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18481  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Dear Agents - you are TOO obvious! $120K sale on SUNDAY? (largest in 9 days!) on: July 17, 2011, 04:57:34 PM
Synaptic: 

ask your banking handlers about Bull markets and the power they have.  they know all about them in the context of the stock market, subprime loans, CDS/derivatives, oil, wheat, rice, real estate.

unfortunately they badly missed the greatest bull market of the last 11 yrs in gold/silver.

and they are using you as they miss the Bitcoin bull thats just getting started.

this will be a Bull market for the ages and will blow the sh*t off their doors.

i'm waiting for your response on my bet.
18482  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Deer Agents - you are TOO obvious! $120K sale on SUNDAY? (largest in 9 days!) on: July 17, 2011, 04:50:38 PM


I have to admit, that is a pretty obvious deer agent. Cheesy

you need to replace the deer with a Bull's head b/c Bitcoin is gonna blow the heads off all the doubters.
18483  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Dear Agents - you are TOO obvious! $120K sale on SUNDAY? (largest in 9 days!) on: July 17, 2011, 04:48:57 PM


Lol, I can only hope to fathom how you dug up such an apropos example.

Kudos.

how about the bet Synaptic?

obviously - he will not go for it since he knows who pays him, and he know that they failed with gold.

actually he knows that all the pay from his handlers will be wiped out by his loss on the bet.
18484  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Dear Agents - you are TOO obvious! $120K sale on SUNDAY? (largest in 9 days!) on: July 17, 2011, 04:46:37 PM


Lol, I can only hope to fathom how you dug up such an apropos example.

Kudos.

how about the bet Synaptic?

obviously - he will not go for it since he knows who pays him, and he know that they failed with gold.

shhhhh, i'm hoping he's as stupid as he sounds.
18485  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Dear Agents - you are TOO obvious! $120K sale on SUNDAY? (largest in 9 days!) on: July 17, 2011, 04:43:50 PM


Lol, I can only hope to fathom how you dug up such an apropos example.

Kudos.

how about the bet Synaptic?
18486  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Deer Agents - you are TOO obvious! $120K sale on SUNDAY? (largest in 9 days!) on: July 17, 2011, 04:39:49 PM
im not out of money on any day

sure you are.  you're running out of Bitcoin to sell as we speak.

I sold all my bitcoins last week


good, one less seller.
18487  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Deer Agents - you are TOO obvious! $120K sale on SUNDAY? (largest in 9 days!) on: July 17, 2011, 04:35:34 PM
Hey Synaptic,

i'll bet you 100 BTC right now that the exchange price will be higher one year from now than it is today in USD terms to be held in escrow.  How about it?
18488  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Deer Agents - you are TOO obvious! $120K sale on SUNDAY? (largest in 9 days!) on: July 17, 2011, 04:32:26 PM
im not out of money on any day

sure you are.  you're running out of Bitcoin to sell as we speak.
18489  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: The Bitcoin Show on OnlyOneTV.com on: July 16, 2011, 06:36:04 PM
I chat with Penn on twitter all the time...
And I know he already is aware of Bitcoin.  For some reason I think he has something invested quietly, but who knows, it doesn't matter, he hasn't made many declarations (other than one or two tweets I had seen of his).    So what's up Bruce, you need a 2 minute sketch written and you'll get Penn to do it?  Tongue

Write it. Send it to me. 

Then I'll see what I can do. 

who is Penn?  Sean?
18490  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: If you guys want Bitcoin to heat up again .... on: July 16, 2011, 09:22:09 AM
Or, let Europeans transfer Euros to MtGox.   Grin

Which has not been allowed this whole past week.

why not?

