Ok.  fair enough.. deny and use my own phraseology against me... .O.k  I can deal with that.

Let me see if I can reframe this matter, then?

I think that part of my point is that there is nothing wrong with brainstorming with others, and I believe that this forum can prove quite useful in that regard. 

So each of us has differing strategies, but ultimately you have to find a strategy that is tailored for yourself, and there seems to be a lot that Hairy berry is not telling you.  Sure, he panic sold and panic bought at two points that he determined pretty decent odds of which direction the price was going.  His gut instincts seemed to have paid off pretty well, but the fact that he is using the term "panic" buy/sell shows that even he recognizes that he was having to pull some last ditch measures and to kind of change his plans along the way.  So there is a bit of devil in the details and gut reaction and gambling involved in such a strategy.

O..k.  Sure, the more experience you have buying and selling, then the more that you are going to be able to make those kinds of hairy berry plays, and from what I recall, Hairy was not even playing with all of his holdings, but instead a decent portion.. .maybe 30%-40% or something?  Maybe you can clarify this Hairy Berry... but anyhow, he is not playing balls to the walls, and he is also not outlining all of the factors that's triggering him to make his seat of the pants (panic) decision, which by pure definition seems to have been a bit unplanned, ballparking and maybe even throwing darts at a board... wholy shit, Hairy!!!!!!!   

Stop looking for a sorcerer, there are none.   Even the whales don't really know, even though they have better ability to know what they are going to do and what kind of effect what they are going to do might have on the price, but they do not know anything for sure, either.

 On a personal level, you merely have to pee pare ur selfie for both directions.  HELROW???  And that should not involve setting up an auto-suicide machine.   

I am not trying to prove anything.  I am merely making a comment about the bullshit status of said scammer, craigwright.

It is not even worth discussing about Wright being a scammer in any kind of detail... His personality is not even close to consistent with the personality of Satoshi.

I don't have any kind of burden to show that Wright is not satoshi.. wright or any of his sycophants have the burden to show that he is, satoshi if that is what he or they want(s) to do.. ...

If Wright or his sycophants want to establish that Wright is satoshi, then we need solid evidence and logic to support such assertion, otherwise get the fuck out of here, because he is not .. he is just a scumball scammer, snake oil salesman, pretentious and pompous asshole... that seems fairly obvious from a large majority of his public appearances, and I could give a shit if he happens to be the nicest guy in the world in private, he has shown his low life status in a variety of public ways.

I agree that Trump represents an against all odds phenomenon, and against all odds phenomena happen from time to time, yet even conceding that against all odds events happen, it would be looney to plan our lives around such events.

Rather, to be more realistic and sane, we need to largely prepare our lives around more likely events.

You know the expression "hope for the best and prepare for the worst," right?  That does not mean that we only focus on the extreme possibilities, but we prepare our self for either extreme, even though the most likely outcome is going to be somewhere in the middle (even though we are prepared for a variety of possibilities), and also there are personal things that are somewhat under our control, but not everything either, so sometimes we also have to prepare for unexpected events that occur that our outside of our control - yet having said all of that the bulk of our preparations should still be to expect more likely outcomes, rather than less likely outcomes, even though from time to time, the more extreme outcomes happen, but even when the more extreme outcomes, happen, we do not throw the whole approach out the window, merely because some strange shit happened.

I'm thinking that you are on the right track:

Wright's whole scheming personality is no way parallel to the evidence of Satoshi's personality (whether Satoshi was an individual or a group).  In fact, Wright's patent troll behavior reflects the exact opposite of the spirit and intent of an innovator of an open source project, and earlier you had acknowledged that Wright seems to have a lot of anger, which is also inconsistent with someone who has truly invented a paradigm changing system....

I suspect that your deceptive postings in this forum (or alternatively on the blockchain or alternatively some other random and irrelevant place) go back to 2010 or even early 2009.. and likely traceable on the blockchain in one way or another. 

At this time, I have absolutely no evidence nor logic to support my suspicions or my feelings..   I know that should not matter and my current conception of this would be a good fit within the newly forming team alliances of Quickseller and alia... at least on "dream nullius" project.

