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2061  Economy / Economics / Re: Is recession coming actually? on: November 02, 2022, 05:48:24 PM
In my opinion, recession is a normal process of the economy and don't panic about it. But we need to know the fact that it doesn't come alone. It comes with job losses, inflation, low business activity and poor financial stability.
No panic, but something worth thinking about too. The problem is that we need a solution to minimize economic disruption from the smallest to the largest level, this is something that needs to be considered regardless of the current world economic conditions. The recession will come or it may already, depending on the economic impact it has on ourselves or on a national basis.

It is difficult to achieve stability during this inflation, of course because the currency lost a lot of value. The impact may be measurable through analysis, but we cannot avoid this problem without a definite solution.
2062  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: November 02, 2022, 05:35:08 PM
Erik is slowly being able to win the hearts of the Red Devils fans for what he has presented up to match 12 this season where Manchester United has returned to winning ways and wins in the domestic league. Manchester United is only 1 point away from Newscastle United in the top 4 and it is likely that Manchester United will be able to win the top 4 this week against Aston Villa. Previously several formation changes have been successfully carried out by Erik this season. it's just that manchester united need to maintain their consistency in every game to achieve their target this season and one of the season's targets will be achieved faster, namely to penetrate the top 4 rankings.
Team that is built with seriousness will be able to change its fate for the better slowly. I wouldn't say Ten Hag is the perfect coach for Manchester United, but he really is able to change the team for the better with the strategy he has. As far as we can see, Manchester United should no longer be underestimated in the match as they are starting to do well at the moment to compete in the top four.

One point adrift of Newcastle does not seem like difficult challenge if Manchester United is able maintain its performance. Against Aston Villa, Manchester United could be favorites to win and I think it's good to get some advantage from them even though Villa are playing at home.
2063  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How mentally prepared are you? on: November 02, 2022, 04:48:19 PM
that is always what I tell everyone. one Bitcoin will always be one Bitcoin. thta is to basically say that if you haven't bougth into Bitcoin, you are already losing. while one bitcoin will always be one Bitcoin, its sheer value will always increase, so it is better to have bitcoin than to have money in the Bank
But there is always the possibility that the 1 bitcoin you bought for $20K today becomes $15K in the future or maybe $100K. You should never ignore the possibility of a two direction market regardless of how you treat bitcoin. The average trader will not think 1 bitcoin is 1 bitcoin, but they will count it with fiat as the reason why they trade.

In the market you don't lose bitcoin if you don't sell at loss, but you will see its value fluctuate all the time. The basic principle is true that 1 bitcoin is 1 bitcoin, but if you are not an adopter of bitcoin as currency, then 1 bitcoin is $$$$.
2064  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2022/23 Season on: November 02, 2022, 04:34:01 PM
Liverpool, Tottenham, Manchester City and Chelsea have confirmed themselves to qualify for the last 16 of the Champions League this season. It's definitely a great display for a Premier League side as they have managed to dominate Europe with their pros and cons. On the other hand, Liverpool who were previously not in good form finally managed to secure a ticket after beating Napoli 2-0 at Anfield.

Today there will be a match between Real Madrid Vs Celtic. Of course Real Madrid will get full support at Santiago Bernaubeu, especially when Fede Valverde is on fire, this will make the attack line even sharper. Whoever wins in this match will not change any results, Real Madrid will still be the winners of Group F, while Celtic must be willing to be eliminated from the Champions League.
I didn't expect it to be a difficult match especially because Real Madrid don't really need any more points to qualify. Win may still be expected especially to avoid second place so as not to meet the top teams of other groups, but I think it's a bit risky to bet on a team that's definitely through. But if you don't mind losing, then I think you deserve to consider a parlay for a few games including Real Madrid vs Celtic.
2065  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2022/23 on: October 30, 2022, 05:53:05 PM
Real Madrid managed to draw at Girona 1-1 but for me it's not unusual for a big team to draw or lose to a team below them even though Real Madrid have a lot of advantages,
Girona forced us to draw, but without the penalty then I don't think they will really get the points in this match.
During the game, Real Madrid had a lot of chances to score, but some saves from the Girona goalkeeper left us really frustrated. But it doesn't matter, Madrid still leads the standings with a 1 point advantage over Barcelona and now there is no time to relax if you want to always lead.

