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1801  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin’s Slide Below $40K Amid FTX Liquidation and ETF Turmoil on: January 23, 2024, 02:06:50 PM
What is happening in the Bitcoin market is not what many wouldn't have expected, and in a situation like this, people often attribute one thing or the other to it. However, I will have to zero my mind on the FTX liquidation link for now due to its unpopularity and because in the normal market where something like what we see with Bitcoin these days is not happening, it will not hold any water but analysts often like to link too many reasons to a situation in whose reason for buying or selling can be so unnecessary.

I believe Grayscale liquidation for their ETF kickoff is one of the main issues of Bitcoin now, and this transaction which caused the liquidation of BTC for alternative channelling is gradually causing some sell-off in the market and the recent market sentiment is another reason. Investors now see the market as bearish so they are hesitant to add money but a few are removing the money still (increased supply).

What do you expect in such a situation? And the more support levels Bitcoin breaks, the more it will fall.
1802  Economy / Speculation / Re: Ultimate Lazy BTC/USD Price Prediction on: January 23, 2024, 06:52:05 AM
23 January 2024

BTC/USD rushes toward $37,450. This can be either be
  • a strong momentum in one go
  • a sweep toward $43,500 first then rush downward

No trade signal to buy or sell. No position of strength.
The hardest thing to do is waiting.

Estimate to wait till around first to second week of Feb 2024

There is a difference between how the price will move, and the trade signal.
Above is the price movement prediction, not a trade signal.
Sometimes I can predict roughly how the price will move, but for that to become a trade signal you also need a position of strength (a point where you have an advantage)
In this case, there is none.
Reading this, I believe you know what you are doing as my expected target after breaching $40243 (1D Fibo level of 38.2%) lower is $37,519 (current 1D's 50% Fibo level). Bitcoin is not in a good moment now as it is falling and might continue to do so for the rest of January, especially with the renewed bearish pattern seen on the weekly chart. I knew it would fall yesterday, the price actions on the weekly and daily chart prove that in addition to some strategies. As it is, Bitcoin might continue to be pressured for many reasons, and the ETF approval that backfired with the reduced willingness to buy which is partly due to the selling by Grayscale and some other factors will continue to make the market unappealing to buyers. We will be seeing enough of the sellers coming into play over time, regardless, if $37,519 holds, it might be the level at which the market will turn back and the bullish impact will be so strong if this happens.
1803  Other / Meta / Re: Use of AI on Bitcoin talk on: January 23, 2024, 06:36:08 AM
Now my confusion is Although the forum says not to use AI content does that mean that paraphrasing or punctuating with AI is allowed?
Maybe you are confused by what he said, and perhaps, he should have defined it better. Once the body of the message is yours, you can't be penalised for it and will never be the same as another person's work. So there is no way this can attract any infraction since it will surely be void of plagiarism and the AI writing violation of the forum.

What I see here is just a misconception, many AIs that are good in writing and editing are not even used for direct writing, they will not be able to auto-generate such for you. Many of them are even encouraged in school as they help students develop their English learning and writing skills faster and better. A good example is Grammarly, it will correct your errors in writing and before you know it, you can be a better writer without it within a short time.
1804  Economy / Gambling / Re: How Crypto casino market themselves? on: January 22, 2024, 01:10:26 PM
Of course, these casinos tend to focus on people who are already interested in cryptocurrencies. They are more likely to design their marketing to appeal to people who are already knowledgeable and passionate about cryptocurrencies. I believe they would emphasize the advantages of using digital assets for gambling. These casinos also actively participate in and interact with online forums, social media platforms, and some online crypto communities. By being present in these areas, they are able to connect with people who have similar interests.
Perhaps some of them are working along with influencers, other projects, or other businesses in the cryptocurrency space to help crypto casinos grow. Of course, collaborative promotions, endorsements, or sponsored events with the potential to shock a larger audience can all be a part of a collaboration.
Since we have both Crypto and non crypto casino, that channel of marketing could be different. Most casinos are more interested in real gamblers that would like to keep using there services for a longer period not a newbie that is only looking for a fast play and bonuses going for the next available casino to try. Marketing is one of the ways of promoting casinos especially in a community that has large audience that are always creating more traffics.
I can tell you that crypto and non crypto casinos are both advertising in the same places, it all depends on the financial capacity of the casinos individually, every casinos all have the same target, and that is to get gamblers, whether the gambler is a crypto or non crypto user have very little meaning, and this is because, a non crypto users can always become a crypto user if he or she fines what he or she likes in a particular casino, he or she can because of that casino buy some crypto just to have a feel of what it's like to play on that particular casino.

