of attempted shots. It was recorded that Al Fateh had 17 total shots, but unfortunately only 4 were on target and only 1 was a big chance.

From a technical perspective of the game, there is not much difference between these two teams. However, Al Hilal is superior in terms of shots on target, they have 7 shots on target from 12 attempts, 2 big opportunities. At the end of the match Al Dawsari was able to take advantage of a pass from Saud Abdulhamid, which he converted into a goal and ended the win for them. Even though Al Hilal won this match, they played below their usual standards. Despite this, Al Hilal still won 3 points and continues to try to widen the point gap from its rivals. Now, Al Hilal is 7 points ahead of Al Nassr who is in 2nd place. However, Al Nassr still has the potential to catch up on the points difference from its rivals. Moreover, their opposing team tomorrow is not a strong team.
1813  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: November 03, 2023, 09:07:40 PM
Yes cause the Bavarians are patiently waiting for them to make errors and drop points to overtake them in the 1st place just like they've overtaken Stuttgart, however they need to win against Hoffenheim tomorrow to widen the gap in the standings in case Bayern lose against Dortmund tomorrow, Dortmund is playing at home and they're in a good form and could give Bayern tough time to win the game maybe it could end in a draw which also favours Leverkusen.
 

In fact, Bayern cannot afford to overtake the position previously occupied by Stuttgart. but in fact, Stuttgart lost to Hoffenheim. Meanwhile, Bayern was successful by overthrowing Darmstadt with a landslide score difference. automatically the ranking occupied by Stuttgart, was shifted by Bayern Munich. However, there is nothing wrong with what you said.
As for the Heidenheim vs Stuttgart match, on paper, Stuttgart is superior. Just worry, because Heidenheim's performance is really messy. in their last 5 matches, they were only able to win one victory, the rest being a defeat. However, because in this match Stuttgart played as an away team, it is possible that they will only get minor results. The reason is, last week Stuttgart lost to Hoffenheim. and, can have an impact on reducing team performance. Well, we'll see this match tomorrow.

As for Dortmund, Edin Terzic's squad has the same statistics as Bayern Munich in its last 5 matches. The difference is, Dortmund only produced a draw in the last match. Meanwhile, Beyern won the match by a landslide. Based on the odds, Bayern remains the favorite team. although, this match was played on the Signal Iduna Pack. On Bayern's side, Kimmich will not play due to a red card ban. for De ligt, he suffered an injury.
On Dortmund's side, their pure striker really didn't contribute much in terms of scoring goals. It could be that, in tomorrow's match, neither Haller nor Fullkrug will score any more goals for their team. My estimate is that for the time being, Bayern will continue with its positive trend in the Bundesliga.

1814  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: November 03, 2023, 08:24:20 PM
It seems so. Sevilla has the same plan like last season, they stay in 3rd place and return to play in the Europa League. That's right. In the Europa league they have a good performance, their historical record is not doubt at all, if they can get another trophy that would be a truly extraordinary achievement. But maybe Sevilla plan will not be that smooth, because this season we see that Liverpool, Leverkusen and Roma which are will not let Sevilla win the title again. But yes, Sevilla is likely to perform very well in this event rather than play in UCL.

However, it seems that this plan will not be easy for Sevilla to carry out. Maintaining third place in the Champions League group phase is not easy, especially if Sevilla falls when they host Arsenal on the fourth matchday. especially if PSV is able to overthrow Lens in the same disat. The drama in the Group B phase is quite unique. Likewise Lens, who definitely wants to win their match against PSV.

On the other hand, PSV will go all out to win the match. because after all, the condition of these three teams is not any better. So, it's not certain that Sevilla will get a ticket to the Europa League. It could be that another team has more rights than Sevilla. After all, we still don't know the end of the Champions League group stage.
However, Sevilla has a historical record in this competition. Apart from that, the problem is that Sevilla is really underperforming. Previously, Mendilibar was really lucky to be able to win the Europa League trophy even though in fact, their performance was really not ideal for me personally. The question is, can their new coach Diego Alonso make it happen. Well, we'll find out after the Champions League group phase is over.

Talking about the other three teams you mentioned, especially Liverpool and Leverkusen. This team is now very different, even with the team squad. even based on the performance of these teams, it is the opposite of Sevilla. We'll see the point, because it's not certain that Sevilla will be as lucky as last season.
1815  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: November 03, 2023, 07:01:17 PM
Chelsea used to win vs Spurs in their latest games but time has changed a bit lately with Spurs rising good and Chelsea drowning. Spurs expected to win this game and I think it is the case. I doubt it will be a hard match unless Spurs were doing bad, they used to do Spurs things from time to time Roll Eyes
I don't know if changing coaches only will help fixing Manchester United or Chelsea problems but it will happen eventually with the bad results they have..

