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we may drop 10% to 15% again which is very interesting if we do.
Frankly with real luck we do a -15 say dec 16 and then a -10 jan1
which will get us down to around 33,000,000,000 gh and a diff of 4,800,000,000,000
for jan of 2019
a diff of 4,800,000,000,000 works for around a 2500 price point for a 4 cent miner
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Do You think that we are going to see the miner done ?
When I was given the chance to be refunded last month I took the refund. I was afraid of no software support. Sad so sad. I'm not too worries honestly, I had some emails back and forth trying to get a review unit. I talked to one of the devs and he seemed to be ontop of his shit, they are super busy getting these orders out which I just went ahead and bought. (215+) fpga are definitely the future and I'd SQRL can't get a software solution out someone else will and charge for it since the hardware is out. They don’t get off that easy. This was sold as an all in one solution. Yes software has to be included. I know as long as you get your money screw the ethics of it all right? Keep allowing shady business practices and all this will ever be is a shady financial scheme. Which is still up in the air with me. I have some issue with the design of pow that can’t be addressed and never will. There will always be a “war” over who has control over the blockchain. Yayyy man finding another way to help his undoing. When will one learn from past mistakes! I'm not saying they shouldn't release a software solution like promised what I am saying is the nature of FPGA especially in the mining world will be if there is a group of users with the exact same hardware and pinout it wouldn't make sense to not build software for it. If enough acorns are sold someone will make software with a fee for sure. That's why I'm not too worried about this being hardware without a use. The hardware is flowing (I ordered Sunday and it arrives tomorrow) I can tell you I'm around order 4200 so there are plenty of these going out in the wild. Worst case scenario is SQRL flops and we have to get our fpga from somewhere else but I'm not expecting SQRL to flop. worst case is they work great and market floods with them. Thus killing off most profits of most gpus. |
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Almost 4 years mining solo here on and today the miners go offline  Kept minimum of 1th here and pushed up to 50ph at times with rentals. Goodbye Solo Mining... <---- as the text said, Solo or Nothing.. Looks to be the latter of the two.. Now is not the time to quit, but to acquire more asics, at this low cost. with btc prices being this low, to most people it makes more sense to buy bitcoin rather than buying an ASIC . in solo mining every ASIC you buy is a liability, unless you have free power. this could be a never ending discussion, everyone should think wisely before attempting to invest in anything mining related now. the game has changed. sadly 2017 is long gone. Keep something on solo, we are so close! yet so far? and there also seems to be some manipulation going on to drop price so low that big dogs with $$$$ can buy low. thats some bullshit!!  Would love to continue stocking up miners and keep running, but solo was the dream way to have kept growing and kept the lights on and the power flowing but it was not to be. Anyone want some miners? V9's S9's A3's D3's L3's + loads of S3. Probably no use to anyone now though.  Another 2 racks like this next door. pm sent |
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Do You think that we are going to see the miner done ?
When I was given the chance to be refunded last month I took the refund. I was afraid of no software support. Sad so sad. I'm not too worries honestly, I had some emails back and forth trying to get a review unit. I talked to one of the devs and he seemed to be ontop of his shit, they are super busy getting these orders out which I just went ahead and bought. (215+) fpga are definitely the future and I'd SQRL can't get a software solution out someone else will and charge for it since the hardware is out. They don’t get off that easy. This was sold as an all in one solution. Yes software has to be included. I know as long as you get your money screw the ethics of it all right? Keep allowing shady business practices and all this will ever be is a shady financial scheme. Which is still up in the air with me. I have some issue with the design of pow that can’t be addressed and never will. There will always be a “war” over who has control over the blockchain. Yayyy man finding another way to help his undoing. When will one learn from past mistakes! I'm not saying they shouldn't release a software solution like promised what I am saying is the nature of FPGA especially in the mining world will be if there is a group of users with the exact same hardware and pinout it wouldn't make sense to not build software for it. If enough acorns are sold someone will make software with a fee for sure. |
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Since we're talking about coins...
Can you guys think of any CN-variant-based PoW+PoS coin? BCI is great for slowly accumulating and staking but AMD gpus just suck at ProgPow (or rather, no decent dev has yet come out of the woodworks and built a good AMD miner)...
I need to find something both efficient to mine with the AMD rigs and that appreciates (stakes) over time.