I guess part of my implied point was that your further assertion regarding potential squirreliness of aTriz is premature because there is no real evidence yet that he is being squirrelly in any kind of meaningful way, at least not so far. 

Furthermore, even though a lot of participants in these aTriz/alia relational threads seem to despise you in various ways, if you raise some arguably valid points, it seems that those points are not really ignored by others.. even if it might turn out an indirect way of the others not admitting that you may have raised the point(s) first...   

Actually, if aTriz says that he is willing to answer any questions from members besides you, then that is not really obstructing any kind of meaningful inquiry.  There are a lot of inquisitive persons here, and not all of them are your sock puppets, right?  And does it matter, at this point?

Maybe try reading the OP of this thread, and then you should be able to figure it out.. .including a link in the first couple of sentences of the OP, perhaps?

Sure, this is a speculation thread, but I don't see why you keep repeating this improbable nonsense that a person who is confirmed to be a scammer Craig Wright is going to have access to nearly 1 million bitcoins or some other proximate amount in early 2020, just because his lying ass makes such a FUD spreading proclamation.

You scare yourself with improbable pie in the sky fantasies, and then you feel some kind of need to share such nonsense with us?

Oh my!!!!!

We knew this was coming sooner or later. 


A confirmed liar to be proclaiming to have evidence of a scam.

Yep.  You seemed to identified that PoolMinor has a past practice of saying a bunch of random unsubstantiated bullshit stuff with a seeming goal to be viewed as a bitcoin sorcerer.   He is not the only one, in this thread that has some kind of seeming psychological issue that they want to be right, and believe that there is some kind of value in that.

 Surely, there is a chance that he could get his prediction correct, and then he would be puffing out his chest all over the place in this thread, and perhaps otherwise, attempting to get credit for his random luck (and maybe even trying to get gullible folks to pay him for such nonsense).

Something is missing here, no?

We gotta moon at $100,000 before we are going to be able to moon at $1million...

Maybe Mr. MacFee is going to become, Ms.?

I know that you are just referring to alia as a "child" as a kind of communicative effect, but many of us likely realize that there is a slim chance that alia is a child (whether 15, or 19 or even in her lower 20s), and whether she is a man or a woman  (a boy or a girl) does not matter too much, except for the statistical likelihood that she is probably a man rather than a woman, and likely someone who has a decent amount of time (whether a team or an individual) in the scheming and scamming scene.. so at least in her upper 20s, unless she started scheming as a teenager, and even teenagers should take a considerable number of years before there is any necessity to become so freakin ass jaded.  

So, I do not necessarily conclude that alia is stupid, but likely does have various mental issues regarding the degree to which s/he/it pursues certain distracting, trolling, scheming, shilling agendas and has gotten into a life in which these activities are "normal" and a way to make money off of gullible others - and surely, there is some teaming up going on, and we cannot always know those various relationships when we do not have access to some of the background login information - ip addresses, etc.

I try to NOT be so formal about my period, but instead I try to be harmonized without writing it down.

Actually, i understand that the activity period remains more important as you rank up, but once you become legendary, it seems to be less important, even though I still do like to see my activity number growing - probably even if we try to NOT be conscious of the whole ranking process, there is something that makes us feel good to increase in rank, which is partly accounted through activity period, and now with the merit system...  For example, even though currently legendary members don't really need more merits because currently, there is no regular forum rank beyond legendary (apart from receiving some kind of special appointment by theymos), yet it still feels good to receive recognition for posts through the merit system.  Actually, when I first started giving out my smerits, I would give them out pretty generously based on already being familiar with some of the post history of other members or getting some kind of decent appreciation of a post of a new member.  Surely as time passes, all of us will likely become more discerning regarding how we dish out our smerits, and surely it may take some time for forum administration to really verify how it is playing out (or gamed) and various ways to tweak the whole merit system by also figuring out if some deserving members are not receiving merits because there are not enough merit sources or some other possible appropriate and reasonable tweaks to this new system of acquiring new kinds of points.

By the way, I am thinking that stevegee might be a relative of mine, perhaps a cousin 5 or 8 times removed.  Perhaps?