Honestly, I don't understand and have difficulty with what Poche is thinking about the structure and strategy he is implementing. Previously, Chelsea won their match over Blackburn. but in fact, even though they play against teams below their caste. The center forward they have, is not playing very well and is not even able to contribute to scoring goals. I wonder if Phoce will still stubbornly play Nicolas Jackson. What is clear is that as a center forward, he was unable to score goals for his squad. even though, Pochettino can rotate his players. It has been proven that when this player does not play, Chelsea can win the match and draw against Arsenal.

So the question is whether Poche will continue to play him as the main starter. if yes, be careful about betting on Chelsea. We are well aware that the Chelsea coach is experiencing problems with injured players. Well, can't he rotate some of his players? So don't be surprised if the results they always get are unstable, soon Poche will be kicked out of Chelsea by Boehly. but, just my assumption. for this match, in this season, we cannot refer to the H2H of the Chelsea team, whatever team the opponent is. However, if we refer to the predicted line-up that Phoche will play in the match against Tottenham. apparently, there will be changes in patterns and rotation. If that's true, I'm pretty sure Chelsea can put up a fight against Spurs in this week's meeting. unfortunately, I can't be sure what Poche will implement. Well, let's just wait, after all, in a few days this match will be held.
1816  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Greed or risk on: November 03, 2023, 06:02:42 PM
But sadly, gamblers often continue to play and follow their greed. We can say that the reason behind it is because of their addiction. AFAIK, when getting addicted to gambling, a psychological effect can stimulate a person's brain, something like a reward system, the more a person repeatedly does (winning or losing), the more addicted you get.

This state can be considered the same with compulsive gambling, causes of chasing your bets that lead to more losses. Even if the gambler pays attention to his behavior, nothing will still happen as he continues to disregard it when gambling.

I agree with what you say, but what you say is still debatable. Not always, gamblers continue to play because they follow their greed.  we also have to look at it and other perspectives, case to case. In gambling, it is complex, we don't just look at it from one point of view or just based on one story in this thread.
Well, there are a few different points from my point of view regarding addiction. Usually, those who are addicted to their main point are not how to win gambling. but more so, to fulfill his desire to gamble. Whether it's a matter of winning or losing, every gambler knows for sure that this is part of the risk. like another point you said, "psychological effects usually manipulate a person's brain like a reward system". which increasingly encourages someone to fulfill their gambling desires. whether you win or lose, the more addictive you become. So, where is the discussion point of greed.

IMO, to me these are two different cases that we can discuss if necessary. for the points below, can you say that we agree. but in the context of the OP's thread title, it's about greed and risk. the point is we have to look at it case by case, and cannot generalize. one more thing, greed is an inseparable part of human beings themselves. like emotions, which are always involved in whatever our activities are. especially when it comes to gambling.
1817  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: November 03, 2023, 05:25:45 PM
Atletico Madrid is one of the big teams in La Liga which has consistently been much more stable than last season and this has been proven by maintaining its position in 3rd place the standings to compete for the top of the standings even though it is a little difficult but at least it is a very strong challenger to Barcelona and Real Madrid. in this season.

predictions for the Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas match should be that Atletico Madrid will win this match very easily because everyone knows from the inside that the performance these two teams is far superior to Atletico and for me there will be no surprises that will happen unless they are really in bad condition such as injury player. but I have not seen what odds the bookmakers give for Atletico madrid.

Diego Simeone's squad appeared quite impressive in this competition in its 10 matches, Atl. Madrid has only experienced 1 defeat and one draw. This condition is no different from teams above their ranking. The difference is, in this match, Atletico played matchday 11th. In the last 6 matches in La Liga, they recorded victory after victory. Now, they have 25 pawns and are only 3 points behind Gorina and Real Madrid at the top of the standings.

Talking about the match they will play today, Atletico Madrid will face Las Palmas as the home team. In this match, Atletico is favored by bookies. referring to betting options, Las Palmas at odds @5.60, Atletico at @1.66. The odds are quite ideal, and quite safe for a betting option to choose Atletico. My assumption is that Atletico will win this match and overtake Girona and Real Madrid. But I'm a little strange when referring to the Under/Over option. The 2.5 goal odds option available is quite high with @2.04. So, the question is, will this match not produce many goals? or Simeone is more focused on the Chanpions League group phase, where they finished second with 5 points. Nevertheless, Altico only needed one goal without reply. that way, they will temporarily shift the ranking of the team above them. So, the most appropriate option to bet on this match is the handicap option -7.5 with odds @1.82.  or, -1 @2.14.
1818  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: November 03, 2023, 04:08:52 PM
PSG has small odds against Montpellier @1.25 but they always be the favourite for every matches in Ligue 1 so i didn't surprised if the bookmakers always provide low odds for them for each matches but i have been notice about PSG results matches recently because in the last 4 home matches in all competitions PSG can able to win with 3 goals margin or more with cleansheet status so these records proven they always be performing well for every home matches during this season and Montpellier defensive lines isn't special because during this season they have already conceded 15 goals and i am sure it's not difficult to Mbappe and other players to win with 2 goals margin or more from Montpellier and for betting option over 2.5 goals also can became an good option instead of PSG win

As I said, if PSG's current problems are not as complicated as they were at the start of the season. they just need a stronger bond, in order to achieve chemistry between the players, especially for the front line of Luis Enrique's squad. the reason is, both Goncalo Ramos and Kolo Muani still need a lot of flying hours to reach a level in their game. and this is one of the reasons, if Mbappe always remains Enrique's mainstay. tactically, systemically, PSG played quite well. unfortunately, their front striker still needs more time. That's why Enrique always uses teamwork in every match. Unfortunately, sometimes the coach places the players in the wrong rotation positions, IMO.