MtGox is switching from their crappy old French bank which has been delaying and screwing up lots of people's transfers to a shiny new bank which may or may not provide better service.

every wire i've made to mtgox has been to Matsushita Bank, Japan
18491  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: If you guys want Bitcoin to heat up again .... on: July 16, 2011, 09:13:50 AM
Or, let Europeans transfer Euros to MtGox.   Grin

Which has not been allowed this whole past week.

why not?
18492  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: "TheInternet" Bot - Doing Something with Trades - How long? What happens after? on: July 16, 2011, 09:09:06 AM

Son, you have to realize that most of the people here are mouth-breathers who found a vehicle for their impotent societal frustrations.


so why are you acting out your societal frustrations by mouth breathing here on this forum?  i would think your time would be better spent on a stock exchange blog.

I'm not frustrated by society. I'm quite content to use USD or any other fiat currency.  I'm not fretting about governmental fiscal policy or any other of the non-sense ailments that bitcoiners hope to cure with their evangelism.

My time would be better spent doing any number of other more productive things, but I have a compulsion to engage in cheap entertainment and this forum offers plenty of it. Additionally, when presented rarely, it gives a good opportunity to engage in meaningful debate. But rarely.
Plus, you are being paid well by you employer to do this (Thinktank group? Banking Cartel? CIA?) - so that  is clearly an excellent motivation..

But seriously, bitcoin nullify banks, which is the strongest power faction on this planet. NOT having paid sophist like you here - well, that would be a surprise. But since, like everyone else, you also need to make a living - I welcome you and support your hopeless effort to try to slow down, even by a small measure, the explosion of Bitcoin which is coming soon (just wait until every porn & non-governmen-approved-gambling site will discover it and implement it with zero effort using something like bit-pay.com...)

+1
18493  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: [Hypothetical] What if Bitcoin were to restart tomorrow? on: July 16, 2011, 09:05:29 AM
On a side note, how can draw any conjecture on the size of the 'underground drug economy'? Any number you come up with is complete BS speculation. I have never answered a poll about how much weed I sold last fiscal year, nor can I imagine that many other black market operators did so honestly. Any number that LE of governments throw about are extrapolations based on what they caught, which is impossible to calculate because they have no idea what percentage they missed...

I am no economist, but I know your model is oversimplified to the point of irrelevance. The vast majority of the world's wealth is not tied up in paper. I doubt that there will be explosive growth like the month of June again, but I do not doubt a steady stream of takers lining up until some confidence-shattering catastrophe.

I am using the estimates of governments.  They use educated estimates based on things like how much they bust, the size of grow fields in South America, spies in the drug cartels, etc.  Even if they are off by a factor of 4 and the drug economy is 20% of the world economy (A very high number), it still won't allow for increases like the ones we have seen since the beginning of Bitcoin.

You are correct that most of the wealth is not tied up in paper.  But that isn't relevant to the discussion.  What matters is the amount of economic activity measured in existing currency and extrapolating that to bitcoins.  The results are very unlikely to be off by more than a factor of 10, so they are still relevant to fact that bitcoins will  almost certainly never grow larger than 10,000 times their current value.

just accounting for currency completely ignores leverage.  i know of several folks who've bought btc on credit.

it would take just a small fraction of the worlds leverage to drive btc much much higher.
18494  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: "TheInternet" Bot - Doing Something with Trades - How long? What happens after? on: July 16, 2011, 01:24:58 AM

Son, you have to realize that most of the people here are mouth-breathers who found a vehicle for their impotent societal frustrations.


so why are you acting out your societal frustrations by mouth breathing here on this forum?  i would think your time would be better spent on a stock exchange blog.

I'm not frustrated by society. I'm quite content to use USD or any other fiat currency.  I'm not fretting about governmental fiscal policy or any other of the non-sense ailments that bitcoiners hope to cure with their evangelism.

My time would be better spent doing any number of other more productive things, but I have a compulsion to engage in cheap entertainment and this forum offers plenty of it. Additionally, when presented rarely, it gives a good opportunity to engage in meaningful debate. But rarely.

LOL!
18495  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: "TheInternet" Bot - Doing Something with Trades - How long? What happens after? on: July 16, 2011, 01:24:04 AM
why do you keep saying they have dark orders?  they've eliminated that option.

I'm curious about an answer to this question myself. I have not read any notification concerning the elimination of dark-pool trading, it just went poof after the crash.

