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21  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ? Lega Serie A ?? (Italian League) Prediction Thread 2023/2024? on: May 21, 2024, 01:42:47 PM
Now I wonder who their next manager is going to be... There are options who can be signed such as Conte, Motta for example.

Conte back to Juventus is an old rumor it maybe wouldn't happen for now. Motta, he is amazing with Bologna, linked with Juventus and AC Milan for now. Becoming a coach at Juventus or AC Milan will make Motta have a better career. However, this must also be proven by winning championships. The public was surprised by Bologna performance this season, but what will be happens if Motta coached a bigger club, would he be able to give a trophies? This is the most people will focus on him when going to bigger clubs.
22  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: May 21, 2024, 01:11:14 PM
Madrid owns everything, quality, consistency, productivity. All of things. The probability is also favoring madrid according from its historic in the UCL as well.

Yes, all of Madrid lines do not have significant weaknesses for Dortmund. playing defensive doesn't seem like the right solution to keeping their goal free from Madrid goals. Attacking will also open up Dortmund defense. So i think Dortmund must have a rhythm that plays with discipline in both defense and attack, at least to extend to extra time as OcTradism comments below.

People don't expect Dortmund to win within 90 minutes and even don't expect Dortmund to have a draw result against Real Madrid within 90 minutes. But if they can do at least a draw within 90 minutes, Real Madrid will be a little bit fearful in next 30 minutes because I am sure Dortmund will train a lot with penalty shots and they are really ready to pull the final match to penalty shootouts.

When the match comes to that spot, being a stronger or weaker team is no longer important. It will be a battle of mentality among players of two teams and usually a stronger team but fail to win within 90 and 120 minutes will feel more pressure.

Of course hard to expect Dortmund to win the match. Because, this is about a record that Madrid has, players and coaches who are ready to winning the title. If extra time an penalty shotout is the solution has been designed to open up Dortmund chances of winning the title, then 90 minutes will be a very difficult for them to keep clean sheet or stay draw. Because in these 90 minutes, Madrid will definitely be able to break down Dortmund defense with their attacking ability.
23  Local / Ekonomi, Politik, dan Budaya / Re: Bea Cukai on: May 20, 2024, 04:58:59 PM
1. Apakah memang instansi seperti Bea Cukai dan beberapa biro jasa lain yang berhubungan dengan negara memang seperti ini?
Saya ingat sekitar 2015 saya mendapatkan kaos dari salah satu media asal Jerman (One football), kaos yang jika divaluasi kurang dari $20, masuk ke Indonesia dengan pengiriman lewat Pos, saya mengambil produk ini tanpa dikenakan biaya sama sekali. Karena kalau tidak salah waktu itu, barang dengan valuasi kurang dari 500K IDR tidak dikenakan biaya pajak impor.

Beberapa tahun lalu, saya mendapatkan kiriman kaos dan topi dari Dubai, pengiriman melalui jasa DHL, dan saat itu saya juga tidak membeli alias kaos hasil dikasih marketingnya Polkadog (saya handle bountynya dulu). berbeda dengan tahun 2015, pada saat kaos ini sampai ke Indonesia, pihak DHL meminta biaya pajak senilai 400K IDR. sontak saya kaget, kok bisa ini kena pajak, sedangkan dulu tidak. Lagi pula, itu adalah gift bukan hasil beli. otomatis saya ikhlaskan tuh paket ga saya tebus


Artinya, bea cukai sempat tidak seburuk dengan kondisi saat ini yang mana piala saja di palak. Saya pikir, ini terjadi karena selama ini masyarakat yang kena "palak" tidak mau speak up, mereka pikir biaya impor kaos dengan pajak 400K dianggap wajar. Sehingga mereka merasa sah dan membayarnya. Sekarang, karena dibiarkan menjadi seperti ngelunjak. Jasa pemerintah saat ini sebenarnya sudah lebih baik sih mas. cuma area Pajak ini yang masih sering abu-abu.

