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21  Economy / Digital goods / Re: Selling 100% off Codes for Canon IVY CLIQ+ cameras on: October 10, 2020, 03:17:26 PM
Selling 100% off Codes for Canon IVY CLIQ+ cameras. Codes are only redeemable in US and at the official Canon online store.
Codes or cameras can be easily resold with good profit.

Offer relates to this exact product:
https://shop.usa.canon.com/shop/en/catalog/ivy-cliq-plus-instant-camera-printer-pearl-white

More information available at my autobuy link provided below. Feel free to ask my any questions here or on discord (link in shoppy store).

I am selling codes for 19$ each.

Autobuy:
https://shoppy.gg/@stachic

Messaging you regarding this.
22  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Loki888 scammed me on: October 08, 2020, 05:09:17 AM
The accounts the opposed the created flags are very much likely to be the scammer's alts. Keep an eye on them.

1. Floatingboat
2. iwutitan
Yep, it looked weird that those two accounts decided to oppose the flag that seemingly has nothing to do with them, so I decided to check it a bit, especially since iwutitan has been red tagged already for scam involving account sale, and  Floatingboat is conveniently also in the account sale business + using the same BTC address. When you add all these "coincidences" it is obvious that those are alt accounts (and iwutitan has been connected with another scammer) so I am tagging Floatingboat as well.


Same BTC address used: 1LbiJwRZQAGkMs6RyNydGjmoPp5F4aJc2j

I would love to help out as an Evaluator and understand the blockchain quite well. If there is still room I’d like to sign up
1LbiJwRZQAGkMs6RyNydGjmoPp5F4aJc2j
https://archive.fo/Zil4R

I’ll start us off for the next round

Series A 7/25/2020 3:45pm est
Napoli vs Sassuolo

Napoli -0.5 1st half

1LbiJwRZQAGkMs6RyNydGjmoPp5F4aJc2j
https://archive.fo/CXfYj



@breezyu You should update your first post with a flag link, for an easier access so more people support your flag.

When I dealt with Floatingboat, this is the address he consistently used: 33UwaVd5o9YsNEBMA2WxvvdbkM3BpbhbeX. I'm more than happy to take a screenshot if it's necessary.

Edit: he also sent me images of receipts that were from a store (I think target?) in Roswell, New Mexico. I'm sure if I dug a little harder I might be able to find the name that I saw on the receipts he sent me.
23  Economy / Goods / Re: Mysterious Packages on: October 08, 2020, 05:06:35 AM
Hi, this looks interesting! Do you have a company site or any reviews/images of what we'd be expecting if we were to buy?
24  Other / Archival / Re: [WTS] PSN | GGP| Xbox -> Amazon physical cards + receipt 75% - accepting escrow on: October 02, 2020, 04:43:22 PM
✅ accepting escrow
✅ accepting Vouch

Hi, please private message me so we can make a deal for the Amazon cards! Thanks.
25  Economy / Digital goods / Re: [WTB] Amazon.com Gift Cards for 75% of price in Bitcoin on: October 02, 2020, 04:40:47 PM
Hey guys.

I'm looking for amazon.com gift cards that people are trying to sell or get rid of. I'm able to pay bitcoin for them at a 75% rate.

Let me know if you're looking to sell your cards.

Thanks!


Hi, I'm on Smiley
and I go first, I really need your vouch here
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5216749.0

I have physical cards with the receipt, sample orders and 50$ - 100$ - 200$ - 500$ denominations
I have also worked with importers


Please message me via forum to make a deal!
26  Economy / Digital goods / Re: [WTB] Amazon.com Gift Cards for 75% of price in Bitcoin on: September 24, 2020, 08:00:49 PM

I'm very cautious of paxful, seems like it's very unclear where and how people get their cards on that site. Also, I'm not sure if we can hit 75% if you're also going to take a portion of the sale as well. Message me privately if you want to discuss this.
27  Economy / Digital goods / Re: [WTS] 💲 💲 Amazon eGift codes at 🔥 80 -83% BTC only🔥 💲 💲 [ESCROW ACCEPTED] on: September 16, 2020, 04:08:59 PM
Hey, gonna message you to see if we can reach a deal.
28  Economy / Digital goods / [WTB] Amazon.com Gift Cards for 75% of price in Bitcoin on: September 15, 2020, 08:50:54 PM
Hey guys.

