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2021  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 61 year old plays the same numbers since 1991 and wins 18 millions on: August 26, 2021, 10:41:30 PM
36*365*30= $394,200 total amount if the old man spent the same amount every single day in 30 years.

The above calculations are based on the assumption that the game was played daily.  

I would have thought the game play was conducted weekly which would bring your calculation down to 30(y) X 52(w) X $36 = $ 56,160 (give or take - based on the today dollar values for the three game panels played)
2022  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 61 year old plays the same numbers since 1991 and wins 18 millions on: August 26, 2021, 05:03:38 PM
Thirty years times fifty games (assuming a couple of times a year any player missed putting a coupon into a draw).

1500 games played versus a lottery that has a one in a million chance of winning (could be one in fifty million chance depending on how many balls in a game)

Although the game numbers were played fifteen-hundred times, it's still a (one in a million/one in fifty million) chance that your numbers come up.
2023  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [Rugby] Union / League / Super / Sixes Sevens Pro14 / Cups & Tours / Olympics on: August 26, 2021, 03:50:27 PM
Bledisloe III confirmed for Perth

Thu, 26/08/2021, 7:00 am by Harrison Wakeling

https://www.rugby.com.au/news/bledisloe-iii-perth-test-confirmed-date-time-wallabies-all-blacks-2021825

Quote


Rugby Australia has this afternoon confirmed that the third Bledisloe cup match, initially re-scheduled for this Saturday (August 28) in Perth, will now be played at Optus Stadium on September 5.

Should be an exciting game.  Naturally, I want to see the Aussies win against our mortal enemies the All Blacks (boo-hiss) but if I were a betting man (what thread is this??) I'd have to say the Kiwis have been playing at the top of their game again and would be the more obvious choice to put a wager on.




Quote
The Knights and Titans have a close one going on ATM, 12 v 12, I have a small in play bet on the Knights.

I only caught ppart of the the first half when the score was 6 - 6 but knew it'd be a close game for the Newcastle Knights who won 15 - 14 against Gold Coast.



The win cements their place at seventh on the ladder ahead of the sharks.
2024  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 61 year old plays the same numbers since 1991 and wins 18 millions on: August 26, 2021, 09:00:04 AM
It'd be interesting to see if there had been any studies on the ration of age to pay out - the younger, the more likely to receive installments, or, the older, taking a one off payment and heading for the Bahama's for some sex and drugs and rock and roll...

Then again, if you were younger and could take a massive cash-out, then invest heavily in high paying ways, the long term payouts might be worth it compared to the tax hit you'd have to take.
2025  Economy / Reputation / Re: Can someone with data crunching skills help me out with account linkage? on: August 26, 2021, 08:55:52 AM
In practice, by saying this, he is confirming our suspicions!  Wink

Got it.

Just to be clear, while I'm certain these UID's are indeed Alts, I haven't as yet placed any trust feedback on any of their trust feedback pages.

Good, bad, or indifferent.
2026  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [Rugby] Union / League / Super / Sixes Sevens Pro14 / Cups & Tours / Olympics on: August 26, 2021, 07:45:38 AM
Round 24 of the NRL 2021 season kicks off in a little over two hours time:



My picks for this weeks are mostly the usual suspects:  The Knights over the Titans, Canberra Raiders over the Warriors (Auckland just can't get their act together while Canberra has had some moments of brilliance this season) Rabbitohs in a close match over the Roosters, NQ will slay the increasingly out of form Dragons, the Sharks will eat the Broncos, and as I mentioned in a previous post, I have a triple parlay on the Panthers, Sea Eagles and the Storm.  (the latter two games might well be 50 - 0 games the way this season has gone so far)

We're getting close to the finals and I think the Knights and Sharks have their work cut out for them to stay in the top eight.
2027  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 61 year old plays the same numbers since 1991 and wins 18 millions on: August 26, 2021, 07:25:03 AM
It's the age old debate: New numbers every week, or, the same ones year in, year out in the hopes out of the millions of chances you will strike it big with the winning numbers.