It's like myself, i wasnt really into fiat based online casinos, but when I found one offering players a good bonus which i found had to resist, I decided to try out a fiat casino for the first time, and today, I now play on fiat only online casinos from time to time.
I think we are a bit different here, I started gambling with fiat when the cryptocurrency was never been born, and that makes it easy for me to still gamble with it in addition to my crypto gambling till today. The fiat is more convenient for me especially this time when local currencies can be used to deposit and withdraw money. But the moment I started dealing with cryptocurrencies online, it became easy to move money in and out and I've been depositing and withdrawing also with the two for years without issues. Besides, you might be right that crypto-casinos and fiat-casinos are marketing and attracting their customers the same way, this is even as some casinos combine the two (crypto & fiat) together for easy deposit and withdrawal depending on what the customer has in their purse at that point in time. But we must also know that cryptocurrency still allows better offerings for customers which is another point of advertisement.

All the fiat casinos I know today are duly registered in a country, paying taxes and are regulated (strong or weak), so they have limits to their promo offering and have strict documentation. Some people will always go for the no-KYC casinos, and these days, such is only common with the crypto-casinos due to sanctions. So if someone who is not willing to do KYC with casinos can see the "no-KYC" in adverts, it is an added reason why they will shun others and opt for it. Aside from this, I do not think there is a special reason why one will choose between a crypto-casino and a fiat casino, after all, all of them have good marketing strategies, perks and bonuses, good UI and workable gambling platforms, security, customer support and many others you can think of which are what attracts users to gambling platforms.
1805  Economy / Speculation / Re: Has anybody expected this? on: January 22, 2024, 10:15:47 AM
Bitcoin price hasn't been what we expected this year and December (2023) has also given us a disappointing amount because we all expected the price to be up to $50k before getting to 2024 but still it didn't, to me it was a poor performance in the movement of Bitcoin price.
This year even got worse that it (Bitcoin price) could not surpass $45k and keep moving to the next one and stay there for long.
Of recent we saw Bitcoin moving to $47k but it didn't waste much time in getting back to $40k and now is $41k. While the price is not favorable all these while I feel is the main reason why we had that high fee rate. But as everything has come back to normal I feel the price of Bitcoin will as well be going up without coming back down, let's hope it goes that way to put a smile on traders and investors.
Disappointment? How? Anyone expecting more from Bitcoin despite how much it performed last year is an ingrate. The issue is that human expectations will always be more and more, it can't be satisfied even as things progress, and what I can only relate to it is greed. From the beginning of 2023, Bitcoin started barely at $17,000 and moved higher in a few months and was able to hold at almost x2 of the price for many months after. All what I saw was mainly $40,000 on the forum which I never knew Bitcoin would even reach throughout the year. But for the ETF hype, the coin moved higher and even beat the expectations of people and almost hit $45,000 in the year.

You're really funny to think that anyone who expect more from Bitcoin base on price is an ingrate, you really have to work on your words brother. You don't get why I said what I said.
December expectation on the market price was high, is like you haven't been following up the movement right from September if I'm not mistaken.
December was suppose to give us something close to $50k if not $50k, so when the price started dropping that was why I said disappointing. It was suppose to follow the flow of the market price as other months have been doing.
And nobody is greedy or an ingrate like you call it, this is what we expected to happen not that we ain't cool with how the market price has been.
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In the second week of 2024, it reached above $49,000 which is closer to $50,000, anyone who is not greedy should have even liquidated their position if that is what they are so desired to do. Bitcoin, as far as I am concerned, was heroic last year and what we are experiencing this year is very normal. We all know that ETF made it move too much, and the market was overpriced, so it is normal that it shed some pips to ease itself before there will be the continuation of the bullish movements which I believe will hit the $50,000 easily and pass it this year. We should only be grateful that it hasn't dropped lower than its current price ($41,595) now.
I understand quite well, and Noted, I will be more refined with my word (ingrate) next time. But to me, I never see anything big deal there since I was just referring to the over-expectation of people on Bitcoin despite the fact that the coin performed well last year and the first 2 weeks of this year. I believe that investors and traders should be contented and appreciative if they actually gain and not lose even as Bitcoin almost hit the level you called with only about $1,000 deficient, which was why I used that word. As a trader and investor, I've learned how to be appreciative of the market, this has also helped me to preserve my psychology since nothing is so little, as long as it is a gain, is better than a loss. I do not want to repeat myself again, but one thing that is certain is that Bitcoin sold for over 2 years, we do not expect it to recover so fast, and if not for the ETF, we wouldn't have seen the coin crossing $33,000, not to mention hitting the year-high of $49,000+. We also do not expect it to hit the ATH in just a few months, there is time for that and patience is needed no matter how aggressively we want it to push higher. We are all expecting halving, the current ATH was hit by the effect of the last one, and in the next one, higher levels will be patiently touched even as it moves past your $50,000 soon. This might even happen before the halving, but most likely after it. Cheers!
1806  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: How do i handle my first gambling experience on: January 22, 2024, 09:33:56 AM
How do I prepare myself for my first gambling experience?
I advise you to learn about gambling and know your approaches to it. You also need to know that gambling is not a do-or-die affair and you can both lose or win in it. Ensure you prepare mentally and financially, and you must be so budgetary with it and have good plans that will not affect your gambling account and sanity. Above all, you need to be cautious towards gambling, gamble with a small amount and the money you can afford to lose, especially when you are just starting.