I bite the bullet with my 4 amd vegas I mine bci but I also have 12 x 1080ti's pointed at them. http://solo-bci.altpool.pro/workers/iG5mxRMZErtXwReBaEvpYam7PQStwgK5hRthat is me and rig 3 is the vega rig It's a big bullet to bite though, I need to run my six Vegas at -30% PL to keep the rig under 1350W... which makes them hash slower than my five "regular" 1080's... that draw 900W at the wall. ProgPow is atrocious for Vegas currently. If you have Vegas, Cryptonight variants run best on them. Enter your hashrates here, https://miner.rocks/, and you can see revenue/profits all the CN coins of various variants. My favorite is XHV - Haven Protocol / Cryptonight-Heavy us just under $1 per coin now, solo blocks 22 XHV Another profitable coin is DERO, I have 2 x X3 running 330kh/s x 2 = 660kh/s mining DERO at about $7-8 per day per X3. Each X3 takes only puny 440watts (overclocked). Yup, know all about the CN algos. Got a bag of XHV myself. Just wondering whether there's any CN-based PoW+PoS hybrid coins. Would be nice to combine the efficiency of mining CN together with the staking of rewards. Yeah I am looking for one myself the biggest problem I now have with bci is I have a lot of the (about 4200) I try to keep certain ratios of my coins and I am a bit heavy on the bci |
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Since we're talking about coins...
Can you guys think of any CN-variant-based PoW+PoS coin? BCI is great for slowly accumulating and staking but AMD gpus just suck at ProgPow (or rather, no decent dev has yet come out of the woodworks and built a good AMD miner)...
I need to find something both efficient to mine with the AMD rigs and that appreciates (stakes) over time.
I bite the bullet with my 4 amd vegas I mine bci but I also have 12 x 1080ti's pointed at them. http://solo-bci.altpool.pro/workers/iG5mxRMZErtXwReBaEvpYam7PQStwgK5hRthat is me and rig 3 is the vega rig |
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widespread here -2.6 to -18.6 the important thing to see is we are down 29 blocks we are 25 hours in should be 6 x 25 = 150 actual made is 121 Latest Block: 552504 (7 minutes ago)
Current Pace: 80.6159% (121 / 150.09 expected, 29.09 behind)
Current Difficulty: 5646403851534.721XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
Next Difficulty: between 4591717672560 and 5499325209464
Next Difficulty Change: between -18.6789% and -2.6048%
Previous Retarget: Yesterday at 6:46 AM
Next Retarget (earliest): December 17, 2018 at 4:10 PM (in 13d 8h 23m 28s)
Next Retarget (latest): December 20, 2018 at 3:33 PM (in 16d 7h 46m 32s)
Projected Epoch Length: between 14d 9h 24m 25s and 17d 8h 47m 29s
As Agent Mulder would say "the truth is out there" Well in the case of mining BTC the gear is out there. Thats is why the prediction above has a big range. yeah we are really down around 18% but lots of gear could be turned back on. So -2 or even +1 could happen. I still see a price drop with this downward diff movement. |
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Looks like we did a minor screw-up and should have collected phone numbers for everyone at checkout since we are shipping out mostly fedex. If your order number is between 1190-1240 please reply to your order confirmation email with your phone number so we can update and send these out ASAP.
Ill shoot everyone an email reminder as well.
Okay I got the email I will give you a phone number. edit : I sent you a phone number via email |
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yeah I actually think this is a decent piece of gear. I don't have time to push but I will ask suchmoon again to lift the negative.
I sent a pm to suchmoon just now.
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A nice muffalota sandwich.
Vodka with fresh vanilla beans soaked for about a month.
Coffee and butter.
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I have one a921 coming soon. I will setup a rasp pi for it today and when I get it I will post clocks
I paid 396 to blokforge I used a cc and will get a 2% rebate so about 388.
That includes shipping and duty tax.
I am really interested in the downclock features.
The a841. Could downclock and be more efficient about 880-900 watts at a 10th setting.
Maybe the a921 can set to 16th and use 1200 watts . We shall soon see.
Maybe it will use asic boost.
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Do You think that we are going to see the miner done ?
When I was given the chance to be refunded last month I took the refund. I was afraid of no software support. Sad so sad. |
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well it is a good unit and bittawm reviewed it.