It could be that instead of showing up and just not being usable for people with a sub-$10k balance in their accounts, it simply doesn't even show up for them at all anymore, while in the meantime still being a viable option for those who do have that kind of cash.

Plus, judging from Adams remark to that guy who placed an inquiry a few days back to sell 50-100k bitcoins on their platform, there could be an OTC dark pool option (as in, mail Adam or Mark and they place a dark pool order for you).

It would be nice if someone with knowledge said something about this.

no, there are no more dark orders from someone who has had >10K in his acct.
18496  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: "TheInternet" Bot - Doing Something with Trades - How long? What happens after? on: July 15, 2011, 11:07:31 PM

Son, you have to realize that most of the people here are mouth-breathers who found a vehicle for their impotent societal frustrations.


so why are you acting out your societal frustrations by mouth breathing here on this forum?  i would think your time would be better spent on a stock exchange blog.
18497  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: "TheInternet" Bot - Doing Something with Trades - How long? What happens after? on: July 15, 2011, 10:53:33 PM
I woudn't say they're shit, it just depends on your perspective.  I think there's enough profit potential in the exchanges that I created my bot.  That would imply I don't think they are shit.  I have to hold inventory of bitcoin and USD, so I'm unfortunately forced to be a speculator when I don't want to, but I've accepted that risk for now.

The TL;DR version would be that I'm astounded at the level of trust this forum has with the major exchanges.  They just assume they'll do the right thing in the face of tremendous temptation.  I mentioned frontrunning in my last post, but MtGox could fix price at it suits them and the rest of the exchanges would follow.  That makes frontrunning look mild.  They could also come up with clever ways to have market-mulligans by rolling back trades  Roll Eyes.

If anything is shit, it's the mentality of this forum.  That you're a hater if you question the exchanges or point out obvious flaws.  I want bitcoin to work as much as the next guy, but that doesn't mean I'm just going to ignore obvious hurdles and opportunities for unethical behavior.  As they say, absolute power corrupts absolutely, and right now MtGox has that type of power until some other exchange can draw a large share of the market.

why do you keep saying they have dark orders?  they've eliminated that option.
18498  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin growth - The Long View on: July 15, 2011, 01:55:21 PM
how would you acct for a btc enthusiast like myself who never opens up his client unless he needs to?  and i do that only b/c i'm afraid of an attack.
18499  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: [Hypothetical] What if Bitcoin were to restart tomorrow? on: July 15, 2011, 03:57:34 AM
i think its much higher than this.

It was just an arbitrary number to use in the example.  You could be right.

Quote
this is not even close to being correct.  there was no market during those 30 min and set the chart on 1 min. i witnessed the entire crash firsthand and all new buyers, except for Kevin Day, could not log on which would have blunted the fall.  i believe the hacker blocked all access to prevent this.  and how does the creation of 500K fake BTC represent a market event?

I was not aware that the hackers prevented all access.  The 500k, fake or not, would be a market event in that it quantifies the amount of coin that it would take to move the price substantially.  However, if buyers were blocked by the hackers then obviously the data is corrupt.  But as I said, I wasn't aware of this, my understanding was they just flooded the market and ate up all the bids.

if you use Sierra Charts like i do, go back to that 30 min timespan of the crash and set the chart on 1 min.  i knew it was a hack 10 minutes into it just by the appearance of the trading bars (or lack thereof).  instead of bars or candlesticks representing a range of trades going off during each minute, you'll see a continuous series of dashes (-) all the way down to 0.01.  the dashes (-) meant that all pre-existing bids at a particular price were just being wiped out one by one on the way down.  no new buyers were being allowed in.  it looks very strange on the chart and was obvious price manipulation by someone, or some entity, wanting price destruction.
18500  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: [Hypothetical] What if Bitcoin were to restart tomorrow? on: July 15, 2011, 03:22:14 AM
Providing for the unlucky also means providing for the irresponsible, and this reduces the incentive to behave responsibly, leading to less prosperity overall.

and oh have we had way too much of that the last 3 yrs (thinking of Wall St)
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