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What are the things I should expect as a first time gambler?
Just zero your mind on the outcome and expect either a win or a lose outcome. And anyone that comes should be accepted in good fate. Avoid being emotional after the result and never revenge your losses. Or else, the chance of losing more is very high.

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How do we react to my first gambling results be it winning or lose?
I don't have special advice for you here other than to be yourself. Do not be too excited about winnings and continue to bet with an open and neutral mind if you must continue. But still do not let emotions be triggered if you lose the money back and still lose more. This often happens in gambling.
1807  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Crypto gambling and religious restrictions on: January 22, 2024, 09:05:50 AM
-snip-
So what do you think about this? Does gambling with crypto mean that laws about gambling being Haram don't apply all the time?
I was thinking that of crypto is earned outside of one's regular job, for example as a reward for activities such as bounties or sweepstakes, then maybe gambling with these earnings insta Haram?
I don't think there is any excuse for the Muslim faithful to gamble. Gambling is forbidden in Islam as I know and I believe the faithful should adhere to that unless they just want to set the religion aside and do as they like. No controversy about this, it is plain, so any Muslim doing it must know that they are not completely being faithful to the religion. Well, we have our lives to live, what really matters is a good life you live that is void of evil and selfishness, once that is done, I know that God can't forsake you, religion or not.

Nevertheless, in plain terms, a core Muslim person will not gamble, but it is your choice to be a core Muslim or not.

Quote
These concepts are interesting to me because most Christian people like me, while having our religion dictate that gambling is a very serious sin, most do it anyway. Basically most christians aren't very pious at all and don't follow religion rules at least in my experience. So using loopholes to circumvent religious rules when your country even endorsed certain casinos isn't needed that much. So it's interesting to observe these differences.
I think Christians are bending things due to the better grace and freedom we have more than Muslims. Even with that, all I know is that the religion forbids you to do anything that will hurt you or hurt you. If gambling is hurting you, you should let go so that it will not become a sin to you.

I am not saying that I know the Bible more than anyone here, nonetheless, I will still be glad if someone can point to a place in the Bible where it is said emphatically that we should not gamble.
1808  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Another question? Tell me your average amount per bet and your monthly income? on: January 22, 2024, 08:44:06 AM
For me I hardly play gamble but when ever I play, I spend about $10 in a month while some times I don't even play up to $5 in a month. I am not a too much fans of gambling.  my income is about $150 per month and am always sceptical of playing gamble in other not to be addicted to an extent of becoming a chronic gambler. Because to make yourself one is easy, but to pull out will require struggles.
Using $10 is enough for you to gamble because I see you don't gamble too often, so that amount can already be allocated $10. You have to be able to stay like that because the temptation of gambling is very strong and can make someone who rarely gambles gamble more often. This is what we must avoid when playing gambling because it can cause gambling addiction, which is a serious problem for every gambler who gambles too often. They must be able to restrain themselves from gambling too often so they don't get addicted to gambling.
To gamble is not the issue but the issue is the preparedness for the gambling activities, many didn't prepare, and that is why we hear all sorts of bad stories about them. Even if people lose in gambling, they can still be fine if they have good plans before entering the gambling house or opening their gambling platform, but because there was no initial learning or warning, that is why they fall victim and it is often late for them to realise this. One of the good plans of gamblers is to know the amount they will be using for betting at a defined time period, they should not just bet anyhow, they should be purposely, conservative and apply wisdom to their budgeting. This is what calls for responsible gambling practice through the right budget, there can be daily, weekly, monthly and yearly budgets for gambling, and the gambler must ensure that he plays by the rules to fulfil them.

