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21  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Core 0.13.1 Released on: November 07, 2016, 11:48:50 AM
Just downloaded, installed and it's working beautifully. Thank you for the brilliant work BTCCrew. Quite a few contributors now, very cool to see.

Funny how this thread gets almost no attention compared to some of the others Wink From reading some parts of the board, you'd wonder if Bitcoin even existed anymore. (without a healthy, regularly updated Ignore list, that is)

It's only high quality work being delivered yet again, nothing worth writing about  Wink
22  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: October 22, 2016, 08:02:33 AM

If AB is still there after 6 month you truly deserve the 100 XMR Smiley


I'll happily wager this if you're keen? No need for escrow person.. I'd feel bad taking your money actually fuck it Smiley

So you suggest a bet and than you chicken out?  Cheesy

I'm good for the bet. I'm just not sure you'll pay me if you lose Wink My word is good, I will pay you 100XMR if AB isn't online due to an exit scam, LE raid, etc, 6 months from now. Say April 22nd 2017.. And you owe me 100XMR if it is still operating on April 22nd 2017. Just for fun.. Hopefully the price will go parabolic and we both forget the bet ;P
23  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: October 21, 2016, 08:42:18 PM

If AB is still there after 6 month you truly deserve the 100 XMR Smiley


I'll happily wager this if you're keen? No need for escrow person.. I'd feel bad taking your money actually fuck it Smiley
24  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: October 21, 2016, 08:37:50 PM
I spend some time today to learn more about dark markets and found this:  https://psychonautwiki.org/wiki/comparison_of_darknet_markets

So there are 3 kinds of markets.
Centralized like Dream Market
Multi signature markets like Alpha Bay
Decentralized markets like Open Bazar

Will centralized markets actually want to have untraceable currencies?


Also from first sight i think only Decentralized markets have future. So nor Alpha Bay or Dream Market. But i really have no ideas how they work really.

Alpha and Dream are probably the biggest right now, by a long shot. They operate in the same way.

I don't think people sell drugs on Open Bazar..  It's discouraged I think.
25  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: October 21, 2016, 08:36:10 PM

Your information is not fundamental. AB is in a critial time frame. That's why i come up with the comparision of NucleusMarket




Yikes, that's the truth right there. They should just legalize/decriminalize and regulate most of that stuff, like ah Portugal is it? The country that legalized pretty much everything with great results.

Still, it doesn't matter a great deal because funds don't stay on the site long these days. Money goes in and immediately gets spent, if it's a medium/high value item between repeat transactors, there's a good chance there's no Escrow anymore so the seller gets the coins before even shipping. This is how the bulk of transactions now occur. It isn't a huge problem but more of an inconvenience when they do decide to shut and run.
26  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: October 21, 2016, 07:24:53 PM

DASH was ~45% accepted in Nucleus Market. LTC acceptance was very low there ~10%. If it was used by customers, i don't know. But vendors accept it more than XMR today.

And no, XMR will not adapted to other markets. Look through other established markets and you'll find only negativ feedback to that.

It is 100% safe that AB will somewhen disappear (by no later than 6 month). The markets that are existent to that time won't use XMR.



Do you want to bet on this?

"It is 100% safe that AB will somewhen disappear (by no later than 6 month). T"

Put your money where your mouth is, we each send 100XRM (or whatever) to a trusted 3rd party escrow, winner gets all.

You are betting AB "disappears" in 31 days, let's say. I am betting it will still be open, ha ha ha.

"DASH was ~45% accepted in Nucleus Market. "

I guess that isn't a surprise, since they were likely always planning to steal the house money. Maybe they even opened dozens of fake vendor accounts offering amazing deals in DASH, just to make it easier to steal. I don't think they got away with much however did they? Not in DASH anyway because as i recall, it wasn't used at all pretty much mate. I tend to remember these things.

It is a shitty move, but I guess "exit scam" does kind of beat jail for these dudes, so you have a point there. Still, AB could have exit scammed so much by now a long long time ago - they have built trust, they likely won't disappear with everyones coin.. They might close shop one day, but unless something major changes they are the type who'd give back the money.
27  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: October 21, 2016, 07:15:16 PM
Well the good news is today I ordered some Modafinil from AlphaBay and paid for it using Monero.

In past times I would usually just find the first bitcoin vendor I came across, but these days I actively seek out those who offer Monero. I'm sure the vendor must be pretty happy. After all, he's going to be getting all my business.

A small market means good business for the vendors that adopt it.