I see in the article that the winner chose to take the $11M one off payment versus the other (tax free) installment payments.  (That's almost as hotly debated, which way do you want your payment??)
2028  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: August 25, 2021, 10:44:31 PM
Yet another big name has pulled out of the US Open, now at the women side. Serena Williams is still injured and has withdrawn for the US Open.
Personally, I think she should consider to retire from tennis ...

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/25/sports/tennis/serena-williams-withdraws-us-open.html

Both of the Williams sisters have now crashed out of tournaments this week.  There are a new generation of players rising up through the ranks and older players should recognise when their time has come and bow out as graciously as possable.
2029  Economy / Reputation / Re: Can someone with data crunching skills help me out with account linkage? on: August 24, 2021, 05:23:33 PM
And how does he know the others are alts?  Roll Eyes

I'm not surprised...

The fact that The Ghoul and HaleyOccam, who came running here to make excuses, are the same user who cheats on the forum, I think, is beyond doubt. They bury themselves even deeper with their reactions.

Perhaps you should try reading the thread?
2030  Economy / Reputation / Re: Can someone with data crunching skills help me out with account linkage? on: August 24, 2021, 05:02:56 PM
... Waffle ...

One of the other things I've just noticed that the two users have in common is their use of one sentence paragraphs.  Notice in my quote just above how both have the same style in saying something, but don't use a paragraph properly as though by saying one sentence at a time it conveys more weight if set out in paragraph form.




Quote
black star=dark star ?

You "sir" must be dyslexic.   What I wrote was:

Timelord2067    2021-06-11        Not an alt of DarkStar_ u=507936 (Delete)

As you can see, I did not say they are alts.




Quote
I gave you a negative evaluation, you must be responsible for what you do.

I'll leave this here for others to evaluate what you wrote on my trust feedback page:

The Ghoul    2021-08-24    Reference    Without evidence, he framed me as another person's alt account. I am very angry. I read your previous posts, you did find some alt accounts, but that doesnt mean you can use these to disgust me.

(Funny how you've lashed out at just me out of all the posters who studied your alts)...
2031  Economy / Reputation / Re: Can someone with data crunching skills help me out with account linkage? on: August 24, 2021, 11:49:36 AM
I was surprised. The first name was me. I seemed to be a suspect in the forum. Undecided Undecided

I abide by the rules of the forum and did not create spam. I actively learn new knowledge in the forum and actively make a little contribution of my own.

I am not an account farmer, and I do not have a replacement number (although this phenomenon is real), and I have not participated in any form of bounty program, at least not yet. Maybe I will participate in some projects that I feel are good.

Although I feel a little angry,  >:(I dont want to be rude to people I respect. I will continue to abide by the rules of the forum and do my own thing. What I care about is whether I can get more knowledge points. And give merit to the poster (I don't consider whether it is a newbie). Thank you.


First of all thank you sir, you have played a very good guide to my novice career:[GUIDE for NEWBIE] Merit-help from other users, how to use them correctly?

sir, I'm surprised I appeared on your suspicion list.

I reviewed all my actions on the forum and did not find any violations of the rules.

I have never plagiarized, all posts are through my own thinking. Never beg for merit. Never used an alt account.

You can view all my posts one by one, especially those topics. They consume my energy, and I also learned a lot in the process of publishing the topic.

I have not posted any spam. I have not participated in any bounty and dont plan to participate in the future. To be honest, I am not short of money, I have benefited a lot from investing in cryptocurrency.

What I care most about is my credibility. I think its an insult to me and everyone else on your list.

But if many people on this list are innocent, I don't know what other people on your list think. But this list really hurts my self-esteem.

You are one of the people who have contributed the most to the forum, and I have always respected you. Thank you for your contribution.


I'm not surprised...