After all, it is to his advantage and it will certainly be to preserve his money from wastage. I love to encourage gamblers who love gambling to do it often to limit their excesses as much as possible, and depositing $10 at a go is not a bad idea, especially if one is betting for the fun. One can bet with that 5 times by using $2 in each betting, this will discourage uncontrollable spending in gambling. Also, I do not encourage people to knowingly size the amount they want to gamble with their salaries and earnings, but if you must do so, you should never go beyond 5%. I prefer 0.5%-2% if the money is big, but if it is small, one can still do 5% at most. But it is not such that should be wasted at a go, a good plan and purposeful gambling is also key.
1809  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Increased Gambling Risk for the Younger Generation on: January 22, 2024, 08:16:23 AM
With the easy accessibility of the online gambling sites and tools, the younger generation is more involved in gambling. The risk for them is not only that they will lose money but gambling at such a high rate and at the age of teenage will cause them a lot of problems like lack of physical activity or no interest in the studies as they will more inclined to get easy entertainment in the form of gambling.
The most effective way to address this issue is for the parents and teachers to play their part and convince the young generation the do and don't of gambling and how it can harm our personality and life if we are addicted to it.
This is thoughtful of you, and it is a discussion that is not so common even though I and some other people would have thought about this. Well, I pity the next generation, if things are not being done to avert issues now, it will be so bad for them, especially these days that parents are not even wise, and most of them are still to be trained not to talk of them training the children. This is why you see bad products everywhere to the point that you will not even be sure if they (children) are trained at all. But that aside, gambling is a concern truly, and this concern is mostly about addiction which can cause a waste of money and insanity in people. If adults are still battling with gambling addiction without a green light of hope to be free, how much are the younger ones, especially those who would become addicted at a very early age and later become adults still doing it?

This can't be fine at all as it will be more difficult for them to let go. Technology is partly blamed here, as good as it is, it has its evil too, but still, everyone's hands must be on the desk in this regard to save the coming generation. The parents, the teachers, the concerned friends, neighbours and relatives and even the government should have the roles to play here. The best is to educate and let this younger generation know about gambling just like how they are encouraging people about sex education. They should expose the bad and good sides of gambling to them and give them tracked/practical examples of how gambling addictions work and how it has affected a lot of people. Maybe this will go a long way in creating fear or awareness which could cause caution in them before they become engrossed with what might affect them for the rest of their lives.
1810  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Online or offline gambling which is more safer? on: January 22, 2024, 07:52:41 AM
I understand what you mean. Online gambling sure is easy to access, but keeping your personal and financial info safe can be tricky.  Land-based casinos have security guards and cameras.  Online ones though? You're kinda trusting that flashy casino site to keep hackers from stealing your money and identity.  It's a risk.  Those sweet bonuses they advertise make you wanna sign up quick, but you gotta wonder if it's legit or if they really care about protecting your data.  Convenience doesnt mean safety.  And, I think people are mistaken when they think gambling from home is more secure than going to a physical casino.

It depends on what you think when the word security is mentioned, as compared to physical casinos, if you were to win a big prize on an online casino it is unlikely you will be mugged as soon as you leave it, since from the beginning you are on the comfort of your own home, something that can be very common on some countries.

However it is true that online casinos and their strict identification policies can leave gamblers in a difficult situation, especially if for some reason their data was stolen by hackers.
Thank you for this. When you hear about offline gambling from most people, the first thing you hear them saying here is the security as if it is that bad. How many offline casino players have you heard that they waylayed? This is not as common as people make it look here and they are only referring to the old ugly incidents in this regard. That was when the world wasn't like this when people were risking payments with much cash, and even the banks that move cash around are still being threatened and attacked by robbers, so it is not new when it is physical cash. These days, I do not know the casino that will pay a huge amount in any case to a winner. As it is not safe for the bettor, it is not also safe for the casino. The best is to credit him electronically and he will be fine. Even the time they will do the crediting might not be immediate and a few internal people will know about this for safety concerns.