I'm looking for amazon.com gift cards that people are trying to sell or get rid of. I'm able to pay bitcoin for them at a 75% rate.

Let me know if you're looking to sell your cards.

Thanks!
29  Economy / Digital goods / Re: Wts $100 steam gift card on: September 11, 2020, 05:13:05 PM
Just bought this off this user with a smooth transaction and proof with receipts. Thanks!
30  Economy / Digital goods / Re: WTS Amazon Echo Dot (3rd Gen) redeemable codes - $15 each on: September 11, 2020, 07:44:51 AM
https://smile.amazon.com/Echo-Dot/dp/B07FZ8S74R/

Have amazon echo dot promo codes for sale, takes off the entire purchase price at checkout + free shipping regardless if it's on sale or not, one code per order, can claim multiple codes so long as you make a separate order per code.

Price is $15 each, can apply to any color. Price breaks at 10+ & 20+ purchased
10+ = $13.50 each
20+ = $12 each

I can take paypal f&f, crypto (btc/eth/ltc), google pay, zelle

You must redeem by 09/30/20 at 11:59 PM ET.
Detailed instructions on how to redeem your promotion code:
Code:
Add Echo Dot 3rd Gen (any color) to cart
Click “Proceed to Check Out.”
Sign in with your Amazon account details if you’re not already signed in or create a new account if you don’t have one.
Select the address you’d like your Echo Dot sent to and your preferred shipping choice.
Add the promotion code from above on the “Select Payment Method Page” under “Gift Card and Promotional Codes” and be sure to select a FREE shipping option before completing the purchase.
Complete your order.
This doesn't work on echo dot kids edition or with the clock, just the standard 3rd gen echo dot standalone

I also sell here on reddit for trade rep / reference: https://www.reddit.com/r/giftcardexchange/comments/ipz77m/h_amazon_echo_dot_3rd_gen_amazon_promo_codes_w_15/ - I have no problem sending you a PM on reddit to verify my identity there.

Hey! How many of these can be redeemed per account?
31  Economy / Digital goods / Re: [WTS] Domino’s Pizza eGift Card on: August 21, 2020, 04:29:19 PM
BUMP

I'll buy this for $12.5 btc, just message me if interested!
32  Economy / Digital goods / Re: WTS $50 iTunes or Steam card for btc on: August 12, 2020, 04:10:31 PM
Hi what rate are you trying to sell the steam gift card at?
33  Economy / Computer hardware / Re: WTS: Bunch of GPUs, Mobos, Frames, PSUs, CPUs etc. on: June 28, 2020, 01:14:49 AM
Pm'ing you in regards to one of your cards!
34  Economy / Digital goods / Re: Unlimited Microsoft keys method - Autobuy - Become a key seller on: May 19, 2020, 09:33:19 PM
price is still 30 $ for those interested.

Have you given away any vouch copy yet?

not giving any vouches, sold many already.

If you want to say that in response to someone looking for reviews, just post your proof of sales first. Also, if you're talking about sales on shoppy.gg that might not even have any info about how easy the method is/other relevant info for potential buyers, know that you should provide more proof.

Having an autobuy link just posted will make you seem suspicious to people interested.
35  Economy / Economics / Re: Probability problem heads or tails ... on: May 19, 2020, 06:40:13 PM

it shore looks like that but something is not logical


 bet 1   | $2
 bet 2   | $4
 bet 3   | $8
 bet 4   | $16
 bet 5   | $32
 bet 6   | $64
 bet 7   | $128
 bet 8   | $256
 bet 9   | $512
 bet 10 | $1024


On a 10 bets game like this you can win $1024 or you could lose your $1

So it does not make sense that each event is independent ... and last bet probability of getting heads is 50%

My instinct / gut is telling me that 50% chance for last bet is false ...

I think your question is different from what you're asking then. Are you asking: what is the probability I can win $1024 on the 10th round?

This is different from the coin question. If you're asking the chance of winning a coin flip back to back 10 times, then you calculate as such:

On each round you have a 1/2 chance of winning or doubling your initial bet. This is because it's a coin flip.

However, now you need to keep in mind that you need to win all of these in a row. As in, you need a coin flip to be heads on the first, second, third, etc. flips. This means out of 10 flips, all 10 must be heads to double your money.

