Are you have dont with contact police officer or similiar ? This problem is be done as soon as possible to prevent another victim  I'm feeling sad about your loss, bro !  you don't get it, do you? This is legal theft.The police are on the dark side, too. |
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I don't see where this 4-9% interest per day is coming from when the swap rates are hovering around the .04% level. I'd love to have that higher interest on the coins I'm lending.
Those numbers come from bfxdata.com as seen in the graphs tzupy and I posted. They were recorded from bfx api by bfxdata.com site. You're not going to get those rates. I'm assuming it was a glitch and noone really got them. You can also assume that if someone indeed borrowed at such high rate, he would roll over into a more modest setup at the first chance (and there is now a "healthy" swap market with "normal" rates available as you can see in the 2 screenshots of the ask side I posted yesterday). If someone offers you 9% per day, RUN! Even 7% per week (example taken from bitcoin savings and trust) should ring alarm bells. |
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Service works flawlessly! I have a feature request: would it be possible to allow direct access to the files instead of zipping them? That way I could start watching right away. As it is now, I have to wait for the zip to fully download (I only have a 8 mbit connection ;-( ) Alternatively: does someone have enough script-fu to tell me how to pipe wget/curl output into unzip and achieve the same goal? EDIT: I guess piping to unzip wont work because zip file info is at the end of the zip. EDIT2: HA! Seems there is a way after all: wget -qO- https://untorrent.me/torApi/fetch/<id>?secret=<secret> | bsdtar -xvf-
(found here) |
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zoom in! enhance!  shit! it's still just one data point. Another indication that it's a glitch. |
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http:// lawandbitcoin. com/en/bitcoin-is-vat-exempt-in-spain/
moooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooon
it's already vat-exempt in the UK afaik |
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Eine noch bessere Frage: nach dem ganzen gox-desaster,... wieso verlangen wir nicht audits (proof of reserve) von den exchanges? Wieso lassen wir coins/USD auf bitfinex rumliegen für mickrigen Zins... das ist doch wohl das Risiko nicht wert, oder?
Verlang doch, da bekommst Du dann den Hinweis doch einen Exchange zu benutzen der Audits macht. Und das Du 'wir' schreibst gehe ich mal davon aus das Du Coins und USD dort oder woanders zu liegen hast. Warum wohl. Aber die anderen sollen nicht, oder nur Du nicht wenn die anderen auch nicht? Ja, ich hab 'wir' geschrieben weil ich da auch mal coins liegen hatte. Ich wollte nicht sagen: die anderen sollen nicht, ich wollte sagen: wir (ich auch) sind ganz schön blöd... hoffentlich geht das nicht wieder nach hinten los. |
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Yesterday there were huge spikes (now they are back to normal) in both BTC and USD swap rates, was it a glitch or is there some explanation?
I'm not sure, didn't see the swap market order books at the time. They look healthy now with 2.4 kBTC and 2 million USD offered at "flash return" rate and more at higher, but still "reasonable" rates.   I'm having a hard time imagining those orderbooks being empty on the ask sides and people borrowing at 4% / 9% per day (as depicted on bfxdata). That'd be 1.6 million % / 45 trilliion % annualized !! So I'm guessing: glitch. |
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This gives me tingles in my toes. Every cell phone can now be a hardware wallet that uses encrypted sms to broadcast. BitSim is my new favourite thing. It's pretty awesome... On the downside: what about privacy? |
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Ich bin dabei meine bisherigen eher bullishen kurzfristigen Prognosen über Bord zu werfen zu glauben, dass wir auf diesem Level (150-300, ev. 4xx) noch länger herumdümpeln und dann erst beim Reward-Halving wieder ein nennenswerter Preisanstieg zu erwarten ist.
300 zu halten wäre ein ganz starkes Signal, dann wären seit Jahresbeginn 200% im Plus verkündbar, das soll irgendein Sparbuch erstmal überbieten. Aber egal. Hä? am Jahresbeginn waren wir bei $320 News am Rande, Gox war noch mehr Pleite als die Foundation. Damit gehört Fractional Reserve doch mehr zu den Bitcoin Standards, als erwartet. Was machen eigentlich die ganzen Exchange Sites mit den Kundeneinlagen, auf einem Bearishen Markt?
Das ist 'ne gute Frage. Ich persönlich traue den exchanges durchaus zu, Schmu zu treiben. Wie verlockend z.B. für bitfinex einfach nicht-existierende funds zu verleihen. Auch relativ Risikofrei... Eine noch bessere Frage: nach dem ganzen gox-desaster,... wieso verlangen wir nicht audits (proof of reserve) von den exchanges? Wieso lassen wir coins/USD auf bitfinex rumliegen für mickrigen Zins... das ist doch wohl das Risiko nicht wert, oder? |
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Guys, governments are structurally inefficient. Do you really think a bunch of bureaucrats could understand the potential of bitcoin back in 2011?