Also, look around you, you will see a lot of casino houses if you are living in an urban area just like me. Till today, I have never heard of such an ugly incident in which robbers attacked a bettor because of his winning even though I knew some that won tens of millions in my local currency. Also, people seldom talk about the hacking of the online casino as a security risk. We hear of more hacking than the robbery of physical winners which makes the allegation of the security of the offline casinos to be ill-conceived, it is not just constructive. For this, gamblers can enjoy the two if they so desire, they can bet online when they do not have the time and urge to go for offline casino betting and don't prefer the physical fun it it. But when they want the extras, I think nothing should stop them from going out and making their betting and have fun.
1811  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Does it looks responsible as woman telling husband you gamble? on: January 22, 2024, 07:02:23 AM
  • Not involving myself in a revenge gambling
  • Not chasing profit after lost
  • Not involving oneself into compulsive gambling
  • Not solely replying on every game to be 100 percent correct
  • Not hoping that gamble is guaranteed
  • Not gambling with all my income or salaries
  • Among all, gambling for fun and not to enrich oneself

The point is my husband doesn't know that i have been secretly gambling and involving myself with gambling discussions and the rest, So, this morning when i woke something in me keeps telling me i should let him know to understand my involvement  to practice gambling.

Does this worth telling him or not please i need you collective ideas.
First, it is good to know that you are a careful gambler, and with what you iterated above and what you believe and avoid in gambling, if you can keep them truly, then you are good to go with no reasons for worrying. It shows clearly that you are mostly gambling for the fun but if the money comes from it, you will be happy. This is the right mindset to gamble, so I do not see any reason why you do not tell your husband, you are not just irresponsible with it. Gambling is not that bad, and even if your husband is not gambling or a religious person who frowns at it, it is still his right to know unless you are practising something else but falsely calling it family.

To me, although it is subject to the kind of spouse we are talking about, everything should be revealed in the family with an open mind. It is better for him to be angry or even scold you, but as a family, you will still come to a reasonable conclusion on this. Perhaps, if he tells you to leave it (which I don't think so with your responsible gambling style), you should please yield. This is in the name of peace, after all, gambling is not a must but your relationship is as a couple.
1812  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Gambling by financial dependents. on: January 22, 2024, 06:46:45 AM
In as much as your nephew has reached the legal age to gamble as stipulated by many jurisdictions, the fact that he is still a dependent, he shouldn't gamble. He is currently building an addiction and there is a stage he will get to he can do anything to satisfy that urge to gamble.

Even if he doesn't resort to stealing, he might use funds meant for payment of bills to gamble, and in the end, his mom will face the consequences of such behaviour.

Gambling by a dependent should be seriously frowned upon because it will amount to throwing away the money laboured by another person. My advice is that his mom should reduce the money he gives to him because that can also reduce the money he uses from gambling.
I frankly support your opinion here and it is the same thing I advised initially. But perhaps, if the nephew could get the money externally or is working to earn it, then it is still cool, nevertheless, such must be talked to, and good advice about the risk of gambling must be given so that it will not be as if the uncle is a wicked person and doesn't want him to be free even at that age. In all sense of it, once someone is dependent, there are still limitations to what they can do especially if they are under someone's care, and in this case, it is not their hard-earned money, so why waste it? They do not have the moral right to waste it and being an adult doesn't give you the automatic right to do adult things, it is your status that will encourage and support that. The nephew must be ready mentally and financially, and by that, he must ensure that he can only qualify for total freedom if he is financially independent of his uncle and not otherwise.

I have seen a lot of similar cases, and I at times, blame the upbringing of some children. The environment they grew up in and the kind of friends they keep matter too. But no matter how much you frown at it or try to stop the nephew from gambling, such like him still do it behind your back and you will never know. And even if they win, they know how to keep it without you suspecting it. It could be with their fellow friends or another person they can trust. But what I do not like is when the uncle who frowns at it now becomes supportive after they win big. I just don't like that, it is a kind of selfishness that shows indiscipline. This reminds me of a skit I watched with a similar narration.
1813  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The worst situation you're in that you regret that you learn about gambling on: January 22, 2024, 06:24:20 AM
-snip-
What's a similar case that you're in that made you regret that you learned gambling?
What a story! As dramatic as it is, it is happening and I am a living witness to it. You know what, people could do a lot of unspeakable things if they are addicted, while some are not just addicted per se but are only stupid. They often think that they are smart and because of greed, they continue to risk what they shouldn't have risked. About the case of your friend, my mind tells me that he was only too self-believing and greedy to outsmart his friend with the capital and use it to make more money, that's what caused it. Regardless, I am happy that he is now a responsible gambler, which is the best as gambling is never the best option when we are desperate for money, only a tiny few had the opportunity to gamble in such a situation and were able to make money from the betting.

The first thing we should learn and always do in gambling is to ensure that we do not use more than 5% of our total available money in gambling, nonetheless, I believe that rich people will be gambling with far lower amounts, so it is not a yardstick, I am just given an example for those who have a certain amount as the only money with them and would still want to be pushed to gamble with all, which is foolishness. If it is passing that percentage, then trouble is lurking for the gambler, it mustn't be that way. Besides, gambling is risky, and if you need money, why not go for one work or another, it might not be the best job at that time, but you can make it your temporary work until you can fix yourself. Not betting due to desperation, you will lose the money almost certainly.