In the case that we have 10 flips and each flip has a 1/2 chance of giving you a payout, we have (1/2) * (1/2) * (1/2) ... ten times, or (1/2) ^ 10 which is a 0.0009765625 chance of doubling your money 10 times in a row.
Your answer over here makes more sense. He is probably talking about back to back bets. I mean, to reach the 10th bet and to win the amount he will have to win the rest of the 9 bets (hence you either lose $1 or win $1024). So, in this case you are correct.
That's a pretty small chance. You might end up spending more than what you would win.

Nope was thinking of something else ...

rate of return on investment (roi) 2% / month

kinder garden method:
1.02
1.0404
1.061208
1.08243216
1.104080803
1.126162419
1.148685667
1.17165938
1.195092568
1.218994419 final balance

1/1.218994419 = 0.820348301

1- 0.820348301 = 0.179651699

17.965169946 % chance to lose money on investment


Using simple compound interes formula 1×(1+0.02)^10 = 1.21899442
....
17.965170013% chance to lose money on investment

I'm not really sure what you're doing with this. ROI is not a chance based thing. Getting 2% per month is telling you how much you're increasing by, not the chance of you increasing/decreasing your wealth. I don't think this logic is fully sound, but again I'm not too sure about what you were trying to get at with this.
36  Other / Meta / Re: Report Profile to Moderator, What is the reason why we still don't have this? on: May 18, 2020, 10:46:23 PM
Reporting members who have been breaking rules like Ban evasion among other offense is quite challenging.
This thread for example has some profiles that have been discovered to evade bans with all proof presented but they are still a large which mean Mods probably don't look through.

Why doesn't admin add a "Report Profile to Moderator" link on profiles so that it's easy to pick up a specific profile and report it along side with the evidence presented.



I'm guessing so I have no idea if this is true or not, but I think if someone has a grudge against another, they can make a bunch of accounts or have friends / members just constantly report an account. If they do that, the mod will have to go through a bunch of the user's posts and see if what the've been doing over the course of multiple days/weeks/months is worthy of a ban. On the other hand, when you report a post, all the information is right there and there's no extra digging needed -- it makes the mods' lives a little easier.

I think the trust rating is an adequate form of what you suggest. If someone sees an account that has a red "-10" right under their account name, it seems normal to avoid dealing with that person.
37  Other / Meta / Re: Escrow Section / General Scam Prevention on: May 18, 2020, 09:10:30 PM
I'm not so sure that we need a specific board for escrow services, it fit into the services section well enough.  A sticky thread with a list of escrow providers might help, but I would be afraid that it could be mistaken as an endorsement by the forum.  If something goes wrong, such as an escrow provider turning scammer, or a dispute between the trading partners, the forum could theoretically be held culpable.  I don't know what laws would be applicable in such a situation, but I would hate to see the forum held liable for something in which it had no part other than a "sticky thread."

I've thought about ways to simplify and expand the escrow services for forum users, but I think to make it work right it's likely to get complicated.  If, for example we had a crew of trusted members that are recruited to participate in a community escrow project.  Perhaps they are nominated and voted into service by the community.  They could employ a multi sig wallet with 3 of 20 signatures required to release funds.  The more provider who are involved the faster the transactions could be completed.  Ideally the members would be from all corners of the globe, with multiple members from nearby time-zones.  Such a project would be hard to coordinate, and not likely to generate much, if any income.  The participants would have to consider it as volunteering their time for service to the community.

While I do agree that escrows should be considered services, I feel like what they provide (which is security and scam protection) make it worthy of having its own section so that users can find an escrow of their choice much more easily. The search function on this site isn't the best, so when and escrow thread doesn't get bumped often, it just falls behind all of the other general services being offered on the forum. I agree that the sticky thread may come off incorrectly, and that is why I believe the best way for forum mods to stay removed from endorsing people as a forum would be to just make a community space where this info is easily found instead.

In terms of the complications, I think having the separate section would be helpful because people from across the globe can post there for their escrow services. Then mods don't have to keep track of current escrows and their time regions, but instead the posts can be made individually. I do know that there are cases when high trusted members turn out to have bad intentions, but I would argue that that case is much less frequent than the average transaction scam.
38  Economy / Economics / Re: Probability problem heads or tails ... on: May 18, 2020, 09:05:31 PM
If i flip a coin 10 times, what is the probability of getting heads on the 10th flip ? or on the second flip ? what is the math formula  ?