The standings are very competitive, but some changes will occur when Sociedad and Real Betis finish their matches today.

2066  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is hodling top 10 Marketcap coins a good tactic? on: October 30, 2022, 05:45:21 PM
I'm not too sure about the top 10, but would probably consider the current top 5. Bitcoin, ETH, and XRP haven't been in the top 5 for years, so I think it would be good to have all three in my portfolio.

I would probably consider some other altcoin like BNB although some would find it a joke. We can't really avoid risk even if it's just bitcoin, but maybe we can minimize the risk. So some of my choices about investment assets are clear, but it's possible the ratings will change as the industry evolves. Everything is risky including bitcoin, so being different doesn't mean you don't have the same goal especially about the return on investment.
2067  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2022/23 on: October 30, 2022, 05:24:29 PM
Real Madrid are a completely different team without Benzema... First Ronaldo was the key player, now Karim Benzema... It's not good for a club to be dependent on one player... Today's match against Girona showed this weakness of Real... I wouldn't say the outsider played well, it was Real's game that was disgusting... And the result didn't surprise me because I doubted this game from the start...
I don't want to protest anything about the result of this match but to be honest some chances could have been taken to score. Rodrygo scored, but unfortunately the goal was invalid because the ball was in the hands of the goalkeeper. But I think Real Madrid's game today wasn't too bad apart from the final result, I respect them for fighting until the end.

Now the distance between Barcelona and Real Madrid is only one point left after Real Madrid were held to a 1-1 draw by Girona.
That's right, now only 1 point away from Barcelona. But it doesn't mean much so Real Madrid really have to do their best in the next match. It's actually a bit embarrassing because Girona are a relegation zone team, but that's football where no team should underestimate the other team even if on paper they are too weak to get points.
2068  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2022/23 on: October 30, 2022, 05:05:39 PM
Girona unexpectedly really made Real Madrid have to struggle in this match. The score is 1-1 now that Stuani has scored on penalties, this is really something unpleasant. I still really hope this match doesn't end in a draw, but it looks like Girona will play a bit of drama in the rest of the match.

If this match is a draw, then the distance between Barcelona and Real Madrid will only be 1 point. But the 9 minutes of stoppage time must be really used by Real Madrid, I hope they will win this match. But Red card Kross, this is not right either I guess.
2069  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Now is the perfect time to invest in Bitcoin on: October 30, 2022, 04:03:07 PM
Of course, I may have missed something, but is this time right now? I don't think now is the best time...
The best times have passed, but you can assume that now is the perfect opportunity to enter the market before you really miss the boat. I can't be sure when this bear market will end, but it's certainly right to think that now you just need to buy and accumulate lots of bitcoins as your future investment.

The market will not wait when you are no longer in doubt about the best opportunity, so consider the current market conditions to invest. Do your analysis because only you will be responsible for profit and loss.
2070  Economy / Speculation / Re: Next big bull rally expected to begin in 2023 Q2 says Mark Yusko on: October 29, 2022, 06:42:28 PM
If I will have to choose the best time to invest in bitcoin, this is the time, I do not expect anyone to wait.
It is definitely the right decision for you and others.
The big discounts we still have today should be used to get more bitcoins. I agree that this is the best time, but some things must be considered carefully.

But for those that do not have enough, I believe there is still time for them to accumulate or to DCA.
In addition to confidence about time, investment strategies also still need to be considered. You can combine several strategies for your investment, such as DCA and the like, it will be useful if the price drops lower. DCA is recommended for any investment, but if you are sure and really want to buy it with all your capital, then it can never go wrong either.


I am thinking that Q2 of 2023 is still early to decide if the 2024 rally that we are expecting, that any price rise at the time may still be followed by bear market. I believe more in 2024, what do you think?
I don't know, I don't know for sure. But the odds are anything is possible even if in 2023 bitcoin could also start increasing to some degree.
2071  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: October 29, 2022, 06:32:13 PM
Begin to expect from them because the season is fast ending and we will not realise it. Any team that is not doing well presently might not have any chances of survival by next year. It is better everyone is fighting at the same time. Newcastle is among the people leading the fight even when one of their key players has been injured.
You've said the truth, and it looks like Newcastle fans just need to enjoy the moment instead of expecting much in the end. It's too early to say that Newcastle can keep up their good form, but the improvement so far has been great.