As for me, I have never been in that situation in gambling, I have always behaved myself towards it. But for trading, ohhh, I have too much bad history with it. Cool But in the end, I become happy with it. Is it the money I had wasted? The money they entrusted in my care? My school fees? Project money? The money I was supposed to use to buy lands and properties? And many more, I have so much bad history with trading no matter the angle you can think of.
1814  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Can loneliness make one addicted to gambling on: January 22, 2024, 06:07:16 AM
I'm confused and looking for answers

If you are lonely, can you have interest in gambling simply because of your loneliness?

How would you judge someone who says they don't gamble because it's fun, is that a sign of a gambling addiction?

If you are making $600 a day, that's $20000 in a month, and because you are only you start having interest to gamble, what do you think this is?

All these questions is been asked because someone close said all these and I think he are losing money and losing himself too, of all the discussions we had, these are the points I held unto.

Later he open up to have been using $500 for gambling per day, he said all these started when his wife left him, that he isn't into gambling at all, but I can't ask why his wife left him in the first place, but does loneliness make people become addicted to gambling or it's something else.

Absolutely it can develop such habit.Not only when you are lonely but most of the time when you feel sad from the events of your life like in this case which is a major blow when your wife leaves you no matter that we as men make jokes about our wife in reality it hurts to live without them most of the cases.

Loneliness can only increase the sadness from the events of your life and thus people tend to find relief in alcohol,whores and gambling with this last one being the most dangerous of all together with the first one alcohol.When you go with whores as long as you keep protection nothing bad happens  Grin.

Yes loneliness can be one of the factor due to which a gambler may become addicted to gambling. A person who is alone has no one with him to talk about , or to spend the time and therefore he will try to engage himself with something which is available to him easily and the only thing that comes into the mind is gambling.

Since there is no one available to him for counselling or for any advice and he will continue to gamble all day long or all time when he is alone and therefore he can easily become addicted.


Agree. Loneliness is just one of the options that can cause a person to become addicted to gambling or something else. But it is possible that even if he had many friends and something unpleasant happened in his life, for example, his girlfriend left him, then it is likely that he would also start doing something bad, for example gambling, not counting it's entertainment.
You said that there is no one around and no one to advise. But it is not a fact that if someone were nearby, the person would listen to him and do the opposite, rather than play. Often in such a psychological state people do not hear others
As simple as loneliness could be called or viewed, it is so devastating if the person is not careful about handling it. We should always stop loneliness from the beginning especially if we know that it is causing us to do more than what we should do when it comes to engaging in our hobbies more often, this is a sign that things are getting wrong and we should make a change that will in turn actively change the narrative. In gambling, it might be the worst part, though many other things can cause gambling addiction apart from loneliness, and I must say that I know many people who are not physically lonely but are so addicted to gambling still, and are even wasting money on it because it shows clearly that they are not making money from gambling judging by their way of living.

For such people, they might lose but still have people around them who can keep them going even without slipping into a depression since they have people to talk to, and friends to drink with, and before they know it, they would have forgotten that they have lost, or almost forgotten it because, at times, it will not be easily let go. But for loneliness, it is devastating in loss, no one to talk to you or cheer you up, that makes it
even worse. This could lead to depression easily if care is not taken and if the person bets with the amount he can't afford to lose, maybe specifically with the money entrusted to him, or even worse. This is why some would even have some bad thoughts that I don't need to mention here which makes it worse than all causes of addictions combined because it is you alone, so you have to face the darkness all alone.
1815  Economy / Speculation / Re: What are your expectations for the few weeks after the halving period? on: January 21, 2024, 08:45:59 PM
There is so much expectation about the bitcoin Halving, and it has even attracted many investors to bitcoins who want to be able to profit from bitcoins after the halving. What is expected to happen during the halving? It is expected for bitcoin to set a new All time high price. After the Halving, what do you think may happen? Do you think that the number of sellers will increase after the halving, sellers of bitcoins from people who want to cash out on the profit they have made? Or do you think there will be a reduction in interest of buying bitcoins because of it already very high value that new investors will know they cannot profit from anytime soon?
Bitcoin halving has proved itself to be causing more demands for the coin so I do not expect the one of this year to be different. But it might not be as immediately as people would want it, it is the post-halving effect that will push the price of Bitcoin higher and this will take time before it starts happening. However, let me try to answer your many questions one after the other and also in the order you asked them.