Each coin flip is independent. Flipping one coin 10 times is the same as flipping 10 different coins at the same time and looking at all of the results. We know that a single coin will land on heads 50% of the time and tails on the other 50%. That's for 1 coin flip. Now, as we said before, each coin flip is independent of each other. That means, the second, third, fourth, etc. coin has the same chance as the first to be either heads or tails.

The 1st coin flip is 50%, the second is 50% and the tenth is also 50%. It's all the same as one single coin flip.


it shore looks like that but something is not logical


 bet 1   | $2
 bet 2   | $4
 bet 3   | $8
 bet 4   | $16
 bet 5   | $32
 bet 6   | $64
 bet 7   | $128
 bet 8   | $256
 bet 9   | $512
 bet 10 | $1024


On a 10 bets game like this you can win $1024 or you could lose your $1

So it does not make sense that each event is independent ... and last bet probability of getting heads is 50%

My instinct / gut is telling me that 50% chance for last bet is false ...

I think your question is different from what you're asking then. Are you asking: what is the probability I can win $1024 on the 10th round?

This is different from the coin question. If you're asking the chance of winning a coin flip back to back 10 times, then you calculate as such:

On each round you have a 1/2 chance of winning or doubling your initial bet. This is because it's a coin flip.

However, now you need to keep in mind that you need to win all of these in a row. As in, you need a coin flip to be heads on the first, second, third, etc. flips. This means out of 10 flips, all 10 must be heads to double your money.

In the case that we have 10 flips and each flip has a 1/2 chance of giving you a payout, we have (1/2) * (1/2) * (1/2) ... ten times, or (1/2) ^ 10 which is a 0.0009765625 chance of doubling your money 10 times in a row.


nice, finally a good answer ... sry if question was wrong ...i am not a english native speaker

so it's 1/1024 chance ... thank you for answer






No problem!  Grin
39  Economy / Economics / Re: Probability problem heads or tails ... on: May 18, 2020, 08:39:14 PM
If i flip a coin 10 times, what is the probability of getting heads on the 10th flip ? or on the second flip ? what is the math formula  ?



Each coin flip is independent. Flipping one coin 10 times is the same as flipping 10 different coins at the same time and looking at all of the results. We know that a single coin will land on heads 50% of the time and tails on the other 50%. That's for 1 coin flip. Now, as we said before, each coin flip is independent of each other. That means, the second, third, fourth, etc. coin has the same chance as the first to be either heads or tails.

The 1st coin flip is 50%, the second is 50% and the tenth is also 50%. It's all the same as one single coin flip.


it shore looks like that but something is not logical


 bet 1   | $2
 bet 2   | $4
 bet 3   | $8
 bet 4   | $16
 bet 5   | $32
 bet 6   | $64
 bet 7   | $128
 bet 8   | $256
 bet 9   | $512
 bet 10 | $1024


On a 10 bets game like this you can win $1024 or you could lose your $1

So it does not make sense that each event is independent ... and last bet probability of getting heads is 50%

My instinct / gut is telling me that 50% chance for last bet is false ...

I think your question is different from what you're asking then. Are you asking: what is the probability I can win $1024 on the 10th round?

This is different from the coin question. If you're asking the chance of winning a coin flip back to back 10 times, then you calculate as such:

On each round you have a 1/2 chance of winning or doubling your initial bet. This is because it's a coin flip.

However, now you need to keep in mind that you need to win all of these in a row. As in, you need a coin flip to be heads on the first, second, third, etc. flips. This means out of 10 flips, all 10 must be heads to double your money.

In the case that we have 10 flips and each flip has a 1/2 chance of giving you a payout, we have (1/2) * (1/2) * (1/2) ... ten times, or (1/2) ^ 10 which is a 0.0009765625 chance of doubling your money 10 times in a row.
40  Economy / Economics / Re: Probability problem heads or tails ... on: May 18, 2020, 08:22:14 PM
If i flip a coin 10 times, what is the probability of getting heads on the 10th flip ? or on the second flip ? what is the math formula  ?



Each coin flip is independent. Flipping one coin 10 times is the same as flipping 10 different coins at the same time and looking at all of the results. We know that a single coin will land on heads 50% of the time and tails on the other 50%. That's for 1 coin flip. Now, as we said before, each coin flip is independent of each other. That means, the second, third, fourth, etc. coin has the same chance as the first to be either heads or tails.

The 1st coin flip is 50%, the second is 50% and the tenth is also 50%. It's all the same as one single coin flip.
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