It's becoming more of an option, slow and steady, as more people look into it and 'get it', they add the option to pay in XMR. People know another currency option like this would be very useful, when the right one comes along it makes sense these communities adopt it.
28  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: October 21, 2016, 04:59:22 PM

Other people have pointed that out before, i.e. that other anon coins have been given a try-out in the DNM's before but they all failed to stick.

The BIG DIFFERENCE this time, I think, is that NOW there is an increasing use of so-called Chain-Analysis ramping up BIG TIME with bitcoin.

Agreed! There's a huge number of use cases for the Monero style blockchain. That's why it's exciting to me - it can do things Bitcoin absolutely cannot. Bitcoin's core value proposition is that it's a censorship resistant open ledger.. Something very very different and of course, valuable just like XMR is for it's unique feature set.

Most coins that come along, it's fairly easy (in general) to make that case; That using Bitcoin for whatever the new coin's purpose was, works better than bothering with a new coin at all. Most are redundant. But it seems that XMR does fill a legit space in the crypto currency market. Only time will tell of course if that's enough to really give it the market cap it needs to support a bit of price stability and sizable investors. We got a long way to grow, but usually when price corrections happen, they happen so quickly (those big ole upwards ones that come out of nowhere), it's not worth risking too much trying to time the short term..
29  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: October 21, 2016, 03:48:50 PM
I've been monitoring 10 different searches on AB since the launch 7/10 have seen an increase. 4/10 categories have roughly doubled the offerings since launch.

I was thinking the same.. Not sure how much it's increased, but it is sticking around - and very slowly, people are picking it up. The prospect of being in on the ground floor for many of the participants of the DNM's is really nice too. Heaps of people on the markets were around since the early SR days and are well aware of the 'opportunity of a lifetime' that buying a nice chunk of BTC in the $1-20 park would have done for you. Pretty much everyone missed that. One guy even tried to hire me to research XMR and school him on it. I gave him my opinion and let him know I wasn't qualified at all, and he could master it himself quite easily - with a bit of research, I gave him all those good links (he accepts it on quite a few listings now).

Vendors especially, they are very busy and have a lot of risk on their plate each day - but when they get around to researching XMR, if they are satisfied it's truly bringing something new (that BTC can't do) to the table - and that if enough buyers and sellers decide to shift even a portion of their trade into XMR - it would benefit them all very much.  

Not just the inevitable price rise, but having another class of asset to spread the risk. Insurance against unforeseen catastrophic BTC disaster. Splitting the risk/value storage among 2 awesome but unique systems is a good thing. It does not hurt in any way to have an additional working, very private (and this will need to be proven over time, that it does hold up as well as it looks to), currency & store of value, which just so happens to be perfect for this sort of trade.

I am going to do a very simple search and see what numbers I get, I will pick a single item (say, only weed) and post below the results.

I wanted to include the whole world, but there are too many items listed. So I will measure only sellers in "Australia", a country in which DNM use is quite high per capita. I suspect this is because, in comparison to the rest of the world - the price and quality of common street drugs was. It does seem to be coming more in-line with international norms over the past couple years - I doubt DNM's account for enough trade to impact country-wide stats. It's a small group but it is growing, as long as all these (mostly far less harmful than booze) compounds are made illegal, enterprises like these will flourish. Whichever currencies are choice for the trade will earn a constant boost. Here, the best type of money really does win - there's nothing stopping people from using the best currency avaliable. And in this case, until prohibition ends anyway, there's going to be constant demand for these types of currencies.

All vendors, but only 1 category "Cannabis & Hashish" in Australia ONLY:

Individual listings (items) accepting Monero:
31
Individual listings (items) accepting BTC:
316

(9.81 % Accepting Monero - on 21st Oct, in-case I check in say 1 months time)

Some vendors offer Monero for some products and not others, hence the choice to go by individuals item rather than the vendor status (accepting or not), I think this might give a clearer picture.

If anybody is interested, I can check some other categories in this exact way ^

Then, in a month, I could do the same - it would act as a very small indicator of how XMR use is working out.

Like it or not, I do believe XMR will have to be "accepted" by DNM's, just like BTC was, if it's actually going to become anything more than a medium sized project. The DNM's seem to test a currency, they make the decision on if it is suitable - or in this case, if it is advantageous in any way, to BTC, the only real alternative today. It's what's needed to ready it for the world I'd say.

So far, there have been a number of other coins accepted on markets for varying amounts of time. LTC,dash(was it?) and others I don't remember, they all faded away because they were never used. I think it would be useful to check in every month and take some measurements, perhaps the method can be improved a bit, but accurate data on how DNM adoption is going would be a huge clue as to how future adoption will go IMO.
30  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: October 20, 2016, 04:05:49 PM
I'm not sure what gave MoneroMarket folks the idea a brand new DNM would be swamped with business.
You know there are dozens of empty markets?