If Newcastle can be in top 4 by January, many good players will be attracted to the club and it will help them contest to secure a champions league spot.
For sure, some players will be attracted not because of their chances of being in the Champions League, but because of the money and high salaries. But that will soon change when Newcastle prove their quality until the end of the season.
2072  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: October 29, 2022, 06:09:40 PM
I don't know what kind of mystical day this is... Brighton destroyed Chelsea by scoring 4 goals...
That's not surprising especially because I'm sure Brighton will do well at home. In my previous post, I said Brighton have a mission to win that match because they are playing at home, and it is true that they beat chelsea with a promising score of 4-1. But I believe a defeat like this is hard to believe because Chelsea can actually be relied on in that match.

Newcastle are now fourth in the standings.
Newcastle are getting better, they took advantage of that improvement to take maximum points without any mistakes. But I don't expect much from them because in reality Newcastle are still in the stage of improvement.
2073  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: October 29, 2022, 06:00:20 PM
What a goal Messi scored (https://youtu.be/zdISOXOA8A8?t=214)! Before taking the ball, he checked the environment. After 3 seconds, he once again checked the environment. Then, when he got the ball, it only took 3 seconds to apply what he put his head in. The defenders and goalkeeper of the opposing team did not expect him to do such a thing. Also, there was no way they could stop his reaction in just 3 seconds. With this goal, Messi showed everyone why he is Messi once again. Such a football player deserves endless respect.
There is no doubt about the quality of the PSG striker if the chemistry between the three is good. I think now the three PSG strikers are starting to work for the team and prioritizing over individual achievements. Messi contributed a lot this season for PSG and I think that improvement is very clear for now. His goals and assists numbers have increased compared to last season, meaning he is starting to find himself again in the PSG match.

Today's victory has led PSG to be even more secure at the top with a difference of 5 points from Lens. PSG is a strong team, but the defense is not really stable during this time. They can drop points in easy match, that's normal.
2074  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2022/23 Season on: October 28, 2022, 09:30:06 PM
Actually expecting something like that is not too wrong because Lewa is a targetman and Lewa can actually still be hopeful but the problem is that the supply given to Lewa in the last few matches is not very good which makes Lewa unable to play like she should.
As far as I know, Lewandowski is the target man in the Barcelona striker and I admit that. But I also think in the last few games especially against Inter and Bayern, Lewandowski was really struggling to find the ball because the opposing defense cut off the flow of the ball for him. This means that Barcelona's strategy in 4 matches is really easy to read by opponents, especially Bayern Munich.

With this condition there will actually be worries for Xavi but seeing the condition of Barcelona it will only stay like that because if they change the coach again it will be very difficult for their financial condition.
Of course it will be difficult, but there are only two good choices and that is to give him full support or find a replacement.
2075  Economy / Speculation / Re: What’s going to make Bitcoin turn from a downward to an upward trend? on: October 28, 2022, 09:22:22 PM
Yeah, I think the ETF might boost the market in the next bull run, or maybe another country like El Salvador or at least another nation joining the picture. Or maybe a huge company like Tesla or a Michael Saylor type of billionaire.
Some institutions can play a role in a bull market, but I don't expect us to always rely on them. Increased adoption and halving are the two things that drive investors the most regardless of the goal.

So there are still a lot of source of money that will propel bitcoin to the next bull run. And the expectation is the 6 digits will be hit in 2024-2025 so we will see. We just need to wait for the right time. We can't just force things in this market as it has it's own path and catalyst which is the block halving.
Yes, I agree about the halving but I don't know when this bull will start. In fact we are still in a prolonged bearish phase after last year's ATH, but even if that's true then I think this is the best time to get some bitcoin. Buy and hold, that's really good advice now.
2076  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2022/23 Season on: October 28, 2022, 08:24:38 PM
I will not say that the Barcelona team is not strong. Barcelona's team is strong enough. They have a lot of talented players in their squad. But the problem is that it is very difficult to make predictions about Barcelona's performance. Because there is no consistency in their performance. Barcelona does not perform well against big teams. Barcelona has several weaknesses. It is a shame that a renowned team like Barcelona will be eliminated from the Champions League in the first round. Xavi will definitely want to perform well in the Europa League and La Liga. I think if Barcelona's defence is strong they will be able to win the La Liga title.
The main problem I identify with Barcelona in the Champions League is that they rely heavily on Lewandowski for make goal, secondly they don't have good options for defenders when their main players are injured. Nobody thought they would fail in the early stages (group stage), but that's how it is.