I expect Bitcoin to start being volatile shortly before and after halving, but not much effect would be generated at first, it might take time before this happens. Judging by what happened in the last halving, it could take even months before huge bullish movements will happen. And yes, from the past halving record, Bitcoin has always set a new record, which is why this time may not be so different especially when the coin is already close to its ATH, and thanks to ETF for that. After halving, the bullish movements will start happening and huge buyers will be regrouping as FOMO will be reappearing in the market which will become much over time.

As for the sellers after halving, anything can happen in the market, and just like the ETF approval betrays the expectations of people, the first days or weeks after halving might be greeted with a bearish outlook, we never can tell. But with time, I am certian that Bitcoin will start moving dangerously higher with huge volatility. It is also important to say that the sellers might want to appear in the market but in their little numbers if the market is not encouraging to buy initially after halving. And this will course not only cause more sellers to move in temporarily and try to take over the market. The situation will also dissuade some intended buyers until they are convinced of a bullish market.
1816  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Patience can help alot on: January 21, 2024, 05:48:27 PM
The game of gambling isn't something that people with low patience can survive be it the different types of gambling @sports betting  @casino games like dice and slots, patience is still the key to survive. Sometimes anxiousness and anxiety can make a gambler take decision that he might end up regretting.
~snip~

In fact, gambling can be done by anyone who has money to deposit.

What makes gamblers often lose is when they start to get angry or greedy. Gambling is a matter of luck or not, enjoy when you win and forget about when you lose. That way, we will not fall into gambling addiction which often gets worse day by day
Any gambler could lose whether they are angry or greedy, or even have a neutral mind about it as it is a game of either side, it is either you win or lose, and no matter how you came prepared, you can have either fate. But it is said to aggravate when they do not show wisdom and restraint in their gambling, especially when they do not have a plan but are just gambling. Plans must be set aright before gambling for any reason, the plan must include how to gamble, the games to gamble, the budgets for gambling at that period of time and how many times you would gamble with a certain amount of money. If not, it will be like a car without a brake that will be moving anyhow with no control on stoppage, which is so bad for the gambler. This is certainly a way to do oneself harm while gambling and it might be too late for such a person to realize that. This is what can check our attitude towards gambling, but we also need discipline, and once we can enforce the discipline rightly, there is no way we will not be patient in all our gambling activities. More so, the plans and budgets we have will help us to be able to preserve the discipline as well.
1817  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Use your winning responsibly on: January 21, 2024, 05:28:54 PM
That's good, and the majority of gamblers don't have this mindset. Once they have won a reasonable amount, they have the mentality to gamble further and make it big. This is where the majority of the funds get lost and they end up unable to fulfill their small dreams and needs that could've been met by the winning amount. What OP has done is really great, and in my view, we should prioritize investment in cryptocurrencies in a larger percentage and allocate small funds to fulfill these kinds of needs depending on the market situation.
I think while there is a big win the gambler should reinvest the fund in another space so that there might be a potential income so that the person does not need to worry when there is a loss on the gambling or there is no profit on the gambling. And from the earning the person can fulfill their small dream.
The big win isn't always coming so when there is an opportunity to win such, it should be well utilized. Such money is not free money like many would term it, it is also not from an illegal source that warrants it to be wasted, so it should be treated like the money that someone sweated for. This is possible only if we appreciate the big win rather than being subjected to emotions where people waste it one way or the other simply because they believe they got it cheaply through gambling. If the money is big enough, some people could even start a business with it, but if that is not your calling, why not try investing online, or buying land and properties with it?

One could also buy assets like gold with it so that when they see it, they will know that this is from their big winning from gambling and they can forever remember and appreciate it better that way. Not wasting it in the bar, clubs and other places, or gifting friends anyhow, that is a waste. However, gambling continues still, one should not because they had won big totally abandon gambling, they can continue with a small fraction of that money as it will also be unwise to commit a bit amount or all their winnings back to it.
1818  Economy / Services / Re: [OPEN] Rollbit.com |Duel Arena Signature Campaign| Full Members+ Earn up to $80 on: January 21, 2024, 05:20:24 PM
Link: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=3519138
Current amount of posts (including this one): 677
SegWit (preferably bech32) BTC Address for Payouts: bc1qj0slnm8589dd3l69dxwdnrctnarsas2xejp0n3
EARNED merit in the last 120 days: 30

I am very much active on gambling board sir.