That explains why sometimes the rich are more deserving than the poor.. hahahahahaha

O.k.  dragonvslinux, just go out there and attempt to make good quality posts, go to threads that are interesting to you, read through the thread, ask interesting questions and have fun by engaging in the forum, and little by little you will likely earn some merits, which will cause you to also have some smerits in your bank.

I know that forum policy does discourage hoarding of smerits, but perhaps you might want to attempt to earn something like 20 merits, and then you will have 10 smerits in your bank, and then whenever you earn more smerits, then spend them while attempting to maintain a 5-10 smerit reserve - each of us can create our own smerit banking policies in that regard (can you tell that I don't like the word, "hoarding", but instead prefer to refer to it as maintaining an smerit bank savings?).

Oh my Rosewater.... I hope you are not going down the pessimism road, again... so easily.

Bitcoin is in a great place in terms of price and overall dynamics, fundamentals and considering which scenarios are more likely and less likely, even if we experience a further price correction from here, we remain in a great place.

This should not b about me being optimistic or too optimistic.

Have you ever invested in an asset, such as bitcoin, that went up 20x in a year, and then corrected down 70% and still is floating pretty solidly at more than 10x from it's starting point from a year ago?  

You are certainly a glass half-full kind of guy, if you cannot figure out some kind of way to at least not be so pessimistic, and getting upset if you believe that others (such as me) are too optimistic.

Further, you seem to have a bit of a desire that somehow either I am wrong in my strategy or my outlook or that I get hurt by my btc trading strategy, but my btc trading strategy prepares for either price direction.. of course, if prices go below $1k, I am not going to be very happy about that kind of a scenario, but I am still going to be o.k. financially, so it is really difficult to hurt me, when my btc portfolio is already set up and prepared for either BTC price direction and even more extreme scenarios than what we have already experienced.



It would be very difficult for me to be wrong on this suicide point, and if you are in a suicidal state then you have some real difficulties that are likely in need of more counsel than can be provided in a quasi-anonymous bitcoin talk thread, such as this one.  

Either professional help would be good or maybe completely removing yourself from whatever toxic environment you happen to be in, and maybe getting back to nature or even finding some other reason to live (besides bitcoin if bitcoin what is causing you so much stress) - of course, if you were to have some kind of terminal health condition then that might be another story that is more suitable for hospice care specialist advice rather than counseling with bitcoin market pranksters that are found lurking in these kinds of BTC talk threads.

Ok.  I will admit that I provided a bit of a facetious answer to your inquiring post because I had thought that there would be a bit of common sense in theymos's description of "somewhat established member"..

Of course, the description is not precise, and therefore, it leaves theymos with a decent amount of discretion to determine when he were to come to the belief that a member is sufficiently "established" to meet his expectations.

Just think about the membership situation for a moment.  There are nearly 2 million accounts registered with the forum, and many accounts have been active for several years, but even if only 10% of the accounts are active, that still makes 200k active members from which theymos can choose sources, and there are a lot of members with a lot of experiences and participation in different sections on the forum.

So, a threshold question might be how the hell is theymos going to get to know you or to trust your judgement in any kind of way as a jr member, it is going to be through your posts and also with the passage of some time.  

So, likely several hundred posts through a year would be a kind of minimum threshold, and since this new merit system has been established, probably theymos would want you to have received a decent number of merits, too... maybe nearly 100 as a minimum in order to rise to the level of "established".. so to me it had seemed like a bit of a silly question to be asking whether a Jr member would be considered by theymos to be "somewhat established" or to otherwise meet criteria to be designated as a merit source.  


Your response here, sunriseme, also, might be another example why you might not be designated as a merit source at any time in the near future.  Sure, you might feel good and funny to tell off another member, such as solovev, yet in the end, your response does not reflect very well your ability to deal with adversity and criticism.  You can work on those kinds of skills and attempt to make better posts that are not so seemingly gratuitously snarky towards other members.  Sometimes, there is a role for snarky, but usually it is best to play that card somewhat sparingly for better effect and also so it does not reflect negatively on you.

solovev,   do you have a link to the thread that was discussing ways to improve forum spam? 

I looked before I posted this message, and I found this thread. I had not seen that thread previously.