It would take months and months to build trust. Why the heck would somebody use this one and not one of the established markets which allows XMR? I never saw the site, but if they quit this quickly I am guessing it was also constructed at a similar speed.

Seems like they thought "because drugs" they would open a market and see money flooding in. It's likely for the best they closed down, the lack of understanding they are showing suggests that would not have ended well if the site actually did stick around and gain some users.
31  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: October 19, 2016, 04:41:48 PM
I guess you must be new here. Let me tell you what I see:-

I see a coin that has gone from nothing, and fiercely defended itself against other projects that have the luxury of unlimited treasuries as a consequence of scammy premines and instamines complete with all the fucking PR in the world, and won every single battle regardless.

I see a coin that has been routinely censored by a scammy corporate conspiracy of colluding interests who have tried at every turn to push the scams into the limelight at the expense of the Monero project and it's community.

I see a coin that has gone from nothing only to become the third biggest cryptocurrency in the scene. A coin that is now 5th or 6th on the marketcap, and one of three similar projects to be on StackExchange.

I see a coin that had no treasury, and no funny business; only an egalitarian genesis, and a commitment to make it work whatever the odds.

I see a coin that is routinely providing much trade volume for speculation, and has the volatility for serious profit.

I see a coin that is politically disruptive without comparison; the single best trustless untraceable blockchain in existence.

And all of this has been achieved without a pot to piss in nor a window to throw it out of.

Why do we need marketing when we are winning? Everything that we have done thus far has been WIN. Why change that? Just for your profits no doubt?

Let me know when we start to lose, and then maybe we can start to think about finding an Amanda B Johnson clone to push in front of a camera.

Very nicely said. Strongly agree too.
32  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 18, 2016, 05:55:51 PM
That page reads like some of the joke currencies the comedians round here have thought up.

Not that it matters, because it Helps Nature.

"Hub Culture members have already helped us put over 25,000 acres of Amazon rainforest under protection using Ven."

How is this flying under the radar? It's been used so much, they have protected 25k acres of rain-forest. Wow!

"Holding Ven increases the ability of the Central Ven Reserve to buy carbon assets backing the currency. "

That makes perfect sense  Huh Sadly, once more, the only thing this will accomplish is the lightening of the pockets of the misinformed and gullible.

Jorge Stolfi is a big supporter of Ven, it checks out according to his logic - that's how he gets paid for his FUD contributions to the Bitcoin community.
33  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 18, 2016, 05:28:18 PM
https://wikileaks.org/podesta-emails/emailid/15589

Our friend Hillary can't take Bitcoin because republicans do. But she is interested in being donated some alt I've never heard of. I love a good 'blockchain' endorsement.


If you want a laugh, check this out:

http://ven.vc/features

I'm not even sure if you can call it an alt. I think it's basically a database..

Who's funding this crapola?
34  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: October 09, 2016, 04:28:40 PM
Hedging is not without cost or risk.

Quote
In the 2013 journal, Ulbricht comments on 03/24/2013 that he had been “been slowly raising the cost of hedging”, suggesting he was trying to discourage use of it. On 04/10/2013, he writes “some vendors using the hedge in a falling market to profit off of me by buying from themselves. turned of access log pruning so I can investigate later. market crashed today.” This suggests he was no longer keen on the hedging system and was planning on scrapping it anyway when the vendors began abusing it, the market crashed (increasing losses), and then on top of that, the account was drained by what he believed was the DEA (see the journal & spreadsheet entries) a month later.

https://np.reddit.com/r/DarkNetMarkets/comments/2tgymg/silk_goxed_how_dpr_used_mtgox_for_hedging_lost_big/

Nice find! Interesting stuff. I remember seeing some spreadsheets a while back, and surprisingly he wasn't actually keeping much profit at all. Spending all the BTC coming in most months on all sorts of stuff, it was an expensive operation. The auction money was customer deposits mostly I recall?

I knew hedging would carry a risk, but I (wrongly) assumed he found some way to make it work. Sound like it was actually costing him a bunch, either from vendors purposely exploiting it or it just wasn't viable at what he was charging for it.

Anyhow, offtopic, sorry! Back to Monero speculation.