2. Apakah memang kita harus mulai membuat sesuatu menjadi viral terlebih dahulu agar kebobrokan dan beberapa masalah yang memang selalu dirasakan terekspos sampai ke akar-akarnya?

Jika memviralkan bisa membuat negara kita bertindak, ya sebaiknya semua diviralkan saja mas. Kalau tidak seperti ini, kapan lagi ada tanggapan serius. Dengan viral ini, kekuatan rakyat menjadi menang. Dibandingkan dengan beberapa orang saja yang melaporkan yang pasti akan sangat minim tindakan. Hal ini tidak hanya di lingkup pemerintah pusat, di pemerintahan desa saja banyak kok kasus "pemalakan", bansos di sunat dengan dalih dibagi ke yang ga dapat, ga taunya masuk kantong pribadi orang deket:P
24  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: May 20, 2024, 04:45:39 PM
Also don't forget to congratulate Aston Villa who managed to finish in 4th place meaning they will play in the Champions League next season Aston Villa managed to eliminate Tottenham from the race for the last ticket, will Aston Villa be able to compete in the Champions League? To be honest, I doubt it, especially when I see their performance in the last 4 matches is quite bad.

Well, this is just encouragement and challenges for Aston Villa players. We have seen how Newcastle United played in the UCL this season, they failed to qualify from the group phase. Aston Villa will likely experience something similar. At least this is the history of a club that can play in the UCL with players who are not as expensive as MU and Chelsea players. Not to underestimate Aston Villa, but maybe they can do something better. Because, in the past there was Leicester City who managed to change the club's history in the UCL competitions and they are reaches quarter finals rounds. Who knows, Aston Villa could do the same.
25  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: May 20, 2024, 04:35:39 PM
There are still 10+ days before the 2023/24 UCL Final is held, Dortmund has a longer rest time than Madrid because Bundesliga has finished. Meanwhile, Madrid still has a schedule against Real Betis on May 26. Madrid has a better chance of winning than Dortmund, that is what most people believe. If you look at the probabilities released by Google, Madrid has a 60% chance, not 50% anymore and made them as favorites to win the trophy.



This is makes sense and I agree with this probability, on paper Madrid has superior players. Will there be any surprises from Dortmund? I'm not sure. but nothing is impossible
26  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: May 20, 2024, 04:24:29 PM
It was not something wrong. It's a transfer initiated by klopp, it may be clashing with arne slot's plan. That's why the management decides not to complete klopp's request to get the new players before he leaves from the club. The management must be professional by trying to follow what plans owned by the new manager.

It's really wrong to call it as a blunder by the management. There will always be procedure when working for the professional football.

Of course we can say whether it is a blunder or not, when we know the real situation. However, based on rumors, this started with rejection by management and made situation and relationship with management not good. that's why I said this was a blunder. Of course we will find a definite answer from Klopp statement, not just from media reports.

well, whatever the reason behind it, I'm sure an agreement has been reached between them, let it be just a speculation. A new era for Klopp career with another club, and a new era for Liverpool has been started. A tough task awaits for Klopp successor. From having many trophies in the last few seasons, it will not be easy for Liverpool new coach to achieve this achievement.
27  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: May 20, 2024, 02:24:11 PM
Pre-Klopp Liverpool era was a disaster, he did a great job and he will always remembered from taking them from a mid table to competing and winning their first ever EPL title and leaving a well structured team behind.

Klopp is the only Liverpool coach who has successfully won an EPL trophy in the club's history. Gave many other trophies too for Liverpool, so he is the best coach after Benitez. If Liverpool loses Klopp because management refuses transfer for player's expected by Klopp, then this will be a club blunder that cannot be accepted. It's like Liverpool has thrown away the diamonds owned by the club. although this season did not meet expectations.
28  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: May 20, 2024, 05:28:03 AM
Sassuolo has been in Serie A for 11 years with various surprises for the top Serie A teams. Sassuolo must start next season in Serie B. This is not a good result and will definitely disappoint Sassolo supporters. However, I personally believe that Sassuolo will only be in Serie B for one season. Next season, Sassuolo will return with new strength and enthusiasm. Some come and some go. We must welcome Parma and Como who have been confirmed promoted to Serie A next season.
29  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: May 17, 2024, 05:16:29 PM

 Atalanta themselves know that they won't be up for a joke game in the semi finals stage.