If governments were so smart and visionary, administered economy would work.
Government is big. It consists of many people. You can't rule out some smart people get hired into 3-letter-agencies, for example. |
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I have new shorts opened at 225 and old ones at 254 both on 20x
I only have 400 open at 225, 700 at 254
20x leverage?? Can I ask what price your lower short (@225) would be liquidated should the price rise? |
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If you want to judge the sediment you guys are using the wrong chart. https://bfxdata.com/sentiment/longshortTotal Active Long Swaps vs Short Swaps vs BTCUSD price (shorts expressed in USD equivalent): displays the total sum of all active swaps on bitfinex. the green area is the total sum of USD swaps over time (i.e swaps used for long positions, margin traders use USD swaps in long positions). The 2 red areas represent the total sum of BTC and LTC Swaps (i.e swaps used for short positions, margin traders use BTC / LTC swaps in short positions). To make the values better comparable I represented the sum of BTC and LTC swaps in USD worth. otherwise you would be comparing apples and oranges  This chart from your link suggests to me that the ATH of BTC swaps was around mid January when the big crash happened. Is my interpretation correct?  yes, the previous ath seems to have been on Jan 15th.  BTC swaps reached ~ 27 kBTC and price dropped to $180 ($160?). ~30 hours before price was at $230 and the shorts at 18 kBTC. So while the shorts were being built up, the price dropped. That's in contrast to what is happening now: price is more or less stable while the shorts are building up. |
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Danke. Der Graph sagt also aus, dass viele BTC geliehen wurden. Richtig?
relativ viele, ja. In den letzten 24h ca. 1.340 BTC, aber auch 200.000 USD. |
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I keep hearing about Bitcoin Investment Trust. Is this any way related to Bitcoin Savings and Trust? Will I be able to get similar services?
lol! you mean pirateat40s bitcoin savings and trust? |
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Expect those shorts to get squeezed.
Not unless it's a dead cat bounce (again)... Which has become a pattern of late. Maybe this predictability made the shorts bet high this time? Once you think you found a pattern in the market, the market will turn around and screw you for most pain. ;-) |
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Not to forget: the longs are extremely high, too (as they have been traditionally).
Ratio of longs to shorts is: 25860000 USD / 28940 BTC = 893 USD/BTC.
However, ratio of delta in last 24 hours is: (25860000 - 25660000 USD) / (28940 - 27600 BTC) = 149 USD/BTC
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Is today boom a twilight of bull?
Or just short party before big crash?
How do you think of it?
We are up 5 from the last days' relatively stable level. It seems noone cares. it's how it begins, without conviction, noone believes it will go up any longer, at best sideways ... if you are short with conviction now prepare for some long painful thought processes.+1 It is very hard to go from bull to bear (I never managed to do it). It's probably equally hard to go from bear to bull. Hard and depending on position also very painful. Honestly, I'm not sure it's time yet, though. We might see another half a year or more of roughly sideways action ($150 to $350 range) before consolidation is finished. |
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bitfinex BTC swaps at an ATH.
Koenntest Du die Zusammenhaenge erlaeutern? Ich werde daraus auf die Schnelle naemlich nicht schlau. Die blaue Linie ist der Preis. Die rote linie sind der auf bfx geliehenen BTC (ca. 28000 BTC) und die grüne linie sind die geliehenen USD (ca. 25.5 mio USD). Man kann davon ausgehen, daß dieses geliehene geld sich in short- bzw. long-Positionen befindet. Die longs sind traditionell sehr hoch, hier dieselbe Grafik über ca. 2 Jahre:  Es kostet natürlich Zinsen sich Geld zu leihen. Derzeit ca. 15% per annum für BTC, bzw. 39% p.a. für USD. Aus einem Ansteig der swaps könnte man z.B. folgern, daß irgendwelche Leute irgendwas wissen (insider knowledge) und daher short/long gehen ("news coming next week"). Manche hoffen auch auf short-/long-"squeezing". BFX schützt die Geldverleiher indem die Positionen automatisch geschlossen werden ("forced liquidation", "I have been zhoutonged"), bevor der Preis zu hoch / niedrig wird um die geliehenen BTC bzw. USD am Markt wiederzubekommen. Diese Zwangs(ver-)käufe können zu einer Kettenreaktion führen, weil der Preis dann ja noch weiter in die "ungünstige" Richtung bewegt wird. Ich selbst folgere aus gestiegenem swap-volumen zumindest erhöhtes Potential für Bewegung (keine Ahnung in welche Richtung). |
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 people are leveraging up on both long and short sides. BTC swaps on bfx at ATH? |
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