I asked suchmoon to pull the negative and he did not said he was busy. So for now I would say it probably is okay to buy it.
You could ask such moon why he kept the negative even though I asked for it to be pulled and it got a clean review .
Maybe such moon has more info that I am not aware of.
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A lot of miners run deals with power plants.
I worked on a 100 megawatt build out involving 5 power plants
the farm acts as a power leveler for 5 plants. They get a good deal under 4 cents more then 3 cents.
It is a real need for power plants to be able to shunt excess power> I can't name the plants or the city they support.
But I live in New Jersey which does not have a city big enough to use 5 power plants.
Of course NJ is Near
Philadelphia
New YorK City
Wilmington
any of those Cites Have a power grid that would need to be able to shunt power during low demand.
So the support floor does exist for low numbers. It is real and it is world wide as many power plants use farms to shunt power rather then turn down the generator as it is costly to do that.
I could do a really long complicated set of reasons of why bitmain would lower diff but the simple one is they would love to dump every s-9 they can dump to power companies that want to shed off peak load.
To me we get the -15%
we get the -10%
and price has downward pressure very close to 3000.
Then in 2019 we get a good bounce.
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yeah there is that and then there was bitmain running s-7's along side s-9's in hashnest.
At one point I estimate they had 200000 s-7's charging power rates at s-7. With no way to know how many of them were actually s-9's.
since 1 s-9 is 100 watts a th
and 1 s-7 is 250 watts a th. the math is 150 x 24 = 3.6 kwatts x 0.08 = 28.8 cents extra profit on every s-7 every day or
28,800 a day if 100,000 of the 200,000 s-7s were indeed s-9's this went on from May of 2016 to Feb or march of 2018
say 20 months x 30 days = 600 x 28,800 = 17 million plus.
to compound this have the s11 for sale on chinese website it pulls 70 watts a th vs 100 so they could have done this from Feb of 2018 to Dec of 2018 less of a score maybe 2 million all in 20 million plus.
Not saying they did it but they had the opportunity to do it and it would be undetected without proper accounting proceedures of which I have scene zero evidence of existing.
So yeah a lot of shit is happening now. Still look to be down around 15% and maybe another down after that.
This also means price drop will not hurt 4 cent power guys.
So I now see -15% then -10% with a dip to 2800 usd a coin.
4 cent power at current diff breaks even at 2600
and turns a 11 cent a day profit at 2800 with current diif
but drop diff to 5,653,303,141,405 and an s-9 makes 37 cents
drop diff to 5,000,000,000,000 and an s-9 makes 60 cents
many power plants can sell commercially at 4 to 5 cents they use s-9s when they have excess power rathe then shut down the plants.
so 4 cent profitability is worked into the bitcoin system ie dropping to a loss at 4 cents is not acceptable for these power plants.
So with diff of 6.6 now the floor price has big support in the low 3,100-3,400
but a diff of 5.5 will drop floor price to 2,900- 3,100
and a diff of 5.0 will drop floor price to 2,500-2,700
does not mean we will drop in price to those floors but those floors work for big 4 cent miners.
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@ yankees if we drop 15% to a diff of about 5,600,000,000,000
hash for that is around 40,000,000,000
Our current hash rate is about 36,600,000,000 that would mean a 10% drop say to a diff of 5,000,000,000,000
but we know that current rate of 36,600,000,000 could go in any direction so next jump is still a mystery.
Still a follow up jump/drop down to 4,900,000,000,000 with 36,600,000,000 gh would mean
the peak of 53,600,000,000 gh would now be down to 36,600,000,000 gh
about 17,000,000,000gh/14,000gh = 1,214,285 s-9s pulled off the market pretty amazing
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we are closing in on the drop about 16-18 hours to go Bitcoin Difficulty: 6,653,303,141,405
Estimated Next Difficulty: 5,674,530,203,616 (-14.71%)
Adjust time: After 87 Blocks, About 17.5 hours
Hashrate(?): 36,845,106,423 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 12.1 minutes
3 blocks: 36.2 minutes
6 blocks: 1.2 hours
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I did the math and estimate in may have been under 100,000 usd in earnings if they sold 2,500,000 s-9s
and everyone of us gave them a minute or so of hash.
They would do well to just settle and avoid cost of court.
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