Atalanta has experienced defeat in the Coppa Italia, this can affect the overall mentality of the players. Against a team that has never lost so far will make it even more difficult for Atalanta players to play freely. I don't expect much from Atalanta, but if they can become champions, it will be a big surprise for Leverkusen. of course, I am pessimistic about seeing Atalanta win. From any perspective, I think Leverkusen is the best for the UEL champions this season, but everything can be happens event with 1% of chance.
30  Local / Topik Lainnya / Re: Diskusi Liga Inggris 2023/2024 (Bahasa Indonesia) on: May 17, 2024, 04:45:02 PM
Kejadian serupa dan sama di tahun 2021-2022 ketika penentuan juara di week 38, kala itu liverpool mengharapkan manchester city kalah, untuk liverpool juara, namun di akhir drama tidak sesuai ekpektasi mereka.

Saat itu persaingan yang lebih ketat sih, hanya selisih 1 poin kalau ga salah. Sebenarnya saya tidak memiliki ekspektasi apa pun pada week 38 ini, cuma siapa tahu ada keberuntungan untuk Arsenal. meskipun bukan fans, namun rasanya akan lebih menarik melihat Arsenal yang juara ketimbang City. tentu saja, mengharapkan city kalah pada match terakhir pastinya terkesan maksa dan tidak mungkin terjadi, mengingat City lebih konsisten dan memiliki skuad yang jauh lebih baik daripada West Ham.
31  Local / Altcoins (Bahasa Indonesia) / Re: Berburu Airdrop Hasil Gede on: May 17, 2024, 04:24:44 PM

nah ini bang, kayaknya yang jepe2 itu yang udah jalan dari tahun kemarin ya?
Kayanya sih begitu mas, saya cuma kebagian screenshotnya saja, karena tiap orang-orang aktif garap airdrop saya tidak ngerjakan apa-apa.

Ini dari awal thread ini, banyak yang saya teliti tapi ternyata ada yang rewardnya keciiiil, ada yang gak elig, ada yang ngeprank gak di reward, ada yang rewardnya gak jelas. Terutama yang dua di akhir itu banyak yang kayak gitu.
Ya mas, kita walaupun sudah mencoba untuk analisa dengan baik, kalau soal rewards sudah pasti harap-harap cemas, karena alokasi yang diberikan dan syaratnya berubah-ubah. Tapi, kalau kata teman saya, kita selalu beli paket data, daripada digunakan hanya untuk nonton youtube sama-sama ga dapat apa-apa, mending digunakan buat garap airdrop, soal rewards urusan belakangan. jadi, mereka yang aktif milih yang penting ada top backer/investor.

Aku jadi trauma wkwk balik lagi ke trading, paling airdrop biasa aja gak yang ginian. Udah repot2 gini gitu eh akhurnya kena prank
itu tea juga kayaknya bagus, pengen banget ikut tapi laptopku rusak
Ya itu adalah keputusan mas, kita tidak bisa meniru apa yang bisa orang lain lakukan. Semampu kita saja. Semoga segera kebeli laptop yang lebih bagus mas.
32  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Concerns grow over online gambling among teens on: May 17, 2024, 03:47:15 PM
Teenagers nowadays spend more time on social media. Meanwhile, many online gambling advertisements can be found on social media. I myself often block various types of gambling advertisements from my social media, because too many appear and tend to be annoying.

From what I found, of course very possible to be found on teenagers' social media accounts. The desire to try, the ease of registering and making deposits, are factors that can increase the number of teenage gamblers.

Then, the study[1] states that part of it is caused by a lack of attention from parents to take preventive measures so their children do not fall into online gambling.