Sorry guys, I would like to correct that your merit earned in the last 120 days is 14

Bitcointalk Profile Link: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=3515662;sa=summary
Current post count: 128
bech32 BTC Address: bc1qd0w5ewx6v52ca9m0ncg4n2r2v3ahehm3hqunrp
Merit EARNED in the last 120 days: 79

Your merit earned in the last 120 days is 67

Bitcointalk profile link: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php? action=profile;u=3528561
Current post count (Including this one): 187
bech32 BTC Address: bc1q4n4xz3ngs77xklemtngndw5kc545g33medgxma
Merit EARNED in the last 120 days: 131

Your merit earned in the last 120 days is 126


Indeed, the amount of merit earned often changes even if it is only a difference of one day, maybe we need to check it first before registering. Good luck guys  Wink
This caught my eye and I must say that you must have had enough spare time to check this out. Smiley If they are true, then I believe these guys knowingly inflating this merits number. This is deliberate judging by the huge difference between them. Also, they are not kids not to know they need to count their merits right before applying, they only know that CMs don't have much time to verify merit numbers and use that advantage.
1819  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Why people mostly fail in trading on: January 21, 2024, 04:51:26 PM
Trading isn't a quick way to get rich because it's tougher than it seems. Success lies in knowing the craft, controlling emotions  and managing risks you can afford. Mistakes often come from thinking it's easy or relying on a couple of YouTube video so we should always verify our facts and do not always be impuslive in making decisions
You have said very right things about trading, because trading does not always work as before or as it has happened before in the market. So every trader really has to strengthen his knowledge and resistance to risk when market conditions start to go the way he didn't want before, so looking at references from YouTube videos for trading matters also won't guarantee that a trader will immediately get better results. Because the video was deliberately uploaded to attract more attention from many people whose profession is traders.
I watch in pity these days trading strategies and results from YouTube and others, they are just capturing the best moment which they can use to cajole people into believing their trading strategy or even use their system. Some could be free, while others could be paid, but in all, they are making sure that their online activities are active, it is the trader that will need to apply wisdom. But it is not all the strategies and approaches towards trading that are bad,  only that they may not not as good as they claim they are, but trading needs more than what they are teaching people, while many of the ways they are even teaching are not supposed to be so. Nonetheless, it is still a plus that they will eventually introduce the trader to something and that is fine, it is now left to the person to practice what they introduced whether or not they will work and to continue learning as trading needs much of learning and I do not think there is a stop to it, ever.

In addition, trading is a survival of the fittest and traders should know that they can't get it all done in a single day. It needs patience and the perseverance of the trader, and this must be worth it if the trader is learning continuously. That is the only way improvements can happen. I also urge all traders who are still searching for a trading strategy to be sure that they have good management and plans, they should not leave themselves to emotion, a good trading psychology will also help the strategy you know to work. It is not all about the strategy alone, the way the trader uses it matters too.
1820  Economy / Speculation / Re: Has anybody expected this? on: January 21, 2024, 04:26:16 PM
Bitcoin price hasn't been what we expected this year and December (2023) has also given us a disappointing amount because we all expected the price to be up to $50k before getting to 2024 but still it didn't, to me it was a poor performance in the movement of Bitcoin price.
This year even got worse that it (Bitcoin price) could not surpass $45k and keep moving to the next one and stay there for long.
Of recent we saw Bitcoin moving to $47k but it didn't waste much time in getting back to $40k and now is $41k. While the price is not favorable all these while I feel is the main reason why we had that high fee rate. But as everything has come back to normal I feel the price of Bitcoin will as well be going up without coming back down, let's hope it goes that way to put a smile on traders and investors.
Disappointment? How? Anyone expecting more from Bitcoin despite how much it performed last year is an ingrate. The issue is that human expectations will always be more and more, it can't be satisfied even as things progress, and what I can only relate to it is greed. From the beginning of 2023, Bitcoin started barely at $17,000 and moved higher in a few months and was able to hold at almost x2 of the price for many months after. All what I saw was mainly $40,000 on the forum which I never knew Bitcoin would even reach throughout the year. But for the ETF hype, the coin moved higher and even beat the expectations of people and almost hit $45,000 in the year.

In the second week of 2024, it reached above $49,000 which is closer to $50,000, anyone who is not greedy should have even liquidated their position if that is what they are so desired to do. Bitcoin, as far as I am concerned, was heroic last year and what we are experiencing this year is very normal. We all know that ETF made it move too much, and the market was overpriced, so it is normal that it shed some pips to ease itself before there will be the continuation of the bullish movements which I believe will hit the $50,000 easily and pass it this year. We should only be grateful that it hasn't dropped lower than its current price ($41,595) now.
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