*edit* I've just about run out of colours to highlight the similarities in those two posts...
2032  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: August 24, 2021, 07:39:16 AM
nitrogensports.eu is offline at the moment, otherwise I'd have a look and see what's on offer (there were only two venues in the US when I put those wagers on earlier - not sure when the US open will appear) - who are you wanting to put wagers on?
2033  Economy / Reputation / Re: Can someone with data crunching skills help me out with account linkage? on: August 24, 2021, 01:40:23 AM
This is the point in the investigation where the various alts start coming out of the woodwork with various nearly plausible reasons why their accounts are similar to others that have been identified.

Compare their grammar when under the microscope to when they were unaware they are being watched and look for subtle differences.
2034  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: August 24, 2021, 01:37:57 AM
The price on Ash Barty winning the US Open has been falling all day over on Nitrogensports.eu  (I picked up nearly 7:1 now it's falling towards 5:1)

On the other hand - Jil Teichmann has remained at 67:1 all day even though she played Ash Barty in the final this morning.




I've also put a small wager on Su-Wei Hsieh barreling Venus Williams out in the first round  Grin

I knew I should have put more money on Su-Wei Hsieh and Ash Barty winning their respective games today:



All in all I'll put some more on Su-Wei Hsieh over the next few games and see how she goes.  (naturally I'm hoping Ash win's the US Open next week).
2035  Economy / Reputation / Re: Can someone with data crunching skills help me out with account linkage? on: August 23, 2021, 11:26:49 AM
I would say three are farmed:

Luke Jackson

Ryder Kudrow

Dax Robinson

All three woke up on the same day and previously, all three became inactive within a ~36 hour period.

Looking at the UID's that @Ratimov added, we can see the following have shared information between the list @The Pharmacist and @Ratimov provided.




Times are GMT +10 - Information gleaned via bpip.org

Tim-BTC -    7/6/2021 12:02:50 PM    Profile woke up    New post
Tim-BTC -    3/9/2021 2:26:04 PM    Changed to Archived status    Inactive for 90 days

defi-Dany -    7/15/2021 9:24:32 AM    Profile woke up    New post
defi-Dany -    3/9/2021 2:26:15 PM    Changed to Archived status    Inactive for 90 days

Kimberl2020 -    7/6/2021 11:34:05 AM    woke up
Kimberl2020 -    7/6/2021 11:47:14 AM    Profile woke up    New post
Kimberl2020 -    3/9/2021 3:11:19 PM    Changed to Archived status    Inactive for 90 days

Aliceooo78 -     7/16/2021 9:03:45 AM    password reset via email

Ryder Kudrow -    8/4/2021 9:15:22 AM    woke up
Ryder Kudrow -    8/4/2021 9:30:58 AM    Profile woke up    New post
Ryder Kudrow -    4/27/2021 2:44:31 PM    Changed to Archived status    Inactive for 90 days

Dax Robinson -  8/4/2021 5:43:51 AM    woke up
Dax Robinson -  8/4/2021 6:16:49 AM    Profile woke up    New post
Dax Robinson -  4/28/2021 2:51:55 PM    Changed to Archived status    Inactive for 90 days

NathanielParker - 7/20/2021 1:06:13 AM    password reset via email

Luke Jackson -  8/4/2021 8:59:01 AM    woke up
Luke Jackson -  8/4/2021 9:35:31 AM    Profile woke up    New post
Luke Jackson -  4/27/2021 9:48:02 AM    Changed to Archived status    Inactive for 90 days





Arranging them into chronological order, we see the pattern of their behavior:

Tim-BTC -    3/9/2021 2:26:04 PM    Changed to Archived status    Inactive for 90 days
defi-Dany -    3/9/2021 2:26:15 PM    Changed to Archived status    Inactive for 90 days
Kimberl2020 -    3/9/2021 3:11:19 PM    Changed to Archived status    Inactive for 90 days

Ryder Kudrow -    4/27/2021 2:44:31 PM    Changed to Archived status    Inactive for 90 days
Luke Jackson -  4/27/2021 9:48:02 AM    Changed to Archived status    Inactive for 90 days
Dax Robinson -  4/28/2021 2:51:55 PM    Changed to Archived status    Inactive for 90 days