[1] https://mottpoll.org/reports/parent-awareness-online-betting-among-teens
33  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: May 17, 2024, 03:39:24 PM
Thiago Motta have two seasons with Bologna and this season is amazing for him and Bologna. Young coach like Motta after one or two impressive seasons, will usually receive offers from big clubs. Juventus, if no longer want to work with Max, will tend to find another coach in Italy. They will not take risk to hire a coach who is not familiar with Serie A and Italian football.

Thiago Motta had many seasons in Italy and with his early success as a head coach in Bolgona, it's likely wise choice from Juventus if they send a good offer to Bologna and Motta, as their first target to replace Max as their new head coach next season.

Thiago Motta is the main target expected by Juventus. but all of these are just rumors from media, who probably only want to make Motta believe that he has more abilities than just being Bologna coach. Of course, I believe he can do more with higher clubs like Juventus, Roma, Napoli or AC Milan.

However, if you are reading more news about who Allegri's successor will be, there are several names mentioned by media, but one name mentioned there is,  Zidane, for this one is unlikely to happen. Meanwhile, the other names are Conte and Tuchel.
34  Local / Topik Lainnya / Re: Diskusi Liga Inggris 2023/2024 (Bahasa Indonesia) on: May 16, 2024, 06:51:47 PM
Satu hal yang membuatku berani megang bawah, karena pada dasarnya saya adalah pendukung setia Red Devil, maka jika Man City atau Arsenal kalah itu akan menjadi hiburan tersendiri. Memang seperti sebuah misi yang mustahil, karena baik Arsenal dan Man City memiliki motivasi yang tinggi untuk mendapatkan kemenangan, dan performa kedua tim tersebut sedang dalam kondisi yang bagus, serta itu merupakan laga kandang mereka berdua.
Saya sih mengharapkan man city kalah dalam pertandingan terakhir ini, sedangkan untuk arsenalnya menang, sehingga trofi EPL musim ini didapatkan oleh Arsenal. keduanya bukanlah tim favorit saya, namun saya hanya ingin melihat gunner kembali juara EPL, karena sudah cukup lama mereka absen juara EPL, tentu saja cukup mustahil untuk melihat City kalah. Namun, siapa tahu keberuntungan ada di pihak Arsenal kali ini.
35  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: May 16, 2024, 05:59:23 PM

This is one of the best thing Chelsea have done to put a smile on the faces of all the fans, finishing above clubs (Man UTD and Newcastle) who have been there before them since the beginning of this campaign should be an achievement even though some Chelsea fans would think otherwise.
The Blues made football lovers lose faith in them and now that the season is have a game to go they have picked up their lost form and I'd rate Pochettino 7/10 for what he has done in the last 4 games. But the question is, can he (Pochettino) maintain this form till next season and even get the players to do more than they have done because next season is going to be much of a challenge, can he?

Being above Man United and Newcastle does not mean anything for Chelsea. They are a club that is compete in the UCL, being in 6th place, which means they missed out on this opportunity. This is not the best thing that Chelsea can give to fans, but it actually makes this a nightmare. Not being able to see their team play in the UCL indicates that the team they support is not optimal. This cannot be accepted to continue for long time. MU has been in a position like this for quite a long time, losing its title as a team that often wins to a mediocre team that cannot compete well. For Chelsea fans, this can be something to fear.
36  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Peoples expectations about casinos free spins on: May 16, 2024, 04:04:03 PM
There are several types of free spins that can be obtained from various providers. There are "free spins with base bet" this is usually given with a "deposit and get free spins or do a minimum wager to get free spins" promotional model. In my opinion, this does not provide high expectations for those who receive it.