I suspect Xavi is really worried about his future now especially if Barcelona also fail in the Europa League, Laliga or Copa del Rey. If Xavi fails for all those titles, then I don't know why Laporta wants to keep him longer. I admit he is great, but the team needs to win and the title.
2077  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2022/23 Season on: October 28, 2022, 07:10:33 PM
Apart from Barcelona moving to the Europa League, it's not just their game that they will win, it's the opponents that we don't know that make it less difficult for them, in this European league there are many other big teams competing after being relegated from the Champions League who didn't qualify.
Barcelona and other teams need to work hard to win the title.
Whatever you believe about Barcelona is still very likely to be wrong in the end. Last season Barcelona were favorites for the title when they met Frankfurt, but they failed because Frankfurt played better. This season is also uncertain, Barcelona has a chance to fail in any competition if their performance is not stable.

I really think that Barcelona is not as strong as I predicted, but maybe it's reasonable because the teams in Group C are strong teams where it is difficult to predict the outcome. I was really surprised because in the end only Real Madrid qualified for the next round.
2078  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: October 28, 2022, 07:05:15 PM
The first form of advantage that Chelsea got ahead of the match against Brighton in my opinion was the effect of Graham Potter who already understood where the weak points of Brighton's players were. As you mentioned, Brighton's performances in some matches were not good because the results were very disappointing. They were only able to get 2 points for playing in a draw. Three more games they lost. The unexpected result obtained by Brighton was being held to a draw by Nottingham Forest while playing at home.
Brighton are actually a difficult team to predict, so I don't think this match will be easy for either team. Brighton were playing at home and that was the advantage they had in the game, but Potter is something that probably already knows how Brighton's players are because he's been in charge of the team.

I'm sure a lot of people think Chelsea are the favorites in that match but I hope they will never ignore that Brighton also have a mission to win the match.

We can say that Chelsea will win this week against a club that has the nickname The Seagulls.
Don't be too sure, a draw is also a prediction that you shouldn't ignore.
2079  Economy / Speculation / Re: What Will be the Bottom of Bitcoin till 2025? on: October 27, 2022, 04:42:32 PM
I see that after the Bitcoin halving every four years there is a change from the previous halving, if the current Bitcoin price is the lowest we know the halving happened yesterday, meaning: in 2025 the lowest Bitcoin is estimated at around $20-25k of course this is seen from the current development of Bitcoin prices.

For that, if we are guided by the predictions or speculations of some experts, of course the growth of Bitcoin will occur every four years and the need or development of Bitcoin will change, I am sure that in 2025 it is also possible.
Many people argue about the same thing, I mean halving is one of the factors that causes the price of bitcoin to increase. I justify that, but anyway it's always possible to break because we never know the future.

OP of course you probably know that bitcoin is a fluctuating asset. You can expect it to hit ATH in 2025 and you can probably expect another low before 2025. I don't expect it to hit $10K or lower before 2025, but either way it's always possible although historically it's hard to believe it.
2080  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: October 27, 2022, 04:38:07 PM
PSG had a strong squad. Almost all the talented and star players in the squad. However, PSG's performance last season was very poor. The main weakness of the team was that the bonding between their players was very weak and their match strategy was not good. But Galtier has been able to strengthen the bond between the team's players. The understanding between the team players is now much better than before. At the same time, Galtier is working very well to resolve the conflicts between the team players with Mbappe. Mbappe's behavior is changing. He no longer behaves arrogantly and selfishly. PSG's performances have been more consistent in the last few matches.
When all the players support each other and put the goals of the team forward, then I think the result will be very good. I don't want to talk about how PSG were last season, but I think the players have improved a lot this season while Galtier was in charge.

Statistically, Messi and Neymar this season have improved. Mbappe who became the main striker also contributed to some of Messi and Neymar's goals and vice versa. If the cooperation of these three players continues to increase then maybe PSG will easily win the match. Without ego, PSG players would be good to rely on.
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