Kimberl2020 -    7/6/2021 11:34:05 AM    woke up
Kimberl2020 -    7/6/2021 11:47:14 AM    Profile woke up    New post
Tim-BTC -    7/6/2021 12:02:50 PM    Profile woke up    New post
defi-Dany -    7/15/2021 9:24:32 AM    Profile woke up    New post
Aliceooo78 -     7/16/2021 9:03:45 AM    password reset via email
NathanielParker - 7/20/2021 1:06:13 AM    password reset via email

Dax Robinson -  8/4/2021 5:43:51 AM    woke up
Dax Robinson -  8/4/2021 6:16:49 AM    Profile woke up    New post
Luke Jackson -  8/4/2021 8:59:01 AM    woke up
Luke Jackson -  8/4/2021 9:35:31 AM    Profile woke up    New post
Ryder Kudrow -    8/4/2021 9:15:22 AM    woke up
Ryder Kudrow -    8/4/2021 9:30:58 AM    Profile woke up    New post





Conclusion:

There are plenty of gaps in our knowledge of this plague if the time indexes are any indication.
2036  Economy / Gambling / Re: FreeBitco.in-$200 FreeBTC⭐Win Lambo🔥0.2BTC DailyJackpot🏆$32,500 Wager Contest on: August 23, 2021, 06:38:22 AM
Only risk you have is not covering 50 to 55k else you have got a good odd till 70k.

We're already over $ 50,000 as we speak.  And, if the price rise over the last week of $ 10,000 is matched over the next week by another $ 5,000, then I'm going to be in a sweet spot (especially if the price then rises even further in the next eight days of so).

Good luck everyone with your bets.
2037  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [Rugby] Union / League / Super / Sixes Sevens Pro14 / Cups & Tours / Olympics on: August 23, 2021, 06:33:58 AM
I have pretty much the same but as singles, never thought to do a parlay Storm, Panthers and Sea Eagles.

As regards outright winners I have Storm, Panthers and Eels from a few weeks ago but I'm leaving it at that. If any of the 3 above win I will be in profit.


I'm only putting 0.05 mbtc wager on hence rolling those three into one (payout on nitrogensports.eu is 0.05 mbtc on a 0.05 mbtc wager when the odds fall below 1.1 due to their rounding up or down methodology on each bet to be exactly multiples of 0.01 mbtc)
2038  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: August 23, 2021, 06:30:32 AM
The price on Ash Barty winning the US Open has been falling all day over on Nitrogensports.eu  (I picked up nearly 7:1 now it's falling towards 5:1)

On the other hand - Jil Teichmann has remained at 67:1 all day even though she played Ash Barty in the final this morning.




I've also put a small wager on Su-Wei Hsieh barreling Venus Williams out in the first round  Grin
2039  Other / Meta / Re: Meriting your own alt account for non abusive reasons on: August 23, 2021, 05:19:47 AM
IMO, if you are regularly in contact with a business contact, you can use email instead of PM. Or you can use some other messaging platform. If you can use a VPN, it will generally increase the security of public WiFi.

As a merit source, I would not merit any alt account of mine, nor any account rumored to be an alt of mine. My personal recommendation is for everyone else to do the same.


<Slightly off topic>
I actually can't recall anyone ever making that particular accusation against Quickseller
Two yaks and a tub of jello perhaps, but not merits...
</Slightly off topic>
2040  Economy / Gambling / Re: FreeBitco.in-$200 FreeBTC⭐Win Lambo🔥0.2BTC DailyJackpot🏆$32,500 Wager Contest on: August 23, 2021, 05:06:36 AM
I've got my bets in for the price of bitcoin at the end of August 2021:



Basically anything in the bracket $ 55,001 through $ 70,000 will give me odds 22:1 or better  Grin




I've bought another 100 FUN tokens just now after picking up a similar amount in the free spins.  I haven't been watching the price rising recently (now up to 67 sats each!)
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