Another free spins is a free spins feature in slot gambling, from these free spins gambler will get a multiplier. Of course this gives gamblers higher expectations than previous one. Who wouldn't expect a free spins feature if multipliers could only be obtained from this feature? thats why everyone will hope for a win from this free spins and can give them more money. I know this expectations can be an excessive expectations. but this is the real conditions.
37  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: May 16, 2024, 03:55:27 PM
Juventus decided not to continue Allegri as coach next season. The Coppa Italia trophy that he give for Juventus at least provided a good memory for club and fans. Even with a squad that did not play consistently in this season, it could still give Juventus the championship title, this can be a good achievement. Of course, this trophy was not what management and fans hoped for, but what Allegri has experienced this season makes it difficult for him to provide good strategy and play for his team, this trophy still can be a gift for all.
38  Local / Ekonomi, Politik, dan Budaya / Re: [DISKUSI] OJK Cabut Ijin Paytren, Apa Masyarakat Sadar Bahaya Investasi Bodong?? on: May 16, 2024, 03:37:26 PM
Saya dulu sempat ingin join Paytren, cuman untuk pendaftaran saya disuruh bayar dan belum termasuk saldo pulsa. Karena saya pernah jualan pulsa sebelumnya dengan sistem downline itu tidak ada biaya pendaftaran apa pun, saya langsung balik badan. Saya sudah berpikir ini tidak beres. Bagaimana pun dengan modal kecil rate pulsa yang ditawarkan di paytren sampai ke downline itu jadi lebih mahal.

Kalau dianggap tidak jelas, tentu anggapan ini salah, karena sudah dipromosikan seorang ustadz kondang di masanya. Cuma mungkin karena terlalu banyak bisnis yang dikelola jadi manajemennya amburadul. Kalau dalam skala kecil sih tanpa manajemen sih mungkin bisa jalan bisnis seperti ini. karena ini sudah lingkup nasional, wajar jika OJK mempertanyakan struktur perusahaan. Karena, jika ada pemodal dengan modal besar yang merasa dirugikan, mereka bisa memberikan tuntutan dengan jelas kepada siapa dan di mana. Kalau tidak ada kantor dan struktur organisasi perusahaan, memang mending di tutup saja, dan OJK mengambil keputusan yang tepat dalam hal ini.
39  Local / Topik Lainnya / Re: Diskusi Sepak Bola Serie-A Italia (Analisa, Rumor & Jadwal) - Bahasa Indonesia on: May 16, 2024, 11:27:46 AM
Klub yang dimiliki oleh SENT Entertament, COMO 1907, berhasil menembus Serie-A musim ini. Lucunya orang-orang dari +62, hanya karena COMO dimiliki oleh bisnismen Indonesia, +62 seakan-akan ingin nitipin 1-2 pemain timnas Indonesia untuk didatangkan oleh COMO musim depan. Bahkan social media COMO pun di hujat oleh netizen +62 karena rumor untuk mendatangkan salah satu pemain timnas Indonesia dibantah oleh pihak klub.

Tim yang sudah pasti degradasi dari Serie A
- Salernitana


Tim yang sudah pasti promosi ke Serie-A
- Parma
- Como
40  Local / Trading dan Spekulasi / Re: Mari Kita Sambut, dan Meriahkan Halving Day! on: May 15, 2024, 06:46:56 PM
Halving day sudah berjalan dengan kapasitas pasar yang begitu pesat antara bitcoin dan ethereum sebagai induk dari semua altcoin,
Tapi anehnya halving kali ini sangat jauh berbeda dengan halving sebelumnya ketika waktu halving 30 hari lagi bakal ada bullish terjadi di setiap altcoin, kenapa halving tahun ini hanya bergerak pada bitcoin dan ethereum saja sedangkan season altcoin belum terlihatterlihat. Apakah halving day tahun ini sudah berahir begitu saja.
Bukan berakhir mas, tapi ada moment konsolidasi agar pasar ini tidak selalu naik yang justru akan menjadi tidak sehat. Penurunan bitcoin akan memecah semua aset termasuk altcoin. Semua koin yang ada pada exchange besar saat ini sedang berada pada masa jenuh beli, sehingga terjadi penurunan. Tentu saja belum berakhir, karena pasti banyak yang whale dan teri memilih untuk melakukan wait and see dan akumulasi untuk mendapatkan koin di harga lebih murah.
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