In this match, Paris Saint-Germain has odds @1.27. Meanwhile, the away team is actually not a strong team for PSG. Montpellier is ranked 11th, with 3 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses.  Well, we now refer to betting options. because odds of 1x2 are not ideal, so we are a suitable option. well, if and refers to the Over 2.5 goals option, it is the same as betting 1x2. because, there is only a slight difference from @1.31. Well, if we refer to the history of H2H meetings between these two teams, the match results were dominated by big scores. So, because this match is being held at the Parc des Princes, there's no harm in betting with the handicap option -1.75 @1.80. For me, it's quite ideal, with the game, PSG must score at least 2 goals. and it looks like there will be lots of goals in this match. especially, if Enrique applies a 4-3-3 pattern.
1819  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: November 02, 2023, 11:17:16 PM
~~
I didn't watch the match, but since the defeat was sensational, when I looked at the squad after the match, I was surprised to see that Bayern had made some changes and almost kept their main squad. When I read about the defeat, I thought they were on the field with the reserve squad. Football is such a game. The third league team can eliminate one of the best teams in the world. That's why I love football.

I also didn't watch the Bayern vs Saarbrucken match, because I was more interested in betting Under for the Dortmund vs Hoffenheim match and watched it.

I previously thought that Bayern Munich would win the match against their opposing team, but because the betting options were not ideal and doubtful, I preferred Dortmund. but I just realized that Bayern lost to their opposing team in FDB Fokal. referring to these two teams, even though Bayern did not play their full core squad, they should be able to win the match against their opposing team. referring to the line-up, Tuchel rotated several of his players. he didn't play Kane at all, Jamal Musia came on in the 60th minute, Kingsley Coman replaced Lenoy Saney who was underperforming. previously, Serge Gnabry came on in the 60th minute, replacing the second line player. In this match, Tuchel only replaced 4 players. while Neuer also played badly. Unfortunately, De Ligt seems to be injured again.

Even though Bayern had 75% ball possession, 7 shots out of 10 attempted shots, they were only able to convert one into a goal. Unfortunately, Bayern was only able to have 1 big chance. I am very sure that Tuchel will be very disappointed with this defeat, even though he did not play in his main squad. However, theoretically Bayern should be able to beat their opposing team with a landslide score. and yep, this is where the uniqueness of football lies. Even a strong team doesn't always win the match. although I believe that Tuchel deliberately played several second tier players, with the reason that his main players were ready for the match against Dortmund this week. and as a result, Bayern lost to a weak team.

1820  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: November 02, 2023, 10:33:17 PM
Ivan Toney may not be back yet but he has been playing soccer behind close door games. 45 Million Euros for Ivan Toney is worth it, let me say he will make better impact than most of Manchester United attacking players right now.
Arsenal was amongst clubs chasing Ivan Toney and I've also wanted to see that. With Gabriel Jesus most likely absent, Nketiah not consistent, Ivan Toney will be a perfect backing for Mikel Arteta's squad.

Let go of the past. Now he has all it takes to succeed in the Premier League. Either of Chelsea and Arsenal would be chasing after him.

Talking about this striker from Brentford, based on my personal assumptions referring to his statistics, AI fits the criteria for being a pure striker for Arsenal and this striker was able to score 20 goals in the 22/23 season. Well, if he was part of Arsenal maybe he could play better than playing for Brentford. however, if I refer to the Sky Sports report that Brentford will ask for £100 million for Chelsea and Arsenal targets Ivan Toney. Previously, the prolific striker continued to serve an eight-month ban from all football-related activities, but his long-term future was still wide open.

Rumor has it that the Bees have placed a £100m valuation on Toney in a bid to quash interest in their striker, with Spurs also mentioned as a potential destination. Toney will return to action on January 16, and it would take a proposal for Brentford to agree a mid-season transfer for their main man. It seems that Brentford will not remove this sticker. because they have no solution regarding the tough task they will face in January amidst plans to retain the striker's services at least until the end of the season. That's why Brentford priced it at such a fantastic price.

So, it is very likely that the teams that want his services will slowly withdraw. except, if several interested teams have a reliable strategy in negotiating. Moreover, if Toney has a release clause that is not too expensive. meaning, he has the potential to leave in January. if that happens, with a transfer of 45 million euros, it doesn't seem to be a problem for Arsenal. However, I doubt that this player will leave Brentford in January.
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