I'll throw my little bit in - I have witnessed some real XMR adoption on the markets, not a great deal, 5% overall on Alpha would be stretching it. But, for example - from a few well know vendors with good reputations, some are accepting XMR for all products (smaller stalls) and there are a handful of larger sellers who have elected to sell a few of their smaller items (<$150) for XMR. I believe they are very keen for XMR to prove truly "private", many are waiting I suspect to see that it continues to function(stability/safely) for a bit longer, that the price doesn't crash to 0, that it can't be 'hacked' - this isn't Bitcoin, so trust has to be built, will happen pretty quickly now that people know BTC. Generally after learning the ropes with Monero, my feeling is that most folks will be keen to offer it as an option and to get their own stash together ASAP. It's just going to take some time, and for the necessity of such a currency in this area to become apparent. Will likely happen a lot quicker than it did for BTC, it paved the way for things to move much faster (eg. 1bn market cap for ETH).
35  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: October 09, 2016, 12:14:43 PM
"New financial technologies such as bitcoin may become increasingly attractive to investors as a protection against central bank low- and negative-interest-rate policies that threaten capitalism, according to billionaire bond manager Bill Gross.

Policies by the Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan and European Central Bank are destroying historical business models that foster savings, investment and economic growth, Gross, who runs the $1.5 billion Janus Global Unconstrained Bond Fund, said in an October investment outlook released Tuesday.

He said that as investors lose faith in the system, they will increasingly seek havens."

Full Article:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-10-04/janus-s-gross-says-bitcoin-blockchain-may-counter-central-banks
36  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: October 09, 2016, 11:49:30 AM
There is a way to solve the price volatility problem to the vendors.
Whenever they get paid x amount, they open a short position of x amount. When the escrow is released they close the short position. If the price of Monero has risen, the escrowed amount has risen but the short position is offsetting it. If the price of Monero has dropped, the escrowed amount of Moneros has dropped in value but the short position has risen and thus offsetting the price drop.
...

I believe the original SR had such a system in-place. A seller of goods could "Lock In" an exchange rate, for a particular deal, if they were worried the rate would move against them and make the sale unprofitable. This feature was there fairly early on. Before there were several advanced markets where a trader could do this, SR made it possible for anybody to do it without needing to know what long/short even means.

Perhaps some of today's markets have incorporated this too? I wouldn't be surprised if they haven't, the price of BTC is actually considered pretty stable now. If no such hedging system exists, perhaps they should look at it again - for Monero now especially. I'd say this is one of the big reasons larger traders aren't adopting it right away, the volatility compared to BTC. If they could hedge against the price volatility, same way SR1 made it possible, it would make accepting XMR a no-brainer.

When SR was just getting started, Bitcoin's volatility was worse than Monero's today - we had moves between $1 and $20 for a while, despite this, the demand was so strong a vibrant dark-market was created. In it's wake, hundreds of new markets formed to fill it's place.

SR was way ahead of it's time, looking back on it now..  Great community vibe back then too, that was all killed, not unlike the FUD/troll attacks on the community we've seen on bitcointalk, attempting to make the place hostile and divided.. We must remember what is truly important; Crypto money provides a path to real financial freedom, freedom from central bankers and other organized financial crimes which have been legitimized. Such games are not possible when you play on our system. BTC and XMR can worth together masterfully to help the people reclaim what's rightfully ours. A fair playing field, that is all.
37  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Incentives for Core, Classic, XT and Unlimited on: June 23, 2016, 01:36:08 PM
Not to start a blocksize debate here, but I got the impression that the general view amongst users was that Core devs was too conservative.

Among the long-term, active participants of the network I know personally, they are generally very happy with the state of the network and core dev's rate of innovation/new contributions/management of the release. It works reliably well, it's stable. When it comes to commerce this is what you want above all else.
38  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Perianne Boring of Chamber of Digital Commerce knows nothing about bitcoin on: June 19, 2016, 01:19:51 PM
My god she's hard to listen to.. So many words, so little content.
39  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Perianne Boring of Chamber of Digital Commerce knows nothing about bitcoin on: June 19, 2016, 01:08:53 PM
Listening to the interview, it's pretty clear she's in over her head..

Not just paid for PR, she's the founder and President of the Chamber of Digital Commerce and has been featured as a speaker in many major Bitcoin events that attract interest of high profile investors. She even did a terrible job at indroducing the Australian Senate to bitcoin.

Wow.. Thanks for the link btw.
40  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin versus Ether: the people difference is everything on: May 26, 2016, 04:44:21 PM
for all of this. Nobody can get hurt or manipulated to do anything...  Wink

Exactly, the lack of a single entity to put pressure on is a huge advantage. There are many thousands of leaders in Bitcoin.

...each one leading in a thousand different directions, hence bitcoin doesn't get anywhere.

Seems to be doing alright.
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